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AFTER MARKET UPDATE - WEDNESDAY, MAY 11TH, 2011
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Indices NYSE Nasdaq
DOW  -130.33 12,630.03 -1.02% Volume 978,114,850 +17% Volume 2,195,981,040 +12%
NASDAQ -26.83 2,845.06 -0.93% Advancers 710 23% Advancers 619 23%
S&P 500 -15.08 1,342.08 -1.11% Decliners 2,338 75% Decliners 2,037 74%
Russell 2000 -15.25 840.66 -1.78% 52 Wk Highs 133   52 Wk Highs 89  
S&P 600 -7.14 449.06 -1.57% 52 Wk Lows 22   52 Wk Lows 46  

Distributional Action Sends Major Indices Lower Again

A sharp reversal on Wall Street wiped out gains from earlier this week. Wednesday's volume totals were reported higher than the prior session totals on the NYSE and on the Nasdaq exchange, suggesting that institutional investors again shifted their bias back toward unloading stocks from current inventories. Declining issues beat advancers by 3-1 on the on the NYSE and on the Nasdaq exchange. There were 48 high-ranked companies from the CANSLIM.net Leaders List that made new 52-week highs and appeared on the CANSLIM.net BreakOuts Page, down from the total of 75 on the prior session. New 52-week highs still outnumbered new 52-week lows on the NYSE and on the Nasdaq exchange. Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG +1.65%) was the biggest of only 2 gainers included on the Featured Stocks Page.

 

The prospect of higher inflation in China and the United Kingdom had investors worried about growth-dampening interest rate hikes. The euro slid against the dollar on the likelihood Greece will be forced to restructure debt. A sell-off in commodities spooked the market while a gain in the dollar made U.S. goods more expensive overseas. The price of oil skidded more than $5 per barrel. Silver futures dropped more than 7% from the prior session's close.

Energy and mining stocks took the worst hits. Walt Disney Co (DIS -5.4%) was a major detractor from the Dow Jones Industrial Average after reporting disappointing earnings. Dividend announcements boosted Macy's Inc (M +7.71%) and Intel Corp (INTC +1.65%) as both companies well-known on Main Street announced increases in their dividend payouts.

A guilty verdict in a well-publicized insider trading case did no favors for sentiment toward Wall Street.

The May 2011 issue of CANSLIM.net News includes a comprehensive summary of market action, leading industry groups, the most action-worthy leaders, and more.  Only upgraded members can access CANSLIM.net News.

PICTURED: The S&P 500 Index was down with higher volume, enduring mild distributional pressure while consolidating well above its 50-day moving average (DMA)m line and upward trendline connecting its August '10 and


Kenneth J. Gruneisen started out as a licensed stockbroker in August 1987, a couple of months prior to the historic stock market crash that took the Dow Jones Industrial Average down -22.6% in a single day. He has published daily fact-based fundamental and technical analysis on high-ranked stocks online for two decades. Through FACTBASEDINVESTING.COM, Kenneth provides educational articles, news, market commentary, and other information regarding proven investment systems that work in good times and bad.

Comments contained in the body of this report are technical opinions only and are not necessarily those of Gruneisen Growth Corp. The material herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable and accurate, however, its accuracy and completeness cannot be guaranteed. Our firm, employees, and customers may effect transactions, including transactions contrary to any recommendation herein, or have positions in the securities mentioned herein or options with respect thereto. Any recommendation contained in this report may not be suitable for all investors and it is not to be deemed an offer or solicitation on our part with respect to the purchase or sale of any securities.


Gold & Silver Index Diving Under 200-Day Average

Commodity-linked groups were very weak on Wednesday as the Gold & Silver Index ($XAU -4.14%) outpaced most decliners and losses in energy-related shares sent the Oil Services Index ($OSX -3.24%) and Integrated Oil Index ($XOI -2.89%) down yet again for large losses.  Weakness in the Broker/Dealer Index ($XBD -1.59%) and Bank Index ($BKX -0.98%) added to the concerns with regard to the lagging financial groups.  The tech sector also struggled as the   Networking Index ($NWX -1.15%)   Internet Index ($IIX -1.09%), Biotechnology Index ($BTK -0.93%), and Semiconductor Index ($SOX -0.83%) finished unanimously lower.  The Healthcare Index ($HMO -0.07%) held its ground stubbornly and the Retail Index ($RLX +0.06%) was especially strong as it bucked the market's widespread losses.

Charts courtesy www.stockcharts.com

PICTURED: The Gold & Silver Index ($XAU -4.14%) slumped well below its 200-day moving average (DMA) line and fell toward multi-month lows.


