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AFTER MARKET UPDATE - FRIDAY, JANUARY 26TH, 2018
Previous After Market Report Next After Market Report >>>
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DOW |
+223.92 |
26,616.71 |
+0.85% |
|
Volume |
807,410,730 |
-9% |
|
Volume |
2,115,964,857 |
+2% |
|
NASDAQ |
+94.61 |
7,505.77 |
+1.28% |
|
Advancers |
1,613 |
54% |
|
Advancers |
1,305 |
53% |
|
S&P 500 |
+33.62 |
2,872.87 |
+1.18% |
|
Decliners |
1,347 |
45% |
|
Decliners |
1,144 |
47% |
|
Russell 2000 |
+6.39 |
1,608.06 |
+0.40% |
|
52 Wk Highs |
271 |
|
|
52 Wk Highs |
285 |
|
|
S&P 600 |
+3.01 |
979.57 |
+0.31% |
|
52 Wk Lows |
79 |
|
|
52 Wk Lows |
30 |
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Major Indices Rally Further Into Record High Territory
Kenneth J. Gruneisen - Passed the CAN SLIM® Master's Exam
For the week the Dow was up 2.1%, the S&P 500 added 2.2% and the Nasdaq climbed 2.3%. Stocks were firmly higher Friday. The Dow climbed 224 points to 26616 and the S&P 500 added 34 points to 2872. The Nasdaq Composite gained 95 points to 7505. Volume totals reported were mixed, lower than the prior session total on the NYSE and higher on the Nasdaq exchange. Advancers led decliners by a narrow margin on both the NYSE and the Nasdaq exchange. New 52-week highs totals expanded and solidly outnumbered new 52-week lows totals on the NYSE and the Nasdaq exchange. There were 96 high-ranked companies from the Leaders List that made new 52-week highs and were listed on the BreakOuts Page, versus the total of 74 on the prior session. The Featured Stocks Page provides the latest analysis on noteworthy high-ranked leaders. Charts used courtesy of www.stockcharts.com
 PICTURED: The S&P 500 Index hit another new record high, making steady progress in January. The major averages (M criteria) are in a confirmed uptrend. Investors should only consider stocks meeting all key criteria of the fact-based investment system as they trigger technical buy signals.
The major averages finished at all-time record levels and notched their fourth consecutive weekly gain following generally positive corporate earnings releases. On the data front, the preliminary fourth-quarter GDP figure revealed the U.S. economy expanded at a 2.6% annualized rate. While below a projected 3.0% increase, imports rose at the fastest pace in over seven years. In a separate release, durable goods orders were up 2.9% in December, surpassing 0.8% consensus estimates.
Health Care shares were outperformers as AbbVie Inc. (ABBV +13.77%) rose after exceeding analyst expectations. Technology also paced gains as Intel (INTC +10.55%) rallied after the chipmaker topped earnings projections. VMware (VMW +8.99%) surged on reports Dell Technologies Inc (DVMT -6.45%) may purchase the remainder of the company it doesn’t already own. In other earnings news, Colgate-Palmolive (CL -4.85%) fell despite posting profits that matched forecasts. E-Trade (ETFC -1.33%) fell on higher expenses and disappointing guidance. Shares of Wynn Resorts (WYNN -10.12%) were a notable decliner amid allegations of workplace misconduct by CEO Steve Wynn.
Treasuries were weaker along the curve sending yields higher. The 10-year note yield climbed three basis points to 2.65%. In commodities, NYMEX WTI crude gained 1.1% to $66.21/barrel. COMEX gold fell 1.0% to $1349.60/ounce. |
Kenneth J. Gruneisen started out as a licensed stockbroker in August 1987, a couple of months prior to the historic stock market crash that took the Dow Jones Industrial Average down -22.6% in a single day. He has published daily fact-based fundamental and technical analysis on high-ranked stocks online for two decades. Through FACTBASEDINVESTING.COM, Kenneth provides educational articles, news, market commentary, and other information regarding proven investment systems that work in good times and bad.
