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AFTER MARKET UPDATE - FRIDAY, MARCH 8TH, 2024
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DOW |
-68.66 |
38,722.69 |
-0.18% |
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Volume |
944,160,414 |
-0% |
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Volume |
5,442,322,000 |
+4% |
NASDAQ |
-188.26 |
16,085.11 |
-1.16% |
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Advancers |
1,521 |
55% |
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Advancers |
2,100 |
49% |
S&P 500 |
-33.67 |
5,123.69 |
-0.65% |
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Decliners |
1,232 |
45% |
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Decliners |
2,155 |
51% |
Russell 2000 |
-2.03 |
2,082.71 |
-0.10% |
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52 Wk Highs |
263 |
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52 Wk Highs |
354 |
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S&P 600 |
-1.33 |
1,310.75 |
-0.10% |
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52 Wk Lows |
12 |
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52 Wk Lows |
86 |
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Tech-Heavy Nasdaq Composite Index Led Market Pullback
Kenneth J. Gruneisen - Passed the CAN SLIM® Master's Exam
The major indices lost ground on Friday with the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite Index leading the market's retreat. Volume reported was near the prior session total on the NYSE and higher on the Nasdaq exchange. Advancers led decliners by a 5-4 margin on the NYSE while the mix was nearly even on the Nasdaq exchange. There were 101 high-ranked companies from the Leaders List that hit new 52-week highs and were listed on the BreakOuts Page, versus the total of 111 on the prior session. New 52-week highs totals solidly outnumbered new 52-week lows totals on the NYSE and on the Nasdaq exchange. The major indices are in a confirmed uptrend (M criteria). New buying efforts should be only made in stocks fitting all key criteria of the fact-based investment system.
PICTURED: The S&P 600 Small Cap Index recently found support while consolidating near its 50-day moving average (DMA) line.
Nonfarm payrolls increased by a better-than-expected 217,000 following a downwardly revised 229,000 increase in January, the unemployment rate rose to 3.9% from 3.7%, and average hourly earnings growth was smaller than expected at 0.1% month-over-month. The 2-yr note yield declined two basis points to 4.49%. The 10-yr note yield was unchanged, but declined nine basis points this week to 4.09%.
NVIDIA (NVDA -5.55%) had a big "negative reversal" on heavy volume after trading up earlier by as much as 5.1%. Meta Platforms (META -1.22%) also ended lower after trading up as much as 2.2%. There was a sharp earnings-related decline in shares of Broadcom (AVGO -6.99%).
Six of the 11 S&P 500 sectors finished lower. The real estate (+1.1%) and energy (+0.4%) sectors saw the largest gains while the information technology sector was the worst performer while falling 1.8%. The next worst performer was consumer staples, which fell -0.8% due in part to a loss in shares of Costco (COST -7.64%) after reporting quarterly results.
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Kenneth J. Gruneisen started out as a licensed stockbroker in August 1987, a couple of months prior to the historic stock market crash that took the Dow Jones Industrial Average down -22.6% in a single day. He has published daily fact-based fundamental and technical analysis on high-ranked stocks online for two decades. Through FACTBASEDINVESTING.COM, Kenneth provides educational articles, news, market commentary, and other information regarding proven investment systems that work in good times and bad.
Comments contained in the body of this report are technical opinions only and are not necessarily those of Gruneisen Growth Corp. The material herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable and accurate, however, its accuracy and completeness cannot be guaranteed. Our firm, employees, and customers may effect transactions, including transactions contrary to any recommendation herein, or have positions in the securities mentioned herein or options with respect thereto. Any recommendation contained in this report may not be suitable for all investors and it is not to be deemed an offer or solicitation on our part with respect to the purchase or sale of any securities. |
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Tech and Retail Indexes Fell
Kenneth J. Gruneisen - Passed the CAN SLIM® Master's Exam
The Broker/Dealer Index ($XBD +0.33%) and the Bank Index ($BKX +0.14%) both inched higher while the Retail Index ($RLX -0.67%) edged lower on Friday. The tech sector had a negative bias as the Semiconductor Index ($SOX -4.03%) outpaced the Networking Index ($NWX -1.18%) to the downside, meanwhile the Biotech Index ($BTK +0.15%) held its ground. Commodity-linked groups were indecisive as the Gold & Silver Index ($XAU -0.14%), Oil Services Index ($OSX -0.16%) and the Integrated Oil Index ($XOI +0.15%) all were little changed.
