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AFTER MARKET UPDATE - WEDNESDAY, AUGUST 23RD, 2017
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DOW |
-87.80 |
21,812.09 |
-0.40% |
|
Volume |
681,963,020 |
-1% |
|
Volume |
1,523,598,780 |
-4% |
NASDAQ |
-19.07 |
6,278.41 |
-0.30% |
|
Advancers |
1,525 |
53% |
|
Advancers |
1,209 |
43% |
S&P 500 |
-8.47 |
2,444.04 |
-0.35% |
|
Decliners |
1,358 |
47% |
|
Decliners |
1,595 |
57% |
Russell 2000 |
-1.80 |
1,369.74 |
-0.13% |
|
52 Wk Highs |
78 |
|
|
52 Wk Highs |
62 |
|
S&P 600 |
-2.52 |
822.85 |
-0.31% |
|
52 Wk Lows |
51 |
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52 Wk Lows |
74 |
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Lighter Volume Totals as Major Indices Fell
Kenneth J. Gruneisen - Passed the CAN SLIM® Master's Exam
Stocks finished lower on Wednesday. The Dow fell 87 points to 21812. The S&P 500 lost 8 points to 2444 and the Nasdaq Composite closed down 19 points to 6278. Volume totals reported were lighter than the prior session total on the NYSE and on the Nasdaq exchange. Breadth was mixed, positive by an 8-7 margin on the NYSE, but decliners led advancers by a 4-3 margin on the Nasdaq exchange. There was less leadership as 35 high-ranked companies from the Leaders List that made new 52-week highs and were listed on the BreakOuts Page, versus the total of 45 on the prior session. New 52-week highs outnumbered new 52-week lows on the NYSE but new lows again outnumbered new highs on the Nasdaq exchange. The Featured Stocks Page provides the latest analysis on noteworthy high-ranked leaders. Charts used courtesy of www.stockcharts.com
PICTURED: The Nasdaq Composite Index fell yet still finished just above its 50-day moving average (DMA) line. Recent llows define the next important support levels to watch. The major averages' (M criteria) prior uptrend has been under pressure while leadership has been thinning. Investors should be ready to raise cash and reduce exposure to stocks by selling individual issues on a case-by-case basis as they trigger technical sell signals.
The major averages finished in the red as investors assessed comments from President Trump over a possible government shutdown and a series of updates on the economy. Tuesday night President Trump suggested shutting the government down if Congress fails to fund a border wall with Mexico. On the data front, a flash reading of Manufacturing PMI for August came in at 52.5, below analyst expectations of 53.5. Separately, services PMI increased to 56.9 from the 55 July reading and above projections of 54.7. Finally, new home sales tumbled 9.4% in July, reaching its lowest level in seven months.
Eight out of 11 sectors in the S&P 500 closed in negative territory. Consumer Discretionary stocks led decliners with Lowe’s (LOW -3.71%) fell as the home retailer missed analyst estimates on both top and bottom lines. American Eagle Outfitters (AEO +7.76%) bucked the broader consumer trend following its earnings announcement, which topped Street expectations. Elsewhere, Medical device maker Stryker (SYK -4.91%) fell amid news of voluntary product recall.
Treasuries were broadly higher with the benchmark 10-year note up 13/32 to yield 2.17%. In commodities, NYMEX WTI crude settled up 1.1% to $48.39/barrel. COMEX gold added 0.3% to $1295.60/ounce.
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Kenneth J. Gruneisen started out as a licensed stockbroker in August 1987, a couple of months prior to the historic stock market crash that took the Dow Jones Industrial Average down -22.6% in a single day. He has published daily fact-based fundamental and technical analysis on high-ranked stocks online for two decades. Through FACTBASEDINVESTING.COM, Kenneth provides educational articles, news, market commentary, and other information regarding proven investment systems that work in good times and bad.
