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AFTER MARKET UPDATE - FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 3RD, 2017
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|
|
DOW |
+22.93 |
23,539.19 |
+0.10% |
|
Volume |
812,881,180 |
-11% |
|
Volume |
2,195,268,170 |
-3% |
|
NASDAQ |
+49.50 |
6,764.44 |
+0.74% |
|
Advancers |
1,402 |
48% |
|
Advancers |
1,323 |
49% |
|
S&P 500 |
+7.99 |
2,587.84 |
+0.31% |
|
Decliners |
1,496 |
52% |
|
Decliners |
1,368 |
51% |
|
Russell 2000 |
-1.64 |
1,494.91 |
-0.11% |
|
52 Wk Highs |
135 |
|
|
52 Wk Highs |
153 |
|
|
S&P 600 |
-5.79 |
900.88 |
-0.64% |
|
52 Wk Lows |
78 |
|
|
52 Wk Lows |
81 |
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Major Indices Led Higher by Tech and Retail Strength
Kenneth J. Gruneisen - Passed the CAN SLIM® Master's Exam
Stocks were slightly higher Friday. The Dow was up 23 points to 23539. The S&P 500 added 8 points to 2587. The Nasdaq Composite gained 49 points to 6764. Volume totals reported were lighter than the prior session totals on the NYSE and on the Nasdaq exchange. Decliners narrowly led advancers on the NYSE and on the Nasdaq exchange. There were 74 high-ranked companies from the Leaders List that made new 52-week highs and were listed on the BreakOuts Page, versus the total of 57 on the prior session. New 52-week highs totals solidly outnumbered new 52-week lows on both the Nasdaq exchange and NYSE. The Featured Stocks Page provides the latest analysis on noteworthy high-ranked leaders. Charts used courtesy of www.stockcharts.com
 PICTURED: The S&P 500 Index posted 4 consecutive gains and it is perched at a record high.
The major averages' (M criteria) are in a confirmed uptrend. Leadership has remained healthy. Investors should buy stocks meeting all key criteria of the fact-based investment system on a case-by-case basis as they trigger technical buy signals.
The major averages traded in a narrow range as investors digested a deluge of economic updates. Nonfarm payrolls rose 261,000 in October, below an anticipated 313,000 gain. However, the unemployment rate slipped to 4.1% from 4.2%. A reading by research firm Markit showed the pace of service sector activity increased unexpectedly in October versus projections of a slight contraction from September. An additional release involving gauges of manufacturing revealed factory orders rose 1.4% in September slightly above projections of a 1.2% increase.
Technology was a notable outperformer. Shares of Apple (AAPL +2.61%) rose after posting results above analyst forecasts and providing encouraging current quarter guidance. Starbucks (SBUX +2.11%) rose after revealing profits in line with forecasts. Financials were weighed down as Insurer AIG (AIG -4.59%) fell surrounding negative analyst commentary on its recently unveiled quarterly earnings report. |
Kenneth J. Gruneisen started out as a licensed stockbroker in August 1987, a couple of months prior to the historic stock market crash that took the Dow Jones Industrial Average down -22.6% in a single day. He has published daily fact-based fundamental and technical analysis on high-ranked stocks online for two decades. Through FACTBASEDINVESTING.COM, Kenneth provides educational articles, news, market commentary, and other information regarding proven investment systems that work in good times and bad.
Comments contained in the body of this report are technical opinions only and are not necessarily those of Gruneisen Growth Corp. The material herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable and accurate, however, its accuracy and completeness cannot be guaranteed. Our firm, employees, and customers may effect transactions, including transactions contrary to any recommendation herein, or have positions in the securities mentioned herein or options with respect thereto. Any recommendation contained in this report may not be suitable for all investors and it is not to be deemed an offer or solicitation on our part with respect to the purchase or sale of any securities. |
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Tech, Retail, and Energy-Linked Groups Rose
Kenneth J. Gruneisen - Passed the CAN SLIM® Master's Exam
On Friday the Broker/Dealer Index ($XBD -0.98%) outpaced the Bank Index ($BKX -0.17%) to the downside while the Retail Index ($RLX +0.59%) posted as modest gain. The tech sector saw unanimous gains from the Semiconductor Index ($SOX +1.77%), Biotechnology Index ($BTK +1.49%), and the Networking Index ($NWX +0.62%). The Gold & Silver Index ($XAU -0.71%) fell and the Integrated Oil Index ($XOI +0.14%) inched higher while the Oil Services Index ($OSX +1.50%) posted a solid gain. Charts courtesy www.stockcharts.com
 PICTURED: The Broker/Dealer Index ($XBD -0.98%) has recently been consolidating above its 50-day moving average and prior high.
