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AFTER MARKET UPDATE - MONDAY, OCTOBER 15TH, 2012
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Indices NYSE Nasdaq
DOW  +95.38 13,424.23 +0.72% Volume 618,827,820 -1% Volume 1,528,422,360 +2%
NASDAQ +20.07 3,064.18 +0.66% Advancers 2,016 65% Advancers 1,562 60%
S&P 500 +11.54 1,440.13 +0.81% Decliners 999 32% Decliners 895 35%
Russell 2000 +5.19 828.28 +0.63% 52 Wk Highs 86   52 Wk Highs 60  
S&P 600 +2.81 461.16 +0.61% 52 Wk Lows 18   52 Wk Lows 47  

Major Indices Tallied Gains With Positive Breadth

The major indices posted gains on Monday. The volume totals were reported mixed, lighter on the NYSE, and higher on the Nasdaq exchange versus the prior session's totals. Breadth was positive as advancers led decliners by a 2-1 margin on the NYSE and by nearly a 2-1 margin on the Nasdaq exchange. The total number of new 52-week highs outnumbered new 52-week lows on the NYSE and on the Nasdaq exchange. There were 19 high-ranked companies from the CANSLIM.net Leaders List that made new 52-week highs and appeared on the CANSLIM.net BreakOuts Page, up from the prior session total of 13 stocks. There were gains for 16 of the 21 high-ranked companies currently included on the Featured Stocks Page.

 

Stocks rallied to finish higher on Monday. The major averages rebounded from last week's retreat after a report showed retail sales unexpectedly climbed +1.1% in September. Excluding autos and gas, retail sales increased +0.9% versus consensus projections for a +0.4% rise. A separate report showed manufacturing activity in the New York region contracted for a third consecutive month in October.

Financials also provided a tailwind to the market today. Citigroup Inc (C +5.50%) advanced after posting better-than-expected quarterly results. The Goldman Sachs Group (GS +3.58%) gained ahead of its earnings release Tuesday morning. Health care was the best performing group on the session. Shares of Eli Lilly (LLY +4.12%) rose after favorable results of a study for a potential stomach cancer treatment. Semiconductor stocks paced the tech sector higher. Texas Instruments Inc (TXN +3.45%) rose on reports Amazon.com Inc (AMZN +0.75%) is in talks to acquire the company's mobile chip unit. Telecom was the worst performing group today. Sprint Nextel Corp (S -0.70%) gave back early gains on Softbank Corp (SFTBY -4.97%) agreeing to acquire 70% of the wireless company to finish down. AT&T Inc (T -1.18%) also retreated.

The 10-year note was down 3/32 to yield 1.66%.

Recent weakness and technical deterioration was noted in the Nasdaq Composite Index (10/09/12 - read here) . Waning leadership, or fewer stocks hitting new 52-week highs, also suggested that the market rally was coming under pressure. The newspaper waved a white flag and termed it a market "correction" on Wednesday. 

Investors should watch individual holdings very carefully through the current earnings season and be prepared to take quick action. In market corrections the M criteria argues against new buying efforts.  Keep a watchlist of strong acting stocks with all-key criteria in anticipation of the next confirmed uptrend.  See the noteworthy candidates included on the Featured Stocks Page.

Watch for an announcement via email concerning the Q3 2012 WEBCAST. The webcast will also be available via an updated link highlighted at the top of the Premium Member Homepage

PICTURED: The Nasdaq Composite Index posted a gain to halt its 6 session losing streak. It needs to rebound back above its 50-day moving average (DMA) line for its technical stance to improve.


Kenneth J. Gruneisen started out as a licensed stockbroker in August 1987, a couple of months prior to the historic stock market crash that took the Dow Jones Industrial Average down -22.6% in a single day. He has published daily fact-based fundamental and technical analysis on high-ranked stocks online for two decades. Through FACTBASEDINVESTING.COM, Kenneth provides educational articles, news, market commentary, and other information regarding proven investment systems that work in good times and bad.

Comments contained in the body of this report are technical opinions only and are not necessarily those of Gruneisen Growth Corp. The material herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable and accurate, however, its accuracy and completeness cannot be guaranteed. Our firm, employees, and customers may effect transactions, including transactions contrary to any recommendation herein, or have positions in the securities mentioned herein or options with respect thereto. Any recommendation contained in this report may not be suitable for all investors and it is not to be deemed an offer or solicitation on our part with respect to the purchase or sale of any securities.


