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AFTER MARKET UPDATE - FRIDAY, OCTOBER 12TH, 2012
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Indices NYSE Nasdaq
DOW  +2.46 13,328.85 +0.02% Volume 624,499,720 -3% Volume 1,505,360,710 -4%
NASDAQ -5.30 3,044.11 -0.17% Advancers 1,075 35% Advancers 826 32%
S&P 500 -4.25 1,428.59 -0.30% Decliners 1,894 61% Decliners 1,616 63%
Russell 2000 -6.69 823.09 -0.81% 52 Wk Highs 71   52 Wk Highs 38  
S&P 600 -3.94 458.26 -0.85% 52 Wk Lows 15   52 Wk Lows 46  

Major Indices End Flat After Shedding Early Gains

For the week, the Dow Jones Industrial Average lost -2.1%, the benchmark S&P 500 Index shed -2.2%, and the Nasdaq Composite Index retreated -2.9%. On Friday the indices gave up early gains to close mixed and little changed. The volume totals were reported lighter on the NYSE and on the Nasdaq exchange versus the prior session's totals. Breadth was negative as decliners led advancers by a 9-5 margin on the NYSE and by a 2-1 margin on the Nasdaq exchange. The total number of new 52-week highs outnumbered new 52-week lows on the NYSE, however new lows outnumbered new highs on the Nasdaq exchange. There were 13 high-ranked companies from the CANSLIM.net Leaders List that made new 52-week highs and appeared on the CANSLIM.net BreakOuts Page, down from the prior session total of 23 stocks. There were gains for 12 of the 22 high-ranked companies currently included on the Featured Stocks Page, a slightly positive bias versus the broader market's negative bias.

 

Stocks failed to hold their early morning gains as investors overlooked a stronger-than-expected reading in October consumer sentiment. Six of the 10 sectors on the S&P finished lower, led by losses in financial stocks. Bank of America Corp (BAC -2.36%) and Citigroup Inc (C -2.17%) fell. Also in the space, shares of JP Morgan Chase & Co (JPM -0.79%) fell despite posting quarterly earnings ahead of analysts' estimates. Also on the earnings front, trucking company J.B. Hunt Transport Services Inc (JBHT +6.53%) rallied after the company reported better-than-expected quarterly results.

Turning to fixed income markets, Treasuries were higher along the curve. The benchmark 10-year note was up 1/8 of a point to yield 1.66% and the 30-year bond added 3/8 of a point to yield 2.84%.

Recent weakness and technical deterioration was noted in the Nasdaq Composite Index (10/09/12 - read here) . Waning leadership, or fewer stocks hitting new 52-week highs, also suggested that the market rally was coming under pressure. The newspaper waved a white flag and termed it a market "correction" on Wednesday. 

Investors should watch individual holdings very carefully through the current earnings season and be prepared to take quick action. In market corrections the M criteria argues against new buying efforts.  Keep a watchlist of strong acting stocks with all-key criteria in anticipation of the next confirmed uptrend.  See the noteworthy candidates included on the Featured Stocks Page.

Watch for an announcement via email concerning the Q3 2012 WEBCAST. The webcast will also be available via an updated link highlighted at the top of the Premium Member Homepage

PICTURED: The S&P 400 Mid Cap Index violated its 50-day moving average line.  It has retreated from all-time highs and slumped below its March 2012 highs.


Kenneth J. Gruneisen started out as a licensed stockbroker in August 1987, a couple of months prior to the historic stock market crash that took the Dow Jones Industrial Average down -22.6% in a single day. He has published daily fact-based fundamental and technical analysis on high-ranked stocks online for two decades. Through FACTBASEDINVESTING.COM, Kenneth provides educational articles, news, market commentary, and other information regarding proven investment systems that work in good times and bad.

Comments contained in the body of this report are technical opinions only and are not necessarily those of Gruneisen Growth Corp. The material herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable and accurate, however, its accuracy and completeness cannot be guaranteed. Our firm, employees, and customers may effect transactions, including transactions contrary to any recommendation herein, or have positions in the securities mentioned herein or options with respect thereto. Any recommendation contained in this report may not be suitable for all investors and it is not to be deemed an offer or solicitation on our part with respect to the purchase or sale of any securities.


