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AFTER MARKET UPDATE - THURSDAY, JULY 30TH, 2020
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DOW |
-225.92 |
26,313.65 |
-0.85% |
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Volume |
826,221,131 |
-4% |
|
Volume |
4,103,788,500 |
+4% |
|
NASDAQ |
+44.87 |
10,587.81 |
+0.43% |
|
Advancers |
1,016 |
34% |
|
Advancers |
1,460 |
45% |
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S&P 500 |
-12.22 |
3,246.22 |
-0.38% |
|
Decliners |
1,948 |
66% |
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Decliners |
1,807 |
55% |
|
Russell 2000 |
-5.53 |
1,495.10 |
-0.37% |
|
52 Wk Highs |
83 |
|
|
52 Wk Highs |
133 |
|
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S&P 600 |
-6.00 |
871.44 |
-0.68% |
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52 Wk Lows |
13 |
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52 Wk Lows |
31 |
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Major Indices Ended Mixed Following News of Record GDP Contraction
Kenneth J. Gruneisen - Passed the CAN SLIM® Master's Exam
The Dow declined 225 points, while the S&P 500 lost 0.4%. The Nasdaq Composite advanced 0.4%. The reported volume totals were mixed, lighter than the prior session on the NYSE and higher on the Nasdaq exchange. There were 62 high-ranked companies from the Leaders List that hit new 52-week highs and were listed on the BreakOuts Page, versus the total of 72 on the prior session. New 52-week highs totals solidly outnumbered new 52-week lows totals on both the NYSE and the Nasdaq exchange. The major indices are in a confirmed uptrend (M criteria). Any sustainable rally requires a healthy crop of new leaders, so it remains ever-important to see substantial new highs totals. Charts used courtesy of www.stockcharts.com
PICTURED: The Nasdaq Composite Index is consolidating well above its 50-day moving average (DMA) line and prior highs. The tech-heavy index is +18% year-to-date.
Stocks finished mixed Thursday as investors digested key economic data and awaited earnings results from some of the world’s largest companies. Shares of Apple (AAPL), Amazon (AMZN), Google parent Alphabet (GOOGL), and Facebook (FB), which represent nearly $5 trillion in market cap, all rose ahead of posting profit tallies after the bell.
On the data front, the first read on the second-quarter U.S. GDP revealed a better-than-anticipated 32.9% annualized contraction in the April to June period. However, this marked the sharpest drop in economic output on record since the Commerce Department began tracking the data in the 1940s. A separate update showed initial jobless claims increased modestly, remaining near the prior 1.4 million figure for the week ending July 25. Treasuries strengthened, with the yield on the 10-year note slipping two basis points to 0.54%. In commodities, COMEX gold declined 0.4% to $1,947.90/ounce and snapped its longest winning streak since 2017 (nine sessions).
Seven of 11 S&P 500 sectors ended the day in negative territory with the Energy group losing more than 4.0%. In earnings, chipmaker Qualcomm (QCOM +15.22%) rose after providing upbeat sales forecasts for its chips used in 5G devices. PayPal (PYPL +4.28%) rose as a surge in e-commerce transactions helped drive its strongest quarterly performance on record. Elsewhere, UPS (UPS +14.38%) surged after topping estimates on both the top and bottom line, as an increase in demand for residential deliveries pushed consumer shipments up 65% in the latest quarter. Procter & Gamble (PG +2.42%) after easily beating earnings and revenue expectations.
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Kenneth J. Gruneisen started out as a licensed stockbroker in August 1987, a couple of months prior to the historic stock market crash that took the Dow Jones Industrial Average down -22.6% in a single day. He has published daily fact-based fundamental and technical analysis on high-ranked stocks online for two decades. Through FACTBASEDINVESTING.COM, Kenneth provides educational articles, news, market commentary, and other information regarding proven investment systems that work in good times and bad.
