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AFTER MARKET UPDATE - MONDAY, SEPTEMBER 10TH, 2012
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Indices NYSE Nasdaq
DOW  -52.35 13,254.29 -0.39% Volume 616,080,820 -9% Volume 1,526,935,200 -9%
NASDAQ -32.40 3,104.02 -1.03% Advancers 1,194 38% Advancers 1,006 39%
S&P 500 -8.84 1,429.08 -0.61% Decliners 1,802 58% Decliners 1,448 56%
Russell 2000 -2.90 839.37 -0.34% 52 Wk Highs 215   52 Wk Highs 100  
S&P 600 -1.17 472.80 -0.25% 52 Wk Lows 11   52 Wk Lows 24  

Major Averages Pulled Back on Lighter Volume

The major averages ended lower on Monday while the volume totals were reported lighter on the NYSE and on the Nasdaq exchange versus the prior session totals. Breadth was negative as decliners led advancers by nearly a 3-2 ratio on the NYSE and on the Nasdaq exchange. The total number of new 52-week highs solidly outnumbered new 52-week lows on the NYSE on the Nasdaq exchange. There were 77 high-ranked companies from the CANSLIM.net Leaders List that made new 52-week highs and appeared on the CANSLIM.net BreakOuts Page, down from the prior session total of 112 stocks. There were gains for only 3 of the 23 high-ranked companies currently included on the Featured Stocks Page.

 

Losses came despite speculation that the Fed may announce another round of government bond-buying at the conclusion of the FOMC meeting on Thursday. Euro zone concerns overshadowed speculation of global central bank action. In Europe, Greece's Prime Minister was scheduled to meet with the nation's creditors after failing to secure a coalition agreement on required spending cuts to help prevent the country from exiting the euro. This offset renewed stimulus hopes after August non-farm payrolls rose less than projected last Friday and Chinese trade data signaled a further slowdown with an unexpected decline in August imports and slower than expected export growth.  Investors were also cautious ahead of a ruling by Germany's Constitutional Court on the country's participation in the euro zone's permanent bailout fund.

Technology lagged behind as Intel Corp (INTC -3.84%) continued to slide after the company lowered its third-quarter revenue outlook last week and Apple Inc (AAPL -2.60%) also retreated  Financials weighed on markets as American International Group, Inc (AIG -2.06%) shares fell while the government planned and other offering to further reduce the still large stake in the company held by taxpayers.

Action was mixed in commodities. Bets for further Chinese stimulus measures helped copper touch a four-month high. Gold pared back from a six-month high as the U.S. dollar strengthened and oil rebounded to erase an earlier decline of -1%.

The M criteria is still favorable as the major indices have maintained their previously confirmed rally with a healthy level of leadership (stocks hitting new 52-week highs).

Watch for an announcement soon via email concerning new monthly webcasts and a new "Market's Leading Groups" archives tab soon to be added on the Premium Member Homepage. These changes are aimed at satisfying member requests and improving the service.  We are sorry for the delay while working out the final programming necessary and we appreciate you patience.  If you have questions, comments or suggestions please let us know via the inquiry form here.  The most recent WEBCAST (Q2 2012) is available "ON DEMAND" - CLICK HERE

PICTURED: The S&P 500 Index is consolidating after last week's rally to new 2012 high territory. It is now -9.3% off its October 2007 all-time high. 


Kenneth J. Gruneisen started out as a licensed stockbroker in August 1987, a couple of months prior to the historic stock market crash that took the Dow Jones Industrial Average down -22.6% in a single day. He has published daily fact-based fundamental and technical analysis on high-ranked stocks online for two decades. Through FACTBASEDINVESTING.COM, Kenneth provides educational articles, news, market commentary, and other information regarding proven investment systems that work in good times and bad.

Comments contained in the body of this report are technical opinions only and are not necessarily those of Gruneisen Growth Corp. The material herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable and accurate, however, its accuracy and completeness cannot be guaranteed. Our firm, employees, and customers may effect transactions, including transactions contrary to any recommendation herein, or have positions in the securities mentioned herein or options with respect thereto. Any recommendation contained in this report may not be suitable for all investors and it is not to be deemed an offer or solicitation on our part with respect to the purchase or sale of any securities.


