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AFTER MARKET UPDATE - WEDNESDAY, NOVEMBER 1ST, 2017
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DOW |
+57.77 |
23,435.01 |
+0.25% |
|
Volume |
873,748,520 |
-9% |
|
Volume |
2,052,766,546 |
+1% |
|
NASDAQ |
-11.14 |
6,716.53 |
-0.17% |
|
Advancers |
1,572 |
54% |
|
Advancers |
1,050 |
40% |
|
S&P 500 |
+4.10 |
2,579.36 |
+0.16% |
|
Decliners |
1,345 |
46% |
|
Decliners |
1,595 |
60% |
|
Russell 2000 |
-10.00 |
1,492.77 |
-0.67% |
|
52 Wk Highs |
204 |
|
|
52 Wk Highs |
199 |
|
|
S&P 600 |
-5.62 |
906.42 |
-0.62% |
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52 Wk Lows |
45 |
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52 Wk Lows |
65 |
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Major Indices Rose as FOMC Maintained Steady Policy
Kenneth J. Gruneisen - Passed the CAN SLIM® Master's Exam
Stocks were mostly higher Wednesday. The Dow rose 58 points to 23435. The S&P 500 increased 4 points to 2579. The Nasdaq Composite was 11 points lower at 6716. Volume totals reported were mixed, lighter than the prior session total on the NYSE and slightly higher on the Nasdaq exchange. Breadth was mixed advancers led decliners by an 8-7 margin on the NYSE, but decliners led advancers by an 8-5 margin on the Nasdaq exchange. There were 88 high-ranked companies from the Leaders List that made new 52-week highs and were listed on the BreakOuts Page, versus the total of 101 on the prior session. However, new 52-week highs totals expanded and solidly outnumbered new 52-week lows on both the Nasdaq exchange and NYSE. The Featured Stocks Page provides the latest analysis on noteworthy high-ranked leaders. Charts used courtesy of www.stockcharts.com
 PICTURED: The Dow Jones Industrial Average hit a new record high but ended the session in the lower half of its intra-day range.
The major averages' (M criteria) are in a confirmed uptrend. Leadership has remained healthy. Investors should buy stocks meeting all key criteria of the fact-based investment system on a case-by-case basis as they trigger technical buy signals.
The U.S. equity market finished broadly in positive territory as investors weighed updates on Fed policy and corporate earnings. As expected, the U.S. central bank concluded the FOMC meeting keeping monetary policy steady and indicating it could raise rates in December.
On the data front, ADP said private payrolls rose 235,000 in October versus a projected 200,000 increase. Additional reports showed manufacturing activity eased last month while construction spending grew 0.3% in September. General Motors (GM +0.35%) and Ford Motor (F +0.65%) rose after both automakers posted encouraging October vehicle sales.
Energy was the best performing sector led by Devon Energy (DVN +5.91%) rose after profits topped analyst forecasts. Utilities were the notable decliner with PPL Corp (PPL -1.65%) down. Cosmetics maker Estee Lauder (EL +9.22%) was the biggest gainer in the S&P 500, climbing after posting quarterly results above estimates. Clorox (CLX +1.18%) rose even after lowering its outlook. Shares of Facebook (FB +1.44%) rose before releasing earnings after the close.
Over in Treasuries, the 10-year note yield declined a basis point to 2.37%. In commodities, NYMEX WTI crude slipped 0.2% to $54.29/barrel. COMEX gold increased 0.4% to $1276.10/ounce. |
Kenneth J. Gruneisen started out as a licensed stockbroker in August 1987, a couple of months prior to the historic stock market crash that took the Dow Jones Industrial Average down -22.6% in a single day. He has published daily fact-based fundamental and technical analysis on high-ranked stocks online for two decades. Through FACTBASEDINVESTING.COM, Kenneth provides educational articles, news, market commentary, and other information regarding proven investment systems that work in good times and bad.
Comments contained in the body of this report are technical opinions only and are not necessarily those of Gruneisen Growth Corp. The material herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable and accurate, however, its accuracy and completeness cannot be guaranteed. Our firm, employees, and customers may effect transactions, including transactions contrary to any recommendation herein, or have positions in the securities mentioned herein or options with respect thereto. Any recommendation contained in this report may not be suitable for all investors and it is not to be deemed an offer or solicitation on our part with respect to the purchase or sale of any securities. |
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Energy-Linked Groups Posted Session's Best Gains
Kenneth J. Gruneisen - Passed the CAN SLIM® Master's Exam
On Wednesday the Broker/Dealer Index ($XBD -1.07%) fell while the Bank Index ($BKX +0.24%) eked out a small gain and the Retail Index ($RLX -0.10%) ended the session slightly in the red. The tech sector had a slightly negative bias as the Semiconductor Index ($SOX -0.32%), Networking Index ($NWX -0.26%), and the Biotechnology Index ($BTK -0.43%) finished slightly lower on the session. The Oil Services Index ($OSX +0.86%) and the Integrated Oil Index ($XOI +1.24%) both posted solid gains while the Gold & Silver Index ($XAU +0.10%) finished flat. Charts courtesy www.stockcharts.com
 PICTURED: The Networking Index ($NWX -0.26%) recently has been consolidating above its 50-day moving average (DMA) line.