Comments contained in the body of this report are technical opinions only and are not necessarily those of Gruneisen Growth Corp. The material herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable and accurate, however, its accuracy and completeness cannot be guaranteed. Our firm, employees, and customers may effect transactions, including transactions contrary to any recommendation herein, or have positions in the securities mentioned herein or options with respect thereto. Any recommendation contained in this report may not be suitable for all investors and it is not to be deemed an offer or solicitation on our part with respect to the purchase or sale of any securities. |
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Retail and Tech Indexes Led Widespread Group Gains
Kenneth J. Gruneisen - Passed the CAN SLIM® Master's Exam
On Friday the Retail Index ($RLX +1.29%) outpaced the Bank Index ($BKX +0.72%) and the Broker/Dealer Index ($XBD +0.65%) on a widely positive session. The tech sector led by the Semiconductor Index ($SOX +3.26%) while the Networking Index ($NWX +1.10%) and Biotechnology Index ($BTK +1.10%) both rose by more than +1%. The Gold & Silver Index ($XAU +0.44%), Integrated Oil Index ($XOI +0.84%) and the Oil Services Index ($OSX +0.46%) each posted a modest gain. Charts courtesy wwwstockcharts.com
 PICTURED: The Broker/Dealer Index ($XBD +0.65%) is consolidating near its record high after making steady progress in January.
| Oil Services |
$OSX |
162.84 |
+0.74 |
+0.46% |
+8.89% |
| Integrated Oil |
$XOI |
1,452.70 |
+12.14 |
+0.84% |
+8.77% |
| Semiconductor |
$SOX |
1,381.27 |
+43.65 |
+3.26% |
+10.23% |
| Networking |
$NWX |
515.21 |
+5.60 |
+1.10% |
+5.03% |
| Broker/Dealer |
$XBD |
281.98 |
+1.81 |
+0.65% |
+6.31% |
| Retail |
$RLX |
2,007.83 |
+25.59 |
+1.29% |
+15.81% |
| Gold & Silver |
$XAU |
90.31 |
+0.40 |
+0.44% |
+5.91% |
| Bank |
$BKX |
116.41 |
+0.83 |
+0.72% |
+9.09% |
| Biotech |
$BTK |
4,926.74 |
+53.65 |
+1.10% |
+16.69% |
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Damaging Losses Hurt Companies That Make Recreational Vehicles
Kenneth J. Gruneisen - Passed the CAN SLIM® Master's Exam
Thor Industries Inc (THO -$11.10 or -7.33% to $140.33) gapped down today violating its 50-day moving average (DMA) line ($149.48) with a 2nd consecutive big loss on even heavier volume. There were big losses from most other companies in the same industry group. The weak action was indicative of distributional pressure and triggered a technical sell signal. Its color code was changed to green. Only a prompt rebound above the 50 DMA line would help its outlook improve.
Fundamentals remain strong. Recently it reported earnings +63% on +31% sales revenues for the Oct '17 quarter, continuing its strong earnings track record. The past 5 quarters were above the +25% minimum earnings guideline (C criteria) of the fact-based investment system. Its annual earnings history (A criteria) has been good. Return on Equity is reported at 26%, well above the 17% minimum guideline.
The Elkhart, IN based Building - Mobile/Mfg & RV firm failed to produce volume-driven gains and trigger a convincing technical buy signal after last shown in this FSU section on 12/27/17 with an annotated graph under the headline, "Holding Ground in Tight Range Near High".
THO has earned a current Timeliness rating of A and a Sponsorship rating of C. The number of top-rated funds owning its shares rose from 489 in Mar '16 to 643 in Dec '17. Its current Up/Down Volume Ratio of 1.0 is an unbiased indication its shares have been neutral concerning accumulation/distribution over the past 50 days (I criteria). Its small supply of only 49.5 million shares (S criteria) in the public float can contribute to greater volatility in the event of institutional buying or selling. |
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Color Codes Explained :
Y - Better candidates highlighted by our
staff of experts.
G - Previously featured
in past reports as yellow but may no longer be buyable under the
guidelines.
