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AFTER MARKET UPDATE - MONDAY, AUGUST 10TH, 2015
Previous After Market Report Next After Market Report >>>
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DOW |
+241.79 |
17,615.17 |
+1.39% |
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Volume |
847,933,370 |
+5% |
|
Volume |
1,630,915,400 |
-12% |
|
NASDAQ |
+58.26 |
5,101.80 |
+1.16% |
|
Advancers |
2,368 |
76% |
|
Advancers |
1,979 |
70% |
|
S&P 500 |
+26.61 |
2,104.18 |
+1.28% |
|
Decliners |
737 |
24% |
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Decliners |
856 |
30% |
|
Russell 2000 |
+15.77 |
1,222.67 |
+1.31% |
|
52 Wk Highs |
82 |
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|
52 Wk Highs |
53 |
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S&P 600 |
+8.46 |
709.67 |
+1.21% |
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52 Wk Lows |
82 |
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52 Wk Lows |
83 |
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Gains Lift 2 of 3 Major Indicies Above 50-Day Moving Average Lines
Kenneth J. Gruneisen - Passed the CAN SLIM® Master's Exam
Stocks rebounded strongly on Monday. The Dow rose 241 points to 17615. The S&P 500 gained 26 points to 2104. The NASDAQ advanced 58 points to 5101. Volume totals were reported mixed, higher than the prior session total on the NYSE and lower on the Nasdaq exchange. Breadth was positive as advancers led decliners by a better than 3-1 margin on the NYSE and better than 2-1 on the Nasdaq exchange. Leadership expanded as there were 47 high-ranked companies from the Leaders List that made new 52-week highs and appeared on the BreakOuts Page, up from the prior session total of 9 stocks. There were gains for 12 of the 16 high-ranked companies currently on the Featured Stocks Page. New 52-week lows outnumbered new 52-week highs on the Nasdaq exchange while they were evenly matched on the NYSE.
The Nasdaq Composite Index and the benchmark S&P 500 Index both rebounded above their respective 50-day moving average (DMA) lines with Monday's big gains. The technical improvements for 2 of the 3 major averages (M criteria) coupled with an expansion in leadership gave investors encouraging signs that the market "uptrend" is alive. Stocks identified as the best matches with the fact-based investment system's guidelines currently are listed to the Featured Stocks Page.
PICTURED: The Dow Jones Industrial Average's gain broke a 7-session losing streak. The Blue Chip Index is well below its 50-day and 200-day moving average (DMA) lines which are converging. Technically, it is in worse shape than the other major averages.
The major averages finished higher as investors focused on global M&A. Overseas, China’s Shanghai Composite rose +4.9%, amid reports that the government is encouraging mergers of state owned enterprises. Domestically, Precision Castparts (PCP +19.1%) soared after a $37.2 billion takeout offer from Berkshire Hathaway (BRKB -0.09%).
Nine of 10 S&P 500 sectors climbed on the session. Energy and materials were up the most. Diamond Offshore (DO +8.64%) and Chesapeake (CHK +3.73%) rose in sympathy with oil prices. In materials, Freeport McMoRan (FCX +10.64%) jumped, as copper prices showed improvement. Industrials were another standout. Aided by the M&A news, Joy Global (JOY +8.44%) rose. Bearish analyst commentary sent Intuit (INTU -0.43%) lower, but positive remarks left Texas Instruments (TXN +3.50%) higher.
Treasuries gave up ground as regional Fed President Lockhart reiterated recently hawkish remarks on looming rate hikes. The 10-year note was off 19/32 to yield 2.23%.
Commodities were broadly higher. WTI crude jumped 2.1% to $44.80/barrel. COMEX gold advanced 0.9% to $1103.40/ounce. The dollar was mixed, falling 0.5% against the euro to $1.1016/EUR, but gaining 0.3% to ¥124.57/USD.
The Featured Stocks Page shows the most current notes with headline links which direct members into the more detailed letter-by-letter analysis including price/volume graphs annotated by our experts. See the Premium Member Homepage for archives to all prior pay reports.
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Kenneth J. Gruneisen started out as a licensed stockbroker in August 1987, a couple of months prior to the historic stock market crash that took the Dow Jones Industrial Average down -22.6% in a single day. He has published daily fact-based fundamental and technical analysis on high-ranked stocks online for two decades. Through FACTBASEDINVESTING.COM, Kenneth provides educational articles, news, market commentary, and other information regarding proven investment systems that work in good times and bad.
