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AFTER MARKET UPDATE - THURSDAY, FEBRUARY 2ND, 2012
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Indices NYSE Nasdaq
DOW  -11.05 12,705.41 -0.09% Volume 810,386,150 -9% Volume 1,857,827,770 -9%
NASDAQ +11.41 2,859.68 +0.40% Advancers 1,681 54% Advancers 1,518 58%
S&P 500 +1.45 1,325.54 +0.11% Decliners 1,302 42% Decliners 996 38%
Russell 2000 +3.23 812.89 +0.40% 52 Wk Highs 205   52 Wk Highs 165  
S&P 600 +2.21 453.83 +0.49% 52 Wk Lows 8   52 Wk Lows 16  

More Leadership on Nasdaq as Volume Totals Cooled

The Nasdaq Composite Index was the relative outperformer as the major averages ended mixed with lighter volume totals reported on Thursday versus the prior session on both the NYSE and on the Nasdaq exchange. Breadth on the exchanges was positive as the NYSE saw advancers leading decliners by about 4-3 and advancers led decliners by 3-2 on the Nasdaq exchange. Stocks hitting new 52-week highs easily outnumbered new 52-week lows on both exchanges, and while the total number of new 52-week highs contracted on the NYSE, the new highs total expanded on the Nasdaq exchange. There were 95 high-ranked companies from the CANSLIM.net Leaders List that made new 52-week highs and appeared on the CANSLIM.net BreakOuts Page, near the prior session total of 98 stocks. There were gains for 13 of the 22 high-ranked companies currently included on the Featured Stocks Page.

 

Markets were mixed as investors digest tepid economic data and mixed earnings reports. On the economic front, data was largely in-line with expectations. Weekly jobless claims only slightly beat consensus expectations with a 367,000 reading. Separately, non-farm business productivity for the fourth-quarter met expectations, while output cost rose +1.2%. Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke's testimony before Congress provided no hint at a third round of quantitative easing.

On the earnings front, Merck & Co Inc (MRK -0.49%) was off slightly after reporting weaker-than-expected results in quarterly sales. Shares of Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc (CMG -2.05%) fell after missing quarterly EPS estimates by 2 cents. On the upside, Green Mountain Coffee Roasters (GMCR +23.85%) steamed higher after the company beat analyst EPS expectations by 67%.

Precious metals managed to stage a strong climb with a +1.0% gain for gold to $1,754.50 per ounce. Silver scored a +2.7% gain by settling at $34.15 per ounce.  European markets closed at their session highs with the FTSE in London up +0.1% and the German DAX advancing +0.6% 

The further expansion in leadership (stocks making new 52-week highs) has maintained the current confirmed market uptrend. As this commentary has repeated, the M criteria requires a healthy crop of strong leaders for any sustained market advance. While the market has recently produced a larger crop of stocks hitting new highs, it always remains important for investors to be selective in choosing high-ranked buy candidates while being disciplined and following sound rules for buying and selling. 

The most timely stocks worthy of consideration under the fact-based system are included on the Featured Stocks Page.  There members can drill down and review all prior analysis and annotated graphs via the links provided.  Via the Premium Member Homepage links to all prior reports and webcasts are always available.

PICTURED: The Dow Jones Industrial Average's monthly chart illustrates how the Blue Chip index has rallied 4 consecutive months from the 2011 "Bear Market" low to within -1.3% of its 2011 peak, and it is now perched -10.5% off its 2007 all-time high of 14,198.


Kenneth J. Gruneisen started out as a licensed stockbroker in August 1987, a couple of months prior to the historic stock market crash that took the Dow Jones Industrial Average down -22.6% in a single day. He has published daily fact-based fundamental and technical analysis on high-ranked stocks online for two decades. Through FACTBASEDINVESTING.COM, Kenneth provides educational articles, news, market commentary, and other information regarding proven investment systems that work in good times and bad.

Comments contained in the body of this report are technical opinions only and are not necessarily those of Gruneisen Growth Corp. The material herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable and accurate, however, its accuracy and completeness cannot be guaranteed. Our firm, employees, and customers may effect transactions, including transactions contrary to any recommendation herein, or have positions in the securities mentioned herein or options with respect thereto. Any recommendation contained in this report may not be suitable for all investors and it is not to be deemed an offer or solicitation on our part with respect to the purchase or sale of any securities.


