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AFTER MARKET UPDATE - FRIDAY, MAY 29TH, 2015
Previous After Market Report Next After Market Report >>>
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DOW |
-115.44 |
18,010.68 |
-0.64% |
|
Volume |
1,163,205,970 |
+72% |
|
Volume |
1,792,594,930 |
+12% |
|
NASDAQ |
-27.95 |
5,070.03 |
-0.55% |
|
Advancers |
951 |
30% |
|
Advancers |
1,053 |
35% |
|
S&P 500 |
-13.40 |
2,107.39 |
-0.63% |
|
Decliners |
2,105 |
66% |
|
Decliners |
1,841 |
62% |
|
Russell 2000 |
-6.57 |
1,246.53 |
-0.52% |
|
52 Wk Highs |
51 |
|
|
52 Wk Highs |
78 |
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|
S&P 600 |
-5.17 |
712.88 |
-0.72% |
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52 Wk Lows |
58 |
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|
52 Wk Lows |
36 |
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Below the Featured Stocks table and near the bottom of this report you will see a "Ken's Mailbag Q&A". Members who have questions or comments about the service are encouraged to please take time to share your input with us via the inquiry form.
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Major Indices Posted Gains in May
Kenneth J. Gruneisen - Passed the CAN SLIM® Master's Exam
For the month of May, the benchmark S&P 500 Index rose +1.1%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained +0.9%, and the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite Index rallied +2.2% while reaching new record highs. Stocks retreated on Friday. The Dow lost 115 points to 18010. The S&P 500 declined 31 points to 2107. The NASDAQ fell 27 points to 5070. The volume totals were higher than the prior session total on the Nasdaq exchange and on the NYSE, a sign of distributional pressure or selling from the institutional crowd. Breadth was negative as decliners led advancers by more than 2-1 on the NYSE and by 9-5 on the Nasdaq exchange. There were 28 high-ranked companies from the Leaders List that made new 52-week highs and appeared on the BreakOuts Page, down from the prior session total of 40 stocks. New 52-week highs outnumbered new 52-week lows on the Nasdaq exchange, however new lows outnumber new highs on the NYSE. There were gains for 8 of the 14 high-ranked companies currently on the Featured Stocks Page.
Concerning the M criteria, stocks have endured distributional pressure after making little headway following the bullish action on 5/14/15 which met the definition of a "follow-through day". Investors still have a favorable market environment for buying stocks meeting all of the key fundamental and technical criteria, however, any sustained rally requires healthy leadership (more stocks hitting new 52-week highs).
 PICTURED: The Dow Jones Industrial Average slumped to a close below its 50-day moving average (DMA) line.
The major averages consolidated as investors focused on a report showing the U.S. economy shrank 0.7% and personal consumption rose 1.8% in the first quarter. Two gauges of manufacturing for May missed expectations, and consumer confidence decreased to a six-month low.
All 10 S&P 500 sectors were lower. Financials were off the most. After announcing job cuts, JP Morgan (JPM -0.63%) fell and Bank of America (BAC -1.02%) ended lower. Industrials were notable underperformers as Kansas City Southern (KSU -2.06%) and United Rentals (URI -6.36%) tumbled. Abercrombie (ANF -7.38% retraced some of Thursday's gains.
In M&A, Altera (ALTR +4.00%) rose on speculation Intel (INTC +1.32%)may succeed in attempts to acquire the company. Avago (AVGO +4.00%) added to the prior session's advance. A positive earnings report lifted GameStop (GME +6.09%).
Treasuries gained but finished off intraday highs. The 10-year note climbed 4/32 to yield 2.12%.
Commodities were mostly higher. WTI crude rallied 4.4% to $60.20/barrel on lower rig counts. COMEX gold finished 0.2% higher to $1190.20/ounce. .
The Featured Stocks Page shows recent notes and Headline Links directing members to detailed analysis with data-packed graphs annotated by our experts. See the Premium Member Homepage for archives to all prior pay reports published.
