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AFTER MARKET UPDATE - THURSDAY, MARCH 28TH, 2013
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DOW |
+52.38 |
14,578.54 |
+0.36% |
|
Volume |
886,801,810 |
+49% |
|
Volume |
1,539,280,000 |
+12% |
|
NASDAQ |
+11.00 |
3,267.52 |
+0.34% |
|
Advancers |
1,869 |
60% |
|
Advancers |
1,375 |
53% |
|
S&P 500 |
+6.34 |
1,569.19 |
+0.41% |
|
Decliners |
1,135 |
36% |
|
Decliners |
1,081 |
42% |
|
Russell 2000 |
+1.30 |
951.54 |
+0.14% |
|
52 Wk Highs |
357 |
|
|
52 Wk Highs |
200 |
|
|
S&P 600 |
+0.73 |
531.38 |
+0.14% |
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52 Wk Lows |
12 |
|
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52 Wk Lows |
20 |
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S&P 500 Index Marks New Closing High; Benchmark Index Up +10.0% in First Quarter
Kenneth J. Gruneisen - Passed the CAN SLIM® Master's Exam
Stocks were higher on Thursday, the final trading day of March. In the month of March, the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained +3.7 %, the S&P 500 Index climbed +3.6% and the Nasdaq Composite Index rose +3.4%. For the first-quarter of 2013, the Dow advanced +11.3%, the S&P 500 was +10.0% higher and the Nasdaq Composite Index advanced +8.2%. Thursday's volume totals were reported higher than the prior session total on the NYSE and on the Nasdaq exchange, indicating a hint of institutional accumulation ahead of the long holiday weekend. Breadth was positive as advancing issues outnumbered decliners by 3-2 on the NYSE and by 9-7 the Nasdaq exchange. The total number of stocks hitting new 52-week highs expanded and new highs easily outnumbered new 52-week lows on the NYSE and on the Nasdaq exchange. There were 103 high-ranked companies from the CANSLIM.net Leaders List making new 52-week highs and appearing on the CANSLIM.net BreakOuts Page, up considerably from the prior session total of 61 stocks. There were gains for 11 of the 19 high-ranked companies currently included on the Featured Stocks Page.
The Dow climbed 52 points to a new record high at 14,578 as a positive tone followed the re-opening of banks in Cyprus. Concerns surrounding Europe eased. On the economic front in the U.S., fourth-quarter Gross Domestic Product (GDP) was revised to a 0.4% annualized rate from the prior reading of 0.1%. Weekly initial jobless claims increased 16,000 to 357,000.
Nine of 10 sectors were higher on Thursday, led by utilities including Spectra Energy Corp (SE +1.72%). Biogen Idec (BIIB +5.44%) climbed after the company won FDA approval for its multiple sclerosis medication. Technology was the laggard with Apple Inc (AAPL -2.1%) slumping. On the earnings front, GameStop Corp (GME +5.75%) rallied after quarterly results topped consensus estimates. Blackberry (BBRY -0.84%) edged lower despite posting an earnings beat.
Treasuries were lower with the 10-year note down 1/32 to yield 1.85%.
New buying efforts are justified under the fact-based system since a follow-through day on 3/05/13 shifted the market's (M criteria) direction to a confirmed rally again after a brief correction. Any sustainable rally requires a healthy crop of companies hitting new 52-week highs, so it is always essential to see meaningful leadership (stocks hitting new 52-week highs).
Watch for an announcement via email concerning the next WEBCAST. The webcast will also be available via an updated link highlighted at the top of the Premium Member Homepage.
PICTURED: The benchmark S&P 500 Index managed its best ever close while approaching the 1,576 all-time high (on an intra-day basis) from October 2007.
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Kenneth J. Gruneisen started out as a licensed stockbroker in August 1987, a couple of months prior to the historic stock market crash that took the Dow Jones Industrial Average down -22.6% in a single day. He has published daily fact-based fundamental and technical analysis on high-ranked stocks online for two decades. Through FACTBASEDINVESTING.COM, Kenneth provides educational articles, news, market commentary, and other information regarding proven investment systems that work in good times and bad.
