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AFTER MARKET UPDATE - FRIDAY, MARCH 9TH, 2018
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DOW |
+440.53 |
25,335.74 |
+1.77% |
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Volume |
814,251,700 |
+6% |
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Volume |
2,293,747,290 |
+2% |
NASDAQ |
+132.86 |
7,560.81 |
+1.79% |
|
Advancers |
2,166 |
73% |
|
Advancers |
2,171 |
74% |
S&P 500 |
+47.60 |
2,786.57 |
+1.74% |
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Decliners |
793 |
27% |
|
Decliners |
770 |
26% |
Russell 2000 |
+25.18 |
1,597.14 |
+1.60% |
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52 Wk Highs |
128 |
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|
52 Wk Highs |
245 |
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S&P 600 |
+14.88 |
970.26 |
+1.56% |
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52 Wk Lows |
42 |
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52 Wk Lows |
16 |
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Leadership Improved and Volume Increased as Major Indices Rallied
Kenneth J. Gruneisen - Passed the CAN SLIM® Master's Exam
For the week, the Dow advanced 3.3%, the S&P 500 gained 3.5%, and the Nasdaq Composite added 4.2%. Stocks were higher Friday. The Dow surged 440 points to 25335. The S&P 500 added 47 points to 2786 and the Nasdaq Composite gained 132 points to 7560. The volume totals reported were higher than the prior session total on the NYSE and on the Nasdaq exchange, indicative of greater institutional buying demand. Advancers led decliners by an 11-4 margin on the NYSE and on the Nasdaq exchange. Leadership improved as rising new 52-week high totals outnumbered new 52-week lows totals on both the Nasdaq exchange and the NYSE. There were 110 high-ranked companies from the Leaders List that made new 52-week highs and were listed on the BreakOuts Page, versus the total of 74 on the prior session. Charts used courtesy of www.stockcharts.com
PICTURED: The S&P 500 Index challenged its recent high, rebounding with a big gain on Friday and closing within -3% of its record high. The major indices (M criteria) are in a confirmed uptrend. New buying efforts are justified under the fact-based investment system when all key criteria of the fact-based investment system are satisfied. The Featured Stocks Page provides the most timely analysis on high-ranked leaders that are noteworthy and action worthy.
U.S. equities closed firmly in positive territory on the nine year anniversary of the current bull market after the jobs report showed nonfarm payrolls unexpectedly grew by 313,000 in February. Investors kept an eye on the wage growth component of the release, as anxiety was eased by the 2.6% annualized increase in average hourly earnings that was well below last month’s 2.9% reading. In geopolitical news, President Trump formally announced tariffs on steel and aluminum imports yesterday. Canada and Mexico were excluded, though the door was left open for other allies to negotiate exemptions. In addition, Trump agreed to meet with North Korea’s Kim Jong Un by May.
Ten of 11 sectors in the S&P 500 advanced with Telecom the sole laggard. Financials paced gains with JPMorgan Chase & Co (JPM +2.88%) and Citigroup (C +2.70%) rising. Industrials also outperformed, led by Caterpillar (CAT +3.03%). Toymakers were notable decliners with shares of Mattel (MAT -7.08%) and Hasbro (HAS -2.06%) on news that Toys R US may liquidate its U.S. operations.
Treasuries weakened with the yield on the 10-year note advancing three basis points to 2.89%. In commodities, NYMEX WTI crude climbed 3.2% to $62.05/barrel. COMEX gold rose 0.2% to $1323.90/ounce.
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Kenneth J. Gruneisen started out as a licensed stockbroker in August 1987, a couple of months prior to the historic stock market crash that took the Dow Jones Industrial Average down -22.6% in a single day. He has published daily fact-based fundamental and technical analysis on high-ranked stocks online for two decades. Through FACTBASEDINVESTING.COM, Kenneth provides educational articles, news, market commentary, and other information regarding proven investment systems that work in good times and bad.