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Kenneth J. Gruneisen started out as a licensed stockbroker in August 1987, a couple of months prior to the historic stock market crash that took the Dow Jones Industrial Average down -22.6% in a single day. He has published daily fact-based fundamental and technical analysis on high-ranked stocks online for two decades. Through FACTBASEDINVESTING.COM, Kenneth provides educational articles, news, market commentary, and other information regarding proven investment systems that work in good times and bad.
Comments contained in the body of this report are technical opinions only and are not necessarily those of Gruneisen Growth Corp. The material herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable and accurate, however, its accuracy and completeness cannot be guaranteed. Our firm, employees, and customers may effect transactions, including transactions contrary to any recommendation herein, or have positions in the securities mentioned herein or options with respect thereto. Any recommendation contained in this report may not be suitable for all investors and it is not to be deemed an offer or solicitation on our part with respect to the purchase or sale of any securities. |
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Semiconductor Index Rose Amid Widespread Weakness
Kenneth J. Gruneisen - Passed the CAN SLIM® Master's Exam
The Retail Index ($RLX -0.65%) fell on Friday and financials had a negative bias as the Bank Index ($BKX -0.82%) and the Broker/Dealer Index ($XBD -0.90%) both finished with losses. The tech sector was mixed as the Semiconductor Index ($SOX+0.29%) edged higher, meanwhile the Networking Index ($NWX -0.27%) and the Biotechnology Index ($BTK -0.20%) ended slightly lower. The Oil Services Index ($OSX -1.02%), Integrated Oil Index ($XOI -0.22%), and the Gold & Silver Index ($XAU -0.19%) were lower.
Charts courtesy www.stockcharts.com
PICTURED: The Bank Index ($BKX -0.82%) pulled back on Friday breaking a streak of 5 consecutive gains after it rallied into new high territory.
| Oil Services |
$OSX |
209.52 |
-2.16 |
-1.02% |
-0.64% |
| Integrated Oil |
$XOI |
1,340.01 |
-2.97 |
-0.22% |
-0.60% |
| Semiconductor |
$SOX |
745.41 |
+2.14 |
+0.29% |
+8.52% |
| Networking |
$NWX |
392.60 |
-1.05 |
-0.27% |
+9.68% |
| Broker/Dealer |
$XBD |
193.21 |
-1.76 |
-0.90% |
+4.64% |
| Retail |
$RLX |
1,132.65 |
-7.46 |
-0.65% |
+9.68% |
| Gold & Silver |
$XAU |
69.70 |
-0.13 |
-0.19% |
+1.34% |
| Bank |
$BKX |
75.51 |
-0.62 |
-0.81% |
+1.68% |
| Biotech |
$BTK |
4,155.95 |
-8.48 |
-0.20% |
+20.84% |
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Negative Reversal Today After Touching New Highs
Kenneth J. Gruneisen - Passed the CAN SLIM® Master's Exam
Ulta Salon Cosmetics & Fragrance, Inc. (ULTA -$3.65 or -2.34% to $152.62) touched a new 52-week high, but it finished weak today after a "negative reversal". That worrisome distributional action is easy to see on the 6-month daily graph included below. It was highlighted in yellow with pivot point cited based on its 4/24/15 high plus 10 cents in the earlier mid-day report (read here). It was noted - "A volume-driven gain and close above its pivot point may trigger a proper technical buy signal. Found support near its 50 DMA line while building on an orderly flat base."
It reported earnings +34%, +26%, +22%, and +35% in the Jul '14, Oct '14, Jan '15 and Apr '15 quarterly comparisons, respectively. Its strong earnings have been underpinned by steady sales revenues increases in the +21-22% range during that span of time. In 3 of the past 4 quarterly comparisons results have now been above the +25% minimum earnings guideline (C criteria).
Its advance has been choppy since last shown in this FSU section on 12/21/12 with annotated graphs under the headline, "Relative Strength Rating Sub Par For Buy Candidates After Retreat ". The 2-year weekly graph below illustrates the previously noted deep consolidation below its 200 DMA line, then gradual progress back to new high territory since dropped from the Featured Stocks list on 1/07/13.
