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AFTER MARKET UPDATE - THURSDAY, DECEMBER 3RD, 2009
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Indices NYSE Nasdaq
DOW  -86.53 10,366.15 -0.83% Volume 1,132,946,500 +10% Volume 2,046,081,630 -2%
NASDAQ -11.89 2,173.14 -0.54% Advancers 1,064 34% Advancers 871 31%
S&P 500 -9.32 1,099.92 -0.84% Decliners 1,951 62% Decliners 1,827 64%
Russell 2000 -7.31 588.78 -1.23% 52 Wk Highs 258   52 Wk Highs 95  
S&P 600 -4.31 310.34 -1.37% 52 Wk Lows 7   52 Wk Lows 24  

NYSE Indices Encounter Distributional Pressure Again

On Thursday's session the major averages negatively reversed (opened higher but closed lower) after a the European Central Bank (ECB) held rates steady and disappointing economic data was released. Volume, an important indicator of institutional sponsorship, was mixed compared to Wednesday's levels; higher on the NYSE and lower on the Nasdaq exchange. As a result, the NYSE indexes marked a distribution day as they fell on higher volume but the Nasdaq avoided one since volume receded. Advancers were outnumbered by decliners by almost a 2-to-1 ratio on the NYSE and by over a 2-to-1 ratio on the Nasdaq exchange. There were 44 high-ranked companies from the CANSLIM.net Leaders List that made a new 52-week high and appeared on the CANSLIM.net BreakOuts Pagelower than the total of 46 issues that appeared on the prior session. Leadership among high-ranked growth stocks had dried up in recent weeks, so the expansion in new highs this week has been a welcome improvement. New 52-week highs solidly outnumbered new 52-week lows on the NYSE and on the Nasdaq exchange.

Before Thursday's open, the Labor Department said that 457,000 jobless claims were reported last week which was just under the Street's estimates. Before Friday's opening bell, the Labor Department is slated to release November's jobs report. The latest estimate on Wall Street is that employers slashed -100,000 jobs last month and the unemployment rate held steady at +10.2% which is the highest level in 26 years. If the report shows that the economy lost 100,000 jobs in November it will be the smallest monthly decline in payrolls since March 2008.

Elsewhere, the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) said its service index fell below the boom/bust line of 50, to 48.7 last month. The reading was below economists' estimates of 52 and signaled contraction for the first time in several months. Bloomberg.com defines the ISM non-manufacturing index as: "The ISM surveys nearly 400 firms from 60 sectors across the United States, including agriculture, mining, construction, transportation, communications, wholesale trade and retail trade." Since the service sector compiles a large portion of the economy, this reading is a great proxy for the underlying health of the economy.

Dr. Ben Bernanke spent the day defending his job, and the Federal Reserve, on Capitol Hill as congressmen spent hours asking him questions about the financial crisis.  One of the most controversial topics, was when Bernanke denounced a congressional audit of the Fed. Most analysts believe that he will easily get approved for a second term but the jury is still out whether or not the Fed will maintain its immunity from future congressional audits. Congress wants the ability to audit the Fed and review the Fed's monetary policy to ensure the central bank does not succumb to the political pressure. Last month, the House Financial Services Committee voted to approve a proposal to audit the Fed backed by Ron Paul. 

Looking at the market, the action remains mixed to slightly positive as the major averages continue consolidating their recent move just below resistance. Each of the major averages are having a difficult time trading above important resistance levels in recent weeks as the market continues building its latest base. Leadership, a critical component of a healthy rally has narrowed sharply in recent weeks as the market continues consolidating.  Currently, the three areas of strength are: large cap technology, gold, and small-cap and mid-cap China-based stocks. Ideally, one would like to see the market averages rally above resistance as high quality leadership expands.

PICTURED: The Nasdaq Composite Index pulled back after encountering resistance on Thursday.




Internet Index Leads Gaining Groups This Year

Defensive areas took some of the hardest hits on Thursday as the Healthcare Index ($HMO -3.19%), Gold & Silver Index ($XAU -2.28%), and Oil Services Index ($OSX -2.45%) were smacked with losses.  Financial shares weighed on the market as the Bank Index ($BKX -3.02%) and Broker/Dealer Index ($XBD -1.68%) continued to struggle.  The Semiconductor Index ($SOX +1.15%) provided some leadership for the tech sector while the Internet Index ($IIX -0.69%), Networking Index ($NWX -0.54%), and Biotechnology Index ($BTK -0.36%) suffered modest losses.

A technical problem at the CBOE caused a problem much of the day with data reported for the Retail Index ($RLX -1.22%).  A handful of retailers reported disappointing sales for November, which pressured the retail group and definitely hurt investor sentiment.  Among the retailers making negative headlines was Aeropostale Inc (ARO -11.47%), a previously strong leader which was dropped from the Featured Stock list on 11/05/09 and has slumped well below its 200-day moving average (DMA) line since. 

