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AFTER MARKET UPDATE - TUESDAY, JANUARY 14TH, 2025
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DOW |
+221.16 |
42,518.28 |
+0.52% |
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Volume |
943,377,227 |
-8% |
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Volume |
7,344,817,900 |
-6% |
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NASDAQ |
-43.71 |
19,044.39 |
-0.23% |
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Advancers |
2,052 |
75% |
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Advancers |
2,547 |
59% |
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S&P 500 |
+6.69 |
5,842.91 |
+0.11% |
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Decliners |
673 |
25% |
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Decliners |
1,777 |
41% |
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Russell 2000 |
+24.83 |
2,219.24 |
+1.13% |
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52 Wk Highs |
42 |
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52 Wk Highs |
58 |
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S&P 600 |
+19.15 |
1,407.67 |
+1.38% |
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52 Wk Lows |
48 |
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52 Wk Lows |
165 |
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Major Indices Rose with Slightly Better Leadership
Kenneth J. Gruneisen - Passed the CAN SLIM® Master's Exam
The Dow Jones Industrial Average posted a small gain on Tuesday. The S&P 500 inched higher and the Nasdaq Composite Index inched lower. The volume totals reported were lighter than the prior session totals on the NYSE and on the Nasdaq exchange. Breadth was positive as advancers led decliners by a 3-1 margin at the NYSE and by a 4-3 margin on the Nasdaq exchange. Leadership improved as there were 12 high-ranked companies from the Leaders List that hit new 52-week highs and were listed on the BreakOuts Page, versus 2 on the prior session. New 52-week lows totals still outnumbered new highs totals on the NYSE and on the Nasdaq exchange. The major indices' uptrend has come under pressure (M criteria) and stocks have shown the look of a more worrisome correction. Disciplined investors know to reduce exposure during corrections by selling any weakening stocks on a case-by-case basis.
 
PICTURED: The S&P 500 Index rose for a 2nd consecutive session but remains below its 50-day moving average (DMA) line.
The December Producer Price Index (PPI) readings exceeded expectations, reflecting a welcome easing in inflationary pressures on a month-to-month basis. The year-over-year numbers were less market-friendly with PPI up 3.3% versus 3.0% in November, and core-PPI, which excludes food and energy, up 3.5%, unchanged from November. Treasuries still responded favorably, leading the 10-yr yield settled two basis points lower at 4.79% and the 2-yr yield settled four basis points lower at 4.36%.
The choppy moves in the major indices were related to volatility in the mega cap space. NVIDIA (NVDA 131.76, -1.47, -1.1%), Tesla (TSLA 396.36, -6.95, -1.7%), and Alphabet (GOOG 191.05, -1.24, -0.6%) traded lower with no specific news driving the movement while other names like Microsoft (MSFT 415.67, -1.52, -0.4%), Eli Lilly (LLY 744.91, -52.57, -6.6%), and Meta Platforms (META 594.25, -14.08, -2.3%) reacted negatively to headlines.
MSFT reportedly paused hiring in its US consulting unit as part of a cost-cutting plan, according to CNBC; LLY lowered Q4 revenue guidance; and META reacted to reports that TikTok US is not going to be sold after initial reporting suggested that may be the case.
Small cap stocks soared while mega cap languished, leading the Russell 2000 to jump 1.1% from yesterday's close. This move was helped out by strength in its regional bank components, which outperformed in front of earnings reports from bank stocks this week.
Strength in the bank space also led the SPDR S&P Bank ETF (KBE) to close 3.3% higher and the SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF (KRE) to close 3.4%. The S&P 500 financial sector was among the top performers today, gaining 1.3%.
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Kenneth J. Gruneisen started out as a licensed stockbroker in August 1987, a couple of months prior to the historic stock market crash that took the Dow Jones Industrial Average down -22.6% in a single day. He has published daily fact-based fundamental and technical analysis on high-ranked stocks online for two decades. Through FACTBASEDINVESTING.COM, Kenneth provides educational articles, news, market commentary, and other information regarding proven investment systems that work in good times and bad.