Biotechnology Index Has Been a Standout Leader YTD

The Retail Index ($RLX +0.51%) and Bank Index ($BKX +0.74%) were positive influences on the major averages while the Broker/Dealer Index ($XBD +0.03%) finished flat. The Healthcare Index's ($HMO -1.13%) loss made it a standout laggard group. Meanwhile, commodity-linked groups posted gains as the Gold & Silver Index ($XAU +0.98%), Oil Services Index ($OSX +1.52%), and Integrated Oil Index ($XOI +0.33%) rose.  There were also modest gains from the Semiconductor Index ($SOX +0.43%), Internet Index ($IIX +0.85%), and the Networking Index ($NWX +0.98%).

Charts courtesy www.stockcharts.com

PICTURED: The Biotechnology Index ($BTK +1.49%) has managed a strong rally for a +26% gain year-to-date.


Industry Index Symbol Close Change % Change YTD % Change
Oil Services $OSX  243.98 +3.65 +1.52% +12.81%
Healthcare $HMO  2,564.94 -29.28 -1.13% +12.42%
Integrated Oil $XOI  1,268.36 +4.21 +0.33% +3.19%
Semiconductor $SOX  420.56 +1.82 +0.43% +15.40%
Networking $NWX  246.13 +2.40 +0.98% +14.39%
Internet $IIX  306.99 +2.60 +0.85% +8.96%
Broker/Dealer $XBD  94.15 +0.03 +0.03% +13.07%
Retail $RLX  553.73 +2.81 +0.51% +5.84%
Gold & Silver $XAU  202.74 +1.97 +0.98% +12.23%
Bank $BKX  43.62 +0.32 +0.74% +10.77%
Biotech $BTK  1,377.64 +20.21 +1.49% +26.22%


Stubbornly Holding Ground Forming 3-Weeks Tight Base

Celgene Corp (CELG +$0.24 or +0.32% to $74.16) posted a quiet gain today and finished at a new high close for the year. Recently it has been noted while also trading within close striking distance of its all-time high ($77.39 in Aug '08). It is forming an advanced "3-weeks tight" type base well above its 50-day moving average (DMA) line and its prior highs in the $68 area which define chart support to watch on pullbacks. Its color code is changed to yellow with a new pivot point cited based on its 1/17/12 high plus 10 cents. Subsequent volume-driven gains above the pivot point cited may trigger a new (or add-on) technical buy signal.

This high-ranked Medical -Biomed/ Biotech firm's last appearance in this FSU section was on 12/29/11 with an annotated graph under the headline, "High-Ranked Biomed/Biotech Firm Perched Near High - Thursday, December 29, 2011", and its ability to subsequently power into new high territory with additional volume-driven gains (4 consecutive gains January 9-12) provided a most reassuring sign that it may be capable of a meaningful and sustained advance. Earnings increases have been strong, but the latest quarter ended Dec 31, 2011 had the smallest % gain in sales revenues in the past 2 years of comparisons.

Bullish market environments often offer multiple opportunities to accumulate the same high-ranked company's shares within the fact-based system's guidelines. As we have reminded members before, patience and discipline are required, and the fact-based system's buying tactic called pyramiding can be especially helpful to investors who may have struggled to make progress with their portfolios. As always, disciplined investors limit losses if any stock ever falls more that -7% from their buy point.


Color Codes Explained :
Y - Better candidates highlighted by our staff of experts.
G - Previously featured in past reports as yellow but may no longer be buyable under the guidelines.

***Last / Change / Volume data in this table is the closing quote data***
Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group
PRICE CHANGE
(%Change)
Day High Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol)
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi
Featured
Date
Price
Featured
Pivot Featured
Max Buy
ADS - NYSE
Alliance Data Sys Corp
COMPUTER SOFTWARE and SERVICES - Information and Delivery Service  
$112.35 +1.34
1.21%

$114.06

1,647,024
243.68% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 675,900
$111.79
0.50%
1/17/2012 $108.24 PP = $107.43
MB = $112.80
Most Recent Note - 2/2/2012 11:48:39 AM
Y - Reported strong results for the latest quarter ended December 31, 2011 versus the year ago period. Gapped down today and then found prompt support and rebounded and rallied to a new all-time high with volume running at an above average pace.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 1/17/2012. Click here.

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ALXN - NASDAQ
Alexion Pharmaceuticals
DRUGS - Drug Manufacturers - Other  
$77.78 +0.43
0.56%

$78.51

917,242
80.34% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,141,700
$78.08
-0.38%
11/30/2011 $68.66 PP = $70.52
MB = $74.05
Most Recent Note - 1/31/2012 4:09:25 PM
G - Gain today with higher volume. It is extended from its prior base, and on pullbacks prior resistance in the $70 area defines chart support along with its 50 DMA line.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 1/13/2012. Click here.

