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AFTER MARKET UPDATE - THURSDAY, JUNE 25TH, 2015
Previous After Market Report Next After Market Report >>>
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DOW |
-75.71 |
17,890.36 |
-0.42% |
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Volume |
755,459,950 |
+5% |
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Volume |
1,466,963,050 |
-2% |
|
NASDAQ |
-10.22 |
5,112.19 |
-0.20% |
|
Advancers |
1,107 |
34% |
|
Advancers |
1,298 |
44% |
|
S&P 500 |
-6.27 |
2,102.31 |
-0.30% |
|
Decliners |
1,978 |
62% |
|
Decliners |
1,529 |
52% |
|
Russell 2000 |
-0.64 |
1,283.28 |
-0.05% |
|
52 Wk Highs |
88 |
|
|
52 Wk Highs |
120 |
|
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S&P 600 |
-0.63 |
735.75 |
-0.09% |
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52 Wk Lows |
103 |
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52 Wk Lows |
50 |
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Major Averages Reversed Course to End Lower
Kenneth J. Gruneisen - Passed the CAN SLIM® Master's Exam
Stocks reversed course to close lower Thursday. The Dow fell 75 points to 17890. The S&P 500 declined 6 points to 2102. The NASDAQ retreated 10 points to 5112. The volume totals were mixed, higher than the prior session total on the NYSE but lower on the Nasdaq exchange. Breadth was negative as decliners led advancers by nearly a 2-1 margin on the NYSE and by 7-6 on the Nasdaq exchange. There were 55 high-ranked companies from the Leaders List that made new 52-week highs and appeared on the BreakOuts Page, down from the prior session total of 58 stocks. New 52-week highs outnumbered new 52-week lows on the Nasdaq exchange, but new lows outnumbered new highs on the NYSE. There were gains for 8 of the 16 high-ranked companies currently on the Featured Stocks Page, a more negative bias than the broader market.
Healthy leadership (many stocks hitting new 52-week highs) remains a reassuring sign that investors have a favorable market environment (M criteria). The fact-based investment system encourages only buying stocks meeting all of the key fundamental and technical criteria.
PICTURED: The S&P 500 Index quietly slumped back below its 50-day moving average (DMA) line again. Its MACD indicator remains slightly bullish.
The major averages turned south as a decline in energy offset health care strength. At the close, eight of 10 S&P 500 sectors were in negative territory. In sympathy with oil prices, Chesapeake Energy (CHK -3.8%) fell. Bearish commentary weighed on Transocean (RIG -3.8%) sending it lower. A Supreme Court ruling to uphold Obamacare lifted health stocks. Tenet (THC + 12.2%) and HCA Holdings (HCA +8.8%). Industrials were a weak spot. Caterpillar (CAT -1.6%) declined. Positive analyst commentary helped AT&T (T +1.1%) end higher. Positive spending data lifted Starbucks (SBUX +0.7%) but Cree (CREE -10%) after announcing pricing weakness.
Economic data showed personal income rose 0.5% in May, while personal spending reached a six-year high. Jobless claims last week remained under 300,000 for the 16th week. Services sentiment in June was in expansionary territory, but rose less than estimated. Internationally, Greek debt talks broke down as common ground proved elusive.
Treasuries slid lower. The benchmark 10-year note lost 11/32 to yield 2.40%. Amid a $35 billion auction, the seven-year security retreated 6/32 to yield 2.13%.
Commodities were mostly lower. WTI crude fell 1.1% to $59.64/barrel. COMEX gold sank 0.1% to $1171.50/ounce. In FOREX, the dollar declined with the euro little changed at $1.1203/EUR and the yen 0.2% stronger to ¥123.61/USD.
The Featured Stocks Page shows the most current notes with headline links which direct members into the more detailed letter-by-letter analysis including price/volume graphs annotated by our experts. See the Premium Member Homepage for archives to all prior pay reports published.
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Kenneth J. Gruneisen started out as a licensed stockbroker in August 1987, a couple of months prior to the historic stock market crash that took the Dow Jones Industrial Average down -22.6% in a single day. He has published daily fact-based fundamental and technical analysis on high-ranked stocks online for two decades. Through FACTBASEDINVESTING.COM, Kenneth provides educational articles, news, market commentary, and other information regarding proven investment systems that work in good times and bad.