Financial, Retail, Energy Groups Led Gainers

The Retail Index ($RLX +0.85%) had a positive bias and gains from influential financial shares boosted the Bank Index ($BKX +0.98%) and the Broker/Dealer Index ($XBD +1.13%), helping underpin the major averages' gains. The Semiconductor Index ($SOX +1.48%) led the tech sector higher while the Internet Index ($IIX +0.63%) posted a smaller gain, meanwhile the Biotechnology Index ($BTK +0.09%) inched higher and the Networking Index ($NWX -0.19%) edged lower. Defensive groups had a slightly positive drift as the Gold & Silver Index ($XAU +0.14%) and the Healthcare Index ($HMO +0.39%) each rose modestly. Energy-related shares also tallied gains as the Integrated Oil Index ($XOI +0.39%) and the Oil Services Index ($OSX +0.66%) rounded out Monday's mostly positive session.

Charts courtesy www.stockcharts.com

PICTURED: The Broker/Dealer Index ($XBD +1.13%) is consolidating above its 50-day moving average (DMA) line. 


Industry Index Symbol Close Change % Change YTD % Change
Oil Services $OSX  222.92 +1.47 +0.66% +3.07%
Healthcare $HMO  2,458.95 +9.62 +0.39% +7.77%
Integrated Oil $XOI  1,234.48 +4.79 +0.39% +0.44%
Semiconductor $SOX  372.14 +5.43 +1.48% +2.11%
Networking $NWX  197.47 -0.39 -0.19% -8.22%
Internet $IIX  316.54 +1.97 +0.63% +12.35%
Broker/Dealer $XBD  84.29 +0.95 +1.13% +1.23%
Retail $RLX  650.57 +5.46 +0.85% +24.34%
Gold & Silver $XAU  185.15 +0.25 +0.14% +2.50%
Bank $BKX  50.50 +0.49 +0.98% +28.24%
Biotech $BTK  1,523.67 +1.32 +0.09% +39.60%


Quiet Consolidation Has Look of New Base

Vitamin Shoppe Inc's (VSI +$1.03 or +1.81% to $57.82) volume totals have been below average in recent weeks while consolidating near its 50-day moving average (DMA) line. It still faces some resistance due to overhead supply up through the $60 area after recently stalling. It has formed a flat base of sufficient length, and a new pivot point has been cited, however disciplined investors will wait and watch for confirming gains from the stock. Odds are not favorable without proof of fresh institutional accumulation and also more reassuring signs from the broader market (M criteria). Meanwhile, recent lows near $55 define the next important chart support below its short-term average.

VSI was last shown in this FSU section on 9/10/12 with an annotated graph under the headline, "Consolidation Too Brief and Choppy for a Valid New Base", following a streak of 4 consecutive gains as it rebounded and rallied back above its 50-day moving average (DMA) line and above its previously cited pivot point. Now it has built a better base.

It reported an earnings increase of +38% on +13% sales revenues for the Jun '12 quarter. Additional leadership (L criteria) shown by other stocks in the Retail - Specialty group has still been a reassuring sign however the Group Relative Strength Rating fell to 46 from 94 when the stock was shown in this section on 7/02/12. Fundamentally, it has earned high ranks after showing strong quarterly and annual earnings increases satisfying the C and A criteria. The number of top-rated funds owning its shares rose from 288 in Jun '11 to 377 in Sep '12, a reassuring sign concerning the I criteria.  Vitamin Shoppe has 29.7 million shares outstanding. That small supply is not a bad thing, but could contribute to greater price volatility. Historic studies have shown that once companies have grown their supply (S criteria) of shares outstanding to hundreds of millions, or even billions of shares outstanding, they are less likely candidates to be "above average" gainers.


 


Color Codes Explained :
Y - Better candidates highlighted by our staff of experts.
G - Previously featured in past reports as yellow but may no longer be buyable under the guidelines.

***Last / Change / Volume data in this table is the closing quote data***
Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group
PRICE CHANGE
(%Change)
Day High Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol)
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi
Featured
Date
Price
Featured
Pivot Featured
Max Buy
ALXN - NASDAQ
Alexion Pharmaceuticals
DRUGS - Drug Manufacturers - Other  
$111.42 +0.23
0.21%

$112.36

931,460
96.67% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 963,500
$119.54
-6.79%
8/23/2012 $103.70 PP = $110.06
MB = $115.56
Most Recent Note - 10/9/2012 1:47:51 PM
Y - Color code is changed to yellow after retreating below its "max buy" level. The prior highs in the $110 area define chart support along with its 50 DMA line where violations would raise concerns and trigger technical sell signals..
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 9/26/2012. Click here.

