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AFTER MARKET UPDATE - FRIDAY, FEBRUARY 25TH, 2011
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Indices NYSE Nasdaq
DOW  +61.95 12,130.45 +0.51% Volume 955,046,300 -22% Volume 1,817,573,190 -9%
NASDAQ +43.15 2,781.05 +1.58% Advancers 2,398 77% Advancers 2,111 77%
S&P 500 +13.78 1,319.88 +1.06% Decliners 634 20% Decliners 540 20%
Russell 2000 +17.77 821.95 +2.21% 52 Wk Highs 134   52 Wk Highs 88  
S&P 600 +9.38 433.51 +2.21% 52 Wk Lows 12   52 Wk Lows 20  

Indices Rebound With Lighter Volume, Finishing Down For The Week

For the week the Dow Jones Industrial Average was down -2.1%, the Nasdaq Composite Index lost -1.9%, and the S&P 500 Index fell -1.7%. Volume totals were lighter behind Friday's gains, which suggested that institutional investors were not aggressively accumulating stocks following distributional losses on heavier volume this week. Advancing issues beat decliners by 9-2 on the NYSE and by 4-1 on the Nasdaq exchange. New 52-week highs outnumbered new 52-week lows on the NYSE and on the Nasdaq exchange. There was a total of 32 high-ranked companies from the CANSLIM.net Leaders List that made new 52-week highs and appeared on the CANSLIM.net BreakOuts Page, up from a total of 15 on the prior session. On the Featured Stocks Page there were gains from 19 of the 22 high-ranked market leaders.

 

The market was not bothered by a downward revision in fourth quarter gross domestic product. Growth was revised to 2.8% from a prior estimate of 3.2%.  Meanwhile, a measure of consumer confidence beat forecasts. The University of Michigan's final reading of consumer sentiment for February rose to 77.5, a three-year high, topping analysts' expectations for 75.4. Despite today’s gains, the major indexes remain on track for their first weekly losses in a month.

Stocks gained after oil prices stabilized and closed near $98 per barrel, down from more than $103 on the prior session. Boeing Co (BA +2.18%) rallied after the Air Force awarded the company a $35 billion air tanker contract. Caterpillar Inc (CAT +1.42%) rose after reporting an increase in worldwide machinery sales in January. J.C. Penney Company Inc (JCP -6.54%) reported earnings that beat estimates, but the retailer's outlook for the current quarter was disappointing and it tumbled.

The damaging losses this week, coupled with waning leadership, put the latest rally for the major averages (M criteria) under pressure. Typically, 3 out of 4 stocks move in the same direction as the major averages. Investors should be mindful to protect hard-earned profits, limit losses, and stand ready to raise portfolio cash levels if more damaging losses occur.  The Nasdaq Composite Index recently traded within -1% of its 2007 high. The S&P 600 Small Cap Index has recently traded less than -1% away from its all-time high. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (-12.7% at last week's close) and the S&P 500 Index (-14.8% at last week's close) remain further away from a complete recovery to new all-time highs.

PICTURED: The Dow Jones Industrial Average halted its slide near the 12,000 level.  An upward trendline defines support above its 50-day moving average (DMA) line.


Kenneth J. Gruneisen started out as a licensed stockbroker in August 1987, a couple of months prior to the historic stock market crash that took the Dow Jones Industrial Average down -22.6% in a single day. He has published daily fact-based fundamental and technical analysis on high-ranked stocks online for two decades. Through FACTBASEDINVESTING.COM, Kenneth provides educational articles, news, market commentary, and other information regarding proven investment systems that work in good times and bad.

Comments contained in the body of this report are technical opinions only and are not necessarily those of Gruneisen Growth Corp. The material herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable and accurate, however, its accuracy and completeness cannot be guaranteed. Our firm, employees, and customers may effect transactions, including transactions contrary to any recommendation herein, or have positions in the securities mentioned herein or options with respect thereto. Any recommendation contained in this report may not be suitable for all investors and it is not to be deemed an offer or solicitation on our part with respect to the purchase or sale of any securities.


