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AFTER MARKET UPDATE - TUESDAY, SEPTEMBER 8TH, 2009
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Indices NYSE Nasdaq
DOW  +56.07 9,497.34 +0.59% Volume 1,317,678,680 +29% Volume 2,050,697,820 +15%
NASDAQ +18.99 2,037.77 +0.94% Advancers 2,282 74% Advancers 1,635 58%
S&P 500 +8.99 1,025.39 +0.88% Decliners 746 24% Decliners 1,040 37%
Russell 2000 +5.88 576.38 +1.03% 52 Wk Highs 154   52 Wk Highs 69  
S&P 600 +3.10 303.97 +1.03% 52 Wk Lows 1   52 Wk Lows 3  

Post-Holiday Gains Come While US Dollar Falls

Stocks rallied around the world after shares in China posted gains considered by certain analysts as a "follow-through day" confirming their latest rally attempt. This may be very important, since China led the world markets higher in early March, and the immensely populous country continues to be a strong engine for economic growth. In the US, volume was higher than Friday's light pre-holiday levels which is a sign of accumulation for the major averages. Advancers trumped decliners by nearly a 3-to-1 ratio on the NYSE and by about a 3-to-2 ratio on the Nasdaq exchange. There were 22 high-ranked companies from the CANSLIM.net Leaders List that made a new 52-week high and appeared on the CANSLIM.net BreakOuts Page, up from the 11 issues that appeared on the prior session. New 52-week highs still outnumbered new 52-week lows on both exchanges while new lows were in the single digits again.

Stocks rallied as the US dollar dove to a new 2009 low against the euro and a slew of other world currencies. This sent the price of commodities higher, which helped gold rise above the psychologically important $1,000 per ounce level. The falling dollar sent a slew of other commodities higher on the news.  Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (GS +2.61%) raised its forecasts on the metals complex because of "increasing evidence of a stronger-than- anticipated recovery in global industrial activity." On Tuesday, Gold futures rose to the highest price since March 2008 (when Bear Stearns failed), before pulling back to close off the session highs. Bullion reached an intra-day record high of $1,033.90 approximately 18 months ago, in March 2008, and has been advancing for the past nine consecutive years.

Interestingly, in a somewhat negative divergence, a flurry of gold stocks negatively reversed (opened higher and closed lower) on the news. Many gold and silver related stocks blasted higher last Wednesday and Thursday, making a pullback expected. Watchful traders will be measuring the pullback to gauge whether it is a short-term pullback which will eventually lead to higher prices, or if there is a material pullback which effectively ends the recent run in gold shares. Remember that gold stocks broke out before gold broke out, so the fact that the stocks in the group are pulling back before gold pulls back bodes somewhat poorly for the the yellow metal. 

The International Monetary Fund’s Dominique Strauss-Kahn said the crisis phase that toppled Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. in September 2008 is "almost certainly behind us" which was a strong vote of confidence in the current recovery.  Ministers from the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) are scheduled to meet tomorrow in Vienna to set production targets. Saudi Arabian Oil Minister Ali al-Naimi, who has been very vocal in recent months about his view on oil, said the market is in "good shape," with crude priced near $70 per barrel.

PICTURED: The Nasdaq Composite Index enjoyed a fresh high close for 2009!




Energy Group Rallying Near Recent Chart Highs

Energy-related shares were among Tuesday's standout gainers as the Oil Services Index ($OSX +3.16%) and Integrated Oil Index ($XOI +2.10%) both powered higher. Tech shares were too.  Solid gainers amid the session's mostly positive group action included the Semiconductor Index ($SOX +2.25%), Networking Index ($NWX +1.81%), and Internet Index ($IIX +0.90%) posting respectable gains. influential contributors on the plus side also included the Retail Index ($RLX +1.34%) and Broker/Dealer Index ($XBD +2.13%) helping to underpin the unanimous gains for the major market averages.  Meanwhile, the Healthcare Index ($HMO -1.55%) slumped worst, and the Bank Index ($BKX -0.33%) and Biotechnology Index ($BTK -0.05%) finished with minor losses.  The Gold & Silver Index ($XAU +0.14%) edged higher, which was relatively tame action following the prior week's big gains.   

Charts courtesy www.stockcharts.com

PICTURED: The Oil Services Index ($OSX +3.16%) was a standout gainer on Tuesday as traders returned from the long holiday weekend.  After an impressive rally from its December 2008 lows, the OSX has been consolidating. Gains above the downward trendline connecting its June -August chart highs, and clearing either chart high, would be a bullish indicators for the whole group of energy-related stocks.