Industry Index Symbol Close Change % Change YTD % Change
Oil Services $OSX  260.81 -8.73 -3.24% +6.40%
Healthcare $HMO  2,397.42 -1.76 -0.07% +41.69%
Integrated Oil $XOI  1,299.10 -38.71 -2.89% +7.08%
Semiconductor $SOX  440.89 -3.70 -0.83% +7.06%
Networking $NWX  330.01 -3.85 -1.15% +17.63%
Internet $IIX  323.17 -3.56 -1.09% +5.02%
Broker/Dealer $XBD  118.06 -1.91 -1.59% -2.84%
Retail $RLX  545.90 +0.31 +0.06% +7.38%
Gold & Silver $XAU  197.12 -8.51 -4.14% -13.00%
Bank $BKX  50.52 -0.50 -0.98% -3.24%
Biotech $BTK  1,484.51 -13.94 -0.93% +14.40%


Undercut Pivot Point With Loss on Above Average Volume

Opnet Technologies Inc (OPNT -$1.12 or -2.70% to $40.31) was pulling back when featured in yellow in the mid-day report today (read here). Its close below its pivot point raised concerns while the broader market (M criteria) suffered a damaging distribution day.  Subsequent weakness leading to closes below its prior high closes would raise greater concerns by completely negating its breakout and closing back in the prior base. A violation of its 50-day moving average would trigger a more worrisome sell signal. 

OPNT had spiked to a new 52-week high while posting a considerable gain with heavy volume on the prior session, which technically triggered a buy signal with its strong close on heavy volume above the pivot point cited based on its 4/04/11 high plus ten cents.  Enthusiasm following its report of a solid +43% earnings increase on +19% sales revenues for the quarter ended March 31, 2011 versus the year ago period helped it rally from a late stage flat base above its 50-day moving (DMA) line. Recent quarters showed decent sales revenues growth and earnings above the +25% minimum guideline. Its annual earnings growth rate (A criteria) has been respectable since a previously noted downturn in FY '08 (see red oval). Strength and leadership (L criteria) in the Computer Software - Database group has recently been encouraging. Ownership by top-rated funds rose from 188 in Sep '10 to 221 in Mar '11, a reassuring sign concerning the I criteria.


Color Codes Explained :
Y - Better candidates highlighted by our staff of experts.
G - Previously featured in past reports as yellow but may no longer be buyable under the guidelines.

***Last / Change / Volume data in this table is the closing quote data***
Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group
PRICE CHANGE
(%Change)
Day High Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol)
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi
Featured
Date
Price
Featured
Pivot Featured
Max Buy
AIXG - NASDAQ
Aixtron Se
ELECTRONICS - Semiconductor Equipment andamp; Mate  
$38.89 -1.80
-4.42%

$40.09

288,963
110.12% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 262,400
$44.96
-13.50%
4/5/2011 $44.14 PP = $44.64
MB = $46.87
Most Recent Note - 5/11/2011 5:32:42 PM
Considerable loss today with near average volume led to its lowest close since January 5th. Its Relative Strength rank has slumped to a mediocre 68, below the 80+ guideline typically required for ideal buy candidates. It faces overhead supply up through the $45 level that may act as resistance. Based on weak action it will be dropped from the Featured Stocks list tonight.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 5/6/2011. Click here.

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BIDU - NASDAQ
Baidu Inc Ads
INTERNET - Internet Information Providers  
$138.90 -3.34
-2.35%

$142.56

6,236,313
81.34% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 7,666,600
$156.04
-10.98%
3/17/2011 $121.97 PP = $131.73
MB = $138.32
Most Recent Note - 5/11/2011 6:09:33 PM
G - Cooling off with quieter volume totals for the past week since halting its slide just above its 50 DMA line. Prior high near $131 defines additional support to watch below its short-term average.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 5/9/2011. Click here.

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CMG - NYSE
Chipotle Mexican Grill
LEISURE - Restaurants  
$274.30 +4.45
1.65%

$275.90

1,163,624
102.40% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,136,400
$289.35
-5.20%
4/1/2011 $274.00 PP = $275.10
MB = $288.86
Most Recent Note - 5/9/2011 5:38:22 PM
G - Small loss on light volume today. Recently found support near its 50 DMA line after it negated its latest technical breakout.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 4/13/2011. Click here.

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CTSH - NASDAQ
Cognizant Tech Sol Cl A
COMPUTER SOFTWARE and SERVICES - Business Software and Services  
$76.75 -1.71
-2.18%

$78.75

2,139,021
86.50% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 2,472,900
$83.48
-8.06%
2/7/2011 $75.09 PP = $76.46
MB = $80.28
Most Recent Note - 5/11/2011 6:43:52 PM
G - Its 50 DMA line has acted as resistance since its 5/03/11 gap down triggered a technical sell signal following earnings news. Overhead supply up through the $83 level may also hinder upward progress for the near term.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 4/15/2011. Click here.