***Last / Change / Volume data in this table is the closing quote data***
Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group |
PRICE |
CHANGE
(%Change) |
Day High |
Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol) |
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi |
Featured
Date |
Price
Featured |
Pivot Featured |
|
Max Buy |
THO
-
NYSE
Thor Industries Inc
AUTOMOTIVE - Recreational Vehicles
|
$139.82
|
-11.61
-7.67% |
$148.50
|
3,998,497
666.42% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 600,000
|
$161.48
-13.41%
|
12/19/2017
|
$153.92
|
PP = $156.96
|
|
MB = $164.81
|
Most Recent Note - 1/26/2018 4:53:48 PM
G - Gapped down today violating its 50 DMA line ($149.48) with a 2nd consecutive big loss on even heavier volume. Color code was changed to green after action indicative of distributional pressure triggering a technical sell signal. Only a prompt rebound above the 50 DMA line would help its outlook improve. See the latest FSU analysis for more details and a new annotated graph.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Damaging Losses Hurt Companies That Make Recreational Vehicles - 1/26/2018 |
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C
A
S
I |
ROG
-
NYSE
Rogers Corp
CONSUMER NON-DURABLES - Rubber and Plastics
|
$171.93
|
+2.01
1.18% |
$172.07
|
45,241
28.10% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 161,000
|
$184.00
-6.56%
|
12/29/2017
|
$162.92
|
PP = $168.17
|
|
MB = $176.58
|
Most Recent Note - 1/22/2018 5:25:10 PM
Y - Suffered another damaging volume-driven loss today raising concerns. Testing prior highs in the $168 area which define initial support to watch above its 50 DMA line ($161.44).
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Hovering Near Prior High After 3rd Strong Quarterly Earnings - 12/29/2017 |
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C
A
S
I |
TPL
-
NYSE
Texas Pacific Land Trust
FINANCIAL SERVICES - Diversified Investments
|
$530.76
|
-4.24
-0.79% |
$542.12
|
8,595
53.72% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 16,000
|
$569.99
-6.88%
|
12/21/2017
|
$419.50
|
PP = $435.09
|
|
MB = $456.84
|
Most Recent Note - 1/24/2018 1:03:57 PM
G - Consolidating after getting very extended from the previously noted base. Prior highs in the $434 area define initial support to watch on pullbacks. See the latest FSU analysis for more details and an annotated graph.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Considerable Gains in First 2-3 Weeks After Recent Breakout - 1/23/2018 |
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C
A
S
I |
YY
-
NASDAQ
YY Inc
INTERNET - Internet Service Providers
|
$139.89
|
-0.50
-0.36% |
$142.97
|
929,912
61.71% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,507,000
|
$141.95
-1.45%
|
12/29/2017
|
$113.06
|
PP = $123.58
|
|
MB = $129.76
|
Most Recent Note - 1/24/2018 5:21:43 PM
G - Posted a quiet gain today for a best-ever close. Very extended from any sound base, prior highs in the $123 area and its 50 DMA line ($115.57) define support to watch on pullbacks. This China-based Internet - Content firm's fundamentals remain strong.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Touched a New High But Ended Below New Pivot Point Cited - 1/4/2018 |
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C
A
S
I |
HTHT
-
NASDAQ
China Lodging Group Ads
LEISURE - Lodging
|
$156.80
|
-0.33
-0.21% |
$158.89
|
745,407
106.95% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 697,000
|
$166.19
-5.65%
|
12/22/2017
|
$138.07
|
PP = $142.90
|
|
MB = $150.05
|
Most Recent Note - 1/24/2018 5:10:16 PM
G - Found support above the prior high ($142.80 on 10/25/17) during the recent consolidation following a powerful breakout. See the latest FSU analysis for more details and a new annotated graph.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Found Support Above Prior High After Latest Breakout - 1/24/2018 |
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C
A
S
I |
Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group |
PRICE |
CHANGE
(%Change) |
Day High |
Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol) |
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi |
Featured
Date |
Price
Featured |
Pivot Featured |
|
Max Buy |
PETS
-
NASDAQ
Petmed Express Inc
RETAIL - Drug Stores
|
$47.80
|
+1.77
3.85% |
$47.89
|
792,993
115.93% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 684,000
|
$57.80
-17.30%
|
1/19/2018
|
$53.59
|
PP = $51.00
|
|
MB = $53.55
|
Most Recent Note - 1/24/2018 5:29:43 PM
Y - Suffered a 2nd big loss on above average volume in the span of 3 sessions. Spiked to a new all-time high but there was a a big "negative reversal" on 1/22/18 following earnings news. Reported earnings +83% on +14% sales revenues, continuing its strong earnings track record. On 1/19/18 it was highlighted in yellow in the mid-day report (read here).