Industry Index Symbol Close Change % Change YTD % Change
Oil Services $OSX  181.29 +5.55 +3.16% +49.35%
Healthcare $HMO  1,206.79 -19.02 -1.55% +25.68%
Integrated Oil $XOI  1,002.53 +20.65 +2.10% +2.33%
Semiconductor $SOX  316.72 +6.98 +2.25% +49.28%
Networking $NWX  214.69 +3.81 +1.81% +49.20%
Internet $IIX  205.36 +1.84 +0.90% +53.52%
Broker/Dealer $XBD  113.21 +2.36 +2.13% +46.13%
Retail $RLX  370.92 +4.92 +1.34% +32.82%
Gold & Silver $XAU  166.48 +0.23 +0.14% +34.42%
Bank $BKX  45.09 -0.15 -0.33% +1.74%
Biotech $BTK  924.18 -0.54 -0.06% +42.80%


Baidu Near Multi-Year Highs, But Decelerating Growth Is A Concern

Baidu.com, Inc. (BIDU +$13.88 or +3.89% to $357.15) gapped up today and was featured in yellow in the mid-day report with new pivot point and max buy levels cited (read here).  It is setting up on the right side of a near 6-week flat base while rising toward its 52 week high after its latest test of support at its 50-day moving average (DMA) line.  That important short-term average line acted as firm support in July. The latest consolidation is shorter than the minimum 8-week length of a proper "double bottom" pattern. This high-ranked leader has a solid quarterly and annual earnings history, but its clear sequential deceleration in its increases is a concern which has been cited in recent reports. It could deserve the benefit of the doubt is a fresh technical buy signal is triggered.  Remember that the investment system's guidelines require for a proper technical breakout to rise above its pivot point with heavy volume that is a minimum of +50% above average, preferably much more. 

Based on weak technical action it was dropped from the Featured Stocks list on 1/11/08, when it was trading at $329, and it has rebounded very impressively from its January 2009 lows near $100.  An annotated graph showed a vivid picture of the stock's weakness then under the headline, "Weakness Hurting Chances For Featured Favorite" (read here). Take a look back at that now!  BIDU had rallied +356% since it first featured on Monday, October 30, 2006 in the CANSLIM.net Mid Day Breakouts Report (read here) with a $94.05 pivot point. Along the way it went through a multi-month consolidation under its 50 and 20 DMA lines, then later returned as a noteworthy leader featured in CANSLIM.net reports." Remember that a dropped stock can be featured again in a future CANSLIM.net report if it repairs its technical damage and forms a new pivot point.  After its initial appearance, in fact, BIDU was featured again in yellow at $225.58 in the 09/11/07 CANSLIM.net Mid-Day BreakOuts Report as it was hitting new highs from an 8-week base period (read here).  It may have looked "expensive" then, yet it subsequently zoomed to $429 by November of that year before beginning a very deep consolidation (coupled with a Bear Market). 


Color Codes Explained :
Y - Better candidates highlighted by our staff of experts.
G - Previously featured in past reports as yellow but may no longer be buyable under the guidelines.

***Last / Change / Volume quote data in this table corresponds with the timestamp on the note***
 
Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group
Last Chg. Vol
% DAV
Date  Featured Price Featured Latest Pivot Point
Featured
Status
Latest Max Buy Price
ARO - NYSE
Aeropostale Inc
RETAIL - Apparel Stores
$41.77 +0.11 2,172,032
71% DAV
3,062,100
8/21/2009
(Date Featured)
$39.21
(Price Featured)
PP = $38.84 G
MB = $40.78
Most Recent Note - 9/8/2009 6:54:15 PM
G - Posted another small gain today on light volume for a new high. Gapped up on 9/03/09 after raising guidance, closing near the session high with a gain on above average volume. Color code was changed to green after its rally above the previously cited max buy level. High-ranked leader in the Retail - Clothing/shoe group found support at prior highs in the $38 area. A gap up gain for a new all-time high on 8/21/09 helped trigger a technical buy signal as it rose from a flat base pattern with almost 3 times average volume. It was featured in yellow with new pivot point and max buy levels noted in the 8/21/09 Mid-Day BreakOuts Report (read here).
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 9/2/2009. click here.
C A  S  I  |  News | Chart | SEC View all notes Alert me of new notes Company Profile
ARST -

