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AFTER MARKET UPDATE - WEDNESDAY, JUNE 1ST, 2011
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Indices NYSE Nasdaq
DOW  -279.65 12,290.14 -2.22% Volume 1,189,968,590 -21% Volume 2,201,794,770 -7%
NASDAQ -66.11 2,769.19 -2.33% Advancers 540 17% Advancers 428 16%
S&P 500 -30.65 1,314.55 -2.28% Decliners 2,514 80% Decliners 2,202 81%
Russell 2000 -26.90 821.40 -3.17% 52 Wk Highs 101   52 Wk Highs 74  
S&P 600 -13.56 439.88 -2.99% 52 Wk Lows 39   52 Wk Lows 74  

Major Indexes Dive Below 50-Day Averages Again Raising Concerns

European debt concerns again weighed on the markets after Moody's downgraded its rating on Greek debt and said there is an even chance of default. The major averages collectively fell on Wednesday and all dove back below their respective 50-day moving average (DMA) lines, raising concerns with their damaging losses. Volume totals were lighter than the prior session, but the still above average volume totals on the Nasdaq exchange and on the NYSE were a discouraging sign while declining issues beat advancers by 4-1 on the NYSE and by 5-1 on the Nasdaq. New 52-week highs outnumbered new 52-week lows on the NYSE, but the totals were evenly matched on the Nasdaq exchange. Leadership contracted as there were 36 high-ranked companies from the CANSLIM.net Leaders List that made new 52-week highs and appeared on the CANSLIM.net BreakOuts Page, down from the total of 81 on the prior session.  There were gains from only 2 of the new stocks among the 19 high-ranked leaders included on the Featured Stocks Page at present.

 

The S&P 500 Index's drop of -2.3% was the biggest one-day percentage decline since last August. The sell-off was led by financial and industrial stocks, as reports on jobs and manufacturing heightened investor concerns. ADP said that private payrolls increased only 38,000 last month. That was less than expected and the weakest data since September. Several analysts lowered their forecasts for the government jobs report due out on Friday. Meanwhile, the Institute for Supply Management index of factory activity fell to its lowest level since September 2009.

Ford Motor Co (F -4.6%) and the new General Motors Company (GM -5%) both reported May sales that missed estimates. Treasuries rallied, pushing the yield on the 10-year note below 3% for the first time since December. The 10-year Treasury note rose a full point to yield 2.94%.

The benchmark S&P 500 Index narrowly avoided undercutting its recent low. Provided the Nasdaq Composite Index stays above its Day 1 low (2,739.85) the new confirmed rally and "uptrend" may deserve the benefit of the doubt, however such a damaging distribution day immediately after a follow-through day typically bodes poorly for most new rallies. The stock market has seen leadership recently expand while the technical action in the major indices improved.  Investors may consider odds favorable for acting upon new buy candidates matching all key criteria. Carefully increase exposure to stocks only as the market action dictates on a case-by-case basis, and be sure to strictly limit losses by selling any stocks that fall more than -7% from their purchase price. 

PICTURED: The The Dow Jones Industrial Average undercut its recent low, flashing a more worrisome sign of deterioration for the Blue Chips. Its April low (12,093) defines its next chart support level.


Kenneth J. Gruneisen started out as a licensed stockbroker in August 1987, a couple of months prior to the historic stock market crash that took the Dow Jones Industrial Average down -22.6% in a single day. He has published daily fact-based fundamental and technical analysis on high-ranked stocks online for two decades. Through FACTBASEDINVESTING.COM, Kenneth provides educational articles, news, market commentary, and other information regarding proven investment systems that work in good times and bad.

Comments contained in the body of this report are technical opinions only and are not necessarily those of Gruneisen Growth Corp. The material herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable and accurate, however, its accuracy and completeness cannot be guaranteed. Our firm, employees, and customers may effect transactions, including transactions contrary to any recommendation herein, or have positions in the securities mentioned herein or options with respect thereto. Any recommendation contained in this report may not be suitable for all investors and it is not to be deemed an offer or solicitation on our part with respect to the purchase or sale of any securities.