Comments contained in the body of this report are technical opinions only and are not necessarily those of Gruneisen Growth Corp. The material herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable and accurate, however, its accuracy and completeness cannot be guaranteed. Our firm, employees, and customers may effect transactions, including transactions contrary to any recommendation herein, or have positions in the securities mentioned herein or options with respect thereto. Any recommendation contained in this report may not be suitable for all investors and it is not to be deemed an offer or solicitation on our part with respect to the purchase or sale of any securities. |
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Retail, Financial, Tech and Energy Groups Rose
Kenneth J. Gruneisen - Passed the CAN SLIM® Master's Exam
On Friday the Retail Index ($RLX+1.90%), Bank Index ($BKX +2.20%) the Broker/Dealer Index ($XBD +2.48%) each finished the session solidly higher. The tech sector had a positive bias as the Networking Index ($NWX +1.51%), Semiconductor Index ($SOX +2.08%), and the Biotechnology Index ($BTK +1.53%) rose. Energy-linked groups had a positive bias as the Integrated Oil Index ($XOI +1.60%) and the Oil Services Index ($OSX +2.22%) both ratcheted higher, meanwhile the Gold & Silver Index ($XAU -0.09%) finished flat. Charts courtesy wwwstockcharts.com
PICTURED: The Biotechnology Index ($BTK +1.53%) recently found support near its 50-day moving average (DMA) line.
Oil Services |
$OSX |
139.60 |
+3.03 |
+2.22% |
-6.65% |
Integrated Oil |
$XOI |
1,307.39 |
+20.61 |
+1.60% |
-2.11% |
Semiconductor |
$SOX |
1,431.16 |
+29.11 |
+2.08% |
+14.21% |
Networking |
$NWX |
554.65 |
+8.24 |
+1.51% |
+13.07% |
Broker/Dealer |
$XBD |
301.45 |
+7.31 |
+2.48% |
+13.65% |
Retail |
$RLX |
2,036.70 |
+37.97 |
+1.90% |
+17.47% |
Gold & Silver |
$XAU |
78.90 |
-0.07 |
-0.09% |
-7.47% |
Bank |
$BKX |
116.10 |
+2.50 |
+2.20% |
+8.80% |
Biotech |
$BTK |
4,874.53 |
+73.64 |
+1.53% |
+15.45% |
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Retailer Rebounding Within Striking Distance of Prior High
Kenneth J. Gruneisen - Passed the CAN SLIM® Master's Exam
Five Below Inc (FIVE +0.56 or +0.82% to $68.58) is consolidating above its 50-day moving average (DMA) line ($66.74). A new pivot point has been cited based on its 1/05/18 high plus 10 cents. Subsequent volume-driven gains for new highs may trigger a new (or add-on) technical buy signal. The recent low ($60.00 on 2/06/18) defines the next important near-term support to watch on pullbacks.
FIVE has made gradual progress since last shown in this FSU section on 2/12/18 with an annotated graph under the headline, "Rebound Above 50-day Moving Average is Needed to Help Outlook". Five Below traded up as much as +44.89% since highlighted in yellow with new pivot point cited based on its 5/19/17 high plus 10 cents in the 10/06/17 mid-day report (read here).
It is due to report earnings news an March 21st. Volume and volatility often increase near earnings news. Fundamentals have been very strong as it reported earnings +80% on +29% sales revenues for the Oct '17 quarter, continuing its strong earnings track record. The Retail - Discount & Variety firm has a highest possible 99 Earnings Per Share Rating and matches the fact-based investment system's winning models with a good annual earnings (A criteria) track record. It has been showing acceleration in sales revenues and earnings in sequential quarterly comparisons.
FIVE had a choppy history since its $17 IPO in July 2012 and 3 subsequent Secondary Offerings. It has a small supply of 55.2 million shares outstanding (S criteria). Its current Timeliness Rating is A and its Sponsorship Rating is C.
The number of top-rated funds owning its shares rose from 432 in Jun '16 to 471 in Dec '17, a reassuring sign concerning the I criteria. Its current Up/Down Volume Ratio of 1.0 is an unbiased indication its shares have been neutral concerning accumulation/distribution over the past 50 days.
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Color Codes Explained :
Y - Better candidates highlighted by our
staff of experts. G - Previously featured
in past reports as yellow but may no longer be buyable under the
guidelines.