Defensive, Tech, Financial and Energy-Related Groups Fell

Defensive groups were among the weakest performers on Monday as the Gold & Silver Index ($XAU -1.57%) and Healthcare Index ($HMO -1.34%) lost ground.  The Semiconductor Index ($SOX -1.74%), Networking Index ($NWX -1.26%), Internet Index ($IIX -1.02%), and the Biotechnology Index ($BTK -0.47%) finished with unanimous losses. The Broker/Dealer Index ($XBD -1.13%) and Bank Index ($BKX -0.77%) also had a negative influence on the major averages. Energy-related shares edged lower as the Integrated Oil Index ($XOI -0.72%) and Oil Services Index ($OSX -0.51%)  lost ground.

Charts courtesy www.stockcharts.com

PICTURED: The Retail Index ($RLX -0.20%) rounded out Monday's widely negative session with a small loss. It had finished last week rallying to new 2012 highs.


Industry Index Symbol Close Change % Change YTD % Change
Oil Services $OSX  227.95 -1.18 -0.51% +5.40%
Healthcare $HMO  2,416.51 -32.89 -1.34% +5.91%
Integrated Oil $XOI  1,250.95 -9.11 -0.72% +1.78%
Semiconductor $SOX  394.26 -6.97 -1.74% +8.18%
Networking $NWX  213.26 -2.72 -1.26% -0.88%
Internet $IIX  316.94 -3.25 -1.02% +12.49%
Broker/Dealer $XBD  84.83 -0.97 -1.13% +1.87%
Retail $RLX  656.55 -1.31 -0.20% +25.49%
Gold & Silver $XAU  176.47 -2.81 -1.57% -2.31%
Bank $BKX  48.89 -0.38 -0.77% +24.15%
Biotech $BTK  1,504.72 -7.07 -0.47% +37.87%


Consolidation Too Brief and Choppy for a Vaild New Base

Vitamin Shoppe Inc's (VSI -$0.15 or -0.25% to $59.40) paused today following a streak of 4 consecutive gains. It rebounded and rallied back above its 50-day moving average (DMA) line and above its previously cited pivot point last week, helping its technical stance. Its current consolidation is too brief and choppy to be considered a valid new base pattern.

Prior lows near $52 define near-term support where any further deterioration would raise more serious concerns.  VSI was last shown in this FSU section on 8/02/12 with an annotated graph under the headline, "Watch for Earnings News Due Early Next Week". It reported an earnings increase of +38% on +13% sales revenues for the Jun '12 quarter. Additional leadership (L criteria) shown by other stocks in the Retail - Specialty group has still been a reassuring sign even though the Group Relative Strength Rating fell to 64 from 94 when shown in this section on 7/02/12.

Fundamentally, it has earned high ranks after showing strong quarterly and annual earnings increases satisfying the C and A criteria. The number of top-rated funds owning its shares rose from 288 in Jun '11 to 383 in Jun '12, a reassuring sign concerning the I criteria.  Vitamin Shoppe has 29.7 million shares outstanding. That small supply is not a bad thing, but could contribute to greater price volatility. Historic studies have shown that once companies have grown their supply (S criteria) of shares outstanding to hundreds of millions, or even billions of shares outstanding, they are less likely candidates to be "above average" gainers.


Color Codes Explained :
Y - Better candidates highlighted by our staff of experts.
G - Previously featured in past reports as yellow but may no longer be buyable under the guidelines.

***Last / Change / Volume data in this table is the closing quote data***
Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group
PRICE CHANGE
(%Change)
Day High Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol)
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi
Featured
Date
Price
Featured
Pivot Featured
Max Buy
ALXN - NASDAQ
Alexion Pharmaceuticals
DRUGS - Drug Manufacturers - Other  
$110.07 -0.54
-0.49%

$111.04

920,015
72.16% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,275,000
$111.06
-0.89%
8/23/2012 $103.70 PP = $110.06
MB = $115.56
Most Recent Note - 9/10/2012 4:41:29 PM
Y - Volume totals have been below average while recently consolidating within close striking distance of its 52-week high. Subsequent volume-driven gains above its pivot point may trigger a new (or add-on) technical buy signal.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 8/23/2012. Click here.

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ASPS - NASDAQ
Altisource Ptf Sltns Sa
REAL ESTATE - Property Management/Developmen  
$87.28 +1.44
1.68%

$88.00

108,608
84.85% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 128,000
$92.29
-5.43%
6/5/2012 $60.01 PP = $63.00
MB = $66.15
Most Recent Note - 9/6/2012 5:21:47 PM
G - Posted a 4th consecutive gain today on near average volume, finishing -5.0% from its all-time high. It has been repeatedly noted - "Extended from its prior base, and its 50 DMA line defines near-term support to watch."
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 8/3/2012. Click here.

