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AFTER MARKET UPDATE - WEDNESDAY, AUGUST 22ND, 2012
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Indices NYSE Nasdaq
DOW  -30.82 13,172.76 -0.23% Volume 600,760,920 -6% Volume 1,418,260,710 -7%
NASDAQ +6.41 3,073.67 +0.21% Advancers 1,175 38% Advancers 916 35%
S&P 500 +0.32 1,413.49 +0.02% Decliners 1,830 59% Decliners 1,543 60%
Russell 2000 -2.80 812.56 -0.34% 52 Wk Highs 58   52 Wk Highs 35  
S&P 600 -1.48 457.58 -0.32% 52 Wk Lows 19   52 Wk Lows 34  

Indices Rebounded From Lows After Fed Minutes Hinted at More Easing

The major averages rebounded from earlier losses as the minutes from the Fed's August meeting indicated many policy makers supported additional monetary easing if economic conditions don’t improve soon. Wednesday's volume totals were slightly lower on the NYSE and on the Nasdaq exchange versus the prior session totals. Decliners led advancing issues by a 3-2 margin on NYSE and on the Nasdaq exchange. The total number of new 52-week highs led new 52-week lows on the NYSE on the Nasdaq exchange. There were only 11 high-ranked companies from the CANSLIM.net Leaders List made new 52-week highs and appeared on the CANSLIM.net BreakOuts Page, down abruptly from the prior session total of 63 stocks. There were gains for only 5 of the 19 high-ranked companies currently included on the Featured Stocks Page.

 

A report showed Japan's trade balance swung to a deficit and Greece asked for more time to enact austerity measures. Stocks were largely uninspired by a report that showed existing homes sales rose in July.

Housing stocks got a boost after Toll Brothers Inc (TOL +3.77%) reported earnings topping analyst estimates. Investors focused on Dell Inc (DELL -5.35%) fell after it warned of a weak second half, and its rival Hewlett-Packard (HPQ -3.66%) retreated ahead of its scheduled earnings release after the close. Consumer stocks were led by gains in eBay and Williams-Sonoma. eBay Inc (EBAY +2.51%) was up after its PayPal unit signed an agreement with Discover Financial Services (DFS +3.86%) to expand acceptance to stores. Williams-Sonoma Inc (WSM +11.64%) rose after earnings came in ahead of analyst estimates. Materials were another strong performing sector led by the miners including Newmont Mining Corp (NEM +2.18%).

In terms of the M criteria, the major indices recently have been in a confirmed rally coupled with an expansion in leadership (stocks hitting new 52-week highs). 

Watch for an announcement soon via email concerning new monthly webcasts starting in August and a new "Market's Leading Groups" archives tab to be added on the Premium Member Homepage. These changes are aimed at satisfying member requests and improving the service.  If you have questions, comments or suggestions please let us know via the inquiry form here.  The most recent WEBCAST (Q2 2012) is available "ON DEMAND" - CLICK HERE

PICTURED: The Dow Jones Industrial Average traded within 8 points of its 2012 high on the prior session.


Kenneth J. Gruneisen started out as a licensed stockbroker in August 1987, a couple of months prior to the historic stock market crash that took the Dow Jones Industrial Average down -22.6% in a single day. He has published daily fact-based fundamental and technical analysis on high-ranked stocks online for two decades. Through FACTBASEDINVESTING.COM, Kenneth provides educational articles, news, market commentary, and other information regarding proven investment systems that work in good times and bad.

Comments contained in the body of this report are technical opinions only and are not necessarily those of Gruneisen Growth Corp. The material herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable and accurate, however, its accuracy and completeness cannot be guaranteed. Our firm, employees, and customers may effect transactions, including transactions contrary to any recommendation herein, or have positions in the securities mentioned herein or options with respect thereto. Any recommendation contained in this report may not be suitable for all investors and it is not to be deemed an offer or solicitation on our part with respect to the purchase or sale of any securities.


Defensive Groups Led Gainers

Defensive groups including the Healthcare Index ($HMO +1.16%) and the Gold & Silver Index ($XAU +2.25%) led gainers on Wednesday.  The Internet Index ($IIX +0.32%) and Biotechnology Index ($BTK +0.83%) posted modest gains while the Semiconductor Index ($SOX -0.78%) and Networking Index ($NWX -0.21%) retreated.  The Broker/Dealer Index ($XBD -0.28%) and the Bank Index ($BKX -0.15%) edged lower.  The Integrated Oil Index ($XOI +0.28%) inched higher and the   Oil Services Index ($OSX +0.02%) finished flat.