| Oil Services |
$OSX |
133.52 |
+1.14 |
+0.86% |
-27.35% |
| Integrated Oil |
$XOI |
1,250.93 |
+15.32 |
+1.24% |
-1.35% |
| Semiconductor |
$SOX |
1,271.51 |
-4.10 |
-0.32% |
+40.27% |
| Networking |
$NWX |
461.89 |
-1.21 |
-0.26% |
+3.54% |
| Broker/Dealer |
$XBD |
244.25 |
-2.65 |
-1.07% |
+18.98% |
| Retail |
$RLX |
1,598.16 |
-1.58 |
-0.10% |
+19.00% |
| Gold & Silver |
$XAU |
81.28 |
+0.08 |
+0.10% |
+3.07% |
| Bank |
$BKX |
101.69 |
+0.24 |
+0.24% |
+10.79% |
| Biotech |
$BTK |
4,085.78 |
-17.46 |
-0.43% |
+32.87% |
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Perched Near Record High Ahead of Earnings News
Kenneth J. Gruneisen - Passed the CAN SLIM® Master's Exam
Stamps.Com Inc (STMP +$1.95 or +0.87% to $226.35) has posted 4 consecutive gains with light volume since its "negative reversal" and big loss on 10/26/17 with higher volume after hitting an all-time high. The damaging loss had it falling back into the prior base, raising concerns. Its 50-day moving average (DMA) line ($208.45) defines important near-term support above the recent low ($195.05 on 9/28/17). Subsequent losses leading to violations would trigger technical sell signals. Keep in mind it is due to report Sep '17 quarterly results after the close on Thursday, November 2nd. Volume and volatility often increase near earnings news.
A volume-driven gain above the pivot point on 10/24/17 triggered a new (or add-on) technical buy signal. The pivot point cited was based on its 8/07/17 high plus 10 cents. It faces no near-term resistance, and it was last shown in this FSU section with an annotated graph on 10/04/17 under the headline, "Perched Near Pivot Point With No Resistance Remaining".
Fundamentals remain strong. It has earned an Earnings Per Share Rating of 99, putting it in the top 1% of all publicly traded stocks based on its earnings history over the past 5 years. Currently it has a Timeliness Rating of A and a Sponsorship rating of B.
The Retail - Internet group has an 81 Relative Strength Rating. The number of top-rated funds owning its shares rose from 354 in Dec '16 to 401 in Sep '17, a reassuring sign in recent months concerning the I criteria. Its current Up/Down Volume ratio of 1.6 is an unbiased indication its shares have been under accumulation over the past 50 days. Its small supply of only 16.9 million shares outstanding (S criteria) can contribute to greater price volatility in the event of institutional buying or selling. |
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Color Codes Explained :
Y - Better candidates highlighted by our
staff of experts.
G - Previously featured
in past reports as yellow but may no longer be buyable under the
guidelines.