Comments contained in the body of this report are technical opinions only and are not necessarily those of Gruneisen Growth Corp. The material herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable and accurate, however, its accuracy and completeness cannot be guaranteed. Our firm, employees, and customers may effect transactions, including transactions contrary to any recommendation herein, or have positions in the securities mentioned herein or options with respect thereto. Any recommendation contained in this report may not be suitable for all investors and it is not to be deemed an offer or solicitation on our part with respect to the purchase or sale of any securities. |
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Retail and Semiconductors Rose; Commodity-Linked Groups Down
Kenneth J. Gruneisen - Passed the CAN SLIM® Master's Exam
The Retail Index ($RLX +0.48%) notched a modest gain while the Bank Index ($BKX -2.25%) and Broker/Dealer Index ($XBD -1.80%) both lost ground. The Semiconductor Index ($SOX +1.96%) led the tech sector while the Biotech Index ($BTK +0.32%) posted a smaller gain and the Networking Index ($NWX -0.20%) edged lower. Commodity-linked groups were standout decliners as the Gold & Silver Index ($XAU -3.49%), Oil Services Index ($OSX -2.75%), and Integrated Oil Index ($XOI -3.99%) each slumped.
PICTURED: The Biotech Index ($BTK +0.32%) found support while consolidating above its 50-day moving average (DMA) line.
| Oil Services |
$OSX |
36.38 |
-1.03 |
-2.75% |
-53.53% |
| Integrated Oil |
$XOI |
746.91 |
-31.01 |
-3.99% |
-41.21% |
| Semiconductor |
$SOX |
2,147.55 |
+41.25 |
+1.96% |
+16.11% |
| Networking |
$NWX |
591.24 |
-1.19 |
-0.20% |
+1.34% |
| Broker/Dealer |
$XBD |
280.12 |
-5.14 |
-1.80% |
-3.53% |
| Retail |
$RLX |
3,261.53 |
+15.56 |
+0.48% |
+33.16% |
| Gold & Silver |
$XAU |
150.26 |
-5.44 |
-3.49% |
+40.53% |
| Bank |
$BKX |
74.77 |
-1.72 |
-2.25% |
-34.04% |
| Biotech |
$BTK |
5,762.52 |
+18.26 |
+0.32% |
+13.72% |
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Perched Near All Time High With Earnings News Due Monday
Kenneth J. Gruneisen - Passed the CAN SLIM® Master's Exam
Trex Company Inc's (TREX +$0.23 or +0.16% to $139.86) color code was changed to green after rising above its "max buy" level. Keep in mind it is due to report Jun '20 quarterly results after the close on Monday, 8/03/20. Volume and volatility often increase near earnings news. Important near-term support is at its 50 DMA line ($125.82).
Fundamentals remain strong. It has earned the highest possible 99 Earnings Per Share Rating. TREX reported earnings +35% on +12% sales revenues for the Mar '20 quarter versus the year ago period, its 3rd consecutive quarterly comparison above the +25% minimum earnings guideline (C criteria). Annual earnings (A criteria) growth has been strong. The company hails from the General Building Materials industry group which currently has a Group Relative Strength Rating of B+.
The company has a new CEO as of 4/29/20. It has a small supply (S criteria) of only 57.9 million shares outstanding. The number of top-rated funds owning its shares rose from 540 in Jun '19 to 685 in Jun '20, a reassuring sign concerning the I criteria. Its current Up/Down Volume Ratio of 1.5 is an unbiased indication its shares have been under accumulation over the past 50 days. It has a Timeliness rating of A and a Sponsorship Rating of C.
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Color Codes Explained :
Y - Better candidates highlighted by our
staff of experts.
G - Previously featured
in past reports as yellow but may no longer be buyable under the
guidelines.
***Last / Change / Volume data in this table is the closing quote data***
Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group |
PRICE |
CHANGE
(%Change) |
Day High |
Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol) |
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi |
Featured
Date |
Price
Featured |
Pivot Featured |
|
Max Buy |
FTNT
-
NASDAQ
Fortinet Inc
Computer Sftwr-Security
|
$136.75
|
-0.09
-0.07% |
$138.23
|
911,657
55.69% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,637,000
|
$151.95
-10.00%
|
6/22/2020
|
$142.68
|
PP = $149.79
|
|
MB = $157.28
|
Most Recent Note - 7/27/2020 6:06:49 PM
G - Its 50 DMA line ($137.68) has been acting as resistance after damaging losses, and a rebound above that important short-term average is needed for its outlook to improve.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Best Ever Close With Volume-Driven Gain Approaching Pivot Point - 7/8/2020 |
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C
A
S
I |
CRL
-
NYSE
Charles River Labs Intl
DRUGS - Biotechnology
|
$201.31
|
+1.73
0.87% |
$203.26
|
312,434
82.22% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 380,000
|
$202.95
-0.81%
|
7/15/2020
|
$192.66
|
PP = $189.95
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MB = $199.45
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Most Recent Note - 7/27/2020 5:56:43 PM
G - Color code is changed to green after quietly rising and closing above its "max buy" level with today's gain backed by below average volume. The prior high ($189.85 on 6/03/20) defines initial support to watch above its 50 DMA line ($181.12).