Charts courtesy www.stockcharts.com

PICTURED: The Retail Index ($RLX +0.60%) is perched within close striking distance of its 2012 high.


Industry Index Symbol Close Change % Change YTD % Change


Awaiting Confirming Gains and Encountering Distributional Pressure

H M S Holdings Corp (HMSY -$0.87 or -2.42% to $35.10) pulled back with higher volume today, a discouraging sign of distributional pressure. It is still hovering near its pivot point and finished just -5.7% off its 52-week high. No resistance remains due to overhead supply, and prior highs are a likely chart support area while more damaging losses would raise greater concerns. As previously noted - "Gains above a stock's pivot point must have at least +40% above average volume, preferably greater, to trigger a proper technical buy signal."  It had wedged to new highs without great volume conviction and failed to produce the volume-driven gain needed to trigger a buy signal since its last appearance in this FSU section on 7/27/12 under the headline, "Touched New 52-Week High After 6-Month Cup With Handle Base".

The high-ranked Commercial Services - Healthcare firm reported earnings +35% on +34% sales revenues for the quarter ended June 30, 2012 versus the year ago period. In the 7/27/12 mid-day report it was highlighted in yellow with a new pivot point based on its 7/10/12 high (read here). It hit a new 52-week high while trying to rally from a 6-month cup-with-handle base pattern, but it finished that session below its pivot point. Subsequent volume-driven gains above its pivot may still confirm a technical buy signal. Its annual earnings (A criteria) growth has been strong, and it has reported earnings above the +25% minimum guideline in 3 of the past 4 quarterly comparisons through Jun '12.  Sales revenues growth was stronger in the 2 most recent comparisons, sequentially accelerating.  The number of top-rated funds owning its shares rose from 451 in Sep '11 to 525 in Jun '12, a reassuring sign concerning the I criteria.


Color Codes Explained :
Y - Better candidates highlighted by our staff of experts.
G - Previously featured in past reports as yellow but may no longer be buyable under the guidelines.

***Last / Change / Volume data in this table is the closing quote data***
Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group
PRICE CHANGE
(%Change)
Day High Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol)
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi
Featured
Date
Price
Featured
Pivot Featured
Max Buy
ALXN - NASDAQ
Alexion Pharmaceuticals
DRUGS - Drug Manufacturers - Other  
$104.23 +2.58
2.54%

$104.42

1,027,856
70.58% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,456,300
$109.96
-5.21%
5/1/2012 $91.73 PP = $95.11
MB = $99.87
Most Recent Note - 8/22/2012 4:01:34 PM
G - Volume totals have been cooling in recent weeks while consolidating above support defined by its 50 DMA line (now $100.67). It may form a new base, but its current consolidation is not of sufficient length to be recognized as a sound base pattern
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 7/25/2012. Click here.

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ASPS - NASDAQ
Altisource Ptf Sltns Sa
REAL ESTATE - Property Management/Developmen  
$84.95 -0.16
-0.19%

$85.08

237,319
177.10% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 134,000
$92.29
-7.95%
6/5/2012 $60.01 PP = $63.00
MB = $66.15
Most Recent Note - 8/22/2012 11:54:04 AM
G - Down a little more today following 2 consecutive losses with above average volume, retreating from its all-time high. It has been repeatedly noted - "Extended from its prior base, and its 50 DMA line defines near-term support to watch."
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 8/3/2012. Click here.

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CFNL - NASDAQ
Cardinal Financial Corp
BANKING - Regional - Southeast Banks  
$13.01 -0.04
-0.31%

$13.11

40,705
56.69% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 71,800
$13.30
-2.18%
8/17/2012 $12.84 PP = $13.31
MB = $13.98
Most Recent Note - 8/21/2012 5:10:25 PM
Y - Challenged its pivot point with today's 5th consecutive gain backed by below average volume. Subsequent volume-driven gains above its pivot point may trigger a new (or add-on) technical buy signal. See the latest FSU analysis for more details and a new annotated graph.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 8/21/2012. Click here.

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CMCSA - NASDAQ
Comcast Corp Cl A
MEDIA - CATV Systems  
$33.97 -0.07
-0.21%

$34.15

11,260,491
82.47% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 13,653,900
$35.16
-3.38%
6/11/2012 $29.94 PP = $30.98
MB = $32.53
Most Recent Note - 8/22/2012 5:26:06 PM
G - Consolidating just -3.4% off its 52-week high today with volume totals below average in recent weeks indicating that few investors are exiting. Recently reported earnings +19% on +6% sales revenues for the Jun '12 quarter, below the fact-based investment system's +25% minimum guideline for the C criteria.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 8/15/2012. Click here.