***Last / Change / Volume data in this table is the closing quote data***
Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group |
PRICE |
CHANGE
(%Change) |
Day High |
Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol) |
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi |
Featured
Date |
Price
Featured |
Pivot Featured |
|
Max Buy |
THO
-
NYSE
Thor Industries Inc
AUTOMOTIVE - Recreational Vehicles
|
$136.82
|
+0.60
0.44% |
$138.07
|
575,157
81.12% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 709,000
|
$136.37
0.33%
|
8/14/2017
|
$106.67
|
PP = $110.01
|
|
MB = $115.51
|
Most Recent Note - 11/1/2017 5:32:29 PM
G - Volume has been below average while wedging to new all-time highs. Posted 10 consecutive weekly gains, getting very extended from the previously noted base. Its 50 DMA line ($120.69) defines near-term support above prior highs in the $115 area. Fundamentals remain strong.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Extended From Prior Base With Volume Totals Cooling - 10/13/2017 |
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C
A
S
I |
PFBC
-
NASDAQ
Preferred Bank Los Angls
BANKING - Regional - Pacific Banks
|
$61.69
|
-0.04
-0.06% |
$62.25
|
93,756
125.01% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 75,000
|
$66.58
-7.34%
|
10/10/2017
|
$59.38
|
PP = $59.08
|
|
MB = $62.03
|
Most Recent Note - 10/30/2017 5:48:58 PM
Y - Pulled back near its "max buy" level today and its color code is changed to yellow. It triggered a technical buy signal on 10/25/17 but quickly got extended. Prior highs in the $60 area define initial support to watch.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Perched Near High Following Volume-Driven Breakout Gains - 10/11/2017 |
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C
A
S
I |
AVGO
-
NASDAQ
Broadcom Limited
ELECTRONICS - Semiconductor - Broad Line
|
$259.29
|
-4.62
-1.75% |
$265.64
|
2,706,384
98.95% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 2,735,000
|
$266.70
-2.78%
|
10/30/2017
|
$261.19
|
PP = $259.46
|
|
MB = $272.43
|
Most Recent Note - 10/30/2017 12:59:39 PM
Y - Powering to new 52-week and all-time highs with today's 2nd consecutive volume-driven gain. Color code is changed to yellow with new pivot point cited based on its 8/24/17 high plus 10 cents. A gain above the pivot point backed by at least +40% above average volume is needed to trigger a proper new (or add-on) technical buy signal. Prior session's gain above its 50 DMA line ($246) helped its outlook improve, however its current Relative Strength rating of 78 remains below the 80+ minimum guideline for buy candidates. Subsequent losses below the recent low ($231.53 on 9/25/17) would raise serious concerns and trigger a more worrisome technical sell signal.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Slumped Below 50-Day Moving Average Line Again - 10/17/2017 |
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C
A
S
I |
YY
-
NASDAQ
YY Inc Ads
INTERNET - Internet Service Providers
|
$89.24
|
-1.15
-1.27% |
$91.58
|
772,804
53.30% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,450,000
|
$97.59
-8.56%
|
9/25/2017
|
$80.26
|
PP = $83.10
|
|
MB = $87.26
|
Most Recent Note - 10/30/2017 6:07:44 PM
G - Halted its slide with a gain today following 4 consecutive losses. Prior highs in the $83 area coincide with its 50 DMA line ($82.98) defining important neat-term support to watch.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Extended After Rallying From Base - 10/19/2017 |
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C
A
S
I |
STMP
-
NASDAQ
Stamps.com Inc
INTERNET - Internet Software and Services
|
$226.35
|
+1.95
0.87% |
$229.20
|
278,904
85.03% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 328,000
|
$233.13
-2.91%
|
9/11/2017
|
$193.65
|
PP = $220.35
|
|
MB = $231.37
|
Most Recent Note - 11/1/2017 5:24:38 PM
Y - Posted 4 consecutive gains since reversing from a new all-time high on 10/26/17, falling back into the prior base and raising concerns. Its 50 DMA line ($208.45) defines important near-term support above the recent low ($195.05 on 9/28/17). Subsequent losses leading to violations would trigger technical sell signals. Due to report Sep '17 quarterly results after the close on Thursday, November 2nd. Volume and volatility often increase near earnings news. See the latest FSU analysis for more details and a new annotated graph.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Perched Near Record High Ahead of Earnings News - 11/1/2017 |
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C
A
S
I |
Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group |
PRICE |
CHANGE
(%Change) |
Day High |
Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol) |
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi |
Featured
Date |
Price
Featured |
Pivot Featured |
|
Max Buy |
HTHT
-
NASDAQ
China Lodging Group Ads
LEISURE - Lodging
|
$127.59
|
-6.30
-4.71% |
$138.25
|
574,620
144.38% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 398,000
|
$142.80
-10.65%
|
9/29/2016
|
$46.12
|
PP = $47.82
|
|
MB = $50.21
|
Most Recent Note - 11/1/2017 3:51:11 PM
G - There was another negative reversal today. Its 50 DMA line ($122.23) and recent low define near-term support to watch. There was a "negative reversal" on 10/25/17 and it abruptly retreated from its all-time high after proposing a new Public Offering. It is very extended from any sound base. Earnings +19% on +18% sales revenues for the Jun '17 quarter were below the +25% minimum earnings guideline (C criteria).
