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AFTER MARKET UPDATE - THURSDAY, MARCH 25TH, 2010
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Indices NYSE Nasdaq
DOW  +5.06 10,841.21 +0.05% Volume 1,152,885,160 +13% Volume 2,611,281,950 +12%
NASDAQ -0.97 2,397.79 -0.04% Advancers 1,253 40% Advancers 1,074 38%
S&P 500 -1.99 1,165.73 -0.17% Decliners 1,778 56% Decliners 1,626 58%
Russell 2000 -4.58 679.10 -0.67% 52 Wk Highs 409   52 Wk Highs 187  
S&P 600 -2.16 361.63 -0.59% 52 Wk Lows 10   52 Wk Lows 8  

Indices Reversed Early Gains And Closed Near Session Lows

Two of the three major averages negatively reversed on Thursday and they collectively ended near their intra-day lows. The volume totals on the NYSE and on the Nasdaq exchange were reported slightly higher compared to Wednesday's totals. The Dow Jones Industrial Average eked out a small gain for the session, and the S&P 500 Index and Nasdaq Composite Index ended with very small net losses. The action was suggestive of distributional pressure after the recent gains for new recovery highs on lighter than average volume.  Decliners led advancers by about a 3-to-2 ratio on the NYSE and on the Nasdaq exchange. There were 58 high-ranked companies from the CANSLIM.net Leaders List that made a new 52-week high and appeared on the CANSLIM.net BreakOuts Page, higher than the 29 issues that appeared on the prior session. New 52-week highs again overwhelmingly trumped new lows on both exchanges.

French President Nicolas Sarkozy agreed with German Chancellor Angela Merkel’s proposal to ask the IMF to help rescue Greece. As expected, the euro continued to plunge on the news as investors fear that other European nations will soon need to be bailed out. The European Union held a summit in Brussels that came close to officially calling for the IMF to provide emergency funds for Greece in addition to bilateral loans from other European countries. European Central Bank President Jean-Claude Trichet said the bank will extend its emergency collateral rules beyond 2010 which will help Greece emerge from the worst economic crisis since WWII. In other news, Dubai said that it plans to restructure $9.5 billion in Dubai World debt. 

In the US, stocks rallied after the Labor Department said initial jobless claims fell to the lowest level in six weeks and Fed Chief, Ben Bernanke, testified on Capital Hill. Weekly jobless claims showed that first-time jobless applications slid by -14,000 to 442,000 in the week ended March 20 which was lower than expected. The stronger than expected jobs data is a healthy sign that the economy continues to recover. It was also reassuring to see a new batch of leaders breakout of sound bases as the major averages continue advancing.The fact that there has only been two distribution days since the follow-though-day (FTD) bodes well for this nascent rally. It is also a welcome sign to see the market continue to improve as investors digest the latest round of stronger than expected economic and earnings data. Remember that now that a new rally has been confirmed, the window is open to proactively be buying high quality breakouts meeting the investment system guidelines. Trade accordingly.




Retail Index Still A Standout After Recent Sprint

Defensive groups were Thursday's worst laggards as the the Oil Services Index ($OSX -2.54%), Integrated Oil Index ($XOI -1.38%), Gold & Silver Index ($XAU -1.73%), and Healthcare Index ($HMO -0.40%) fell. The Retail Index ($RLX +1.16%) was a standout gainer, and financial shares had a slightly positive bias as the Broker/Dealer Index ($XBD +0.05%) and Bank Index ($BKX +0.17%) closed out the session with very small gains.  The tech sector showed mostly indecisive action as the Networking Index ($NWX -0.34%), Semiconductor Index ($SOX -0.15%), and Biotechnology Index ($BTK -0.08%) edged lower while the Internet Index ($IIX +0.36%) ended with just a modest gain.

Charts courtesy www.stockcharts.com

PICTURED: The Retail Index ($RLX +1.16%) hit another new recovery high today.


