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AFTER MARKET UPDATE - WEDNESDAY, JULY 22ND, 2015
Previous After Market Report Next After Market Report >>>
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DOW |
-68.25 |
17,851.04 |
-0.38% |
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Volume |
821,364,350 |
+8% |
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Volume |
1,874,512,370 |
+17% |
NASDAQ |
-36.35 |
5,171.77 |
-0.70% |
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Advancers |
1,298 |
41% |
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Advancers |
1,353 |
46% |
S&P 500 |
-5.06 |
2,114.15 |
-0.24% |
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Decliners |
1,796 |
56% |
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Decliners |
1,488 |
51% |
Russell 2000 |
+3.78 |
1,258.35 |
+0.30% |
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52 Wk Highs |
72 |
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52 Wk Highs |
103 |
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S&P 600 |
+1.70 |
719.42 |
+0.24% |
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52 Wk Lows |
333 |
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52 Wk Lows |
163 |
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Major Averages Fell With Higher Volume
Kenneth J. Gruneisen - Passed the CAN SLIM® Master's Exam
Stocks moved moderately lower on Wednesday. The Dow lost 68 points to 17851. The S&P 500 closed off 5 points to 2114. The NASDAQ declined 36 points to 5171. Volume totals were reported higher than the prior session total on the NYSE and on the Nasdaq exchange. Breadth was negative as decliners led advancers by nearly a 3-2 margin on the NYSE and by a narrower 7-6 margin on the Nasdaq exchange. There were 67 high-ranked companies from the
Leaders List that made new 52-week highs and appeared on the BreakOuts Page, up from the prior session total of 57 stocks. However, the total number of new 52-week lows expanded and outnumbered new 52-week highs on the NYSE and on the Nasdaq exchange. There were gains for 9 of the 12 high-ranked companies currently on the Featured Stocks Page.
The Nasdaq Composite Index and other major averages recently rallied to new highs or near their record highs. Coupling the indices' improvement with an expansion in leadership (stocks hitting new highs), the latest market (M criteria) action has shown investors reassuring proof that the institutional crowd has a healthy appetite for buying stocks.
Disciplined investors know to buy only the strongest stocks meeting all of the key fundamental and technical criteria. New matches with the fact-based investment system's strict guidelines will be added to the Featured Stocks Page as market action dictates.
PICTURED: The Nasdaq Composite Index is consolidating after a sharp rally from below its 50-day moving average line to new record highs.
The major averages retreated as investors digest a slew of disappointing earnings reports. In positive news, a release showed existing home sales were up 3.2% in June, exceeding analyst expectations of a 0.9% increase. A separate, unconfirmed report suggested lawmakers in the United States are considering overhauling the nation’s tax laws regarding multi-national corporations.
Five of the ten sectors in the S&P 500 finished in positive territory. Tech stocks were the laggard amid disappointing quarterly reports from sector stalwarts. Apple (AAPL -4.23%) fell after its release showed slowing iPhone sales and lowered guidance. Microsoft (MSFT -3.68%) fell after posting a quarterly loss, mostly attributable to the company’s Nokia (NOK -0.89%) purchase. Financials were the best performer, led by Citigroup (C +2.10%). Chipotle (CMG +7.84%) pushed consumer discretionary higher, rallying after a positive report highlighted by lower food costs.
The treasury curve flattened as longer maturity bonds experienced strength. The benchmark U.S. 10-year note was unchanged on the day, currently yielding 2.327%.
Commodities were mostly lower. WTI crude tumbled near bear market territory, down 3.4% to $49.13/barrel on the day. COMEX Gold continued to extend losses, retreating 1.1% to $1091.90/ounce. The dollar index moved 0.2% higher.
The Featured Stocks Page shows the most current notes with headline links which direct members into the more detailed letter-by-letter analysis including price/volume graphs annotated by our experts. See the Premium Member Homepage for archives to all prior pay reports
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Kenneth J. Gruneisen started out as a licensed stockbroker in August 1987, a couple of months prior to the historic stock market crash that took the Dow Jones Industrial Average down -22.6% in a single day. He has published daily fact-based fundamental and technical analysis on high-ranked stocks online for two decades. Through FACTBASEDINVESTING.COM, Kenneth provides educational articles, news, market commentary, and other information regarding proven investment systems that work in good times and bad.