PICTURED: The Integrated Oil Index ($XOI +0.15%) is perched at its 2024 high and approaching its October 2023 high.
Oil Services |
$OSX |
83.40 |
-0.14 |
-0.16% |
-0.57% |
Integrated Oil |
$XOI |
1,986.24 |
+2.89 |
+0.15% |
+6.65% |
Semiconductor |
$SOX |
4,957.78 |
-208.05 |
-4.03% |
+18.74% |
Networking |
$NWX |
796.81 |
-9.49 |
-1.18% |
-4.32% |
Broker/Dealer |
$XBD |
588.16 |
+1.96 |
+0.33% |
+5.54% |
Retail |
$RLX |
4,376.75 |
-29.36 |
-0.67% |
+12.55% |
Gold & Silver |
$XAU |
117.36 |
-0.17 |
-0.14% |
-6.63% |
Bank |
$BKX |
99.23 |
+0.14 |
+0.14% |
+3.34% |
Biotech |
$BTK |
5,324.98 |
+8.10 |
+0.15% |
-1.73% |
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Encountering Distributional Pressure Near All-Time High
Kenneth J. Gruneisen - Passed the CAN SLIM® Master's Exam
e.l.f. Beauty (ELF -$9.02 or -4.30% to $200.91) pulled back today with average volume and closed near the session low. It has been encountering disatibutional pressure near its all-time high. It is extended from any sound base. It was last shown in detail in the 2/05/24 report with an annotated graph under the headline, "Peched at All-Time High With Earnings News Due". Its 50-day moving average (DMA) line ($169.44) defines important near-term support to watch.
ELF currently has a 98 Earnings Per Share rating. It reported Dec '23 quarterly earnings +54% on +85% sales revenues versus the year-ago period, adding to its streak of very strong quarterly results well above the +25% minimum earnings guideline (C criteria). Annual earnings (A criteria) history over the past 3 years has been strong, making it a better match with the fact-based investment system's fundamental guidelines.
The number of top-rated funds owning its shares rose from 510 in Mar '23 to 755 in Dec '23, a very reassuring sign concerning the I criteria. Its current Up/Down Volume Ratio of 1.0 is an unbiased indication its shares have been neutral concerning accumulation'distribution over the past 50 days. Its small supply (S criteria) of only 55.2 million shares outstanding can contribute to greater price volatility in the event of institutional buying or selling.
Chart courtesy of www.stockcharts.comSymbol/Exchange Company Name Industry Group | PRICE | CHANGE (%Change) | Day High | Volume (% DAV) (% 50 day avg vol) | 52 Wk Hi % From Hi | Featured Date | Price Featured | Pivot Featured | Max Buy | ANET - NYSE Arista Networks Computer-Networking | $273.11 | -13.37 -4.67% | $287.31 | 3,204,418 144.47% of 50 DAV 50 DAV is 2,218,000 | $292.66 -6.68%
| 10/31/2023 | $188.84 | PP = $198.80 | MB = $208.74 | Most Recent Note - 3/8/2024 12:42:45 PM G - Pulling back today after recently wedging higher with gains lacking great volume conviction. Its 50 DMA line ($262) defines important near-term support to watch. >>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Best Ever Close for Arista Networks - 3/1/2024 | View all notes | Set NEW NOTE alert | Company Profile | SEC News | Chart | Request a new note C A S I | NVO - NYSE Novo Nordisk ADR Medical-Ethical Drugs | $133.07 | -2.85 -2.10% | $134.83 | 12,645,155 251.75% of 50 DAV 50 DAV is 5,023,000 | $138.28 -3.77%
| 3/1/2024 | $124.23 | PP = $124.97 | MB = $131.22 | Most Recent Note - 3/8/2024 12:22:57 PM G - Gapped down today, pulling back from its all-time high after quickly powering well above its "max buy" level. Recent lows in the $118 area define initial support to watch above its 50 DMA line ($114.73). >>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Extended From Any Sound Base After Volume-Driven Gains - 2/8/2024 | View all notes | Set NEW NOTE alert | Company Profile | SEC News | Chart | Request a new note C A S I | AXON - NASDAQ Axon Enterprise Security/Sfty | $312.69 | -2.44 -0.77% | $320.76 | 431,723 94.47% of 50 DAV 50 DAV is 457,000 | $325.63 -3.97%
