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AFTER MARKET UPDATE - TUESDAY, APRIL 11TH, 2017
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|
DOW |
-6.72 |
20,651.30 |
-0.03% |
|
Volume |
933,339,230 |
+18% |
|
Volume |
1,654,830,460 |
+12% |
|
NASDAQ |
-14.16 |
5,866.77 |
-0.24% |
|
Advancers |
1,812 |
62% |
|
Advancers |
1,584 |
57% |
|
S&P 500 |
-3.38 |
2,353.78 |
-0.14% |
|
Decliners |
1,105 |
38% |
|
Decliners |
1,212 |
43% |
|
Russell 2000 |
+9.86 |
1,376.95 |
+0.72% |
|
52 Wk Highs |
88 |
|
|
52 Wk Highs |
60 |
|
|
S&P 600 |
+6.89 |
836.79 |
+0.83% |
|
52 Wk Lows |
8 |
|
|
52 Wk Lows |
35 |
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Major Averages Rebounded From Larger Losses
Kenneth J. Gruneisen - Passed the CAN SLIM® Master's Exam
Stocks finished lower on Tuesday but improved from early lows that had pressured the Dow and S&P 500 Index both below their respective 50-day moving average lines. The Dow finished down only 6 points to 20651. The S&P 500 lost 3 points to 2353 and the Nasdaq Composite fell 14 points to 5866. The volume totals reported were higher than the prior session totals on the NYSE and on the Nasdaq exchange. Breadth was positive as advancers led decliners by 3-2 on the NYSE and 4-3 on the Nasdaq exchange. There were 19 high-ranked companies from the Leaders List that made new 52-week highs and were listed on the BreakOuts Page, up from the total of 18 on the prior session. New 52-week highs totals outnumbered new 52-week lows on the NYSE and on the Nasdaq exchange.
PICTURED: The Dow Jones Industrial Average overcame early weakness and ended the session above its 50-day moving average (DMA) line. Subsequent losses leading to a close below the 50 DMA line or a violation of the recent low would raise concerns regarding the market rally's health.
Leadership thinned with respect to the number of high-ranked stocks hitting new highs as the major averages' (M criteria) uptrend recently came under pressure. New buying efforts should only be made in candidates with superior fundamental and technical characteristics. The Featured Stocks Page lists noteworthy high-ranked leaders.
The major averages declined on the session amid increasing uncertainty on the geopolitical front. Tuesday afternoon, U.S. Secretary of State Rex Tillerson met with the Russian Foreign Minister regarding the future of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad. In political news, President Donald Trump hinted at his plans to revamp the Dodd-Frank legislation, which might be eliminated and replaced with as he noted, “something else.” On the data front, Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey revealed job openings increased to 5.7 million in February.
Seven of 11 sectors in the S&P 500 ended in negative territory. Financials underperformed with Morgan Stanley (MS -0.79%) edging lower. Industrials finished mixed with United Continental (UAL -1.13%) fell amid an incident of removing a passenger from an overbooked flight which has garnered negative attention. In Technology, Apple (AAPL -1.08%) fell with news Qualcomm (QCOM -2.07%) filed a countersuit to the company seeking damages. Western Digital (WDC +1.50%) rose after being the subject of positive analyst commentary. In the consumer space, Walt Disney (DIS +0.57%) edged higher after being added to Goldman Sachs “Conviction Buy List.”
Treasuries finished higher with the benchmark 10-year note up 18/32 to yield 2.30%. In commodities, NYMEX WTI crude added 0.2% to $53.20/barrel. COMEX gold gained 1.6% to $1271.20/ounce. |
Kenneth J. Gruneisen started out as a licensed stockbroker in August 1987, a couple of months prior to the historic stock market crash that took the Dow Jones Industrial Average down -22.6% in a single day. He has published daily fact-based fundamental and technical analysis on high-ranked stocks online for two decades. Through FACTBASEDINVESTING.COM, Kenneth provides educational articles, news, market commentary, and other information regarding proven investment systems that work in good times and bad.
