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AFTER MARKET UPDATE - THURSDAY, FEBRUARY 10TH, 2011
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Indices NYSE Nasdaq
DOW  -10.60 12,229.29 -0.09% Volume 1,026,810,870 +7% Volume 2,447,955,030 +30%
NASDAQ +1.38 2,790.45 +0.05% Advancers 1,541 50% Advancers 1,360 49%
S&P 500 +0.99 1,321.87 +0.07% Decliners 1,442 46% Decliners 1,259 46%
Russell 2000 +3.43 812.70 +0.42% 52 Wk Highs 180   52 Wk Highs 175  
S&P 600 +1.86 430.76 +0.43% 52 Wk Lows 15   52 Wk Lows 30  

Underlying Leadership Is Encouraging While Indices Paused

The Dow Jones Industrial Average's winning streak of eight straight sessions while the other major indices ended Thursday's session with tiny gains. Volume totals were reported high on the NYSE and on the Nasdaq exchange versus the prior session. Advancing issues beat advancers by 8-7 on the NYSE and by 9-8 on the Nasdaq. New 52-week highs still outnumbered new 52-week lows on the NYSE and on the Nasdaq exchange. There was a total of 90 high-ranked companies from the CANSLIM.net Leaders List that made new 52-week highs and appeared on the CANSLIM.net BreakOuts Page, down from the total of 81 on the prior session. On the Featured Stocks Page there were gains from 21 of the 22 high-ranked market leaders.

 

The market ignored what appeared to be good news on the labor market. Initial jobless claims declined to the lowest level for any week since July 2008. Inventories at U.S. wholesalers rose more than forecast in December as distributors tried to keep up with improving sales. The average rate on a 30-year mortgage jumped to 5.05%, the highest since April of last year. The 10-year Treasury note was down 12/32 to yield 3.70%.

Disappointing earnings were a hurdle. Technology stocks fell after Cisco Systems Inc (CSCO -14.16%) posted lower-than-expected margins in the latest quarter and subtracted 23 points from the Dow. Akamai Technologies Inc (AKAM -15.09%) predicted revenue will miss analyst forecasts. PepsiCo (PEP -1.6%) warned that commodities costs will be a major headwind in 2011. FedEx Corp (FDX +3.1%) led gains in the transportation sector after a brokerage upgrade. Whole Foods Markets Inc (WFMI +11.7%) rallied after boosting its outlook.

Egyptian President Hosni Mubarek announced that he intends to remain as President of Egypt until elections in September, disappointing those who may have expected an early resignation. Stocks came under pressure as concerns about inflation and sovereign debt took the spotlight. Thus far, however, stocks have endured very little distributional while off to a very strong start with the first positive January in four years and a strong rally in February.

Read the February 2011 issue of CANSLIM.net News for a comprehensive overview of current market conditions, leading groups, and the most recent featured stocks.

PICTURED: The S&P 500 Index is perched just -16.2% off its October 2007 all-time high. A closer look at the volume bars on its chart shows little signs of distributional pressure in recent months as it has steadily rallied since clearing its April 2010 high.


Kenneth J. Gruneisen started out as a licensed stockbroker in August 1987, a couple of months prior to the historic stock market crash that took the Dow Jones Industrial Average down -22.6% in a single day. He has published daily fact-based fundamental and technical analysis on high-ranked stocks online for two decades. Through FACTBASEDINVESTING.COM, Kenneth provides educational articles, news, market commentary, and other information regarding proven investment systems that work in good times and bad.

Comments contained in the body of this report are technical opinions only and are not necessarily those of Gruneisen Growth Corp. The material herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable and accurate, however, its accuracy and completeness cannot be guaranteed. Our firm, employees, and customers may effect transactions, including transactions contrary to any recommendation herein, or have positions in the securities mentioned herein or options with respect thereto. Any recommendation contained in this report may not be suitable for all investors and it is not to be deemed an offer or solicitation on our part with respect to the purchase or sale of any securities.


Networking Index Overcomes Cisco Systems' Disappointment

The Oil Services Index ($OSX +2.63%) was a standout gainer and the Integrated Oil Index ($XOI +0.58%) posted a small gain on Thursday while the Gold & Silver Index ($XAU -0.87%) backpedaled.  The Bank Index ($BKX -0.37%) edged lower and the Broker/Dealer Index ($XBD +0.28%) edged higher.  The Retail Index ($RLX +0.36%) and the tech sector had a positive bias as the Biotechnology Index ($BTK +1.18%) and Semiconductor Index ($SOX +0.36%) rose, but the Internet Index ($IIX -0.23%) ended with a small loss.  The Healthcare Index ($HMO +0.20%) also tacked on a small gain.