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Holding Ground Stubbornly After Considerable Rally - 10/5/2017 |
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C
A
S
I |
LMAT
-
NASDAQ
Lemaitre Vascular Inc
Medical-Products
|
$31.98
|
-0.03
-0.09% |
$32.31
|
254,289
121.73% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 208,900
|
$39.88
-19.81%
|
7/28/2017
|
$33.50
|
PP = $33.32
|
|
MB = $34.99
|
Most Recent Note - 11/1/2017 3:54:12 PM
G - Halted its slide after it gapped down and violated its 50 DMA line on 10/27/17 raising concerns and triggering technical sell signals. Its 200 DMA line ($29.95) is an important long-term average which may act as a support level. Reported Sep '17 quarterly earnings +47% on +7% sales revenues.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Consolidating Above 50-Day Moving Average Before Earnings - 10/18/2017 |
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C
A
S
I |
PATK
-
NASDAQ
Patrick Industries Inc
Bldg-Mobile/Mfg and RV
|
$92.00
|
-1.00
-1.08% |
$95.35
|
107,491
139.60% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 77,000
|
$96.25
-4.42%
|
10/26/2017
|
$90.90
|
PP = $87.90
|
|
MB = $92.30
|
Most Recent Note - 11/1/2017 5:30:20 PM
Y - Pulled back with above average volume today, finishing just below its "max buy" level. Triggered a technical buy signal with a big 10/26/17 gain backed by 4 times average volume. Reported earnings +37% on +34% sales revenues for the Sep '17 quarter. It has earned a 96 Earnings Per Share rating and fundamentals remain strong. Leadership (L criteria) from others in the industry group (Building - Mobile/ Mfg & RV) is a reassuring sign. Went through a long and choppy consolidation since dropped from the Featured Stocks list on 3/09/17.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Volume 4 Times Average Behind Breakout Gain on Earnings News - 10/26/2017 |
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C
A
S
I |
ESNT
-
NYSE
Essent Group Ltd
Finance-MrtgandRel Svc
|
$42.91
|
+0.29
0.68% |
$43.49
|
799,790
105.93% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 755,000
|
$45.10
-4.86%
|
10/9/2017
|
$39.75
|
PP = $41.54
|
|
MB = $43.62
|
Most Recent Note - 10/30/2017 5:51:07 PM
Y - Color code is changed to yellow while quietly consolidating below its "max buy" level. Prior highs in the $41 area define near term support to watch above its 50 DMA line.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Perched Near High After Streak of Gains - 10/24/2017 |
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C
A
S
I |
FIVE
-
NASDAQ
Five Below Inc
Retail-DiscountandVariety
|
$55.42
|
+0.17
0.31% |
$55.76
|
685,920
78.48% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 874,000
|
$58.07
-4.56%
|
10/6/2017
|
$57.13
|
PP = $54.23
|
|
MB = $56.94
|
Most Recent Note - 10/31/2017 5:05:37 PM
Y - Consolidating above prior highs in the $54 area defining initial support to watch above its 50 DMA line ($52.75). See the latest FSU analysis for more details and a new annotated graph.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Prior Highs Define Important Support While Consolidating - 10/31/2017 |
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C
A
S
I |
Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group |
PRICE |
CHANGE
(%Change) |
Day High |
Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol) |
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi |
Featured
Date |
Price
Featured |
Pivot Featured |
|
Max Buy |
OLED
-
NASDAQ
Universal Display Corp
Elec-Misc Products
|
$142.70
|
-3.80
-2.59% |
$148.95
|
1,061,279
127.25% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 834,000
|
$149.85
-4.77%
|
8/31/2017
|
$128.22
|
PP = $127.78
|
|
MB = $134.17
|
Most Recent Note - 10/31/2017 12:53:13 PM
G - Hitting a new high with today's big gain, rising from a riskier "late stage" base pattern. Due to report Sep '17 quarterly results after the close on Thursday, November 2nd. Volume and volatility often increase near earnings news. Its 50 DMA line ($129.66) and prior highs in the $130 area define important near-term support to watch on pullbacks.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Prior Highs and 50-Day Average Define Near-Term Support - 10/25/2017 |
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C
A
S
I |
ANET
-
NYSE
Arista Networks Inc
TELECOMMUNICATIONS - Communication Equipment
|
$197.26
|
-2.63
-1.32% |
$201.41
|
967,418
161.78% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 598,000
|
$201.95
-2.32%
|
10/27/2017
|
$195.65
|
PP = $196.37
|
|
MB = $206.19
|
Most Recent Note - 10/30/2017 12:50:35 PM
Y - Gapped up and hit another new high today then erased the gain and dipped into the red. Gains have recently lacked great volume conviction after it formed an advanced "3-weeks tight" base. Subsequent volume-driven gains above the new pivot point cited may trigger a new (or add-on) technical buy signal. Its 50 DMA line ($184) defines near-term support to watch on pullbacks. Fundamentals remain very strong. Due to report earnings for the Sep '17 quarter after U.S. markets close on Thursday, November 2nd. Volume and volatility often increase near earnings news.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Perched Near All-Time High, Extended From Any Sound Base - 10/16/2017 |