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Strong Finish Ahead of Earnings News Next Week - 1/19/2018 |
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C
A
S
I |
PATK
-
NASDAQ
Patrick Industries Inc
Bldg-Mobile/Mfg and RV
|
$65.60
|
-5.80
-8.12% |
$71.40
|
702,135
417.94% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 168,000
|
$72.35
-9.33%
|
10/26/2017
|
$90.90
|
PP = $87.90
|
|
MB = $92.30
|
Most Recent Note - 1/26/2018 12:57:19 PM
G - Abruptly retreating from its all-time high, undercutting its 50 DMA line ($66.20) with today's considerable volume-driven loss raising concerns. Extended from any sound base, yet it found prompt support last week while testing prior highs in the $64 area and its 50 DMA line. Shares split 3/2 effective 12/11/17.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Pulled Back From Record High With Higher Volume - 1/10/2018 |
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C
A
S
I |
ESNT
-
NYSE
Essent Group Ltd
Finance-MrtgandRel Svc
|
$47.76
|
-0.31
-0.64% |
$48.27
|
284,730
39.43% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 722,100
|
$50.08
-4.63%
|
10/9/2017
|
$39.75
|
PP = $41.54
|
|
MB = $43.62
|
Most Recent Note - 1/22/2018 5:30:07 PM
G - Extended from any sound base, it hit another new all-time high with today's 11th gain in the span of 12 sessions. Its 50 DMA line and recent lows in the $43.00 area define important support where more damaging losses would raise greater concerns.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Perched Near High After Brief Consolidation Below 50 DMA Line - 1/9/2018 |
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C
A
S
I |
FIVE
-
NASDAQ
Five Below Inc
Retail-DiscountandVariety
|
$66.99
|
-0.28
-0.42% |
$67.85
|
987,215
85.03% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,161,000
|
$73.55
-8.92%
|
1/2/2018
|
$69.16
|
PP = $68.99
|
|
MB = $72.44
|
Most Recent Note - 1/26/2018 3:59:36 PM
Y - Consolidating in a tight range in recent weeks with volume totals cooling. Its 50 DMA line ($65.22) and recent low ($64.73 on 1/10/18) define important near term support where violations may trigger technical sell signals. Fundamentals remain very strong.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Consolidating After Negating Breakout From Advanced Base - 1/17/2018 |
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C
A
S
I |
OLED
-
NASDAQ
Universal Display Corp
Elec-Misc Products
|
$170.45
|
+2.20
1.31% |
$170.75
|
3,619,866
356.29% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,016,000
|
$209.00
-18.44%
|
1/8/2018
|
$191.68
|
PP = $192.85
|
|
MB = $202.49
|
Most Recent Note - 1/26/2018 10:44:43 AM
G - Gapped down today, encountering damaging distributional pressure while on track for a 6th consecutive loss marked by above average volume. Violated prior highs in the $192 area and also undercut its 50 DMA line ($180.74) triggering technical sell signals. Only a prompt rebound above the 50 DMA line would help its outlook.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Technical Breakout With Volume-Driven Gain For New High - 1/8/2018 |
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C
A
S
I |
Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group |
PRICE |
CHANGE
(%Change) |
Day High |
Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol) |
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi |
Featured
Date |
Price
Featured |
Pivot Featured |
|
Max Buy |
ANET
-
NYSE
Arista Networks Inc
TELECOMMUNICATIONS - Communication Equipment
|
$283.50
|
+6.74
2.44% |
$283.50
|
486,194
62.25% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 781,000
|
$279.60
1.39%
|
1/8/2018
|
$248.88
|
PP = $245.75
|
|
MB = $258.04
|
Most Recent Note - 1/24/2018 5:16:14 PM
G - Stubbornly holding its ground after getting extended well above its "max buy" level. Prior highs in the $245 area define initial support to watch above its 50 DMA line ($238).