Financial, Tech, and Defensive Groups Led Decliners

Defensive groups including the Gold & Silver Index ($XAU -1.81%) and the Healthcare Index ($HMO -0.71%) fell. Weakness in financial shares weighed on the major averages as the Broker/Dealer Index ($XBD -1.80%) and Bank Index ($BKX -2.46%) were smacked with losses. The Biotechnology Index ($BTK -1.36%), Networking Index ($NWX -1.17%), Semiconductor Index ($SOX -0.53%), and the Internet Index ($IIX -0.36%) finished unanimously lower. Energy-related shares edged lower as the Integrated Oil Index ($XOI -0.46%) and the Oil Services Index ($OSX -0.28%) fell modestly. A small loss for the Retail Index ($RLX -0.27%) rounded out Friday's widely negative session.

Charts courtesy www.stockcharts.com

PICTURED: The Bank Index ($BKX -2.46%) slumped back below its March 2012 highs again. It remains well above its 50-day moving average (DMA) line in reasonably healthy shape.


Industry Index Symbol Close Change % Change YTD % Change
Oil Services $OSX  221.45 -0.63 -0.28% +2.39%
Healthcare $HMO  2,449.33 -17.53 -0.71% +7.35%
Integrated Oil $XOI  1,229.69 -5.68 -0.46% +0.05%
Semiconductor $SOX  366.71 -1.95 -0.53% +0.62%
Networking $NWX  197.86 -2.35 -1.17% -8.04%
Internet $IIX  314.57 -1.13 -0.36% +11.65%
Broker/Dealer $XBD  83.35 -1.53 -1.80% +0.09%
Retail $RLX  644.41 -1.74 -0.27% +23.17%
Gold & Silver $XAU  184.90 -3.40 -1.81% +2.36%
Bank $BKX  50.01 -1.26 -2.46% +26.99%
Biotech $BTK  1,522.35 -21.07 -1.36% +39.48%


New High Close Following Latest Breakout

Altisource Portfolio Solutions Sa (ASPS +$3.65 or +3.29% to $114.73) finished near the session high with a gain today on below average volume for a best-ever close. It is very extended from its latest base. Prior highs in the $92 area define initial support to watch on pullbacks.

It was last shown in this FSU section while consolidating -5.1% from its all-time high on 9/11/12 with an annotated graph under the headline, "Brief Consolidation May Soon Be Noted as a Sound New Base". It had been repeatedly noted - "Extended from its prior base, and its 50 DMA line defines near-term support to watch."  On 9/24/2012 its color code was changed to yellow with new pivot point cited based on its 8/20/12 high plus 10 cents. On 10/03/12 its volume-driven gain above its pivot point triggered a new (or add-on) technical buy signal and it quickly got extended beyond its "max buy" level.

It reported earnings +117% on +55% sales revenues for the quarter ended June 30, 2012 versus the year ago period. Earnings increases have been above the +25% guideline, satisfying the C criteria, and backed by solid sales revenues increases in the 4 latest quarterly comparisons. It is due to report earnings for the Sep '12 quarter on the morning of Thursday, 25 October 2012. This Luxembourg-based Financial Services firm's small supply (S criteria) of only 15.4 million shares in the public float can contribute to greater volatility in the event of institutional buying or selling. The number of top-rated funds owning its shares rose from 108 in Sep '11 to 158 in Sep '12, a reassuring sign concerning the I criteria. Its current Up/Down Volume Ratio of 1.7 is an unbiased indication its shares have been under accumulation over the past 50 days. Disciplined investors always avoid chasing extended stocks, and they limit losses by selling if ever any stock falls more than -7% from their purchase price.


Color Codes Explained :
Y - Better candidates highlighted by our staff of experts.
G - Previously featured in past reports as yellow but may no longer be buyable under the guidelines.

***Last / Change / Volume data in this table is the closing quote data***
Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group
PRICE CHANGE
(%Change)
Day High Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol)
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi
Featured
Date
Price
Featured
Pivot Featured
Max Buy
ALXN - NASDAQ
Alexion Pharmaceuticals
DRUGS - Drug Manufacturers - Other  
$111.19 -0.97
-0.86%

$112.38

609,781
62.57% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 974,500
$119.54
-6.98%
8/23/2012 $103.70 PP = $110.06
MB = $115.56
Most Recent Note - 10/9/2012 1:47:51 PM
Y - Color code is changed to yellow after retreating below its "max buy" level. The prior highs in the $110 area define chart support along with its 50 DMA line where violations would raise concerns and trigger technical sell signals..
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 9/26/2012. Click here.