Industry Index Symbol Close Change % Change YTD % Change
Oil Services $OSX  197.99 -5.15 -2.54% +1.58%
Healthcare $HMO  1,574.14 -6.26 -0.40% +6.87%
Integrated Oil $XOI  1,055.73 -14.76 -1.38% -1.17%
Semiconductor $SOX  364.83 -0.54 -0.15% +1.37%
Networking $NWX  255.30 -0.87 -0.34% +10.49%
Internet $IIX  247.85 +0.90 +0.36% +5.98%
Broker/Dealer $XBD  117.58 +0.06 +0.05% +2.20%
Retail $RLX  451.44 +5.19 +1.16% +9.81%
Gold & Silver $XAU  158.31 -2.79 -1.73% -5.91%
Bank $BKX  52.43 +0.09 +0.17% +22.76%
Biotech $BTK  1,243.62 -1.05 -0.08% +32.00%


High-Ranked Leisure Services Firm Hitting New Highs


Ctrip.com Intl Ltd ADR

 

Ticker Symbol: CTRP (NASDAQ)

Industry Group: Leisure-Services

Shares Outstanding:  141,900,000

Price: $40.74 2:39PM ET 3/25/10

Day's Volume: 3,110,900 3/25/2010 2:39PM 3/25/10

Shares in Float:  136,200,000

52 Week High: $40.49 3/09/2010

50-Day Average Volume: 2,184,600

Up/Down Volume Ratio: 1.4

Pivot Point: $39.40 12/03/09 high plus .10

Pivot Point +5% = Max Buy Price: $41.37

Web Address: http://www.ctrip.com

C A N S L I M | StockTalk | News | Chart | SEC | Zacks Reports |

View all notes | Alert me of new notes | CANSLIM.net Company Profile

CANSLIM.net Profile: Ctrip.com International, Ltd. (CTRP), together with its subsidiaries, provides travel services for hotel accommodations, airline tickets, and packaged tours in China. It also sells independent leisure travelers bundled package-tour products, which include transportation and accommodations, as well as guided tours covering various domestic and international destinations. The company was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China. The stock resides in the Leisure-Services group which is presently ranked 19 on the 197 Industry Groups list which is in the much-preferred top quartile of groups, easily satisfying the L criteria. The number of top-rated funds with an ownership interest has grown from 52 funds in Mar '09 to 127 funds as of Dec '09, a sign of increasing institutional interest (the I criteria). It has maintained a strong and steady annual earnings (A criteria) history. Fundamentally, its sales revenues and earnings increases have been strong in the 3 most recent quarterly comparisons and solidly above the +25% guideline (C criteria).  Return On Equity is reported at 32%, well above the 17% minimum.  

What to Look For and What to Look Out For: Look for the stock to offer investors a chance to accumulate shares within 5% of its prior chart highs. Keep in mind that much of a stock's success depends on the broader market's ability to sustain a meaningful rally without encountering more damaging distributional pressure. It is very important for the stock's pullback to be contained, whereas a violation of its $38.50 pivot point would have the effect of technically negating its latest breakout, raising concerns. Conversely, if the stock finds support near/above its pivot point then begins advancing again, preferably on higher volume, then odds would favor that higher prices will follow.

Technical Analysis: It had rallied on average volume to a new 52-week high when featured in the March 2010 issue of CANSLIM.net News (read here), however it failed to immediately follow through with confirming gains above its pivot point with sufficient volume to trigger a technical buy signal.  Meanwhile, the broader market action (M criteria) turned definitively more bullish with a follow-through-day (FTD) and an increase in the number of stocks making it to Breakouts Page. CTRP went on to consolidate above its 50-day moving average (DMA) line. Its latest appearance in the Featured Stock Update section on 3/18/10 under the headline " Recent Offering And Split Increased Supply of Shares" an annotated graph included the reminder "it is important to remain disciplined. It could be accumulated under the investment system guidelines only if a proper technical buy signal occurs. The stock did not trigger a technical buy signal and only encountered resistance since the "double bottom" type base was identified."  There is no overhead supply now to act as resistance.  Ideally, one would like to see significant volume show up and a strong close to confirm a proper technical buy signal based upon a solid gain above its new pivot point illustrated above.


