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AFTER MARKET UPDATE - WEDNESDAY, OCTOBER 10TH, 2012
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Indices NYSE Nasdaq
DOW  -128.56 13,344.97 -0.95% Volume 590,814,650 -4% Volume 1,733,183,060 +9%
NASDAQ -13.24 3,051.78 -0.43% Advancers 1,144 36% Advancers 1,121 43%
S&P 500 -8.92 1,432.56 -0.62% Decliners 1,890 60% Decliners 1,337 52%
Russell 2000 -1.17 826.75 -0.14% 52 Wk Highs 43   52 Wk Highs 34  
S&P 600 -0.70 461.20 -0.15% 52 Wk Lows 35   52 Wk Lows 55  

Major Averages Ended Near Session's Worst Levels

The major indices ended near their worst levels of Wednesday's session. The volume totals were reported mixed, lower on the NYSE and higher on the Nasdaq exchange versus the prior session's totals. Decliners led advancers by a 3-2 margin on the NYSE and by 13-11 on the Nasdaq exchange. The total number of new 52-week highs outnumbered new 52-week lows on the NYSE while new lows outnumbered new highs on the Nasdaq exchange. There were 11 high-ranked companies from the CANSLIM.net Leaders List that made new 52-week highs and appeared on the CANSLIM.net BreakOuts Page, down from the prior session total of 13 stocks. There were gains for 11 of the 22 high-ranked companies currently included on the Featured Stocks Page.

 

Stocks gave ground throughout the session as investors dealt with concerns over a slowing global economy. Fears were heightened after the IMF said a lack of resolve in Europe could expose the region to greater economic decline and a flight of capital.  The Fed's Beige Book revealed minor improvements in most regional banking districts, but had little impact in lifting the major averages.On our shores, corporate earnings also added to concerns. Fears were heightened after Alcoa Inc (AA ) warned that demand for industrial metals was slowing.

Nine of the 10 sectors on the S&P finished lower, led by sharp losses in energy stocks. Shares of Chevron Corp (CVX -4.18%) fell after the company warned that third-quarter earnings would be short of estimates.  Yum! Brands Inc (YUM +8.04%) was higher after the company topped analysts' expectations in the quarter. Costco Wholesale Corp (COST +1.92%) also advanced following their better-than-expected profit tally. In other news, Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT +1.73%) rallied after the company announced layaway merchandise sales rose $400 million in less than a month. Meanwhile, Toyota Motor Corp (TM -2.05%) was lower after recalling over 7.4 million vehicles for small electrical issues with the power window switch. Also on the downside, Monster Beverage Corp (MNST -5.48%) was down after receiving an analyst downgrade.

Turning to fixed income, Treasuries ended lower with the benchmark 10-year note down 9/32 to yield 1.69%.

Recent weakness and technical deterioration was noted in the Nasdaq Composite Index. Waning leadership (fewer stocks hitting new 52-week highs) also suggests that the market rally is under pressure, although not in a full blown correction. Investors should watch individual holdings very carefully through the coming earnings season and be prepared to take quick action. The M criteria could still argue for accumulating strong acting stocks with all-key criteria, however additional distributional action would obviously hurt the market outlook.

Watch for an announcement via email concerning the Q3 2012 WEBCAST. The webcast will also be available via an updated link highlighted at the top of the Premium Member Homepage

PICTURED: The S&P 500 Index is slumping back near its 50-day moving average (DMA) line and prior 2012 highs. Subsequent violations would raise more serious concerns about the market's health.


Kenneth J. Gruneisen started out as a licensed stockbroker in August 1987, a couple of months prior to the historic stock market crash that took the Dow Jones Industrial Average down -22.6% in a single day. He has published daily fact-based fundamental and technical analysis on high-ranked stocks online for two decades. Through FACTBASEDINVESTING.COM, Kenneth provides educational articles, news, market commentary, and other information regarding proven investment systems that work in good times and bad.

Comments contained in the body of this report are technical opinions only and are not necessarily those of Gruneisen Growth Corp. The material herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable and accurate, however, its accuracy and completeness cannot be guaranteed. Our firm, employees, and customers may effect transactions, including transactions contrary to any recommendation herein, or have positions in the securities mentioned herein or options with respect thereto. Any recommendation contained in this report may not be suitable for all investors and it is not to be deemed an offer or solicitation on our part with respect to the purchase or sale of any securities.