Comments contained in the body of this report are technical opinions only and are not necessarily those of Gruneisen Growth Corp. The material herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable and accurate, however, its accuracy and completeness cannot be guaranteed. Our firm, employees, and customers may effect transactions, including transactions contrary to any recommendation herein, or have positions in the securities mentioned herein or options with respect thereto. Any recommendation contained in this report may not be suitable for all investors and it is not to be deemed an offer or solicitation on our part with respect to the purchase or sale of any securities. |
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Commodity-Linked Groups Led Broad Market Gains
Kenneth J. Gruneisen - Passed the CAN SLIM® Master's Exam
Commodity linked groups bounced back and the Gold & Silver Index ($XAU +7.75%) was a standout gainer. The Oil Services Index ($OSX +4.73%) and the Integrated Oil Index ($XOI +3.11%) both posted large gains. The Broker/Dealer Index ($XBD +1.5%), Bank Index ($BKX +1.31%), and the Retail Index ($RLX +0.62%) also had a positive influence on the major averages on Monday. The Semiconductor Index ($SOX +2.48%) led the tech sector higher while the Biotechnology Index ($BTK +1.06%) and the Networking Index ($NWX +1.84%) followed with solid gains.
PICTURED: The Gold & Silver Index ($XAU +7.75%) was a standout gainer on Monday. It is well below its 50 and 200 DMA lines, rebounding from multi-year lows.
| Oil Services |
$OSX |
185.95 |
+8.39 |
+4.73% |
-11.82% |
| Integrated Oil |
$XOI |
1,209.90 |
+36.50 |
+3.11% |
-10.25% |
| Semiconductor |
$SOX |
652.65 |
+15.83 |
+2.49% |
-4.98% |
| Networking |
$NWX |
395.39 |
+7.15 |
+1.84% |
+10.46% |
| Broker/Dealer |
$XBD |
193.63 |
+3.02 |
+1.58% |
+4.87% |
| Retail |
$RLX |
1,229.40 |
+7.59 |
+0.62% |
+19.04% |
| Gold & Silver |
$XAU |
49.24 |
+3.54 |
+7.75% |
-28.41% |
| Bank |
$BKX |
79.53 |
+1.31 |
+1.67% |
+7.10% |
| Biotech |
$BTK |
4,103.98 |
+43.21 |
+1.06% |
+19.33% |
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Earnings News Often Leads to Greater Volume and Volatility
Kenneth J. Gruneisen - Passed the CAN SLIM® Master's Exam
Luxoft Holding Inc Cl A (LXFT +$1.31 or +2.19% to $61.17) is consolidating above its 50-day moving average (DMA) line ($58.84) and prior highs in the $57 area. Subsequent violations would trigger technical sell signals. It was last shown in this FSU section on 7/16/15 with an annotated graph under the headline, "Extended From Base After Wedging Higher". It was first highlighted in yellow with a pivot point cited based on its 4/23/15 high plus 10 cents in the 5/26/15 mid-day report (read here). Members were reminded - "Disciplined investors know that subsequent volume-driven gains above the pivot point for new highs (N criteria) are needed to trigger a proper technical buy signal." The confirming gains with heavy volume came later, on June 25th and 26th.
Keep in mind that it is due to report its Jun '15 quarterly earnings on 8/12/15, and volume and volatility often increase near earnings news. Sales revenues growth has been strong while it reported earnings +32%, +23%, +50%, and +28% in the Jun, Sep, Dec '14 and Mar '15 quarters versus the year ago periods. Its strong quarterly and annual earnings history (C and A criteria) matches the guidelines of the fact-based investment system.
The number of top-rated funds owning its shares rose from 185 in Jun '14 to 263 in Jun '15. Its current Up/Down Volume Ratio of 1.8 is an unbiased indication its shares have been under accumulation over the past 50 days, very reassuring signs concerning the I criteria. It has earned a Timeliness Rating of A. Its small supply of only 30.2 million shares (S criteria) in the public float can contribute to greater price volatility in the event of institutional buying or selling.
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Color Codes Explained :
Y - Better candidates highlighted by our
staff of experts.
G - Previously featured
in past reports as yellow but may no longer be buyable under the
guidelines.