Comments contained in the body of this report are technical opinions only and are not necessarily those of Gruneisen Growth Corp. The material herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable and accurate, however, its accuracy and completeness cannot be guaranteed. Our firm, employees, and customers may effect transactions, including transactions contrary to any recommendation herein, or have positions in the securities mentioned herein or options with respect thereto. Any recommendation contained in this report may not be suitable for all investors and it is not to be deemed an offer or solicitation on our part with respect to the purchase or sale of any securities. |
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Commodity-Linked Groups Rose; Retail and Biotech Indexes Fell
Kenneth J. Gruneisen - Passed the CAN SLIM® Master's Exam
On Wednesday the Bank Index ($BKX +0.00%) and the Broker/Dealer Index ($XBD +0.05%) both finished flat while the Retail Index ($RLX -0.69%) created a drag on the major indices . The tech sector was led by the Semiconductor Index ($SOX +0.44%), while the Networking Index ($NWX -0.09%) finished flat and the Biotechnology Index ($BTK -0.70%) slumped. Commodity-linked groups had a positive bias as the Oil Services Index ($OSX +0.92%), Integrated Oil Index ($XOI +0.63%), and the Gold & Silver Index ($XAU +0.90%) finished unanimously higher. Charts courtesy www.stockcharts.com
PICTURED: The Retail Index ($RLX -0.69%) undercut its prior lows recently and bounced at its 200-day moving average (DMA) line. More damaging losses would raise greater concerns.
Oil Services |
$OSX |
120.27 |
+1.10 |
+0.92% |
-34.56% |
Integrated Oil |
$XOI |
1,095.61 |
+6.81 |
+0.63% |
-13.60% |
Semiconductor |
$SOX |
1,086.41 |
+4.77 |
+0.44% |
+19.85% |
Networking |
$NWX |
454.41 |
-0.43 |
-0.09% |
+1.86% |
Broker/Dealer |
$XBD |
226.72 |
+0.11 |
+0.05% |
+10.44% |
Retail |
$RLX |
1,453.10 |
-10.08 |
-0.69% |
+8.20% |
Gold & Silver |
$XAU |
85.64 |
+0.76 |
+0.90% |
+8.60% |
Bank |
$BKX |
93.88 |
+0.00 |
+0.00% |
+2.28% |
Biotech |
$BTK |
3,856.62 |
-27.34 |
-0.70% |
+25.42% |
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Gapped Up After Earnings Repairing 50-Day Moving Average Violation
Kenneth J. Gruneisen - Passed the CAN SLIM® Master's Exam
Arista Networks Inc (ANET -$1.74 or -0.99% to $173.51) extended from any sound base. Prior highs in the $162 area define initial support above its 50-day moving average (DMA) line ($158). Disciplined investors avoid chasing extended stocks.
A slump of volume-driven gains undercut the 50 DMA line and prior lows raising concerns and triggering technical sell signals after it was last shown in this FSU section on 7/18/17 with an annotated graph under the headline, "Networking Firm Consolidating Above 50-Day Moving Average Line". However, strength returned and it gapped up for new highs on 8/04/17 after it reported Jun '17 earnings rose +81% on +51% sales revenues versus the year ago period.
ANET has shown strong and steady increases in quarterly sales revenues while earnings have routinely been well above the +25% minimum guideline (C criteria). Its annual earnings (A criteria) growth has been strong, however, its history is limited since its $43 IPO in June of 2014.
ANET traded up as much as +88.1% since first highlighted at $93.80 in yellow with pivot point cited based on its 2015 high plus 10 cents in the 11/21/16 mid-day report (read here).
The number of top-rated funds owning its shares rose from 360 in Dec '15 to 569 Jun '17, a reassuring sign concerning the I criteria. The high-ranked Computer - Networking firm has a Timeliness Rating of A and a Sponsorship Rating of B. Its small supply of 45 million shares (S criteria) in the public float may contribute to greater volatility in the event of institutional buying or selling.
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Color Codes Explained :
Y - Better candidates highlighted by our
staff of experts. G - Previously featured
in past reports as yellow but may no longer be buyable under the
guidelines.