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BODY - NASDAQ
Body Central Corp
RETAIL - Catalog andamp; Mail Order Houses  
$25.48 -0.75
-2.86%

$26.47

314,056
222.10% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 141,400
$27.24
-6.46%
1/27/2012 $26.69 PP = $25.46
MB = $26.73
Most Recent Note - 2/2/2012 2:38:35 PM
Y - Pulling back from its 52-week high for a 2nd consecutive loss today after a streak of 7 straight gains. Slumping near its prior highs that define initial support to watch on pullbacks.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 1/27/2012. Click here.

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CATM - NASDAQ
Cardtronics Inc
DIVERSIFIED SERVICES - Business/Management Services  
$25.49 -0.42
-1.62%

$26.12

911,472
260.12% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 350,400
$28.74
-11.31%
12/23/2011 $28.64 PP = $28.56
MB = $29.99
Most Recent Note - 2/2/2012 2:41:33 PM
G - A rebound above its 50 DMA line is needed for its technical stance and outlook to improve. Its 200 DMA line ($23.76) defines the next important chart support level to watch. Due to report earnings after the close today, and volume and volatility often increase near earnings news.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 1/30/2012. Click here.

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CELG - NASDAQ
Celgene Corp
DRUGS - Drug Manufacturers - Major  
$74.16 +0.24
0.32%

$74.58

2,014,994
57.75% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 3,489,400
$75.11
-1.26%
2/2/2012 $74.16 PP = $75.21
MB = $78.97
Most Recent Note - 2/2/2012 6:45:20 PM
Y - Color code is changed to yellow while forming an advanced "3-weeks tight" base pattern and stubbornly holding its ground within close striking distance of its all-time high ($77.39 in Aug '08). See the latest FSU analysis for more details and a new annotated weekly graph.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 2/2/2012. Click here.

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Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group
PRICE CHANGE
(%Change)
Day High Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol)
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi
Featured
Date
Price
Featured
Pivot Featured
Max Buy
FEIC - NASDAQ
F E I Co
ELECTRONICS - Diversified Electronics  
$45.84 +0.52
1.15%

$46.12

219,410
83.84% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 261,700
$45.85
-0.02%
12/7/2011 $41.41 PP = $42.35
MB = $44.47
Most Recent Note - 2/1/2012 1:25:56 PM
G - Perched within close striking distance of its best-ever close with today's gain. It is slightly extended from its prior base. No overhead supply remains to hinder its upward progress. Prior highs in the $43 area define initial chart support.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 1/25/2012. Click here.

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GNC - NYSE
G N C Holdings Inc
RETAIL - Drug Stores  
$27.50 +0.20
0.73%

$27.58

816,278
77.93% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,047,500
$29.67
-7.31%
1/19/2012 $28.99 PP = $29.60
MB = $31.08
Most Recent Note - 2/2/2012 3:13:12 PM
G - Encountering resistance at its 50 DMA line this week when rebounding following last week's violation that triggered a technical sell signal. A rebound above its 50 DMA line is needed for its outlook to improve.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 1/19/2012. Click here.

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HMSY - NASDAQ
H M S Holdings Corp
COMPUTER SOFTWARE and SERVICES - Healthcare Information Service  
$34.02 -0.04
-0.12%

$34.44

464,893
52.88% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 879,100
$34.73
-2.04%
10/27/2011 $26.44 PP = $28.37
MB = $29.79
Most Recent Note - 2/1/2012 1:27:46 PM
G - Today's gain has it within close striking distance of its best-ever close. No resistance remains to hinder its progress, but it is extended from its prior base. Its 50 DMA line and prior highs near $32 define near-term chart support to watch.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 12/28/2011. Click here.

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ISRG - NASDAQ
Intuitive Surgical Inc
HEALTH SERVICES - Medical Appliances and Equipment  
$483.00 +20.06
4.33%

$488.84

1,072,739
302.95% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 354,100
$476.49
1.37%
12/20/2011 $442.43 PP = $449.16
MB = $471.62
Most Recent Note - 2/2/2012 2:54:11 PM
G - Considerable volume-driven gain today for a new all-time high. Color code is changed to green after rallying beyond the "max buy" level that was cited. Reported earnings +24% on +28% sales revenues for the quarter ended December 31, 2011 versus the year ago period.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 1/18/2012. Click here.

