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AFTER MARKET UPDATE - WEDNESDAY, MARCH 27TH, 2013
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Indices NYSE Nasdaq
DOW  -33.49 14,526.16 -0.23% Volume 596,256,810 +7% Volume 1,372,409,790 -2%
NASDAQ +4.04 3,256.52 +0.12% Advancers 1,588 51% Advancers 1,158 46%
S&P 500 -0.92 1,562.85 -0.06% Decliners 1,407 45% Decliners 1,261 50%
Russell 2000 +0.42 950.24 +0.04% 52 Wk Highs 210   52 Wk Highs 120  
S&P 600 -0.30 530.65 -0.06% 52 Wk Lows 22   52 Wk Lows 26  

Major Averages Ended Mixed With Below Average Volume Totals

The major averages ended mixed and little changed on Wednesday.  The volume totals were also reported mixed, higher than the prior session total on the NYSE and lower on the Nasdaq exchange. Breadth was mixed as advancing issues narrowly outnumbered decliners on the NYSE, yet decliners narrowly edged out advancers on the Nasdaq exchange.  The volume totals were below average, with the overall action indicating that the institutional crowd was essentially taking a Spring Break. The total number of stocks hitting new 52-week highs contracted, yet new highs still easily outnumbered new 52-week lows on the NYSE and on the Nasdaq exchange. There were 61 high-ranked companies from the CANSLIM.net Leaders List making new 52-week highs and appearing on the CANSLIM.net BreakOuts Page, down from the prior session total of 70 stocks. There were losses for only 3 of the 19 high-ranked companies currently included on the Featured Stocks Page, a rather bullish bias versus the broader market's even breadth.

 

Concerns surrounding Italy's political stalemate resurfaced after the nation's main leadership candidate said there was no possibility of a broad coalition to end the deadlock. Cyprus also was in focus as its government prepared aggressive capital controls before the nation's banks reopen tomorrow. U.S. economic data was limited. The pending home sales index fell -0.4% in February to its second-highest level since April 2010 after a downwardly revised increase of +3.8% in the prior month.

Overall, nearly all sectors were down with Materials pacing the decline. Cliffs Natural Resources Inc (CLF -13.86%) led the group lower following an analyst downgrade. Financials also weighed on the market as JP Morgan Chase & Co (JPM -1.79%) and MetLife (MET -1.09%) retreated. Gains in Utilities helped limit losses as Duke Energy Corp (DUK +1.09%) advanced. Humana Inc (HUM +3.03%) rallied after congressional researchers said the U.S. Medicare program has the authority to increase payment to insurers.

In fixed-income, Treasury prices were up for the third straight session before the government's auction of $35 billion in 5-year notes. The 10-year note was up 19/32 to yield 1.84% and the 30-year bond gained over a full point to yield 3.08%.

New buying efforts are justified under the fact-based system since a follow-through day on 3/05/13 shifted the market's (M criteria) direction to a confirmed rally again after a brief correction. Any sustainable rally requires a healthy crop of companies hitting new 52-week highs, so it is always essential to see meaningful leadership (stocks hitting new 52-week highs). 

Watch for an announcement via email concerning the next WEBCAST. The webcast will also be available via an updated link highlighted at the top of the Premium Member Homepage

PICTURED: The Nasdaq Composite Index overcame early weakness and posted a small gain on lighter than average volume.


Kenneth J. Gruneisen started out as a licensed stockbroker in August 1987, a couple of months prior to the historic stock market crash that took the Dow Jones Industrial Average down -22.6% in a single day. He has published daily fact-based fundamental and technical analysis on high-ranked stocks online for two decades. Through FACTBASEDINVESTING.COM, Kenneth provides educational articles, news, market commentary, and other information regarding proven investment systems that work in good times and bad.