Comments contained in the body of this report are technical opinions only and are not necessarily those of Gruneisen Growth Corp. The material herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable and accurate, however, its accuracy and completeness cannot be guaranteed. Our firm, employees, and customers may effect transactions, including transactions contrary to any recommendation herein, or have positions in the securities mentioned herein or options with respect thereto. Any recommendation contained in this report may not be suitable for all investors and it is not to be deemed an offer or solicitation on our part with respect to the purchase or sale of any securities. |
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Commodity-Related Indices Led Widespread Group Losses
Kenneth J. Gruneisen - Passed the CAN SLIM® Master's Exam
The Retail Index ($RLX -0.30%) and the Bank Index ($BKX -0.61%) had a negative influence on the major averages while the Broker/Dealer Index ($XBD -0.05%) finished flat on Thursday. The tech sector finished the session with a slightly negative bias as the Biotechnology Index ($BTK-0.38%), Networking Index ($NWX -0.10%) and Semiconductor Index ($SOX -0.09%) each edged lower. Weakness in commodity-linked groups rounded out the widely negative session with loss also for the Gold & Silver Index ($XAU -1.14%),Oil Services Index ($OSX -1.40%), and the Integrated Oil Index ($XOI -0.79%).
PICTURED: The Oil Services Index ($OSX -1.40%) met resistance at its 200-day moving average (DMA) line then slumped below its 50 DMA line.
| Oil Services |
$OSX |
202.54 |
-2.88 |
-1.40% |
-3.95% |
| Integrated Oil |
$XOI |
1,324.61 |
-10.61 |
-0.79% |
-1.74% |
| Semiconductor |
$SOX |
715.83 |
-0.66 |
-0.09% |
+4.22% |
| Networking |
$NWX |
390.01 |
-0.41 |
-0.10% |
+8.96% |
| Broker/Dealer |
$XBD |
200.32 |
-0.11 |
-0.05% |
+8.49% |
| Retail |
$RLX |
1,156.90 |
-3.45 |
-0.30% |
+12.02% |
| Gold & Silver |
$XAU |
65.10 |
-0.75 |
-1.14% |
-5.35% |
| Bank |
$BKX |
78.54 |
-0.48 |
-0.61% |
+5.76% |
| Biotech |
$BTK |
4,246.55 |
-16.18 |
-0.38% |
+23.48% |
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Holding Ground After Big Pullback on Heavy Volume Triggered Technical Sell Signal
Kenneth J. Gruneisen - Passed the CAN SLIM® Master's Exam
Ambarella Corporation (AMBA +$3.13 or +3.08% to $104.73) rebounded further with another gain today backed by above average volume. It may go on to produce more climatic gains, however, its large loss on 6/22/15 with heavy volume was noted as a technical sell signal.
It was repeatedly noted, "Very extended from any sound base with volume-driven gains having the look of a 'climax run'." Following its technical breakout with +77% above average volume on 5/15/15 it tallied gains of greater than +20% in the first 2-3 weeks, and when such substantial gains are quickly produced the fact-based investment system's rules suggest holding for a minimum of 8 weeks. Investors who may still have a good profit cushion might choose to give it additional time, however any subsequent losses on higher volume might trigger additional sell signals, especially if it violates its 50-day moving average (DMA) line or breaks down below its pivot point and slumps back into the prior base.
The high-ranked Electronics - Semiconductor firm was last shown in this FSU section on 6/02/15 with annotated graphs under the headline, "Extended From Base Following Spurt of Volume-Driven Gains". It reported earnings +184% on +74% sales revenues for the Apr '15 quarter, continuing to show impressive sales revenues and earnings acceleration in sequential quarterly comparisons. It reported earnings increases of +42%, 84%, and +162% in the Jul, Oct '14 and Jan '15 quarterly comparisons versus the year-ago periods, respectively. Sales revenues during that span rose +25%, +43%, and +62%. Its fundamentals match with the fact-based investment system guidelines with quarterly comparisons showing improvement above the +25% minimum earnings guideline (C criteria).
Keep in mind that its small supply (S criteria) of only 28.5 million shares in the public float can contribute to great price volatility in the event of institutional buying or selling. The number of top-rated funds owning its shares has been on the rise, up from 167 in Jun '14 to 259 in Mar '15, a reassuring indication concerning the I criteria. Its current Up/Down Volume Ratio of 1.2 is an unbiased indication its shares have been under accumulation over the past 50 days.
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Color Codes Explained :
Y - Better candidates highlighted by our
staff of experts.