Commodity-Linked and Technology Groups Led Broad Gains

The Broker/Dealer Index ($XBD +1.23%) and Bank Index ($BKX +1.40%) posted gains after 3 consecutive losses, and both influential indexes reassuringly managed to close the week above their respective 50-day moving average (DMA) lines.  The Oil Services Index ($OSX +3.42%) and Integrated Oil Index ($XOI +1.27%) posted gains, and the Gold & Silver Index ($XAU +1.81%) closed the week above its 50 DMA line for the first time since December.  The Networking Index ($NWX +2.40%) and Semiconductor Index ($SOX +2.61%) led the tech sector higher as the Biotechnology Index ($BTK +1.51%) and Internet Index ($IIX +0.99%) posted smaller gains.  The Retail Index ($RLX +0.28%) and Healthcare Index ($HMO +0.65%) also contributed to the major averages' positive bias on Friday.

Charts courtesy www.stockcharts.com

PICTURED: The Retail Index ($RLX +0.28%) showed some resilience and closed the week above its 50-day moving average (DMA) line.


Industry Index Symbol Close Change % Change YTD % Change
Oil Services $OSX  288.00 +9.53 +3.42% +17.49%
Healthcare $HMO  2,016.65 +13.12 +0.65% +19.19%
Integrated Oil $XOI  1,354.55 +16.93 +1.27% +11.65%
Semiconductor $SOX  463.69 +11.79 +2.61% +12.60%
Networking $NWX  327.38 +7.69 +2.40% +16.69%
Internet $IIX  322.09 +3.16 +0.99% +4.67%
Broker/Dealer $XBD  125.36 +1.52 +1.23% +3.16%
Retail $RLX  511.83 +1.44 +0.28% +0.68%
Gold & Silver $XAU  212.21 +3.78 +1.81% -6.34%
Bank $BKX  53.56 +0.74 +1.40% +2.59%
Biotech $BTK  1,286.37 +19.19 +1.51% -0.87%


Consolidating Above Support After Bout Of Distribution

Lululemon Athletica (LULU +$0.66 or +0.87% to $76.83) posted a small gain on light volume, halting its slide after 5 consecutive losses and some distributional pressure this week. Support near prior highs defines chart support just above its 50-day moving average (DMA) line. Subsequent violations would trigger technical sell signals and prompt investors to lock in profits or at least limit losses on any later buys.  Following its last appearance in this FSU section on 1/14/11 with an annotated graph under the headline, "Leader Hovering Near Highs Following +56% Rally In 3 Months", it continued consolidating.  Then, a new pivot point was cited on 1/26/11, and it eventually broke out again with a big gain on heavy volume on 2/04/11 triggering a new (or add-on) technical buy signal.

Since this high-ranked Retail - Apparel/Shoes/Accessories firm was first featured in yellow at $47.66 in the October 8, 2010 mid-day report it has traded up as much as +78.9% in less than 5 months. The 4 latest quarterly comparisons showed strong sales revenues and impressive earnings increases (C criteria), and it maintained a good annual earnings history (A criteria) despite a patch of negative comparisons in early '09. The number of top-rated fund owning its shares fell from 261 in Sep '10 to 286 in Dec '10, which is a reassuring sign concerning the I criteria.


Color Codes Explained :
Y - Better candidates highlighted by our staff of experts.
G - Previously featured in past reports as yellow but may no longer be buyable under the guidelines.

***Last / Change / Volume data in this table is the closing quote data***
Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group
PRICE CHANGE
(%Change)
Day High Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol)
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi
Featured
Date
Price
Featured
Pivot Featured
Max Buy
BIDU - NASDAQ
Baidu Inc Ads
INTERNET - Internet Information Providers  
$120.59 +1.78
1.50%

$121.72

4,826,566
63.49% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 7,602,200
$131.63
-8.39%
2/1/2011 $117.74 PP = $112.08
MB = $117.68
Most Recent Note - 2/24/2011 6:21:57 PM
G - Posted a gain on lighter volume today following damaging losses with higher than average volume. Recently slumping near prior highs in the $112-115 area previously noted as defining initial chart support to watch above its 50 DMA line.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 2/2/2011. Click here.

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CMG - NYSE
Chipotle Mexican Grill
LEISURE - Restaurants  
$248.36 +3.06
1.25%

$255.00

836,084
79.28% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,054,600
$275.00
-9.69%
2/11/2011 $271.15 PP = $262.87
MB = $276.01
Most Recent Note - 2/23/2011 2:21:40 PM
G - Down today on higher volume, its color code is changed to green as distributional pressure sends it more than -7% below its pivot point, raising concerns. Recent highs and its 50 DMA line in the $235-237 area define technical chart support levels to watch where more damaging losses would raise greater concerns. Recently reported strong earnings and technically rallied "straight up from the bottom" from an 11-week cup shaped base without a handle.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 2/11/2011. Click here.