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DG - NYSE
Dollar General Corp
RETAIL - Discount, Variety Stores  
$50.54 -0.23
-0.45%

$50.67

1,858,923
59.71% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 3,113,000
$56.04
-9.81%
7/16/2012 $54.68 PP = $56.14
MB = $58.95
Most Recent Note - 8/16/2012 5:28:02 PM
G - Finished in the upper third of its intra-day range but suffered a loss on higher volume and sank further below its 50 DMA line today. See the latest FSU analysis for more details and a new annotated graph.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 8/16/2012. Click here.

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Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group
PRICE CHANGE
(%Change)
Day High Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol)
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi
Featured
Date
Price
Featured
Pivot Featured
Max Buy
ECPG - NASDAQ
Encore Capital Group Inc
FINANCIAL SERVICES - Credit Services  
$28.20 -0.81
-2.79%

$29.02

131,301
88.12% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 149,000
$30.47
-7.45%
8/3/2012 $29.91 PP = $30.45
MB = $31.97
Most Recent Note - 8/21/2012 5:18:23 PM
Y - Pulled back today with above average volume, yet it remains just above its 50 DMA line and perched only -4.8% off its 52-week high. Completed a Secondary Offering on 8/08/12. Subsequent volume-driven gains for a close above its pivot point would trigger a technical buy signal.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 8/6/2012. Click here.

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EXPE - NASDAQ
Expedia Inc
INTERNET - Internet Information Providers  
$51.72 +0.11
0.21%

$51.87

2,109,405
55.27% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 3,816,600
$59.50
-13.08%
4/27/2012 $41.80 PP = $35.57
MB = $37.35
Most Recent Note - 8/20/2012 2:37:46 PM
G - Consolidating above prior highs and its 50 DMA line defining important near-term chart support in the $50 area.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 8/14/2012. Click here.

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GPX - NYSE
G P Strategies Corp
DIVERSIFIED SERVICES - Education and Training Services  
$19.80 -0.20
-1.00%

$19.96

91,018
122.17% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 74,500
$20.30
-2.46%
6/29/2012 $18.01 PP = $18.15
MB = $19.06
Most Recent Note - 8/21/2012 5:21:27 PM
G - Perched near its 52-week high today, slightly extended from its prior base. Churning above average volume recently without making much meaningful price progress. Prior highs and its 50 DMA line define chart support in the $18 area.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 8/7/2012. Click here.

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HMSY - NASDAQ
H M S Holdings Corp
COMPUTER SOFTWARE and SERVICES - Healthcare Information Service  
$35.08 -0.89
-2.47%

$35.97

1,493,467
170.06% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 878,200
$37.19
-5.67%
7/27/2012 $33.91 PP = $34.83
MB = $36.57
Most Recent Note - 8/22/2012 5:27:45 PM
Y - Pulled back with higher volume today indicative of distributional pressure. Still hovering near its pivot point and perched just -5.7% off its 52-week high. See the latest FSU analysis for more details and a new annotated graph. As previously noted - "Gains above a stock's pivot point must have at least +40% above average volume, preferably greater, to trigger a proper technical buy signal."
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 8/22/2012. Click here.

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LKQ - NASDAQ
L K Q Corp
WHOLESALE - Auto Parts  
$38.82 -0.06
-0.15%

$39.15

711,343
93.30% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 762,400
$39.19
-0.94%
8/9/2012 $37.93 PP = $37.44
MB = $39.31
Most Recent Note - 8/22/2012 5:29:12 PM
Y - Holding its ground today perched at its 52-week high yet still trading below its "max buy" level. Prior highs in the $37 area define initial support to watch above its 50 DMA line.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 8/10/2012. Click here.

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Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group
PRICE CHANGE
(%Change)
Day High Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol)
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi
Featured
Date
Price
Featured
Pivot Featured
Max Buy
MIDD - NASDAQ
Middleby Corp
MANUFACTURING - Diversified Machinery  
$113.43 -1.44
-1.25%

$114.78

106,069
108.12% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 98,100
$119.74
-5.27%
8/9/2012 $118.60 PP = $104.92
MB = $110.17
Most Recent Note - 8/20/2012 2:39:34 PM
G - Quietly consolidating, holding its ground today near its 52-week high. Prior highs in the $104 area define initial support to watch on pullbacks.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 8/13/2012. Click here.