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Encountering Distributional Pressure After Wedging Near Prior High - 1/2/2018 |
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C
A
S
I |
PAYC
-
NYSE
Paycom Software Inc
COMPUTER SOFTWARE and SERVICES - Application Software
|
$92.94
|
+3.05
3.39% |
$93.09
|
800,298
141.40% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 566,000
|
$93.61
-0.71%
|
1/12/2018
|
$87.93
|
PP = $86.20
|
|
MB = $90.51
|
Most Recent Note - 1/24/2018 5:25:30 PM
G - Encountered distributional pressure with a loss on higher volume today while retreating from its all-time high hit on the prior session. Prior highs near $86 define initial support to watch on pullbacks.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Finished Strong With Big Gain on +118% Above Average Volume - 1/12/2018 |
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C
A
S
I |
GRUB
-
NYSE
Grubhub Inc
COMPUTER SOFTWARE and SERVICES - Technical and System Software
|
$76.49
|
+3.09
4.21% |
$76.74
|
2,025,519
169.50% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,195,000
|
$74.81
2.25%
|
6/21/2017
|
$47.33
|
PP = $46.94
|
|
MB = $49.29
|
Most Recent Note - 1/26/2018 3:55:22 PM
G - Powering to a new all-time high with today's big volume-driven gain clearing short flat base during which it found prompt support near its 50 DMA line. The 2 latest quarterly comparisons were below the +25% minimum earnings guideline, so fundamental concerns were raised and noted before.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Prompt Rebound Above 50-Day Moving Average Helped Outlook - 1/11/2018 |
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C
A
S
I |
IBP
-
NYSE
Installed Building Prod
DIVERSIFIED SERVICES - Business/Management Services
|
$73.95
|
+0.55
0.75% |
$74.20
|
138,086
73.45% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 188,000
|
$79.40
-6.86%
|
12/26/2017
|
$75.00
|
PP = $79.50
|
|
MB = $83.48
|
Most Recent Note - 1/24/2018 5:14:56 PM
Y - Quietly consolidating just above its 50 DMA line ($73.18). Below that important short-term average the recent lows ($72.30 on 1/16/18 and $68.30 on 12/13/17) define the next important support levels where violations may trigger more worrisome technical sell signals. Subsequent volume-driven gains for new highs may trigger a new (or add-on) technical buy signal.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Quietly Consolidating Near 50-Day Moving Average Line - 1/25/2018 |
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C
A
S
I |
OLLI
-
NASDAQ
Ollie's Bargain Outlet
Retail-DiscountandVariety
|
$57.95
|
+0.95
1.67% |
$58.10
|
356,572
58.55% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 609,000
|
$58.00
-0.09%
|
11/21/2017
|
$46.78
|
PP = $47.00
|
|
MB = $49.35
|
Most Recent Note - 1/24/2018 5:23:31 PM
G - Perched near its all-time high, extended from any sound base. Its 50 DMA line ($50.58) and recent low ($50.15 on 1/04/18) define important near-term support above prior highs in the $46 area. Fundamentals remain very strong.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Bargain Outlet Looked Expensive Before +114% Rally in 18 Months - 1/18/2018 |
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C
A
S
I |
Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group |
PRICE |
CHANGE
(%Change) |
Day High |
Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol) |
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi |
Featured
Date |
Price
Featured |
Pivot Featured |
|
Max Buy |
WB
-
NASDAQ
Weibo Corp Cl A Ads
INTERNET - Content
|
$136.10
|
+5.58
4.28% |
$136.19
|
1,579,210
93.39% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,691,000
|
$132.72
2.55%
|
1/16/2018
|
$126.33
|
PP = $122.21
|
|
MB = $128.32
|
Most Recent Note - 1/24/2018 5:18:40 PM
G - There was a "negative reversal" for a loss on higher volume after touching a new all-time high today. Prior highs in the $123 area define initial support to watch on pullbacks.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Close in Session's Lower Third a Sign of Distributional Pressure - 1/16/2018 |
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C
A
S
I |
HLI
-
NYSE
Houlihan Lokey Inc Cl A
Finance-Invest Bnk/Bkrs
|
$51.32
|
+0.36
0.71% |
$51.40
|
288,040
155.70% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 185,000
|
$51.79
-0.91%
|
1/3/2018
|
$45.88
|
PP = $47.09
|
|
MB = $49.44
|
Most Recent Note - 1/26/2018 3:56:41 PM
G - Perched near its all-time high, extended from any sound base. Its 50 DMA line ($46.19) defines near-term support to watch on pullbacks. On 10/26/17 it completed a Secondary Offering. Fundamentals remain strong.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Tight Weekly Closes Formed Advanced Base Pattern - 1/3/2018 |
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A
S
I |
ICHR
-
NASDAQ
Ichor Holdings Ltd
ELECTRONICS - Semiconductor Equipment
|
$34.01
|
+1.86
5.79% |
$34.02
|
1,385,167
104.23% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,329,000
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$35.51
-4.22%
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1/22/2018
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$34.00
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PP = $35.61
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MB = $37.39
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Most Recent Note - 1/26/2018 10:46:37 AM
Y - Perched within striking distance of its 52-week high. New pivot point cited was based on its 10/20/17 high plus 10 cents in the 1/22/18 mid-day report (read here). Very little overhead supply remains. Subsequent gains above the pivot point backed by at least +40% above average volume are still needed to trigger a technical buy signal.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Found Support at 200 Day Average and Rebounded Near Prior High - 1/22/2018 |
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