Comments contained in the body of this report are technical opinions only and are not necessarily those of Gruneisen Growth Corp. The material herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable and accurate, however, its accuracy and completeness cannot be guaranteed. Our firm, employees, and customers may effect transactions, including transactions contrary to any recommendation herein, or have positions in the securities mentioned herein or options with respect thereto. Any recommendation contained in this report may not be suitable for all investors and it is not to be deemed an offer or solicitation on our part with respect to the purchase or sale of any securities. |
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Tech Sector Led Market Higher
Kenneth J. Gruneisen - Passed the CAN SLIM® Master's Exam
The tech sector had a positive bias as the Biotechnology Index ($BTK +1.27%) led the way, followed by the Semiconductor Index ($SOX +0.72%) and smaller gains from the Networking Index ($NWX +0.45%) and the Internet Index ($IIX +0.28%). Meanwhile, the Bank Index ($BKX -0.05%), Broker/Dealer Index ($XBD -0.03%), and Retail Index ($RLX +0.04%) hugged the flat line on Thursday, limiting the major averages' ability to rally. The Healthcare Index ($HMO -0.05%) also finished flat while the Gold & Silver Index ($XAU -0.62%) backpedaled. Energy-related shares edged lower as the Integrated Oil Index ($XOI -0.23%) and Oil Services Index ($OSX -0.07%) each finished the session just below unchanged.
Charts courtesy www.stockcharts.com
PICTURED: The Oil Services Index ($OSX -0.07%) rebounded above its 50-day moving average (DMA) line with gains this week.
| Oil Services |
$OSX |
245.56 |
-0.16 |
-0.07% |
+11.54% |
| Healthcare |
$HMO |
2,777.84 |
-1.47 |
-0.05% |
+10.49% |
| Integrated Oil |
$XOI |
1,358.70 |
-3.17 |
-0.23% |
+9.41% |
| Semiconductor |
$SOX |
436.66 |
+3.13 |
+0.72% |
+13.70% |
| Networking |
$NWX |
233.21 |
+1.04 |
+0.45% |
+2.94% |
| Internet |
$IIX |
363.16 |
+1.03 |
+0.28% |
+11.06% |
| Broker/Dealer |
$XBD |
107.87 |
-0.03 |
-0.03% |
+14.35% |
| Retail |
$RLX |
726.51 |
+0.27 |
+0.04% |
+11.25% |
| Gold & Silver |
$XAU |
135.76 |
-0.85 |
-0.62% |
-18.02% |
| Bank |
$BKX |
56.28 |
-0.03 |
-0.05% |
+9.75% |
| Biotech |
$BTK |
1,826.75 |
+22.91 |
+1.27% |
+18.08% |
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Gains Lacked Volume While Wedging From Advanced "3-Weeks Tight" Pattern
Kenneth J. Gruneisen - Passed the CAN SLIM® Master's Exam
Celgene Corp (CELG +$2.67 or +2.36% to $115.91) quietly traded above its new pivot point with Thursday's gain backed by only average volume. It recently formed an advanced "3-weeks tight" base and its color code was changed to yellow with new pivot point of $115.54 cited based on its 3/14/13 high plus 10 cents. Disciplined investors know that volume-driven gains above the pivot point are necessary to trigger a proper technical buy signal, and the minimum volume required behind a gain is +40% above average. The volume requirement is important because the market's best winners really had the look of institutional accumulation, the kind of heavy buying demand that can lead to a sustained and meaningful advance in share prices.
Bullish action has continued since its last appearance in this FSU section on 2/28/13 with an annotated graph under the headline, "Extending Gains After Holding Firm Ground". The Medical -Biomed/Biotech firm has rewarded patient investors since they were reminded on 1/17/13 with an annotated graph under the headline, "Rule Suggests Letting Explosive Winners Have Time For Greater Gains", as it was noted - "Having quickly rallied more than +20% in the first 2-3 weeks after its technical breakout, the investment system rules suggest holding such explosive winners for a minimum of 8 weeks to allow for potentially greater gains. Disciplined investors never hold any stock if it fails badly however, or if it falls more than -7% from their purchase price."
CELG has maintained a strong earnings history (C and A criteria), and it recently reported earnings +26% on +13% sales revenues for the Dec '12 quarter. The number of top-rated funds owning its shares rose from 1,623 in Dec '11 to 1,742 in Dec '12, a reassuring trend concerning the I criteria. However, the company is already well-known by the institutional crowd. Its 50-day moving average (DMA) line defines important support to watch on pullbacks. It has not tested that short-term averages since finding support there in late December before embarking on a considerable winning streak.
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Color Codes Explained :
Y - Better candidates highlighted by our
staff of experts.
G - Previously featured
in past reports as yellow but may no longer be buyable under the
guidelines.