Its solid annual earnings (A criteria) history is very reassuring. It has a small supply (S criteria) of only 63 million shares in the public float. The number of top-rated funds with an ownership interest has grown from 566 funds in Jun '14 to 757 funds as of Mar '15, which is a very encouraging sign of increasing institutional interest (the I criteria). Its current Up/Down Volume Ratio of 1.4 is an unbiased indication its shares have been under accumulation over the past 50 days.
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Color Codes Explained :
Y - Better candidates highlighted by our
staff of experts.
G - Previously featured
in past reports as yellow but may no longer be buyable under the
guidelines.
***Last / Change / Volume data in this table is the closing quote data***
Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group |
PRICE |
CHANGE
(%Change) |
Day High |
Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol) |
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi |
Featured
Date |
Price
Featured |
Pivot Featured |
|
Max Buy |
GSBC
-
NASDAQ
Great Southern Bancorp
BANKING - Savings and Loans
|
$39.46
|
-0.05
-0.13% |
$39.58
|
33,159
103.62% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 32,000
|
$41.41
-4.71%
|
4/27/2015
|
$40.94
|
PP = $40.54
|
|
MB = $42.57
|
Most Recent Note - 5/27/2015 6:36:50 PM
Y - Found support today while consolidating near its 50 DMA line ($39.20). Recent lows ($38.00 on 5/06/15) define the next important support where a violation would trigger a technical sell signal.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Found Reassuring Support at 50-Day Moving Average Line - 5/14/2015 |
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C
A
S
I |
EPAM
-
NYSE
Epam Systems Inc
COMPUTER SOFTWARE and SERVICES - Information Technology Service
|
$71.91
|
-0.10
-0.14% |
$73.11
|
937,006
205.94% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 455,000
|
$72.70
-1.09%
|
5/18/2015
|
$67.42
|
PP = $70.59
|
|
MB = $74.12
|
Most Recent Note - 5/29/2015 12:29:48 PM
Y - Reversed into the red after hitting another new 52-week high today following 3 consecutive gains. On the prior session it rallied above its pivot point with volume +117% above average triggering a new (or add-on) technical buy signal. Important support is defined by its 50 DMA line ($65.93) where more damaging losses would raise greater concerns and trigger a technical sell signal.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Consolidating Above Support at Prior Highs and 50-Day Moving Average - 5/15/2015 |
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C
A
S
I |
VRX
-
NYSE
Valeant Pharmaceuticals
DRUGS - Drug Manufacturers - Other
|
$238.77
|
-2.96
-1.22% |
$241.70
|
1,393,996
81.19% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,717,000
|
$246.01
-2.94%
|
1/5/2015
|
$144.84
|
PP = $149.90
|
|
MB = $157.40
|
Most Recent Note - 5/28/2015 1:30:00 PM
G - Hitting yet another new all-time high today, getting very extended from prior highs. Found prompt support its 50 DMA line recently but it did not form a sound base. Completed a new Public Offering on 3/17/15. Reported earnings +34% on +16% sales revenues for the Mar '15 quarter, an improvement after Dec '14 earnings below the +25% minimum guideline (C criteria).