G - Previously featured
in past reports as yellow but may no longer be buyable under the
guidelines.
***Last / Change / Volume data in this table is the closing quote data***
Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group |
PRICE |
CHANGE
(%Change) |
Day High |
Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol) |
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi |
Featured
Date |
Price
Featured |
Pivot Featured |
|
Max Buy |
GSBC
-
NASDAQ
Great Southern Bancorp
BANKING - Savings and Loans
|
$42.54
|
+0.19
0.45% |
$42.95
|
18,368
59.25% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 31,000
|
$42.49
0.12%
|
4/27/2015
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$40.94
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PP = $40.54
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|
MB = $42.57
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Most Recent Note - 6/25/2015 11:48:19 AM
Y - Wedging to new highs and approaching its "max buy" level with gains this week lacking the great volume conviction indicative of serious institutional buying demand. Recent lows ($38.00 on 5/06/15) define the next important support where a violation would trigger a technical sell signal.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Still Finding Support at 50-Day Moving Average - 6/9/2015 |
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C
A
S
I |
BOFI
-
NASDAQ
B O F I Holding Inc
BANKING - Savings andamp; Loans
|
$105.67
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+1.42
1.36% |
$107.10
|
171,067
106.25% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 161,000
|
$104.55
1.07%
|
6/10/2015
|
$101.47
|
PP = $97.78
|
|
MB = $102.67
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Most Recent Note - 6/25/2015 6:50:43 PM
G - Hit another new 52-week high with today's 6th consecutive gain. Color code is changed to green after rising above its "max buy" level, and disciplined investors avoid chasing extended stocks. Prior highs near $97 define important support to watch on pullbacks.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Small Saving & Loan Shows More Signs of Accumulation - 6/10/2015 |
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C
A
S
I |
EPAM
-
NYSE
Epam Systems Inc
COMPUTER SOFTWARE and SERVICES - Information Technology Service
|
$73.34
|
+0.65
0.89% |
$74.39
|
618,742
157.04% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 394,000
|
$74.49
-1.54%
|
5/18/2015
|
$67.42
|
PP = $70.59
|
|
MB = $74.12
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Most Recent Note - 6/25/2015 6:47:01 PM
Y - Posted a gain today with above average volume yet it still remains below its "max buy" level. Prior highs in the $70 area and its 50 DMA line recently acted as support. Subsequent damaging losses leading to violations would raise greater concerns and trigger technical sell signals.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Volume Totals Cooling While Consolidating After Breakout - 6/5/2015 |
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C
A
S
I |
ILMN
-
NASDAQ
Illumina Inc
DRUGS - Biotechnology
|
$219.00
|
-1.17
-0.53% |
$223.00
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1,460,046
113.27% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,289,000
|
$223.08
-1.83%
|
6/8/2015
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$209.97
|
PP = $213.43
|
|
MB = $224.10
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Most Recent Note - 6/23/2015 6:45:10 PM
Y - Posted a gain today with slightly above average volume for a new high. Highlighted in yellow in the 6/08/15 mid-day report (read here).Disciplined investors use a tactic called pyramiding which the fact-based system suggests to help investors to allow the market action to dictate their purchase decisions.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Perched Within Striking Distance of All-Time Highs - 6/8/2015 |
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C
A
S
I |
VRX
-
NYSE
Valeant Pharmaceuticals
DRUGS - Drug Manufacturers - Other
|
$233.21
|
+4.02
1.75% |
$233.79
|
2,045,173
118.01% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,733,000
|
$246.01
-5.20%
|
1/5/2015
|
$144.84
|
PP = $149.90
|
|
MB = $157.40
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Most Recent Note - 6/23/2015 6:49:24 PM
G - Consolidation above its 50 DMA line may be a riskier "late stage" base being formed. A subsequent violation of the 50 DMA line would trigger a technical sell signal.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Latest Consolidation is Not a Sufficient Length Bade - 6/16/2015 |
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C
A
S
I |
Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group |
PRICE |
CHANGE
(%Change) |
Day High |
Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol) |
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi |
Featured
Date |
Price
Featured |
Pivot Featured |
|
Max Buy |
AVGO
-
NASDAQ
Avago Technologies Ltd
ELECTRONICS - Semiconductor - Broad Line
|
$139.23
|
-0.74
-0.53% |
$141.05
|
1,753,777
51.19% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 3,426,000
|
$150.50
-7.49%
|
5/28/2015
|
$141.06
|
PP = $136.38
|
|
MB = $143.20
|
Most Recent Note - 6/25/2015 11:42:23 AM
Y - Volume totals have been below average while consolidating in a tight trading range above support at prior highs in the $136 area. Damaging losses on higher volume would raise concerns if leading to a close below its old high close ($134.44 on 3/23/15).