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CRUS - NASDAQ
Cirrus Logic Inc
ELECTRONICS - Semiconductor - Specialized  
$23.80 +1.01
4.43%

$23.84

2,369,925
70.86% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 3,344,600
$25.48
-6.59%
1/28/2011 $20.69 PP = $19.17
MB = $20.13
Most Recent Note - 2/25/2011 1:47:36 PM
G - Rebounding from the week's lows after a pullback near prior chart highs amid widespread weakness. Subsequent deterioration below its 2/23/11 low ($21.17) would raise concerns, technically, and any close below its significant prior high close ($20.54 on 7/26/10) would raise even greater concerns.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 1/28/2011. Click here.

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CTSH - NASDAQ
Cognizant Tech Sol Cl A
COMPUTER SOFTWARE and SERVICES - Business Software and Services  
$76.51 +1.58
2.11%

$76.60

1,868,267
82.96% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 2,252,000
$77.74
-1.58%
2/7/2011 $75.09 PP = $76.46
MB = $80.28
Most Recent Note - 2/25/2011 5:34:34 PM
Y - Color code is changed to yellow after showing resilience and closing the week just above its pivot point after finding support near its 50 DMA line.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 2/8/2011. Click here.

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DECK - NASDAQ
Deckers Outdoor Corp
CONSUMER NON-DURABLES - Textile - Apparel Footwear  
$88.30 -1.50
-1.67%

$94.70

5,210,318
337.17% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,545,300
$92.69
-4.74%
2/3/2011 $79.61 PP = $82.67
MB = $86.80
Most Recent Note - 2/25/2011 12:04:18 PM
G - Reported earnings +30% on +24% sales revenues for the quarter ended December 31, 2010 versus the year earlier. Churning heavy volume this week without making meaningful price progress above its December highs is action indicative of distributional pressure following its 2/17/11 technical breakout.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 1/26/2011. Click here.

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Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group
PRICE CHANGE
(%Change)
Day High Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol)
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi
Featured
Date
Price
Featured
Pivot Featured
Max Buy
EZCH - NASDAQ
Ezchip Semiconductor Ltd
ELECTRONICS - Semiconductor - Specialized  
$29.91 +0.72
2.47%

$30.00

289,192
74.59% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 387,700
$33.48
-10.66%
12/2/2010 $27.53 PP = $26.00
MB = $27.30
Most Recent Note - 2/24/2011 5:22:39 PM
G - Small gain today on average volume, still finishing below its 50 DMA line which may now act as resistance. A prompt rebound above its short-term average would help its outlook, meanwhile it faces overhead supply now up through the $33 area which may hinder its ability to rally.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 1/21/2011. Click here.

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EZPW - NASDAQ
Ezcorp Inc Cl A
SPECIALTY RETAIL - Specialty Retail, Other  
$28.55 +0.41
1.46%

$28.72

278,372
70.74% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 393,500
$29.94
-4.64%
2/18/2011 $27.94 PP = $30.04
MB = $31.54
Most Recent Note - 2/25/2011 5:42:52 PM
Y - Rose on light volume today, rising further above its 50 DMA line and showing resilience. Subsequent gains with heavy volume above its pivot point may trigger a new (or add-on) technical buy signal. Recent low ($25.56 on 1/25/11) defines an important support level now.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 2/3/2011. Click here.

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FOSL - NASDAQ
Fossil Inc
CONSUMER DURABLES - Recreational Goods, Other  
$77.87 +3.06
4.09%

$78.00

1,220,551
155.17% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 786,600
$83.68
-6.94%
2/1/2011 $73.30 PP = $74.44
MB = $78.16
Most Recent Note - 2/25/2011 5:19:22 PM
G - Finished near the session high with a solid gain backed by above average volume. Found support this week near its 50 DMA line and prior resistance in the $74 area previously noted as defining chart support. See the latest FSU analysis for more details and an annotated graph.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 2/24/2011. Click here.

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GSIT - NASDAQ
G S I Technology Inc
ELECTRONICS - Semiconductor - Broad Line  
$9.45 +0.16
1.72%

$9.48

92,571
37.00% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 250,200
$10.20
-7.35%
2/18/2011 $10.08 PP = $10.25
MB = $10.76
Most Recent Note - 2/25/2011 5:23:35 PM
G - Gains on lighter volume halted its slide at its 50 DMA line this week. A subsequent rally for a close above last week's close ($9.78) would help its outlook following its gap down on 2/22/11 and damaging losses on higher volume.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 2/18/2011. Click here.