Comments contained in the body of this report are technical opinions only and are not necessarily those of Gruneisen Growth Corp. The material herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable and accurate, however, its accuracy and completeness cannot be guaranteed. Our firm, employees, and customers may effect transactions, including transactions contrary to any recommendation herein, or have positions in the securities mentioned herein or options with respect thereto. Any recommendation contained in this report may not be suitable for all investors and it is not to be deemed an offer or solicitation on our part with respect to the purchase or sale of any securities.


Biotech, Oil Services, and Defensive Indexes Posted Gains

Defensive groups were standout gainers on Wednesday as the Gold & Silver Index ($XAU +1.63%) and Healthcare Index ($HMO +1.01%) tallied gains.  The Broker/Dealer Index ($XBD +0.04%) and the Retail Index ($RLX +0.13%) finished with tiny gains on the session while the Bank Index ($BKX -0.57%) created a negative drag on the major averages.  The Biotechnology Index ($BTK +1.36%) led the tech sector higher. There were much smaller gains from the Internet Index ($IIX +0.24%), Semiconductor Index ($SOX +0.11%), and the Networking Index ($NWX +0.01%).  The Oil Services Index ($OSX +1.17%) also posted a decent gain while the Integrated Oil Index ($XOI +0.04%) ended essentially unchanged for the session.

Charts courtesy www.stockcharts.com

PICTURED: The Networking Index ($NWX +0.01%) is currently consolidating below its 50-day moving average line near its prior lows.


Industry Index Symbol Close Change % Change YTD % Change


Relative Strength Rating Slumped Under 80+ Minimum

Neustar Inc (NSR +$0.25 or +0.54% to $46.30) found support in recent weeks near its 50-day moving average (DMA) line  - a textbook support level for chart readers. A new pivot point was noted on 3/08/13 based on its 2/27/13 high plus 10 cents while forming a "square box" base while it was noted - "Volume-driven gains above the pivot point may trigger a new (or add-on) technical buy signal."  Since that time it has not triggered a new (or add-on) technical buy signal, however it tallied some gains backed by above average volume which were encouraging signs it was finding recent institutional support. Meanwhile, its Relative Strength Rating has slumped to 75 (see red circle), under the 80+ minimum guideline for buy candidates, raising some concerns.

The 2/21/13 low ($42.40) defines near-term support below its 50 DMA line, where any subsequent deterioration would raise greater concerns and trigger worrisome technical sell signals. It was last shown in this FSU section on 2/27/13 with an annotated graph under the headline, "Finding Support Near 50-Day Average After Recent Damaging Loss." Leadership from other high-ranked leaders in the Telecom - Infrastructure group is still a reassuring sign (concerning the L criteria). However, NSR only traded up as much as +12.9% since highlighted in yellow at $41.85 in the 12/11/12 mid-day report (read here) as it rose from a 10-week base.  Quarterly comparisons through Dec '12 showed 4 consecutive increases of more than the +25% minimum earnings guideline (C criteria). The number of top-rated funds owning its shares rose from 400 in Mar '12 to 414 in Dec '12, a slightly reassuring trend concerning the I criteria.  Its Return On Equity is reported at 36%, well above the 17% minimum guideline. Its small supply of 66 million shares (S criteria) outstanding can lead to greater price volatility if the institutional crowd rushes to accumulate shares, or if they decide to leave.


Color Codes Explained :
Y - Better candidates highlighted by our staff of experts.
G - Previously featured in past reports as yellow but may no longer be buyable under the guidelines.

***Last / Change / Volume data in this table is the closing quote data***
Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group
PRICE CHANGE
(%Change)
Day High Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol)
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi
Featured
Date
Price
Featured
Pivot Featured
Max Buy
AMBA - NASDAQ
Ambarella Inc
ELECTRONICS - Semiconductor - Specialized  
$14.79 -0.25
-1.66%

$15.26

600,953
243.20% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 247,100
$15.47
-4.40%
3/26/2013 $15.31 PP = $14.83
MB = $15.57
Most Recent Note - 3/27/2013 12:07:43 PM
Y - Holding its ground today. Rallied above its pivot point with a considerable gain backed by 5 times average volume on 3/26/13 triggering a technical buy signal from a cup-with-high-handle base. See the latest FSU analysis for more details and a new annotated graph.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 3/26/2013. Click here.

