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AFTER MARKET UPDATE - THURSDAY, AUGUST 13TH, 2015
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DOW |
+5.74 |
17,408.25 |
+0.03% |
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Volume |
748,433,970 |
-18% |
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Volume |
1,518,236,400 |
-21% |
NASDAQ |
-10.83 |
5,033.56 |
-0.21% |
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Advancers |
1,212 |
40% |
|
Advancers |
1,259 |
44% |
S&P 500 |
-2.66 |
2,083.39 |
-0.13% |
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Decliners |
1,838 |
60% |
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Decliners |
1,595 |
56% |
Russell 2000 |
-4.24 |
1,204.74 |
-0.35% |
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52 Wk Highs |
63 |
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52 Wk Highs |
35 |
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S&P 600 |
-0.76 |
701.00 |
-0.11% |
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52 Wk Lows |
122 |
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52 Wk Lows |
146 |
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Breadth Negative as Indices Saw Early Gains Fade
Kenneth J. Gruneisen - Passed the CAN SLIM® Master's Exam
On Thursday stocks erased gains to finish little changed. The Dow rose 5 points to 17408. The S&P 500 fell 2 points to 2083. The NASDAQ declined 10 points to 5033. Volume totals were reported lighter than the prior session totals on the NYSE and on the Nasdaq exchange. Breadth was negative as decliners led advancers by a 3-2 margin on the NYSE and by a 4-3 margin on the Nasdaq exchange. There were 37 high-ranked companies from the Leaders List that made new 52-week highs and appeared on the BreakOuts Page, up from the prior session total of 20 stocks. There were gains for 14 of the 16 high-ranked companies currently on the Featured Stocks Page, again showing a disproportionately positive bias versus the broader market. There was another increase in the number of new 52-week lows as they solidly outnumbered new 52-week highs on both the Nasdaq and on the NYSE. With Tuesday's big losses the Nasdaq Composite Index and the benchmark S&P 500 Index both abruptly retreated back below their respective 50-day moving average (DMA) lines, raising concerns. Technical deterioration in the charts of the major averages (M criteria) coupled with a contraction in leadership gave investors more reasons to be cautious. Weakness in financial issues has added to previously noted pressure, contributing to the threat of a more substantial market "correction". Disciplined investors always limit losses by selling any stock that falls more than -7% from their purchase price. This is precisely how the fact-based investment system prompts investors to reduce exposure in weak markets, preserving cash until another confirmed rally marked by solid leadership. PICTURED: The Dow Jones industrial Average is below its 50-day and 200-day moving average (DMA) lines which recently crossed. The major averages pared gains in the final hour of trading. Economic data showed retail sales jumped 0.6% in July, and June’s figures were revised into positive territory. Import prices surprisingly fell 0.9%, less than anticipated. Initial jobless claims last week were 274,000, hovering near the 40-year low. Lastly, business inventories in June rose 0.8%, topping the 0.3% expected expansion. Seven of 10 S&P 500 sectors were lower. Energy was off the most in sympathy with oil prices. Transocean (RIG -6.5%) tumbled and Exxon Mobil (XOM -0.2%) edged lower. The typically defensive telecom and consumer staples groups were relative laggards. Despite positive commentary, AT&T (T -0.6%) fell and in staples Procter & Gamble (PG -0.8%) declined. Consumer discretionary was up the most on positive earnings reports. News Corp (NWS +7.6%) topped quarterly estimates and announced the divestiture of its education arm, sending the stock higher. Tesla (TSLA 1.8%) filed for a 2.1 million share offering.. In tech, Cisco (CSCO +2.9%) jumped after posting a strong profit tally. Treasuries fell as the 10-year note lost 12/32 to yield 2.185%. Amid a $16 billion auction, the 30-year bond retreated 10/32 to yield 2.855%. Commodities were broadly lower. WTI crude fell 2.5% to $42.23/barrel. COMEX gold lost 0.7% to $1115.00/ounce to snap its winning streak Stocks identified as the best matches with the fact-based investment system's guidelines currently are listed to the Featured Stocks Page. It shows the most current notes with headline links where members have access to more detailed letter-by-letter analysis including price/volume graphs annotated by our experts. See the Premium Member Homepage for archives to all prior pay reports.
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Kenneth J. Gruneisen started out as a licensed stockbroker in August 1987, a couple of months prior to the historic stock market crash that took the Dow Jones Industrial Average down -22.6% in a single day. He has published daily fact-based fundamental and technical analysis on high-ranked stocks online for two decades. Through FACTBASEDINVESTING.COM, Kenneth provides educational articles, news, market commentary, and other information regarding proven investment systems that work in good times and bad.