Charts courtesy www.stockcharts.com

PICTURED: The Networking Index ($NWX +3.45%) overcame pressure and shrugged off disappointing news from Cisco Systems Inc (CSCO -14.16%). Alcatel-Lucent (ALU +25.84%) and many other networking firms rallied.


Industry Index Symbol Close Change % Change YTD % Change
Oil Services $OSX  270.34 +6.94 +2.63% +10.29%
Healthcare $HMO  1,950.13 +3.94 +0.20% +15.26%
Integrated Oil $XOI  1,299.14 +7.46 +0.58% +7.09%
Semiconductor $SOX  459.25 +1.65 +0.36% +11.52%
Networking $NWX  326.64 +10.89 +3.45% +16.42%
Internet $IIX  328.42 -0.77 -0.23% +6.72%
Broker/Dealer $XBD  127.18 +0.36 +0.28% +4.67%
Retail $RLX  520.14 +1.89 +0.36% +2.31%
Gold & Silver $XAU  204.49 -1.80 -0.87% -9.75%
Bank $BKX  54.56 -0.20 -0.37% +4.50%
Biotech $BTK  1,290.05 +15.05 +1.18% -0.58%


Leader Getting More Extended From Latest Base

This a high-ranked Computer Software - Database firm based in Palo Alto, CA has maintained a steady annual earnings (A criteria) history and earnings increases have been impressive in the 4 most recent quarterly comparisons, above the +25% guideline (C criteria). The number of top-rated funds owning its shares rose from 591 in Mar '10 to to 687 in Dec '10, a  reassuring sign concerning the I criteria.

Tibco Software Inc (TIBX +$0.69 or +2.81% to $25.21) hit another new 52-week high today with a gain on light volume.  It is extended from a sound base, and prior chart highs in the $22 area define important support to watch now. Its big gain on 2/01/11 prompted its appearance in yellow in the mid-day report (read here) as we observed - "There is no overhead supply to act as resistance, so it could then easily rise unhindered for more climactic gains. however, risk obviously increases the further one buys from a proper pivot point." It quickly got extended from its "late-stage" or riskier base. It was covered in greater detail with an annotated graph on the February 2011 issue of CANSLIM.net News under the headline "Patience Allowed New Base To Form"  and yet it has stubbornly held its ground and refused to pull back. Approximately 40% of successful winners pull back and test support at their prior highs and pivot point before continuing higher. Disciplined investors might watch for other more compelling buy candidates while waiting for a secondary buy point to develop.  Your odds are best when you avoid chasing leaders that are too extended from a proper base pattern.


Color Codes Explained :
Y - Better candidates highlighted by our staff of experts.
G - Previously featured in past reports as yellow but may no longer be buyable under the guidelines.

***Last / Change / Volume data in this table is the closing quote data***
Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group
PRICE CHANGE
(%Change)
Day High Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol)
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi
Featured
Date
Price
Featured
Pivot Featured
Max Buy
BIDU - NASDAQ
Baidu Inc Ads
INTERNET - Internet Information Providers  
$125.79 +2.78
2.26%

$125.90

7,486,855
96.85% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 7,730,200
$124.55
1.00%
2/1/2011 $117.74 PP = $112.08
MB = $117.68
Most Recent Note - 2/10/2011 6:49:05 PM
G - Up again today for another new all-time high with a gain on average volume. Prior highs in the $112-115 area define initial chart support to watch now.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 2/2/2011. Click here.

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CRUS - NASDAQ
Cirrus Logic Inc
ELECTRONICS - Semiconductor - Specialized  
$24.11 +0.03
0.12%

$24.42

4,907,648
148.36% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 3,307,900
$25.15
-4.14%
1/28/2011 $20.69 PP = $19.17
MB = $20.13
Most Recent Note - 2/10/2011 12:36:12 PM
G - Gapped down today then rallied back for a positive reversal. Repeatedly noted as extended from its latest sound base pattern. While patience may allow for secondary buy points to develop, its prior highs define chart support levels to watch on pullbacks.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 1/28/2011. Click here.

