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AFTER MARKET UPDATE - FRIDAY, JANUARY 19TH, 2018
Previous After Market Report Next After Market Report >>>
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DOW |
+53.91 |
26,071.72 |
+0.21% |
|
Volume |
1,035,765,570 |
+19% |
|
Volume |
1,964,371,020 |
-3% |
|
NASDAQ |
+40.33 |
7,336.38 |
+0.55% |
|
Advancers |
1,941 |
66% |
|
Advancers |
1,803 |
73% |
|
S&P 500 |
+12.27 |
2,810.30 |
+0.44% |
|
Decliners |
990 |
34% |
|
Decliners |
674 |
27% |
|
Russell 2000 |
+20.90 |
1,597.63 |
+1.33% |
|
52 Wk Highs |
260 |
|
|
52 Wk Highs |
311 |
|
|
S&P 600 |
+14.26 |
976.07 |
+1.48% |
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52 Wk Lows |
102 |
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52 Wk Lows |
51 |
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Major Indices Rise Again With Greater Leadership
Kenneth J. Gruneisen - Passed the CAN SLIM® Master's Exam
For the week the Dow gained 1.0%, the S&P 500 climbed 0.8%, and the Nasdaq advanced 1.0%. On Friday the Dow advanced 53 points to 26071. The S&P 500 added 12 points to 2810 and the Nasdaq Composite was up 40 points to 7336. Volume totals reported were higher than the prior session totals on the NYSE and on the Nasdaq exchange, inflated by options expirations. Breadth was positive as advancers led decliners by a 2-1 margin on the NYSE and nearly a 3-1 margin on the Nasdaq exchange. New 52-week highs totals expanded and still solidly outnumbered new 52-week lows totals on the NYSE and on the Nasdaq exchange. There were 116 high-ranked companies from the Leaders List that made new 52-week highs and were listed on the BreakOuts Page, versus the total of 88 on the prior session. The Featured Stocks Page provides the latest analysis on noteworthy high-ranked leaders. Charts used courtesy of www.stockcharts.com
 PICTURED: The Nasdaq Composite Index posted a solid gain for a new record high close. It has rallied +18.75% since finding support near its 50-day moving average (DMA) lkine in mid-August. The major averages (M criteria) are in a confirmed uptrend. Investors should only consider stocks meeting all key criteria of the fact-based investment system as they trigger technical buy signals.
The major averages posted gains for the third consecutive week as investors await further updates on the status of the potential government shutdown. On Thursday, the House passed a stopgap measure to avoid a shutdown, and the Senate is expected to vote on the bill this evening. On the data front, a preliminary survey by the University of Michigan showed consumer sentiment unexpectedly fell to a six-month low in January.
Nine of 11 S&P 500 sectors ended higher. Consumer stocks outperformed as Nike advanced 4.8% to $67.21, Philip Morris climbed 3.7% to $108.92 and Altria added 1.6% to $71.12, as all three received analyst upgrades Friday. General Electric continued its recent decline as shares fell 3.0% to $16.26 amid analyst concerns the company may need to raise capital by issuing new shares or extending dividend cuts. In earnings news, International Business Machines fell 4.0% to $162.37 even after topping earnings projections. American Express was down 1.8% to $98.03 after announcing its first quarterly loss in 25 years.
Treasuries finished lower, boosting the yield on the 10-year note up two basis points to 2.64%, the highest level since 2014. In commodities, NYMEX WTI crude lost 0.7% to $63.50/barrel. COMEX gold added 0.5% to $1333.20/ounce. |
Kenneth J. Gruneisen started out as a licensed stockbroker in August 1987, a couple of months prior to the historic stock market crash that took the Dow Jones Industrial Average down -22.6% in a single day. He has published daily fact-based fundamental and technical analysis on high-ranked stocks online for two decades. Through FACTBASEDINVESTING.COM, Kenneth provides educational articles, news, market commentary, and other information regarding proven investment systems that work in good times and bad.