***Last / Change / Volume data in this table is the closing quote data***
Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group |
PRICE |
CHANGE (%Change) |
Day High |
Volume (% DAV) (% 50 day avg vol) |
52 Wk Hi % From Hi |
Featured Date |
Price Featured |
Pivot Featured |
Max Buy |
THO
-
NYSE
Thor Industries Inc
AUTOMOTIVE - Recreational Vehicles
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$103.68
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-0.22
-0.21% |
$103.98
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224,605 44.21% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 508,000
|
$115.74 -10.42%
|
8/14/2017
|
$106.67
|
PP = $110.01
|
MB = $115.51
|
Most Recent Note - 8/21/2017 5:55:27 PM
G - Still sputtering below its 50 DMA line ($105). A rebound above the 50 DMA line is needed for its outlook improve. Subsequent volume-driven gains above the pivot point may trigger a new (or add-on) technical buy signal. See the latest FSU analysis for more details and a new annotated graph.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Slump Below 50-Day Average Hurt Technical Stance - 8/21/2017 |
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C
A
S
I |
BERY
-
NYSE
Berry Global Group Inc
CONSUMER NON-DURABLES - Packaging and Containers
|
$57.11
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-0.53
-0.92% |
$57.72
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430,500 49.20% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 875,000
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$58.95 -3.12%
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7/14/2017
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$57.67
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PP = $59.05
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MB = $62.00
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Most Recent Note - 8/21/2017 6:02:19 PM
G - Slumped below its 50 DMA line ($57.45) with today's loss on lighter volume. The recent low defines important near-term support ($55.60 on 8/03/17). Reported Jun '17 quarterly earnings +13% on +16% sales revenues, below the +25% minimum earnings guideline (C criteria), raising fundamental concerns.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Fundamental Concerns Yet Rebound Helped Technical Stance - 8/14/2017 |
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C
A
S
I |
HSKA
-
NASDAQ
Heska Corporation
DRUGS - Biotechnology
|
$100.38
|
+0.79
0.79% |
$101.20
|
33,165 50.25% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 66,000
|
$115.00 -12.71%
|
7/31/2017
|
$114.27
|
PP = $110.35
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MB = $115.87
|
Most Recent Note - 8/21/2017 6:07:50 PM
G - Rebounded near its 50 DMA line ($99.91) with today's gain on higher (near average) volume. Encountered distributional pressure since highlighted in yellow in the 7/31/17 mid-day report with pivot point cited based on its high hit on 5/01/17 plus 10 cents. Failed to produce confirming gains since repeatedly noted - "Subsequent gains and a strong finish above its pivot point may clinch a convincing technical buy signal. Small supply of only 6 million shares in the public float (S criteria) can contribute to greater price volatility in the event of institutional buying or selling."
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Small Supply of Shares and Closed In Lower Half of Intra-day Range - 7/31/2017 |
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C
A
S
I |
EW
-
NYSE
Edwards Lifesciences Cp
HEALTH SERVICES - Medical Appliances and Equipment
|
$112.71
|
-1.51
-1.32% |
$114.00
|
2,073,406 173.96% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,191,900
|
$121.75 -7.43%
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7/11/2017
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$117.23
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PP = $121.85
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MB = $127.94
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Most Recent Note - 8/23/2017 1:04:26 PM
G - Sputtering yet still perched only -7.2% off its 52-week and all-time high. Relative Strength Rating has slumped to 77, below the 80+ minimum guideline for buy candidates. A rebound above its 50 DMA line ($116.53) is needed for its outlook to improve. Fundamentals remain strong.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Near 50-Day Moving Average Line, Yet Not Far Off High - 8/7/2017 |
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C
A
S
I |
STMP
-
NASDAQ
Stamps.com Inc
INTERNET - Internet Software and Services
|
$206.25
|
-3.30
-1.57% |
$208.35
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252,089 53.18% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 474,000
|
$220.25 -6.36%
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5/24/2017
|
$133.10
|
PP = $136.10
|
MB = $142.91
|
Most Recent Note - 8/17/2017 11:21:15 AM
G - Still stubbornly holding ground near its all-time high, extended from any sound base. Its 50 DMA line ($161) and prior highs define important near-term support in the $156 area. Fundamentals remain strong.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Blasted Higher After Latest Strong Earnings Report - 8/11/2017 |
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C
A
S
I |
Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group |
PRICE |
CHANGE (%Change) |
Day High |
Volume (% DAV) (% 50 day avg vol) |
52 Wk Hi % From Hi |
Featured Date |
Price Featured |
Pivot Featured |
Max Buy |
HTHT
-
NASDAQ
China Lodging Group Ads
LEISURE - Lodging
|
$113.80
|
-1.15
-1.00% |
$114.95
|
440,678 148.88% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 296,000
|
$118.00 -3.56%
|
9/29/2016
|
$46.12
|
PP = $47.82
|
MB = $50.21
|
Most Recent Note - 8/23/2017 1:07:51 PM