Financial Groups' Weakness is Damaging to Market Outlook

The Bank Index ($BKX -4.11%) and Broker/Dealer Index ($XBD -4.07%) suffered damaging losses on Wednesday, and both sank to new 2011 lows while they were key contributors to the major averages' abrupt slide following a few positive sessions. The Networking Index ($NWX -3.44%), Semiconductor Index ($SOX -3.03%), and Internet Index ($IIX -2.40%) outpaced the Biotechnology Index ($BTK -1.29%) in he unanimously lower tech sector.  Energy-related shares fell weighing on the Oil Services Index ($OSX -3.01%) and Integrated Oil Index ($XOI -2.47%). The Retail Index ($RLX -2.07%) also slumped. Defensive groups including the Gold & Silver Index ($XAU -1.99%) and Healthcare Index ($HMO -1.27%) meanwhile gave "safe haven' investors no rewards.

Charts courtesy www.stockcharts.com

PICTURED: The Bank Index ($BKX -4.11%) slumped to a new 2011 low. The poor action in financial stocks more seriously hurts the broader market outlook.


Industry Index Symbol Close Change % Change YTD % Change
Oil Services $OSX  264.93 -8.23 -3.01% +8.08%
Healthcare $HMO  2,366.86 -30.43 -1.27% +39.89%
Integrated Oil $XOI  1,299.23 -32.96 -2.47% +7.09%
Semiconductor $SOX  426.28 -13.32 -3.03% +3.51%
Networking $NWX  309.43 -11.02 -3.44% +10.29%
Internet $IIX  313.61 -7.71 -2.40% +1.91%
Broker/Dealer $XBD  111.47 -4.73 -4.07% -8.27%
Retail $RLX  521.62 -11.01 -2.07% +2.60%
Gold & Silver $XAU  204.63 -4.15 -1.99% -9.69%
Bank $BKX  48.04 -2.06 -4.11% -7.99%
Biotech $BTK  1,462.33 -19.04 -1.29% +12.69%


Bullish Action is a Good Start, But Broader Market is a Major Factor

Zagg Inc (ZAGG +$0.76 or +7.39% to $11.04) hit a new 52-week high today and closed in the upper half of its intra-day range. It broke out from a cup-with-handle type base with heavy volume behind its 4th consecutive gain triggering a technical buy signal. In recent months its 200-day moving average (DMA) line acted as support. In today's mid-day report its color code was changed to yellow with pivot point cited based on its prior high. Quarterly and annual earnings increases satisfy the C and A criteria.  The number of top-rated funds owning its shares rose from 13 in Jun '10 to 53 in Mar '11, a reassuring sign concerning the I criteria.  Keep in mind 3 out of 4 stocks follow along with the broader market direction, so much of the stock's future outcome will be determined by the near-term action in the major indices.  At least it is unhindered by overhead supply if the rally continues, but strict buying and selling rules must always be followed in order to maximize gains and minimize losses.


Color Codes Explained :
Y - Better candidates highlighted by our staff of experts.
G - Previously featured in past reports as yellow but may no longer be buyable under the guidelines.

***Last / Change / Volume data in this table is the closing quote data***
Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group
PRICE CHANGE
(%Change)
Day High Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol)
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi
Featured
Date
Price
Featured
Pivot Featured
Max Buy
CEVA - NASDAQ
Ceva Inc
ELECTRONICS - Semiconductor - Specialized  
$33.21 -1.12
-3.26%

$34.50

343,009
157.42% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 217,900
$35.60
-6.71%
5/25/2011 $32.98 PP = $32.05
MB = $33.65
Most Recent Note - 6/1/2011 5:24:13 PM
Y - Paused today and pulled back after a streak of 4 consecutive gains with above average volume to new 52-week highs. It sank below its "max buy" level and its color code is changed to yellow.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 5/25/2011. Click here.

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CMG - NYSE
Chipotle Mexican Grill
LEISURE - Restaurants  
$285.56 -3.51
-1.21%

$291.40

591,513
54.48% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,085,700
$295.99
-3.52%
4/1/2011 $274.00 PP = $275.10
MB = $288.86
Most Recent Note - 6/1/2011 5:26:36 PM
G - Down today with very quiet volume while perched near its all-time high. No resistance remains due to overhead supply. Formed a 5-week base with volume totals cooling in recent weeks while finding support near its 50 DMA line. Its sub par earnings increase of +23% in the latest quarter ended March 31st, 2011 versus the year ago period raised concern while marking its weakest quarterly earnings increase in more than 2 years.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 5/17/2011. Click here.