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CELG - NASDAQ
Celgene Corp
DRUGS - Drug Manufacturers - Major  
$113.24 +0.77
0.68%

$113.46

2,147,743
62.09% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 3,459,000
$115.44
-1.91%
3/27/2013 $113.24 PP = $115.54
MB = $121.32
Most Recent Note - 3/27/2013 6:30:10 PM
Y - It has formed an advanced "3-weeks tight" base and its color code is changed to yellow with new pivot point cited based on its 3/14/13 high plus 10 cents. Subsequent volume-driven gains above the pivot point may trigger a new (or add-on) technical buy signal. Meanwhile its 50 DMA line defines important support to watch.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 2/28/2013. Click here.

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CFNL - NASDAQ
Cardinal Financial Corp
BANKING - Regional - Southeast Banks  
$18.37 +0.14
0.77%

$18.39

204,648
95.99% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 213,200
$18.40
-0.16%
3/22/2013 $17.99 PP = $18.29
MB = $19.20
Most Recent Note - 3/22/2013 8:19:04 PM
Y - Closed 3 weeks in a row in a very tight range forming an advanced "3-weeks tight" base. Color code is changed to yellow with new pivot point cited based on its 3/08/13 high plus 10 cents. Subsequent volume-driven gains into new high territory may trigger a new (or add-on) technical buy signal.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 3/18/2013. Click here.

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CMCSA - NASDAQ
Comcast Corp Cl A
MEDIA - CATV Systems  
$41.75 +0.28
0.68%

$41.76

11,165,188
78.68% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 14,191,500
$42.00
-0.60%
12/3/2012 $37.08 PP = $38.06
MB = $39.96
Most Recent Note - 3/27/2013 6:32:11 PM
G - Found recent support and rallied from its 50 DMA line. Relative Strength Rating is at 78, just the 80+ guideline. Fundamental concerns remain since it reported earnings +11% on +6% sales revenues for the Dec '12 quarter.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 3/19/2013. Click here.

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CVLT - NASDAQ
Commvault Systems Inc
COMPUTER SOFTWARE and SERVICES - Business Software and Services  
$83.29 +1.29
1.57%

$83.35

384,765
52.58% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 731,800
$86.89
-4.14%
3/14/2013 $84.71 PP = $79.63
MB = $83.61
Most Recent Note - 3/27/2013 6:34:45 PM
Y - Volume totals have been cooling in recent weeks while consolidating above prior highs in the $79 area defining initial chart support to watch. Its technical breakout on 3/14/13 was backed by 4.5 times average volume. Prior highs define initial support to watch above its 50 DMA line.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 3/14/2013. Click here.

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Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group
PRICE CHANGE
(%Change)
Day High Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol)
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi
Featured
Date
Price
Featured
Pivot Featured
Max Buy
EVER - NYSE
Everbank Financial Corp
BANKING  
$15.48 +0.04
0.26%

$15.57

373,471
41.84% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 892,600
$17.29
-10.47%
3/4/2013 $15.38 PP = $15.83
MB = $16.62
Most Recent Note - 3/22/2013 8:14:53 PM
G - Quietly consolidating near its 50 DMA line. That important short-term average has acted as support since damaging losses violated prior highs in the $16 area raising concerns while completely negating its prior technical breakout.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 3/4/2013. Click here.

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FLT - NYSE
Fleetcor Technologies
DIVERSIFIED SERVICES - Business/Management Services  
$76.05 -0.64
-0.83%

$76.50

686,440
92.08% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 745,500
$77.46
-1.82%
3/21/2013 $71.14 PP = $73.00
MB = $76.65
Most Recent Note - 3/25/2013 12:14:11 PM
Y - Perched at its 52-week high today. Rallied above its pivot point with 2 consecutive volume-driven gains last week triggering a technical buy signal. Prior high in the $72 area defines near-term support to watch on pullbacks.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 3/21/2013. Click here.