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Volume Totals Cooling During Consolidation After Breakout - 6/18/2015 |
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C
A
S
I |
NXPI
-
NASDAQ
Nxp Semiconductors N V
ELECTRONICS - Semiconductor - Broad Line
|
$102.63
|
-0.32
-0.31% |
$103.83
|
1,366,474
47.76% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 2,861,000
|
$114.00
-9.98%
|
4/15/2015
|
$100.75
|
PP = $108.60
|
|
MB = $114.03
|
Most Recent Note - 6/23/2015 7:43:06 PM
Y - Still quietly consolidating near its 50 DMA line and recent lows defining near-term support. More damaging losses may raise concerns and trigger worrisome technical sell signals. See the latest FSU analysis for more details and a new annotated graph.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Consolidating Near 50-day Average and Just Above Prior Lows - 6/23/2015 |
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C
A
S
I |
SWKS
-
NASDAQ
Skyworks Solutions Inc
ELECTRONICS - Semiconductor - Integrated Cir
|
$109.87
|
+1.47
1.36% |
$110.90
|
1,921,940
58.58% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 3,281,000
|
$112.88
-2.67%
|
5/1/2015
|
$97.51
|
PP = $102.87
|
|
MB = $108.01
|
Most Recent Note - 6/25/2015 11:45:42 AM
G - Perched within close striking distance of its best-ever close, but it is extended from any sound base. Found support at its 50 DMA line, and the recent low ($98.07 on 6/09/15) defines important near-term support where damaging violations may trigger technical sell signals.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Found Support After Wedging From Late Stage Base - 6/11/2015 |
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C
A
S
I |
AMBA
-
NASDAQ
Ambarella Inc
ELECTRONICS - Semiconductor - Specialized
|
$104.73
|
+3.13
3.08% |
$105.94
|
4,268,721
131.39% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 3,249,000
|
$128.06
-18.22%
|
5/1/2015
|
$75.99
|
PP = $77.49
|
|
MB = $81.36
|
Most Recent Note - 6/25/2015 6:44:00 PM
G - Rebounded further with another gain today backed by above average volume. It may go on to produce more climatic gains, however, its large loss on 6/22/15 with heavy volume was noted as a technical sell signal. See the latest FSU analysis for more details and new annotated graphs.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Holding Ground After Big Pullback on Heavy Volume Triggered Technical Sell Signal - 6/25/2015 |
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C
A
S
I |
ACHC
-
NASDAQ
Acadia Healthcare Inc
HEALTH SERVICES - Specialized Health Services
|
$77.45
|
+1.99
2.64% |
$77.88
|
889,266
134.33% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 662,000
|
$78.51
-1.35%
|
5/27/2015
|
$73.90
|
PP = $74.19
|
|
MB = $77.90
|
Most Recent Note - 6/25/2015 12:23:24 PM
Y - Consolidating above prior highs defining initial support in the $74-75 area. The 50 DMA line ($71.75) defines the next support level to watch. A volume-driven gain on 6/19/15 triggered a technical buy signal.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Signs of Demand With Volume-Driven Gain for New Highs - 6/19/2015 |
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C
A
S
I |
Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group |
PRICE |
CHANGE
(%Change) |
Day High |
Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol) |
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi |
Featured
Date |
Price
Featured |
Pivot Featured |
|
Max Buy |
APOG
-
NASDAQ
Apogee Enterprises
MATERIALS and CONSTRUCTION - General Building Materials
|
$58.73
|
-1.33
-2.21% |
$60.99
|
1,114,364
508.84% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 219,000
|
$61.05
-3.80%
|
4/9/2015
|
$49.58
|
PP = $48.13
|
|
MB = $50.54
|
Most Recent Note - 6/25/2015 12:29:36 PM
G - Rebounded from earlier lows after undercutting prior highs in the $57 area and its 50 DMA line, finding prompt support and now trading in the upper third of its intra-day range. Reported earnings +95% on +14% sales revenues for the May '15 quarter. Volume and volatility often increase near earnings news.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Extended From Prior Base and Perched at High - 6/12/2015 |
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C
A
S
I |
JLL
-
NYSE
Jones Lang Lasalle Inc
REAL ESTATE - Property Management/Developmen
|
$171.34
|
-0.93
-0.54% |
$172.75
|
242,341
70.04% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 346,000