| 11/8/2023 | $127.84 | PP = $223.30 | MB = $234.47 | Most Recent Note - 3/4/2024 12:04:00 PM G - Very extended from any sound base and hitting another new all-time high today. Bullish action came after it reported Dec '23 quarterly earnings +60% on +29% sales revenues versus the year-ago period. Volume and volatility often increase near earnings news. Prior highs in the $260-262 area define initial support to watch along with its 50-day moving average (DMA) line ($262.58). >>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Reversal at All-Time High After 7 Consecutive Gains - 2/12/2024 | View all notes | Set NEW NOTE alert | Company Profile | SEC News | Chart | Request a new note C A S I | TDG - NYSE TransDigm Group Aerospace/Defense | $1,164.99 | -9.70 -0.83% | $1,180.00 | 204,547 94.26% of 50 DAV 50 DAV is 217,000 | $1,207.58 -3.53%
| 12/12/2023 | $1,000.39 | PP = $1,013.18 | MB = $1,063.84 | Most Recent Note - 3/5/2024 9:15:39 PM G - Pulled back today with average volume for a 2nd consecutive loss. Its 50 DMA line ($1,087) defines near-term support to watch. >>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Transdigm Perched Near All-Time High - 2/14/2024 | View all notes | Set NEW NOTE alert | Company Profile | SEC News | Chart | Request a new note C A S I | CRWD - NASDAQ CrowdStrike Holdings Computer Sftwr-Security | $322.85 | -6.83 -2.07% | $341.74 | 5,948,150 146.80% of 50 DAV 50 DAV is 4,052,000 | $365.00 -11.55%
| 1/2/2024 | $246.42 | PP = $261.91 | MB = $275.01 | Most Recent Note - 3/8/2024 12:04:38 PM G - Perched near its all-time high but enduring noted distributional pressure. Its 50 DMA ($298) recently acted as support. Fundamentals remain strong after it reported Jan '24 quarterly earnings +102% on +33% sales revenues versus the year-ago period. >>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Volume Totals Cooking While Stubbornly Perched at All-Time High - 2/6/2024 | View all notes | Set NEW NOTE alert | Company Profile | SEC News | Chart | Request a new note C A S I | Symbol/Exchange Company Name Industry Group | PRICE | CHANGE (%Change) | Day High | Volume (% DAV) (% 50 day avg vol) | 52 Wk Hi % From Hi | Featured Date | Price Featured | Pivot Featured | Max Buy | ELF - NYSE e.l.f. Beauty Cosmetics/Personal Care | $200.91 | -9.02 -4.30% | $213.84 | 1,453,811 96.47% of 50 DAV 50 DAV is 1,507,000 | $221.83 -9.43%
| 1/2/2024 | $138.23 | PP = $153.63 | MB = $161.31 | Most Recent Note - 3/8/2024 5:10:34 PM G - Pulled back today with average volume, retreating from its all-time high hit this week. Reported Dec '23 quarterly earnings +54% on +85% sales revenues versus the year-ago period, continuing its strong earnings track record. Its 50 DMA line ($169.44) defines important near-term support to watch. See the latest FSU analysis for more details and a new annotated graph. >>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Encountering Distributional Pressure Near All-Time High - 3/8/2024 | View all notes | Set NEW NOTE alert | Company Profile | SEC News | Chart | Request a new note C A S I | KOF - NYSE Coca Cola Femsa Sab Ads FOOD and BEVERAGE - Beverages - Soft Drinks | $95.84 | -0.95 -0.98% | $96.93 | 136,272 82.69% of 50 DAV 50 DAV is 164,800 | $104.38 -8.18%
| 1/12/2024 | $93.38 | PP = $99.34 | MB = $104.31 | Most Recent Note - 3/6/2024 5:14:57 PM Y - Still quietly consolidating above its 50 DMA line ($95.10) which defines important near-term support to watch. There was a noted "negative reversal" on 2/20/24 at its all-time high. Reported Dec ''23 quarterly earnings -13% on +24% sales revenues versus the year-ago period, raising fundamental concerns. >>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Perched at High With Earnings News Due - 2/21/2024 | View all notes | Set NEW NOTE alert | Company Profile | SEC News | Chart | Request a new note C A S I | PCAR - NASDAQ Paccar Trucks and Parts-Hvy Duty | $114.65 | +0.32 0.28% | $116.07 | 2,035,232 93.27% of 50 DAV 50 DAV is 2,182,000 | $116.88 -1.91%
