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AFTER MARKET UPDATE - WEDNESDAY, AUGUST 12TH, 2015
Previous After Market Report Next After Market Report >>>
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DOW |
-0.33 |
17,402.51 |
-0.00% |
|
Volume |
912,077,240 |
+9% |
|
Volume |
1,928,841,830 |
+10% |
NASDAQ |
+7.60 |
5,044.39 |
+0.15% |
|
Advancers |
1,527 |
49% |
|
Advancers |
1,265 |
44% |
S&P 500 |
+1.98 |
2,086.05 |
+0.10% |
|
Decliners |
1,567 |
51% |
|
Decliners |
1,629 |
56% |
Russell 2000 |
-2.16 |
1,208.98 |
-0.18% |
|
52 Wk Highs |
29 |
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|
52 Wk Highs |
33 |
|
S&P 600 |
-2.92 |
701.76 |
-0.41% |
|
52 Wk Lows |
220 |
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|
52 Wk Lows |
144 |
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Afternoon Rebound Helped Major Indices Erase Deeper Losses
Kenneth J. Gruneisen - Passed the CAN SLIM® Master's Exam
Stocks spent most of the session trading lower on Wednesday, however the major indices rebounded throughout the afternoon to end the session mixed. Volume totals were reported higher than the prior session totals on the NYSE and on the Nasdaq exchange. Decliners narrowly led advancers on the NYSE but led by a 4-3 margin on the Nasdaq exchange. There were 20 high-ranked companies from the Leaders List that made new 52-week highs and appeared on the BreakOuts Page, down from the prior session total of 24 stocks. There were gains for only 4 of the 16 high-ranked companies currently on the Featured Stocks Page, again showing a disproportionately negative bias versus the broader market. There was another increase in the number of new 52-week lows as they solidly outnumbered new 52-week highs on both the Nasdaq and on the NYSE.
With Tuesday's big losses the Nasdaq Composite Index and the benchmark S&P 500 Index both abruptly retreated back below their respective 50-day moving average (DMA) lines, raising concerns. Technical deterioration in the charts of the major averages (M criteria) coupled with a contraction in leadership gives investors more reasons to be cautious. Weakness in financial issues has added to previously noted pressure, contributing to the threat of a more substantial market "correction".
Disciplined investors always limit losses by selling any stock that falls more than -7% from their purchase price. This is precisely how the fact-based investment system prompts investors to reduce exposure in weak markets, preserving cash until another confirmed rally marked by solid leadership.
PICTURED: The S&P 500 Index undercut its 200-day moving average (DMA) line yet managed a "positive reversal". Prior lows define the next important near-term chart support below the 200 DMA line where more damaging losses would raise greater concerns for the market outlook.
Stocks erased losses in the final hour of trading. The Dow recovered from a 277 point loss to close little changed at 17402. The S&P 500 eked out a 1 point gain to 2086. The NASDAQ managed to climb 7 points to 5044.
The major averages erased Chinese-induced losses, carried higher on the backs of tech and energy stocks. Overnight, Chinese officials surprisingly cut rates, sending the yuan down 1.6% after Tuesday’s 1.9% loss. However, six of 10 S&P 500 sectors finished higher as gains in energy, utilities and tech helped buoy markets. Exxon Mobil (XOM +1.7%) rose in sympathy with oil prices. Speculation of Fed rate hike delays helped utilities as Dominion (D +2.5%) posted a solid gain. Conversely, the same Fed rumors hurt banks, leaving JPMorgan (JPM -1.5%) down. Apple (AAPL ) snapped a losing streak to finish higher, leading a turnaround in tech stocks.
Retailers were laggards as Macy’s (M -5.1%) and American Apparel (APP -37.4%) plunged after dismal earnings reports from both. In M&A, Fidelity National (FIS +8.7%) jumped after agreeing to buy SunGard for $9.1 billion.
Economic data showed job openings slowed in June as hiring picked up, while the Treasury Department ran a wider-than-expected deficit in July.
Treasuries erased gains in late trading. Amid a $24 billion auction, the 10-year note fell 1/32 to yield 2.146%.
Commodities were broadly higher. WTI crude added 0.7% to $43.37/barrel despite slow inventory drawdowns. COMEX gold gained 1.4% to $1123.20/ounce amid dollar weakness.
Stocks identified as the best matches with the fact-based investment system's guidelines currently are listed to the Featured Stocks Page. It shows the most current notes with headline links where members have access to more detailed letter-by-letter analysis including price/volume graphs annotated by our experts. See the Premium Member Homepage for archives to all prior pay reports.