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CTSH - NASDAQ
Cognizant Tech Sol Cl A
COMPUTER SOFTWARE and SERVICES - Business Software and Services  
$75.35 +1.13
1.52%

$75.38

1,965,568
87.11% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 2,256,400
$77.08
-2.24%
2/7/2011 $75.09 PP = $76.46
MB = $80.28
Most Recent Note - 2/9/2011 2:13:28 PM
Y - Small gap down today, erasing all of the prior session's gain, raising concerns. Rallied above its pivot point on 2/08/11 from a short flat base with the bare minimum necessary volume to trigger a buy signal while clearing its riskier late-stage base. Recent quarters showed much better sales and earnings increases versus the year earlier and it maintained a strong annual earnings (A criteria) history. It reported earnings +40% on +45% sales for the quarter ended December 31, 2010 versus the year ago period in the interim since noted in the 10/15/10 mid-day report. It is already well-known by the institutional crowd, and decreasing top-rated institutional ownership (I criteria) is a concern after falling from 1,640 in Jun '10 to 1,617 in Dec '10. On 4/11/07 this stock was dropped from the CANSLIM.net Featured Stocks list and it subsequently fell from $40+ to $14 before rebounding impressively. See the latest FSU analysis for details and a new annotated graph.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 2/8/2011. Click here.

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DECK - NASDAQ
Deckers Outdoor Corp
CONSUMER NON-DURABLES - Textile - Apparel Footwear  
$84.56 +0.63
0.75%

$84.80

961,521
50.39% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,908,000
$87.88
-3.78%
2/3/2011 $79.61 PP = $82.67
MB = $86.80
Most Recent Note - 2/10/2011 7:03:25 PM
Y - Extended its streak to 8 consecutive gains with below average volume today, and it inched further above its pivot point. Gains above the new pivot point with at least +50% above average volume may trigger a new (or add-on) buy signal.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 1/26/2011. Click here.

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EZCH - NASDAQ
Ezchip Semiconductor Ltd
ELECTRONICS - Semiconductor - Specialized  
$30.80 -1.28
-3.99%

$31.30

2,445,588
754.58% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 324,100
$33.48
-8.00%
12/2/2010 $27.53 PP = $26.00
MB = $27.30
Most Recent Note - 2/10/2011 6:47:43 PM
G - Gapped down after reporting earnings +41% on +33% sales revenues for the quarter ended December 31, 2010. It undercut its 50 DMA line and prior chart highs in the $29 area and then rebounded to close well above both and finished near the session high. As previously noted - "Volume and volatility often increase near corporate earnings news."
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 1/21/2011. Click here.

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Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group
PRICE CHANGE
(%Change)
Day High Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol)
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi
Featured
Date
Price
Featured
Pivot Featured
Max Buy
EZPW - NASDAQ
Ezcorp Inc Cl A
SPECIALTY RETAIL - Specialty Retail, Other  
$27.51 +0.04
0.15%

$27.70

164,239
39.32% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 417,700
$29.94
-8.12%
11/5/2010 $24.02 PP = $23.85
MB = $25.04
Most Recent Note - 2/9/2011 9:20:25 PM
G - Small gap down today led to a close just below its 50 DMA line again after showing resilience recently. It is not near any sound base, and its recent low ($25.56 on 1/25/11) defines an important support level now. Volume totals have been cooling while consolidating in recent weeks near its short-term average.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 2/3/2011. Click here.

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FOSL - NASDAQ
Fossil Inc
CONSUMER DURABLES - Recreational Goods, Other  
$80.45 +0.79
0.99%

$80.47

738,570
106.51% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 693,400
$80.15
0.37%
2/1/2011 $73.30 PP = $74.44
MB = $78.16
Most Recent Note - 2/9/2011 9:22:01 PM
G - Hit yet another new 52-week high today with above average volume behind today's 5th consecutive gain. Color code was changed to green after inching up to a quiet close above its "max buy" level, getting extended from a riskier "late-stage" base without confirming a proper new (or add-on) technical buy signal. Recent chart low ($66.05 on 1/25/11) defines important support above its 50 DMA line.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 1/12/2011. Click here.

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HMSY - NASDAQ
H M S Holdings Corp
COMPUTER SOFTWARE and SERVICES - Healthcare Information Service  
$67.75 +0.34
0.50%

$67.86

118,441
82.37% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 143,800
$67.64
0.16%
11/19/2010 $61.89 PP = $63.01
MB = $66.16
Most Recent Note - 2/10/2011 6:53:37 PM
G - Hit a new 52-week high today as it posted an 8th consecutive gain with light volume since it found support at its 50 DMA line. It is inching up from an orderly building a base-on-base type pattern, but its waning Relative Strength rank (now 71) has been noted as a concern.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 1/3/2011. Click here.

