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AFTER MARKET UPDATE - WEDNESDAY, JANUARY 3RD, 2018
Previous After Market Report Next After Market Report >>>
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DOW |
+98.67 |
24,922.68 |
+0.40% |
|
Volume |
808,290,600 |
-1% |
|
Volume |
2,176,288,580 |
+13% |
|
NASDAQ |
+58.63 |
7,065.53 |
+0.84% |
|
Advancers |
1,755 |
59% |
|
Advancers |
1,474 |
55% |
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S&P 500 |
+17.25 |
2,713.06 |
+0.64% |
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Decliners |
1,198 |
41% |
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Decliners |
1,184 |
45% |
|
Russell 2000 |
+17.07 |
1,552.58 |
+1.11% |
|
52 Wk Highs |
214 |
|
|
52 Wk Highs |
246 |
|
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S&P 600 |
+0.27 |
943.24 |
+0.03% |
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52 Wk Lows |
28 |
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52 Wk Lows |
25 |
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Indices Rise Again With More Leadership
Kenneth J. Gruneisen - Passed the CAN SLIM® Master's Exam
The U.S. equities finished higher Wednesday. The Dow advanced 99 points to 24922. The S&P 500 added 17 points to 2713 while the Nasdaq Composite gained 59 points to 7065. Volume totals reported were mixed, lighter than the prior session total on the NYSE and higher on the Nasdaq exchange. Advancers led decliners by 3-2 margin on the NYSE and by 5-4 on the Nasdaq exchange. There were 63 high-ranked companies from the Leaders List that made new 52-week highs and were listed on the BreakOuts Page, versus the total of 54 on the prior session. New 52-week highs totals expanded and solidly outnumbered new 52-week lows on the NYSE and on the Nasdaq exchange. The Featured Stocks Page provides the latest analysis on noteworthy high-ranked leaders. Charts used courtesy of www.stockcharts.com
PICTURED: The S&P 500 Index hit a new record high with a gain marked by a higher volume total.
The major averages (M criteria) are in a confirmed uptrend. Investors should only consider stocks meeting all key criteria of the fact-based investment system as they trigger technical buy signals.
The S&P 500 and Nasdaq reached record levels as investors digested a flurry of positive economic updates, as well as the minutes from the FOMC’s December meeting. According to the minutes, most participants continued to support gradual interest rate increases. The release also revealed prospective changes in federal tax legislation led policymakers to adjust their economic outlook higher. Despite the Fed’s hawkish comments, the yield on the benchmark 10-year note slipped two basis points to 2.44%.
On the data front, the Institute for Supply Management revealed the pace of manufacturing activity increased to a reading of 59.7 in December, well above expectations of 58.2. The final December update for 2017 capped the strongest year for the ISM gauge since 2004. A separate release showed U.S. construction spending increased more than expected in November to a record high.
Eight of 11 S&P 500 sectors were up on the session. Energy shares led the advance, as NYMEX WTI crude surged 2.1% to $61.63, posting its best closing level since December 2014. Technology stocks continued to pace gains as Advanced Micro Devices (AMD +5.19%) and Nvidia (NVDA +6.58%) both advanced on reports Intel (INTC -3.39%) has a security flaw in its chips. |
Kenneth J. Gruneisen started out as a licensed stockbroker in August 1987, a couple of months prior to the historic stock market crash that took the Dow Jones Industrial Average down -22.6% in a single day. He has published daily fact-based fundamental and technical analysis on high-ranked stocks online for two decades. Through FACTBASEDINVESTING.COM, Kenneth provides educational articles, news, market commentary, and other information regarding proven investment systems that work in good times and bad.