Color Codes Explained :
Y - Better candidates highlighted by our staff of experts.
G - Previously featured in past reports as yellow but may no longer be buyable under the guidelines.

***Last / Change / Volume quote data in this table corresponds with the timestamp on the note***
 
Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group
Last Chg. Vol
% DAV
Date  Featured Price Featured Latest Pivot Point
Featured
Status
Latest Max Buy Price
ARUN - NASDAQ
Aruba Networks Inc
COMPUTER HARDWARE - Networking & Communication Dev
$12.78 +0.23 1,838,378
121% DAV
1,517,000
2/19/2010
(Date Featured)
$12.71
(Price Featured)
PP = $11.94 G
MB = $12.54
Most Recent Note - 3/25/2010 5:50:24 PM
G - Gain today on slightly above average volume. Consolidating after recent gains on heavier volume. Support to watch is defined by prior chart highs and its 50 DMA line in the upper $11 area.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 3/11/2010. click here.
C A  S  I  |  News | Chart | SEC View all notes Alert me of new notes Company Profile
BIDU - NASDAQ
Baidu Inc Ads
INTERNET - Internet Information Providers
$591.98 -16.52 2,562,385
119% DAV
2,153,400
1/13/2010
(Date Featured)
$431.25
(Price Featured)
PP = $426.75 G
MB = $448.09
Most Recent Note - 3/25/2010 5:51:57 PM
G - Loss today ended a streak of 4 consecutive gains. As recently noted, "It is extended from any sound base now. An upward trendline connecting its January-March lows is an initial chart support level to watch, where a subsequent violation may prompt investors to lock in gains."
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 3/24/2010. click here.
C A  S  I  |  News | Chart | SEC View all notes Alert me of new notes Company Profile
BRLI - NASDAQ
Bio Reference Labs Inc
HEALTH SERVICES - Medical Laboratories & Researc
$42.66 -0.62 64,258
67% DAV
96,100
2/12/2010
(Date Featured)
$39.02
(Price Featured)
PP = $40.97 Y
MB = $43.02
Most Recent Note - 3/25/2010 5:56:01 PM
Y - Today marked its 3rd consecutive loss with lighter or average volume, closing below its "max buy" level. Color code is changed to yellow while it has been consolidating in a healthy manner since its negative reversal on 3/12/10. Prior chart highs and its 50 DMA line coincide in the $40 area, defining important support to watch.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 3/22/2010. click here.
C A  S  I  |  News | Chart | SEC View all notes Alert me of new notes Company Profile
CISG - NASDAQ
Cninsure Inc Ads
INSURANCE - Insurance Brokers
$26.51 -0.27 116,910
51% DAV
228,400
3/3/2010
(Date Featured)
$24.38
(Price Featured)
PP = $23.10 G
MB = $24.26
Most Recent Note - 3/25/2010 5:58:34 PM
G - Closed near the session low today with a small loss on light volume. After a considerable gain on 3/23/10 with 3 times average volume for a new 52-week high, it is extended from a sound base. No overhead supply remains to act as resistance. It rose from a 20-week double bottom base with 8 times average volume as it was featured in the 3/03/10 mid-day report (read here).
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 3/23/2010. click here.
C A  S  I  |  News | Chart | SEC View all notes Alert me of new notes Company Profile
CRM - NYSE
Salesforce.com Inc
INTERNET - Internet Software & Services
$75.97 -0.19 1,460,124
72% DAV
2,018,100
3/5/2010
(Date Featured)
$72.28
(Price Featured)
PP = $75.53 Y
MB = $79.31
Most Recent Note - 3/25/2010 6:01:02 PM
Y - Third consecutive small loss today on light volume, consolidating above prior chart highs in the $75 area. It recently rose above its pivot point to a new 52-week high without the required volume to trigger a proper technical buy signal.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 3/25/2010. click here.
C A  S  I  |  News | Chart | SEC View all notes Alert me of new notes Company Profile
CTRP - NASDAQ
Ctrip.com Intl Ltd Adr
LEISURE - Resorts & Casinos
$40.49 +1.23 3,945,449
182% DAV
2,168,500
3/25/2010
(Date Featured)