$22.97 +1.00 1,154,121
150% DAV
768,900
9/1/2009
(Date Featured)
$19.91
(Price Featured)
PP = $20.90 G
MB = $21.95
Most Recent Note - 9/8/2009 6:57:18 PM
G - Gain today with above average volume for another new all-time high. Its color code is changed to green after rising beyond its max buy level. A considerable gain on 9/04/09 with nearly 3 times average volume triggered a technical buy signal after reporting results for the quarter ended July 31, 2009. Featured in yellow in the 9/01/09 mid-day report with an annotated daily graph (read here) and it was also featured with more detailed analysis in the September 2009 CANSLIM.net News with an annotated weekly graph (read here).
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 9/4/2009. click here.
C A  S  I  |  News | Chart | SEC View all notes Alert me of new notes Company Profile
BIDU - NASDAQ
Baidu Inc Ads
INTERNET - Internet Information Providers
$357.15 +13.88 2,444,504
140% DAV
1,748,700
9/8/2009
(Date Featured)
$351.80
(Price Featured)
PP = $368.59 Y
MB = $387.02
Most Recent Note - 9/8/2009 7:00:59 PM
Y - Gapped up today, posting a gain backed by +39% above average volume while rallying on the right side of a near 6-week flat base toward its 52 week high after its latest test of support at its 50 DMA line which acted as firm support in July. It was featured in yellow in the 9/08/09 mid-day report (today's report) with new pivot point and max buy levels cited (read here). The latest consolidation is shorter than the minimum 8-week length of a proper "double bottom" pattern. This high-ranked leader has a solid quarterly and annual earnings history but a clear sequential deceleration in its increases is a concern. Based on weak technical action it was dropped from the Featured Stocks list on 1/11/08, when it was trading at $329, and it has rebounded very impressively from its January 2009 lows near $100.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 9/8/2009. click here.
C A  S  I  |  News | Chart | SEC View all notes Alert me of new notes Company Profile
CPLA - NASDAQ
Capella Education Co
DIVERSIFIED SERVICES - Education and Training Services
$63.16 +0.90 122,907
67% DAV
183,500
7/9/2009
(Date Featured)
$59.69
(Price Featured)
PP = $62.06 Y
MB = $65.16
Most Recent Note - 9/8/2009 7:02:43 PM
Y - Gain today on light volume was an encouraging sign of support offered by its 50 DMA line and prior chart highs. Still trading in a tight range on light volume near its pivot point, within close striking range of its 52-week high. The Commercial Services-Schools Group has shown some isolated leadership which is somewhat reassuring for the L criteria, but the groups still has low ranks and CPLA's Relative Strength rank has slumped to 55, under the 80+ guideline. Its small supply of only 13.9 million shares in the float could contribute to greater price volatility in the event of institutional accumulation or distribution. The number of top-rated funds owning an interest rose from 91 in Sept '08, to 139 as of June '09, which is reassuring with respect to the I criteria. It has a very good earnings history that satisfies the C & A criteria.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 9/3/2009. click here.
C A  S  I  |  News | Chart | SEC View all notes Alert me of new notes Company Profile
CRM - NYSE
Salesforce.com Inc
INTERNET - Internet Software & Services
$54.45 +1.65 1,901,674
100% DAV
1,909,900
8/16/2009
(Date Featured)
$47.12
(Price Featured)
PP = $45.59 G
MB = $47.87
Most Recent Note - 9/8/2009 7:05:45 PM
G - Gain on average volume today for a new high close for 2009, and its color code is changed to green. Consolidated in a tight trading range for a couple of weeks after its "breakaway gap" for a considerable gain on 8/21/09 with more than 5 times average volume. A Stock Bulletin was published with detailed analysis and an annotated graph on 8/16/09 (read here).
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 8/31/2009. click here.
C A  S  I  |  News | Chart | SEC View all notes Alert me of new notes Company Profile
EBIX - NASDAQ
Ebix Inc
COMPUTER SOFTWARE & SERVICES - Business Software & Services
$54.05 +1.56 191,906
196% DAV
98,100
8/28/2009
(Date Featured)
$45.86
(Price Featured)
PP = $45.35 G
MB = $47.62
Most Recent Note - 9/8/2009 7:06:33 PM
G - Gain today with above average volume was its 12th consecutive gain, and it is very extended from its latest base. Prior chart highs near $46 are an important support level to watch on pullbacks. Featured in yellow in the 8/28/09 Mid-Day BreakOuts Report (read here). This high-ranked leader had traded up more than +59% after it was first featured in the March 2008 CANSLIM.net News (read here), but weak action later in the year subsequently prompted it to be dropped from the Featured Stocks list. Do not be confused by the 3:1 split that took effect on 10/09/08.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 8/28/2009. click here.