| 1/23/2024 | $100.35 | PP = $98.57 | MB = $103.50 | Most Recent Note - 3/8/2024 12:45:03 PM G - Extended from any sound base and holding its ground stubbornly at its all-time high after steadily wedging higher with gains lacking great volume conviction. Its 50 DMA line ($103) defines near-term support to watch on pullbacks. Fundamentals remain strong. >>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Extended From Any Sound Base After 7 Weekly Gains - 2/26/2024 | View all notes | Set NEW NOTE alert | Company Profile | SEC News | Chart | Request a new note C A S I | HUBB - NYSE Hubbell Electrical-Power/Equipmt | $393.14 | +0.18 0.05% | $396.92 | 428,687 108.53% of 50 DAV 50 DAV is 395,000 | $393.37 -0.06%
| 1/30/2024 | $343.26 | PP = $336.83 | MB = $353.67 | Most Recent Note - 3/5/2024 9:18:55 PM G - Pulled back from its all-time high with today''s loss after 4 consecutive gains. Very extended from the previously noted base. Prior high ($340) and its 50 DMA line define important support to watch on pullbacks. >>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Inched to New Highs With Average Volume - 2/28/2024 | View all notes | Set NEW NOTE alert | Company Profile | SEC News | Chart | Request a new note C A S I | MANH - NASDAQ Manhattan Associates Computer Sftwr-Enterprse | $257.32 | -8.71 -3.27% | $266.94 | 338,506 95.89% of 50 DAV 50 DAV is 353,000 | $266.78 -3.55%
| 1/31/2024 | $240.57 | PP = $230.71 | MB = $242.25 | Most Recent Note - 3/7/2024 9:49:07 PM G - Posted a solid gain today with +29% above average volume while rallying to a new all-time high, getting extended from the previously noted base. Prior highs in the $230 area along with its 50 DMA line ($232) define near-term support to watch on pullbacks. >>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Hovering Near All-Time High After Streak of Small Gains - 2/29/2024 | View all notes | Set NEW NOTE alert | Company Profile | SEC News | Chart | Request a new note C A S I | Symbol/Exchange Company Name Industry Group | PRICE | CHANGE (%Change) | Day High | Volume (% DAV) (% 50 day avg vol) | 52 Wk Hi % From Hi | Featured Date | Price Featured | Pivot Featured | Max Buy | USLM - NASDAQ U.S. Lime & Minerals Bldg-Cement/Concrt/Ag | $287.39 | +4.39 1.55% | $289.34 | 26,553 139.75% of 50 DAV 50 DAV is 19,000 | $284.71 0.94%
| 2/9/2024 | $254.68 | PP = $265.09 | MB = $278.34 | Most Recent Note - 3/8/2024 12:31:38 PM G - Wedging to new all-time highs above its "max buy" level with recent gains lacking great volume conviction and its color code is changed to green. Recent gains above the pivot point were not backed by the minimum +40% above average volume necessary to trigger a proper technical buy signal. Through Dec '23 its quarterly and annual earnings (C and A criteria) history has been strong, a good match with the fact-based investment system's guidelines. Thinly traded firm has only 5.7 million shares outstanding (S criteria), which can contribute to greater price volatility in the event of institutional buying or selling. >>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Strong Finish for Thinly Traded U.S Lime & Minerals - 2/9/2024 | View all notes | Set NEW NOTE alert | Company Profile | SEC News | Chart | Request a new note C A S I | NOW - NYSE ServiceNow Computer Sftwr-Enterprse | $757.68 | -10.40 -1.35% | $777.57 | 1,026,475 85.04% of 50 DAV 50 DAV is 1,207,000 | $815.32 -7.07%