Energy-Related and Tech Groups Fell Hardest

Energy-related shares led decliners as the Integrated Oil Index ($XOI -1.83%) and Oil Services Index ($OSX -1.45%) slid.  The tech sector also saw unanimous losses for the Semiconductor Index ($SOX -1.36%), Biotechnology Index ($BTK -1.01%), Networking Index ($NWX -1.01%), and the Internet Index ($IIX -0.72%).  Weakness in the Retail Index ($RLX -1.17%) also weighed on the major averages. Financial shares were largely indecisive as the Bank Index ($BKX +0.12%) inched higher and the Broker/Dealer Index ($XBD -0.28%) edged lower.  The Healthcare Index ($HMO -0.26%) suffered a small loss, meanwhile the Gold & Silver Index ($XAU +0.70%) was a standout gainer.

Charts courtesy www.stockcharts.com

PICTURED: The Networking Index ($NWX -1.01%) has steadily slumped further and further below its 50-day moving average (DMA) line since last shown in this section when finding brief support near that important short-term average on 9/27/12.


Industry Index Symbol Close Change % Change YTD % Change
Oil Services $OSX  218.80 -3.23 -1.45% +1.17%
Healthcare $HMO  2,437.63 -6.36 -0.26% +6.84%
Integrated Oil $XOI  1,231.63 -22.97 -1.83% +0.21%
Semiconductor $SOX  368.03 -5.08 -1.36% +0.99%
Networking $NWX  197.88 -2.02 -1.01% -8.03%
Internet $IIX  314.67 -2.29 -0.72% +11.69%
Broker/Dealer $XBD  83.79 -0.23 -0.28% +0.62%
Retail $RLX  651.82 -7.73 -1.17% +24.58%
Gold & Silver $XAU  187.43 +1.30 +0.70% +3.76%
Bank $BKX  50.91 +0.06 +0.12% +29.28%
Biotech $BTK  1,538.04 -15.76 -1.01% +40.92%


Extended From Base Following More Volume-Driven Gains

Davita Inc (DVA +$1.743 or +1.61% to $109.56) hit another new 52-week high today, getting even more extended from its latest sound base. Prior highs near $100 and its 50-day moving average (DMA) line define near term support to watch on pullbacks where violations may trigger technical sell signals. It was last shown in this FSU section on 9/05/12 with an annotated graph under the headline, "Distributional Pressure Led to Finish Just Below Pivot Point", when it encountered distributional pressure and ultimately failed to finish that session above its pivot point after hitting a new high with a considerable volume-driven gain. It encountered distributional pressure in the weeks that followed, yet it found support at its 50 DMA line, an important support level for chart readers. Subsequent volume-driven gains clinched a technical buy signal, and it soon rallied more than +5% above its pivot point, getting "extended" from its prior base. Disciplined investors avoid chasing extended stocks.

The Medical - Outpatient/Home Care firm has earned great ranks. Quarterly earnings increases have been above the +25% guideline (C criteria) and it has shown steady annual earnings (A criteria) growth. Ownership by top-rated funds rose from 955 in Jun '12 to 965 in Sep '12, a slightly reassuring sign concerning the I criteria.


Color Codes Explained :
Y - Better candidates highlighted by our staff of experts.
G - Previously featured in past reports as yellow but may no longer be buyable under the guidelines.

***Last / Change / Volume data in this table is the closing quote data***
Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group
PRICE CHANGE
(%Change)
Day High Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol)
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi
Featured
Date
Price
Featured
Pivot Featured
Max Buy
ALXN - NASDAQ
Alexion Pharmaceuticals
DRUGS - Drug Manufacturers - Other  
$111.41 +0.11
0.10%

$112.62

937,234
93.45% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,002,900
$119.54
-6.80%
8/23/2012 $103.70 PP = $110.06
MB = $115.56
Most Recent Note - 10/9/2012 1:47:51 PM
Y - Color code is changed to yellow after retreating below its "max buy" level. The prior highs in the $110 area define chart support along with its 50 DMA line where violations would raise concerns and trigger technical sell signals..
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 9/26/2012. Click here.

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ASPS - NASDAQ
Altisource Ptf Sltns Sa
REAL ESTATE - Property Management/Developmen  
$108.39 -0.02
-0.02%

$110.75

181,343
106.30% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 170,600
$115.73
-6.34%
9/24/2012 $87.24 PP = $92.39
MB = $97.01
Most Recent Note - 10/9/2012 1:48:46 PM
G - Consolidating after getting very extended from its prior base with 2 big volume-driven gains last week. Prior highs in the $92 area define initial support to watch on pullbacks.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 9/11/2012. Click here.