***Last / Change / Volume data in this table is the closing quote data***
Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group |
PRICE |
CHANGE (%Change) |
Day High |
Volume (% DAV) (% 50 day avg vol) |
52 Wk Hi % From Hi |
Featured Date |
Price Featured |
Pivot Featured |
Max Buy |
TPL
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NYSE
Texas Pacific Land Trust
FINANCIAL SERVICES - Diversified Investments
|
$522.64
|
-1.23
-0.23% |
$535.97
|
7,632 42.40% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 18,000
|
$569.99 -8.31%
|
2/20/2018
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$517.00
|
PP = $569.99
|
MB = $598.49
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Most Recent Note - 3/5/2018 7:06:06 PM
Y -Posted a small gain today while consolidating in an orderly fashion above its 50 DMA line ($503.41). A valid secondary buy point exists up to +5% above the latest high after it successfully tested the 10 week moving average (WMA) line following an earlier technical breakout. Reported earnings +29% on +118% sales revenues for the Dec '17 quarter.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Finding Support Above 50-Day Moving Average Line - 2/22/2018 |
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C
A
S
I |
YY
-
NASDAQ
YY Inc
INTERNET - Internet Service Providers
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$119.99
|
+0.00
0.00% |
$124.73
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2,710,084 182.50% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,485,000
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$142.97 -16.07%
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12/29/2017
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$113.06
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PP = $123.58
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MB = $129.76
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Most Recent Note - 3/8/2018 1:00:58 PM
G - Gapped up today but quickly erased early gains and slumped back below its 50 DMA line ($127.85) again. Wider than usual intra-day price swings are a sign of uncertainty. Faces resistance due to overhead supply up to the $142 level. Reported earnings +55% on +56% sales revenues for the Dec '17 quarter, continuing its strong earnings track record.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Earnings News Due Next Week for Chinese Social Platform - 2/27/2018 |
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C
A
S
I |
LOGM
-
NASDAQ
Logmein Inc
INTERNET - Internet Software andamp; Services
|
$126.25
|
+3.45
2.81% |
$126.25
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378,830 66.36% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 570,900
|
$134.80 -6.34%
|
2/15/2018
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$132.35
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PP = $129.61
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MB = $136.09
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Most Recent Note - 3/5/2018 7:09:41 PM
G - Rebounded and closed above the 50 DMA line ($120.37) today helping its outlook improve. Its Relative Strength rating is 74, still below the 80+ minimum guideline for buy candidates. Found support recently at its 200 DMA line.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Technical Breakout Came Ahead of Earnings News - 2/15/2018 |
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C
A
S
I |
HTHT
-
NASDAQ
China Lodging Group Ads
LEISURE - Lodging
|
$153.74
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-2.06
-1.32% |
$157.00
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432,376 82.20% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 526,000
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$166.19 -7.49%
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12/22/2017
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$138.07
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PP = $142.90
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MB = $150.05
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Most Recent Note - 3/7/2018 5:39:42 PM
G - While consolidating above its 50 DMA line ($149) its outlook has improved. Subsequent losses below the recent low ($141.01 on 3/02/18) would raise greater concerns and trigger a technical sell signal.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Repaired Recent Technical Damage But Has Not Formed a New Base - 2/23/2018 |
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C
A
S
I |
PETS
-
NASDAQ
Petmed Express Inc
RETAIL - Drug Stores
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$46.75
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-0.62
-1.31% |
$47.75
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382,444 55.35% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 691,000
|
$57.80 -19.12%
|
1/19/2018
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$53.59
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PP = $51.00
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MB = $53.55
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Most Recent Note - 3/7/2018 5:34:51 PM
G - Tallied 3 consecutive small gains with light volume, but still sputtering below its 50 DMA line ($46.71). Faces near-term resistance due to overhead supply up to the $57 level. Recently reported earnings +83% on +14% sales revenues, continuing its strong earnings track record.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Sputtering Below 50-Day Average After Negative Reversal - 2/14/2018 |
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C
A
S
I |
Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group |
PRICE |
CHANGE (%Change) |
Day High |
Volume (% DAV) (% 50 day avg vol) |
52 Wk Hi % From Hi |
Featured Date |
Price Featured |
Pivot Featured |
Max Buy |
DPZ
-
NYSE
Dominos Pizza Inc
WHOLESALE - Food Wholesale
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$230.26
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+7.48
3.36% |
$230.45
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656,789 59.28% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,108,000
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$236.00 -2.43%
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2/20/2018
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$224.86
|
PP = $222.01
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MB = $233.11
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Most Recent Note - 3/5/2018 6:58:52 PM