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N - NYSE
Netsuite Inc
DIVERSIFIED SERVICES - Business/Management Services  
$56.19 +0.65
1.17%

$56.31

385,935
52.74% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 731,800
$59.22
-5.12%
8/20/2012 $55.88 PP = $59.32
MB = $62.29
Most Recent Note - 8/20/2012 6:06:22 PM
Y - Color code is changed to yellow with new pivot point cited based on its 8/07/12 high plus 10 cents after several tight weekly closes. Consolidating -5.6% off its 52-week high today with volume totals cooling in recent weeks. See latest FSU analysis for more details and a new annotated graph.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 8/20/2012. Click here.

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NSM - NYSE
Nationstar Mtg Hldgs Inc
FINANCIAL SERVICES - Credit Services  
$26.40 -0.74
-2.73%

$27.30

652,507
78.99% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 826,100
$28.75
-8.17%
6/27/2012 $20.29 PP = $20.46
MB = $21.48
Most Recent Note - 8/22/2012 3:56:49 PM
G - Down today for a 4th consecutive loss since hitting its 52-week high. It is extended from any sound base pattern. Prior highs in the $25 area define near-term support to watch on pullbacks.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 8/1/2012. Click here.

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OSIS - NASDAQ
O S I Systems Inc
ELECTRONICS - Semiconductor Equipment and Mate  
$72.90 -0.49
-0.67%

$73.45

64,638
56.40% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 114,600
$75.00
-2.80%
8/9/2012 $67.71 PP = $67.48
MB = $70.85
Most Recent Note - 8/22/2012 5:30:52 PM
G - Hovering near its 52-week high with volume totals cooling. It is slightly extended from its previous base, and prior highs in the $67-68 area define initial support to watch on pullbacks.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 8/9/2012. Click here.

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RNF - NYSE
Rentech Nitrogen Ptnr Lp
CHEMICALS - Agricultural Chemicals  
$33.59 +0.59
1.79%

$34.40

314,162
72.07% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 435,900
$34.75
-3.34%
7/27/2012 $29.58 PP = $30.60
MB = $32.13
Most Recent Note - 8/21/2012 5:15:12 PM
G - Finished near the session low today with a loss on lighter volume. Encountered distributional pressure after its prior breakout yet found support above prior highs in the $30-31 and then wedged higher.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 7/31/2012. Click here.

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Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group
PRICE CHANGE
(%Change)
Day High Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol)
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi
Featured
Date
Price
Featured
Pivot Featured
Max Buy
SWI - NYSE
Solarwinds Inc
COMPUTER SOFTWARE and SERVICES - Application Software  
$55.28 -0.17
-0.31%

$55.59

752,826
62.00% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,214,300
$56.94
-2.92%
7/25/2012 $47.82 PP = $47.89
MB = $50.28
Most Recent Note - 8/20/2012 4:20:00 PM
G - Volume totals have been cooling in recent weeks while still hovering near its all-time high. Prior highs in the $48 area define initial support to watch on pullbacks.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 7/30/2012. Click here.

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TDG - NYSE
Transdigm Group Inc
AEROSPACE/DEFENSE - Aerospace/Defense Products and; Services  
$136.27 -0.54
-0.39%

$137.06

239,077
56.45% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 423,500
$139.37
-2.22%
8/16/2012 $132.23 PP = $136.44
MB = $143.26
Most Recent Note - 8/17/2012 4:40:59 PM
Y - Today's 7th consecutive gain helped it hit a new 52-week high and trade above the new pivot point cited based on its 7/02/12 high plus 10 cents. The considerable gain backed by +86% above average volume clinched a new (or add-on) technical buy signal. See the latest FSU analysis for more details and a new annotated graph.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 8/17/2012. Click here.

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TNGO - NASDAQ
Tangoe Inc
COMPUTER SOFTWARE and SERVICES - Technical and System Software  
$20.17 -0.03
-0.15%

$20.44

292,801
69.70% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 420,100
$23.05
-12.49%
8/9/2012 $21.30 PP = $23.10
MB = $24.26
Most Recent Note - 8/20/2012 2:34:10 PM
G - Slumping back below its 50 DMA line with today's loss on light volume. It faces resistance up to the $23 level which has been a stubborn resistance area in recent months. Volume-driven gains above its pivot point are needed to trigger a proper technical buy signal.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 7/24/2012. Click here.

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VSI - NYSE
Vitamin Shoppe Inc
SPECIALTY RETAIL - Specialty Retail, Other  
$54.67 +0.91
1.69%

$55.17

293,862
71.95% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 408,400
$61.83
-11.57%
6/29/2012 $54.93 PP = $55.03
MB = $57.78
Most Recent Note - 8/16/2012 3:59:11 PM
G - Down today with higher volume, trading near its 50 DMA line and upward trendline previously noted as defining near-term chart support to watch. More damaging losses would trigger technical sell signals.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 8/2/2012. Click here.

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