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Kenneth J. Gruneisen started out as a licensed stockbroker in August 1987, a couple of months prior to the historic stock market crash that took the Dow Jones Industrial Average down -22.6% in a single day. He has published daily fact-based fundamental and technical analysis on high-ranked stocks online for two decades. Through FACTBASEDINVESTING.COM, Kenneth provides educational articles, news, market commentary, and other information regarding proven investment systems that work in good times and bad.
Comments contained in the body of this report are technical opinions only and are not necessarily those of Gruneisen Growth Corp. The material herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable and accurate, however, its accuracy and completeness cannot be guaranteed. Our firm, employees, and customers may effect transactions, including transactions contrary to any recommendation herein, or have positions in the securities mentioned herein or options with respect thereto. Any recommendation contained in this report may not be suitable for all investors and it is not to be deemed an offer or solicitation on our part with respect to the purchase or sale of any securities. |
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Tech Sector Erased Losses and Commodity-Linked Groups Bounced
Kenneth J. Gruneisen - Passed the CAN SLIM® Master's Exam
The Bank Index ($BKX -1.56%) violated its 50-day moving average line decisively and the Broker/Dealer Index ($XBD -1.10%) undercut its 200-day moving average line intra-day before recovering. Both weighed on the major averages as they fell even further on Wednesday. Charts for both financial indexes were included in the Tuesday evening "Industry Group Watch" section while members were reminded of their importance as "leading indicators" for the broader market outlook (read here). The Retail Index ($RLX -0.53%) also suffered a modest loss on Wednesday.
The tech sector reversed early losses and the Networking Index ($NWX +0.44%), Semiconductor Index ($SOX +0.54%), and the Biotechnology Index ($BTK +0.60%) ended unanimously higher. The Oil Services Index ($OSX +1.61%) and Integrated Oil Index ($XOI +1.62%) both rebounded. The Gold & Silver Index ($XAU +6.85%) was a standout gainer once again while recovering from deep losses and multi-year lows.
PICTURED: The Networking Index ($NWX +0.44%) stalled below prior highs after rebounding from its 200-day moving average (DMA) line.
Oil Services |
$OSX |
186.50 |
+2.99 |
+1.63% |
-11.56% |
Integrated Oil |
$XOI |
1,232.20 |
+19.61 |
+1.62% |
-8.60% |
Semiconductor |
$SOX |
641.52 |
+3.67 |
+0.58% |
-6.60% |
Networking |
$NWX |
389.09 |
+1.70 |
+0.44% |
+8.70% |
Broker/Dealer |
$XBD |
187.23 |
-2.09 |
-1.10% |
+1.40% |
Retail |
$RLX |
1,221.74 |
-6.50 |
-0.53% |
+18.30% |
Gold & Silver |
$XAU |
52.86 |
+3.39 |
+6.85% |
-23.15% |
Bank |
$BKX |
77.07 |
-1.24 |
-1.58% |
+3.78% |
Biotech |
$BTK |
4,090.96 |
+24.60 |
+0.60% |
+18.95% |
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Finished Strong With Volume-Driven Breakout Gain
Kenneth J. Gruneisen - Passed the CAN SLIM® Master's Exam
Inogen Inc (INGN +$6.29 or +14.77% to $48.89) was highlighted in yellow with pivot point cited based on its 6/23/15 high plus 10 cents in the earlier mid-day report (read here). Technically, it broke out with a gap up and considerable volume-driven gain today hitting a new 52-week high, finishing in the upper half of its intra-day range. It recently found support at its 50-day moving average (DMA) line and formed an orderly base above prior highs in the $40 area.
Bullish action came as it reported Jun '15 earnings +55% on 45% sales revenues, its 4th consecutive quarterly earnings increase above the +25% minimum guideline (C criteria). During that time its sales revenues growth has been in the +43-49% range, a reassuring sign of increasing demand for its new products and services (N criteria).
The number of top-rated funds owning its shares rose from 114 in Sep '14 to 200 in Jun '15, a reassuring sign concerning the I criteria. Its current Up/Down Volume Ratio of 1.3 is an unbiased indication its shares have been under accumulation over the past 500 days. Its small supply of only 11.8 million shares (S criteria) in the public float can contribute to greater price volatility in the event of institutional buying or selling.
Its limited history and broader market weakness (M criteria) are concerns. It is up considerably from its $16 IPO on 2/14/14 followed by a Secondary Offering on 10/30/14.
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Color Codes Explained :
Y - Better candidates highlighted by our
staff of experts. G - Previously featured
in past reports as yellow but may no longer be buyable under the
guidelines.