G - Perched at its all-time high following volume-driven gains, very extended from any sound base. Last week it reported earnings +19% on +18% sales revenues for the Jun '17 quarter, below the +25% minimum earnings guideline (C criteria). Its 50 DMA line ($91.34) defines support above prior highs in the $88 area.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Extended From Sound Base With Earnings News Due Next Week - 8/9/2017 |
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C
A
S
I |
LMAT
-
NASDAQ
Lemaitre Vascular Inc
Medical-Products
|
$33.97
|
-0.09
-0.26% |
$34.18
|
85,653 41.78% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 205,000
|
$36.09 -5.87%
|
7/28/2017
|
$33.50
|
PP = $33.32
|
MB = $34.99
|
Most Recent Note - 8/21/2017 6:10:25 PM
Y - Volume totals have been cooling since its breakout while stubbornly holding its ground above prior highs in the $32-33 area previously noted as initial support to watch. Disciplined investors avoid chasing extended stocks more than +5% above prior highs, and they always limit losses by selling any stock that falls more than -7% from their purchase price.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Big Volume-Driven Gain Following Strong Earnings News - 7/28/2017 |
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C
A
S
I |
BEAT
-
NASDAQ
BioTelemetry Inc
Medical-Services
|
$36.55
|
+0.20
0.55% |
$36.78
|
278,934 63.95% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 436,200
|
$37.50 -2.53%
|
2/14/2017
|
$25.10
|
PP = $24.55
|
MB = $25.78
|
Most Recent Note - 8/17/2017 5:53:05 PM
G - Retreating from its all-time high. Fundamental concerns remain. Jun '17 quarterly earnings rose +10% on +10% sales revenues, its 2nd consecutive quarterly comparison below the +25% minimum earnings guideline (C criteria). Its 50 DMA line ($32.88) defines near-term support along with prior lows. See the latest FSU analysis for more details and a new annotated graph.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Technically Strong Despite Recent Fundamental Concerns - 8/17/2017 |
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C
A
S
I |
ESNT
-
NYSE
Essent Group Ltd
Finance-MrtgandRel Svc
|
$39.70
|
+1.33
3.47% |
$40.03
|
1,481,970 259.09% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 572,000
|
$41.44 -4.20%
|
7/3/2017
|
$38.05
|
PP = $39.60
|
MB = $41.58
|
Most Recent Note - 8/23/2017 1:01:58 PM
Y - Today's volume-driven gain has it nearly challenging its prior high. Completed a new Public Offering on 8/08/17. Recently found prompt support near its 50 DMA line ($38). Its 200 DMA line and prior lows define the next important support in the $34-35 area.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Perched Within Close Striking Distance of a New High - 8/1/2017 |
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C
A
S
I |
VEEV
-
NYSE
Veeva Systems Inc Cl A
Computer Sftwr-Medical
|
$64.38
|
-1.19
-1.81% |
$66.08
|
1,261,973 104.99% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,202,000
|
$68.07 -5.42%
|
7/24/2017
|
$65.91
|
PP = $68.17
|
MB = $71.58
|
Most Recent Note - 8/22/2017 6:16:57 PM
Y - Rose from near its 50 DMA line ($62.59) with higher volume behind today's gain challenging its prior highs. Very little resistance remains due to overhead supply up through the $68 level. Volume-driven gains above prior highs are still needed to trigger a new (or add-on) technical buy signal. Due to report Jul '17 earnings after market close on Thursday, August 24, 2017. Volume and volatility often increase near earnings news.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Slump Below 50-Day Moving Average Line Raises Concerns - 8/2/2017 |
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C
A
S
I |
Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group |
PRICE |
CHANGE (%Change) |
Day High |
Volume (% DAV) (% 50 day avg vol) |
52 Wk Hi % From Hi |
Featured Date |
Price Featured |
Pivot Featured |
Max Buy |
ANET
-
NYSE
Arista Networks Inc
TELECOMMUNICATIONS - Communication Equipment
|
$173.51
|
-1.74
-0.99% |
$175.11
|
544,828 63.57% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 857,000
|
$176.50 -1.69%
|
8/4/2017
|
$173.31
|
PP = $163.07
|
MB = $171.22
|
Most Recent Note - 8/23/2017 6:26:58 PM
G - Recently wedged above its "max buy" level with small gains lacking great volume conviction and its color code was changed to green. Prior highs in the $162 area define initial support to watch above its 50 DMA line ($158). Fundamentals remain strong. See the latest FSU analysis for more details and a new annotated graph.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Gapped Up After Earnings Repairing 50-Day Moving Average Violation - 8/23/2017 |
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C
A
S
I |
GRUB
-
NYSE
Grubhub Inc
COMPUTER SOFTWARE and SERVICES - Technical and System Software
|
$54.58
|
-0.35
-0.64% |
$54.90
|
961,067 47.70% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 2,015,000
|
$57.26 -4.68%
|
6/21/2017
|
$47.33
|
PP = $46.94
|
MB = $49.29
|
Most Recent Note - 8/17/2017 5:57:22 PM
G - Pulling back from its all-time high after getting very extended from any sound base. Prior highs and its 50 DMA line define near-term support in the $47-48 area. Recently reported earnings +13% on +32% sales revenues for the Jun '17 quarter, below the +25% minimum earnings guideline (C criteria) raising fundamental concerns.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Spiked Into New High Territory Despite Sub Par Earnings News - 8/8/2017 |
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C
A
S
I |
IBP
-
NYSE
Installed Building Prod
DIVERSIFIED SERVICES - Business/Management Services
|
$55.35
|
-1.30
-2.29% |
$57.00
|
90,900 71.57% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 127,000
|
$60.00 -7.75%
|
6/13/2017
|
$54.25
|
PP = $55.55
|
MB = $58.33
|
Most Recent Note - 8/23/2017 6:29:00 PM
Y - Pulled back today with lighter volume, consolidating near prior highs in the $55 area defining initial support above its 50 DMA line ($54.17).