Comments contained in the body of this report are technical opinions only and are not necessarily those of Gruneisen Growth Corp. The material herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable and accurate, however, its accuracy and completeness cannot be guaranteed. Our firm, employees, and customers may effect transactions, including transactions contrary to any recommendation herein, or have positions in the securities mentioned herein or options with respect thereto. Any recommendation contained in this report may not be suitable for all investors and it is not to be deemed an offer or solicitation on our part with respect to the purchase or sale of any securities. |
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Retail, Tech, Financial, and Energy Linked Groups Rose
Kenneth J. Gruneisen - Passed the CAN SLIM® Master's Exam
The Retail Index ($RLX +0.87%) again outpaced the Bank Index ($BKX +0.52%) and the Broker/Dealer Index ($XBD +0.65%) on Wednesday. Commodity-linked groups were mixed as the Gold & Silver Index ($XAU -1.19%) fell while the Integrated Oil Index ($XOI +1.22%) and the Oil Services Index ($OSX +2.42%) both rose. The tech sector had a solidly positive bias as the Semiconductor Index ($SOX +1.72%) and the Biotechnology Index ($BTK +1.20%) both outpaced the Networking Index ($NWX +0.92%) for a second consecutive session. Charts courtesy wwwstockcharts.com
 PICTURED: The Oil Services Index ($OSX +2.42%) has been rebounding toward prior highs after finding support in August just below its Jan '16 low. For 2017 the OSX was -18.63%, making it the clear laggard among the groups routinely covered in this section of the report. Higher oil prices have recently been helping oil stocks rise. However, many individual issues in the Oil Services industry group traded at higher prices in recent years, and this old "overhead supply" may be a source of resistance that hinders their upward progress.
| Oil Services |
$OSX |
154.21 |
+3.64 |
+2.42% |
+3.12% |
| Integrated Oil |
$XOI |
1,373.12 |
+16.52 |
+1.22% |
+2.81% |
| Semiconductor |
$SOX |
1,309.86 |
+22.16 |
+1.72% |
+4.53% |
| Networking |
$NWX |
499.79 |
+4.57 |
+0.92% |
+1.89% |
| Broker/Dealer |
$XBD |
268.33 |
+1.72 |
+0.65% |
+1.16% |
| Retail |
$RLX |
1,772.56 |
+15.25 |
+0.87% |
+2.24% |
| Gold & Silver |
$XAU |
87.08 |
-1.06 |
-1.20% |
+2.12% |
| Bank |
$BKX |
107.67 |
+0.56 |
+0.52% |
+0.90% |
| Biotech |
$BTK |
4,374.04 |
+51.93 |
+1.20% |
+3.60% |
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Tight Weekly Closes Formed Advanced Base Pattern
Kenneth J. Gruneisen - Passed the CAN SLIM® Master's Exam
Houlihan Lokey Inc (HLI +$0.06 or +0.13% to $45.85) formed an advanced "3-weeks tight" base as its price changed up or down by less than 2% for 3 consecutive weeks (best seen on a weekly graph). Its color code was changed to yellow and a new pivot point was cited based on its 12/18/17 high plus 10 cents. Subsequent gains for new highs backed by at least +40% above average volume may trigger a new (or add-on) technical buy signal. Proper buying and selling discipline is especially important when acting on stocks rising from advanced bases of shorter duration.
Its 50-day moving average DMA line ($43.70) defines near-term support to watch. It made gradual progress since 10/26/17 when it priced a Secondary Offering. Members were previously reminded - "Such offerings typically hinder price performance for a short time, yet they also help to attract new or greater institutional interest (I criteria)."
The high ranked Finance - Invest Bank/Broker firm was last shown in this FSU section on 12/12/17 with an annotated graph under the headline, "Wedging Higher With Recent Gains Lacking Great Volume". Fundamentals remain strong. It reported earnings +51% on +30% sales revenues for its second quarter ended September 30th versus the year-ago period. The past 3 quarterly comparisons were above the +25% minimum earning guideline (C criteria). Annual earnings growth (A criteria) history is a good match with the fact-based investment system's guidelines. It has an Earnings Per share rating of 98.
Its current Up/Down Volume Ratio of 1.1 is an unbiased indication its shares have been under only slight accumulation over the past 50 days. It has a current Timeliness rating of A and a Sponsorship rating of C. The number of top-rated funds owning its shares rose from 165 in Jun '16 to 301 in Sep '17, also a reassuring sign concerning the I criteria. Its small supply of only 26.3 million shares (S criteria) in the public float can contribute to greater price volatility in the event of institutional buying or selling. HLI has traded up as much as +31.07% since first highlighted in yellow at $35.85 in the 5/11/17 mid-day report (read here) with pivot point cited based on its 3/31/17 high plus 10 cents after an orderly flat base.
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Color Codes Explained :
Y - Better candidates highlighted by our
staff of experts.
G - Previously featured
in past reports as yellow but may no longer be buyable under the
guidelines.