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EZPW - NASDAQ
Ezcorp Inc Cl A
SPECIALTY RETAIL - Specialty Retail, Other  
$30.35 -0.70
-2.25%

$31.06

166,713
46.52% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 358,400
$33.08
-8.25%
2/18/2011 $27.94 PP = $30.04
MB = $31.54
Most Recent Note - 5/10/2011 5:01:50 PM
G - Volume totals have been cooling in recent weeks while it has not formed a sound new base pattern. Its 50 DMA line and recent lows define important nearby chart support levels to watch where technical violations would raise more serious concerns.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 5/10/2011. Click here.

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Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group
PRICE CHANGE
(%Change)
Day High Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol)
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi
Featured
Date
Price
Featured
Pivot Featured
Max Buy
FOSL - NASDAQ
Fossil Inc
CONSUMER DURABLES - Recreational Goods, Other  
$106.84 +0.87
0.82%

$107.38

1,230,499
137.03% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 898,000
$107.27
-0.40%
2/1/2011 $73.30 PP = $74.44
MB = $78.16
Most Recent Note - 5/10/2011 12:20:32 PM
G - Gapped up today for a considerable volume-driven gain and new all-time high after reporting +62% earnings on +37% sales revenues for the quarter ended March 31, 2011 versus the year ago period. As previously noted - "It could produce more climactic gains, but it is extended from any sound base."
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 5/2/2011. Click here.

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HMSY - NASDAQ
H M S Holdings Corp
COMPUTER SOFTWARE and SERVICES - Healthcare Information Service  
$77.53 -0.89
-1.13%

$78.41

147,681
84.10% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 175,600
$84.82
-8.59%
11/19/2010 $61.89 PP = $63.01
MB = $66.16
Most Recent Note - 5/9/2011 4:23:10 PM
G - Closed near the high end of its intra-day range today with a solid gain on above average volume. A subsequent rebound above its 50 DMA line (now $79.94) would help its outlook, but that short-term average may now act as resistance.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 4/26/2011. Click here.

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HS - NYSE
Healthspring Inc
HEALTH SERVICES - Health Care Plans  
$42.90 -0.94
-2.14%

$43.91

718,626
79.32% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 906,000
$44.47
-3.53%
3/22/2011 $38.29 PP = $38.85
MB = $40.79
Most Recent Note - 5/11/2011 6:25:00 PM
G - Perched near its 52-week high, stubbornly holding its ground. It is extended from any sound base, and prior highs define important chart support along with its 50 DMA line
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 4/21/2011. Click here.

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INFA - NASDAQ
Informatica Corp
COMPUTER SOFTWARE and SERVICES - Business Software and Services  
$52.69 -0.90
-1.68%

$53.91

959,165
92.76% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,034,000
$56.49
-6.73%
3/24/2011 $50.04 PP = $49.86
MB = $52.35
Most Recent Note - 5/11/2011 6:30:50 PM
G - Consolidating above prior highs in the $49 area and its 50 DMA line, important chart support to watch. Subsequent violations would trigger technical sell signals.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 4/27/2011. Click here.

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LULU - NASDAQ
Lululemon Athletica
MANUFACTURING - Textile Manufacturing  
$96.67 -2.22
-2.24%

$99.18

1,140,683
51.98% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 2,194,400
$102.83
-5.99%
3/28/2011 $68.11 PP = $85.38
MB = $89.65
Most Recent Note - 5/11/2011 6:36:57 PM
G - Volume totals have been lighter than average in recent weeks while this high-ranked Retail-Apparel firm has been noted as extended from any sound base pattern. Prior highs and its 50 DMA line in the $85 area define important chart support to watch.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 5/3/2011. Click here.

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Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group
PRICE CHANGE
(%Change)
Day High Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol)
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi
Featured
Date
Price
Featured
Pivot Featured
Max Buy
MG - NYSE
Mistras Group Inc
DIVERSIFIED SERVICES - Bulding and Faci;ity Management Services  
$17.17 -0.36
-2.05%

$17.53

77,222
42.57% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 181,400
$18.46
-6.99%
3/15/2011 $15.48 PP = $15.90
MB = $16.70
Most Recent Note - 5/10/2011 4:52:15 PM
G - Up today with lighter than average volume for its 3rd consecutive gain since completing a new Public Offering. The prompt repair of its 50 DMA violation technically improved its outlook, however it has not formed a sound base pattern.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 4/12/2011. Click here.

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MWIV - NASDAQ
M W I Veterinary Supply
HEALTH SERVICES - Medical Instruments and; Supplies  
$82.29 -0.27
-0.33%

$82.93

57,547
57.09% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 100,800
$86.99
-5.40%
11/4/2010 $61.79 PP = $59.60
MB = $62.58
Most Recent Note - 5/9/2011 4:29:50 PM
G - Holding its ground near its all-time high. Extended from any sound base pattern now, its 50 DMA line defines important support to watch. Reported earnings +34% on +28% sales for the quarter ended March 31st.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 5/5/2011. Click here.