Comments contained in the body of this report are technical opinions only and are not necessarily those of Gruneisen Growth Corp. The material herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable and accurate, however, its accuracy and completeness cannot be guaranteed. Our firm, employees, and customers may effect transactions, including transactions contrary to any recommendation herein, or have positions in the securities mentioned herein or options with respect thereto. Any recommendation contained in this report may not be suitable for all investors and it is not to be deemed an offer or solicitation on our part with respect to the purchase or sale of any securities. |
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Gold & Silver Index Was a Standout Gainer
Kenneth J. Gruneisen - Passed the CAN SLIM® Master's Exam
The Gold & Silver Index ($XAU +2.72%) was a standout gainer on Tuesday. The Integrated Oil Index ($XOI +0.05%) and the Oil Services Index ($OSX +0.02%) held their ground while the Retail Index ($RLX -0.10%) finished with a tiny loss. The Bank Index ($BKX -0.06%) was little changed but the Broker/Dealer Index ($XBD -0.64%) fell. The tech sector saw its biggest loss from the Semiconductor Index ($SOX -0.83%) as the Biotechnology Index ($BTK -0.30%) and Networking Index ($NWX -0.12%) both edged lower but did a better job of holding their ground. Charts courtesy www.stockcharts.com
 PICTURED: The Semiconductor Index ($SOX -0.83%) started the year strong. Tuesday's loss violated its 50-day moving average (DMA) line for the first time since November. However, it closed near the session high, and it proved resilient near the 50 DMA line during its ongoing ascent. More damaging losses for the SOX could bode poorly for semiconductor stocks. During periods of market weakness investors should watch for technical sell signals in individual issues on a case by case basis.
| Oil Services |
$OSX |
171.55 |
+0.04 |
+0.02% |
-6.66% |
| Integrated Oil |
$XOI |
1,195.90 |
+0.62 |
+0.05% |
-5.69% |
| Semiconductor |
$SOX |
983.34 |
-8.28 |
-0.83% |
+8.48% |
| Networking |
$NWX |
443.99 |
-0.52 |
-0.12% |
-0.47% |
| Broker/Dealer |
$XBD |
208.12 |
-1.34 |
-0.64% |
+1.39% |
| Retail |
$RLX |
1,454.56 |
-1.44 |
-0.10% |
+8.31% |
| Gold & Silver |
$XAU |
89.02 |
+2.35 |
+2.71% |
+12.88% |
| Bank |
$BKX |
90.27 |
-0.05 |
-0.06% |
-1.66% |
| Biotech |
$BTK |
3,452.82 |
-10.30 |
-0.30% |
+12.29% |
|
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|
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Fundamental and Technical Deterioration Recently Noted
Kenneth J. Gruneisen - Passed the CAN SLIM® Master's Exam
Veritex Holdings Inc (VBTX +$0.02 or +0.07% to $26.98) has been lingering below its 50-day moving average (DMA) line. Subsequent gains above that short-term average are needed for its outlook to improve. It recently undercut the prior low ($26.82 on 3/10/17) raising concerns, but then halted its slide after the weak action triggered a technical sell signal. More damaging losses would raise greater concerns.
VBTX was last shown in this FSU section on 3/08/17 with an annotated graph under the headline, "Hovering Near Highs But Latest Earnings Were Below Guidelines". The deteriorating technical and fundamental characteristics might be a strong enough argument for reducing exposure even when a stock has not fallen more than -7% from an investor's purchase price. That is especially true if broader market conditions erode, since 3 out of 4 stocks tend to follow the direction of the major averages. The number of top-rated funds owning its shares rose from 18 in Jun '15 to 149 in Mar '17. However, its current Up/Down Volume Ratio of 0.8 is an unbiased indication its shares have been under slight distributional pressure over the past 50 days (I criteria). Its small supply of only 10.7 million shares (S criteria) in the public float can contribute to greater volatility in the event of institutional buying or selling. Veritex made limited headway after highlighted in yellow with new pivot point cited based on its 12/23/16 high plus 10 cents in the 1/23/17 mid-day report (read here). Disciplined investors will observe that it was noted repeatedly since 1/24/17 - "Reported Dec '16 quarterly earnings +17% on +26% sales revenues, below the +25% minimum guideline (C criteria) for buy candidates, raising fundamental concerns." The prior 12 quarterly comparisons had shown earnings increases versus the year ago period(s) well above the +25% minimum guideline (C criteria). Its annual earnings history (A criteria) has been good, but it has a limited history since its Oct 2014 IPO at $13. Charts courtesy www.stockcharts.com
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Color Codes Explained :
Y - Better candidates highlighted by our
staff of experts.
G - Previously featured
in past reports as yellow but may no longer be buyable under the
guidelines.