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LULU - NASDAQ
Lululemon Athletica
MANUFACTURING - Textile Manufacturing  
$63.55 -0.21
-0.33%

$64.56

1,526,665
39.71% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 3,844,600
$65.09
-2.37%
1/10/2012 $60.97 PP = $59.46
MB = $62.43
Most Recent Note - 2/1/2012 3:10:22 PM
G - Inching up into new 52-week and all-time high territory, rising quietly with another gain today backed by below average volume. No resistance remains due to overhead supply, but it is extended from the base pattern previously noted.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 1/10/2012. Click here.

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Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group
PRICE CHANGE
(%Change)
Day High Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol)
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi
Featured
Date
Price
Featured
Pivot Featured
Max Buy
MA - NYSE
Mastercard Inc Cl A
DIVERSIFIED SERVICES - Business/Management Services  
$381.57 +23.95
6.70%

$384.25

3,502,577
342.92% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,021,400
$384.99
-0.89%
2/2/2012 $379.05 PP = $381.32
MB = $400.39
Most Recent Note - 2/2/2012 12:28:22 PM
Y - Color code is changed to yellow after rallying back above its 50 DMA line, improving its technical stance. New pivot point is cited based on the 12/27/11 high while a strong close above it would trigger a technical buy signal from a "double bottom" base pattern. Gapped up today for a considerable volume-driven gain nearly challenging its 52 week high and pivot point after reporting earnings +28% on +20% sales revenues for the quarter ended December 31, 2011 versus the year ago period.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 1/3/2012. Click here.

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MKTX - NASDAQ
Marketaxess Holdings Inc
FINANCIAL SERVICES - Investment Brokerage - Nationa  
$33.98 +0.62
1.86%

$34.86

308,361
174.22% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 177,000
$33.82
0.47%
10/28/2011 $29.79 PP = $31.05
MB = $32.60
Most Recent Note - 2/1/2012 12:54:41 PM
Y - Reported earnings +26% on +17% sales revenues for the quarter ended December 31, 2011 versus the year ago period. Hit a new all-time high with today's gain and no resistance remains due to overhead supply. The 50 DMA line defines initial chart support to watch.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 1/24/2012. Click here.

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OSIS - NASDAQ
O S I Systems Inc
ELECTRONICS - Semiconductor Equipment and Mate  
$55.23 +0.15
0.27%

$55.83

108,221
109.65% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 98,700
$57.51
-3.96%
11/1/2011 $42.07 PP = $45.57
MB = $47.85
Most Recent Note - 1/31/2012 5:36:30 PM
G - Quietly consolidating -6.6% from its all-time high. Reported earnings +20% on +11% sales revenues for the quarter ended December 31, 2011 versus the year ago period. Results below the +25% minimum earnings guideline, and marking its weakest earnings comparison in 2 years, raised concerns. See the latest FSU analysis for more details and a new annotated graph.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 1/31/2012. Click here.

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PRGO - NASDAQ
Perrigo Co
DRUGS - Drug Related Products  
$93.13 -1.86
-1.96%

$94.96

1,100,202
85.45% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,287,500
$104.70
-11.05%
12/9/2011 $99.54 PP = $101.56
MB = $106.64
Most Recent Note - 2/2/2012 3:09:46 PM
G - Now it is -11.0% off its 52-week high and its Relative Strength rank has slumped to 80, which is the minimum guideline for buy candidates under the fact-based system, down from 88 when it was last shown in the FSU section on 1/09/12 with an annotated graph. Encountered resistance at its 50 DMA line when it recently tried to rebound, and it is now slumping near its 200 DMA line ($91.84). That important long-term average acted as support in prior months while it endured distributional pressure.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 1/9/2012. Click here.

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RAX - NYSE
Rackspace Hosting Inc
INTERNET - Internet Software and; Services  
$46.87 +2.42
5.44%

$47.90

4,421,220
296.69% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,490,200
$46.50
0.81%
2/2/2012 $46.69 PP = $45.55
MB = $47.83
Most Recent Note - 2/2/2012 12:37:32 PM
Y - Considerable gain after gapping up today rallying with above average volume to hit new 52-week and all-time highs. It formed an orderly flat base and its color code is changed to yellow with a new pivot point cited based on its most recent chart high plus 10 cents. Its recent low ($41.37 on 1/09/12) defines important near-term support to watch above its 200 DMA line.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 1/5/2012. Click here.

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Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group
PRICE CHANGE
(%Change)
Day High Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol)
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi
Featured
Date
Price
Featured
Pivot Featured
Max Buy
SWI - NYSE
Solarwinds Inc
COMPUTER SOFTWARE and SERVICES - Application Software  
$32.63 +0.35
1.08%

$33.40

1,222,814
127.72% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 957,400
$33.68
-3.12%
1/26/2012 $32.36 PP = $33.78
MB = $35.47
Most Recent Note - 2/2/2012 2:59:38 PM
Y - Up again today rising near its pivot point without great volume conviction. Quietly wedging higher after an 8-week consolidation. No resistance remains due to overhead supply. Disciplined investors may watch for a convincing burst of institutional buying to confirm a new technical buy signal.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 1/26/2012. Click here.