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OPEN - NASDAQ
Opentable Inc
INTERNET - Internet Software and Services  
$96.49 +0.02
0.02%

$97.83

1,330,293
95.99% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,385,800
$118.66
-18.68%
3/17/2011 $90.71 PP = $96.07
MB = $100.87
Most Recent Note - 5/10/2011 4:46:07 PM
Up today with above average volume for its third small gain marked by above average volume since a damaging gap down on 5/04/11 violating its 50 DMA line. That important short-term average may now act as resistance. It will be dropped from the Featured Stocks list tonight based on the recent technical damage noted.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 4/25/2011. Click here.

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OPNT - NASDAQ
Opnet Technologies
INTERNET - Internet Software and Services  
$40.31 -1.12
-2.70%

$41.95

208,365
150.23% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 138,700
$42.51
-5.18%
5/11/2011 $41.21 PP = $40.50
MB = $42.53
Most Recent Note - 5/11/2011 7:52:06 PM
Y - Pulled back today for a loss with above average volume and closed just below its pivot point, raising concerns with its weak finish after it was featured in yellow in the mid-day report. Following solid earnings news it rallied from a late stage flat base above its 50 DMA line and triggered a technical buy signal on the prior session. Recent quarters showed improving sales and earnings. Strength and leadership (L criteria) in the Computer Software - Database group is reassuring. Ownership by top-rated funds has also been on the rise, a reassuring sign concerning the I criteria. See the latest FSU analysis for more details and an annotated graph.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 5/11/2011. Click here.

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PAY - NYSE
Verifone Systems Inc
COMPUTER HARDWARE - Transaction Automation Systems  
$50.00 -1.86
-3.59%

$51.88

2,014,906
80.81% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 2,493,500
$58.88
-15.08%
4/29/2011 $54.73 PP = $58.98
MB = $61.93
Most Recent Note - 5/11/2011 6:11:57 PM
G - Down today with higher (but below average) volume. Its 50 DMA line acted as resistance, while subsequent gains above its short-term average would help its outlook.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 5/4/2011. Click here.

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Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group
PRICE CHANGE
(%Change)
Day High Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol)
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi
Featured
Date
Price
Featured
Pivot Featured
Max Buy
PCLN - NASDAQ
Priceline.Com Inc
INTERNET - Internet Software and Services  
$520.99 -7.51
-1.42%

$530.15

818,287
70.28% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,164,300
$561.88
-7.28%
1/3/2011 $399.55 PP = $428.20
MB = $449.61
Most Recent Note - 5/9/2011 5:40:05 PM
G - Gain today halted its slide after a down week with damaging distributional losses. Its 50 DMA line defines important support to watch. Reported earnings +56% on +38% sales revenues fore the quarter ended March 31, 2011 versus the year ago period.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 4/20/2011. Click here.

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RAX - NYSE
Rackspace Hosting Inc
INTERNET - Internet Software and; Services  
$41.32 -3.41
-7.62%

$44.56

3,462,129
210.04% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,648,300
$46.50
-11.13%
3/16/2011 $36.28 PP = $40.72
MB = $42.76
Most Recent Note - 5/11/2011 4:49:32 PM
G - Considerable loss today with heavier volume erased its 4 prior gains and it closed near the session low just above its 50 DMA line. Heavy volume without meaningful price progress this week is a sign of distributional pressure. Important support to watch is at prior highs near $40 and its 50 DMA line, where violations would trigger technical sell signals. Earnings rose +43% on +29% higher sales revenues for the quarter ended March 31, 2011 versus the year ago period.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 4/18/2011. Click here.

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TIBX - NASDAQ
Tibco Software Inc
COMPUTER SOFTWARE and SERVICES - Business Software and Services  
$29.71 -0.79
-2.59%

$30.75

2,571,137
98.80% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 2,602,400
$30.70
-3.22%
3/18/2011 $23.88 PP = $26.04
MB = $27.34
Most Recent Note - 5/11/2011 6:14:16 PM
G - Perched near its all-time high, technically extended from a sound base pattern. Its 50 DMA line and recent low ($27.17) define important chart support to watch where violations may trigger sell signals.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 4/14/2011. Click here.

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ULTA - NASDAQ
Ulta Salon Cosm & Frag
SPECIALTY RETAIL - Specialty Retail, Other  
$54.30 -0.75
-1.36%

$55.25

317,658
52.57% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 604,200
$55.70
-2.51%
1/6/2011 $36.12 PP = $37.34
MB = $39.21
Most Recent Note - 5/11/2011 6:15:11 PM
G - Perched quietly at its all-time high, extended from any sound base pattern. Its 50 DMA line defines chart support to watch well above prior highs.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 4/28/2011. Click here.

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