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CFNL - NASDAQ
Cardinal Financial Corp
BANKING - Regional - Southeast Banks  
$13.51 -0.05
-0.37%

$13.73

33,311
53.73% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 62,000
$13.76
-1.82%
8/17/2012 $12.84 PP = $13.31
MB = $13.98
Most Recent Note - 9/6/2012 5:24:40 PM
Y - Hit another new 52-week high today with +38% above average volume behind its 3rd consecutive gain. Gains backed by at least +40% above average are the bare minimum required to trigger a proper technical buy signal. Its 50 DMA line defines important support."
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 8/21/2012. Click here.

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CMCSA - NASDAQ
Comcast Corp Cl A
MEDIA - CATV Systems  
$34.17 -0.29
-0.84%

$34.55

9,613,612
76.66% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 12,541,000
$35.16
-2.82%
6/11/2012 $29.94 PP = $30.98
MB = $32.53
Most Recent Note - 9/6/2012 5:11:28 PM
G - Solid gain today nearly challenging its 52-week high. Stayed above its 50 DMA line while consolidating after fundamental concerns were raised by the Jun '12 quarter below the fact-based investment system's +25% minimum earnings guideline.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 8/15/2012. Click here.

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DVA - NYSE
Davita Inc
HEALTH SERVICES - Specialized Health Services  
$98.46 -2.12
-2.11%

$100.39

816,417
125.85% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 648,700
$103.97
-5.30%
9/5/2012 $102.92 PP = $100.62
MB = $105.65
Most Recent Note - 9/10/2012 4:44:35 PM
Y - Today's pullback with higher volume indicates distributional pressure. A subsequent gain above its pivot point backed by +40% above average volume is the bare minimum volume needed to trigger a technical buy signal. Featured in the 9/05/12 mid-day report (read here) while hitting a new high with a considerable volume-driven gain.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 9/5/2012. Click here.

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Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group
PRICE CHANGE
(%Change)
Day High Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol)
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi
Featured
Date
Price
Featured
Pivot Featured
Max Buy
ECPG - NASDAQ
Encore Capital Group Inc
FINANCIAL SERVICES - Credit Services  
$28.54 -0.15
-0.52%

$28.80

142,975
123.36% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 115,900
$30.47
-6.33%
8/3/2012 $29.91 PP = $30.45
MB = $31.97
Most Recent Note - 9/10/2012 3:33:04 PM
G - Sputtering below its 50 DMA line and -6.6% off its 52-week high today. Completed a Secondary Offering on 8/08/12. Gains above its 50 DMA line are needed for its outlook to improve.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 8/6/2012. Click here.

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EXPE - NASDAQ
Expedia Inc
INTERNET - Internet Information Providers  
$52.75 -1.36
-2.51%

$54.24

2,576,018
77.25% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 3,334,800
$59.50
-11.34%
4/27/2012 $41.80 PP = $35.57
MB = $37.35
Most Recent Note - 9/6/2012 5:25:40 PM
G - Volume totals have been below average in recent weeks while consolidating above prior highs and its 50 DMA line defining important near-term chart support in the $50 area.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 8/14/2012. Click here.

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GPX - NYSE
G P Strategies Corp
DIVERSIFIED SERVICES - Education and Training Services  
$19.72 -0.12
-0.60%

$19.84

24,115
33.35% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 72,300
$20.67
-4.60%
6/29/2012 $18.01 PP = $18.15
MB = $19.06
Most Recent Note - 9/10/2012 3:34:33 PM
G - Perched -4.6% off its 52-week high today, slightly extended from its prior base. Prior highs and its 50 DMA line define chart support in the $18 area.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 8/7/2012. Click here.

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HMSY - NASDAQ
H M S Holdings Corp
COMPUTER SOFTWARE and SERVICES - Healthcare Information Service  
$33.59 -0.63
-1.84%

$34.70

1,322,379
144.05% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 918,000
$37.19
-9.68%
7/27/2012 $33.91 PP = $34.83
MB = $36.57
Most Recent Note - 9/10/2012 3:37:24 PM
G - Slumping just under its 50 DMA line with today's 4th consecutive loss and its color code is changed to green. A rally above last week's highs is needed to help its technical stance and outlook. Volume-driven gains into new high territory would be a reassuring sign disciplined investors may wait for as an indication of fresh institutional accumulation.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 8/22/2012. Click here.