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Volume +71% Above Average Behind Breakout - 7/15/2020 |
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C
A
S
I |
EBS
-
NYSE
Emergent Biosolutions
DRUGS - Biotechnology
|
$97.02
|
+2.79
2.96% |
$97.02
|
627,528
68.28% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 919,000
|
$107.16
-9.46%
|
7/7/2020
|
$89.47
|
PP = $93.68
|
|
MB = $98.36
|
Most Recent Note - 7/30/2020 5:48:05 PM
Y - Reported Jun '20 quarterly earnings news after the close today. Volume and volatility often increase near earnings news. Posted a 2nd consecutive gain today with below average volume. There was a noted "negative reversal" on 7/20/20 at its all-time high. The next important support to watch is its 50 DMA line ($84.27).
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Impressive Rebound to Hit a New High - 7/9/2020 |
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C
A
S
I |
NBIX
-
NASDAQ
Neurocrine Biosciences
DRUGS - Biotechnology
|
$121.72
|
+0.88
0.73% |
$123.94
|
502,999
59.53% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 845,000
|
$136.27
-10.68%
|
5/19/2020
|
$123.71
|
PP = $119.75
|
|
MB = $125.74
|
Most Recent Note - 7/28/2020 6:07:46 PM
G - Violated its 50 DMA line ($124.49) with a big loss today on below average volume triggering a technical sell signal. Only a prompt rebound above the 50 DMA line would help its outlook improve. Due to report Jun '20 quarterly earnings results on Monday 8/03/20. See the latest FSU analysis for more details and an annotated graph.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Consolidating Near 50-Day Moving Average; Earnings Report Due - 7/27/2020 |
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C
A
S
I |
BMRN
-
NASDAQ
Biomarin Pharmaceutical
DRUGS - Drug Manufacturers - Other
|
$121.72
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+1.19
0.99% |
$123.19
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815,786
54.46% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,498,000
|
$131.95
-7.75%
|
6/17/2020
|
$110.95
|
PP = $112.67
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|
MB = $118.30
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Most Recent Note - 7/29/2020 6:11:01 PM
G - Pulling back from its all-time high and slumping near its "max buy" level with light volume behind recent losses. Due to report earnings news on 8/04/20. Its 50 DMA line ($116.38) defines important near-term support to watch above the prior high ($112.57 on 6/04/20).
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Hovering Near High With Volume Totals Cooling - 7/10/2020 |
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C
A
S
I |
Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group |
PRICE |
CHANGE
(%Change) |
Day High |
Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol) |
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi |
Featured
Date |
Price
Featured |
Pivot Featured |
|
Max Buy |
AUDC
-
NASDAQ
Audiocodes Ltd
ELECTRONICS - Scientific and Technical Instrum
|
$36.46
|
-0.56
-1.51% |
$37.33
|
935,624
116.08% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 806,000
|
$44.94
-18.87%
|
7/17/2020
|
$37.16
|
PP = $40.16
|
|
MB = $42.17
|
Most Recent Note - 7/28/2020 6:05:39 PM
G - Reported Jun '20 quarterly earnings +45% on +8% sales revenues versus the year-ago period. Volume and volatility often increase near earnings news. It gapped down today and suffered a big volume-driven loss while slumping back below the pivot point and falling into the prior base, raising concerns. Disciplined investors always limit losses by selling any stock that falls more than 7-8% from their purchase price.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Resilient and High-Ranked VOIP Firm Rebounding Near Highs - 7/17/2020 |
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C
A
S
I |
AMD
-
NASDAQ
Advanced Micro Devices
ELECTRONICS - Semiconductor - Broad Line
|
$78.20
|
+2.11
2.77% |
$78.96
|
79,784,362
130.26% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 61,251,000
|
$77.19
1.31%
|
7/22/2020
|
$61.73
|
PP = $59.10
|
|
MB = $62.06
|
Most Recent Note - 7/30/2020 5:44:13 PM
G - Hit yet another new high with today's volume-driven gain. Reported earnings +125% on +26% sales revenues for the Jun '20 quarter versus the year ago period. Getting very extended from the previously noted base. Disciplined investors avoid chasing stocks more than +5% above prior highs. The prior highs in the $59 area define initial support to watch on pullbacks.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Pullback After Breakout Gain Backed by +152% Above Average Volume - 7/23/2020 |