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ASPS - NASDAQ
Altisource Ptf Sltns Sa
REAL ESTATE - Property Management/Developmen  
$114.71 -0.02
-0.02%

$117.07

159,681
93.11% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 171,500
$115.73
-0.88%
9/24/2012 $87.24 PP = $92.39
MB = $97.01
Most Recent Note - 10/12/2012 4:10:24 PM
G - Finished near the session high with a gain today on below average volume for a best-ever close. Very extended from its prior base, it s prior highs in the $92 area define initial support to watch on pullbacks.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 10/12/2012. Click here.

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BRLI - NASDAQ
Bio Reference Labs Inc
HEALTH SERVICES - Medical Laboratories and Researc  
$32.11 +0.23
0.72%

$32.38

255,579
88.44% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 289,000
$32.86
-2.28%
10/3/2012 $30.90 PP = $30.25
MB = $31.76
Most Recent Note - 10/11/2012 5:37:55 PM
G - Gapped up today and finished at its second-best close after consolidating under its "max buy" level following its 10/03/12 technical buy signal. Prior highs in the $30 area define initial chart support above its 50 DMA line.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 10/8/2012. Click here.

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CFNL - NASDAQ
Cardinal Financial Corp
BANKING - Regional - Southeast Banks  
$13.83 -0.13
-0.93%

$14.11

51,014
63.21% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 80,700
$14.79
-6.49%
8/17/2012 $12.84 PP = $13.31
MB = $13.98
Most Recent Note - 10/12/2012 4:19:20 PM
G - Quietly consolidating after distributional action in recent weeks. Prior low ($13.80 on 10/03/12) defines near-term support above its 50 DMA line ($13.53 now) where violations would trigger technical sell signals.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 9/25/2012. Click here.

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CMCSA - NASDAQ
Comcast Corp Cl A
MEDIA - CATV Systems  
$36.43 +0.65
1.82%

$36.53

11,803,802
98.07% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 12,036,500
$36.98
-1.49%
6/11/2012 $29.94 PP = $30.98
MB = $32.53
Most Recent Note - 10/15/2012 4:07:21 PM
G - Posted another gain today on average volume and finished within close striking distance of its best ever close. Found support while consolidating above prior highs in the $35 area and its 50 DMA line. Violations would trigger technical sell signals. Fundamental concerns have been repeatedly noted - "Due to sub par sales and earnings growth in the Jun '12 quarter."
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 9/21/2012. Click here.

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Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group
PRICE CHANGE
(%Change)
Day High Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol)
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi
Featured
Date
Price
Featured
Pivot Featured
Max Buy
DVA - NYSE
Davita Inc
HEALTH SERVICES - Specialized Health Services  
$109.00 -1.42
-1.29%

$111.21

1,226,608
162.77% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 753,600
$111.34
-2.10%
9/5/2012 $102.92 PP = $100.62
MB = $105.65
Most Recent Note - 10/15/2012 4:08:54 PM
G - Reversed from its 52-week high today and closed near the session low with a loss on above average volume. Extended from its latest sound base. Prior highs near $100 and its 50 DMA line define near term support to watch on pullbacks where violations may trigger technical sell signals.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 10/10/2012. Click here.

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GPX - NYSE
G P Strategies Corp
DIVERSIFIED SERVICES - Education and Training Services  
$19.51 +0.25
1.30%

$19.51

14,794
20.35% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 72,700
$20.67
-5.61%
10/8/2012 $20.00 PP = $20.77
MB = $21.81
Most Recent Note - 10/11/2012 5:47:54 PM
G - Slumped below its 50 DMA line today ending near the session low and its color code is changed to green. Volume driven gains above the pivot point have not triggered a new (or add-on) technical buy signal. Losses exceeding last week's low $18.82 would raise more serious concerns and trigger technical sell signals.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 9/13/2012. Click here.

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LKQ - NASDAQ
L K Q Corp
WHOLESALE - Auto Parts  
$20.13 +0.50
2.55%

$20.16

1,689,772
121.22% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,394,000
$20.02
0.57%
8/9/2012 $18.97 PP = $18.72
MB = $19.66
Most Recent Note - 10/15/2012 4:02:25 PM
G - Hitting new 52-week and all-time highs today with above average volume behind its gain. Color code is changed to green while rising above its "max buy" level with no resistance remaining due to overhead supply.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 9/17/2012. Click here.