Comments contained in the body of this report are technical opinions only and are not necessarily those of Gruneisen Growth Corp. The material herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable and accurate, however, its accuracy and completeness cannot be guaranteed. Our firm, employees, and customers may effect transactions, including transactions contrary to any recommendation herein, or have positions in the securities mentioned herein or options with respect thereto. Any recommendation contained in this report may not be suitable for all investors and it is not to be deemed an offer or solicitation on our part with respect to the purchase or sale of any securities. |
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Financial, Retail, and Tech Groups Rose
Kenneth J. Gruneisen - Passed the CAN SLIM® Master's Exam
The Bank Index ($BKX +1.23%) and the Broker/Dealer Index ($XBD +1.39%) both posted splid gains while the Retail Index ($RLX +0.86%) also was higher on Friday. The tech sector had a slightly positive bias as the Semiconductor Index ($SOX +0.11%), Networking Index ($NWX +0.57%) and the Biotechnology Index ($BTK +0.74%) each posted a modest gain. The Oil Services Index ($OSX +1.17%) and Gold & Silver Index ($XAU +0.46%) both rose but the Integrated Oil Index ($XOI -0.19%) edged lower. Charts courtesy wwwstockcharts.com
 PICTURED: The Retail Index ($RLX +0.86%) is consolidating after an abrupt rally to record highs in recent weeks. It has gained +33.5% since late-August when it was testing support at its 200-day moving average (DMA) line.
| Oil Services |
$OSX |
160.40 |
+1.86 |
+1.17% |
+7.26% |
| Integrated Oil |
$XOI |
1,415.54 |
-2.73 |
-0.19% |
+5.99% |
| Semiconductor |
$SOX |
1,372.03 |
+1.47 |
+0.11% |
+9.50% |
| Networking |
$NWX |
512.49 |
+2.92 |
+0.57% |
+4.48% |
| Broker/Dealer |
$XBD |
282.45 |
+3.63 |
+1.30% |
+6.49% |
| Retail |
$RLX |
1,899.71 |
+16.20 |
+0.86% |
+9.57% |
| Gold & Silver |
$XAU |
87.97 |
+0.40 |
+0.46% |
+3.17% |
| Bank |
$BKX |
114.14 |
+1.39 |
+1.23% |
+6.96% |
| Biotech |
$BTK |
4,513.37 |
+33.09 |
+0.74% |
+6.90% |
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Strong Finish Ahead of Earnings News Next Week
Kenneth J. Gruneisen - Passed the CAN SLIM® Master's Exam
Petmed Express Inc (PETS +$2.67 or +5.28% to $53.24) finished strong after highlighted in yellow with pivot point cited based on its 7/27/17 high plus 10 cents in the earlier mid-day report (read here). The gain was backed by +185% above average volume. Gains above a stock's pivot point must have at least +40% above average volume to trigger a proper technical buy signal. Recent gains lacked great volume conviction as it wedged to new all-time highs.
As previously noted in bold, the company is due to report earnings for the Dec '17 quarter before the market opens on Monday, January 22nd. Keep in mind that volume and volatility often increase near earnings news.
This Florida-based Retail - Internet firm pulled back sharply and then made gradual progress since last noted in the 10/23/17 mid-day report when it had gapped up for a considerable gain - "Reported earnings +79% on +10% sales revenues for the Sep '17 quarter, its 3rd consecutive quarterly comparison above the +25% minimum guideline (C criteria), helping it better match the fact based investment system's winning models."
The number of top-rated funds owning its shares rose from 247 in Mar '17 to 314 in Dec '17, a reassuring sign concerning the I criteria. Its current Up/Down Volume Ratio of 1.7 is an unbiased indication its shares have been under accumulation over the past 50 days.
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Color Codes Explained :
Y - Better candidates highlighted by our
staff of experts.
G - Previously featured
in past reports as yellow but may no longer be buyable under the
guidelines.