***Last / Change / Volume data in this table is the closing quote data***
Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group |
PRICE |
CHANGE
(%Change) |
Day High |
Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol) |
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi |
Featured
Date |
Price
Featured |
Pivot Featured |
|
Max Buy |
GSBC
-
NASDAQ
Great Southern Bancorp
BANKING - Savings and Loans
|
$41.86
|
+0.63
1.53% |
$42.15
|
39,149
122.34% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 32,000
|
$42.99
-2.63%
|
4/27/2015
|
$40.94
|
PP = $40.54
|
|
MB = $42.57
|
Most Recent Note - 8/10/2015 12:38:22 PM
G - Consolidating near its 50 DMA line ($41.51) defining near-term support. Reported earnings +8% on -11% sales revenues for the Jun '15 quarter, raising fundamental concerns, and its color code was changed to green. Below the 50 DMA line its prior low ($40.46 on 7/08/15) defines the next important support where a violation would trigger a more worrisome technical sell signal.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Finding Support While Consolidating After Sub Par Quarter - 7/30/2015 |
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C
A
S
I |
BOFI
-
NASDAQ
B O F I Holding Inc
BANKING - Savings andamp; Loans
|
$130.48
|
-0.92
-0.70% |
$133.34
|
301,849
133.56% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 226,000
|
$134.79
-3.20%
|
6/10/2015
|
$101.47
|
PP = $97.78
|
|
MB = $102.67
|
Most Recent Note - 8/6/2015 12:22:10 PM
G - Perched at its all-time high following 6 consecutive gains marked by above average volume. Previously noted with caution - "It may produce more climactic gains, however it is very extended from its prior base. Its recent low ($111.43 on 7/29/15) defines near term support above its 50 DMA line."
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Extended and Perched Near High With Earnings News Due Soon - 7/27/2015 |
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C
A
S
I |
EPAM
-
NYSE
Epam Systems Inc
COMPUTER SOFTWARE and SERVICES - Information Technology Service
|
$70.76
|
-0.10
-0.14% |
$71.75
|
406,590
100.39% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 405,000
|
$76.69
-7.73%
|
5/18/2015
|
$67.42
|
PP = $70.59
|
|
MB = $74.12
|
Most Recent Note - 8/10/2015 3:37:09 PM
G - Still sputtering below its 50 DMA line after a damaging loss 8/05/15 triggering a worrisome technical sell signal. Color code was changed to green. Reported earnings +21% on +25% sales revenues for the Jun '15 quarter, below the +25% minimum guideline (C criteria), raising fundamental concerns.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Volume Totals Cooling While Consolidating Near Highs - 7/23/2015 |
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C
A
S
I |
AHS
-
NYSE
A M N Healthcare Svcs
DIVERSIFIED SERVICES - Staffing and Outsourcing Service
|
$34.39
|
+0.19
0.56% |
$35.35
|
825,232
122.26% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 675,000
|
$36.34
-5.37%
|
8/5/2015
|
$34.50
|
PP = $32.53
|
|
MB = $34.16
|
Most Recent Note - 8/10/2015 3:35:38 PM
G - Rallied above its "max buy" level and its color code is changed to green. Prior highs in the $32 area define initial support to watch above its 50 DMA line.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Gap Up Gain Triggered Technical Buy Signal Following Earnings - 8/5/2015 |
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C
A
S
I |
ILMN
-
NASDAQ
Illumina Inc
DRUGS - Biotechnology
|
$211.77
|
+1.27
0.60% |
$213.00
|
2,302,415
163.06% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,412,000
|
$242.37
-12.63%
|
6/8/2015
|
$209.97
|
PP = $213.43
|
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MB = $224.10
|
Most Recent Note - 8/6/2015 6:25:16 PM
G - Color code is changed to green after slumping below its 50 DMA line with a big loss on higher volume. Damaging losses below recent lows ($207) would raise concerns and trigger a more worrisome technical sell signal.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Support Found After Abrupt Pullback Following Earnings News - 7/24/2015 |
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C
A
S
I |
Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group |
PRICE |
CHANGE
(%Change) |
Day High |
Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol) |
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi |
Featured
Date |
Price
Featured |
Pivot Featured |
|
Max Buy |
JAZZ
-
NASDAQ
Jazz Pharmaceuticals Plc
DRUGS - Biotechnology
|
$181.48
|
-0.31
-0.17% |
$184.60
|
373,330
87.84% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 425,000
|
$194.73
-6.80%
|
7/29/2015
|
$190.13
|
PP = $191.11
|
|
MB = $200.67
|
Most Recent Note - 8/6/2015 1:41:35 PM
G - Pulling back today for a big loss with above average volume. Color code is changed to green due to fundamental concerns. Reported earnings +19% on +15% sales revenues for the Jun '15 quarter, below the +25% minimum earnings guideline (C criteria). It stalled after highlighted in yellow with pivot point cited based on its 4/27/15 high plus 10 cents in the 7/29/15 mid-day report (read here).