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LNKD - NYSE
Linkedin Corp Class A
INTERNET - Internet Information Providers  
$110.85 +0.44
0.40%

$111.71

2,122,255
92.89% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 2,284,700
$125.50
-11.67%
9/5/2012 $113.25 PP = $113.10
MB = $118.76
Most Recent Note - 10/15/2012 4:04:23 PM
G - Posted a small gain on light volume today, failing to rebound after a damaging volume-driven loss violated its 50 DMA line and triggered a technical sell signal on the prior session. Only a prompt rebound above that short-term average would help its outlook. Disciplined investors always limit losses if ever any stock falls more than -7% from where it was purchased.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 10/9/2012. Click here.

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LULU - NASDAQ
Lululemon Athletica
MANUFACTURING - Textile Manufacturing  
$73.94 +0.51
0.69%

$73.98

872,729
36.62% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 2,383,200
$81.09
-8.82%
10/2/2012 $74.89 PP = $78.97
MB = $82.92
Most Recent Note - 10/12/2012 4:28:55 PM
Y - Following its cup-with-handle base pattern it has been edging lower with volume totals cooling. Volume-driven gains above its pivot point are needed to confirm a technical buy signal before action may be justified by disciplined investors. Fundamentals remain strong (good C and A criteria) and very little resistance from overhead supply is there to hinder its progress.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 10/2/2012. Click here.

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Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group
PRICE CHANGE
(%Change)
Day High Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol)
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi
Featured
Date
Price
Featured
Pivot Featured
Max Buy
MIDD - NASDAQ
Middleby Corp
MANUFACTURING - Diversified Machinery  
$119.35 +0.69
0.58%

$119.66

93,809
92.88% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 101,000
$122.57
-2.63%
10/8/2012 $118.46 PP = $122.67
MB = $128.80
Most Recent Note - 10/12/2012 4:30:52 PM
Y - Perched -3.2% off its 52-week high today with volume totals cooling in recent weeks while stubbornly holding its ground. Subsequent volume-driven gains above the pivot point may trigger a new (or add-on) technical buy signal. Its 50 DMA line and recent lows define near-term chart support to watch.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 9/18/2012. Click here.

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N - NYSE
Netsuite Inc
DIVERSIFIED SERVICES - Business/Management Services  
$62.03 +1.23
2.02%

$62.16

269,438
56.49% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 477,000
$64.70
-4.13%
8/20/2012 $55.88 PP = $59.32
MB = $62.29
Most Recent Note - 10/12/2012 4:32:04 PM
Y - Still quietly consolidating below its "max buy" level. Prior highs near $59 closely coincide with its 50 DMA line defining important chart support where subsequent violations would trigger technical sell signals.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 9/24/2012. Click here.

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NSM - NYSE
Nationstar Mtg Hldgs Inc
FINANCIAL SERVICES - Credit Services  
$32.45 +0.30
0.93%

$32.53

1,056,695
89.54% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,180,100
$37.20
-12.77%
8/29/2012 $27.96 PP = $28.85
MB = $30.29
Most Recent Note - 10/11/2012 6:48:40 PM
G - Gain on light volume today halted a 4 session losing streak on higher volume. A steep upward trendline connecting July-September lows defines a near-term support level to watch above its 50 DMA line. See the latest FSU analysis for more details and a new annotated graph.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 10/11/2012. Click here.

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OSIS - NASDAQ
O S I Systems Inc
ELECTRONICS - Semiconductor Equipment and Mate  
$76.06 +0.42
0.56%

$76.28

69,640
52.88% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 131,700
$78.93
-3.64%
9/5/2012 $74.39 PP = $75.10
MB = $78.86
Most Recent Note - 10/12/2012 4:34:59 PM
Y - Consolidating just -4.2% off its 52-week high with volume totals cooling as very few investors have been heading for the exit. It remains below its "max buy" level after bullish action recently confirmed a technical buy signal. Near term support is at its 50 DMA line (now $73.96).
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 9/14/2012. Click here.