Comments contained in the body of this report are technical opinions only and are not necessarily those of Gruneisen Growth Corp. The material herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable and accurate, however, its accuracy and completeness cannot be guaranteed. Our firm, employees, and customers may effect transactions, including transactions contrary to any recommendation herein, or have positions in the securities mentioned herein or options with respect thereto. Any recommendation contained in this report may not be suitable for all investors and it is not to be deemed an offer or solicitation on our part with respect to the purchase or sale of any securities. |
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Commodity-Linked Groups, Financial, and Networking Indexes Led Gainers
Kenneth J. Gruneisen - Passed the CAN SLIM® Master's Exam
The Bank Index ($BKX +1.65%) and the Broker/Dealer Index ($XBD +1.50%) posted gains while the Retail Index ($RLX -0.15%) ended slightly lower on Tuesday. The tech sector was mixed as the Networking Index ($NWX +1.92%) posted a solid gain and the Semiconductor Index ($SOX +0.52%) edged higher while the Biotech Index ($BTK -1.29%) fell. Commodity-linked groups had a positive bias as the Gold & Silver Index ($XAU +2.60%) led and the Integrated Oil Index ($XOI +0.77%) and Oil Services Index ($OSX +0.65%) each posted smaller gains.
PICTURED: The Networking Index ($NWX +1.92%) posted a solid gain, finding support at its 50-day moving average (DMA) line.
| Oil Services |
$OSX |
75.39 |
+0.49 |
+0.65% |
+3.84% |
| Integrated Oil |
$XOI |
1,892.38 |
+14.46 |
+0.77% |
+7.31% |
| Semiconductor |
$SOX |
5,045.95 |
+25.91 |
+0.52% |
+1.33% |
| Networking |
$NWX |
1,258.43 |
+23.70 |
+1.92% |
+0.79% |
| Broker/Dealer |
$XBD |
810.81 |
+11.95 |
+1.50% |
+0.68% |
| Retail Index |
$RLX |
5,126.00 |
-7.63 |
-0.15% |
-0.94% |
| Gold & Silver |
$XAU |
146.08 |
+3.70 |
+2.60% |
+6.49% |
| Bank |
$BKX |
129.61 |
+2.10 |
+1.65% |
+1.68% |
| Biotech |
$BTK |
5,973.59 |
-74.40 |
-1.23% |
+3.97% |
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Featured Stocks
Kenneth J. Gruneisen - Passed the CAN SLIM® Master's Exam
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Color Codes Explained :
Y - Better candidates highlighted by our
staff of experts.
G - Previously featured
in past reports as yellow but may no longer be buyable under the
guidelines.
***Last / Change / Volume data in this table is the closing quote data***
Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group |
PRICE |
CHANGE
(%Change) |
Day High |
Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol) |
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi |
Featured
Date |
Price
Featured |
Pivot Featured |
|
Max Buy |
GVA
-
NYSE
Granite Construction
Bldg-Heavy Construction
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$90.15
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+1.79
2.03% |
$90.58
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396,183
63.70% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 622,000
|
$105.20
-14.31%
|
6/11/2024
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$59.76
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PP = $64.33
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MB = $67.55
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Most Recent Note - 1/8/2025 5:04:36 PM
G - Still sputtering below its 50 DMA line ($93.27), and a rebound above that short-term average is needed for its outlook to improve. Sputtering after a noted "negative reversal" at its all-time high. Reported Sep '24 quarterly earnings +19% on +14% sales revenues versus the year-ago period, repeatedly noted as "below the +25% minimum guideline (C criteria) of the fact-based investment system."