***Last / Change / Volume data in this table is the closing quote data***
Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group |
PRICE |
CHANGE (%Change) |
Day High |
Volume (% DAV) (% 50 day avg vol) |
52 Wk Hi % From Hi |
Featured Date |
Price Featured |
Pivot Featured |
Max Buy |
GSBC
-
NASDAQ
Great Southern Bancorp
BANKING - Savings and Loans
|
$40.89
|
-0.55
-1.33% |
$41.38
|
59,801 181.22% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 33,000
|
$42.99 -4.88%
|
4/27/2015
|
$40.94
|
PP = $40.54
|
MB = $42.57
|
Most Recent Note - 8/10/2015 12:38:22 PM
G - Consolidating near its 50 DMA line ($41.51) defining near-term support. Reported earnings +8% on -11% sales revenues for the Jun '15 quarter, raising fundamental concerns, and its color code was changed to green. Below the 50 DMA line its prior low ($40.46 on 7/08/15) defines the next important support where a violation would trigger a more worrisome technical sell signal.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Finding Support While Consolidating After Sub Par Quarter - 7/30/2015 |
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C
A
S
I |
BOFI
-
NASDAQ
B O F I Holding Inc
BANKING - Savings andamp; Loans
|
$127.65
|
-2.60
-2.00% |
$130.24
|
335,694 144.70% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 232,000
|
$134.79 -5.30%
|
6/10/2015
|
$101.47
|
PP = $97.78
|
MB = $102.67
|
Most Recent Note - 8/12/2015 6:57:25 PM
G - Hovering near its all-time high following gains marked by above average volume. Previously noted with caution - "It may produce more climactic gains, however it is very extended from its prior base. Its recent low ($111.43 on 7/29/15) defines near term support above its 50 DMA line."
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Extended and Perched Near High With Earnings News Due Soon - 7/27/2015 |
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C
A
S
I |
AHS
-
NYSE
A M N Healthcare Svcs
DIVERSIFIED SERVICES - Staffing and Outsourcing Service
|
$34.31
|
-0.19
-0.55% |
$34.82
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604,427 89.02% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 679,000
|
$36.34 -5.59%
|
8/5/2015
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$34.50
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PP = $32.53
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MB = $34.16
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Most Recent Note - 8/10/2015 3:35:38 PM
G - Rallied above its "max buy" level and its color code is changed to green. Prior highs in the $32 area define initial support to watch above its 50 DMA line.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Gap Up Gain Triggered Technical Buy Signal Following Earnings - 8/5/2015 |
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C
A
S
I |
ILMN
-
NASDAQ
Illumina Inc
DRUGS - Biotechnology
|
$207.36
|
-1.23
-0.59% |
$208.00
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1,401,680 97.00% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,445,000
|
$242.37 -14.44%
|
6/8/2015
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$209.97
|
PP = $213.43
|
MB = $224.10
|
Most Recent Note - 8/12/2015 7:09:42 PM
G - Damaging losses below recent lows ($207) raised concerns and triggered a more worrisome technical sell signal. Found support and finished near the session high today after slumping near its 200 DMA line.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Support Found After Abrupt Pullback Following Earnings News - 7/24/2015 |
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C
A
S
I |
JAZZ
-
NASDAQ
Jazz Pharmaceuticals Plc
DRUGS - Biotechnology
|
$183.60
|
+4.80
2.68% |
$184.69
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607,126 142.85% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 425,000
|
$194.73 -5.72%
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7/29/2015
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$190.13
|
PP = $191.11
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MB = $200.67
|
Most Recent Note - 8/12/2015 6:51:29 PM
G - Managed a "positive reversal" today after slumping near its 200 DMA line. Fundamental concerns were recently noted after it reported earnings +19% on +15% sales revenues for the Jun '15 quarter, below the +25% minimum earnings guideline (C criteria). It stalled after highlighted in yellow with pivot point cited based on its 4/27/15 high plus 10 cents in the 7/29/15 mid-day report (read here).