***Last / Change / Volume data in this table is the closing quote data***
Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group |
PRICE |
CHANGE
(%Change) |
Day High |
Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol) |
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi |
Featured
Date |
Price
Featured |
Pivot Featured |
|
Max Buy |
AMBA
-
NASDAQ
Ambarella Inc
ELECTRONICS - Semiconductor - Specialized
|
$15.66
|
+0.87
5.88% |
$15.91
|
853,773
332.60% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 256,700
|
$15.47
1.23%
|
3/26/2013
|
$15.31
|
PP = $14.83
|
|
MB = $15.57
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Most Recent Note - 3/28/2013 11:58:36 AM
Y - Hitting another new 52-week high with above average volume behind today's gain. Rallied above its pivot point with a considerable gain backed by 5 times average volume on 3/26/13 triggering a technical buy signal from a cup-with-high-handle base. See the latest FSU analysis for more details and a new annotated graph.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 3/26/2013. Click here.
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C
A N
S L
I M
|
CELG
-
NASDAQ
Celgene Corp
DRUGS - Drug Manufacturers - Major
|
$115.91
|
+2.67
2.36% |
$116.95
|
3,362,173
98.38% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 3,417,500
|
$115.44
0.41%
|
3/27/2013
|
$113.24
|
PP = $115.54
|
|
MB = $121.32
|
Most Recent Note - 3/28/2013 6:05:26 PM
Y - It wedged to new highs from an advanced "3-weeks tight" base with only average volume behind its gain today above the new pivot point cited based on its 3/14/13 high plus 10 cents. See the latest FSU analysis for more details and a new annotated weekly graph.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 3/28/2013. Click here.
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C
A N
S L
I M
|
CFNL
-
NASDAQ
Cardinal Financial Corp
BANKING - Regional - Southeast Banks
|
$18.18
|
-0.19
-1.03% |
$18.40
|
123,470
58.16% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 212,300
|
$18.40
-1.20%
|
3/22/2013
|
$17.99
|
PP = $18.29
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|
MB = $19.20
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Most Recent Note - 3/28/2013 2:36:56 PM
Y - Inched higher with small gains lacking great volume conviction since forming the previously noted advanced "3-weeks tight" base. Gains above the pivot point must have at least the bare minimum +40% above average volume, preferably more, to trigger a proper new (or add-on) technical buy signal.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 3/18/2013. Click here.
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C
A N
S L
I M
|
CMCSA
-
NASDAQ
Comcast Corp Cl A
MEDIA - CATV Systems
|
$41.98
|
+0.23
0.55% |
$42.01
|
13,589,882
95.42% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 14,242,300
|
$42.00
-0.05%
|
12/3/2012
|
$37.08
|
PP = $38.06
|
|
MB = $39.96
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Most Recent Note - 3/27/2013 6:32:11 PM
G - Found recent support and rallied from its 50 DMA line. Relative Strength Rating is at 78, just the 80+ guideline. Fundamental concerns remain since it reported earnings +11% on +6% sales revenues for the Dec '12 quarter.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 3/19/2013. Click here.
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C
A N
S L
I M
|
CVLT
-
NASDAQ
Commvault Systems Inc
COMPUTER SOFTWARE and SERVICES - Business Software and Services
|
$82.00
|
-1.29
-1.55% |
$83.10
|
619,831
84.50% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 733,500
|
$86.89
-5.63%
|
3/14/2013
|
$84.71
|
PP = $79.63
|
|
MB = $83.61
|
Most Recent Note - 3/27/2013 6:34:45 PM
Y - Volume totals have been cooling in recent weeks while consolidating above prior highs in the $79 area defining initial chart support to watch. Its technical breakout on 3/14/13 was backed by 4.5 times average volume. Prior highs define initial support to watch above its 50 DMA line.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 3/14/2013. Click here.
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C
A N
S L
I M
|
Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group |
PRICE |
CHANGE
(%Change) |
Day High |
Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol) |
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi |
Featured
Date |
Price
Featured |
Pivot Featured |
|
Max Buy |
EVER
-
NYSE
Everbank Financial Corp
BANKING
|
$15.40
|
-0.08
-0.52% |
$15.51
|
421,296
47.44% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 888,100
|
$17.29
-10.93%
|
3/4/2013
|
$15.38
|
PP = $15.83
|
|
MB = $16.62
|
Most Recent Note - 3/28/2013 2:38:16 PM
G - Still quietly consolidating above its 50 DMA line. That important short-term average has acted as support since damaging losses violated prior highs in the $16 area raising concerns while completely negating its prior technical breakout.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 3/4/2013. Click here.