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RNF - NYSE
Rentech Nitrogen Ptnr Lp
CHEMICALS - Agricultural Chemicals  
$34.84 +0.04
0.11%

$35.07

200,673
45.51% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 440,900
$40.05
-13.01%
7/27/2012 $29.58 PP = $30.60
MB = $32.13
Most Recent Note - 10/9/2012 2:24:16 PM
G - Consolidating just above its 50 DMA line ($34.69) defining important near-term support after the previously noted upward trendline violation. Gains lacked volume conviction after it halted its slide.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 10/4/2012. Click here.

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Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group
PRICE CHANGE
(%Change)
Day High Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol)
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi
Featured
Date
Price
Featured
Pivot Featured
Max Buy
SWI - NYSE
Solarwinds Inc
COMPUTER SOFTWARE and SERVICES - Application Software  
$53.83 +0.44
0.82%

$53.96

338,421
41.86% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 808,500
$60.95
-11.68%
7/25/2012 $47.82 PP = $47.89
MB = $50.28
Most Recent Note - 10/10/2012 1:42:30 PM
G - Today's loss undercut the 9/26/12 low ($53.78) raising more serious concerns. A secondary buy point was explained in the latest FSU analysis along with a new annotated graph, but caution is advised unless strength returns and it rises back above its 50 DMA line promptly. Prior highs in the $48 area define the next chart support level.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 10/3/2012. Click here.

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TDG - NYSE
Transdigm Group Inc
AEROSPACE/DEFENSE - Aerospace/Defense Products and; Services  
$148.70 -0.47
-0.32%

$149.60

278,262
68.47% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 406,400
$152.62
-2.57%
8/16/2012 $132.23 PP = $136.44
MB = $143.26
Most Recent Note - 10/12/2012 4:06:51 PM
G - Gain today on average volume for its second-best close ever, extended from its prior base. Its 50 DMA line and prior lows define near-term support to watch in the $138 area where violations may trigger technical sell signals.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 9/20/2012. Click here.

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ULTA - NASDAQ
Ulta Salon Cosm & Frag
SPECIALTY RETAIL - Specialty Retail, Other  
$95.30 +0.08
0.08%

$95.99

250,224
34.34% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 728,700
$103.52
-7.94%
9/4/2012 $93.17 PP = $98.52
MB = $103.45
Most Recent Note - 10/9/2012 2:20:54 PM
Y - Slumping near recent lows and its 50 DMA line defining important near-term chart support. Its Relative Strength Rating has slumped to 80, the minimum rank for ideal buy candidates under the fact-based investment system. The latest FSU analysis discussed its waning Relative Strength under the headline "Relative Strength Line Did Not Provide Confirmation - Friday, October 05, 2012".
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 10/5/2012. Click here.

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ULTI - NASDAQ
Ultimate Software Group
INTERNET - Internet Software and Services  
$102.58 -0.47
-0.46%

$104.15

143,378
97.07% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 147,700
$106.40
-3.59%
8/27/2012 $98.36 PP = $99.19
MB = $104.15
Most Recent Note - 10/12/2012 12:17:39 PM
Y - Considerable gain today with higher volume, rallying from its 50 DMA line to within close striking distance of its 52-week high. Recent lows in the $96 area define near-term support to watch where violations would raise concerns and trigger technical sell signals.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 9/27/2012. Click here.

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VSI - NYSE
Vitamin Shoppe Inc
SPECIALTY RETAIL - Specialty Retail, Other  
$57.82 +1.03
1.81%

$57.86

144,970
42.33% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 342,500
$61.83
-6.48%
10/15/2012 $57.82 PP = $60.08
MB = $63.08
Most Recent Note - 10/15/2012 7:07:43 PM
Y - Volume totals have been below average in recent weeks while consolidating near its 50 DMA line. Color code is changed to yellow while still building on a new base, and subsequent volume-driven gains are needed to trigger a new technical buy signal. See latest FSU analysis for more details and a new annotated graph.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 10/15/2012. Click here.

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Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group
PRICE CHANGE
(%Change)
Day High Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol)
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi
Featured
Date
Price
Featured
Pivot Featured
Max Buy
WPI - NYSE
Watson Pharmaceuticals
DRUGS - Drugs - Generic  
$87.12 +0.45
0.52%

$87.15

780,906
84.86% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 920,200
$88.33
-1.37%
8/24/2012 $82.90 PP = $81.10
MB = $85.16
Most Recent Note - 10/9/2012 2:12:55 PM
G - Holding its ground this week with light volume totals after hitting new 52-week highs with gains on higher volume, It is extended from its prior base, and prior lows and its 50 DMA line in the $82 area define important support to watch on pullbacks.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 9/28/2012. Click here.

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