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AFTER MARKET UPDATE - THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 10TH, 2011
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Indices NYSE Nasdaq
DOW  +112.92 11,893.86 +0.96% Volume 897,171,190 -20% Volume 1,850,892,100 -12%
NASDAQ +3.50 2,625.15 +0.13% Advancers 1,970 64% Advancers 1,570 60%
S&P 500 +10.60 1,239.70 +0.86% Decliners 1,016 33% Decliners 946 36%
Russell 2000 +6.62 725.48 +0.92% 52 Wk Highs 23   52 Wk Highs 13  
S&P 600 +3.56 401.05 +0.90% 52 Wk Lows 35   52 Wk Lows 69  

Major Averages Rise On Lighter Volume After Damaging Distribution

The major averages posted gains on Thursday, however the session was marked by lighter trading volume totals following the prior dose of heavier institutional selling termed "distribution". Advancing issues led decliners on the NYSE by about 2-1 and by 3-2 on the Nasdaq exchange. The number of new 52-week lows still outnumbered new 52-week highs on the NYSE and on the Nasdaq exchange There were only 6 high-ranked companies from the CANSLIM.net Leaders List that made new 52-week highs and appeared on the CANSLIM.net BreakOuts Page, up a notch from the prior session total of 5 stocks. There were gains for only 8 of the 19 high-ranked companies currently included on the Featured Stocks Page.

 

Stocks advanced on encouraging news out of Europe and on the U.S. labor front. Greece made progress by tapping former central banker Lucas Papandemos as interim Prime Minister. Reports of the European Central Bank buying Italian and Spanish bonds helped eased tension over the region's debt crisis. New data on initial jobless claims in the U.S. were another positive for the market. New claims fell 7,000 to a seven month low of 390,000. Stocks also recovered from a brief retreat caused by an erroneous report S&P downgraded France's credit rating. The 10-year US Treasury note was down 9/16 of a point to yield 2.06% after weak demand for the latest $16 billion auction of 30-year bonds.

Exxon Corp (XOM +1.69%) rose as higher oil prices helped the energy sector lead the market's rebound. Positive earnings results boosted Dow components Cisco Systems Inc (CSCO +5.68%) and Merck & Company Inc (MRK +3.49%). Retailer Kohl’s Corp (KSS +1.77%) rose after posting an earnings beat and increased guidance. Absent from the market's recovery was Green Mountain Coffee Roasters Inc (GMCR -38.99%) after sales came in below forecasts, and Apple Inc (AAPL -2.55%) falling on speculation it may ship fewer iPads due to supply constraints.

Our monthly newsletter CANSLIM.net News will be published soon with an informative review of current market conditions, leading groups, and best buy candidates.  Via the Premium Member Homepage links to all prior reports and webcasts are always available.

PICTURED: The S&P 500 Index was up today on lighter volume following another damaging distribution day leading to a slump below its 200-day moving average (DMA) line.


Kenneth J. Gruneisen started out as a licensed stockbroker in August 1987, a couple of months prior to the historic stock market crash that took the Dow Jones Industrial Average down -22.6% in a single day. He has published daily fact-based fundamental and technical analysis on high-ranked stocks online for two decades. Through FACTBASEDINVESTING.COM, Kenneth provides educational articles, news, market commentary, and other information regarding proven investment systems that work in good times and bad.

Comments contained in the body of this report are technical opinions only and are not necessarily those of Gruneisen Growth Corp. The material herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable and accurate, however, its accuracy and completeness cannot be guaranteed. Our firm, employees, and customers may effect transactions, including transactions contrary to any recommendation herein, or have positions in the securities mentioned herein or options with respect thereto. Any recommendation contained in this report may not be suitable for all investors and it is not to be deemed an offer or solicitation on our part with respect to the purchase or sale of any securities.