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HMSY - NASDAQ
H M S Holdings Corp
COMPUTER SOFTWARE and SERVICES - Healthcare Information Service  
$74.50 +0.90
1.22%

$74.50

191,606
119.53% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 160,300
$77.43
-3.78%
11/19/2010 $61.89 PP = $63.01
MB = $66.16
Most Recent Note - 2/25/2011 5:40:29 PM
G - Held its ground since its 2/23/11 gap down broke a streak of 15 consecutive gains. Extended from any sound base pattern, support to watch is defined by prior chart highs and its 50 DMA line in the $67 area.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 2/16/2011. Click here.

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Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group
PRICE CHANGE
(%Change)
Day High Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol)
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi
Featured
Date
Price
Featured
Pivot Featured
Max Buy
JOBS - NASDAQ
Fifty One Job Inc Ads
DIVERSIFIED SERVICES - Staffing and; Outsourcing Service  
$60.23 +3.82
6.77%

$60.60

135,790
102.64% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 132,300
$61.99
-2.84%
2/7/2011 $59.23 PP = $61.38
MB = $64.45
Most Recent Note - 2/25/2011 1:41:07 PM
Y - Small gap up today, finding support this week at its 50 DMA line. Its color code is changed to yellow based on its resilience near its short-term average. A subsequent rally to new highs with above average volume may confirm a new buy signal, meanwhile its recent low ($52.58 on 1/28/11) defines another important support level below its 50 DMA line where violations would raise serious concerns and trigger technical sell signals.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 2/7/2011. Click here.

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LULU - NASDAQ
Lululemon Athletica
MANUFACTURING - Textile Manufacturing  
$76.83 +0.66
0.87%

$78.66

1,656,238
80.43% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 2,059,300
$85.28
-9.91%
1/26/2011 $68.11 PP = $74.70
MB = $78.44
Most Recent Note - 2/25/2011 6:57:37 PM
Y - Posted a small gain on light volume, halting its slide after 5 consecutive losses and some distributional pressure this week. See the latest FSU analysis for more details and a new annotated graph.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 2/25/2011. Click here.

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MWIV - NASDAQ
M W I Veterinary Supply
HEALTH SERVICES - Medical Instruments and; Supplies  
$70.55 +2.33
3.42%

$70.68

114,172
163.57% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 69,800
$72.27
-2.38%
11/4/2010 $61.79 PP = $59.60
MB = $62.58
Most Recent Note - 2/25/2011 5:28:18 PM
G - Closed near the session high again today with a second consecutive gain backed by above average volume. That helped it post a gain with above average volume for its best ever close on its weekly chart. It found support near prior highs and its 50 DMA line but has not built a sound new base pattern.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 2/2/2011. Click here.

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NFLX - NASDAQ
Netflix Inc
SPECIALTY RETAIL - Music and Video Stores  
$212.44 -2.74
-1.27%

$217.49

4,214,025
76.57% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 5,503,800
$247.55
-14.18%
1/10/2011 $187.88 PP = $209.34
MB = $219.81
Most Recent Note - 2/23/2011 2:47:50 PM
G - Gapped down for a second consecutive session, its damaging loss extends it losing streak to 6 consecutive trading days. It is -14.3% off its high and enduring distributional pressure amid widespread market weakness, now testing prior resistance near its old high ($209) previously noted as defining support to watch above its 50 DMA line.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 2/23/2011. Click here.

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OPEN - NASDAQ
Opentable Inc
INTERNET - Internet Software and Services  
$89.82 +1.10
1.24%

$90.96

852,736
87.32% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 976,600
$95.97
-6.41%
1/5/2011 $74.05 PP = $76.79
MB = $80.63
Most Recent Note - 2/24/2011 5:55:42 PM
G - Posted a gain today with above average volume and finished near the session high, breaking a streak of 4 consecutive losses. Prior highs near $82 define support to watch above its 50 DMA line.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 2/15/2011. Click here.