Charts courtesy www.stockcharts.com

PICTURED: The Internet Index ($IIX -0.69%) is sporting the largest year-to-date gain of the industry indexes routinely tracked in this section.  While financial shares and other areas have recently struggled, the Internet Index remains in healthy shape, trading above its 50 DMA line and near its 2009 highs.


Industry Index Symbol Close Change % Change YTD % Change
Oil Services $OSX  187.01 -4.70 -2.45% +54.06%
Healthcare $HMO  1,332.20 -43.89 -3.19% +38.74%
Integrated Oil $XOI  1,074.23 -9.52 -0.88% +9.65%
Semiconductor $SOX  328.44 +3.75 +1.15% +54.80%
Networking $NWX  223.60 -1.21 -0.54% +55.40%
Internet $IIX  225.88 -1.58 -0.69% +68.86%
Broker/Dealer $XBD  112.80 -1.93 -1.68% +45.60%
Retail $RLX  407.35 -5.06 -1.22% +46.46%
Gold & Silver $XAU  192.51 -4.49 -2.28% +55.44%
Bank $BKX  43.29 -1.35 -3.02% -2.32%
Biotech $BTK  907.21 -3.32 -0.36% +40.18%


Some Resilience After Technical Sell Signals

ArcSight, Inc. (ARST -$0.51 or -2.08% to $23.98) gapped up today but then negatively reversed and closed with a loss on light volume below its 50-day moving average (DMA) line. The 50 DMA line is always an important technical support level to watch on pullbacks. In this case, concerns were also raised when it undercut a prior chart low, the next technical support.  It has shown resilience this week after recently noted technical sell signals, however the 50 DMA appears to now be acting as a resistance level.

Keep in mind that ARST was considered a "late-stage" breakout possibility when featured after it had already made a considerable 5-fold rally from its November '08 low. ARST was first featured in yellow at $19.91 in the 9/01/09 mid-day report with an annotated daily graph (read here) and it was also featured with more detailed analysis in the September 2009 CANSLIM.net News with an annotated weekly graph (read here).


Color Codes Explained :
Y - Better candidates highlighted by our staff of experts.
G - Previously featured in past reports as yellow but may no longer be buyable under the guidelines.

***Last / Change / Volume quote data in this table corresponds with the timestamp on the note***
 
Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group
Last Chg. Vol
% DAV
Date  Featured Price Featured Latest Pivot Point
Featured
Status
Latest Max Buy Price
ARST -

$23.98 -0.51 445,616
79% DAV
563,000
9/1/2009
(Date Featured)
$19.91
(Price Featured)
PP = $20.90 G
MB = $21.95
Most Recent Note - 12/3/2009 5:06:32 PM
G - Gapped up today but then negatively reversed and closed back below its 50 DMA line. It has shown resilience this week after recently noted technical sell signals. ARST was first featured in yellow at $19.91 in the 9/01/09 mid-day report with an annotated daily graph (read here).
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 12/3/2009. click here.
C A  S  I  |  News | Chart | SEC View all notes Alert me of new notes Company Profile
ASIA -