| Oil Services |
$OSX |
134.88 |
+1.99 |
+1.50% |
-26.61% |
| Integrated Oil |
$XOI |
1,263.67 |
+1.82 |
+0.14% |
-0.34% |
| Semiconductor |
$SOX |
1,299.97 |
+22.63 |
+1.77% |
+43.41% |
| Networking |
$NWX |
460.32 |
+2.85 |
+0.62% |
+3.19% |
| Broker/Dealer |
$XBD |
244.09 |
-2.43 |
-0.98% |
+18.90% |
| Retail |
$RLX |
1,601.92 |
+9.44 |
+0.59% |
+19.28% |
| Gold & Silver |
$XAU |
80.72 |
-0.58 |
-0.71% |
+2.36% |
| Bank |
$BKX |
102.13 |
-0.18 |
-0.18% |
+11.26% |
| Biotech |
$BTK |
4,207.22 |
+61.95 |
+1.49% |
+36.82% |
|
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|
 |
Undercut Prior Highs and Tested 50-Day Moving Average Line
Kenneth J. Gruneisen - Passed the CAN SLIM® Master's Exam
Ichor Holdings Ltd (ICHR +$0.86 or +2.97% to $29.77) tested support at its 50-day moving average (DMA) line this week while enduring distributional pressure. After undercutting its "max buy" level and prior highs in the $29 area its color code was changed to yellow. However, more damaging losses would raise greater concerns.
The high-ranked Electronics - Semiconductor Equipment firm is due to report Sep '17 earnings news on Thursday, November 9th, 2017 after the close of the market. Volume and volatility often increase near earnings news. It was last shown in this FSU section on 10/10/17 with an annotated graph under the headline "Semiconductor Equipment Firm Finished Strong After Highlighted", after highlighted in yellow with pivot point cited based on its 10/02/17 high in the earlier mid-day report (read here). Volume was more than 3 times averages as it gapped up and hit a new all-time high, rising from a cup-with-handle base.
ICHR currently has a Timeliness rating of A and a Sponsorship rating of C. It has reported great earnings increases, above the +25% minimum guideline (C criteria) for the past 5 quarterly comparisons through Jun '17, helping it match the fact-based investment system's fundamental guidelines. Its limited annual history (A criteria) is a concern, and it is up considerably from its $9 IPO on 12/09/16.
The number of top-rated funds owning its shares rose from 29 on Dec '16 to 158 in Sep '17, a very reassuring sign concerning the I criteria. Its small supply of only 17.6 million shares in the public float (S criteria) can contribute to greater price volatility in the event of institutional buying or selling. |
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Color Codes Explained :
Y - Better candidates highlighted by our
staff of experts.
G - Previously featured
in past reports as yellow but may no longer be buyable under the
guidelines.
***Last / Change / Volume data in this table is the closing quote data***
Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group |
PRICE |
CHANGE
(%Change) |
Day High |
Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol) |
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi |
Featured
Date |
Price
Featured |
Pivot Featured |
|
Max Buy |
THO
-
NYSE
Thor Industries Inc
AUTOMOTIVE - Recreational Vehicles
|
$136.27
|
-0.45
-0.33% |
$137.16
|
346,685
47.82% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 725,000
|
$138.07
-1.30%
|
8/14/2017
|
$106.67
|
PP = $110.01
|
|
MB = $115.51
|
Most Recent Note - 11/1/2017 5:32:29 PM
G - Volume has been below average while wedging to new all-time highs. Posted 10 consecutive weekly gains, getting very extended from the previously noted base. Its 50 DMA line ($120.69) defines near-term support above prior highs in the $115 area. Fundamentals remain strong.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Extended From Prior Base With Volume Totals Cooling - 10/13/2017 |
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C
A
S
I |
PFBC
-
NASDAQ
Preferred Bank Los Angls
BANKING - Regional - Pacific Banks
|
$61.24
|
-0.83
-1.34% |
$62.46
|
41,606
54.74% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 76,000
|
$66.58
-8.02%
|
10/10/2017
|
$59.38
|
PP = $59.08
|
|
MB = $62.03
|
Most Recent Note - 10/30/2017 5:48:58 PM
Y - Pulled back near its "max buy" level today and its color code is changed to yellow. It triggered a technical buy signal on 10/25/17 but quickly got extended. Prior highs in the $60 area define initial support to watch.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Perched Near High Following Volume-Driven Breakout Gains - 10/11/2017 |
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C
A
S
I |
AVGO
-
NASDAQ
Broadcom Limited
ELECTRONICS - Semiconductor - Broad Line
|
$273.63
|
+14.13
5.45% |
$278.00