***Last / Change / Volume data in this table is the closing quote data***
Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group |
PRICE |
CHANGE
(%Change) |
Day High |
Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol) |
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi |
Featured
Date |
Price
Featured |
Pivot Featured |
|
Max Buy |
SBCF
-
NASDAQ
Seacoast Banking Corp Fl
BANKING - Regional - Mid-Atlantic Banks
|
$23.95
|
-0.04
-0.17% |
$24.22
|
216,258
48.71% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 444,000
|
$25.13
-4.70%
|
2/13/2017
|
$24.84
|
PP = $23.10
|
|
MB = $24.26
|
Most Recent Note - 4/6/2017 5:22:26 PM
Y - Managed a "positive reversal" today after undercutting its 50 DMA line ($23.34). Subsequent deterioration below the 50 DMA line and recent low ($21.89 on 3/22/17) would raise more serious concerns and trigger technical sell signals.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Rebound After Slump Below 50-Day Average Into Prior Base - 3/28/2017 |
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C
A
S
I |
CSFL
-
NASDAQ
Centerstate Banks Inc
Banks-Southeast
|
$24.69
|
+0.33
1.35% |
$24.77
|
180,169
61.28% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 294,000
|
$26.94
-8.34%
|
3/13/2017
|
$25.54
|
PP = $26.40
|
|
MB = $27.72
|
Most Recent Note - 4/5/2017 3:59:11 PM
G - Slumped below its 50 DMA line ($25.16) and its color code is changed to green again. Subsequent losses below its recent low ($23.70 on 3/27/17) would raise greater concerns.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Gain Backed By Volume For Best Ever Close - 3/15/2017 |
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C
A
S
I |
NSP
-
NYSE
Insperity Inc
Comml Svcs-Outsourcing
|
$86.45
|
+0.65
0.76% |
$86.60
|
67,458
42.43% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 159,000
|
$90.55
-4.53%
|
2/14/2017
|
$84.30
|
PP = $82.28
|
|
MB = $86.39
|
Most Recent Note - 4/6/2017 5:20:57 PM
Y - Quietly consolidating just below its "max buy" level. Old highs the $82 area define support along with its 50 DMA line ($82.66).
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Ordinary Pullback From Highs With Lighter Volume - 3/22/2017 |
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C
A
S
I |
NTES
-
NASDAQ
Netease Inc Adr
INTERNET - Internet Information Providers
|
$268.00
|
-4.33
-1.59% |
$275.88
|
1,269,341
108.77% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,167,000
|
$308.66
-13.17%
|
2/10/2017
|
$259.30
|
PP = $272.68
|
|
MB = $286.31
|
Most Recent Note - 4/5/2017 12:49:57 PM
G - Rebounding today after violating its 50 DMA line ($279.76) with a volume-driven loss on the prior session triggering a technical sell signal. Prior highs in the $272 area define important chart support to watch.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Consolidating in Tight Range Following Breakaway Gap - 3/23/2017 |
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C
A
S
I |
HTHT
-
NASDAQ
China Lodging Group Ads
LEISURE - Lodging
|
$58.24
|
-1.89
-3.14% |
$60.21
|
308,841
215.97% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 143,000
|
$64.32
-9.45%
|
9/29/2016
|
$46.12
|
PP = $47.82
|
|
MB = $50.21
|
Most Recent Note - 4/11/2017 6:34:38 PM
G - Violated its 50 DMA line ($58.67) with higher volume and above average volume behind today's 3rd consecutive loss raising concerns and triggering a technical sell signal. The 2 latest quarterly comparisons (Sep and Dec '16) were below the +25% minimum earnings guideline (C criteria), and its waning sales revenues growth rate was also noted recently as a fundamental concern.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Bullish Action Led to +54% Rally Since First Featured - 3/17/2017 |
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C
A
S
I |
Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group |
PRICE |
CHANGE
(%Change) |
Day High |
Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol) |
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi |
Featured
Date |
Price
Featured |
Pivot Featured |
|
Max Buy |
SIRI
-
NASDAQ
Sirius X M Holdings Inc
MEDIA - Broadcasting - Radio
|
$5.06
|
-0.04
-0.78% |
$5.11
|
20,388,005
87.18% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 23,385,000
|
$5.53
-8.50%
|
3/13/2017
|
$5.48
|
PP = $5.32
|
|
MB = $5.59
|
Most Recent Note - 4/5/2017 4:09:37 PM
Y - Consolidating quietly above its 50 DMA line ($5.03), but a recent slump into the previous short base raised concerns. Disciplined investors always limit losses by selling any stock that falls more than -7% from their purchase price. First highlighted in the 3/13/17 mid-day report (read here) in yellow with pivot point cited based on its 2/22/17 high plus 10 cents.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Breakout From Advanced Base Pattern Backed By Very Heavy Volume - 3/13/2017 |