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : No Resistance Due to Overhead Supply For Drug Firm - 7/29/2015 |
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C
A
S
I |
Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group |
PRICE |
CHANGE (%Change) |
Day High |
Volume (% DAV) (% 50 day avg vol) |
52 Wk Hi % From Hi |
Featured Date |
Price Featured |
Pivot Featured |
Max Buy |
VRX
-
NYSE
Valeant Pharmaceuticals
DRUGS - Drug Manufacturers - Other
|
$244.03
|
-1.96
-0.80% |
$245.67
|
3,042,655 184.29% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,651,000
|
$263.81 -7.50%
|
7/14/2015
|
$236.75
|
PP = $246.11
|
MB = $258.42
|
Most Recent Note - 8/12/2015 7:05:35 PM
Y - Undercut its 50 DMA line then found prompt support and closed in the upper third of its intra-day range. Endured distributional pressure after wedging higher with recent gains lacking great volume conviction. Its 7/23/15 gap up above the pivot point triggered a new (or add-on) technical buy signal.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Holding Ground Following Latest Technical Breakout - 8/3/2015 |
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C
A
S
I |
USNA
-
NYSE
U S A N A Health Science
DRUGS - Drug Related Products
|
$160.57
|
-1.30
-0.80% |
$161.68
|
160,759 122.72% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 131,000
|
$176.88 -9.22%
|
8/5/2015
|
$157.22
|
PP = $145.15
|
MB = $152.41
|
Most Recent Note - 8/12/2015 7:07:16 PM
G - Consolidating well above prior highs in the $145 area defining initial support to watch. Risk increases the further one chases a stock above prior highs.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Abrupt Retreat Following Breakout for Stock With Small Supply - 8/6/2015 |
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C
A
S
I |
AMBA
-
NASDAQ
Ambarella Inc
ELECTRONICS - Semiconductor - Specialized
|
$110.05
|
-2.89
-2.56% |
$112.30
|
3,849,735 87.75% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 4,387,000
|
$129.19 -14.82%
|
5/1/2015
|
$75.99
|
PP = $77.49
|
MB = $81.36
|
Most Recent Note - 8/12/2015 6:56:06 PM
G - Undercut its 50 DMA line today yet found prompt support and rebounded to close near that important short-term average and finish in the upper third of its intra-day range. More damaging losses would raise serious concerns and trigger a worrisome technical sell signal.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Choppy Consolidation is Not a New Cup-With-Handle Base - 8/7/2015 |
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C
A
S
I |
ACHC
-
NASDAQ
Acadia Healthcare Inc
HEALTH SERVICES - Specialized Health Services
|
$80.38
|
+0.10
0.12% |
$80.61
|
568,869 75.95% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 749,000
|
$85.62 -6.13%
|
5/27/2015
|
$73.90
|
PP = $74.19
|
MB = $77.90
|
Most Recent Note - 8/11/2015 3:10:25 PM
G - Gapped down today after proposing a Secondary Offering. Brief consolidation was not a sound base pattern of sufficient length. Reported strong sales and earnings increases with acceleration again for Jun '15 quarter. Its 50 DMA line and recent lows define important support.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Pullback Followed Another Strong Quarter Reported With Acceleration - 8/4/2015 |
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A
S
I |
APOG
-
NASDAQ
Apogee Enterprises
MATERIALS and CONSTRUCTION - General Building Materials
|
$53.03
|
-0.17
-0.32% |
$53.58
|
172,805 53.01% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 326,000
|
$61.05 -13.13%
|
4/9/2015
|
$49.58
|
PP = $48.13
|
MB = $50.54
|
Most Recent Note - 8/12/2015 7:11:28 PM
G - Slumping further below its 50 DMA line, and a rebound above that short-term average is needed for its outlook to improve. Damaging losses below the recent low ($50.07 on 7/07/15) would raise greater concerns and trigger a worrisome technical sell signal.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Rebound Above 50-Day Moving Average Line - 7/31/2015 |
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C
A
S
I |
Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group |
PRICE |
CHANGE (%Change) |
Day High |
Volume (% DAV) (% 50 day avg vol) |
52 Wk Hi % From Hi |
Featured Date |
Price Featured |
Pivot Featured |
Max Buy |
JLL
-
NYSE
Jones Lang Lasalle Inc
REAL ESTATE - Property Management/Developmen
|
$174.39
|
-4.96
-2.77% |
$177.75
|
421,686 150.60% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 280,000
|
$179.97 -3.10%
|
6/4/2015
|
$172.34
|
PP = $174.93
|
MB = $183.68
|
Most Recent Note - 8/12/2015 6:52:16 PM
Y - Down with average volume today, testing support at its 50 DMA line. Recent gains above the pivot point lacked the minimum +40% above average volume necessary to trigger a new (or add-on) technical buy signal.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Recent Gains Lacked Volume Conviction; Earnings Report Soon Expected - 7/22/2015 |