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JOBS - NASDAQ
Fifty One Job Inc Ads
DIVERSIFIED SERVICES - Staffing and; Outsourcing Service  
$56.32 +0.03
0.05%

$56.54

147,512
107.28% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 137,500
$61.28
-8.09%
2/7/2011 $59.23 PP = $61.38
MB = $64.45
Most Recent Note - 2/9/2011 9:18:03 PM
Y - Down today on light volume. Its 50 DMA line defines important support, where a violation would raise concerns and trigger a technical sell signal. Color code was changed to yellow with new pivot point cited after a long ascending base pattern. See the latest FSU analysis for more details and an annotated graph.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 2/7/2011. Click here.

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LULU - NASDAQ
Lululemon Athletica
MANUFACTURING - Textile Manufacturing  
$82.77 +1.27
1.56%

$83.19

2,203,963
98.92% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 2,228,000
$82.86
-0.11%
1/26/2011 $68.11 PP = $74.70
MB = $78.44
Most Recent Note - 2/8/2011 7:52:41 PM
G - Gapped up again today and hit another new 52-week high, closing above its "max buy" level. Color code is changed to green after getting extended from its latest sound base. Prior highs near $74 that acted as resistance define chart support to watch now.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 1/14/2011. Click here.

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Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group
PRICE CHANGE
(%Change)
Day High Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol)
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi
Featured
Date
Price
Featured
Pivot Featured
Max Buy
MWIV - NASDAQ
M W I Veterinary Supply
HEALTH SERVICES - Medical Instruments and; Supplies  
$68.24 +0.08
0.12%

$68.80

38,229
62.36% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 61,300
$69.04
-1.16%
11/4/2010 $61.79 PP = $59.60
MB = $62.58
Most Recent Note - 2/8/2011 8:10:55 PM
G - Closed near the session high at a new all-time high with average volume behind today's 4th consecutive gain. Reported earnings +38% on +55% sales revenues for the quarter ended December 31, 2010, and found support near its 50 DMA line recently. Sales revenues acceleration (bigger percentage increases sequentially) is a very reassuring sign.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 2/2/2011. Click here.

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NFLX - NASDAQ
Netflix Inc
SPECIALTY RETAIL - Music and Video Stores  
$223.20 +0.91
0.41%

$225.00

3,104,130
52.83% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 5,876,200
$223.98
-0.35%
1/10/2011 $187.88 PP = $209.34
MB = $219.81
Most Recent Note - 2/9/2011 9:16:01 PM
G - Gain today with below average volume for a new all-time high. Rallying further above its "max buy" level after its color code was changed to green. Prior highs define support to watch above its 50 DMA line.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 1/10/2011. Click here.

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NTAP - NASDAQ
Netapp Inc
COMPUTER HARDWARE - Data Storage Devices  
$60.54 +0.77
1.29%

$60.63

4,867,561
109.08% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 4,462,400
$59.99
0.92%
1/6/2011 $57.49 PP = $58.06
MB = $60.96
Most Recent Note - 2/10/2011 6:56:03 PM
G - Closed at a new high with today's 5th consecutive gain. Volume has been light as it traded up from support near its 50 DMA line. More damaging losses below its recent chart low ($53.14 on 1/25/11) could raise greater concerns and trigger a more serious technical sell signal.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 2/4/2011. Click here.

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OPEN - NASDAQ
Opentable Inc
INTERNET - Internet Software and Services  
$91.68 +5.83
6.79%

$91.75

2,555,912
337.82% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 756,600
$87.75
4.48%
1/5/2011 $74.05 PP = $76.79
MB = $80.63
Most Recent Note - 2/10/2011 1:42:52 PM
G - Rallying on heavy volume today for another new all-time high today, getting extended from its prior base pattern. Reported earnings +114% on +61% sales revenues for the quarter ended December 31, 2010 versus the year-ago period. Its 50 DMA line defines near-term chart support.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 1/5/2011. Click here.

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ORCL - NASDAQ
Oracle Corp
COMPUTER SOFTWARE and SERVICES - Application Software  
$33.26 +0.37
1.13%

$33.26

17,237,692
61.71% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 27,932,100
$33.56
-0.89%
1/20/2011 $32.31 PP = $32.37
MB = $33.99
Most Recent Note - 2/10/2011 6:58:46 PM
Y - Gain today with quiet volume for a new high close following mild distributional pressure it encountered after reaching a new 52-week high last week. Near-term support to watch is its 50 DMA line.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 1/7/2011. Click here.