Comments contained in the body of this report are technical opinions only and are not necessarily those of Gruneisen Growth Corp. The material herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable and accurate, however, its accuracy and completeness cannot be guaranteed. Our firm, employees, and customers may effect transactions, including transactions contrary to any recommendation herein, or have positions in the securities mentioned herein or options with respect thereto. Any recommendation contained in this report may not be suitable for all investors and it is not to be deemed an offer or solicitation on our part with respect to the purchase or sale of any securities. |
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Bank Index Rose; Semiconductor Index Suffered a Standout Decline
Kenneth J. Gruneisen - Passed the CAN SLIM® Master's Exam
The Bank Index ($BKX +1.14%) rallied while the Broker/Dealer Index ($XBD +0.09%) finished flat and the Retail Index ($RLX +0.35%) edged higher on Wednesday. The Biotechnology Index ($BTK) was unchanged, meanwhile the Networking Index ($NWX -0.64%) edged lower and the Semiconductor Index ($SOX -2.52%) was a standout decliner weighing the tech sector down. The Oil Services Index ($OSX -1.72%) and the Integrated Oil Index ($XOI -0.75%) both faced additional pressure, and the Gold & Silver Index ($XAU -0.72%) also fell.
PICTURED: The Bank Index ($BKX +1.14%) rallied hitting new record highs. The strength from the financial group is a reassuring "leading indicator" which bodes well for the current market rally (M criteria). Longtime readers of this commentary know that the major averages have been prone to their worst downdrafts when financial stocks are weak.
Oil Services |
$OSX |
176.84 |
-3.09 |
-1.72% |
-16.14% |
Integrated Oil |
$XOI |
1,232.82 |
-9.31 |
-0.75% |
-8.55% |
Semiconductor |
$SOX |
646.13 |
-16.73 |
-2.52% |
-5.93% |
Networking |
$NWX |
372.50 |
-2.39 |
-0.64% |
+4.07% |
Broker/Dealer |
$XBD |
200.10 |
+0.17 |
+0.09% |
+8.37% |
Retail |
$RLX |
1,199.68 |
+4.14 |
+0.35% |
+16.17% |
Gold & Silver |
$XAU |
49.65 |
-0.36 |
-0.72% |
-27.81% |
Bank |
$BKX |
80.41 |
+0.90 |
+1.13% |
+8.28% |
Biotech |
$BTK |
4,379.90 |
-0.05 |
-0.00% |
+27.36% |
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Recent Gains Lacked Volume Conviction; Earnings Report Soon Expected
Kenneth J. Gruneisen - Passed the CAN SLIM® Master's Exam
Jones Lang Lasalle Inc (JLL +$0.53 or +0.31% to $173.75) has seen its volume totals cooling while consolidating near its all-time high and above support at its 50-day moving average (DMA) line ($171.66). Recent gains above the pivot point lacked the minimum +40% above average volume necessary to trigger a new (or add-on) technical buy signal. Keep in mind that it is due to report Jun '15 earnings on 7/29/15, and volume and volatility often increase near earnings news.
It last appeared in this FSU section on 6/29/15 with annotated graphs under the headline, "Did Not Trigger a New Technical Buy Signal", slumping near its 50-day moving average (DMA) line while broader market weakness (M criteria) raised concerns. Prior lows ($166.68 on 6/09/15) define the next important near-term support to watch where violations would raise greater concerns and trigger a technical sell signal.
Very little resistance remains due to overhead supply, however, it has made limited headway since highlighted in yellow in the 2/03/15 mid-day report (read here) and noted - "Has the look of a valid Secondary Buy point up to +5% above prior highs."
Earnings rose +46%, 55%, +29%, and +147% in the Jun, Sep, Dec '14 and Mar '15 quarterly comparisons versus the year ago periods, respectively, above the +25% minimum earnings guideline (C criteria). The number of top-rated funds owning its shares rose from 513 in Mar '14 to 720 in Jun '15, which is a reassuring sign concerning the I criteria. Its small supply (S criteria) of only 44.4 million shares in the public float contribute to greater price volatility in the event of institutional buying or selling.
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Color Codes Explained :
Y - Better candidates highlighted by our
staff of experts. G - Previously featured
in past reports as yellow but may no longer be buyable under the
guidelines.