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Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group
PRICE CHANGE
(%Change)
Day High Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol)
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi
Featured
Date
Price
Featured
Pivot Featured
Max Buy
ORCL - NASDAQ
Oracle Corp
COMPUTER SOFTWARE and SERVICES - Application Software  
$32.95 +0.70
2.17%

$33.09

20,850,110
80.24% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 25,983,200
$33.71
-2.25%
1/20/2011 $32.31 PP = $32.37
MB = $33.99
Most Recent Note - 2/25/2011 5:37:42 PM
Y - Found support at its 50 DMA line this week and rebounded back above its pivot point with a gain on light volume, closing -2.3% from its 52-week high.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 2/22/2011. Click here.

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PAY - NYSE
Verifone Systems Inc
COMPUTER HARDWARE - Transaction Automation Systems  
$45.94 +0.81
1.79%

$46.67

1,626,063
108.43% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,499,600
$49.91
-7.95%
1/27/2011 $41.77 PP = $44.97
MB = $47.22
Most Recent Note - 2/25/2011 1:53:17 PM
Y - Rebounding after distributional pressure earlier this week led to a brief slump just below its pivot point and old high close ($44.26 on 1/13/11). Support to watch is its 50 DMA line.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 1/27/2011. Click here.

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PCLN - NASDAQ
Priceline.Com Inc
INTERNET - Internet Software and Services  
$460.03 -2.31
-0.50%

$465.97

1,229,801
125.32% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 981,300
$469.40
-2.00%
1/3/2011 $399.55 PP = $428.20
MB = $449.61
Most Recent Note - 2/24/2011 12:52:13 PM
Y - Gapped up today for a considerable gain with heavy volume, reclaiming recently lost ground and touching a new 52-week high after reporting earnings +71% on +35% sales revenues for the quarter ended December 31, 2010 versus the year ago period. Prompt support near its 50 DMA line and its gap up are indicative of institutional accumulation in the face of widespread market weakness. More serious concerns and technical sell signals would be triggered by subsequent damaging losses below today's low ($116.00) coinciding with its 1/20/11 chart low.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 2/14/2011. Click here.

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RAX - NYSE
Rackspace Hosting Inc
INTERNET - Internet Software and; Services  
$37.16 +0.55
1.50%

$37.44

1,337,440
74.18% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,803,000
$40.62
-8.52%
1/10/2011 $22.84 PP = $32.76
MB = $34.40
Most Recent Note - 2/23/2011 5:00:27 PM
G - Down today with above average volume, finishing -11.7% off its all-time high. Amid widespread market weakness it has slumped back to prior highs near $35 previously noted as defining support to watch above its 50 DMA line.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 2/9/2011. Click here.

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TIBX - NASDAQ
Tibco Software Inc
COMPUTER SOFTWARE and SERVICES - Business Software and Services  
$24.58 +0.57
2.37%

$24.81

1,322,460
47.88% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 2,762,000
$25.94
-5.24%
2/1/2011 $24.35 PP = $22.18
MB = $23.29
Most Recent Note - 2/24/2011 6:13:29 PM
G - Up today with above average volume heavier than the 2 prior losing sessions. Consolidating above prior highs in the $22 area defining support along with its 50 DMA line.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 2/10/2011. Click here.

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Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group
PRICE CHANGE
(%Change)
Day High Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol)
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi
Featured
Date
Price
Featured
Pivot Featured
Max Buy
UA - NYSE
Under Armour Inc Cl A
CONSUMER NON-DURABLES - Textile - Apparel Clothing  
$66.02 +1.46
2.26%

$67.07

666,328
84.05% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 792,800
$70.43
-6.26%
1/27/2011 $58.31 PP = $56.99
MB = $59.84
Most Recent Note - 2/25/2011 5:30:59 PM
G - Consolidating well above prior resistance and its 50 DMA line in the $60 area that define chart support to watch. It is extended from a sound base.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 2/1/2011. Click here.

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ULTA - NASDAQ
Ulta Salon Cosm & Frag
SPECIALTY RETAIL - Specialty Retail, Other  
$42.97 +1.79
4.35%

$43.43

397,859
73.19% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 543,600
$44.06
-2.47%
1/6/2011 $36.12 PP = $37.34
MB = $39.21
Most Recent Note - 2/25/2011 1:36:05 PM
G - Gapped up today, rallying near all-time highs without great volume conviction. It has repeatedly been noted - "Extended from a sound base pattern, and prior highs in the $37-38 area define chart support to watch above its 50 DMA line."
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 2/17/2011. Click here.

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