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Negative Reversal After Hitting New All-Time High - 12/6/2024 |
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C
A
S
I |
TXRH
-
NASDAQ
Texas Roadhouse
Retail-Restaurants
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$179.33
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-0.99
-0.55% |
$182.37
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1,159,339
166.57% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 696,000
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$206.04
-12.96%
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7/26/2024
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$173.08
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PP = $175.82
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MB = $184.61
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Most Recent Note - 1/14/2025 12:40:56 PM
G - Managed a "positive reversal" on the prior session after testing support at its 200 DMA line ($173.58). Lingering below its 50 DMA line ($190.30) in recent weeks and a rebound above the 50 DMA line is still needed for its outlook to improve.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Hovering Near High After Recent Volume-driven Gains - 11/15/2024 |
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C
A
S
I |
HWM
-
NYSE
Howmet Aerospace
Aerospace/Defense
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$119.19
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+4.44
3.87% |
$119.28
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3,202,332
135.23% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 2,368,000
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$120.71
-1.26%
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1/8/2025
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$115.05
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PP = $120.81
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MB = $126.85
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Most Recent Note - 1/14/2025 3:28:28 PM
Y - Gapped up for a big gain today rising further above its 50 DMA line ($113) and challenging its all-time high. Subsequent volume-driven gains above the pivot point may trigger a new (or add-on) technical buy signal. Found support recently above the prior high ($106.93 on 10/21/24). Fundamentals remain strong.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Extended From Prior Base and Perched at High - 12/5/2024 |
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C
A
S
I |
NGVC
-
NYSE
Natural Grocers
Retail-Super/Mini Mkts
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$38.98
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+0.28
0.72% |
$39.57
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85,069
73.97% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 115,000
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$47.57
-18.06%
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11/5/2024
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$30.57
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PP = $30.42
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MB = $31.94
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Most Recent Note - 1/13/2025 4:29:22 PM
G - Halted its slide today at its 50 DMA line ($38.66). More damaging losses would raise serious concerns and trigger a worrisome technical sell signal. Reported Sep '24 quarterly earnings +50% on +9% sales revenues versus the year-ago period.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Consolidating After Considerable Rally to New Highs - 12/16/2024 |
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C
A
S
I |
CLS
-
NYSE
Celestica
Elec-Contract Mfg
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$103.11
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+2.67
2.66% |
$104.77
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2,400,199
110.91% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 2,164,000
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$104.92
-1.73%
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10/11/2024
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$57.62
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PP = $63.59
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MB = $66.77
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Most Recent Note - 1/13/2025 12:46:20 PM
G - Pulling back today following 2 consecutive gains hitting new all-time highs. Its 50 DMA line ($89.11) defines initial support to watch on pullbacks.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Pulling Back After Considerable Rally - 11/13/2024 |
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C
A
S
I |
Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group |
PRICE |
CHANGE
(%Change) |
Day High |
Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol) |
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi |
Featured
Date |
Price
Featured |
Pivot Featured |
|
Max Buy |
PAY
-
NYSE
Paymentus Holdings
Finance-CrdtCard/PmtPr
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$30.39
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+0.14
0.46% |
$30.72
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761,707
151.13% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 504,000
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$38.94
-21.96%
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1/3/2025
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$34.21
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PP = $38.94
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MB = $40.89
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Most Recent Note - 1/8/2025 5:46:28 PM
G - Color code was changed to green after slumping below its 50 DMA line ($32.57) with losses backed by above average volume. A prompt rebound above the 50 DMA line is needed for its outlook to improve. See the latest FSU analysis for more details and a new annotated graph.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Losses Below 50-Day Moving Average Hurt Outlook - 1/8/2025 |
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C
A
S
I |
RMD
-
NYSE
ResMed
Medical-Products
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$228.83
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-1.43
-0.62% |
$232.12
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692,792
86.17% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 804,000
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$260.49
-12.15%
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10/25/2024
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$256.64
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PP = $255.28
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MB = $268.04
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Most Recent Note - 1/8/2025 5:12:37 PM