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KH - NYSE
China Kanghui Hldgs Ads
HEALTH SERVICES - Medical Appliances and Equipment  
$24.78 -0.60
-2.36%

$25.47

40,042
154.01% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 26,000
$27.47
-9.79%
8/30/2012 $24.19 PP = $22.90
MB = $24.05
Most Recent Note - 9/10/2012 3:30:49 PM
G - Down today with higher volume behind its 4th consecutive loss since a "negative reversal" on 9/05/12 at its all-time high. Prior highs in the $23 area define support to watch on pullbacks.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 8/30/2012. Click here.

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Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group
PRICE CHANGE
(%Change)
Day High Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol)
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi
Featured
Date
Price
Featured
Pivot Featured
Max Buy
LKQ - NASDAQ
L K Q Corp
WHOLESALE - Auto Parts  
$39.01 -0.75
-1.89%

$40.03

542,325
78.62% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 689,800
$39.94
-2.33%
8/9/2012 $37.93 PP = $37.44
MB = $39.31
Most Recent Note - 9/6/2012 5:27:31 PM
Y - Matched its best-ever close today with a gain backed by light volume. Prior highs in the $37 area define initial support to watch above its 50 DMA line.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 8/10/2012. Click here.

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LNKD - NYSE
Linkedin Corp Class A
INTERNET - Internet Information Providers  
$117.80 -1.24
-1.04%

$119.00

1,383,031
54.37% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 2,543,600
$122.85
-4.11%
9/5/2012 $113.25 PP = $113.10
MB = $118.76
Most Recent Note - 9/6/2012 5:29:42 PM
G - Color code is changed to green after rising above its "max buy" level today with above average volume behind another gain challenging its 52-week high. See the latest FSU analysis for more details and a new annotated weekly graph.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 9/6/2012. Click here.

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MIDD - NASDAQ
Middleby Corp
MANUFACTURING - Diversified Machinery  
$117.26 -0.17
-0.14%

$117.85

87,930
84.22% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 104,400
$122.57
-4.33%
8/9/2012 $118.60 PP = $104.92
MB = $110.17
Most Recent Note - 9/10/2012 4:39:57 PM
G - Pulled back from last week's new 52-week high. Extended from its prior base, its 50 DMA line and prior highs define important chart support to watch.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 8/13/2012. Click here.

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N - NYSE
Netsuite Inc
DIVERSIFIED SERVICES - Business/Management Services  
$57.27 -0.07
-0.12%

$57.77

351,891
54.40% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 646,900
$59.22
-3.29%
8/20/2012 $55.88 PP = $59.32
MB = $62.29
Most Recent Note - 9/7/2012 4:09:34 PM
Y - Still consolidating in a tight range near its 52-week high. A volume-driven gain above its pivot point may trigger a new (or add-on) technical buy signal. Meanwhile, its 50 DMA line defines important near-term support.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 8/20/2012. Click here.

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NSM - NYSE
Nationstar Mtg Hldgs Inc
FINANCIAL SERVICES - Credit Services  
$28.17 +0.29
1.04%

$29.09

851,090
106.73% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 797,400
$30.07
-6.32%
8/29/2012 $27.96 PP = $28.85
MB = $30.29
Most Recent Note - 9/10/2012 3:39:22 PM
Y - Volume is running at a lighter pace behind today's gain, meanwhile it is poised for a best-ever close. Previously noted - "A strong finish above the new pivot point cited may clear the advanced 'ascending base' pattern and clinch a new (or add-on) technical buy signal."
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 9/7/2012. Click here.

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Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group
PRICE CHANGE
(%Change)
Day High Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol)
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi
Featured
Date
Price
Featured
Pivot Featured
Max Buy
OSIS - NASDAQ
O S I Systems Inc
ELECTRONICS - Semiconductor Equipment and Mate  
$73.95 -1.15
-1.53%

$75.39

113,274
101.32% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 111,800
$75.99
-2.68%
9/5/2012 $74.39 PP = $75.10
MB = $78.86
Most Recent Note - 9/10/2012 3:41:29 PM
Y - Encountered distributional pressure last week after a new pivot point was cited based on its 8/15/12 high plus 10 cents. Subsequent volume-driven gains for a close above its pivot point may clinch a new (or add-on) technical buy signal. Prior highs in the $67-68 area define initial support to watch on pullbacks.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 8/9/2012. Click here.