***Last / Change / Volume data in this table is the closing quote data***
Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group |
PRICE |
CHANGE (%Change) |
Day High |
Volume (% DAV) (% 50 day avg vol) |
52 Wk Hi % From Hi |
Featured Date |
Price Featured |
Pivot Featured |
Max Buy |
GSBC
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NASDAQ
Great Southern Bancorp
BANKING - Savings and Loans
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$42.55
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+0.71
1.70% |
$42.98
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33,954 109.53% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 31,000
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$42.99 -1.02%
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4/27/2015
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$40.94
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PP = $40.54
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MB = $42.57
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Most Recent Note - 7/21/2015 5:47:53 PM
Y - Ended near the session low with a loss today on higher volume indicative of distributional pressure Found support recently near prior highs in the $41 area and its 50 DMA line. Damaging losses leading to violations would trigger technical sell signals.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Finding Support Near Prior Highs and 50-Day Moving Average - 7/9/2015 |
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C
A
S
I |
BOFI
-
NASDAQ
B O F I Holding Inc
BANKING - Savings andamp; Loans
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$118.50
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+0.67
0.57% |
$119.83
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187,630 103.09% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 182,000
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$117.93 0.48%
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6/10/2015
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$101.47
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PP = $97.78
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MB = $102.67
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Most Recent Note - 7/20/2015 12:05:54 PM
G - Hitting yet another new high with today's 4th consecutive gain, getting very extended from its prior base. Its 50 DMA line ($100.94) and prior highs near $97 define important support to watch on pullbacks.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Hitting New Highs and Getting More Extended From a Sound Base - 7/10/2015 |
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C
A
S
I |
EPAM
-
NYSE
Epam Systems Inc
COMPUTER SOFTWARE and SERVICES - Information Technology Service
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$74.86
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+0.15
0.20% |
$75.18
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199,955 50.49% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 396,000
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$75.89 -1.36%
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5/18/2015
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$67.42
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PP = $70.59
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MB = $74.12
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Most Recent Note - 7/22/2015 4:06:29 PM
Y - Still stubbornly holding its ground perched near its all-time high with volume totals cooling, an indication few are headed for the exit. Its 50 DMA line ($71.48) defines support where a violation would trigger a technical sell signal. Due to report earnings on 08/04/15, and volume and volatility often increase near earnings news.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : 50 DMA Line Defines Support - 6/30/2015 |
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C
A
S
I |
ILMN
-
NASDAQ
Illumina Inc
DRUGS - Biotechnology
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$217.49
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-20.05
-8.44% |
$220.00
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6,821,176 534.99% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,275,000
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$242.37 -10.27%
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6/8/2015
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$209.97
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PP = $213.43
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MB = $224.10
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Most Recent Note - 7/22/2015 12:44:39 PM
G - Reported earnings +40% on +21% sales revenues for the Jun '14 quarter. Volume and volatility often increase near earnings news. Gapped down today for a considerable loss then rebounded near its 50 DMA line ($214.70) and prior highs in the $213 area defining important chart support.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Still Above Near-Term Support After Pullback on Higher Volume - 7/8/2015 |
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C
A
S
I |
VRX
-
NYSE
Valeant Pharmaceuticals
DRUGS - Drug Manufacturers - Other
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$238.92
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-1.67
-0.69% |
$240.80
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1,388,827 89.31% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,555,000
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$246.01 -2.88%
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7/14/2015
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$236.75
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PP = $246.11
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MB = $258.42
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Most Recent Note - 7/22/2015 6:37:07 PM
Y - Due to report earnings 7/23/15 and volume and volatility often increase near earnings news. Still quietly perched within close striking distance of its 52-week high. Subsequent volume-driven gains for new highs may trigger a new (or add-on) technical buy signal. The 50 DMA line ($231) and recent low ($219.56 on 6/29/15) define near-term support levels to watch.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : New Base Has Formed and Earnings News is Due Soon - 7/14/2015 |
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C
A
S
I |
Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group |
PRICE |
CHANGE (%Change) |
Day High |
Volume (% DAV) (% 50 day avg vol) |
52 Wk Hi % From Hi |
Featured Date |
Price Featured |
Pivot Featured |
Max Buy |
AMBA
-
NASDAQ
Ambarella Inc
ELECTRONICS - Semiconductor - Specialized
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$122.50
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+4.32
3.66% |
$123.99
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4,104,607 102.82% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 3,992,000
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$128.06 -4.34%
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5/1/2015
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$75.99
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PP = $77.49
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MB = $81.36
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Most Recent Note - 7/22/2015 4:03:26 PM
G - Rallied to its second-best close ever with today's 5th consecutive gain. The 50 DMA line and recent low ($93.06 on 6/22/15) define near-term support where violations would trigger technical sell signals.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Found Support Above 50-Day Moving Average After Sharp Pullback - 7/17/2015 |
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C
A
S
I |
ACHC
-
NASDAQ
Acadia Healthcare Inc
HEALTH SERVICES - Specialized Health Services
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$79.72
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+0.04
0.05% |
$79.89
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553,430 73.01% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 758,000
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$81.76 -2.50%
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5/27/2015
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$73.90
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PP = $74.19
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MB = $77.90
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Most Recent Note - 7/22/2015 4:05:01 PM
G - Pulled back today for a 4th consecutive small loss. Still holding its ground above its "max buy" level with volume-totals cooling, an indication few are headed for the exit. Prior highs in the $74-75 area define near-term support to watch above its 50 DMA line ($75.15).