G - Met resistance at its 50 DMA line today after rebounding with 3 gains marked by light volume. A rebound above its 50 DMA line ($240.67) is needed for its outlook to improve. Its Relative Strength Rating is 82, above the 80+ minimum guideline for buy candidates.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Recent Slump Below 50-Day Moving Average Raised Concerns - 11/18/2024 |
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C
A
S
I |
ATGE
-
NYSE
Adtalem Global Education
Consumer Svcs-Education
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$95.71
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+1.41
1.50% |
$97.00
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406,914
97.82% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 416,000
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$97.37
-1.70%
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12/31/2024
|
$91.50
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PP = $93.03
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MB = $97.68
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Most Recent Note - 1/13/2025 4:32:39 PM
Y - Posted a gain with light volume after a "positive reversal" today and it is perched within striking distance of its all-time high. New pivot point was cited based on its 11/06/24 high plus 10 cents. Still consolidating in an orderly fashion above its 50 DMA line ($89.35) which defines initial support above the prior low ($84.79 on 12/18/24). Subsequent volume-driven gains above its pivot point may trigger a new (or add-on) technical buy signal. Fundamentals remain strong.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Hovering Near High With Volume Totals Cooling - 12/4/2024 |
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C
A
S
I |
TW
-
NASDAQ
Tradeweb Markets
Financial Svcs-Specialty
|
$131.93
|
+1.95
1.50% |
$133.12
|
845,039
100.96% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 837,000
|
$141.69
-6.89%
|
11/19/2024
|
$134.41
|
PP = $136.23
|
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MB = $143.04
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Most Recent Note - 1/13/2025 4:25:36 PM
G - Color code is changed to green after sinking back below its 50 DMA line ($131.88) with lighter volume behind today's 2nd consecutive loss. A rebound above the 50 DMA line is needed for its outlook to improve and it must produce a volume-driven gain above the pivot point to trigger a proper technical buy signal. It was highlighted in yellow with pivot point cited based on its 10/15/24 high plus 10 cents.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Tradeweb Markets Perched Near High - 11/19/2024 |
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C
A
S
I |
ATAT
-
NASDAQ
Atour Lifestyle Hldgs ADR
Leisure-Lodging
|
$25.20
|
+0.21
0.84% |
$26.04
|
789,352
62.30% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,267,000
|
$29.90
-15.72%
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12/9/2024
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$29.34
|
PP = $29.25
|
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MB = $30.71
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Most Recent Note - 1/13/2025 4:28:11 PM
G - Slumped further below its 50 DMA line ($26.57) today with a loss backed by lighter volume. Noted losses raised serious concerns and triggered a technical sell signal. A rebound above the 50 DMA line is needed for its outlook to improve.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Volume Above Average Behind Breakout Gain - 12/9/2024 |
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C
A
S
I |
Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group |
PRICE |
CHANGE
(%Change) |
Day High |
Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol) |
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi |
Featured
Date |
Price
Featured |
Pivot Featured |
|
Max Buy |
CRAI
-
NASDAQ
CRA International
Comml Svcs-Consulting
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$182.77
|
+3.55
1.98% |
$183.50
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28,916
82.62% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 35,000
|
$210.70
-13.26%
|
12/17/2024
|
$208.34
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PP = $208.48
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MB = $218.90
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Most Recent Note - 1/8/2025 5:03:17 PM
G - Still lingering below its 50 DMA line. A rebound above the 50 DMA line ($191.05) is needed for its outlook to improve. Fundamentals remain strong.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Volume-Driven Gain for New High Triggered Technical Buy Signal - 12/17/2024 |
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C
A
S
I |
LRN
-
NYSE
Stride
Consumer Svcs-Education
|
$109.27
|
-0.23
-0.21% |
$112.00
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1,030,860
142.19% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 725,000
|
$114.72
-4.75%
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1/10/2025
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$114.31
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PP = $112.90
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MB = $118.55
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Most Recent Note - 1/10/2025 12:58:00 PM
Y - Color code is changed to yellow with pivot point cited based on its 12/04/24 high. Hitting a new all-time high with today's big gain after recently consolidating in an orderly fashion above its 50 DMA line. A gain and strong close above the pivot point backed by at least +40% above average volume may clinch a technical buy signal. Reported Sep '24 quarterly earnings +755% on +15% sales revenues versus the year ago period. Three of the 4 latest quarterly comparisons were well above the +25% minimum earnings guideline (C criteria). Annual earnings (A criteria) history has been strong after a downturn in FY '20.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Encountered Distributional Pressure Amid Broader Weakness - 1/10/2025 |
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C
A
S
I |
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THESE ARE NOT BUY RECOMMENDATIONS!
Comments contained in the body of this report are technical
opinions only. The material herein has been obtained
from sources believed to be reliable and accurate, however,
its accuracy and completeness cannot be guaranteed.
This site is not an investment advisor, hence it does
not endorse or recommend any securities or other investments.
Any recommendation contained in this report may not
be suitable for all investors and it is not to be deemed
an offer or solicitation on our part with respect to
the purchase or sale of any securities. All trademarks,
service marks and trade names appearing in this report
are the property of their respective owners, and are
likewise used for identification purposes only.
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