Energy and Tech Shares Led Rebound

The Gold & Silver Index ($XAU -0.44%) edged lower and the Biotechnology Index ($BTK -0.35%) also finished Thursday's session with a small loss, meanwhile most industry groups traded up.  Energy-related shares bounced back and the Integrated Oil Index ($XOI +1.68%) and Oil Services Index ($OSX +1.69%) tallied gains.  The Healthcare Index ($HMO +1.24%) managed a modest recovery. The Semiconductor Index ($SOX +0.85%) and Networking Index ($NWX +1.77%) led the tech sector higher, followed by the Internet Index ($IIX +0.42%).  Financial shares posted small gains and the Broker/Dealer Index ($XBD +0.47%) and Bank Index ($BKX +0.78%) rose less than +1% each and the Retail Index ($RLX +0.20%) ended with a small gain.

Charts courtesy www.stockcharts.com

PICTURED: The Semiconductor Index ($SOX +0.85%) is consolidating above its 50-day moving average (DMA) line and still well below its 200 DMA line.


Industry Index Symbol Close Change % Change YTD % Change
Oil Services $OSX  230.52 +3.84 +1.69% -5.96%
Healthcare $HMO  2,221.41 +27.28 +1.24% +31.29%
Integrated Oil $XOI  1,232.07 +20.34 +1.68% +1.56%
Semiconductor $SOX  378.23 +3.19 +0.85% -8.16%
Networking $NWX  236.05 +4.11 +1.77% -15.86%
Internet $IIX  292.56 +1.22 +0.42% -4.93%
Broker/Dealer $XBD  84.49 +0.39 +0.47% -30.47%
Retail $RLX  534.91 +1.08 +0.20% +5.22%
Gold & Silver $XAU  205.59 -0.90 -0.44% -9.26%
Bank $BKX  38.73 +0.30 +0.78% -25.82%
Biotech $BTK  1,068.83 -3.79 -0.35% -17.63%


Encountering Distributional Pressure After 19-Week Cup Shaped Base

Rackspace Hosting Inc (RAX -$0.68 or -1.60% to $41.70) suffered a 3rd loss on above average volume in the span of 4 sessions. It was featured again in yellow in the 11/08/11 mid-day report (read here) with a pivot point based on its 7/07/11 high plus 10 cents. It was noted - "Volume-driven gains into new high ground may trigger a new technical buy signal. After dropped from the Featured Stocks list on 6/16/11 it rebounded near its 52-week high then slumped well below its 200 DMA line during a much deeper consolidation before rebounding again. It is now working on the right side of a 19-week cup shaped base with little overhead supply remaining to act as resistance." More damaging losses would raise greater concerns, of course. Meanwhile it has some additional work to do, and disciplined investors should watch for it to first prove that there is truly strong buying demand lurking from institutional investors, otherwise a sustained and meaningful advance is considered unlikely.

The past 4 quarterly earnings comparisons showed better than +25% increases. Its annual earnings history (A criteria) since trading began in 2008 has been good. Increasing institutional ownership (I criteria) is a reassuring sign, as the number of top-rated funds owning its shares rose from 435 in Dec '10 to 499 in Sep '11. Its last appearance in this FSU section was on 6/14/11 with an annotated graph under the headline, "Gains Lacking Volume Following 50 DMA Violation", and soon afterward on 6/16/11 it was noted - "Damaging loss today on above average volume violated the previously noted chart low ($38.84 on 5/12/11) triggering a more worrisome technical sell signal. Only a rebound above its 50 DMA line would help its outlook improve, technically. Based on its deterioration it will be dropped from the Featured Stocks list tonight." Then it rebounded to challenge its 52-week high before going through a much deeper correction below its 200-day moving average (DMA) line.  In recent weeks it managed an impressive rebound and there is little resistance remaining due to overhead supply.

RAX traded up as much as +103.5% within 8 months of when it was featured in yellow in the 9/21/10 mid-day report (read here) when noted - "Trading pennies from its 52-week high, with no overhead supply remaining to hinder its progress. A solid gain on the prior session reconfirmed a recent technical breakout above prior chart highs. Subsequent gains into new high territory with volume conviction could signal the beginning of a meaningful price advance."


Color Codes Explained :
Y - Better candidates highlighted by our staff of experts.
G - Previously featured in past reports as yellow but may no longer be buyable under the guidelines.