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Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group
PRICE CHANGE
(%Change)
Day High Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol)
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi
Featured
Date
Price
Featured
Pivot Featured
Max Buy
PAY - NYSE
Verifone Systems Inc
COMPUTER HARDWARE - Transaction Automation Systems  
$43.92 +0.49
1.13%

$44.22

711,307
46.70% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,523,100
$44.87
-2.12%
1/27/2011 $41.77 PP = $44.97
MB = $47.22
Most Recent Note - 2/10/2011 7:01:07 PM
Y - Quietly perched near its pivot point after finding support near its 50 DMA line. A subsequent gain with at least +50% above average volume may trigger a new (or add-on) technical buy signal.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 1/27/2011. Click here.

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PCLN - NASDAQ
Priceline.Com Inc
INTERNET - Internet Software and Services  
$455.43 +4.32
0.96%

$456.50

1,099,804
116.70% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 942,400
$459.10
-0.80%
11/1/2002 $399.55 PP = $428.20
MB = $449.61
Most Recent Note - 2/9/2011 1:32:18 PM
G - Color code is changed to green after rising above its "max buy" level with today's gain on higher volume. Traded in a tight range near its 52-week high since its 1/05/11 technical breakout.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 1/2/2011. Click here.

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RAX - NYSE
Rackspace Hosting Inc
INTERNET - Internet Software and; Services  
$37.02 +0.33
0.90%

$37.50

1,978,012
113.50% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,742,700
$37.42
-1.07%
1/10/2011 $22.84 PP = $32.76
MB = $34.40
Most Recent Note - 2/9/2011 9:43:36 PM
G - Small gain on average volume today, extended from any sound base. Found prompt support near its 50 DMA line recently. See the latest FSU analysis for details and a new annotated weekly graph.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 2/9/2011. Click here.

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ROVI - NASDAQ
Rovi Corp
COMPUTER SOFTWARE andamp; SERVICES - Security Software andamp; Services  
$65.00 +1.63
2.57%

$65.00

930,936
55.20% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,686,400
$69.50
-6.47%
10/29/2010 $49.99 PP = $53.10
MB = $55.76
Most Recent Note - 2/10/2011 4:45:33 PM
G - Still consolidating above its 50 DMA line with volume totals cooling after recently finding support near that important short-term average. The 1/31/11 low ($60.15) now defines another near-term chart support level to watch.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 1/25/2011. Click here.

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TIBX - NASDAQ
Tibco Software Inc
COMPUTER SOFTWARE and SERVICES - Business Software and Services  
$25.21 +0.69
2.81%

$25.49

2,029,531
72.87% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 2,785,300
$24.83
1.53%
2/1/2011 $24.35 PP = $22.18
MB = $23.29
Most Recent Note - 2/10/2011 6:43:14 PM
G - Hit another new 52-week high today with a gain on light volume. Extended from its latest sound base, its prior highs in the $22 area define support. See the latest FSU analysis for details and a new annotated graph.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 2/10/2011. Click here.

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Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group
PRICE CHANGE
(%Change)
Day High Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol)
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi
Featured
Date
Price
Featured
Pivot Featured
Max Buy
UA - NYSE
Under Armour Inc Cl A
CONSUMER NON-DURABLES - Textile - Apparel Clothing  
$69.12 +2.65
3.99%

$69.22

1,031,434
133.05% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 775,200
$68.65
0.68%
1/27/2011 $58.31 PP = $56.99
MB = $59.84
Most Recent Note - 2/10/2011 4:44:22 PM
G - Hit another new 52-week high with a solid gain on above average volume today. Prior resistance in the $60 area defines initial support to watch above its 50 DMA line.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 2/1/2011. Click here.

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ULTA - NASDAQ
Ulta Salon Cosm & Frag
SPECIALTY RETAIL - Specialty Retail, Other  
$41.54 +0.33
0.80%

$41.95

254,280
40.06% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 634,700
$41.82
-0.67%
1/6/2011 $36.12 PP = $37.34
MB = $39.21
Most Recent Note - 2/8/2011 4:55:46 PM
G - Up on even lighter volume today, closing near the session high and further above its "max buy" level for another new 52-week high. Its color code was changed to green after getting extended from a sound base pattern. Confirming gain on 2/03/11 with +79% above average volume. Its 50 DMA line defines important chart support to watch.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 1/6/2011. Click here.

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