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C
A N
S L
I M
|
FLT
-
NYSE
Fleetcor Technologies
DIVERSIFIED SERVICES - Business/Management Services
|
$76.67
|
+0.62
0.82% |
$76.73
|
528,683
70.39% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 751,100
|
$77.46
-1.02%
|
3/21/2013
|
$71.14
|
PP = $73.00
|
|
MB = $76.65
|
Most Recent Note - 3/25/2013 12:14:11 PM
Y - Perched at its 52-week high today. Rallied above its pivot point with 2 consecutive volume-driven gains last week triggering a technical buy signal. Prior high in the $72 area defines near-term support to watch on pullbacks.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 3/21/2013. Click here.
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C
A N
S L
I M
|
JAZZ
-
NASDAQ
Jazz Pharmaceuticals Plc
DRUGS - Biotechnology
|
$55.91
|
-0.51
-0.90% |
$57.17
|
448,980
82.26% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 545,800
|
$60.79
-8.03%
|
3/5/2013
|
$59.10
|
PP = $60.10
|
|
MB = $63.11
|
Most Recent Note - 3/28/2013 2:40:04 PM
G - Still lingering below its 50 DMA line. Its Relative Strength rating has also slumped to 59, well below the 80+ minimum guideline for buy candidates. Completed a Secondary Offering on 3/05/13. It did not trigger a technical buy signal after its latest base.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 3/7/2013. Click here.
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C
A N
S L
I M
|
KORS
-
NYSE
Michael Kors Hldgs Ltd
RETAIL - Apparel Stores
|
$56.79
|
+0.38
0.67% |
$57.26
|
4,456,938
73.10% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 6,096,700
|
$65.10
-12.76%
|
1/23/2013
|
$54.98
|
PP = $58.72
|
|
MB = $61.66
|
Most Recent Note - 3/27/2013 6:37:30 PM
G - Still sputtering below its 50 DMA line and its Relative Strength rating has slumped to 72, below the 80+ minimum guideline for buy candidates raising more concerns. Completed another Secondary Offering 2/20/13 while perched near its all-time high.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 3/8/2013. Click here.
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C
A N
S L
I M
|
LNKD
-
NYSE
Linkedin Corp Class A
INTERNET - Internet Information Providers
|
$176.06
|
-1.82
-1.02% |
$178.46
|
1,226,232
50.03% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 2,451,200
|
$184.15
-4.39%
|
2/8/2013
|
$147.04
|
PP = $127.55
|
|
MB = $133.93
|
Most Recent Note - 3/25/2013 8:33:09 PM
G - Erased most of the prior session's gain, retreating from its best-ever close with volume near average behind today's loss. Very extended from its prior base, meanwhile its 50 DMA line defines important near term support to watch on pullbacks.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 3/11/2013. Click here.
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C
A N
S L
I M
|
Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group |
PRICE |
CHANGE
(%Change) |
Day High |
Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol) |
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi |
Featured
Date |
Price
Featured |
Pivot Featured |
|
Max Buy |
LOPE
-
NASDAQ
Grand Canyon Education
DIVERSIFIED SERVICES - Education and; Training Services
|
$25.39
|
+0.02
0.08% |
$25.51
|
447,018
101.41% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 440,800
|
$27.18
-6.59%
|
2/20/2013
|
$26.44
|
PP = $25.10
|
|
MB = $26.36
|
Most Recent Note - 3/27/2013 6:41:48 PM
G - Found support near its 50 DMA line however gains in recent weeks have been backed by below average volume. Its Relative Strength Rating has also slumped to 75, below the 80+ minimum guideline for buy candidates.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 3/13/2013. Click here.
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C
A N
S L
I M
|
MIDD
-
NASDAQ
Middleby Corp
MANUFACTURING - Diversified Machinery
|
$152.15
|
+1.57
1.04% |
$153.50
|
101,103
107.10% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 94,400
|
$154.74
-1.67%
|
10/8/2012
|
$118.46
|
PP = $122.67
|
|
MB = $128.80
|
Most Recent Note - 3/25/2013 9:01:47 PM
G - Recently staying in tight trading range near all-time highs, stubbornly holding its ground. Fundamental concerns were recently noted. See latest FSU analysis for more details and a new annotated graph.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 3/25/2013. Click here.
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C
A N
S L
I M
|
MNTX
-
NASDAQ
Manitex International
MANUFACTURING - Diversified Machinery
|
$12.41
|
-0.34
-2.67% |
$12.86
|
251,303
135.84% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 185,000
|
$13.14
-5.56%
|
3/20/2013
|
$11.29
|
PP = $12.05
|
|
MB = $12.65
|
Most Recent Note - 3/28/2013 12:30:16 PM
Y - Encountering some distributional pressure after a considerable gain with heavy volume on 3/25/13 cleared its pivot point and triggered a technical buy signal. Prior highs define initial support to watch on pullbacks.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 3/20/2013. Click here.