Y - Quietly sputtering below its pivot point raising concerns. Tallied big gains then stalled after highlighted in the 2/20/18 mid-day report with pivot point cited based on its 1/25/18 high plus 10 cents.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Popular Pizza Firm Met Resistance Near Prior High - 2/20/2018 |
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C
A
S
I |
ESNT
-
NYSE
Essent Group Ltd
Finance-MrtgandRel Svc
|
$47.66
|
+1.12
2.41% |
$47.84
|
417,705 67.05% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 623,000
|
$50.08 -4.83%
|
10/9/2017
|
$39.75
|
PP = $41.54
|
MB = $43.62
|
Most Recent Note - 3/5/2018 6:59:58 PM
G - Quietly sputtering below its 50 DMA line ($46.23). Tested support near its 200 DMA line recently. More damaging losses would raise greater concerns. Reported earnings +16% on +27% sales revenues for the Dec '17 quarter, below the +25% minimum earnings guideline (C criteria), raising fundamental concerns.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Sputtering ESNBelow 50-Day Moving Average Line - 3/2/2018 |
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C
A
S
I |
FIVE
-
NASDAQ
Five Below Inc
Retail-DiscountandVariety
|
$68.58
|
+0.56
0.82% |
$68.79
|
777,547 75.27% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,033,000
|
$73.55 -6.76%
|
3/9/2018
|
$68.58
|
PP = $73.65
|
MB = $77.33
|
Most Recent Note - 3/9/2018 5:46:05 PM
Y - New pivot point is cited based on its 1/05/18 high plus 10 cents. Subsequent volume-driven gains above the pivot point may trigger a new (or add-on) technical buy signal. Consolidating above its 50 DMA line ($66.81). The recent low ($60.00 on 2/06/18) defines important near-term support to watch on pullbacks. See the latest FSU analysis for more details and a new annotated graph.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Retailer Rebounding Within Striking Distance of Prior High - 3/9/2018 |
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C
A
S
I |
SPLK
-
NASDAQ
Splunk Inc
Computer Sftwr-Database
|
$107.21
|
+0.75
0.70% |
$108.89
|
2,486,263 146.25% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,700,000
|
$107.89 -0.63%
|
2/15/2018
|
$96.06
|
PP = $93.68
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MB = $98.36
|
Most Recent Note - 3/7/2018 12:37:23 PM
G - Hitting yet another new all-time high today, getting more extended from any sound base. Disciplined investors avoid chasing extended stocks. Bullish action came after it reported earnings +76% on +37% sales revenues for the quarter ended January 31, 2018 versus the year ago period.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Pulled Back to 10-Week Moving Average After Technical Breakout - 2/16/2018 |
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C
A
S
I |
PAYC
-
NYSE
Paycom Software Inc
COMPUTER SOFTWARE and SERVICES - Application Software
|
$109.96
|
+0.62
0.57% |
$110.25
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656,162 89.64% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 732,000
|
$109.73 0.21%
|
2/15/2018
|
$95.01
|
PP = $93.61
|
MB = $98.29
|
Most Recent Note - 3/7/2018 5:20:25 PM
G - Stubbornly holding its ground and it hit yet another new all-time high with today's 4th consecutive gain, getting very extended from any sound base. Prior highs in the $93 area define initial support above its 50 DMA line ($90.13). Fundamentals remain strong. See the latest FSU analysis for more details and a new annotated graph.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Extended From Prior Base After Streak of Gains - 3/7/2018 |
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C
A
S
I |
Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group |
PRICE |
CHANGE (%Change) |
Day High |
Volume (% DAV) (% 50 day avg vol) |
52 Wk Hi % From Hi |
Featured Date |
Price Featured |
Pivot Featured |
Max Buy |
GRUB
-
NYSE
Grubhub Inc
COMPUTER SOFTWARE and SERVICES - Technical and System Software
|
$108.56
|
+2.17
2.04% |
$108.66
|
1,300,770 71.63% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,816,000
|
$106.53 1.91%
|
6/21/2017
|
$47.33
|
PP = $46.94
|
MB = $49.29
|
Most Recent Note - 3/6/2018 10:45:04 AM
G - Gapped down today retreating from its all-time high after getting very extended from any sound base. Well above its 50 DMA line ($80) and prior highs defining near-term support. Recently reported earnings +61% on +49% sales revenues for the Dec '17 quarter.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Bullish Action Followed Last Earnings Report - 3/1/2018 |
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C
A
S
I |
HQY
-
NASDAQ
Healthequity Inc
COMPUTER SOFTWARE and SERVICES - Healthcare Information Service
|
$59.56
|
+0.54
0.91% |
$59.99
|
563,150 94.17% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 598,000
|
$59.19 0.63%
|
2/20/2018
|
$56.37
|
PP = $55.41
|
MB = $58.18
|
Most Recent Note - 3/5/2018 7:08:02 PM
Y - Posted a big gain with average volume today for a best-ever close. Wider than usual intra-day price swings were noted as indicative of uncertainty since highlighted in the 2/20/18 mid-day report (read here). Fundamentals remain strong.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Fundamentals Remained Favorable and Strength Returned - 2/21/2018 |
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C
A
S
I |
PYPL
-
NASDAQ
Paypal Holdings Inc
Finance-CrdtCard/PmtPr
|
$80.71
|
+0.84
1.05% |
$80.85
|
6,570,996 67.16% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 9,784,000
|
$86.32 -6.50%
|
2/1/2018
|
$80.35
|
PP = $79.49
|
MB = $83.46
|
Most Recent Note - 3/7/2018 5:36:09 PM
G - Quietly consolidating above its 50 DMA line ($78.72). Subsequent losses below the recent low ($71.63 on 2/09/18) would raise concerns and trigger a more worrisome technical sell signal. Fundamentals remain strong.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Quietly Consolidating Back Above 50-Day Moving Average - 2/26/2018 |
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C
A
S
I |
OLLI
-
NASDAQ
Ollie's Bargain Outlet
Retail-DiscountandVariety
|
$59.65
|
+0.95
1.62% |
$59.80
|
469,026 87.67% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 535,000
|
$62.05 -3.87%
|
11/21/2017
|
$46.78
|
PP = $47.00
|
MB = $49.35
|
Most Recent Note - 3/7/2018 5:43:56 PM
G - Gapped down for a loss on higher volume indicative of distributional pressure, retreating from its all-time high after getting extended from any sound base. Support is defined by its 50 DMA line ($55.74) and prior low ($50.15 on 1/04/18).