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Very Extended Following 7 Consecutive Gains - 5/22/2015 |
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C
A
S
I |
AVGO
-
NASDAQ
Avago Technologies Ltd
ELECTRONICS - Semiconductor - Broad Line
|
$148.07
|
+5.69
4.00% |
$149.24
|
11,781,483
415.28% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 2,837,000
|
$145.47
1.79%
|
5/28/2015
|
$141.06
|
PP = $136.38
|
|
MB = $143.20
|
Most Recent Note - 5/29/2015 12:14:47 PM
G - Gapped up today and rallied above its "max buy" level for a new 52-week high and its color code was changed to green. Highlighted in yellow with pivot point cited based on its 3/23/15 high plus 10 cents in the 5/28/15 mid-day report (read here). This Singapore-based Electronics - Semiconductor firm spiked to a new 52-week high, technically breaking out of a riskier "late stage" base. It announced plans to acquire Broadcom (BRCM) as mentioned in the 5/27/15 commentary (read here). The Apr '15 quarter marked its 6th consecutive quarterly earnings increase above the +25% minimum guideline (C criteria) and its annual earnings (A criteria) history has been strong. See the latest FSU analysis for more details and annotated graphs.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Strong Sales and Earnings Acceleration For Tech Leader - 5/28/2015 |
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C
A
S
I |
NXPI
-
NASDAQ
Nxp Semiconductors N V
ELECTRONICS - Semiconductor - Broad Line
|
$112.25
|
+1.46
1.32% |
$112.81
|
3,578,279
115.43% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 3,100,000
|
$112.77
-0.46%
|
4/15/2015
|
$100.75
|
PP = $108.60
|
|
MB = $114.03
|
Most Recent Note - 5/29/2015 6:06:07 PM
Y - Rallied further into new high territory today after prior volume-driven gains triggered a technical buy signal. No overhead supply remains to act as resistance. Its 50 DMA line and recent lows near $93.50 define important chart support where more damaging losses may raise concerns and trigger worrisome technical sell signals.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Rallied Toward Prior Highs Following Earnings News - 5/8/2015 |
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C
A
S
I |
Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group |
PRICE |
CHANGE
(%Change) |
Day High |
Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol) |
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi |
Featured
Date |
Price
Featured |
Pivot Featured |
|
Max Buy |
SWKS
-
NASDAQ
Skyworks Solutions Inc
ELECTRONICS - Semiconductor - Integrated Cir
|
$109.36
|
+1.71
1.59% |
$109.86
|
3,608,597
91.03% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 3,964,000
|
$110.39
-0.93%
|
5/1/2015
|
$97.51
|
PP = $102.87
|
|
MB = $108.01
|
Most Recent Note - 5/27/2015 6:26:11 PM
G - Finished strong and above its "max buy" level but volume was only +20% above average behind today's gain for a new 52-week high. Color code is changed to green. Recent gains lacked volume after it found support near its 50 DMA line while building on a riskier "late-stage" base pattern. Gains backed by at least +40% above average volume while rallying above the pivot point may trigger a technical buy signal.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Gains for New Highs Lacked Substantial Volume Conviction - 5/19/2015 |
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C
A
S
I |
AMBA
-
NASDAQ
Ambarella Inc
ELECTRONICS - Semiconductor - Specialized
|
$90.21
|
+1.25
1.41% |
$91.84
|
2,609,177
199.78% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,306,000
|
$91.27
-1.16%
|
5/1/2015
|
$75.99
|
PP = $77.49
|
|
MB = $81.36
|
Most Recent Note - 5/29/2015 12:14:07 PM
G - Hit yet another new all-time high today while adding to a spurt of volume-driven gains, getting more extended from its prior base. Disciplined investors avoid chasing extended stocks. Prior highs in the $77 area define initial support to watch on pullbacks.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Did Not Trigger New Buy Signal But Found Support Near 50 Day Moving Average - 5/12/2015 |
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C
A
S
I |
ACHC
-
NASDAQ
Acadia Healthcare Inc
HEALTH SERVICES - Specialized Health Services
|
$74.14
|
+0.43
0.58% |
$75.46
|
1,230,694
220.55% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 558,000
|
$75.16
-1.36%
|
5/27/2015
|
$73.90
|
PP = $74.19
|
|
MB = $77.90
|
Most Recent Note - 5/29/2015 5:59:46 PM
Y - Today's gain on +120% above average volume left it still finishing below the new pivot point cited based on its 4/13/15 high. A strong gain above the pivot point with at least +40% above average volume is needed to trigger a proper technical buy signal. See the latest FSU analysis for more details and an annotated graph.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Finished Below Pivot Point Despite Big Volume-Driven Gain and New 52-Week High - 5/27/2015 |
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C
A
S
I |
AKAM
-
NASDAQ
Akamai Technologies Inc
INTERNET - Internet Software and Services
|
$76.27
|
-0.76
-0.99% |
$76.95
|
1,782,890
129.66% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,375,000
|
$78.44
-2.77%
|
4/20/2015
|
$73.53
|
PP = $73.63
|
|
MB = $77.31
|
Most Recent Note - 5/29/2015 6:03:17 PM
G - Loss today on higher volume was indicative of distributional pressure while still consolidating near its 52-week high. Reported earnings +5% on +16% sales revenues for the Mar '15 quarter, below the +25% minimum earnings guideline (C criteria), a fundamental flaw making it a less favorable buy candidate. Prior reports cautioned - "It did not produce gains above the pivot point backed by at least the +40% above average volume necessary to trigger a new (or add-on) technical buy signal. Its 50 DMA line defines near-term support to watch."