Comments contained in the body of this report are technical opinions only and are not necessarily those of Gruneisen Growth Corp. The material herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable and accurate, however, its accuracy and completeness cannot be guaranteed. Our firm, employees, and customers may effect transactions, including transactions contrary to any recommendation herein, or have positions in the securities mentioned herein or options with respect thereto. Any recommendation contained in this report may not be suitable for all investors and it is not to be deemed an offer or solicitation on our part with respect to the purchase or sale of any securities. |
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Retail and Bank Index Both Rose; Commodity-Linked Groups Fell
Kenneth J. Gruneisen - Passed the CAN SLIM® Master's Exam
The Retail Index ($RLX +0.77%) rose and the Bank Index ($BKX +0.54%) edged higher while the Broker/Dealer Index ($XBD -0.16%) inched lower on Thursday. The Networking Index ($NWX +0.18%) eked out a small gain while the Semiconductor Index ($SOX-1.04%) and Biotechnology Index ($BTK -0.65%) both ended the day lower. The Oil Services Index ($OSX -2.87%) and Integrated Oil Index ($XOI -1.32%) both slumped. The Gold & Silver Index ($XAU -5.24%) was a standout decliner once again.
PICTURED: The Retail Index ($RLX +0.77%) remains perched near all-time highs and well above its 50-day moving average (DMA) line.
Oil Services |
$OSX |
181.15 |
-5.35 |
-2.87% |
-14.09% |
Integrated Oil |
$XOI |
1,215.97 |
-16.23 |
-1.32% |
-9.80% |
Semiconductor |
$SOX |
634.87 |
-6.65 |
-1.04% |
-7.57% |
Networking |
$NWX |
389.78 |
+0.69 |
+0.18% |
+8.90% |
Broker/Dealer |
$XBD |
186.92 |
-0.31 |
-0.16% |
+1.23% |
Retail |
$RLX |
1,231.12 |
+9.30 |
+0.76% |
+19.21% |
Gold & Silver |
$XAU |
50.09 |
-2.77 |
-5.24% |
-27.17% |
Bank |
$BKX |
77.40 |
+0.31 |
+0.40% |
+4.23% |
Biotech |
$BTK |
4,064.38 |
-26.58 |
-0.65% |
+18.18% |
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Recent Gains Have Still Lacked Substantial Volume Conviction
Kenneth J. Gruneisen - Passed the CAN SLIM® Master's Exam
Ulta Salon Cosmetics & Fragrance, Inc. (ULTA +$2.34 or +1.40% to $169.28) nearly challenged its 52-week high with a gain lacking great volume conviction today after consolidating well above its 50-day moving average (DMA) line and prior highs in the $159 area defining support to watch on pullbacks.
ULTA was last shown with an annotated graph in this FSU section on 7/20/15 under the headline, "Near 'Max Buy' Level, But Recent Gains Lacked Great Volume Conviction". Its gain on 7/09/15 had +81% above average volume, but on that session it did not finish above its pivot point cited. Subsequent gains into new high territory lacked great volume conviction, leaving questions as to whether great institutional buying demand is lurking that can lead to a meaningful and sustained price advance. ULTA has made limited headway since highlighted in yellow with pivot point cited based on its 4/24/15 high plus 10 cents in the 5/29/15 mid-day report (read here). It was noted - "A volume-driven gain and close above its pivot point may trigger a proper technical buy signal." It reported earnings +34%, +26%, +22%, and +35% in the Jul '14, Oct '14, Jan '15 and Apr '15 quarterly comparisons, respectively. Its strong earnings have been underpinned by steady sales revenues increases in the +21-22% range during that span of time. In 3 of the past 4 quarterly comparisons results have now been above the +25% minimum earnings guideline (C criteria). Its solid annual earnings (A criteria) history is very reassuring. It has a small supply (S criteria) of only 62.9 million shares in the public float. The number of top-rated funds with an ownership interest has grown from 566 funds in Jun '14 to 800 funds as of Jun '15, which is a very encouraging sign of increasing institutional interest (the I criteria). Its current Up/Down Volume Ratio of 1.5 is an unbiased indication its shares have been under accumulation over the past 50 days. |
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Color Codes Explained :
Y - Better candidates highlighted by our
staff of experts. G - Previously featured
in past reports as yellow but may no longer be buyable under the
guidelines.