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ASPS - NASDAQ
Altisource Ptf Sltns Sa
REAL ESTATE - Property Management/Developmen  
$114.73 +3.65
3.29%

$115.02

97,486
56.48% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 172,600
$115.73
-0.86%
9/24/2012 $87.24 PP = $92.39
MB = $97.01
Most Recent Note - 10/12/2012 4:10:24 PM
G - Finished near the session high with a gain today on below average volume for a best-ever close. Very extended from its prior base, it s prior highs in the $92 area define initial support to watch on pullbacks.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 10/12/2012. Click here.

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BRLI - NASDAQ
Bio Reference Labs Inc
HEALTH SERVICES - Medical Laboratories and Researc  
$31.88 -0.42
-1.30%

$32.47

321,168
112.77% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 284,800
$32.86
-2.98%
10/3/2012 $30.90 PP = $30.25
MB = $31.76
Most Recent Note - 10/11/2012 5:37:55 PM
G - Gapped up today and finished at its second-best close after consolidating under its "max buy" level following its 10/03/12 technical buy signal. Prior highs in the $30 area define initial chart support above its 50 DMA line.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 10/8/2012. Click here.

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CFNL - NASDAQ
Cardinal Financial Corp
BANKING - Regional - Southeast Banks  
$13.96 -0.28
-1.97%

$14.27

67,198
83.68% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 80,300
$14.79
-5.61%
8/17/2012 $12.84 PP = $13.31
MB = $13.98
Most Recent Note - 10/12/2012 4:19:20 PM
G - Quietly consolidating after distributional action in recent weeks. Prior low ($13.80 on 10/03/12) defines near-term support above its 50 DMA line ($13.53 now) where violations would trigger technical sell signals.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 9/25/2012. Click here.

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CMCSA - NASDAQ
Comcast Corp Cl A
MEDIA - CATV Systems  
$35.78 +0.65
1.85%

$35.87

12,002,747
97.78% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 12,275,000
$36.98
-3.24%
6/11/2012 $29.94 PP = $30.98
MB = $32.53
Most Recent Note - 10/12/2012 4:21:01 PM
G - Posted a gain today on average volume, consolidating just above prior highs in the $35 area and its 50 DMA line where violations would trigger technical sell signals. Fundamental concerns have been repeatedly noted - "Due to sub par sales and earnings growth in the Jun '12 quarter."
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 9/21/2012. Click here.

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Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group
PRICE CHANGE
(%Change)
Day High Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol)
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi
Featured
Date
Price
Featured
Pivot Featured
Max Buy
DVA - NYSE
Davita Inc
HEALTH SERVICES - Specialized Health Services  
$110.42 +0.95
0.87%

$111.34

746,225
98.50% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 757,600
$111.30
-0.79%
9/5/2012 $102.92 PP = $100.62
MB = $105.65
Most Recent Note - 10/12/2012 4:22:29 PM
G - Hit another new 52-week high today, getting even more extended from its latest sound base. Prior highs near $100 and its 50 DMA line define near term support to watch on pullbacks where violations may trigger technical sell signals.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 10/10/2012. Click here.

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EXPE - NASDAQ
Expedia Inc
INTERNET - Internet Information Providers  
$54.25 +0.00
0.00%

$54.54

1,801,065
65.89% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 2,733,500
$60.29
-10.02%
4/27/2012 $41.80 PP = $35.57
MB = $37.35
Most Recent Note - 10/12/2012 4:25:55 PM
Held its ground quietly today after distributional losses this week violated important support at its 50 DMA line raising more serious concerns and triggering a technical sell signal. Only a prompt rebound above that short term average would help its outlook. Based on fundamental and technical concerns noted it will be dropped from the Featured Stocks list tonight.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 9/19/2012. Click here.

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GPX - NYSE
G P Strategies Corp
DIVERSIFIED SERVICES - Education and Training Services  
$19.26 +0.25
1.32%

$19.57

37,316
50.02% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 74,600
$20.67
-6.82%
10/8/2012 $20.00 PP = $20.77
MB = $21.81
Most Recent Note - 10/11/2012 5:47:54 PM
G - Slumped below its 50 DMA line today ending near the session low and its color code is changed to green. Volume driven gains above the pivot point have not triggered a new (or add-on) technical buy signal. Losses exceeding last week's low $18.82 would raise more serious concerns and trigger technical sell signals.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 9/13/2012. Click here.