***Last / Change / Volume data in this table is the closing quote data***
Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group |
PRICE |
CHANGE
(%Change) |
Day High |
Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol) |
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi |
Featured
Date |
Price
Featured |
Pivot Featured |
|
Max Buy |
THO
-
NYSE
Thor Industries Inc
AUTOMOTIVE - Recreational Vehicles
|
$155.44
|
+2.81
1.84% |
$156.17
|
510,551
85.52% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 597,000
|
$159.17
-2.34%
|
12/19/2017
|
$153.92
|
PP = $156.96
|
|
MB = $164.81
|
Most Recent Note - 1/12/2018 7:13:56 PM
Y - Touched a new high today, but rather than rally it reversed into the red and ended the session with a loss on higher (near average) volume. Holding its ground in a tight range for the past 7 weeks. It has not yet produced gains above the pivot point backed by at least the +40% above average volume needed to trigger a new (or add-on) technical buy signal. Its 50 DMA line ($145.74) defines near-term support to watch above prior highs in the $138 area. Fundamentals remain very strong.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Holding Ground in Tight Range Near High - 12/27/2017 |
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C
A
S
I |
ROG
-
NYSE
Rogers Corp
CONSUMER NON-DURABLES - Rubber and Plastics
|
$178.46
|
+4.17
2.39% |
$178.90
|
89,315
51.33% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 174,000
|
$184.00
-3.01%
|
12/29/2017
|
$162.92
|
PP = $168.17
|
|
MB = $176.58
|
Most Recent Note - 1/12/2018 7:19:50 PM
Y - Posted a gain with light volume today for its 2nd best close ever, consolidating after triggering a technical buy signal last week. Raised concerns after a big "negative reversal" at a new all-time high on 1/03/18. Disciplined investors avoid chasing stocks more than 5% above prior highs and always limit losses by selling any stock that falls more than -7% from their purchase price.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Hovering Near Prior High After 3rd Strong Quarterly Earnings - 12/29/2017 |
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C
A
S
I |
AVGO
-
NASDAQ
Avago Technologies Ltd
ELECTRONICS - Semiconductor - Broad Line
|
$266.39
|
-3.41
-1.26% |
$269.44
|
2,987,671
97.19% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 3,073,900
|
$285.68
-6.75%
|
1/5/2018
|
$271.62
|
PP = $285.78
|
|
MB = $300.07
|
Most Recent Note - 1/12/2018 7:16:30 PM
G - Color code is changed to green as its Relative Strength rating has slumped to 75, below the 80+ minimum guideline for buy candidates. Also sputtering below its 50 DMA line ($267.10) this week. The recent low ($254.20 on 12/06/17) defines important support below its short-term average. Damaging violations would raise greater concerns. Fundamentals remain strong.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : New Pivot Point Cited After Rebound Above 50-Day Moving Average - 1/5/2018 |
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C
A
S
I |
TPL
-
NYSE
Texas Pacific Land Trust
FINANCIAL SERVICES - Diversified Investments
|
$559.94
|
+8.04
1.46% |
$566.22
|
29,974
199.83% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 15,000
|
$552.96
1.26%
|
12/21/2017
|
$419.50
|
PP = $435.09
|
|
MB = $456.84
|
Most Recent Note - 1/19/2018 12:58:44 PM
G - Posting a 3rd consecutive gain today, getting very extended from the prior base. Disciplined investors avoid chasing stocks more than +5% above the prior high or pivot point. Prior highs in the $434 area define initial support to watch on pullbacks.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Real Estate Trust Perched Within Striking Distance of Prior High - 12/21/2017 |
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C
A
S
I |
YY
-
NASDAQ
YY Inc
INTERNET - Internet Service Providers
|
$138.20
|
+2.18
1.60% |
$138.60
|
716,380
47.92% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,495,000
|
$141.95
-2.64%
|
12/29/2017
|
$113.06
|
PP = $123.58
|
|
MB = $129.76
|
Most Recent Note - 1/17/2018 6:16:29 PM
G - Perched near its all-time high, consolidating after rising well above its "max buy" level. Recent gains above the pivot point lacked the necessary minimum +40% above average volume needed to meet the guidelines for a proper technical buy signal. Its 50 DMA line ($110) defines support above the recent low ($98.50 on 12/06/17). This China-based Internet - Content firm's fundamentals remain strong.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Touched a New High But Ended Below New Pivot Point Cited - 1/4/2018 |
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C
A
S
I |
Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group |
PRICE |
CHANGE
(%Change) |
Day High |
Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol) |
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi |
Featured
Date |
Price
Featured |
Pivot Featured |
|
Max Buy |
HTHT
-
NASDAQ
China Lodging Group Ads
LEISURE - Lodging
|
$156.81
|
+4.91
3.23% |
$157.81
|
624,362
94.17% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 663,000
|
$159.35
-1.59%
|
12/22/2017
|
$138.07
|
PP = $142.90
|
|
MB = $150.05
|
Most Recent Note - 1/19/2018 1:58:55 PM
G - Posting a 3rd consecutive gain and its color code is changed to green after rising back above its "max buy" level. Important near term chart support is defined by the prior high $142.80.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Sales Revenues Growth Rate Shows Acceleration - 12/22/2017 |
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C
A
S
I |
PETS
-
NASDAQ
Petmed Express Inc
RETAIL - Drug Stores
|
$53.24
|
+2.67
5.28% |
$53.89
|
1,482,938
285.18% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 520,000
|
$53.90
-1.22%
|
1/19/2018
|
$53.59
|
PP = $51.00
|
|
MB = $53.55
|
Most Recent Note - 1/19/2018 4:57:38 PM
Y - Finished strong after highlighted in yellow with pivot point cited based on its 7/27/17 high plus 10 cents. See the latest FSU analysis for more details and a new annotated graph. Due to report earnings for the Dec '17 quarter before the market opens on Monday, January 22nd. Keep in mind that volume and volatility often increase near earnings news. This Florida-based Retail - Internet firm pulled back sharply and then made gradual progress since last noted in the 10/23/17 mid-day report when it had gapped up for a considerable gain - "Reported earnings +79% on +10% sales revenues for the Sep '17 quarter, its 3rd consecutive quarterly comparison above the +25% minimum guideline (C criteria), helping it better match the fact based investment system's winning models."