***Last / Change / Volume data in this table is the closing quote data***
Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group
PRICE CHANGE
(%Change)
Day High Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol)
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi
Featured
Date
Price
Featured
Pivot Featured
Max Buy
AAPL - NASDAQ
Apple Inc
COMPUTER HARDWARE - Personal Computers  
$385.22 -10.06
-2.55%

$397.21

26,599,955
130.79% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 20,337,600
$426.70
-9.72%
9/16/2011 $399.14 PP = $404.60
MB = $424.83
Most Recent Note - 11/9/2011 7:09:23 PM
G - Loss today on higher (near average) volume led to a test of its 50 DMA line and recent lows defining an important chart support level.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 10/20/2011. Click here.

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ADS - NYSE
Alliance Data Sys Corp
COMPUTER SOFTWARE and SERVICES - Information and Delivery Service  
$100.50 +0.01
0.01%

$103.11

590,858
62.20% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 949,900
$107.18
-6.23%
10/21/2011 $97.94 PP = $101.15
MB = $106.21
Most Recent Note - 11/9/2011 9:44:40 PM
Y - Down today on higher (near average) volume, closing just under its pivot point and raising some concerns. Prior chart highs in the $101 define initial support to watch well above its 50 DMA line.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 10/21/2011. Click here.

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ALXN - NASDAQ
Alexion Pharmaceuticals
DRUGS - Drug Manufacturers - Other  
$63.60 -0.47
-0.73%

$65.05

1,054,923
69.34% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,521,300
$70.42
-9.68%
9/15/2011 $63.20 PP = $60.81
MB = $63.85
Most Recent Note - 11/9/2011 9:50:09 PM
G - Inched lower to a close below its 50 DMA line today raising concerns. It has been weeks since volume has indicated any great decisiveness in direction.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 10/18/2011. Click here.

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CATM - NASDAQ
Cardtronics Inc
DIVERSIFIED SERVICES - Business/Management Services  
$26.12 -0.10
-0.38%

$26.74

225,523
53.48% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 421,700
$28.46
-8.22%
11/8/2011 $25.99 PP = $25.95
MB = $27.25
Most Recent Note - 11/9/2011 9:53:23 PM
Y - Pulled back today on average volume following its heavier volume breakout on 11/08/11. Prior highs in the $26 area define initial chart support to watch. See the latest FSU analysis for more details and an annotated graph.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 11/8/2011. Click here.

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CELG - NASDAQ
Celgene Corp
DRUGS - Drug Manufacturers - Major  
$64.31 +0.00
0.00%

$64.98

3,273,984
85.22% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 3,841,700
$68.25
-5.77%
9/16/2011 $61.21 PP = $62.59
MB = $65.72
Most Recent Note - 11/9/2011 9:55:21 PM
Y -Slight pickup in volume (near average) behind today's loss while consolidating just above its 50 DMA line defining important near-term chart support. A violation would raise concerns and trigger a technical sell signal.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 11/7/2011. Click here.

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Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group
PRICE CHANGE
(%Change)
Day High Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol)
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi
Featured
Date
Price
Featured
Pivot Featured
Max Buy
CEVA - NASDAQ
Ceva Inc
ELECTRONICS - Semiconductor - Specialized  
$29.39 -0.38
-1.28%

$30.33

155,096
65.64% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 236,300
$35.60
-17.44%
10/28/2011 $34.38 PP = $35.70
MB = $37.49
Most Recent Note - 11/9/2011 9:56:32 PM
Y - Gapped down for a loss on near average volume today. Still consolidating above prior highs since its gap up on 10/27/11 helped it break out of a "double bottom" base pattern. In the 10/28/11 mid-day report (read here) it was featured again in yellow with pivot point based on its 52-week high plus 10 cents while rallying from a larger cup shaped base. It has encountered distributional pressure since, while volume-driven gains above its pivot point are needed to trigger a new (or add-on) technical buy signal.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 11/2/2011. Click here.