| 2/22/2024 | $771.75 | PP = $815.32 | MB = $856.09 | Most Recent Note - 3/7/2024 9:52:33 PM Y - Gain today with higher volume helped it promptly rebound above its 50 DMA line ($750) helping its outlook to improve and its color code is changed to yellow. Recent lows define important near-term support to watch in the $730 area. >>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Found Support With a Solid Gap Up from 10-Week Moving Average - 2/23/2024 | View all notes | Set NEW NOTE alert | Company Profile | SEC News | Chart | Request a new note C A S I | SNPS - NASDAQ Synopsys Computer Sftwr-Design | $571.29 | -12.06 -2.07% | $586.26 | 686,424 49.14% of 50 DAV 50 DAV is 1,397,000 | $629.38 -9.23%
| 2/22/2024 | $600.65 | PP = $582.85 | MB = $611.99 | Most Recent Note - 3/5/2024 9:06:52 PM Y - Suffered a big loss today with below-average volume, retreating from a best-ever close. Previously noted - "A strong volume-driven gain and close above the pivot point is needed to clinch a proper technical buy signal. Found support recently at its 50 DMA line ($538). Reported Jan ''24 quarterly earnings +36% on +21% sales revenues versus the year-ago period, its 3rd strong quarter above the +25% minimum earnings guideline (C criteria). Annual earnings growth (A criteria) has been strong and steady." >>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Gapped Up for New High But Ended Near Session Low - 2/22/2024 | View all notes | Set NEW NOTE alert | Company Profile | SEC News | Chart | Request a new note C A S I | PAY - NYSE Paymentus Holdings Finance-CrdtCard/PmtPr | $19.21 | +0.76 4.12% | $19.24 | 378,230 189.12% of 50 DAV 50 DAV is 200,000 | $21.02 -8.61%
| 3/5/2024 | $19.97 | PP = $18.89 | MB = $19.83 | Most Recent Note - 3/8/2024 12:24:56 PM Y - Rising today after 2 consecutive volume-driven losses undercut the prior highs raised some concerns. Closed in the middle of its intra-day range with a considerable volume-driven gain after highlighted in yellow in the 3/05/24 mid-day report with pivot point cited based on its 12/26/23 high plus 10 cents. Reported Dec '23 quarterly earnings +175% on +25% sales revenues versus the year-ago period, its 3rd strong quarterly comparison well above the +25% minimum earnings guideline (C criteria). Annual earnings history (A criteria) has been strong since its $21 IPO in May '21. >>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Big Gap Up Gain Triggered Technical Buy Signal - 3/5/2024 | View all notes | Set NEW NOTE alert | Company Profile | SEC News | Chart | Request a new note C A S I |
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Color Codes Explained :
Y - Better candidates highlighted by our
staff of experts. G - Previously featured
in past reports as yellow but may no longer be buyable under the
guidelines.
***Last / Change / Volume data in this table is the closing quote data***
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THESE ARE NOT BUY RECOMMENDATIONS!
Comments contained in the body of this report are technical
opinions only. The material herein has been obtained
from sources believed to be reliable and accurate, however,
its accuracy and completeness cannot be guaranteed.
This site is not an investment advisor, hence it does
not endorse or recommend any securities or other investments.
Any recommendation contained in this report may not
be suitable for all investors and it is not to be deemed
an offer or solicitation on our part with respect to
the purchase or sale of any securities. All trademarks,
service marks and trade names appearing in this report
are the property of their respective owners, and are
likewise used for identification purposes only.
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