***Last / Change / Volume data in this table is the closing quote data***
Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group |
PRICE |
CHANGE
(%Change) |
Day High |
Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol) |
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi |
Featured
Date |
Price
Featured |
Pivot Featured |
|
Max Buy |
THO
-
NYSE
Thor Industries Inc
AUTOMOTIVE - Recreational Vehicles
|
$155.61
|
+0.25
0.16% |
$156.67
|
588,906
95.14% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 619,000
|
$156.86
-0.80%
|
12/19/2017
|
$153.92
|
PP = $156.96
|
|
MB = $164.81
|
Most Recent Note - 1/3/2018 4:21:49 PM
Y - Wedging up near its all-time high with gains lacking great volume conviction. Subsequent gains above the pivot point backed by at least +40% above average volume may trigger a new (or add-on) technical buy signal. Its 50 DMA line ($142.73) and prior highs in the $138 area define near-term support to watch. Fundamentals remain very strong.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Holding Ground in Tight Range Near High - 12/27/2017 |
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C
A
S
I |
PFBC
-
NASDAQ
Preferred Bank Los Angls
BANKING - Regional - Pacific Banks
|
$58.62
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+0.29
0.50% |
$59.26
|
60,896
79.50% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 76,600
|
$66.58
-11.96%
|
10/10/2017
|
$59.38
|
PP = $59.08
|
|
MB = $62.03
|
Most Recent Note - 1/3/2018 4:29:18 PM
Managed a "positive reversal" today. Prior lows and its 200 DMA line may act as support near $55. Meanwhile, a rebound above its 50 DMA line ($61.11) is needed for its outlook to improve. Relative Strength rank has also slumped to 56, below the 80+ minimum guideline for buy candidates. It will be dropped from the Featured Stocks list tonight.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Concerns Raised by Relative Strength and 50 DMA Line Breach - 12/28/2017 |
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C
A
S
I |
ROG
-
NYSE
Rogers Corp
CONSUMER NON-DURABLES - Rubber and Plastics
|
$168.56
|
-3.33
-1.94% |
$184.00
|
967,774
546.76% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 177,000
|
$174.50
-3.40%
|
12/29/2017
|
$162.92
|
PP = $168.17
|
|
MB = $176.58
|
Most Recent Note - 1/3/2018 1:36:25 PM
Y - There was a "negative reversal" today after early gains spiking to new highs. The big gain on 1/02/18 backed by +98% above average volume triggered a technical buy signal. It was highlighted in yellow with pivot point cited based on its 11/22/17 high plus 10 cents in the 12/29/17 mid-day report. Prior highs in the 168 area define initial support to watch. Disciplined investors avoid chasing stocks more than 5% above prior highs and always limit losses by selling any stock that falls more than -7% from their purchase price.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Hovering Near Prior High After 3rd Strong Quarterly Earnings - 12/29/2017 |
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C
A
S
I |
AVGO
-
NASDAQ
Broadcom Limited
ELECTRONICS - Semiconductor - Broad Line
|
$269.93
|
+2.92
1.09% |
$270.73
|
3,115,343
91.71% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 3,397,000
|
$285.68
-5.51%
|
10/30/2017
|
$261.19
|
PP = $259.46
|
|
MB = $272.43
|
Most Recent Note - 1/2/2018 7:15:25 PM
G - Rebounded above its 50 DMA line ($264.32) with today's gain on near average volume. The recent low ($254.20 on 12/06/17) defines important support where more damaging losses would raise greater concerns. Fundamentals remain strong.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Testing Support at Prior Highs and 50-Day Average - 12/8/2017 |
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C
A
S
I |
TPL
-
NYSE
Texas Pacific Land Trust
FINANCIAL SERVICES - Diversified Investments
|
$453.07
|
-7.52
-1.63% |
$477.50
|
27,027
207.90% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 13,000
|
$476.01
-4.82%
|
12/21/2017
|
$419.50
|
PP = $435.09
|
|
MB = $456.84
|
Most Recent Note - 1/3/2018 3:39:24 PM
Y - Erased early gains after touching another new all-time high today and its color code is changed to yellow after slumping below its "max buy" level. Prior highs in the $434 area define initial support to watch on pullbacks.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Real Estate Trust Perched Within Striking Distance of Prior High - 12/21/2017 |
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C
A
S
I |
Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group |
PRICE |
CHANGE
(%Change) |
Day High |
Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol) |
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi |
Featured
Date |
Price
Featured |