|
$174.83
-2.00%
|
6/4/2015
|
$172.34
|
PP = $174.93
|
|
MB = $183.68
|
Most Recent Note - 6/23/2015 6:46:00 PM
Y - Still consolidating above its 50 DMA line ($168.53) which has acted as support. Subsequent volume-driven gains for new highs may trigger a new (or add-on) technical buy signal.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Forming New Base and No Resistance Remains - 6/4/2015 |
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C
A
S
I |
ULTA
-
NASDAQ
Ulta Salon Cosm & Frag
SPECIALTY RETAIL - Specialty Retail, Other
|
$154.84
|
-0.75
-0.48% |
$155.80
|
933,559
127.36% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 733,000
|
$159.85
-3.13%
|
5/29/2015
|
$155.03
|
PP = $159.07
|
|
MB = $167.02
|
Most Recent Note - 6/22/2015 6:57:06 PM
Y -Still consolidating above its 50 DMA line following a "negative reversal" on 5/29/15. A subsequent volume-driven gain and close above its pivot point may trigger a proper technical buy signal. See the latest FSU analysis for more details and a new annotated graph.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Still Consolidating Above 50-Day Moving Average Line - 6/22/2015 |
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C
A
S
I |
LXFT
-
NYSE
Luxoft Holding Inc Cl A
Comp Sftwr-Spec Enterprs
|
$58.11
|
+3.49
6.39% |
$58.22
|
372,254
180.71% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 206,000
|
$58.46
-0.60%
|
5/26/2015
|
$51.90
|
PP = $57.40
|
|
MB = $60.27
|
Most Recent Note - 6/25/2015 4:52:17 PM
Y - Today's gain was backed by +81% above average volume, triggering a technical buy signal. It rallied from support at its 50 DMA line and above its pivot point for a best-ever close.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Quietly Consolidating Near Highs With No Overhead Supply - 6/17/2015 |
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A
S
I |
PANW
-
NYSE
Palo Alto Networks
Computer Sftwr-Security
|
$178.82
|
-0.32
-0.18% |
$180.72
|
1,525,795
114.38% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,334,000
|
$185.00
-3.34%
|
3/27/2015
|
$146.44
|
PP = $149.45
|
|
MB = $156.92
|
Most Recent Note - 6/23/2015 6:54:52 PM
G - Hovering near all-time highs today, extended from any sound base. Its 50 DMA line ($161.09) and prior highs in the $158 area define support where subsequent violations would raise concerns and trigger technical sell signals.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Holding Ground Stubbornly at All-Time Highs Following +123% Rally - 6/3/2015 |
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C
A
S
I |
Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group |
PRICE |
CHANGE
(%Change) |
Day High |
Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol) |
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi |
Featured
Date |
Price
Featured |
Pivot Featured |
|
Max Buy |
CMCM
-
NYSE
Cheetah Mobile Cl A Ads
COMPUTER SOFTWARE and SERVICES - Security Software and Services
|
$33.06
|
-0.02
-0.06% |
$34.28
|
682,877
48.57% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,406,000
|
$36.63
-9.75%
|
6/24/2015
|
$34.37
|
PP = $36.73
|
|
MB = $38.57
|
Most Recent Note - 6/24/2015 6:10:08 PM
Y - Finished the session unchanged after highlighted in yellow with pivot point cited based on its 5/20/15 high while building a flat base in the earlier mid-day report (read here). Recent lows define near-term support in the $30 area above its 50 DMA line ($28.97) where violations would raise concerns. Subsequent gains above the pivot point backed by at least +40% above average volume are needed to trigger a proper technical buy signal. See the latest FSU analysis for more details and new annotated graphs.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Computer Security Firm Building on a Flat Base - 6/24/2015 |
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A
S
I |
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|
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THESE ARE NOT BUY RECOMMENDATIONS!
Comments contained in the body of this report are technical
opinions only. The material herein has been obtained
from sources believed to be reliable and accurate, however,
its accuracy and completeness cannot be guaranteed.
This site is not an investment advisor, hence it does
not endorse or recommend any securities or other investments.
Any recommendation contained in this report may not
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