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EZPW - NASDAQ
Ezcorp Inc Cl A
SPECIALTY RETAIL - Specialty Retail, Other  
$31.73 -1.06
-3.23%

$33.31

708,750
199.82% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 354,700
$33.08
-4.08%
2/18/2011 $27.94 PP = $30.04
MB = $31.54
Most Recent Note - 6/1/2011 5:28:59 PM
G - There was a negative reversal today for a loss on higher volume after touching a new 52-week high. Its volume-driven gain on 5/31/11 helped it rally from a choppy 8-week consolidation, not a sound looking base pattern. Recent lows and its 50 DMA line define important nearby chart support to watch where technical violations would raise more serious concerns.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 5/10/2011. Click here.

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FCFS - NASDAQ
First Cash Financial Svs
SPECIALTY RETAIL - Specialty Retail, Other  
$39.25 -2.50
-5.99%

$42.26

311,036
158.94% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 195,700
$42.36
-7.34%
5/31/2011 $42.00 PP = $40.23
MB = $42.24
Most Recent Note - 6/1/2011 5:38:35 PM
Y - Down considerably today with above average volume, negating its latest breakout and finishing near the session low while slumping well below its pivot point and prior high close. Reversing into its prior base raised concerns immediately after rising from an orderly flat base pattern with 3 times average volume. See the latest FSU analysis for more details and an annotated graph.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 5/31/2011. Click here.

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FOSL - NASDAQ
Fossil Inc
CONSUMER DURABLES - Recreational Goods, Other  
$102.06 -3.78
-3.57%

$106.20

474,358
61.40% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 772,600
$107.54
-5.09%
2/1/2011 $73.30 PP = $74.44
MB = $78.16
Most Recent Note - 6/1/2011 2:01:34 PM
G - Pulling back today, its volume totals have been cooling while consolidating in a tight range since its considerable gap up gain on 5/10/11 for a new all-time high. It is extended from any sound base. Prior highs near $96 define initial support to watch above its 50 DMA line.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 5/2/2011. Click here.

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Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group
PRICE CHANGE
(%Change)
Day High Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol)
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi
Featured
Date
Price
Featured
Pivot Featured
Max Buy
HMSY - NASDAQ
H M S Holdings Corp
COMPUTER SOFTWARE and SERVICES - Healthcare Information Service  
$76.27 -1.79
-2.29%

$78.13

131,879
82.94% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 159,000
$84.82
-10.08%
11/19/2010 $61.89 PP = $63.01
MB = $66.16
Most Recent Note - 6/1/2011 5:41:17 PM
G - Down on below average volume today. It has lingered for the past 4 weeks below its 50 DMA line which may now act as resistance. A rally above it would improve its technical stance. Deterioration below its recent chart low ($73.27) would raise more serious concerns and trigger an additional sell signal.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 5/23/2011. Click here.

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HS - NYSE
Healthspring Inc
HEALTH SERVICES - Health Care Plans  
$43.00 -0.85
-1.94%

$44.35

840,793
85.38% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 984,800
$45.11
-4.68%
3/22/2011 $38.29 PP = $38.85
MB = $40.79
Most Recent Note - 6/1/2011 5:42:57 PM
G - Encountered mild distribuitional pressure today following 4 consecutive small gains on lighter volume. Its 50 DMA line defines important chart support to watch where a violation would trigger technical sell signals.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 5/20/2011. Click here.

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INFA - NASDAQ
Informatica Corp
COMPUTER SOFTWARE and SERVICES - Business Software and Services  
$58.30 -0.36
-0.61%

$59.98

1,634,840
138.39% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,181,300
$59.00
-1.19%
3/24/2011 $50.04 PP = $49.86
MB = $52.35
Most Recent Note - 6/1/2011 5:43:46 PM
G - Hit another new 52-week high today then reversed into the red, pausing after 4 consecutive gains on ever-increasing volume. This high-ranked Computer Software - Database firm did not form a sound new base pattern. Its 50 DMA line defines near-term support to watch.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 5/24/2011. Click here.