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : No Resistance Due to Overhead Supply For Drug Firm - 7/29/2015 |
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C
A
S
I |
VRX
-
NYSE
Valeant Pharmaceuticals
DRUGS - Drug Manufacturers - Other
|
$247.15
|
-0.64
-0.26% |
$253.62
|
1,278,108
77.23% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,655,000
|
$263.81
-6.32%
|
7/14/2015
|
$236.75
|
PP = $246.11
|
|
MB = $258.42
|
Most Recent Note - 8/6/2015 1:31:17 PM
Y - Pulling back today with higher volume, a sign of distributional pressure after wedging higher with recent gains lacking great volume conviction. Prior highs in the $246 area define initial support above the 50 DMA line. Its 7/23/15 gap up above the pivot point triggered a new (or add-on) technical buy signal.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Holding Ground Following Latest Technical Breakout - 8/3/2015 |
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C
A
S
I |
USNA
-
NYSE
U S A N A Health Science
DRUGS - Drug Related Products
|
$163.96
|
+3.99
2.49% |
$165.27
|
129,306
98.71% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 131,000
|
$176.88
-7.30%
|
8/5/2015
|
$157.22
|
PP = $145.15
|
|
MB = $152.41
|
Most Recent Note - 8/6/2015 6:18:59 PM
G - Abruptly pulled back and finished near the session low today with a big loss on heavy volume. Prior highs in the $145 area define initial support to watch. Quickly got very extended after highlighted in yellow with a pivot point based on its 7/02/15 high plus 10 cents in the 8/05/15 mid-day report (read here). A "breakaway gap" is one noted exception where buying more than +5% above a prior high is allowed under the fact-based investment system. Risk increases the further one chases a stock above prior highs. See the latest FSU analysis for more details and a new annotated graph.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Abrupt Retreat Following Breakout for Stock With Small Supply - 8/6/2015 |
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C
A
S
I |
AMBA
-
NASDAQ
Ambarella Inc
ELECTRONICS - Semiconductor - Specialized
|
$118.21
|
+3.23
2.81% |
$119.99
|
2,720,134
61.92% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 4,393,000
|
$129.19
-8.50%
|
5/1/2015
|
$75.99
|
PP = $77.49
|
|
MB = $81.36
|
Most Recent Note - 8/7/2015 5:55:21 PM
G - Consolidating above its 50 DMA line ($109) defining near-term support. A violation would trigger a technical sell signal. See the latest FSU analysis for more details and a new annotated graph.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Choppy Consolidation is Not a New Cup-With-Handle Base - 8/7/2015 |
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C
A
S
I |
ACHC
-
NASDAQ
Acadia Healthcare Inc
HEALTH SERVICES - Specialized Health Services
|
$82.45
|
+0.67
0.82% |
$83.96
|
469,982
61.92% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 759,000
|
$85.62
-3.70%
|
5/27/2015
|
$73.90
|
PP = $74.19
|
|
MB = $77.90
|
Most Recent Note - 8/10/2015 3:30:40 PM
G - Holding its ground after a volume-driven gain for a new high on 8/05/15, rallying from a brief consolidation, not a sound base pattern of sufficient length. Reported strong sales and earnings increases with acceleration again for Jun '15 quarter. Its 50 DMA line and recent lows define important support.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Pullback Followed Another Strong Quarter Reported With Acceleration - 8/4/2015 |
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C
A
S
I |
Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group |
PRICE |
CHANGE
(%Change) |
Day High |
Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol) |
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi |
Featured
Date |
Price
Featured |
Pivot Featured |
|
Max Buy |
APOG
-
NASDAQ
Apogee Enterprises
MATERIALS and CONSTRUCTION - General Building Materials
|
$53.49
|
+0.61
1.15% |
$54.00
|
276,247
85.26% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 324,000
|
$61.05
-12.38%
|
4/9/2015
|
$49.58
|
PP = $48.13
|
|
MB = $50.54
|
Most Recent Note - 8/6/2015 6:21:41 PM
G - Color code is changed to green while quietly slumping below its 50 DMA line. Damaging losses below recent low ($50.07 on 7/07/15) would raise greater concerns and trigger a worrisome technical sell signal.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Rebound Above 50-Day Moving Average Line - 7/31/2015 |
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C
A
S
I |