***Last / Change / Volume data in this table is the closing quote data***
Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group |
PRICE |
CHANGE (%Change) |
Day High |
Volume (% DAV) (% 50 day avg vol) |
52 Wk Hi % From Hi |
Featured Date |
Price Featured |
Pivot Featured |
Max Buy |
GSBC
-
NASDAQ
Great Southern Bancorp
BANKING - Savings and Loans
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$41.00
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+0.11
0.27% |
$41.31
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42,238 127.99% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 33,000
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$42.99 -4.63%
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4/27/2015
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$40.94
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PP = $40.54
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MB = $42.57
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Most Recent Note - 8/10/2015 12:38:22 PM
G - Consolidating near its 50 DMA line ($41.51) defining near-term support. Reported earnings +8% on -11% sales revenues for the Jun '15 quarter, raising fundamental concerns, and its color code was changed to green. Below the 50 DMA line its prior low ($40.46 on 7/08/15) defines the next important support where a violation would trigger a more worrisome technical sell signal.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Finding Support While Consolidating After Sub Par Quarter - 7/30/2015 |
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C
A
S
I |
BOFI
-
NASDAQ
B O F I Holding Inc
BANKING - Savings andamp; Loans
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$128.74
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+1.09
0.85% |
$131.14
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299,389 129.05% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 232,000
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$134.79 -4.49%
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6/10/2015
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$101.47
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PP = $97.78
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MB = $102.67
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Most Recent Note - 8/12/2015 6:57:25 PM
G - Hovering near its all-time high following gains marked by above average volume. Previously noted with caution - "It may produce more climactic gains, however it is very extended from its prior base. Its recent low ($111.43 on 7/29/15) defines near term support above its 50 DMA line."
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Extended and Perched Near High With Earnings News Due Soon - 7/27/2015 |
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C
A
S
I |
AHS
-
NYSE
A M N Healthcare Svcs
DIVERSIFIED SERVICES - Staffing and Outsourcing Service
|
$35.02
|
+0.71
2.07% |
$35.60
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953,788 140.47% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 679,000
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$36.34 -3.63%
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8/5/2015
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$34.50
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PP = $32.53
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MB = $34.16
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Most Recent Note - 8/10/2015 3:35:38 PM
G - Rallied above its "max buy" level and its color code is changed to green. Prior highs in the $32 area define initial support to watch above its 50 DMA line.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Gap Up Gain Triggered Technical Buy Signal Following Earnings - 8/5/2015 |
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C
A
S
I |
ILMN
-
NASDAQ
Illumina Inc
DRUGS - Biotechnology
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$208.84
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+1.48
0.71% |
$209.90
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1,344,454 93.04% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,445,000
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$242.37 -13.83%
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6/8/2015
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$209.97
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PP = $213.43
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MB = $224.10
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Most Recent Note - 8/12/2015 7:09:42 PM
G - Damaging losses below recent lows ($207) raised concerns and triggered a more worrisome technical sell signal. Found support and finished near the session high today after slumping near its 200 DMA line.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Support Found After Abrupt Pullback Following Earnings News - 7/24/2015 |
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C
A
S
I |
JAZZ
-
NASDAQ
Jazz Pharmaceuticals Plc
DRUGS - Biotechnology
|
$186.27
|
+2.67
1.45% |
$186.51
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459,841 108.20% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 425,000
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$194.73 -4.34%
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7/29/2015
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$190.13
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PP = $191.11
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MB = $200.67
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Most Recent Note - 8/12/2015 6:51:29 PM
G - Managed a "positive reversal" today after slumping near its 200 DMA line. Fundamental concerns were recently noted after it reported earnings +19% on +15% sales revenues for the Jun '15 quarter, below the +25% minimum earnings guideline (C criteria). It stalled after highlighted in yellow with pivot point cited based on its 4/27/15 high plus 10 cents in the 7/29/15 mid-day report (read here).