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LULU - NASDAQ
Lululemon Athletica
MANUFACTURING - Textile Manufacturing  
$87.91 -2.89
-3.18%

$90.39

2,027,355
99.87% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 2,030,000
$102.83
-14.51%
5/18/2011 $98.15 PP = $102.93
MB = $108.08
Most Recent Note - 6/1/2011 5:00:42 PM
G - Sank to a close even further below its 50 DMA line with today's loss on average volume. Overhead supply may hinder its ability to rally for the near term. It failed to confirm a recent buy signal since a new pivot point was cited, and it triggered technical sell signals with damaging losses on above average volume last week.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 5/27/2011. Click here.

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MELI - NASDAQ
Mercadolibre Inc
INTERNET - Internet Software and; Services  
$88.00 -0.12
-0.14%

$92.25

1,282,443
187.82% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 682,800
$92.73
-5.10%
6/1/2011 $90.55 PP = $92.83
MB = $97.47
Most Recent Note - 6/1/2011 5:06:59 PM
Y - Reversed an early gain and closed near the session low today for a small loss on nearly 2 times average volume. The action was indicative of distributional pressure while challenging its all-time high. In today's mid-day report its color code was changed to yellow while it was noted - "With new pivot point cited based on its high plus 10 cents after a short flat base above its 50 DMA line and prior highs which define chart support on pullbacks. A technical breakout with sufficient volume is needed to subsequently confirm a proper new buy signal. Based on technical deterioration it was dropped from the Featured Stocks list on 10/19/10, and it found support at its long-term 200 DMA line in the interim."

MELI


>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 10/19/2010. Click here.

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Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group
PRICE CHANGE
(%Change)
Day High Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol)
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi
Featured
Date
Price
Featured
Pivot Featured
Max Buy
MG - NYSE
Mistras Group Inc
DIVERSIFIED SERVICES - Bulding and Faci;ity Management Services  
$17.12 -0.29
-1.67%

$17.49

168,362
103.61% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 162,500
$18.46
-7.26%
3/15/2011 $15.48 PP = $15.90
MB = $16.70
Most Recent Note - 5/31/2011 3:56:25 PM
G - Today's gain on below average (but higher) volume has it rallying back above its 50 DMA line helping its outlook, technically. The recent low ($15.44 on 5/05/11) defines the next chart support. Completed a new Public Offering on 5/05/11.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 5/12/2011. Click here.

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MWIV - NASDAQ
M W I Veterinary Supply
HEALTH SERVICES - Medical Instruments and; Supplies  
$81.75 -2.55
-3.02%

$84.30

179,832
205.76% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 87,400
$86.99
-6.02%
11/4/2010 $61.79 PP = $59.60
MB = $62.58
Most Recent Note - 6/1/2011 5:09:43 PM
G - Down today with above average volume, slumping back toward its 50 DMA line and recent chart lows defining important support to watch. Stubbornly held its ground in recent weeks, but it did not form a sound new base pattern.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 5/5/2011. Click here.

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OPNT - NASDAQ
Opnet Technologies
INTERNET - Internet Software and Services  
$38.56 -0.61
-1.56%

$39.32

464,160
367.51% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 126,300
$42.51
-9.29%
5/11/2011 $41.21 PP = $40.50
MB = $42.53
Most Recent Note - 6/1/2011 5:44:45 PM
G - Churned heavy volume for a second consecutive session with another small loss today while consolidating just above its 50 DMA line. It faces very little resistance due to overhead supply.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 5/11/2011. Click here.