C A  S  I  |  News | Chart | SEC View all notes Alert me of new notes Company Profile
GMCR - NASDAQ
Green Mtn Coffee Roastrs
FOOD & BEVERAGE - Processed & Packaged Goods
$59.37 +0.77 985,477
62% DAV
1,584,300
7/17/2009
(Date Featured)
$60.15
(Price Featured)
PP = $63.79 G
MB = $66.98
Most Recent Note - 9/8/2009 7:08:24 PM
G - Small gain today on quiet volume, still trading under its 50 DMA line. As previously noted, "a violation of its prior chart low ($54.32 on 8/18/09) would complete a bearish 'head-and-shoulders' pattern and trigger more worrisome technical sell signals." GMCR traded up more than +168% since appearing with an annotated graph under the headline "It May Soon Be Time To Go Green" when featured in the January 2009 CANSLIM.net News (read here).
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 8/26/2009. click here.
C A  S  I  |  News | Chart | SEC View all notes Alert me of new notes Company Profile
NTES - NASDAQ
Netease Inc Adr
INTERNET - Internet Information Providers
$44.23 +1.71 1,689,169
78% DAV
2,154,700
7/17/2009
(Date Featured)
$39.29
(Price Featured)
PP = $38.74 G
MB = $40.68
Most Recent Note - 9/8/2009 7:09:47 PM
G - Considerable gain today on lighter than average volume. It has been quietly consolidating in a tight range above support at its 50 DMA line and above prior chart highs in the $38 area. Deterioration below those levels would raise more serious concerns and triggger additional sell signals.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 8/27/2009. click here.
C A  S  I  |  News | Chart | SEC View all notes Alert me of new notes Company Profile
NVEC - NASDAQ
N V E Corp
ELECTRONICS - Semiconductor - Specialized
$54.89 +0.89 33,212
38% DAV
87,500
8/26/2009
(Date Featured)
$55.32
(Price Featured)
PP = $57.60 Y
MB = $60.48
Most Recent Note - 9/8/2009 7:13:20 PM
Y - Posted a 4th consecutive gain today on light volume, basing above important support at its 50 DMA line and prior chart highs. Color code is changed to yellow while its recently cited pivot point still stands, however disciplined investors will watch for the stock to produce solid gains above its latest pivot point backed by heavy volume to trigger a new buy signal. Quarterly sales revenues in the 6 million dollar range are still rather minuscule, leaving concerns.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 9/1/2009. click here.
C A  S  I  |  News | Chart | SEC View all notes Alert me of new notes Company Profile
PEGA - NASDAQ
Pegasystems Inc
COMPUTER SOFTWARE & SERVICES - Business Software & Services
$30.57 +0.48 267,177
71% DAV
373,700
7/29/2009
(Date Featured)
$27.53
(Price Featured)
PP = $27.49 G
MB = $28.86
Most Recent Note - 9/8/2009 7:14:55 PM
G - Today it posted a 3rd consecutive gain on light volume while consolidating above the previously cited upward trendline connecting its July-August lows. That trendline may be considered an initial technical support level above its 50 DMA line and prior chart highs.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 8/24/2009. click here.
C A  S  I  |  News | Chart | SEC View all notes Alert me of new notes Company Profile

THESE ARE NOT BUY RECOMMENDATIONS!  Comments contained in the body of this report are technical opinions only. The material herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable and accurate, however, its accuracy and completeness cannot be guaranteed. This site is not an investment advisor, hence it does not endorse or recommend any securities or other investments. Any recommendation contained in this report may not be suitable for all investors and it is not to be deemed an offer or solicitation on our part with respect to the purchase or sale of any securities. All trademarks, service marks and trade names appearing in this report are the property of their respective owners, and are likewise used for identification purposes only.

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Kenneth J. Gruneisen founded Gruneisen Growth Corp. (2003), which prior to May 11, 2015, operated CANSLIM.net and CANSLIM.com both under license from Data Analysis Inc. / Investor's Business Daily. Kenneth has passed the CAN SLIM® Master's Exam. Gruneisen Growth Corp. now continues over two decades of fact based market analysis via FactBasedInvesting.com.

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