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : No Resistance Due to Overhead Supply For Drug Firm - 7/29/2015 |
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C
A
S
I |
Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group |
PRICE |
CHANGE (%Change) |
Day High |
Volume (% DAV) (% 50 day avg vol) |
52 Wk Hi % From Hi |
Featured Date |
Price Featured |
Pivot Featured |
Max Buy |
VRX
-
NYSE
Valeant Pharmaceuticals
DRUGS - Drug Manufacturers - Other
|
$246.17
|
+2.14
0.88% |
$248.28
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1,415,104 85.71% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,651,000
|
$263.81 -6.69%
|
7/14/2015
|
$236.75
|
PP = $246.11
|
MB = $258.42
|
Most Recent Note - 8/12/2015 7:05:35 PM
Y - Undercut its 50 DMA line then found prompt support and closed in the upper third of its intra-day range. Endured distributional pressure after wedging higher with recent gains lacking great volume conviction. Its 7/23/15 gap up above the pivot point triggered a new (or add-on) technical buy signal.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Holding Ground Following Latest Technical Breakout - 8/3/2015 |
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C
A
S
I |
USNA
-
NYSE
U S A N A Health Science
DRUGS - Drug Related Products
|
$161.80
|
+1.23
0.77% |
$163.26
|
139,388 106.40% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 131,000
|
$176.88 -8.53%
|
8/5/2015
|
$157.22
|
PP = $145.15
|
MB = $152.41
|
Most Recent Note - 8/12/2015 7:07:16 PM
G - Consolidating well above prior highs in the $145 area defining initial support to watch. Risk increases the further one chases a stock above prior highs.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Abrupt Retreat Following Breakout for Stock With Small Supply - 8/6/2015 |
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C
A
S
I |
AMBA
-
NASDAQ
Ambarella Inc
ELECTRONICS - Semiconductor - Specialized
|
$109.16
|
-0.89
-0.81% |
$111.70
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1,726,034 39.34% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 4,387,000
|
$129.19 -15.50%
|
5/1/2015
|
$75.99
|
PP = $77.49
|
MB = $81.36
|
Most Recent Note - 8/12/2015 6:56:06 PM
G - Undercut its 50 DMA line today yet found prompt support and rebounded to close near that important short-term average and finish in the upper third of its intra-day range. More damaging losses would raise serious concerns and trigger a worrisome technical sell signal.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Choppy Consolidation is Not a New Cup-With-Handle Base - 8/7/2015 |
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C
A
S
I |
ACHC
-
NASDAQ
Acadia Healthcare Inc
HEALTH SERVICES - Specialized Health Services
|
$80.68
|
+0.31
0.38% |
$81.43
|
753,716 100.63% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 749,000
|
$85.62 -5.77%
|
5/27/2015
|
$73.90
|
PP = $74.19
|
MB = $77.90
|
Most Recent Note - 8/11/2015 3:10:25 PM
G - Gapped down today after proposing a Secondary Offering. Brief consolidation was not a sound base pattern of sufficient length. Reported strong sales and earnings increases with acceleration again for Jun '15 quarter. Its 50 DMA line and recent lows define important support.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Pullback Followed Another Strong Quarter Reported With Acceleration - 8/4/2015 |
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C
A
S
I |
APOG
-
NASDAQ
Apogee Enterprises
MATERIALS and CONSTRUCTION - General Building Materials
|
$52.68
|
-0.35
-0.66% |
$54.26
|
304,738 93.48% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 326,000
|
$61.05 -13.71%
|
4/9/2015
|
$49.58
|
PP = $48.13
|
MB = $50.54
|
Most Recent Note - 8/12/2015 7:11:28 PM
G - Slumping further below its 50 DMA line, and a rebound above that short-term average is needed for its outlook to improve. Damaging losses below the recent low ($50.07 on 7/07/15) would raise greater concerns and trigger a worrisome technical sell signal.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Rebound Above 50-Day Moving Average Line - 7/31/2015 |
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C
A
S
I |
Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group |
PRICE |
CHANGE (%Change) |
Day High |
Volume (% DAV) (% 50 day avg vol) |
52 Wk Hi % From Hi |
Featured Date |
Price Featured |
Pivot Featured |
Max Buy |
JLL
-
NYSE
Jones Lang Lasalle Inc
REAL ESTATE - Property Management/Developmen
|
$175.66
|
+1.27
0.73% |
$176.94
|
173,623 62.01% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 280,000
|
$179.97 -2.39%
|
6/4/2015
|
$172.34
|
PP = $174.93
|
MB = $183.68
|
Most Recent Note - 8/12/2015 6:52:16 PM
Y - Down with average volume today, testing support at its 50 DMA line. Recent gains above the pivot point lacked the minimum +40% above average volume necessary to trigger a new (or add-on) technical buy signal.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Recent Gains Lacked Volume Conviction; Earnings Report Soon Expected - 7/22/2015 |