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SXCI - NASDAQ
S X C Health Solutions
COMPUTER SOFTWARE and SERVICES - Healthcare Information Service  
$63.38 -1.07
-1.66%

$64.94

237,467
69.31% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 342,600
$66.40
-4.55%
1/10/2012 $62.05 PP = $60.10
MB = $63.11
Most Recent Note - 2/2/2012 2:45:30 PM
G - Volume totals have recently been cooling while consolidating in a tight trading range for the past few weeks, perched within close striking distance of its 52-week high.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 1/20/2012. Click here.

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TDG - NYSE
Transdigm Group Inc
AEROSPACE/DEFENSE - Aerospace/Defense Products and; Services  
$106.06 -0.77
-0.72%

$107.62

238,181
73.72% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 323,100
$107.98
-1.78%
1/10/2012 $98.83 PP = $102.83
MB = $107.97
Most Recent Note - 2/2/2012 2:48:01 PM
Y - Quietly holding its ground today near its all-time high and "max buy" level after volume-driven gains this week triggered a technical buy signal. No overhead supply remains to act as resistance. Prior highs near $102 define the initial support level to watch above its 50 DMA line.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 1/4/2012. Click here.

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TSCO - NASDAQ
Tractor Supply Co
SPECIALTY RETAIL - Specialty Retail, Other  
$79.87 -1.92
-2.35%

$82.50

1,707,808
249.39% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 684,800
$82.50
-3.19%
1/12/2012 $79.12 PP = $75.58
MB = $79.36
Most Recent Note - 2/2/2012 12:54:47 PM
G - Slumping near the session low with a loss on above average volume. It has been holding its ground in a tight range for the past 3 weeks, enduring mild distributional pressure while not making meaningful price progress, yet remaining perched at its all-time high. Prior highs in the mid-$70s which were a resistance area now define initial support to watch on pullbacks.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 1/12/2012. Click here.

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UBNT - NASDAQ
Ubiquiti Networks Inc
TELECOMMUNICATIONS - Diversified Communication Serv  
$25.52 +1.42
5.89%

$25.73

403,479
156.45% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 257,900
$25.30
0.87%
1/27/2012 $22.25 PP = $23.14
MB = $24.30
Most Recent Note - 2/2/2012 2:56:32 PM
G - Gapped up today rallying to a new high above the "max buy" level and its color code is changed to green. See the latest FSU analysis for more details and a new annotated graph.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 2/1/2012. Click here.

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Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group
PRICE CHANGE
(%Change)
Day High Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol)
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi
Featured
Date
Price
Featured
Pivot Featured
Max Buy
ULTA - NASDAQ
Ulta Salon Cosm & Frag
SPECIALTY RETAIL - Specialty Retail, Other  
$76.61 -0.21
-0.27%

$78.31

423,858
46.58% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 909,900
$79.64
-3.80%
1/11/2012 $71.97 PP = $75.80
MB = $79.59
Most Recent Note - 1/31/2012 4:14:53 PM
Y - Quietly consolidating since last noted on 1/26/12 following a negative reversal after touching a new all-time high. Recently wedged up from a riskier late-stage base without sufficient volume to trigger a proper technical buy signal. Prior lows near $64 define important chart support above its 200 DMA line.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 1/11/2012. Click here.

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V - NYSE
Visa Inc Cl A
DIVERSIFIED SERVICES - Business/Management Services  
$106.06 +3.55
3.46%

$107.12

8,435,037
223.36% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 3,776,400
$104.20
1.79%
2/2/2012 $105.43 PP = $104.30
MB = $109.52
Most Recent Note - 2/2/2012 1:08:56 PM
Y - Gapped up today and hit a new all-time high amid strength in the group of Finance -Credit Card Payment Processing firms. No overhead supply remains to act as resistance. Its recent consolidation was not recognized as a sound basic base pattern, however some analysts may consider it an advanced "3-weeks tight" or longer consolidation in a tight trading range worthy of consideration. Color code is changed to yellow with a new pivot point based on its 1/19/12 high plus 10 cents. Prior highs in the $103-104 area define initial support. Its recent low ($98.33 on 1/11/12) and its 50 DMA line define important chart support to watch on pullbacks.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 1/23/2012. Click here.

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