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FEIC - NASDAQ
F E I Co
ELECTRONICS - Diversified Electronics  
$38.70 -0.72
-1.83%

$40.24

402,839
92.20% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 436,900
$42.25
-8.40%
10/28/2011 $40.31 PP = $40.88
MB = $42.92
Most Recent Note - 11/9/2011 9:59:18 PM
Y - Gapped down today for a loss with volume slightly above average, closing below its pivot point and raising concerns. Disciplined investors limit losses if a stock falls more than -7% from their purchase price.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 10/28/2011. Click here.

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GNC - NYSE
G N C Holdings Inc
RETAIL - Drug Stores  
$25.98 +0.33
1.29%

$26.60

1,238,570
96.44% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,284,300
$27.13
-4.24%
10/26/2011 $24.60 PP = $24.80
MB = $26.04
Most Recent Note - 11/9/2011 10:03:03 PM
Y - Consolidating above its pivot point and below its "max buy" level with cooling volume totals indicative that few are rushing for the exits following the recent Secondary Offering completed on 10/15/11. Recent chart lows (near $23.80) define near term support to watch above its 50 DMA line.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 10/26/2011. Click here.

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HMSY - NASDAQ
H M S Holdings Corp
COMPUTER SOFTWARE and SERVICES - Healthcare Information Service  
$29.59 +0.06
0.20%

$29.96

668,449
98.50% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 678,600
$30.82
-3.99%
10/27/2011 $26.44 PP = $28.37
MB = $29.79
Most Recent Note - 11/9/2011 12:42:21 PM
G - Pulling back today after a sharp volume-driven rally beyond its "max buy" level. Prior highs in the $27-28 area define support to watch on pullbacks.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 11/4/2011. Click here.

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ISRG - NASDAQ
Intuitive Surgical Inc
HEALTH SERVICES - Medical Appliances and Equipment  
$429.54 +0.26
0.06%

$435.02

228,933
55.47% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 412,700
$443.00
-3.04%
10/19/2011 $424.69 PP = $415.29
MB = $436.05
Most Recent Note - 11/8/2011 7:13:29 PM
G - Up today on light volume for its best ever close. Finished above its "max buy" level, and its color code is changed to green again. Prior highs define important support to watch on pullbacks.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 10/19/2011. Click here.

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Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group
PRICE CHANGE
(%Change)
Day High Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol)
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi
Featured
Date
Price
Featured
Pivot Featured
Max Buy
MG - NYSE
Mistras Group Inc
DIVERSIFIED SERVICES - Bulding and Faci;ity Management Services  
$21.58 +0.08
0.37%

$21.95

77,248
37.30% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 207,100
$23.51
-8.21%
10/28/2011 $22.49 PP = $23.61
MB = $24.79
Most Recent Note - 11/9/2011 10:06:20 PM
Y - Prior highs in the $20-21 area define initial chart support to watch above its 50 DMA line. It recently stalled and did not break out of a late stage "3 weeks tight" base pattern.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 10/12/2011. Click here.

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MKTX - NASDAQ
Marketaxess Holdings Inc
FINANCIAL SERVICES - Investment Brokerage - Nationa  
$27.64 -0.20
-0.72%

$28.25

125,439
51.81% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 242,100
$31.45
-12.11%
10/28/2011 $29.79 PP = $31.05
MB = $32.60
Most Recent Note - 11/9/2011 10:09:01 PM
Y - Lack of progress has been followed by a slump today to its 50 DMA line. Its Relative Strength line did not lead the way as it hit recent new highs, it recently has slumped.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 10/31/2011. Click here.

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OPNT - NASDAQ
Opnet Technologies
INTERNET - Internet Software and Services  
$35.68 -9.68
-21.34%

$39.00

2,228,148
953.83% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 233,600
$47.97
-25.62%
10/11/2011 $38.45 PP = $42.02
MB = $44.12
Most Recent Note - 11/10/2011 7:01:53 PM
G - Reported earnings +50% on +16% sales revenues for the quarter ended September 30, 2011 versus the year ago period. The market had higher expectations and it gapped down today for a damaging loss on heavy volume, violating its 50 and 200 DMA lines triggering technical sell signals. It also violated previous highs in the $41 area. Only a prompt repair of the technical damage would help its outlook.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 10/25/2011. Click here.