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C
A
S
I |
RH
-
NYSE
Restoration Hardware Hld
RETAIL - Home Furnishing Stores
|
$99.40
|
-0.32
-0.32% |
$100.12
|
704,742 91.76% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 768,000
|
$105.98 -6.21%
|
7/28/2015
|
$102.40
|
PP = $102.10
|
MB = $107.21
|
Most Recent Note - 8/12/2015 7:02:37 PM
Y - Undercut its 50 DMA line ($98.71) then found prompt support and finished in the upper third of its intra-day range. More damaging losses would raise greater concerns and trigger a worrisome technical sell signal.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Fundamental and Technical Action Improved Outlook - 7/28/2015 |
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C
A
S
I |
ULTA
-
NASDAQ
Ulta Salon Cosm & Frag
SPECIALTY RETAIL - Specialty Retail, Other
|
$166.94
|
-1.57
-0.93% |
$167.57
|
675,491 99.05% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 682,000
|
$171.21 -2.49%
|
5/29/2015
|
$155.03
|
PP = $159.95
|
MB = $167.95
|
Most Recent Note - 8/10/2015 3:28:29 PM
Y - Small gap up today nearly challenging 52-week high. Consolidating well above prior highs in the $159 area defining initial support to watch on pullbacks.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Near "Max Buy" Level, But Recent Gains Lacked Great Volume Conviction - 7/20/2015 |
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C
A
S
I |
LXFT
-
NYSE
Luxoft Holding Inc Cl A
Comp Sftwr-Spec Enterprs
|
$61.54
|
+1.50
2.50% |
$61.68
|
269,683 110.07% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 245,000
|
$63.56 -3.18%
|
5/26/2015
|
$51.90
|
PP = $57.40
|
MB = $60.27
|
Most Recent Note - 8/10/2015 5:52:13 PM
G - Posted a quiet gain today. Reporting Jun '15 earnings on Wednesday. Consolidating above 50 DMA line ($58.84) and prior highs in the $57 area. Subsequent violations would trigger technical sell signals. See the latest FSU analysis for more details and a new annotated graph.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Earnings News Often Leads to Greater Volume and Volatility - 8/10/2015 |
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C
A
S
I |
PANW
-
NYSE
Palo Alto Networks
Computer Sftwr-Security
|
$171.00
|
-2.93
-1.68% |
$174.30
|
2,727,257 189.00% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,443,000
|
$200.55 -14.73%
|
3/27/2015
|
$146.44
|
PP = $149.45
|
MB = $156.92
|
Most Recent Note - 8/12/2015 7:00:25 PM
G - Undercut its prior low ($167.82 on 7/07/15) with another damaging volume-driven loss today raising greater concerns. Found support and rebounded to close in the upper-third of its intra-day range.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Wedging to New Highs After Brief Consolidation - 7/21/2015 |
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C
A
S
I |
Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group |
PRICE |
CHANGE (%Change) |
Day High |
Volume (% DAV) (% 50 day avg vol) |
52 Wk Hi % From Hi |
Featured Date |
Price Featured |
Pivot Featured |
Max Buy |
INGN
-
NASDAQ
Inogen Inc
HEALTH SERVICES - Medical Instruments and Supplies
|
$48.89
|
+6.29
14.77% |
$50.98
|
867,092 352.48% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 246,000
|
$45.75 6.86%
|
8/12/2015
|
$49.01
|
PP = $45.85
|
MB = $48.14
|
Most Recent Note - 8/12/2015 6:49:36 PM
Y - Finished strong after highlighted in yellow with a pivot point cited based on its 6/23/15 high plus 10 cents (read here). Technically it broke out with a gap up and considerable gain backed by +252% above average volume while hitting a new 52-week high. Found support at its 50 DMA line and formed an orderly base above prior highs in the $40 area. Reported Jun '15 earnings +55% on 45% sales, its 4th consecutive quarterly earnings increase above the +25% minimum guideline (C criteria). Limited history and broader market weakness (M criteria) is a concern. See the latest FSU analysis for more details and a new annotated graph.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Finished Strong With Volume-Driven Breakout Gain - 8/12/2015 |
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A
S
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THESE ARE NOT BUY RECOMMENDATIONS!
Comments contained in the body of this report are technical
opinions only. The material herein has been obtained
from sources believed to be reliable and accurate, however,
its accuracy and completeness cannot be guaranteed.
This site is not an investment advisor, hence it does
not endorse or recommend any securities or other investments.
Any recommendation contained in this report may not
be suitable for all investors and it is not to be deemed
an offer or solicitation on our part with respect to
the purchase or sale of any securities. All trademarks,
service marks and trade names appearing in this report
are the property of their respective owners, and are
likewise used for identification purposes only.
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