Pivot Featured |
|
Max Buy |
YY
-
NASDAQ
YY Inc Ads
INTERNET - Internet Service Providers
|
$119.36
|
-2.10
-1.73% |
$123.28
|
1,255,807
86.07% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,459,000
|
$123.48
-3.34%
|
12/29/2017
|
$113.06
|
PP = $123.58
|
|
MB = $129.76
|
Most Recent Note - 1/2/2018 1:59:46 PM
Y - Today's volume-driven gain has it approaching the new pivot point cited based on its 11/21/17 high plus 10 cents. Subsequent volume-driven gains above the pivot point may trigger a new (or add-on) technical buy signal. Its 50 DMA line ($103.26) and recent low ($98.50 on 12/06/17) define important near-term support where violations may trigger technical sell signals. This China-based Internet - Content firm's fundamentals remain strong.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Fundamentals Remain Strong; Extended From Any Sound Base - 12/11/2017 |
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C
A
S
I |
HTHT
-
NASDAQ
China Lodging Group Ads
LEISURE - Lodging
|
$154.93
|
-3.93
-2.47% |
$158.79
|
1,251,624
191.97% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 652,000
|
$159.35
-2.77%
|
12/22/2017
|
$138.07
|
PP = $142.90
|
|
MB = $150.05
|
Most Recent Note - 1/3/2018 1:13:08 PM
G - Pulling back today following considerable volume-driven gains. It quickly got very extended from the previously noted base. Near term chart support is defined by the prior high $142.80.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Sales Revenues Growth Rate Shows Acceleration - 12/22/2017 |
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C
A
S
I |
PATK
-
NASDAQ
Patrick Industries Inc
Bldg-Mobile/Mfg and RV
|
$69.85
|
-0.15
-0.21% |
$71.13
|
192,383
130.87% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 147,000
|
$71.00
-1.62%
|
10/26/2017
|
$90.90
|
PP = $87.90
|
|
MB = $92.30
|
Most Recent Note - 1/2/2018 1:17:02 PM
G - Extended from any sound base and it touched another new all-time high today. Prior high in the $64 area and its 50 DMA line ($63.27) define important near-term support to watch where violations would raise concerns. Fundamentals remain strong. Shares split 3/2 effective 12/11/17, so do not be confused by the impact on the share prices.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Hovering Near High Following 3:2 Share Split - 12/15/2017 |
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C
A
S
I |
ESNT
-
NYSE
Essent Group Ltd
Finance-MrtgandRel Svc
|
$43.52
|
-0.31
-0.71% |
$44.14
|
546,853
61.95% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 882,800
|
$47.29
-7.97%
|
10/9/2017
|
$39.75
|
PP = $41.54
|
|
MB = $43.62
|
Most Recent Note - 1/3/2018 3:51:58 PM
G - Recently sputtering below its 50 DMA line ($44.21) raising concerns. The recent low ($43.07 on 12/01/17) defines the next important support level where more damaging losses would raise greater concerns. Its Relative Strength rating has fallen to 79, below the 80+ minimum guideline for buy candidates
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Pulling Back After Recently Wedging Higher - 12/14/2017 |
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C
A
S
I |
FIVE
-
NASDAQ
Five Below Inc
Retail-DiscountandVariety
|
$70.80
|
+1.64
2.37% |
$71.79
|
1,877,460
184.43% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,018,000
|
$69.75
1.51%
|
1/2/2018
|
$69.16
|
PP = $68.99
|
|
MB = $72.44
|
Most Recent Note - 1/3/2018 12:59:26 PM
Y - Hit another new all-time high today but erased much of its early gain. Prior gain was backed by +22% above average volume, not a convincing technical buy signal from the advanced tight base pattern noted. Its 50 DMA line ($61.65) defines near-term support above prior highs in the $57-58 area. Fundamentals remain very strong.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Retail - Discount & Variety Firm Has Strong Fundamentals - 12/19/2017 |
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C
A
S
I |
Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group |
PRICE |
CHANGE
(%Change) |
Day High |
Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol) |
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi |
Featured
Date |
Price
Featured |
Pivot Featured |
|
Max Buy |
OLED
-
NASDAQ
Universal Display Corp
Elec-Misc Products
|
$180.40
|
+6.65
3.83% |
$182.49
|
898,825
98.45% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 913,000
|
$192.75
-6.41%
|
8/31/2017
|
$128.22
|
PP = $127.78
|
|
MB = $134.17
|
Most Recent Note - 1/3/2018 4:17:16 PM
G - Has not formed a valid new base pattern of sufficient length, but consolidating in an orderly fashion above its 50 DMA line ($168.42). Below that short-term average the prior low ($158.00 on 12/05/17) defines the next important chart support level to watch on pullbacks. Subsequent losses leading to violations may trigger technical sell signals. Fundamentals remain very strong.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Consolidating After +50% Rally Since First Featured 8/31/17 - 12/13/2017 |