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Strong Finish Ahead of Earnings News Next Week - 1/19/2018 |
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C
A
S
I |
PATK
-
NASDAQ
Patrick Industries Inc
Bldg-Mobile/Mfg and RV
|
$69.60
|
+1.60
2.35% |
$69.65
|
267,458
172.55% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 155,000
|
$71.13
-2.14%
|
10/26/2017
|
$90.90
|
PP = $87.90
|
|
MB = $92.30
|
Most Recent Note - 1/19/2018 12:28:56 PM
G - Found prompt support this week while testing prior highs in the $64 area and its 50 DMA line ($65.08) while undercutting last week's low. More damaging losses would raise greater concerns. Fundamentals remain strong. Shares split 3/2 effective 12/11/17.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Pulled Back From Record High With Higher Volume - 1/10/2018 |
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C
A
S
I |
ESNT
-
NYSE
Essent Group Ltd
Finance-MrtgandRel Svc
|
$49.00
|
+0.64
1.32% |
$49.00
|
450,947
55.74% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 809,000
|
$49.00
0.00%
|
10/9/2017
|
$39.75
|
PP = $41.54
|
|
MB = $43.62
|
Most Recent Note - 1/12/2018 7:21:39 PM
G - extended from any sound base, it hit a new all-time high with today's 7th consecutive gain. Recent lows in the $43.00 area define important support where more damaging losses would raise greater concerns.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Perched Near High After Brief Consolidation Below 50 DMA Line - 1/9/2018 |
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C
A
S
I |
FIVE
-
NASDAQ
Five Below Inc
Retail-DiscountandVariety
|
$67.52
|
+0.73
1.09% |
$67.91
|
669,683
58.74% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,140,000
|
$73.55
-8.20%
|
1/2/2018
|
$69.16
|
PP = $68.99
|
|
MB = $72.44
|
Most Recent Note - 1/12/2018 7:29:19 PM
Y - Recent low ($64.73 on 1/10/18) defines important near term support above its 50 DMA line ($63.46) while consolidating. Weak action on 1/08/18 negated a recent breakout from an advanced "3 weeks tight" base. Fundamentals remain very strong.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Consolidating After Negating Breakout From Advanced Base - 1/17/2018 |
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C
A
S
I |
Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group |
PRICE |
CHANGE
(%Change) |
Day High |
Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol) |
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi |
Featured
Date |
Price
Featured |
Pivot Featured |
|
Max Buy |
OLED
-
NASDAQ
Universal Display Corp
Elec-Misc Products
|
$203.65
|
-1.95
-0.95% |
$209.00
|
796,419
87.42% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 911,000
|
$208.20
-2.19%
|
1/8/2018
|
$191.68
|
PP = $192.85
|
|
MB = $202.49
|
Most Recent Note - 1/17/2018 6:10:26 PM
G - Color code is changed to green after quietly rising above its "max buy" level. Stubbornly held its ground since its gain on 1/08/18 triggered a convincing new (or add-on) technical buy signal. Near term support is at its 50 DMA line ($178.23). Subsequent losses leading to a violation may trigger a technical sell signal. Fundamentals remain very strong.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Technical Breakout With Volume-Driven Gain For New High - 1/8/2018 |
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C
A
S
I |
ANET
-
NYSE
Arista Networks Inc
TELECOMMUNICATIONS - Communication Equipment
|
$270.84
|
+5.65
2.13% |
$271.87
|
679,905
82.11% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 828,000
|
$268.12
1.01%
|
1/8/2018
|
$248.88
|
PP = $245.75
|
|
MB = $258.04
|
Most Recent Note - 1/17/2018 6:12:26 PM
G - Color code is changed to green after rising back above its "max buy" level. Prior highs in the $245 area define initial support to watch above its 50 DMA line ($232).