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C
A
S
I |
TREX
-
NYSE
Trex Company Inc
MATERIALS and CONSTRUCTION - General Building Materials
|
$139.86
|
+0.23
0.16% |
$140.10
|
483,277
51.25% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 943,000
|
$140.06
-0.14%
|
6/26/2020
|
$109.05
|
PP = $132.94
|
|
MB = $139.59
|
Most Recent Note - 7/30/2020 5:58:33 PM
G - Color code is changed to green after rising above its "max buy" level. Keep in mind it is due to report Jun '20 quarterly results after the close on Monday, 8/03/20. Volume and volatility often increase near earnings news. Important near-term support is at its 50 DMA line ($125.82). See the latest FSU analysis for more details and a new annotated graph.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Perched Near All Time High With Earnings News Due Monday - 7/30/2020 |
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C
A
S
I |
NFLX
-
NASDAQ
Netflix Inc
SPECIALTY RETAIL - Music and Video Stores
|
$485.80
|
+1.32
0.27% |
$488.35
|
6,569,996
83.97% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 7,824,000
|
$575.37
-15.57%
|
5/14/2020
|
$441.95
|
PP = $449.62
|
|
MB = $472.10
|
Most Recent Note - 7/29/2020 6:06:59 PM
G - Consolidating above its 50 DMA line ($462) and prior highs in the $458 area defining important near-term support. Extended from the prior base, and consolidating after reporting Jun '20 earnings +165% on +25% sales revenues versus the year ago period. See the latest FSU analysis for more details and a new annotated graph.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Consolidating After Getting Extended From Prior Base - 7/29/2020 |
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C
A
S
I |
CHGG
-
NYSE
Chegg Inc
Consumer Svcs-Education
|
$78.46
|
+3.47
4.63% |
$79.25
|
2,863,349
86.64% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 3,305,000
|
$79.09
-0.80%
|
6/17/2020
|
$63.71
|
PP = $68.08
|
|
MB = $71.48
|
Most Recent Note - 7/30/2020 5:42:05 PM
G - Hit a new all-time high today, getting more extended from any sound base. Due to report Jun '20 quarterly results on Monday, August 3, 2020, after the market close. Volume and volatility often increase near earnings news. Prior high in the $68 area defines initial support to watch above its 50 DMA line ($66.79) where any losses leading to violations would raise concerns and trigger technical sell signals.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Negative Reversal After Recently Wedging into New High Territory - 7/13/2020 |
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C
A
S
I |
Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group |
PRICE |
CHANGE
(%Change) |
Day High |
Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol) |
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi |
Featured
Date |
Price
Featured |
Pivot Featured |
|
Max Buy |
LGIH
-
NASDAQ
L G I Homes Inc
Bldg-Resident/Comml
|
$116.90
|
-1.21
-1.02% |
$118.09
|
168,327
47.55% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 354,000
|
$120.54
-3.02%
|
7/7/2020
|
$99.19
|
PP = $95.82
|
|
MB = $100.61
|
Most Recent Note - 7/29/2020 6:33:33 PM
G - Volume was below average behind today's big gain for yet another new best-ever close. Stubbornly holding its ground. It is extended from the previously noted base. Prior highs in the $95 area and its 50 DMA line ($94.03) define near-term support to watch on pullbacks.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Breakout to New High Backed by 53% Above Average Volume - 7/7/2020 |
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C
A
S
I |
NOW
-
NYSE
Servicenow Inc
Computer Sftwr-Enterprse
|
$431.40
|
-14.31
-3.21% |
$438.60
|
3,103,480
185.61% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,672,000
|
$454.70
-5.12%
|
4/30/2020
|
$343.05
|
PP = $363.05
|
|
MB = $381.20
|
Most Recent Note - 7/30/2020 12:59:48 PM
G - Report Jun '20 quarterly earnings +73% on +28% sales revenues versus the year ago period. Volume and volatility often increase near earnings news. Volume totals have been cooling while hovering near its all-time high, stubbornly holding its ground. It has not formed a sound base. Its 50 DMA line ($405.53) defines important near-term support to watch where a violation may trigger a technical sell signal.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Perched Near All-Time High With Earnings News Due Next Week - 7/22/2020 |