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Fundamental Flaw Raised Recent Concerns - 5/21/2015 |
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C
A
S
I |
APOG
-
NASDAQ
Apogee Enterprises
MATERIALS and CONSTRUCTION - General Building Materials
|
$53.73
|
-0.37
-0.68% |
$54.06
|
125,815
52.21% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 241,000
|
$57.18
-6.03%
|
4/9/2015
|
$49.58
|
PP = $48.13
|
|
MB = $50.54
|
Most Recent Note - 5/26/2015 5:43:20 PM
G - Consolidating quietly after wedging higher for new 52-week highs without forming a sound base. Its 50 DMA line ($50.33) and prior highs define important support to watch on pullbacks.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Wedged to New Highs Without Forming a Proper New Base - 5/20/2015 |
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C
A
S
I |
Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group |
PRICE |
CHANGE
(%Change) |
Day High |
Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol) |
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi |
Featured
Date |
Price
Featured |
Pivot Featured |
|
Max Buy |
JLL
-
NYSE
Jones Lang Lasalle Inc
REAL ESTATE - Property Management/Developmen
|
$173.23
|
+0.77
0.45% |
$173.81
|
1,689,746
539.85% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 313,000
|
$174.83
-0.92%
|
2/3/2015
|
$156.95
|
PP = $154.66
|
|
MB = $162.39
|
Most Recent Note - 5/29/2015 6:01:47 PM
G - Perched at its 52-week high after a volume-driven gain today. Recently consolidating above its 50 DMA line it did not form a sound new base, but little resistance remains due to overhead supply. Earnings rose +147% on +16% sales revenues for the Mar '15 quarter.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Rebounded Near 50 Day Moving Average Line - 5/13/2015 |
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C
A
S
I |
ULTA
-
NASDAQ
Ulta Salon Cosm & Frag
SPECIALTY RETAIL - Specialty Retail, Other
|
$152.62
|
-3.65
-2.34% |
$159.85
|
3,785,645
576.20% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 657,000
|
$158.97
-3.99%
|
5/29/2015
|
$155.03
|
PP = $159.07
|
|
MB = $167.02
|
Most Recent Note - 5/29/2015 5:55:45 PM
Y - Ended near the session low and near its 50 DMA line following a "negative reversal" today for a loss on heavy volume after touching a new 52-week high. It was highlighted in yellow with pivot point cited based on its 4/24/15 high plus 10 cents in the earlier mid-day report (read here). A volume-driven gain and close above its pivot point may trigger a proper technical buy signal. Recent lows in the $149 area define near-term support. Reported Apr '15 quarterly earnings +35% on +22% sales revenues, and 3 of the past 4 quarterly comparisons have now been above the +25% minimum earnings guideline (C criteria). See the latest FSU analysis for more details and new annotated graphs.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Negative Reversal Today After Touching New Highs - 5/29/2015 |
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C
A
S
I |
LXFT
-
NYSE
Luxoft Holding Inc Cl A
Comp Sftwr-Spec Enterprs
|
$53.53
|
+0.15
0.28% |
$53.98
|
133,237
76.57% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 174,000
|
$57.30
-6.58%
|
5/26/2015
|
$51.90
|
PP = $57.40
|
|
MB = $60.27
|
Most Recent Note - 5/27/2015 6:35:23 PM
Y - Finished near the session high today and just above its 50 DMA line with a gain on lighter volume. Subsequent volume-driven gains above the pivot point are needed to trigger a proper technical buy signal. Reported earnings +28% on +29% sales revenues for the Mar '15 quarter, helping its quarterly and annual earnings history (C and A criteria) better match the guidelines of the fact-based investment system. Made gradual progress following the previously noted "breakaway gap" on 2/12/15. See the latest FSU analysis for more details and an annotated graph.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Gains For News Highs Still Needed to Trigger Technical Buy Signal - 5/26/2015 |
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C