|
12,022,444
427.24% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 2,814,000
|
$266.70
2.60%
|
10/30/2017
|
$261.19
|
PP = $259.46
|
|
MB = $272.43
|
Most Recent Note - 11/3/2017 5:57:43 PM
G - Color code is changed to green after powering to new all-time highs above its "max buy" level with today's big volume-driven gain. Triggered a new (or add-on) technical buy signal with volume-driven gains this week. Its current Relative Strength rating of 86 is above the 80+ minimum guideline for buy candidates. Subsequent losses below the 50 DMA line and recent low ($231.53 on 9/25/17) would raise serious concerns and trigger a more worrisome technical sell signal.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Slumped Below 50-Day Moving Average Line Again - 10/17/2017 |
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C
A
S
I |
YY
-
NASDAQ
YY Inc Ads
INTERNET - Internet Service Providers
|
$90.51
|
+2.42
2.75% |
$90.95
|
765,198
53.77% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,423,000
|
$97.59
-7.25%
|
9/25/2017
|
$80.26
|
PP = $83.10
|
|
MB = $87.26
|
Most Recent Note - 10/30/2017 6:07:44 PM
G - Halted its slide with a gain today following 4 consecutive losses. Prior highs in the $83 area coincide with its 50 DMA line ($82.98) defining important neat-term support to watch.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Extended After Rallying From Base - 10/19/2017 |
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C
A
S
I |
STMP
-
NASDAQ
Stamps.com Inc
INTERNET - Internet Software and Services
|
$171.25
|
-50.00
-22.60% |
$197.13
|
3,194,719
947.99% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 337,000
|
$233.13
-26.54%
|
9/11/2017
|
$193.65
|
PP = $220.35
|
|
MB = $231.37
|
Most Recent Note - 11/3/2017 12:05:46 PM
G - Gapped down today with a damaging volume-driven loss violating its 50 DMA line ($208.42) and undercutting the recent low ($195.05 on 9/28/17) triggering technical sell signals. Color code is changed to green. A rebound above the 50 DMA line is needed for its outlook to improve. Reported Sep '17 quarterly earnings +73% on +24% sales revenues, continuing its strong earnings track record. Volume and volatility often increase near earnings news. See the latest FSU analysis for more details and an annotated graph.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Perched Near Record High Ahead of Earnings News - 11/1/2017 |
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C
A
S
I |
Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group |
PRICE |
CHANGE
(%Change) |
Day High |
Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol) |
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi |
Featured
Date |
Price
Featured |
Pivot Featured |
|
Max Buy |
HTHT
-
NASDAQ
China Lodging Group Ads
LEISURE - Lodging
|
$123.16
|
-0.52
-0.42% |
$125.84
|
531,638
130.62% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 407,000
|
$142.80
-13.75%
|
9/29/2016
|
$46.12
|
PP = $47.82
|
|
MB = $50.21
|
Most Recent Note - 11/2/2017 4:54:04 PM
G - Suffered another volume-driven loss today, testing its 50 DMA line ($122.39) and undercutting the recent low, raising concerns. There were "negative reversals" on 10/25/17 and 11/01/17 noted as it abruptly retreated from its all-time high after proposing a new Public Offering. It is very extended from any sound base. Earnings +19% on +18% sales revenues for the Jun '17 quarter were below the +25% minimum earnings guideline (C criteria). See the latest FSU analysis for more details and a new annotated graph.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Testing 50-Day Moving Average Line After Proposed Offering - 11/2/2017 |
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C
A
S
I |
LMAT
-
NASDAQ
Lemaitre Vascular Inc
Medical-Products
|
$32.01
|
+0.00
0.00% |
$32.50
|
173,298
80.12% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 216,300
|
$39.88
-19.73%
|
7/28/2017
|
$33.50
|
PP = $33.32
|
|
MB = $34.99
|
Most Recent Note - 11/1/2017 3:54:12 PM
G - Halted its slide after it gapped down and violated its 50 DMA line on 10/27/17 raising concerns and triggering technical sell signals. Its 200 DMA line ($29.95) is an important long-term average which may act as a support level. Reported Sep '17 quarterly earnings +47% on +7% sales revenues.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Consolidating Above 50-Day Moving Average Before Earnings - 10/18/2017 |
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C
A
S
I |
PATK
-
NASDAQ