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C
A
S
I |
TEAM
-
NASDAQ
Atlassian Corp Plc Cl A
Comp Sftwr-Spec Enterprs
|
$187.66
|
+0.55
0.29% |
$190.69
|
1,745,642
94.31% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,851,000
|
$198.41
-5.42%
|
7/7/2020
|
$190.44
|
PP = $191.82
|
|
MB = $201.41
|
Most Recent Note - 7/29/2020 6:21:00 PM
Y - Consolidating above its 50 DMA line ($181.23) with volume totals cooling. Recent gains above the pivot point lacked the +40% above average volume necessary to trigger a convincing new (or add-on) technical buy signal. Confirming volume-driven gains would be a reassuring sign of fresh institutional buying demand. The prior low ($169.11 on 7/14/20) defines the next important support below its 50 DMA line. Keep in mind it is due to report earnings news after the close on Thursday, on 7/30/20. Volume and volatility often increase near earnings news.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Consolidating Near High With Earnings News Due Soon - 7/24/2020 |
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C
A
S
I |
TTD
-
NASDAQ
The Trade Desk Inc Cl A
Comml Svcs-Advertising
|
$430.29
|
+2.45
0.57% |
$432.90
|
573,101
34.19% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,676,000
|
$475.67
-9.54%
|
6/3/2020
|
$340.61
|
PP = $327.35
|
|
MB = $343.72
|
Most Recent Note - 7/28/2020 6:39:16 PM
G - Volume totals have been cooling while consolidating near its all-time high. Very extended from any sound base, and its 50 DMA line ($385) defines near-term support to watch.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Rebounded Near All-Time High With Gain Backed by Light Volume - 7/20/2020 |
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C
A
S
I |
DOCU
-
NASDAQ
Docusign Inc
Computer Sftwr-Enterprse
|
$213.94
|
+4.79
2.29% |
$215.00
|
4,206,120
74.52% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 5,644,000
|
$217.00
-1.41%
|
6/10/2020
|
$149.73
|
PP = $152.10
|
|
MB = $159.71
|
Most Recent Note - 7/29/2020 6:13:24 PM
G - Posted a 3rd consecutive gain today with below average volume. Still very extended from any sound base. Its 50 DMA line ($169) defines near-term support to watch. DOCU is now priced +102% above its 200 DMA price, and it is taught in the Certification that a stock trading +70-100% or more above the 200 DMA is to be recognized as a "sell signal". See the latest FSU analysis for more details and an annotated graph.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : E-Signature Firm is Extended From Any Sound Base - 7/28/2020 |
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C
A
S
I |
Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group |
PRICE |
CHANGE
(%Change) |
Day High |
Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol) |
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi |
Featured
Date |
Price
Featured |
Pivot Featured |
|
Max Buy |
PING
-
NYSE
Ping Identity Hldg Corp
Computer Sftwr-Security
|
$34.33
|
-0.02
-0.06% |
$34.50
|
510,795
34.33% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,488,000
|
$35.79
-4.08%
|
6/1/2020
|
$29.24
|
PP = $29.90
|
|
MB = $31.40
|
Most Recent Note - 7/29/2020 6:17:22 PM
G - Posted a gain today with light volume for its second-best ever close. Its 50 DMA line ($30.94) and prior highs in the $29 area define important near-term support. It has not formed a sound base of sufficient length. Completed Secondary Offerings on 7/09/20 and 5/15/20.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Consolidating Above 50-Day Moving Average Following Secondary - 7/16/2020 |
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C
A
S
I |
ZEN
-
NYSE
Zendesk Inc
Computer Sftwr-Enterprse
|
$100.52
|
+1.20
1.21% |
$101.94
|
2,681,902
126.50% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 2,120,000
|
$100.34
0.18%
|
7/21/2020
|
$94.29
|
PP = $94.97
|
|
MB = $99.72
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Most Recent Note - 7/29/2020 6:27:23 PM
Y - Posted a gain today with average volume for a new all-time high as it challenged it "max buy" level. Due to report Jun '20 quarterly earnings news after the close on Thursday, 7/30/20. Volume and volatility often increase near earnings news.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Pullback Below Pivot Point Following Breakout Gain - 7/21/2020 |
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