A
S
I |
PANW
-
NYSE
Palo Alto Networks
Computer Sftwr-Security
|
$169.49
|
+3.12
1.88% |
$169.84
|
2,097,541
160.85% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,304,000
|
$169.84
-0.21%
|
3/27/2015
|
$146.44
|
PP = $149.45
|
|
MB = $156.92
|
Most Recent Note - 5/29/2015 12:39:03 PM
G - It is extended from its prior base and disciplined investors avoid chasing stocks more than +5% above their pivot point or prior highs. Prior highs in the $158 area define initial support above the 50 DMA line. Subsequent violations would raise concerns and may trigger a technical sell signal.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Found Support at 50-Day Moving Average During Ongoing Ascent - 5/11/2015 |
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C
A
S
I |
|
 |
|
| Subscriber Question: |
May 22, 2015 |
Dear Ken,
I miss the old charts. Is there some reason you're using the charts from stockcharts.com instead? I used the additional information provided on the old charts to help me make buy decisions.
Thank you,
Robin |
| Ken's Response: |
May 29, 2015 |
Dear Robin:
I am thankful that you wrote in with your feedback. Input from our members has helped to shape the services provided since the beginning in 1996. I am pleased to know that you are among our members who did appreciate the high-quality charts previously included in our articles under license.
Hopefully you will specify to us all of the most important information that is useful to you in making your buy and sell decisions, then we might expound on these points more thoroughly in future articles to satisfy your needs and more. If there is something we are inadvertently leaving out which is considered "absolutely necessary" to you in your own fact-based investing, please know that we will strive to include it.
We made a mistake, to some degree, years-ago after we upgraded from simple price/volume graphs with 50-day and 200-day moving average lines. Surely, the data-packed graphs included under license from 2005-2015 were helpful to some, however, their complexity created some confusion for many people who are not very familiar with the various ratings. Many folks do not know how to interpret and make good use of the additional information, and the inclusion of the busier graphs turned out to not be as much of a selling point as we had expected. Honestly, half of our customers might prefer a simple TEXT-ME-THE-PICKS service providing ticker symbols with scant other details.
Stock charting services on the Internet are numerous. But services specifically providing expert real-time help with the day-to-day application of the fact-based investment system are uncommon.
Let me share something with you that might be a helpful way to frame things up with regard to the graphs and text of our service. Back when I was a kid, my father used to watch the Miami Dolphins on television. However, my dad would turn the volume all the way down! Instead, he tuned in and listened to the AM radio announcers giving the play-by-play of the very same football game. The radio guys did a much better job than the television announcers. The television announcers were lazy and less effective with their words because they assumed you could also see the action happening. Sometimes the television broadcast was delayed or interrupted by a news flash, and we would hear the plays on the radio and be looking more closely a few seconds later to watch it on the screen.
Providing superior value in the timeliness of the graphs and detailed text of our services is how we hope to score more touchdowns with members like you. If you are a more successful investor with our service, then we will have reached our goal.
I would love to hear from you concerning the above. I will appreciate your patience, as before, for my professional response. Hopefully you understand that we are doing our utmost to satisfy our members' needs while applying proven fact-based investment tactics.
Best regards,![]()
Kenneth J. Gruneisen |
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