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RNF - NYSE
Rentech Nitrogen Ptnr Lp
CHEMICALS - Agricultural Chemicals  
$34.36 +0.02
0.06%

$34.49

222,534
50.81% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 438,000
$35.48
-3.16%
7/27/2012 $29.58 PP = $30.60
MB = $32.13
Most Recent Note - 9/7/2012 4:24:29 PM
G - Holding its ground perched near its high. Extended from its prior base with near-term support at prior highs in the $30-31 area and its 50 DMA line.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 8/31/2012. Click here.

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SWI - NYSE
Solarwinds Inc
COMPUTER SOFTWARE and SERVICES - Application Software  
$58.74 -0.52
-0.88%

$59.49

598,093
51.16% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,169,100
$60.25
-2.51%
7/25/2012 $47.82 PP = $47.89
MB = $50.28
Most Recent Note - 9/6/2012 5:14:05 PM
G - Volume was below average today while hitting another new all-time high. Its 50 DMA line and prior highs coincide in the $48 area defining important chart support to watch on pullbacks.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 8/29/2012. Click here.

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TDG - NYSE
Transdigm Group Inc
AEROSPACE/DEFENSE - Aerospace/Defense Products and; Services  
$141.47 -2.06
-1.44%

$144.21

214,236
55.00% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 389,500
$143.61
-1.49%
8/16/2012 $132.23 PP = $136.44
MB = $143.26
Most Recent Note - 9/7/2012 4:14:46 PM
G - Finished above its "max buy" level and near the session high with a gain today on near average volume, and its color code is changed to green. Prior high near $136 defines near-term chart support to watch on pullbacks.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 8/17/2012. Click here.

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ULTA - NASDAQ
Ulta Salon Cosm & Frag
SPECIALTY RETAIL - Specialty Retail, Other  
$100.19 -1.35
-1.33%

$102.19

846,806
103.34% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 819,400
$103.52
-3.22%
9/4/2012 $93.17 PP = $98.52
MB = $103.45
Most Recent Note - 9/7/2012 4:17:00 PM
Y - Reported earnings +42% on +22% sales revenues for the quarter ended July 31, 2012 versus the year ago period. Gapped up today and hit a new 52-week high with 4 times average volume behind its considerable gain above its pivot point triggering a convincing technical buy signal.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 9/4/2012. Click here.

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Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group
PRICE CHANGE
(%Change)
Day High Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol)
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi
Featured
Date
Price
Featured
Pivot Featured
Max Buy
ULTI - NASDAQ
Ultimate Software Group
INTERNET - Internet Software and Services  
$100.74 -0.28
-0.28%

$103.66

156,915
98.63% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 159,100
$106.40
-5.32%
8/27/2012 $98.36 PP = $99.19
MB = $104.15
Most Recent Note - 9/7/2012 4:19:58 PM
Y - Pulled back today after 6 consecutive gains capped by a gain on heavy volume which triggered a technical buy signal. Prior chart high near $99 defines initial support to watch above its 50 DMA line.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 8/27/2012. Click here.

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VSI - NYSE
Vitamin Shoppe Inc
SPECIALTY RETAIL - Specialty Retail, Other  
$59.40 -0.15
-0.25%

$59.98

525,453
138.06% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 380,600
$61.83
-3.92%
6/29/2012 $54.93 PP = $55.03
MB = $57.78
Most Recent Note - 9/10/2012 1:00:57 PM
G - Paused today following a streak of 4 consecutive gains. Rebounded and rallied above its 50 DMA line last week, helping its technical stance. Prior lows near $52 define near-term support where any further deterioration would raise more serious concerns.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 9/10/2012. Click here.

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WPI - NYSE
Watson Pharmaceuticals
DRUGS - Drugs - Generic  
$83.59 +0.00
0.00%

$84.02

559,211
46.04% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,214,500
$83.83
-0.29%
8/24/2012 $82.90 PP = $81.10
MB = $85.16
Most Recent Note - 9/7/2012 4:23:20 PM
Y - Still holding its ground in a tight range near its 52-week high since triggering a technical buy signal on 8/24/12 when highlighted in the mid-day report with a gap up gain backed by above average volume. Prior highs in the $81 area define initial support to watch on pullbacks.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 8/28/2012. Click here.

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