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Consolidating Near Prior High Following Breakout - 8/18/2017 |
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C
A
S
I |
NCOM
-
NASDAQ
National Commerce Corp
BANKING - Regional - Southeast Banks
|
$39.55
|
-0.30
-0.75% |
$39.80
|
24,487 81.62% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 30,000
|
$41.25 -4.12%
|
4/25/2017
|
$38.95
|
PP = $40.09
|
MB = $42.09
|
Most Recent Note - 8/17/2017 12:11:58 PM
G - Slumped further below its 50 DMA line ($39.60) and its color code was changed to green. Early weakness undercut the recent low ($38.75 on 7/20/17) raising concerns and triggering a more worrisome technical sell signal. Reported Jun '17 earnings +23% on +45% sales revenues, below the +25% minimum earnings guideline (C criteria), raising fundamental concerns. See the latest FSU analysis for more details and an annotated graph.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Consolidating Near 50-day Moving Average Line - 8/16/2017 |
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C
A
S
I |
OLLI
-
NASDAQ
Ollie's Bargain Outlet
Retail-DiscountandVariety
|
$44.05
|
+0.55
1.26% |
$44.40
|
668,473 99.62% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 671,000
|
$46.08 -4.40%
|
7/17/2017
|
$43.96
|
PP = $44.18
|
MB = $46.39
|
Most Recent Note - 8/18/2017 5:37:21 PM
Y - Consolidating above support at its 50 DMA line ($42.91). Confirming gains and a strong close above the pivot point backed by at least +40% above average volume may trigger a new (or add-on) technical buy signal.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Quietly Consolidating Above 50 Day Moving Average Near High - 8/10/2017 |
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C
A
S
I |
Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group |
PRICE |
CHANGE (%Change) |
Day High |
Volume (% DAV) (% 50 day avg vol) |
52 Wk Hi % From Hi |
Featured Date |
Price Featured |
Pivot Featured |
Max Buy |
MOMO
-
NASDAQ
Momo Inc Ads Cl A
INTERNET - Content
|
$36.74
|
+0.72
2.00% |
$37.85
|
16,354,612 323.79% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 5,051,000
|
$46.69 -21.31%
|
7/25/2017
|
$44.05
|
PP = $46.05
|
MB = $48.35
|
Most Recent Note - 8/23/2017 6:30:48 PM
G - Posted a small gain today. On the prior session it violated its 50 DMA line triggering a technical sell signal with a damaging volume-driven loss and its color code was changed to green. Only a prompt rebound above the 50 DMA line would help its outlook improve. Reported earnings +192% on +215% sales revenues for the Jun '17 quarter versus the year ago period. Volume and volatility often increase near earnings news.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Perched Within Striking Distance of Prior High - 7/25/2017 |
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C
A
S
I |
HLI
-
NYSE
Houlihan Lokey Inc Cl A
Finance-Invest Bnk/Bkrs
|
$35.69
|
+0.15
0.42% |
$35.82
|
155,481 87.84% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 177,000
|
$39.68 -10.06%
|
5/10/2017
|
$35.85
|
PP = $35.05
|
MB = $36.80
|
Most Recent Note - 8/21/2017 6:06:27 PM
Y - Managed a positive reversal on the prior session, finding support while consolidating near its 50 DMA line ($35.84). Damaging losses below the recent low ($34.41 on 8/18/17) would raise serious concerns and trigger a technical sell signal.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Extended Leader Encounters Distributional Pressure - 7/27/2017 |
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C
A
S
I |
|
|
|
THESE ARE NOT BUY RECOMMENDATIONS!
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