$40.74
(Price Featured)
PP = $39.40 Y
MB = $41.37
Most Recent Note - 3/25/2010 6:03:28 PM
Y - Gain today for a new 52-week high with +81% above average volume, rallying above its pivot point and triggering a technical buy signal. Found prompt support near its 50 DMA line this week. A detailed new Stock Bulletin was published this afternoon (read here).
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 3/25/2010. click here.
C A  S  I  |  News | Chart | SEC View all notes Alert me of new notes Company Profile
EZPW - NASDAQ
Ezcorp Inc Cl A
SPECIALTY RETAIL - Specialty Retail, Other
$21.04 -0.05 444,591
82% DAV
540,800
2/19/2010
(Date Featured)
$19.03
(Price Featured)
PP = $18.80 G
MB = $19.74
Most Recent Note - 3/25/2010 6:07:51 PM
G - Closed near the session low today with a loss on light volume. Consolidating above its 50 DMA line and recent chart lows that define important support to watch. Its positive reversal on 3/16/10 was a reassuring sign of support after its 3/15/10 a loss with volume nearly 4 times average volume indicated distributional pressure.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 3/8/2010. click here.
C A  S  I  |  News | Chart | SEC View all notes Alert me of new notes Company Profile
GMCR - NASDAQ
Green Mtn Coffee Roastrs
FOOD & BEVERAGE - Processed & Packaged Goods
$93.74 -1.39 997,971
78% DAV
1,281,700
2/26/2010
(Date Featured)
$84.39
(Price Featured)
PP = $88.75 G
MB = $93.19
Most Recent Note - 3/25/2010 6:10:16 PM
G - Third consecutive small loss on below average volume, still consolidating less than -5% from its all-time high. Its high volume gain on 3/08/10 triggered a new technical buy signal. It is slightly extended from its latest sound base, and initial support to watch is prior chart highs in the $86-88 area.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 3/12/2010. click here.
C A  S  I  |  News | Chart | SEC View all notes Alert me of new notes Company Profile
ISRG - NASDAQ
Intuitive Surgical Inc
HEALTH SERVICES - Medical Appliances & Equipment
$342.06 -4.06 517,025
98% DAV
527,500
1/22/2010
(Date Featured)
$340.40
(Price Featured)
PP = $314.00 G
MB = $329.70
Most Recent Note - 3/25/2010 6:13:32 PM
G - Loss today on average volume was its 5th loss in 6 sessions. Slumping under its prior chart highs ($346) and raising concerns while falling toward its 50 DMA line (now $339.45), an important support level to watch. As previously repeated in notes, it did not trigger a technical buy signal in recent weeks.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 3/16/2010. click here.
C A  S  I  |  News | Chart | SEC View all notes Alert me of new notes Company Profile
PCLN - NASDAQ
Priceline.com Inc
INTERNET - Internet Software & Services
$399.55 -4.72 584,812
N/A
11/1/2002
(Date Featured)
$399.55
(Price Featured)
PP = $428.20 Y
MB = $449.61
Most Recent Note - 1/2/2011
Y - Returns to Featured Stocks list with its appearance in the January 2011 CANSLIM.net News including detailed analysis and annotated daily and weekly graphs.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 3/10/2010. click here.
C A  S  I  |  News | Chart | SEC View all notes Alert me of new notes Company Profile
PEGA - NASDAQ
Pegasystems Inc
COMPUTER SOFTWARE & SERVICES - Business Software & Services
$37.97 -0.41 112,610
51% DAV
220,600
2/26/2010
(Date Featured)
$36.00
(Price Featured)
PP = $38.55 Y
MB = $40.48
Most Recent Note - 3/25/2010 6:19:32 PM
Y - Small loss on light volume today after reaching a new all-time high on 3/24/10, then negatively reversing and closing just below its pivot point. Hovering in a tight range near all-time highs since a considerable gap up gain on 3/15/10 triggered a technical buy signal. Prior chart highs near $37-38 are initial chart support above its 50 DMA line.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 3/15/2010. click here.
C A  S  I  |  News | Chart | SEC View all notes Alert me of new notes Company Profile
ROVI - NASDAQ