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Encountering Distributional Pressure After Wedging Near Prior High - 1/2/2018 |
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C
A
S
I |
PAYC
-
NYSE
Paycom Software Inc
COMPUTER SOFTWARE and SERVICES - Application Software
|
$91.19
|
+2.07
2.32% |
$91.79
|
769,888
144.17% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 534,000
|
$90.92
0.30%
|
1/12/2018
|
$87.93
|
PP = $86.20
|
|
MB = $90.51
|
Most Recent Note - 1/19/2018 2:05:07 PM
G - Color code is changed to green while rallying above its "max buy" level and hitting a new all-time high with today's 3rd consecutive gain on ever-increasing volume. Prior highs near $86 define initial support to watch on pullbacks.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Finished Strong With Big Gain on +118% Above Average Volume - 1/12/2018 |
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C
A
S
I |
GRUB
-
NYSE
Grubhub Inc
COMPUTER SOFTWARE and SERVICES - Technical and System Software
|
$70.03
|
-0.31
-0.44% |
$70.54
|
1,280,006
108.48% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,180,000
|
$74.81
-6.38%
|
6/21/2017
|
$47.33
|
PP = $46.94
|
|
MB = $49.29
|
Most Recent Note - 1/12/2018 6:58:09 PM
G - Found prompt support near its 50 DMA line ($68.06) this week and rose further today on higher volume helping its outlook improve. Subsequent losses undercutting the latest low ($66.28) would raise greater concerns. See the latest FSU for additional details and an annotated graph.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Prompt Rebound Above 50-Day Moving Average Helped Outlook - 1/11/2018 |
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C
A
S
I |
IBP
-
NYSE
Installed Building Prod
DIVERSIFIED SERVICES - Business/Management Services
|
$74.40
|
+0.40
0.54% |
$75.60
|
214,503
106.72% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 201,000
|
$79.40
-6.30%
|
12/26/2017
|
$75.00
|
PP = $79.50
|
|
MB = $83.48
|
Most Recent Note - 1/17/2018 6:08:34 PM
Y - Posted a solid gain on even higher volume today while consolidating in an orderly fashion above its 50 DMA line ($72.03). Volume-driven gains for new highs may trigger a new (or add-on) technical buy signal. Subsequent losses leading to violations of the 50 DMA line or recent low ($68.30 on 12/13/17) may trigger technical sell signals. Fundamentals remain very strong.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Building on an Advanced Ascending Base Pattern - 12/26/2017 |
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C
A
S
I |
Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group |
PRICE |
CHANGE
(%Change) |
Day High |
Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol) |
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi |
Featured
Date |
Price
Featured |
Pivot Featured |
|
Max Buy |
OLLI
-
NASDAQ
Ollie's Bargain Outlet
Retail-DiscountandVariety
|
$56.60
|
+1.55
2.82% |
$56.65
|
471,081
79.71% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 591,000
|
$56.65
-0.09%
|
11/21/2017
|
$46.78
|
PP = $47.00
|
|
MB = $49.35
|
Most Recent Note - 1/18/2018 5:30:35 PM
G - Extended from any sound base. Its 50 DMA line and recent low define important near-term support above prior highs in the $46 area. Fundamentals remain very strong. See the latest FSU analysis for more details and a new annotated graph.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Bargain Outlet Looked Expensive Before +114% Rally in 18 Months - 1/18/2018 |
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A
S
I |
WB
-
NASDAQ
Weibo Corp Cl A Ads
INTERNET - Content
|
$130.29
|
+0.67
0.52% |
$132.50
|
1,094,773
57.59% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,901,000
|
$130.89
-0.46%
|
1/16/2018
|
$126.33
|
PP = $122.21
|
|
MB = $128.32
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Most Recent Note - 1/17/2018 6:06:51 PM
G - Color code is changed to green after quickly rallying and closing above its "max buy" level. Gain on prior session was backed by +60% above average volume and it closed above the pivot point, clinching a technical buy signal. Highlighted in yellow on 1/16/18 in the mid-day report with pivot point cited based on its 1/08/18 high after an 8-week cup-with-handle base. Limited annual earnings (A criteria) history for this China-based Internet - Content firm remains a concern. See the latest FSU analysis and an annotated graph.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Close in Session's Lower Third a Sign of Distributional Pressure - 1/16/2018 |
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A
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HLI
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NYSE
Houlihan Lokey Inc Cl A
Finance-Invest Bnk/Bkrs
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$50.50
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+0.25
0.50% |
$50.69
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198,470
103.91% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 191,000
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$51.45
-1.85%
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1/3/2018
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$45.88
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PP = $47.09
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MB = $49.44
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Most Recent Note - 1/12/2018 7:07:14 PM
G - Color code is changed to green after rallying above its "max buy" with +54% above average volume behind today's 5th consecutive gain. Its 50 DMA line ($44.55) defines near-term support to watch on pullbacks. On 10/26/17 it completed a Secondary Offering. Fundamentals remain strong.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Tight Weekly Closes Formed Advanced Base Pattern - 1/3/2018 |
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