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C
A
S
I |
RH
-
NYSE
Restoration Hardware Hld
RETAIL - Home Furnishing Stores
|
$100.51
|
+1.11
1.12% |
$101.40
|
675,309 87.93% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 768,000
|
$105.98 -5.16%
|
7/28/2015
|
$102.40
|
PP = $102.10
|
MB = $107.21
|
Most Recent Note - 8/12/2015 7:02:37 PM
Y - Undercut its 50 DMA line ($98.71) then found prompt support and finished in the upper third of its intra-day range. More damaging losses would raise greater concerns and trigger a worrisome technical sell signal.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Fundamental and Technical Action Improved Outlook - 7/28/2015 |
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C
A
S
I |
ULTA
-
NASDAQ
Ulta Salon Cosm & Frag
SPECIALTY RETAIL - Specialty Retail, Other
|
$169.28
|
+2.34
1.40% |
$170.94
|
571,567 83.81% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 682,000
|
$171.21 -1.13%
|
5/29/2015
|
$155.03
|
PP = $159.95
|
MB = $167.95
|
Most Recent Note - 8/13/2015 6:34:21 PM
G - Color code is changed to green after up today with light volume nearly challenging 52-week high. Stayed well above 50 DMA line and prior highs in the $159 area defining initial support to watch on pullbacks. See latest FSU analysis for more details and new annotated graph.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Recent Gains Have Still Lacked Substantial Volume Conviction - 8/13/2015 |
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C
A
S
I |
LXFT
-
NYSE
Luxoft Holding Inc Cl A
Comp Sftwr-Spec Enterprs
|
$67.57
|
+6.03
9.80% |
$68.16
|
1,005,107 410.25% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 245,000
|
$63.56 6.31%
|
5/26/2015
|
$51.90
|
PP = $57.40
|
MB = $60.27
|
Most Recent Note - 8/13/2015 12:58:34 PM
G - Gapped up today hitting a new 52-week high with a considerable volume-driven gain clearing a brief consolidation. Rallied from support at its 50 DMA line. Reported earnings +36% on +32% sales revenues for the Jun '15 quarter.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Earnings News Often Leads to Greater Volume and Volatility - 8/10/2015 |
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A
S
I |
PANW
-
NYSE
Palo Alto Networks
Computer Sftwr-Security
|
$172.76
|
+1.76
1.03% |
$175.25
|
985,343 68.28% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,443,000
|
$200.55 -13.86%
|
3/27/2015
|
$146.44
|
PP = $149.45
|
MB = $156.92
|
Most Recent Note - 8/12/2015 7:00:25 PM
G - Undercut its prior low ($167.82 on 7/07/15) with another damaging volume-driven loss today raising greater concerns. Found support and rebounded to close in the upper-third of its intra-day range.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Wedging to New Highs After Brief Consolidation - 7/21/2015 |
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A
S
I |
Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group |
PRICE |
CHANGE (%Change) |
Day High |
Volume (% DAV) (% 50 day avg vol) |
52 Wk Hi % From Hi |
Featured Date |
Price Featured |
Pivot Featured |
Max Buy |
INGN
-
NASDAQ
Inogen Inc
HEALTH SERVICES - Medical Instruments and Supplies
|
$51.36
|
+2.47
5.05% |
$51.39
|
378,439 153.84% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 246,000
|
$45.75 12.26%
|
8/12/2015
|
$49.01
|
PP = $45.85
|
MB = $48.14
|
Most Recent Note - 8/13/2015 10:10:00 AM
G - Color code is changed to green after rallying well above its "max buy" level and getting extended from its latest sound base. Highlighted in 8/12/15 mid-day report with a pivot point cited based on its 6/23/15 high plus 10 cents (read here), it technically broke out with a considerable gap up and gain backed by +252% above average volume for a new 52-week high. Reported Jun '15 earnings +55% on 45% sales, its 4th consecutive quarterly earnings increase above the +25% minimum guideline (C criteria). Limited history and broader market weakness (M criteria) is a concern. See the latest FSU analysis for more details and an annotated graph.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Finished Strong With Volume-Driven Breakout Gain - 8/12/2015 |
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A
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THESE ARE NOT BUY RECOMMENDATIONS!
Comments contained in the body of this report are technical
opinions only. The material herein has been obtained
from sources believed to be reliable and accurate, however,
its accuracy and completeness cannot be guaranteed.
This site is not an investment advisor, hence it does
not endorse or recommend any securities or other investments.
Any recommendation contained in this report may not
be suitable for all investors and it is not to be deemed
an offer or solicitation on our part with respect to
the purchase or sale of any securities. All trademarks,
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