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OSIS - NASDAQ
O S I Systems Inc
ELECTRONICS - Semiconductor Equipment and Mate  
$46.00 +1.61
3.63%

$46.88

127,390
85.84% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 148,400
$47.39
-2.93%
11/1/2011 $42.07 PP = $45.57
MB = $47.85
Most Recent Note - 11/10/2011 7:03:17 PM
Y - Rose today with light volume, approaching the new 52-week high (N criteria) it touched earlier this week with gains lacking great volume. Previously noted - "Lighter than average behind last week's gains, not indicative of great institutional (I criteria) buying demand. Volume-driven gains above its pivot point may trigger a technical buy signal."
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 11/1/2011. Click here.

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RAX - NYSE
Rackspace Hosting Inc
INTERNET - Internet Software and; Services  
$41.70 -0.68
-1.60%

$43.25

2,420,406
152.17% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,590,600
$46.50
-10.31%
11/8/2011 $44.28 PP = $46.27
MB = $48.58
Most Recent Note - 11/10/2011 7:05:02 PM
Y - Today marked its 3rd loss on above average volume in the span of 4 sessions while consolidating on the right side of a 19-week cup shaped base pattern. See the latest FSU analysis for more details and an annotated weekly graph.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 11/10/2011. Click here.

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Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group
PRICE CHANGE
(%Change)
Day High Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol)
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi
Featured
Date
Price
Featured
Pivot Featured
Max Buy
SWI - NYSE
Solarwinds Inc
COMPUTER SOFTWARE and SERVICES - Application Software  
$30.48 +0.87
2.94%

$30.61

2,060,402
175.77% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,172,200
$30.40
0.26%
10/27/2011 $27.78 PP = $25.62
MB = $26.90
Most Recent Note - 11/10/2011 12:53:00 PM
G - On track today for a 7th consecutive small gain into new high territory. It is extended from its previous base pattern. Prior highs in the $25-26 area define initial chart support to watch on pullbacks.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 10/27/2011. Click here.

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TDG - NYSE
Transdigm Group Inc
AEROSPACE/DEFENSE - Aerospace/Defense Products and; Services  
$96.26 -0.51
-0.53%

$98.05

289,736
70.15% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 413,000
$98.93
-2.70%
11/9/2011 $98.45 PP = $95.14
MB = $99.90
Most Recent Note - 11/9/2011 10:38:31 PM
Y - Hit a new 52-week high on the prior session with a volume-driven gain helping it break out from a 19-week base. While consolidating today above prior highs it was featured in yellow (read here) with pivot point based on its 7/07/11 high plus 10 cents. Reported earnings +38% on +52% sales revenues for the quarter ended June 30, 2011 versus the year ago period. Prior earnings comparisons were right at the +25% guideline and it has maintained a strong annual earnings history (A criteria). Due to report earnings for the September period soon. See the latest FSU analysis for more details and a new annotated graph.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 11/9/2011. Click here.

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UA - NYSE
Under Armour Inc Cl A
CONSUMER NON-DURABLES - Textile - Apparel Clothing  
$81.04 +0.15
0.19%

$81.97

660,336
49.71% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,328,400
$87.40
-7.28%
10/25/2011 $82.43 PP = $80.80
MB = $84.84
Most Recent Note - 11/8/2011 1:56:47 PM
Y - Small losses on light volume led to a pullback below its "max buy" level and its color code was changed to yellow again. No resistance remains due to overhead supply following its recent spurt of volume-driven gains. Prior highs near $80 define initial support above its 50 DMA line.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 11/3/2011. Click here.

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V - NYSE
Visa Inc Cl A
DIVERSIFIED SERVICES - Business/Management Services  
$93.04 -0.09
-0.10%

$94.35

2,812,132
53.01% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 5,305,100
$95.87
-2.95%
10/24/2011 $94.21 PP = $94.85
MB = $99.59
Most Recent Note - 11/8/2011 7:28:35 PM
Y - Today's gain on near average volume led to its second best close ever. Still perched within close striking distance of its 52-week high, it did not trigger a proper new technical buy signal since recently highlighted in yellow as an ideal looking set-up. Its 50 DMA line defines near-term chart support to watch.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 10/24/2011. Click here.

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