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C
A N
S L
I M
|
MRLN
-
NASDAQ
Marlin Business Services
DIVERSIFIED SERVICES - Rental and Leasing Services
|
$23.19
|
-0.39
-1.65% |
$23.98
|
46,487
201.24% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 23,100
|
$23.65
-1.95%
|
3/15/2013
|
$22.29
|
PP = $23.18
|
|
MB = $24.34
|
Most Recent Note - 3/28/2013 6:18:39 PM
Y - Volume was above average today after a "negative reversal" as it hit a new 52-week high and then finished lower on the session. The action was indicative of distributional pressure, rather than institutional accumulation. MRLN wedged higher with gains lacking great volume conviction since last noted on 3/25/13 with caution - "Subsequent volume-driven gains above the pivot point could help clinch a more convincing technical buy signal."
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 3/15/2013. Click here.
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C
A N
S L
I M
|
MWIV
-
NASDAQ
M W I Veterinary Supply
HEALTH SERVICES - Medical Instruments and; Supplies
|
$132.26
|
-2.49
-1.85% |
$135.33
|
45,423
80.82% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 56,200
|
$137.18
-3.59%
|
3/4/2013
|
$130.90
|
PP = $129.45
|
|
MB = $135.92
|
Most Recent Note - 3/28/2013 2:42:58 PM
Y - Still consolidating above its pivot point with volume totals cooling. Its 50 DMA line defines near-term support. Disciplined investors limit loses by selling if ever any stock fall more than -7% from their purchase price.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 3/6/2013. Click here.
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C
A N
S L
I M
|
Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group |
PRICE |
CHANGE
(%Change) |
Day High |
Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol) |
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi |
Featured
Date |
Price
Featured |
Pivot Featured |
|
Max Buy |
N
-
NYSE
Netsuite Inc
DIVERSIFIED SERVICES - Business/Management Services
|
$80.06
|
+0.37
0.46% |
$80.33
|
371,213
101.67% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 365,100
|
$79.90
0.20%
|
12/12/2012
|
$64.75
|
PP = $67.12
|
|
MB = $70.48
|
Most Recent Note - 3/28/2013 2:44:39 PM
G - Inching to new 52-week and all-time highs this week. Its 50 DMA line acted as support during the recent consolidation.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 3/1/2013. Click here.
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A N
S L
I M
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NSR
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NYSE
Neustar Inc
TELECOMMUNICATIONS - Diversified Communication Serv
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$46.53
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+0.23
0.50% |
$46.79
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471,227
107.54% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 438,200
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$47.24
-1.50%
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3/8/2013
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$44.99
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PP = $47.34
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MB = $49.71
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Most Recent Note - 3/27/2013 6:47:56 PM
Y - Its Relative Strength rating has slumped to 75, below the 80+ minimum guideline for buy candidates, while quietly consolidating this week near its 50 DMA line which has acted as support. See the latest FSU analysis for more details and a new annotated graph.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 3/27/2013. Click here.
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SLCA
-
NYSE
U S Silica Holdings Inc
CHEMICALS - Specialty Chemicals
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$23.58
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+0.64
2.79% |
$23.80
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1,463,798
140.25% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,043,700
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$28.50
-17.26%
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2/26/2013
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$22.23
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PP = $21.50
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MB = $22.58
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Most Recent Note - 3/28/2013 6:13:36 PM
G - Finding support above its 50 DMA line with encouragingly higher and above average volume behind today's gain. Completed a Secondary Offering on 3/14/13. Any violation of its 50 DMA line or recent low ($21.24 on 3/15/13) would raise concerns and trigger technical sell signals.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 3/22/2013. Click here.
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VRX
-
NYSE
Valeant Pharmaceuticals
DRUGS - Drug Manufacturers - Other
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$75.02
|
+0.90
1.21% |
$75.10
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843,723
67.08% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,257,700
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$74.81
0.28%
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12/20/2012
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$60.24
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PP = $61.21
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MB = $64.27
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Most Recent Note - 3/27/2013 6:43:52 PM
G - Hovering near its all-time high today, holding its ground with volume totals cooling in the past week. It is very extended from the secondary buy point noted earlier. The 50 DMA line and recent low ($64.05 on 2/21/13) define important support areas to watch on pullbacks.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 3/12/2013. Click here.
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