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BRLI - NASDAQ
Bio Reference Labs Inc
HEALTH SERVICES - Medical Laboratories and Researc  
$31.51 +0.55
1.78%

$31.65

294,469
105.36% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 279,500
$32.86
-4.11%
10/3/2012 $30.90 PP = $30.25
MB = $31.76
Most Recent Note - 10/8/2012 6:13:38 PM
G - Consolidating above its "max buy" level today after triggering a technical buy signal on 10/03/12 with a considerable volume-driven gain above its pivot point. See the latest FSU analysis for more details and a new annotated graph.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 10/8/2012. Click here.

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CFNL - NASDAQ
Cardinal Financial Corp
BANKING - Regional - Southeast Banks  
$14.18 -0.03
-0.21%

$14.48

191,254
247.42% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 77,300
$14.79
-4.12%
8/17/2012 $12.84 PP = $13.31
MB = $13.98
Most Recent Note - 10/10/2012 7:58:15 PM
G - Closed near the session low today with a loss on above average volume. Distributional losses on heavy volume have raised concerns in recent weeks, yet it has not suffered worrisome technical damage. Its recent low ($13.80 on 10/03/12) defines near-term support above its 50 DMA line ($13.47 now) where violations would trigger technical sell signals.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 9/25/2012. Click here.

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CMCSA - NASDAQ
Comcast Corp Cl A
MEDIA - CATV Systems  
$35.16 -0.16
-0.45%

$35.44

16,710,343
133.75% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 12,493,700
$36.98
-4.92%
6/11/2012 $29.94 PP = $30.98
MB = $32.53
Most Recent Note - 10/9/2012 1:56:21 PM
G - Consolidating quietly after wedging to a new 52-week high with gains in the past week lacking great volume conviction. Prior highs in the $35 area define support to watch above its 50 DMA line where violations would trigger technical sell signals. Fundamental concerns have been repeatedly noted - "Due to sub par sales and earnings growth in the Jun '12 quarter."
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 9/21/2012. Click here.

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Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group
PRICE CHANGE
(%Change)
Day High Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol)
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi
Featured
Date
Price
Featured
Pivot Featured
Max Buy
DVA - NYSE
Davita Inc
HEALTH SERVICES - Specialized Health Services  
$109.56 +1.74
1.61%

$110.38

1,096,720
145.59% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 753,300
$109.31
0.23%
9/5/2012 $102.92 PP = $100.62
MB = $105.65
Most Recent Note - 10/10/2012 7:54:36 PM
G - Hit another new 52-week high today with another volume-driven gain, getting even more extended from its latest sound base. Prior highs near $100 and its 50 DMA line define near term support to watch on pullbacks where violations may trigger technical sell signals. See the latest FSU analysis for more details and a new annotated graph.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 10/10/2012. Click here.

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EXPE - NASDAQ
Expedia Inc
INTERNET - Internet Information Providers  
$55.28 -0.20
-0.36%

$56.14

3,508,668
129.26% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 2,714,400
$60.29
-8.31%
4/27/2012 $41.80 PP = $35.57
MB = $37.35
Most Recent Note - 10/10/2012 1:46:10 PM
G - It is currently -8.0% off its 52-week high and just above important support at its 50 DMA line where a violation may raise more serious concerns and trigger a technical sell signal. Noted repeatedly in recent weeks - "No overhead supply remains to hinder its progress, however weak industry group action and iffy fundamentals were noted as causes for concern." See more details and an annotated graph in the latest FSU analysis under the headline "Online Travel Firm Resilient Despite Unfavorable Signs - Wednesday, September 19, 2012"
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 9/19/2012. Click here.

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GPX - NYSE
G P Strategies Corp
DIVERSIFIED SERVICES - Education and Training Services  
$19.50 -0.06
-0.31%

$19.81

14,471
18.89% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 76,600
$20.67
-5.66%
10/8/2012 $20.00 PP = $20.77
MB = $21.81
Most Recent Note - 10/8/2012 4:07:52 PM
Y - Perched only -3.1% off its 52-week high today, it recently found support at its 50 DMA line. Color code is changed to yellow with new pivot point cited based on its 8/29/12 high plus 10 cents. Volume driven gains above the pivot point may trigger a new (or add-on) technical buy signal. Losses exceeding last week's low $18.82 would raise concerns and trigger technical sell signals.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 9/13/2012. Click here.