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Extended From Prior Base and Perched at High - 7/15/2015 |
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C
A
S
I |
APOG
-
NASDAQ
Apogee Enterprises
MATERIALS and CONSTRUCTION - General Building Materials
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$56.81
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+2.58
4.76% |
$57.33
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486,922 156.57% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 311,000
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$61.05 -6.94%
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4/9/2015
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$49.58
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PP = $48.13
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MB = $50.54
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Most Recent Note - 7/22/2015 4:01:02 PM
Y - Color code is changed to yellow after rebounding above its 50 DMA line with today's volume-driven gain helping its outlook improve. Damaging losses below recent low ($50.07 on 7/07/15) would raise greater concerns.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Sputtering After Damaging 50-Day Moving Average Violation - 7/13/2015 |
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C
A
S
I |
JLL
-
NYSE
Jones Lang Lasalle Inc
REAL ESTATE - Property Management/Developmen
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$173.75
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+0.53
0.31% |
$175.07
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235,560 67.88% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 347,000
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$177.11 -1.90%
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6/4/2015
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$172.34
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PP = $174.93
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MB = $183.68
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Most Recent Note - 7/22/2015 6:32:26 PM
Y - Above support at its 50 DMA line. Recent gains above the pivot point lacked the minimum +40% above average volume necessary to trigger a new (or add-on) technical buy signal. See the latest FSU analysis for additional details and a new annotated graph.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Recent Gains Lacked Volume Conviction; Earnings Report Soon Expected - 7/22/2015 |
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C
A
S
I |
ULTA
-
NASDAQ
Ulta Salon Cosm & Frag
SPECIALTY RETAIL - Specialty Retail, Other
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$170.52
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+3.73
2.24% |
$170.75
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598,326 72.88% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 821,000
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$169.31 0.71%
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5/29/2015
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$155.03
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PP = $159.95
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MB = $167.95
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Most Recent Note - 7/20/2015 5:54:47 PM
G - Color code is changed to green while perched near its "max buy" level after recent gains lacking volume conviction. Prior highs near $159 define initial support to watch on pullbacks. See the latest FSU analysis for more details and a new annotated graph.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Near "Max Buy" Level, But Recent Gains Lacked Great Volume Conviction - 7/20/2015 |
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C
A
S
I |
Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group |
PRICE |
CHANGE (%Change) |
Day High |
Volume (% DAV) (% 50 day avg vol) |
52 Wk Hi % From Hi |
Featured Date |
Price Featured |
Pivot Featured |
Max Buy |
LXFT
-
NYSE
Luxoft Holding Inc Cl A
Comp Sftwr-Spec Enterprs
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$62.00
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-0.14
-0.23% |
$62.31
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184,276 74.91% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 246,000
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$63.00 -1.59%
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5/26/2015
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$51.90
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PP = $57.40
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MB = $60.27
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Most Recent Note - 7/20/2015 5:56:20 PM
G - Pulled back today with lighter volume. Prior highs define near-term support above its 50 DMA line. Subsequent violations would trigger technical sell signals.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Extended From Base After Wedging Higher - 7/16/2015 |
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C
A
S
I |
PANW
-
NYSE
Palo Alto Networks
Computer Sftwr-Security
|
$192.40
|
+0.33
0.17% |
$193.78
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1,016,377 69.71% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,458,000
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$192.70 -0.16%
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3/27/2015
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$146.44
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PP = $149.45
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MB = $156.92
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Most Recent Note - 7/21/2015 5:42:53 PM
G - Wedged further into new high territory with today's gain lacking great volume conviction, getting more extended from any sound base. Recent lows and its 50 DMA line define the nearest chart support to watch. See the latest FSU analysis for more details and new annotated graphs.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Wedging to New Highs After Brief Consolidation - 7/21/2015 |
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C
A
S
I |
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THESE ARE NOT BUY RECOMMENDATIONS!
Comments contained in the body of this report are technical
opinions only. The material herein has been obtained
from sources believed to be reliable and accurate, however,
its accuracy and completeness cannot be guaranteed.
This site is not an investment advisor, hence it does
not endorse or recommend any securities or other investments.
Any recommendation contained in this report may not
be suitable for all investors and it is not to be deemed
an offer or solicitation on our part with respect to
the purchase or sale of any securities. All trademarks,
service marks and trade names appearing in this report
are the property of their respective owners, and are
likewise used for identification purposes only.
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