Patrick Industries Inc
Bldg-Mobile/Mfg and RV
|
$91.90
|
-1.20
-1.29% |
$93.85
|
61,160
77.42% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 79,000
|
$96.25
-4.52%
|
10/26/2017
|
$90.90
|
PP = $87.90
|
|
MB = $92.30
|
Most Recent Note - 11/1/2017 5:30:20 PM
Y - Pulled back with above average volume today, finishing just below its "max buy" level. Triggered a technical buy signal with a big 10/26/17 gain backed by 4 times average volume. Reported earnings +37% on +34% sales revenues for the Sep '17 quarter. It has earned a 96 Earnings Per Share rating and fundamentals remain strong. Leadership (L criteria) from others in the industry group (Building - Mobile/ Mfg & RV) is a reassuring sign. Went through a long and choppy consolidation since dropped from the Featured Stocks list on 3/09/17.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Volume 4 Times Average Behind Breakout Gain on Earnings News - 10/26/2017 |
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C
A
S
I |
ESNT
-
NYSE
Essent Group Ltd
Finance-MrtgandRel Svc
|
$40.47
|
-2.04
-4.80% |
$41.75
|
2,387,852
316.27% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 755,000
|
$45.10
-10.27%
|
10/9/2017
|
$39.75
|
PP = $41.54
|
|
MB = $43.62
|
Most Recent Note - 11/3/2017 12:57:03 PM
Y - Gapped down today with a volume-driven loss undercutting prior highs and raising concerns. Testing its 50 DMA line ($40.38) defining important near term support. More damaging losses would trigger a technical sell signal. Due to report earnings news prior to the open on Thursday, November 9th.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Perched Near High After Streak of Gains - 10/24/2017 |
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C
A
S
I |
FIVE
-
NASDAQ
Five Below Inc
Retail-DiscountandVariety
|
$57.01
|
+0.11
0.19% |
$58.03
|
1,104,270
125.77% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 878,000
|
$58.07
-1.83%
|
10/6/2017
|
$57.13
|
PP = $54.23
|
|
MB = $56.94
|
Most Recent Note - 10/31/2017 5:05:37 PM
Y - Consolidating above prior highs in the $54 area defining initial support to watch above its 50 DMA line ($52.75). See the latest FSU analysis for more details and a new annotated graph.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Prior Highs Define Important Support While Consolidating - 10/31/2017 |
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C
A
S
I |
Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group |
PRICE |
CHANGE
(%Change) |
Day High |
Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol) |
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi |
Featured
Date |
Price
Featured |
Pivot Featured |
|
Max Buy |
OLED
-
NASDAQ
Universal Display Corp
Elec-Misc Products
|
$158.10
|
+13.75
9.53% |
$160.95
|
3,417,060
397.80% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 859,000
|
$149.85
5.51%
|
8/31/2017
|
$128.22
|
PP = $127.78
|
|
MB = $134.17
|
Most Recent Note - 11/3/2017 1:23:39 PM
G - Gapped up today hitting another new high, quickly getting extended from a riskier "late stage" base pattern. Reported Sep '17 quarterly earnings of 28 cents per share versus a year-ago loss of 3 cents per share on sales revenues +104%. Volume and volatility often increase near earnings news. Its 50 DMA line ($131) and prior highs in the $130 area define important near-term support to watch on pullbacks.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Prior Highs and 50-Day Average Define Near-Term Support - 10/25/2017 |
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C
A
S
I |
ANET
-
NYSE
Arista Networks Inc
TELECOMMUNICATIONS - Communication Equipment
|
$201.49
|
+20.32
11.22% |
$202.15
|
3,201,424
501.79% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 638,000
|
$201.95
-0.23%
|
10/27/2017
|
$195.65
|
PP = $196.37
|
|
MB = $206.19
|
Most Recent Note - 11/3/2017 12:23:02 PM
Y - Gapped up today, promptly rebounding above its 50 DMA line ($185.67) with a big volume-driven gain helping its outlook improve. Reported earnings +95% on +51% sales revenues for the Sep '17 quarter. Volume and volatility often increase near earnings news. Recently rallied from an advanced "3-weeks tight" base but then negated the breakout.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Perched Near All-Time High, Extended From Any Sound Base - 10/16/2017 |
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C
A
S
I |
GRUB
-
NYSE
Grubhub Inc
COMPUTER SOFTWARE and SERVICES - Technical and System Software
|
$62.19
|
+1.36
2.24% |
$62.96