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LKQ - NASDAQ
L K Q Corp
WHOLESALE - Auto Parts  
$19.25 -0.03
-0.16%

$19.37

1,085,833
78.26% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,387,500
$20.02
-3.82%
8/9/2012 $18.97 PP = $18.72
MB = $19.66
Most Recent Note - 10/10/2012 1:28:01 PM
Y - Consolidating above its 50 DMA line today only -3.7% off its 52-week and all-time highs with no resistance remaining due to overhead supply. Do not be confused by a 2:1 share split effective 9/19/12 (Featured Price, Pivot Point and Max Buy were adjusted).
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 9/17/2012. Click here.

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LNKD - NYSE
Linkedin Corp Class A
INTERNET - Internet Information Providers  
$111.98 -1.09
-0.96%

$113.66

1,621,899
67.18% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 2,414,300
$125.50
-10.77%
9/5/2012 $113.25 PP = $113.10
MB = $118.76
Most Recent Note - 10/10/2012 1:31:49 PM
G - Color code is changed to green while slumping below its prior highs in the $113 area and its 50 DMA line raising concerns. Only a prompt rebound above that important short-term average would help its outlook. Disciplined investors always limit losses if ever any stock falls more than -7% from where it was purchased. See the latest FSU analysis for more details and a new annotated graph.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 10/9/2012. Click here.

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Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group
PRICE CHANGE
(%Change)
Day High Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol)
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi
Featured
Date
Price
Featured
Pivot Featured
Max Buy
LULU - NASDAQ
Lululemon Athletica
MANUFACTURING - Textile Manufacturing  
$72.98 +0.20
0.27%

$73.66

824,124
32.16% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 2,562,700
$81.09
-10.00%
10/2/2012 $74.89 PP = $78.97
MB = $82.92
Most Recent Note - 10/8/2012 4:11:58 PM
Y - Following its cup-with-handle base pattern there have not yet been the volume-driven gains above its pivot point needed to confirm a technical buy signal. Fundamentals remain strong (good C and A criteria) and very little resistance from overhead supply is there to hinder its progress.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 10/2/2012. Click here.

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MIDD - NASDAQ
Middleby Corp
MANUFACTURING - Diversified Machinery  
$119.00 +1.71
1.46%

$119.75

63,998
62.50% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 102,400
$122.57
-2.91%
10/8/2012 $118.46 PP = $122.67
MB = $128.80
Most Recent Note - 10/8/2012 3:54:32 PM
Y - Perched -3.4% off its 52-week high today with volume totals cooling in recent weeks while holding its ground. Color code is changed to yellow with new pivot point cited based on its 9/06/12 high plus 10 cents. Subsequent volume-driven gains above the pivot point may trigger a new (or add-on) technical buy signal. Its 50 DMA line and recent lows define near-term chart support to watch.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 9/18/2012. Click here.

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N - NYSE
Netsuite Inc
DIVERSIFIED SERVICES - Business/Management Services  
$59.94 +0.05
0.08%

$60.64

647,256
108.18% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 598,300
$64.70
-7.36%
8/20/2012 $55.88 PP = $59.32
MB = $62.29
Most Recent Note - 10/9/2012 2:01:26 PM
Y - Color code is changed to yellow while quietly consolidating back below its "max buy" level. Prior highs near $59 closely coincide with its 50 DMA line defining important chart support where subsequent violations would trigger technical sell signals.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 9/24/2012. Click here.

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NSM - NYSE
Nationstar Mtg Hldgs Inc
FINANCIAL SERVICES - Credit Services  
$32.38 -0.91
-2.73%

$32.92

1,362,738
116.71% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,167,600
$37.20
-12.96%
8/29/2012 $27.96 PP = $28.85
MB = $30.29
Most Recent Note - 10/10/2012 1:38:39 PM
G - Gapped down today, on track for a 4th consecutive loss. A steep upward trendline connecting July-September lows defines a near-term support level to watch above its 50 DMA line. A worrisome "negative reversal" on 10/03/12 after hitting a new 52-week high raised some concerns after repeatedly noted as - "Extended from its prior base."
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 9/7/2012. Click here.

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OSIS - NASDAQ
O S I Systems Inc
ELECTRONICS - Semiconductor Equipment and Mate  
$75.81 +0.56
0.74%

$75.94

74,757
56.04% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 133,400
$78.93
-3.95%
9/5/2012 $74.39 PP = $75.10
MB = $78.86
Most Recent Note - 10/8/2012 4:13:40 PM
Y - Consolidating just -4% off its 52-week high today. It remains below its "max buy" level after bullish action recently confirmed a technical buy signal. Near term support is at its 50 DMA line.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 9/14/2012. Click here.