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LKQ - NASDAQ
L K Q Corp
WHOLESALE - Auto Parts  
$19.63 -0.06
-0.30%

$19.76

1,229,803
88.53% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,389,100
$20.02
-1.92%
8/9/2012 $18.97 PP = $18.72
MB = $19.66
Most Recent Note - 10/11/2012 5:43:48 PM
Y - Rallied with above average volume today for its second-best close, finishing only -1.6% off its 52-week and all-time highs and near its "max buy" level with no resistance remaining due to overhead supply. Do not be confused by a 2:1 share split effective 9/19/12 (Featured Price, Pivot Point and Max Buy were adjusted).
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 9/17/2012. Click here.

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LNKD - NYSE
Linkedin Corp Class A
INTERNET - Internet Information Providers  
$110.41 -3.36
-2.95%

$115.90

3,194,136
133.83% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 2,386,700
$125.50
-12.02%
9/5/2012 $113.25 PP = $113.10
MB = $118.76
Most Recent Note - 10/12/2012 4:14:13 PM
G - Finished near the session low today with a damaging volume-driven loss violating its 50 DMA line and triggering a technical sell signal. Color code is changed to green, meanwhile only a prompt rebound above that short-term average would help its outlook. Disciplined investors always limit losses if ever any stock falls more than -7% from where it was purchased.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 10/9/2012. Click here.

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Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group
PRICE CHANGE
(%Change)
Day High Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol)
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi
Featured
Date
Price
Featured
Pivot Featured
Max Buy
LULU - NASDAQ
Lululemon Athletica
MANUFACTURING - Textile Manufacturing  
$73.43 +0.73
1.00%

$73.88

904,399
37.00% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 2,444,300
$81.09
-9.45%
10/2/2012 $74.89 PP = $78.97
MB = $82.92
Most Recent Note - 10/12/2012 4:28:55 PM
Y - Following its cup-with-handle base pattern it has been edging lower with volume totals cooling. Volume-driven gains above its pivot point are needed to confirm a technical buy signal before action may be justified by disciplined investors. Fundamentals remain strong (good C and A criteria) and very little resistance from overhead supply is there to hinder its progress.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 10/2/2012. Click here.

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MIDD - NASDAQ
Middleby Corp
MANUFACTURING - Diversified Machinery  
$118.66 +0.21
0.18%

$119.60

23,027
22.53% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 102,200
$122.57
-3.19%
10/8/2012 $118.46 PP = $122.67
MB = $128.80
Most Recent Note - 10/12/2012 4:30:52 PM
Y - Perched -3.2% off its 52-week high today with volume totals cooling in recent weeks while stubbornly holding its ground. Subsequent volume-driven gains above the pivot point may trigger a new (or add-on) technical buy signal. Its 50 DMA line and recent lows define near-term chart support to watch.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 9/18/2012. Click here.

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N - NYSE
Netsuite Inc
DIVERSIFIED SERVICES - Business/Management Services  
$60.80 +0.80
1.33%

$60.95

269,640
55.32% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 487,400
$64.70
-6.03%
8/20/2012 $55.88 PP = $59.32
MB = $62.29
Most Recent Note - 10/12/2012 4:32:04 PM
Y - Still quietly consolidating below its "max buy" level. Prior highs near $59 closely coincide with its 50 DMA line defining important chart support where subsequent violations would trigger technical sell signals.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 9/24/2012. Click here.

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NSM - NYSE
Nationstar Mtg Hldgs Inc
FINANCIAL SERVICES - Credit Services  
$32.15 -0.29
-0.89%

$33.05

581,898
48.95% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,188,800
$37.20
-13.58%
8/29/2012 $27.96 PP = $28.85
MB = $30.29
Most Recent Note - 10/11/2012 6:48:40 PM
G - Gain on light volume today halted a 4 session losing streak on higher volume. A steep upward trendline connecting July-September lows defines a near-term support level to watch above its 50 DMA line. See the latest FSU analysis for more details and a new annotated graph.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 10/11/2012. Click here.

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OSIS - NASDAQ
O S I Systems Inc
ELECTRONICS - Semiconductor Equipment and Mate  
$75.64 +0.13
0.17%

$76.38

42,054
31.83% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 132,100
$78.93
-4.17%
9/5/2012 $74.39 PP = $75.10
MB = $78.86
Most Recent Note - 10/12/2012 4:34:59 PM
Y - Consolidating just -4.2% off its 52-week high with volume totals cooling as very few investors have been heading for the exit. It remains below its "max buy" level after bullish action recently confirmed a technical buy signal. Near term support is at its 50 DMA line (now $73.96).
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 9/14/2012. Click here.