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OTEX - NASDAQ
Open Text Corp
INTERNET - Internet Software and Services  
$65.46 +0.21
0.32%

$66.34

533,119
156.29% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 341,100
$67.08
-2.42%
6/1/2011 $65.86 PP = $67.18
MB = $70.54
Most Recent Note - 6/1/2011 5:48:08 PM

Y - Found support near prior highs and above its 50 DMA line during its consolidation. Higher than average volume without great price progress may be a sign of distributional pressure. In today's mid-day report its color code was changed to yellow as it was noted - "With pivot point cited based on its high plus 10 cents. No resistance remains from overhead supply, however a breakout on volume is still needed to confirm a proper new technical buy signal. It has a very good annual earnings (the A criteria) history. The 4 latest quarterly earnings increases have been reported above the +25% guideline of the investment system. This Ontario, Canada-based Computer Software - Database firm's sales revenues increased by +24% in the quarter ended March 31, 2011 versus the year ago period. Sales revenues were previously noted at only in the +3-8% range in the Sep '10 and Dec '10 quarters."

OTEX


>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 4/24/2008. Click here.

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PCLN - NASDAQ
Priceline.Com Inc
INTERNET - Internet Software and Services  
$507.06 -8.13
-1.58%

$519.39

958,252
87.01% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,101,300
$561.88
-9.76%
1/3/2011 $399.55 PP = $428.20
MB = $449.61
Most Recent Note - 5/31/2011 4:00:07 PM
G - Gain today with below average volume helped it rally just above its 50 DMA line. Losses on higher volume last week were noted as indicative of more distributional pressure. Recent chart low ($493.67 on 5/17/11) defines an important near-term support level where further deterioration would raise even greater concerns.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 5/19/2011. Click here.

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Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group
PRICE CHANGE
(%Change)
Day High Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol)
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi
Featured
Date
Price
Featured
Pivot Featured
Max Buy
RAX - NYSE
Rackspace Hosting Inc
INTERNET - Internet Software and; Services  
$43.90 -0.10
-0.23%

$44.49

2,561,649
141.06% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,816,000
$46.50
-5.58%
3/16/2011 $36.28 PP = $40.72
MB = $42.76
Most Recent Note - 5/31/2011 7:11:48 PM
G - Up today with heavy volume for a 4th consecutive small gain. Consolidating above its 50 DMA line, it has not formed a sound new base pattern but may eventually form a new "late-stage" base. Meanwhile, deterioration below its recent chart low ($38.84 on 5/12/11) would trigger more worrisome technical sell signals.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 5/13/2011. Click here.

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TIBX - NASDAQ
Tibco Software Inc
COMPUTER SOFTWARE and SERVICES - Business Software and Services  
$27.30 -0.79
-2.81%

$28.39

2,648,172
97.58% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 2,713,800
$30.75
-11.22%
3/18/2011 $23.88 PP = $26.04
MB = $27.34
Most Recent Note - 6/1/2011 5:20:22 PM
G - Today marked its lowest close since its 4/12/11 gap up gain on high volume, erasing all progress it made and leaving it now with 7-weeks worth of overhead supply to act as resistance. More damaging losses may raise serious concerns after it technically triggered sell signals with losses and slumped further below its 50 DMA line.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 5/18/2011. Click here.

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ULTA - NASDAQ
Ulta Salon Cosm & Frag
SPECIALTY RETAIL - Specialty Retail, Other  
$54.12 -1.86
-3.32%

$56.70

842,559
176.12% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 478,400
$57.17
-5.33%
1/6/2011 $36.12 PP = $37.34
MB = $39.21
Most Recent Note - 6/1/2011 1:25:06 PM
G - Perched at its all-time high. Found support above its 50 DMA line last week, and currently it is extended from any sound base pattern.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 5/26/2011. Click here.

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ZAGG - NASDAQ
Zagg Inc
SPECIALTY RETAIL - Specialty Retail, Other  
$11.04 +0.76
7.39%

$11.42

5,034,229
444.76% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,131,900
$10.59
4.25%
6/1/2011 $10.92 PP = $10.59
MB = $11.12
Most Recent Note - 6/1/2011 5:52:01 PM
Y - Hit a new 52-week high today and closed in the upper half of its intra-day range. Broke out from a cup-with-handle type base with heavy volume behind its 4th consecutive gain triggering a technical buy signal. In recent months its 200 DMA acted as support. In today's mid-day report its color code was changed to yellow with pivot point cited based on its prior high. Quarterly and annual earnings increases satisfy the C and A criteria.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 6/1/2011. Click here.

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