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C
A
S
I |
ANET
-
NYSE
Arista Networks Inc
TELECOMMUNICATIONS - Communication Equipment
|
$235.60
|
+4.57
1.98% |
$235.75
|
558,625
64.14% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 871,000
|
$245.65
-4.09%
|
10/27/2017
|
$195.65
|
PP = $196.37
|
|
MB = $206.19
|
Most Recent Note - 1/2/2018 7:11:28 PM
G - Pulled back on higher volume after wedging up near its all-time high. Its 50 DMA line ($220) defines near-term support above the prior low ($206.86 on 12/05/17). Subsequent violations would trigger technical sell signals. See the latest FSU analysis for more details and a new annotated graph.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Encountering Distributional Pressure After Wedging Near Prior High - 1/2/2018 |
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C
A
S
I |
GRUB
-
NYSE
Grubhub Inc
COMPUTER SOFTWARE and SERVICES - Technical and System Software
|
$71.32
|
+0.06
0.08% |
$71.78
|
911,801
64.62% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,411,000
|
$74.81
-4.66%
|
6/21/2017
|
$47.33
|
PP = $46.94
|
|
MB = $49.29
|
Most Recent Note - 1/3/2018 3:55:46 PM
G - Hovering near its all-time high with volume totals cooling, it has formed an advanced "3-weeks tight" base. Its 50 DMA line ($66.26) defines initial support above prior highs near $57. Bullish action has continued although the 2 latest quarters were below the +25% minimum earnings guideline (C criteria), raising fundamental concerns with regard to the fact-based investment system.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Extended From Any Base, Grubhub Hits Another New Record High - 12/18/2017 |
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C
A
S
I |
IBP
-
NYSE
Installed Building Prod
DIVERSIFIED SERVICES - Business/Management Services
|
$77.60
|
+1.85
2.44% |
$78.15
|
117,227
61.38% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 191,000
|
$79.40
-2.27%
|
12/26/2017
|
$75.00
|
PP = $79.50
|
|
MB = $83.48
|
Most Recent Note - 1/3/2018 4:07:54 PM
Y - Quietly wedging toward the new pivot point cited based on its 12/04/17 high plus 10 cents after forming an advanced ascending base. Recently found support at its 50 DMA line ($70.71). Subsequent losses leading to violations of the 50 DMA line or recent low ($68.30 on 12/13/17) may trigger technical sell signals. Fundamentals remain very strong.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Building on an Advanced Ascending Base Pattern - 12/26/2017 |
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C
A
S
I |
OLLI
-
NASDAQ
Ollie's Bargain Outlet
Retail-DiscountandVariety
|
$52.80
|
+0.85
1.64% |
$53.25
|
832,208
158.21% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 526,000
|
$54.30
-2.76%
|
11/21/2017
|
$46.78
|
PP = $47.00
|
|
MB = $49.35
|
Most Recent Note - 1/2/2018 7:28:55 PM
G - Pulled back today with above average volume indicative of distributional pressure. It is extended from its prior base. Its 50 DMA line defines important near-term support coinciding with prior highs in the $46 area. Fundamentals remain strong.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Extended From Latest Base and Perched Near Record High - 12/20/2017 |
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C
A
S
I |
Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group |
PRICE |
CHANGE
(%Change) |
Day High |
Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol) |
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi |
Featured
Date |
Price
Featured |
Pivot Featured |
|
Max Buy |
HLI
-
NYSE
Houlihan Lokey Inc Cl A
Finance-Invest Bnk/Bkrs
|
$45.85
|
+0.06
0.13% |
$46.23
|
120,720
47.72% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 253,000
|
$46.99
-2.43%
|
1/3/2018
|
$45.88
|
PP = $47.09
|
|
MB = $49.44
|
Most Recent Note - 1/3/2018 7:17:32 PM
Y - Color code was changed to yellow as it has formed an advanced "3-weeks tight" base. New pivot point was cited based on its 12/18/17 high plus 10 cents. Subsequent volume-driven gains for new highs may trigger a new (or add-on) technical buy signal. Its 50 DMA line ($43.70) defines near-term support to watch. Made gradual progress since 10/26/17 when it priced a Secondary Offering. Fundamentals remain strong. See the latest FSU analysis for more details and a new annotated graph.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Tight Weekly Closes Formed Advanced Base Pattern - 1/3/2018 |
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