JLL
-
NYSE
Jones Lang Lasalle Inc
REAL ESTATE - Property Management/Developmen
|
$178.91
|
+1.49
0.84% |
$179.83
|
234,788
74.77% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 314,000
|
$179.83
-0.51%
|
6/4/2015
|
$172.34
|
PP = $174.93
|
|
MB = $183.68
|
Most Recent Note - 8/10/2015 3:38:46 PM
Y - Posting another gain with below average volume today, poised for a best ever close. Found encouraging support at its 50 DMA line, however, recent gains above the pivot point lacked the minimum +40% above average volume necessary to trigger a new (or add-on) technical buy signal.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Recent Gains Lacked Volume Conviction; Earnings Report Soon Expected - 7/22/2015 |
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C
A
S
I |
RH
-
NYSE
Restoration Hardware Hld
RETAIL - Home Furnishing Stores
|
$100.11
|
+0.55
0.55% |
$101.26
|
632,415
83.21% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 760,000
|
$105.98
-5.54%
|
7/28/2015
|
$102.40
|
PP = $102.10
|
|
MB = $107.21
|
Most Recent Note - 8/6/2015 1:38:10 PM
Y - Pulling back near near prior highs in the $100 area defining initial support. Its 50 DMA line ($98.04) defines the next important support level to watch.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Fundamental and Technical Action Improved Outlook - 7/28/2015 |
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C
A
S
I |
ULTA
-
NASDAQ
Ulta Salon Cosm & Frag
SPECIALTY RETAIL - Specialty Retail, Other
|
$168.36
|
+2.75
1.66% |
$169.13
|
573,365
75.54% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 759,000
|
$171.21
-1.66%
|
5/29/2015
|
$155.03
|
PP = $159.95
|
|
MB = $167.95
|
Most Recent Note - 8/10/2015 3:28:29 PM
Y - Small gap up today nearly challenging 52-week high. Consolidating well above prior highs in the $159 area defining initial support to watch on pullbacks.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Near "Max Buy" Level, But Recent Gains Lacked Great Volume Conviction - 7/20/2015 |
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C
A
S
I |
LXFT
-
NYSE
Luxoft Holding Inc Cl A
Comp Sftwr-Spec Enterprs
|
$61.17
|
+1.31
2.19% |
$61.48
|
90,353
36.73% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 246,000
|
$63.56
-3.76%
|
5/26/2015
|
$51.90
|
PP = $57.40
|
|
MB = $60.27
|
Most Recent Note - 8/10/2015 5:52:13 PM
G - Posted a quiet gain today. Reporting Jun '15 earnings on Wednesday. Consolidating above 50 DMA line ($58.84) and prior highs in the $57 area. Subsequent violations would trigger technical sell signals. See the latest FSU analysis for more details and a new annotated graph.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Earnings News Often Leads to Greater Volume and Volatility - 8/10/2015 |
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Set NEW NOTE alert |
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C
A
S
I |
Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group |
PRICE |
CHANGE
(%Change) |
Day High |
Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol) |
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi |
Featured
Date |
Price
Featured |
Pivot Featured |
|
Max Buy |
PANW
-
NYSE
Palo Alto Networks
Computer Sftwr-Security
|
$176.96
|
+1.44
0.82% |
$180.36
|
1,234,068
83.84% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,472,000
|
$200.55
-11.76%
|
3/27/2015
|
$146.44
|
PP = $149.45
|
|
MB = $156.92
|
Most Recent Note - 8/6/2015 1:36:20 PM
G - Undercutting its 50 DMA line with a damaging loss on higher volume today raising concerns. Subsequent losses below its prior low ($167.82 on 7/07/15) would trigger a more worrisome technical sell signal.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Wedging to New Highs After Brief Consolidation - 7/21/2015 |
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A
S
I |
|
|
|
THESE ARE NOT BUY RECOMMENDATIONS!
Comments contained in the body of this report are technical
opinions only. The material herein has been obtained
from sources believed to be reliable and accurate, however,
its accuracy and completeness cannot be guaranteed.
This site is not an investment advisor, hence it does
not endorse or recommend any securities or other investments.
Any recommendation contained in this report may not
be suitable for all investors and it is not to be deemed
an offer or solicitation on our part with respect to
the purchase or sale of any securities. All trademarks,
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