|
1,682,307
92.43% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,820,000
|
$61.37
1.34%
|
6/21/2017
|
$47.33
|
PP = $46.94
|
|
MB = $49.29
|
Most Recent Note - 11/1/2017 5:34:17 PM
G - Quietly hit another new high today but reversed into the red. Holding its ground after an impressive streak of volume-driven gains. Rebound above its 50 DMA line ($54.28) helped its outlook improve this week. However, it reported Sep '17 quarterly earnings +22% on +32% sales revenues, its 2nd consecutive quarter below the +25% minimum earnings guideline (C criteria), so fundamental concerns remain with regard to the fact-based investment system. See the latest FSU analysis for more details and an annotated graph.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Technical Strength in Popular Internet Platform - 10/27/2017 |
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C
A
S
I |
IBP
-
NYSE
Installed Building Prod
DIVERSIFIED SERVICES - Business/Management Services
|
$64.85
|
-2.30
-3.43% |
$68.65
|
320,721
204.28% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 157,000
|
$70.25
-7.69%
|
9/19/2017
|
$59.15
|
PP = $60.10
|
|
MB = $63.11
|
Most Recent Note - 11/3/2017 6:00:08 PM
G - Pulled back with above average volume behind losses this week after wedging into new high territory with gains lacking great volume conviction. Its 50 DMA line ($62.18) defines near-term support above prior highs in the $60 area.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Building - Maintenance & Service Firm Extended From Latest Base - 10/9/2017 |
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C
A
S
I |
OLLI
-
NASDAQ
Ollie's Bargain Outlet
Retail-DiscountandVariety
|
$44.50
|
-0.15
-0.34% |
$45.10
|
458,611
88.88% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 516,000
|
$46.90
-5.12%
|
9/8/2017
|
$45.20
|
PP = $46.18
|
|
MB = $48.49
|
Most Recent Note - 10/30/2017 5:39:53 PM
G - Abruptly retreated from its all-time high, violating its 50 DMA line ($45.01) line with a big volume-driven loss triggering a technical sell signal. Only a prompt rebound above the 50 DMA line would help its outlook improve. Color code was changed to green. Recent lows in the $43-44 area may act as support, but further deterioration would raise more serious concerns. See the latest FSU analysis for more details and a new annotated graph.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Sell Signal Triggered by 50-Day Moving Average Violation on Higher Volume - 10/30/2017 |
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C
A
S
I |
Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group |
PRICE |
CHANGE
(%Change) |
Day High |
Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol) |
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi |
Featured
Date |
Price
Featured |
Pivot Featured |
|
Max Buy |
HLI
-
NYSE
Houlihan Lokey Inc Cl A
Finance-Invest Bnk/Bkrs
|
$41.43
|
-0.20
-0.48% |
$41.65
|
200,401
69.34% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 289,000
|
$44.15
-6.16%
|
9/18/2017
|
$37.04
|
PP = $39.78
|
|
MB = $41.77
|
Most Recent Note - 11/1/2017 5:27:39 PM
G - Color code is changed to green after finishing the session back above the "max buy" level. Gapped down on 10/26/17 after pricing a Secondary Offering, abruptly retreating from its all-time high. Such offerings typically hinder price performance short-term, yet also help attract new or greater institutional interest (I criteria). Reported earnings +51% on +30% sales revenues for its second quarter ended September 30th versus the year-ago period.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Recent Gains Lacked Volume; Earnings Report Due Soon - 10/23/2017 |
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C
A
S
I |
ICHR
-
NASDAQ
Ichor Holdings Ltd
ELECTRONICS - Semiconductor Equipment
|
$29.77
|
+0.86
2.97% |
$30.59
|
751,266
101.69% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 738,800
|
$35.51
-16.16%
|
10/10/2017
|
$29.39
|
PP = $28.36
|
|
MB = $29.78
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Most Recent Note - 11/3/2017 5:53:09 PM
Y - Found support at its 50 DMA ($27.09) this week after undercutting its "max buy" level and prior highs in the $29 area. More damaging losses would raise greater concerns. See the latest FSU analysis for more details and a new annotated graph.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Undercut Prior Highs and Tested 50-Day Moving Average Line - 11/3/2017 |
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