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JAZZ - NASDAQ
Jazz Pharmaceuticals Plc
DRUGS - Biotechnology  
$56.42 +0.41
0.73%

$56.53

462,181
84.22% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 548,800
$60.79
-7.19%
3/5/2013 $59.10 PP = $60.10
MB = $63.11
Most Recent Note - 3/22/2013 8:30:25 PM
G - Color code is changed to green after quietly slumping below its 50 DMA line this week raising concerns. Its Relative Strength rating has also slumped to 58, well below the 80+ minimum guideline for buy candidates. Completed a Secondary Offering on 3/05/13. It did not trigger a technical buy signal after its latest base.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 3/7/2013. Click here.

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KORS - NYSE
Michael Kors Hldgs Ltd
RETAIL - Apparel Stores  
$56.41 +1.19
2.16%

$56.65

4,848,788
79.86% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 6,071,400
$65.10
-13.35%
1/23/2013 $54.98 PP = $58.72
MB = $61.66
Most Recent Note - 3/27/2013 6:37:30 PM
G - Still sputtering below its 50 DMA line and its Relative Strength rating has slumped to 72, below the 80+ minimum guideline for buy candidates raising more concerns. Completed another Secondary Offering 2/20/13 while perched near its all-time high.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 3/8/2013. Click here.

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LNKD - NYSE
Linkedin Corp Class A
INTERNET - Internet Information Providers  
$177.88 +1.83
1.04%

$179.13

1,247,371
50.58% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 2,466,000
$184.15
-3.40%
2/8/2013 $147.04 PP = $127.55
MB = $133.93
Most Recent Note - 3/25/2013 8:33:09 PM
G - Erased most of the prior session's gain, retreating from its best-ever close with volume near average behind today's loss. Very extended from its prior base, meanwhile its 50 DMA line defines important near term support to watch on pullbacks.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 3/11/2013. Click here.

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Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group
PRICE CHANGE
(%Change)
Day High Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol)
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi
Featured
Date
Price
Featured
Pivot Featured
Max Buy
LOPE - NASDAQ
Grand Canyon Education
DIVERSIFIED SERVICES - Education and; Training Services  
$25.37 +0.57
2.30%

$25.87

388,578
88.45% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 439,300
$27.18
-6.66%
2/20/2013 $26.44 PP = $25.10
MB = $26.36
Most Recent Note - 3/27/2013 6:41:48 PM
G - Found support near its 50 DMA line however gains in recent weeks have been backed by below average volume. Its Relative Strength Rating has also slumped to 75, below the 80+ minimum guideline for buy candidates.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 3/13/2013. Click here.

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MIDD - NASDAQ
Middleby Corp
MANUFACTURING - Diversified Machinery  
$150.58 +0.32
0.21%

$151.21

55,768
59.39% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 93,900
$154.74
-2.69%
10/8/2012 $118.46 PP = $122.67
MB = $128.80
Most Recent Note - 3/25/2013 9:01:47 PM
G - Recently staying in tight trading range near all-time highs, stubbornly holding its ground. Fundamental concerns were recently noted. See latest FSU analysis for more details and a new annotated graph.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 3/25/2013. Click here.

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MNTX - NASDAQ
Manitex International
MANUFACTURING - Diversified Machinery  
$12.75 +0.72
5.99%

$12.75

280,167
155.48% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 180,200
$13.14
-2.97%
3/20/2013 $11.29 PP = $12.05
MB = $12.65
Most Recent Note - 3/27/2013 12:28:56 PM
Y - Trading up today after encountering distributional pressure on the prior session. A considerable gain with heavy volume on 3/25/13 cleared its pivot point and triggered a technical buy signal. Prior highs define initial support to watch on pullbacks.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 3/20/2013. Click here.