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Consolidating Above 50-Day Moving Average Line - 2/13/2018 |
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C
A
S
I |
WB
-
NASDAQ
Weibo Corp Cl A Ads
INTERNET - Content
|
$137.51
|
-0.06
-0.04% |
$139.05
|
1,006,121 52.81% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,905,000
|
$142.12 -3.24%
|
1/16/2018
|
$126.33
|
PP = $122.21
|
MB = $128.32
|
Most Recent Note - 3/8/2018 5:11:44 PM
G - Found support recently at 50 DMA line ($125), but it is extended from any sound base. Recently reported earnings +88% on +77% sales revenues for the Dec '17 quarter, continuing its strong earnings track record. See the latest FSU analysis for more details and a new annotated graph.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Recent Consolidation is Not a New Base of Sufficient Length - 3/8/2018 |
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C
A
S
I |
Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group |
PRICE |
CHANGE (%Change) |
Day High |
Volume (% DAV) (% 50 day avg vol) |
52 Wk Hi % From Hi |
Featured Date |
Price Featured |
Pivot Featured |
Max Buy |
HLI
-
NYSE
Houlihan Lokey Inc Cl A
Finance-Invest Bnk/Bkrs
|
$48.17
|
+1.87
4.04% |
$48.18
|
186,520 84.02% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 222,000
|
$52.81 -8.79%
|
1/3/2018
|
$45.88
|
PP = $47.09
|
MB = $49.44
|
Most Recent Note - 3/5/2018 7:04:34 PM
G - Met resistance recently and it remains below its 50 DMA line ($47.45). The recent low ($43.73 on 2/06/18) defines near term support where a violation would raise greater concerns. Earnings +21% for the Dec '17 quarter were below the +25% minimum earnings guideline (C criteria) raising fundamental concerns.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Recently Met Resistance at 50-Day Moving Average - 2/28/2018 |
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C
A
S
I |
SQ
-
NYSE
Square Inc Cl A
Finance-CrdtCard/PmtPr
|
$52.49
|
+0.24
0.46% |
$53.22
|
11,505,083 74.57% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 15,429,000
|
$52.97 -0.91%
|
3/5/2018
|
$49.70
|
PP = $49.66
|
MB = $52.14
|
Most Recent Note - 3/8/2018 11:53:51 AM
G - Color code is changed to green after hitting a new all-time high and rising above its "max buy" level. Prior highs in the $49-47 area define initial support to watch on pullbacks. Recent quarterly comparisons through Dec '17 showed strong sales revenues growth acceleration and solid earnings increases versus the year-ago periods. Limited annual earnings (A criteria) history remains a concern, yet it had a profitable FY '16 following its $9 IPO in Nov '15.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : New High & Considerable Gain Backed By Twice Average Volume - 3/5/2018 |
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C
A
S
I |
SEND
-
NYSE
Sendgrid Inc
INTERNET - Content
|
$31.04
|
+0.51
1.67% |
$31.73
|
183,616 78.47% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 234,000
|
$31.08 -0.13%
|
3/6/2018
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$28.00
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PP = $28.37
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MB = $29.79
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Most Recent Note - 3/9/2018 11:54:38 AM
G - Color code is changed to green after rallying above its "max buy" level, on track for a 5th consecutive gain, getting extended from the previously noted base. Prior highs in the $27-28 area define initial support to watch on pullbacks. See the latest FSU analysis for more details and an annotated graph.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Recently Profitable Internet - Content Firm Rallied to New High - 3/6/2018 |
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