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Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group
PRICE CHANGE
(%Change)
Day High Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol)
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi
Featured
Date
Price
Featured
Pivot Featured
Max Buy
RNF - NYSE
Rentech Nitrogen Ptnr Lp
CHEMICALS - Agricultural Chemicals  
$34.80 -0.27
-0.77%

$35.58

173,198
38.39% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 451,200
$40.05
-13.11%
7/27/2012 $29.58 PP = $30.60
MB = $32.13
Most Recent Note - 10/9/2012 2:24:16 PM
G - Consolidating just above its 50 DMA line ($34.69) defining important near-term support after the previously noted upward trendline violation. Gains lacked volume conviction after it halted its slide.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 10/4/2012. Click here.

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SWI - NYSE
Solarwinds Inc
COMPUTER SOFTWARE and SERVICES - Application Software  
$53.39 +0.08
0.15%

$53.68

674,570
82.96% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 813,100
$60.95
-12.40%
7/25/2012 $47.82 PP = $47.89
MB = $50.28
Most Recent Note - 10/10/2012 1:42:30 PM
G - Today's loss undercut the 9/26/12 low ($53.78) raising more serious concerns. A secondary buy point was explained in the latest FSU analysis along with a new annotated graph, but caution is advised unless strength returns and it rises back above its 50 DMA line promptly. Prior highs in the $48 area define the next chart support level.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 10/3/2012. Click here.

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TDG - NYSE
Transdigm Group Inc
AEROSPACE/DEFENSE - Aerospace/Defense Products and; Services  
$149.17 +3.57
2.45%

$150.14

390,498
95.62% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 408,400
$152.62
-2.26%
8/16/2012 $132.23 PP = $136.44
MB = $143.26
Most Recent Note - 10/12/2012 4:06:51 PM
G - Gain today on average volume for its second-best close ever, extended from its prior base. Its 50 DMA line and prior lows define near-term support to watch in the $138 area where violations may trigger technical sell signals.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 9/20/2012. Click here.

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ULTA - NASDAQ
Ulta Salon Cosm & Frag
SPECIALTY RETAIL - Specialty Retail, Other  
$95.22 -0.43
-0.45%

$96.91

586,268
80.07% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 732,200
$103.52
-8.02%
9/4/2012 $93.17 PP = $98.52
MB = $103.45
Most Recent Note - 10/9/2012 2:20:54 PM
Y - Slumping near recent lows and its 50 DMA line defining important near-term chart support. Its Relative Strength Rating has slumped to 80, the minimum rank for ideal buy candidates under the fact-based investment system. The latest FSU analysis discussed its waning Relative Strength under the headline "Relative Strength Line Did Not Provide Confirmation - Friday, October 05, 2012".
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 10/5/2012. Click here.

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ULTI - NASDAQ
Ultimate Software Group
INTERNET - Internet Software and Services  
$103.05 +3.57
3.59%

$104.81

221,335
147.85% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 149,700
$106.40
-3.15%
8/27/2012 $98.36 PP = $99.19
MB = $104.15
Most Recent Note - 10/12/2012 12:17:39 PM
Y - Considerable gain today with higher volume, rallying from its 50 DMA line to within close striking distance of its 52-week high. Recent lows in the $96 area define near-term support to watch where violations would raise concerns and trigger technical sell signals.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 9/27/2012. Click here.

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Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group
PRICE CHANGE
(%Change)
Day High Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol)
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi
Featured
Date
Price
Featured
Pivot Featured
Max Buy
VSI - NYSE
Vitamin Shoppe Inc
SPECIALTY RETAIL - Specialty Retail, Other  
$56.79 +0.08
0.14%

$57.07

270,508
78.91% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 342,800
$61.83
-8.14%
6/29/2012 $54.93 PP = $55.03
MB = $57.78
Most Recent Note - 10/9/2012 2:10:09 PM
G - Volume totals have been below average in recent weeks while consolidating near its 50 DMA line. It faces some resistance due to overhead supply up through the $60 area after recently stalling. Recent lows near $55 define the next important chart support below its short-term average.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 9/10/2012. Click here.

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WPI - NYSE
Watson Pharmaceuticals
DRUGS - Drugs - Generic  
$86.67 -0.22
-0.25%

$87.32

403,731
43.15% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 935,600
$88.33
-1.88%
8/24/2012 $82.90 PP = $81.10
MB = $85.16
Most Recent Note - 10/9/2012 2:12:55 PM
G - Holding its ground this week with light volume totals after hitting new 52-week highs with gains on higher volume, It is extended from its prior base, and prior lows and its 50 DMA line in the $82 area define important support to watch on pullbacks.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 9/28/2012. Click here.

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