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MRLN - NASDAQ
Marlin Business Services
DIVERSIFIED SERVICES - Rental and Leasing Services  
$23.58 +0.00
0.00%

$23.59

9,887
42.43% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 23,300
$23.65
-0.30%
3/15/2013 $22.29 PP = $23.18
MB = $24.34
Most Recent Note - 3/25/2013 8:45:21 PM
Y - Volume was +45% above average behind today's 6th consecutive gain as it hit a new 52-week high and finished at its best close of the year. The recent action is indicative of institutional accumulation, however it closed the session 2 cents below the pivot point cited. Subsequent volume-driven gains above the pivot point could help clinch a more convincing technical buy signal.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 3/15/2013. Click here.

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MWIV - NASDAQ
M W I Veterinary Supply
HEALTH SERVICES - Medical Instruments and; Supplies  
$134.75 +0.50
0.37%

$135.09

13,597
23.90% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 56,900
$137.18
-1.77%
3/4/2013 $130.90 PP = $129.45
MB = $135.92
Most Recent Note - 3/22/2013 8:09:58 PM
Y - Pulled back today with above average volume, consolidating above its pivot point. Disciplined investors limit loses by selling if ever any stock fall more than -7% from their purchase price.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 3/6/2013. Click here.

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Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group
PRICE CHANGE
(%Change)
Day High Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol)
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi
Featured
Date
Price
Featured
Pivot Featured
Max Buy
N - NYSE
Netsuite Inc
DIVERSIFIED SERVICES - Business/Management Services  
$79.69 +1.86
2.39%

$79.90

627,082
173.90% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 360,600
$78.55
1.45%
12/12/2012 $64.75 PP = $67.12
MB = $70.48
Most Recent Note - 3/22/2013 8:22:33 PM
G - Perched at its 52-week and all-time high, holding its ground after another gain backed by above average volume on the prior session. Its 50 DMA line acted as support during the recent consolidation.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 3/1/2013. Click here.

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NSR - NYSE
Neustar Inc
TELECOMMUNICATIONS - Diversified Communication Serv  
$46.30 +0.25
0.54%

$46.49

406,235
93.34% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 435,200
$47.24
-1.99%
3/8/2013 $44.99 PP = $47.34
MB = $49.71
Most Recent Note - 3/27/2013 6:47:56 PM
Y - Its Relative Strength rating has slumped to 75, below the 80+ minimum guideline for buy candidates, while quietly consolidating this week near its 50 DMA line which has acted as support. See the latest FSU analysis for more details and a new annotated graph.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 3/27/2013. Click here.

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SLCA - NYSE
U S Silica Holdings Inc
CHEMICALS - Specialty Chemicals  
$22.94 +0.75
3.38%

$23.08

954,009
92.41% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,032,400
$28.50
-19.51%
2/26/2013 $22.23 PP = $21.50
MB = $22.58
Most Recent Note - 3/27/2013 6:45:58 PM
G - Consolidating above support at its 50 DMA line since completing a Secondary Offering on 3/14/13. Previously noted - "Very extended from its prior base, but having rallied more than +20% in the first 2-3 weeks after its breakout, the investment system rules suggest holding such winners for a minimum of 8 weeks."
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 3/22/2013. Click here.

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VRX - NYSE
Valeant Pharmaceuticals
DRUGS - Drug Manufacturers - Other  
$74.12 -0.28
-0.38%

$74.27

925,063
73.82% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,253,100
$74.81
-0.92%
12/20/2012 $60.24 PP = $61.21
MB = $64.27
Most Recent Note - 3/27/2013 6:43:52 PM
G - Hovering near its all-time high today, holding its ground with volume totals cooling in the past week. It is very extended from the secondary buy point noted earlier. The 50 DMA line and recent low ($64.05 on 2/21/13) define important support areas to watch on pullbacks.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 3/12/2013. Click here.

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