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Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group
PRICE CHANGE
(%Change)
Day High Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol)
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi
Featured
Date
Price
Featured
Pivot Featured
Max Buy
RNF - NYSE
Rentech Nitrogen Ptnr Lp
CHEMICALS - Agricultural Chemicals  
$34.94 -0.54
-1.52%

$35.54

257,896
56.02% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 460,400
$40.05
-12.76%
7/27/2012 $29.58 PP = $30.60
MB = $32.13
Most Recent Note - 10/9/2012 2:24:16 PM
G - Consolidating just above its 50 DMA line ($34.69) defining important near-term support after the previously noted upward trendline violation. Gains lacked volume conviction after it halted its slide.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 10/4/2012. Click here.

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SWI - NYSE
Solarwinds Inc
COMPUTER SOFTWARE and SERVICES - Application Software  
$53.57 -1.14
-2.08%

$54.62

1,051,521
105.38% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 997,800
$60.95
-12.11%
7/25/2012 $47.82 PP = $47.89
MB = $50.28
Most Recent Note - 10/10/2012 1:42:30 PM
G - Today's loss undercut the 9/26/12 low ($53.78) raising more serious concerns. A secondary buy point was explained in the latest FSU analysis along with a new annotated graph, but caution is advised unless strength returns and it rises back above its 50 DMA line promptly. Prior highs in the $48 area define the next chart support level.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 10/3/2012. Click here.

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TDG - NYSE
Transdigm Group Inc
AEROSPACE/DEFENSE - Aerospace/Defense Products and; Services  
$145.06 -0.92
-0.63%

$145.74

298,038
71.56% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 416,500
$152.62
-4.95%
8/16/2012 $132.23 PP = $136.44
MB = $143.26
Most Recent Note - 10/10/2012 1:34:12 PM
G - Quietly consolidating still above its "max buy" level. Its 50 DMA line and prior lows define near-term support to watch in the $138 area where violations may trigger technical sell signals.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 9/20/2012. Click here.

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ULTA - NASDAQ
Ulta Salon Cosm & Frag
SPECIALTY RETAIL - Specialty Retail, Other  
$96.34 +0.59
0.62%

$97.03

301,773
39.91% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 756,100
$103.52
-6.94%
9/4/2012 $93.17 PP = $98.52
MB = $103.45
Most Recent Note - 10/9/2012 2:20:54 PM
Y - Slumping near recent lows and its 50 DMA line defining important near-term chart support. Its Relative Strength Rating has slumped to 80, the minimum rank for ideal buy candidates under the fact-based investment system. The latest FSU analysis discussed its waning Relative Strength under the headline "Relative Strength Line Did Not Provide Confirmation - Friday, October 05, 2012".
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 10/5/2012. Click here.

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ULTI - NASDAQ
Ultimate Software Group
INTERNET - Internet Software and Services  
$99.89 +0.95
0.96%

$100.32

126,183
77.03% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 163,800
$106.40
-6.12%
8/27/2012 $98.36 PP = $99.19
MB = $104.15
Most Recent Note - 10/10/2012 1:35:39 PM
Y - Consolidating above its 50 DMA line and recent lows in the $96 area where violations would raise concerns and trigger technical sell signals.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 9/27/2012. Click here.

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Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group
PRICE CHANGE
(%Change)
Day High Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol)
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi
Featured
Date
Price
Featured
Pivot Featured
Max Buy
VSI - NYSE
Vitamin Shoppe Inc
SPECIALTY RETAIL - Specialty Retail, Other  
$57.56 +0.53
0.93%

$57.99

97,196
27.43% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 354,400
$61.83
-6.90%
6/29/2012 $54.93 PP = $55.03
MB = $57.78
Most Recent Note - 10/9/2012 2:10:09 PM
G - Volume totals have been below average in recent weeks while consolidating near its 50 DMA line. It faces some resistance due to overhead supply up through the $60 area after recently stalling. Recent lows near $55 define the next important chart support below its short-term average.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 9/10/2012. Click here.

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WPI - NYSE
Watson Pharmaceuticals
DRUGS - Drugs - Generic  
$87.33 +0.15
0.17%

$88.33

861,698
89.16% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 966,500
$88.06
-0.83%
8/24/2012 $82.90 PP = $81.10
MB = $85.16
Most Recent Note - 10/9/2012 2:12:55 PM
G - Holding its ground this week with light volume totals after hitting new 52-week highs with gains on higher volume, It is extended from its prior base, and prior lows and its 50 DMA line in the $82 area define important support to watch on pullbacks.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 9/28/2012. Click here.

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