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C
A
S
I |
BEAT
-
NASDAQ
BioTelemetry Inc
Medical-Services
|
$30.75
|
+1.05
3.54% |
$30.95
|
573,273
139.14% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 412,000
|
$31.70
-3.00%
|
2/14/2017
|
$25.10
|
PP = $24.55
|
|
MB = $25.78
|
Most Recent Note - 4/11/2017 12:11:26 PM
G - Gapped up on the prior session hitting new highs on M&A news. Disciplined investors avoid chasing extended stocks. During recent consolidations it found support well above its 50 DMA line and above prior highs in the $24 area.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Perched Near High, Extended From Prior Base - 4/3/2017 |
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C
A
S
I |
ULTA
-
NASDAQ
Ulta Beauty Inc
SPECIALTY RETAIL - Specialty Retail, Other
|
$286.65
|
+0.06
0.02% |
$287.08
|
356,337
53.58% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 665,000
|
$289.27
-0.91%
|
3/6/2017
|
$274.96
|
PP = $278.73
|
|
MB = $292.67
|
Most Recent Note - 4/7/2017 5:25:31 PM
Y - Still consolidating near its all-time high with volume totals cooling. Prior highs in the $278 area define support along with its 50 DMA line. Subsequent losses leading to violations would raise concerns and trigger technical sell signals. See the latest FSU analysis for more details and a new annotated graph.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Volume Totals Cooling Following Technical Breakout - 4/7/2017 |
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C
A
S
I |
ESNT
-
NYSE
Essent Group Ltd
Finance-MrtgandRel Svc
|
$37.98
|
+0.87
2.34% |
$38.01
|
464,650
64.80% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 717,000
|
$38.10
-0.31%
|
4/4/2017
|
$36.38
|
PP = $36.81
|
|
MB = $38.65
|
Most Recent Note - 4/11/2017 6:37:42 PM
Y - Posted 2 consecutive gains with lighter than average volume for best ever closes. Rising above the new pivot point cited based on its 3/16/17 high, the middle peak of the "double bottom" base formed over the prior 8 weeks. Its 50 DMA line and recent lows define important near-term support. See the latest FSU analysis for more details and an annotated graph.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Quiet Volume Behind Gain for New High Close - 4/10/2017 |
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C
A
S
I |
VEEV
-
NYSE
Veeva Systems Inc Cl A
Computer Sftwr-Medical
|
$51.05
|
+0.26
0.51% |
$51.05
|
1,040,393
84.17% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,236,000
|
$51.95
-1.73%
|
3/16/2017
|
$49.00
|
PP = $48.05
|
|
MB = $50.45
|
Most Recent Note - 4/10/2017 5:49:20 PM
G - Touched a new all-time high today but reversed into the red for a loss on average volume. Prior highs in the $47-48 area define initial support to watch on pullbacks.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Breakout Gain for New Highs Backed by Three Times Average Volume - 3/16/2017 |
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C
A
S
I |
Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group |
PRICE |
CHANGE
(%Change) |
Day High |
Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol) |
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi |
Featured
Date |
Price
Featured |
Pivot Featured |
|
Max Buy |
ANET
-
NYSE
Arista Networks Inc
TELECOMMUNICATIONS - Communication Equipment
|
$133.33
|
+0.06
0.05% |
$134.25
|
493,762
57.15% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 864,000
|
$135.27
-1.43%
|
3/6/2017
|
$119.43
|
PP = $123.22
|
|
MB = $129.38
|
Most Recent Note - 4/7/2017 5:31:44 PM
G - Pulled back slightly today with light volume, remaining perched near its all-time high, extended from any sound base. Disciplined investors avoid chasing extended stocks.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Extended From Any Sound Base After a Considerable Rally - 4/5/2017 |
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C
A
S
I |
VBTX
-
NASDAQ
Veritex Holdings Inc
BANKING - Regional - Southwest Banks
|
$26.98
|
+0.02
0.07% |
$27.22
|
49,273
55.36% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 89,000
|
$29.43
-8.32%
|
1/23/2017
|
$27.30
|
PP = $27.87
|
|
MB = $29.26
|
Most Recent Note - 4/11/2017 6:30:11 PM
G - Lingering below its 50 DMA line. Recently undercut the prior low ($26.82 on 3/10/17) raising more serious concerns. See the latest FSU analysis for more details and a new annotated graph.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Fundamental and Technical Deterioration Recently Noted - 4/11/2017 |
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C
A
S
I |
IBP
-
NYSE
Installed Building Prod
DIVERSIFIED SERVICES - Business/Management Services
|
$51.80
|
+0.55
1.07% |
$51.80
|
106,567