Rovi Corp
COMPUTER SOFTWARE & SERVICES - Security Software & Services
$37.48 -0.48 1,088,349
80% DAV
1,359,500
2/25/2010
(Date Featured)
$33.54
(Price Featured)
PP = $34.87 G
MB = $36.61
Most Recent Note - 3/25/2010 6:20:25 PM
G - Small loss today on light volume, still hovering within less than -3% of its all-time high. It remains extended from its latest base, while prior chart highs in the $34 area define an important support level to watch on pullbacks.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 3/17/2010. click here.
C A  S  I  |  News | Chart | SEC View all notes Alert me of new notes Company Profile
SIRO - NASDAQ
Sirona Dental Systems
HEALTH SERVICES - Medical Instruments & Supplies
$37.51 -0.25 669,601
117% DAV
573,900
2/16/2010
(Date Featured)
$36.43
(Price Featured)
PP = $36.15 Y
MB = $37.96
Most Recent Note - 3/25/2010 6:28:21 PM
Y - Negatively reversed today for a small loss after early gains helped it hit a new 52-week high above its "max buy" level. Prior chart highs and its 50 DMA line in the $35-36 area define important support to watch.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 3/9/2010. click here.
C A  S  I  |  News | Chart | SEC View all notes Alert me of new notes Company Profile
ULTA - NASDAQ
Ulta Salon Cosm & Frag
SPECIALTY RETAIL - Specialty Retail, Other
$22.72 +0.75 545,226
149% DAV
365,400
3/12/2010
(Date Featured)
$22.81
(Price Featured)
PP = $21.72 Y
MB = $22.81
Most Recent Note - 3/25/2010 6:31:37 PM
Y - Posted a solid gain today with above average volume, closing just below its "max buy" level. Found prompt support while recently consolidating above prior chart highs in the $21. A detailed Stock Bulletin with annotated graph was published soon after it was featured in the 3/12/10 mid-day report.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 3/12/2010. click here.
C A  S  I  |  News | Chart | SEC View all notes Alert me of new notes Company Profile
VPRT - NASDAQ
Vistaprint Nv
DIVERSIFIED SERVICES - Business/Management Services
$60.72 -0.74 304,452
66% DAV
458,300
3/1/2010
(Date Featured)
$57.72
(Price Featured)
PP = $59.70 Y
MB = $62.69
Most Recent Note - 3/25/2010 6:33:41 PM
Y - Reversed early gains today after being poised for a new high close, negatively reversing and finishing near the session low with a loss on light volume. It did not trigger a technical buy signal since it was featured in the March 2010 CANSLIM.net News monthly newsletter (read here). As previously noted, "Its gain on 3/02/10 was below the volume guidelines for buyable breakouts under the investment system."
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 3/19/2010. click here.
C A  S  I  |  News | Chart | SEC View all notes Alert me of new notes Company Profile

THESE ARE NOT BUY RECOMMENDATIONS!  Comments contained in the body of this report are technical opinions only. The material herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable and accurate, however, its accuracy and completeness cannot be guaranteed. This site is not an investment advisor, hence it does not endorse or recommend any securities or other investments. Any recommendation contained in this report may not be suitable for all investors and it is not to be deemed an offer or solicitation on our part with respect to the purchase or sale of any securities. All trademarks, service marks and trade names appearing in this report are the property of their respective owners, and are likewise used for identification purposes only.

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Kenneth J. Gruneisen founded Gruneisen Growth Corp. (2003), which prior to May 11, 2015, operated CANSLIM.net and CANSLIM.com both under license from Data Analysis Inc. / Investor's Business Daily. Kenneth has passed the CAN SLIM® Master's Exam. Gruneisen Growth Corp. now continues over two decades of fact based market analysis via FactBasedInvesting.com.

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