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C
A
S
I |
GRUB
-
NYSE
Grubhub Inc
COMPUTER SOFTWARE and SERVICES - Technical and System Software
|
$60.83
|
-0.19
-0.31% |
$61.37
|
1,274,785
69.97% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,822,000
|
$61.07
-0.39%
|
6/21/2017
|
$47.33
|
PP = $46.94
|
|
MB = $49.29
|
Most Recent Note - 11/1/2017 5:34:17 PM
G - Quietly hit another new high today but reversed into the red. Holding its ground after an impressive streak of volume-driven gains. Rebound above its 50 DMA line ($54.28) helped its outlook improve this week. However, it reported Sep '17 quarterly earnings +22% on +32% sales revenues, its 2nd consecutive quarter below the +25% minimum earnings guideline (C criteria), so fundamental concerns remain with regard to the fact-based investment system. See the latest FSU analysis for more details and an annotated graph.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Technical Strength in Popular Internet Platform - 10/27/2017 |
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C
A
S
I |
IBP
-
NYSE
Installed Building Prod
DIVERSIFIED SERVICES - Business/Management Services
|
$69.35
|
-0.35
-0.50% |
$70.25
|
164,447
106.78% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 154,000
|
$69.85
-0.72%
|
9/19/2017
|
$59.15
|
PP = $60.10
|
|
MB = $63.11
|
Most Recent Note - 10/30/2017 5:56:08 PM
G - Posted a 3rd consecutive gain backed by light volume, wedging into new high territory. Its 50 DMA line defines near-term support along with prior highs in the $60 area.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Building - Maintenance & Service Firm Extended From Latest Base - 10/9/2017 |
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C
A
S
I |
OLLI
-
NASDAQ
Ollie's Bargain Outlet
Retail-DiscountandVariety
|
$43.90
|
-0.75
-1.68% |
$45.60
|
358,673
67.17% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 534,000
|
$46.90
-6.40%
|
9/8/2017
|
$45.20
|
PP = $46.18
|
|
MB = $48.49
|
Most Recent Note - 10/30/2017 5:39:53 PM
G - Abruptly retreated from its all-time high, violating its 50 DMA line ($45.01) line with a big volume-driven loss triggering a technical sell signal. Only a prompt rebound above the 50 DMA line would help its outlook improve. Color code was changed to green. Recent lows in the $43-44 area may act as support, but further deterioration would raise more serious concerns. See the latest FSU analysis for more details and a new annotated graph.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Sell Signal Triggered by 50-Day Moving Average Violation on Higher Volume - 10/30/2017 |
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C
A
S
I |
Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group |
PRICE |
CHANGE
(%Change) |
Day High |
Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol) |
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi |
Featured
Date |
Price
Featured |
Pivot Featured |
|
Max Buy |
HLI
-
NYSE
Houlihan Lokey Inc Cl A
Finance-Invest Bnk/Bkrs
|
$41.78
|
+0.15
0.36% |
$41.95
|
393,665
138.61% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 284,000
|
$44.15
-5.37%
|
9/18/2017
|
$37.04
|
PP = $39.78
|
|
MB = $41.77
|
Most Recent Note - 11/1/2017 5:27:39 PM
G - Color code is changed to green after finishing the session back above the "max buy" level. Gapped down on 10/26/17 after pricing a Secondary Offering, abruptly retreating from its all-time high. Such offerings typically hinder price performance short-term, yet also help attract new or greater institutional interest (I criteria). Reported earnings +51% on +30% sales revenues for its second quarter ended September 30th versus the year-ago period.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Recent Gains Lacked Volume; Earnings Report Due Soon - 10/23/2017 |
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ICHR
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NASDAQ
Ichor Holdings Ltd
ELECTRONICS - Semiconductor Equipment
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$28.58
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-2.61
-8.37% |
$31.79
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1,683,328
239.79% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 702,000
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$35.51
-19.52%
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10/10/2017
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$29.39
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PP = $28.36
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MB = $29.78
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Most Recent Note - 11/1/2017 1:29:39 PM
Y - Tested support at its 50 DMA ($26.70) line today after undercutting its "max buy" level and prior highs in the $29 area, and its color code is changed to yellow. More damaging losses would raise greater concerns.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Semiconductor Equipment Firm Finished Strong After Highlighted - 10/10/2017 |
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