68.31% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 156,000
|
$53.00
-2.26%
|
2/27/2017
|
$44.83
|
PP = $44.40
|
|
MB = $46.62
|
Most Recent Note - 4/7/2017 5:29:50 PM
G - Volume totals have been cooling while hovering in a tight range near its all-time high, extended from its prior base. Its 50 DMA line ($46.80) defines initial support to watch above prior highs in the $44 area.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Hovering Near All-Time High Following Volume-Driven Gains - 4/4/2017 |
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C
A
S
I |
INGN
-
NASDAQ
Inogen Inc
HEALTH SERVICES - Medical Instruments and Supplies
|
$76.82
|
+1.18
1.56% |
$76.86
|
105,059
62.17% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 169,000
|
$79.94
-3.90%
|
2/27/2017
|
$68.69
|
PP = $69.94
|
|
MB = $73.44
|
Most Recent Note - 4/10/2017 5:52:03 PM
G - Traded light volume today while pulling back from its all-time high. It is extended from its prior base. Its 50 DMA line ($71.69) and prior highs in the $69 area define important near-term support to watch.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Best Ever Close For High-Ranked Medical Product Maker - 3/31/2017 |
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C
A
S
I |
PLAY
-
NASDAQ
Dave & Buster's Ent Inc
Retail-Restaurants
|
$59.73
|
+0.09
0.15% |
$59.88
|
445,493
54.33% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 820,000
|
$63.12
-5.37%
|
2/23/2017
|
$55.41
|
PP = $58.35
|
|
MB = $61.27
|
Most Recent Note - 4/5/2017 4:05:42 PM
G - Pulling back with lighter volume after volume-driven gains for new all-time highs. Reported earnings +19% on +15% sales revenues for the Jan '17 quarter, below the +25% minimum guideline (C criteria). Its 50 DMA line ($57.65) defines near-term support to watch.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Retreated From All-Time High Following Earnings Report - 3/29/2017 |
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C
A
S
I |
Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group |
PRICE |
CHANGE
(%Change) |
Day High |
Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol) |
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi |
Featured
Date |
Price
Featured |
Pivot Featured |
|
Max Buy |
OLLI
-
NASDAQ
Ollie's Bargain Outlet
Retail-DiscountandVariety
|
$34.30
|
+0.35
1.03% |
$34.40
|
406,475
74.31% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 547,000
|
$35.80
-4.19%
|
3/27/2017
|
$32.80
|
PP = $33.55
|
|
MB = $35.23
|
Most Recent Note - 4/5/2017 4:04:12 PM
Y - Still hovering near its all-time high, but it has quietly slumped below the prior pivot point. Reported earnings +22% on +16% sales revenues for the Jan '17 quarter, below the +25% minimum earnings guideline (C criteria).
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : No Resistance Remains and Earnings News is Due - 3/27/2017 |
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C
A
S
I |
LITE
-
NASDAQ
Lumentum Holdings Inc
TELECOMMUNICATIONS - Cables / Satalite Equipment
|
$45.70
|
-1.45
-3.08% |
$47.60
|
1,789,688
95.35% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,877,000
|
$55.92
-18.28%
|
2/8/2017
|
$44.60
|
PP = $44.80
|
|
MB = $47.04
|
Most Recent Note - 4/11/2017 6:32:35 PM
G - Violated its 50 DMA line ($47.64) triggering a technical sell signal and finished near the session low with a loss on higher volume. Only a prompt rebound above the 50 DMA line would help its outlook improve.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Support Elusive Following Prior Demand - 3/14/2017 |
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MOMO
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NASDAQ
Momo Inc Ads Cl A
INTERNET - Content
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$37.37
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-0.13
-0.35% |
$38.99
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6,162,505
132.30% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 4,658,000
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$38.12
-1.97%
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3/7/2017
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$29.71
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PP = $27.83
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MB = $29.22
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Most Recent Note - 4/11/2017 12:23:34 PM
G - Powering to new all-time highs with today's 4th consecutive gain, getting more extended from the previously noted base. Its 50 DMA line ($29.74) and prior highs in the $28 area define important support to watch on pullbacks.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Extended From Prior Base and Perched Near High - 4/6/2017 |
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