$25.04 -2.51 2,792,688
262% DAV
1,067,300
10/14/2009
(Date Featured)
$23.05
(Price Featured)
PP = $22.19 G
MB = $23.30
Most Recent Note - 12/3/2009 5:10:50 PM
G - Gapped up today and then negatively reversed for a considerable loss on heavy volume after first hitting a new 52-week high. Featured 10/14/09 in the mid-day report (read here) as it gapped up for a new 52-week high with 5 times average volume, triggering a technical buy signal by blasting above its pivot point. First featured in the August 2009 CANSLIM.net News (read here).
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 11/24/2009. click here.
C A  S  I  |  News | Chart | SEC View all notes Alert me of new notes Company Profile
BIDU - NASDAQ
Baidu Inc Ads
INTERNET - Internet Information Providers
$427.89 -6.83 1,179,604
55% DAV
2,148,200
9/8/2009
(Date Featured)
$351.80
(Price Featured)
PP = $368.59 G
MB = $387.02
Most Recent Note - 12/3/2009 5:18:41 PM
G - Loss on light volume today while consolidating in a very tight trading range for the past 4 weeks, still perched near all-time highs. Proved resilient near its 50 DMA line after its 10/27/09 gap down. As recently noted, "Choppy action has not allowed it to form a sound base in recent weeks." BIDU traded up as much as +23% from its price when featured in yellow in the 9/08/09 Mid-Day BreakOuts Report (read here).
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 11/25/2009. click here.
C A  S  I  |  News | Chart | SEC View all notes Alert me of new notes Company Profile
CAAS - NASDAQ
China Automotive Systems
AUTOMOTIVE - Auto Parts
$21.11 +0.19 722,431
153% DAV
471,600
11/30/2009
(Date Featured)
$18.84
(Price Featured)
PP = $17.62 G
MB = $18.50
Most Recent Note - 12/3/2009 5:20:26 PM
G - Today was its 4th consecutive gain on above average volume, leaving it perched at all-time highs, too extended from a proper buy point under the investment system rules. The Chinese maker of power steering systems was rising from an advanced "3-weeks tight" type of chart pattern as it showed up in yellow in the 11/30/09 mid-day report (read here). Recent quarters show accelerating sales revenues and earnings increases, and it has a good annual earnings history.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 11/30/2009. click here.
C A  S  I  |  News | Chart | SEC View all notes Alert me of new notes Company Profile
CACC - NASDAQ
Credit Acceptance Corp
FINANCIAL SERVICES - Credit Services
$33.60 -1.25 25,754
69% DAV
37,300
9/29/2009
(Date Featured)
$33.48
(Price Featured)
PP = $37.10 Y
MB = $38.96
Most Recent Note - 12/3/2009 5:23:54 PM
Y - Loss today on light volume led to another 50 DMA line violation and lowest close since 10/02/09. After a 7-week flat base it is continuing its consolidation above prior chart highs in the $32 area. The Finance - Consumer/Commercial Loans firm has maintained a great track record of annual and quarterly sales revenues and earnings increases. It was featured on 9/29/09 in yellow in the mid-day report (read here).
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 11/27/2009. click here.
C A  S  I  |  News | Chart | SEC View all notes Alert me of new notes Company Profile
CRM - NYSE
Salesforce.com Inc
INTERNET - Internet Software & Services
$64.69 -0.03 942,350
57% DAV
1,656,200
8/16/2009
(Date Featured)
$47.12
(Price Featured)
PP = $45.59 G
MB = $47.87
Most Recent Note - 12/3/2009 5:25:29 PM
G - Loss today on light volume, consolidating above important support at its 50 DMA line. It has not formed any recent base.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 11/23/2009. click here.
C A  S  I  |  News | Chart | SEC View all notes Alert me of new notes Company Profile
CTRP - NASDAQ
Ctrip.com Intl Ltd Adr
LEISURE - Resorts & Casinos
$76.63 -0.58 1,098,183
101% DAV
1,085,000
12/1/2009
(Date Featured)
$75.38
(Price Featured)
PP = $73.91 Y
MB = $77.61
Most Recent Note - 12/3/2009 5:29:12 PM
Y - Gapped up today and hit a new all-time high above its "max buy" level, then negatively reversed for a loss, falling swiftly in the final hour of the session. Featured on 12/01/09 in yellow in the mid-day report (read here). It triggered a technical buy signal as it rose with more than +50% above average volume from a brief consolidation resembling a "high-tight-flag" pattern which it formed after repairing a late-October breach of its 50 DMA line. Fundamentally, its sales revenues and earnings increases have shown acceleration in the 3 most recent quarterly comparisons and rose above the +25% guideline. Based on weak technical action it was dropped from the Featured Stocks list on 6/10/08, when it closed at $49.84, yet it has rebounded very impressively from subsequent lows in the $16 area.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 12/1/2009. click here.
C A  S  I  |  News | Chart | SEC View all notes Alert me of new notes Company Profile
HEAT -

$15.34 -0.53 1,113,976
155% DAV
717,400
11/17/2009
(Date Featured)
$12.00
(Price Featured)
PP = $12.61 G
MB = $13.24
Most Recent Note - 12/3/2009 5:30:35 PM
G - Pulled back today after 3 consecutive high-volume gains. Extended beyond its "may buy" level at all-time highs, having risen more than +20% in the first 2-3 weeks following its technical breakout. It found support near its pivot point during its recent consolidation, giving investors an opportunity to accumulate shares without chasing it and buying it "extended" from its latest base. First featured in yellow in the 11/17/09 mid-day report (read here) when technically rising from a "double bottom" base, reaching a new all-time high.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 12/2/2009. click here.
C A  S  I  |  News | Chart | SEC View all notes Alert me of new notes Company Profile
LFT -

$37.28 -0.23 192,219
41% DAV
472,500
11/17/2009
(Date Featured)
$31.77
(Price Featured)
PP = $33.04 G
MB = $34.69
Most Recent Note - 12/3/2009 5:31:40 PM
G - Small loss today on light volume. Perched near all-time highs, extended after recently rising from a choppy 14-week base. Prior chart highs in the $31 area are an initial support level to watch. A proposed offering of additional shares on 11/16/09 seems well received by the market. Its fundamentals remain strong.


>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 11/18/2009. click here.
C A  S  I  |  News | Chart | SEC View all notes Alert me of new notes Company Profile

THESE ARE NOT BUY RECOMMENDATIONS!  Comments contained in the body of this report are technical opinions only. The material herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable and accurate, however, its accuracy and completeness cannot be guaranteed. This site is not an investment advisor, hence it does not endorse or recommend any securities or other investments. Any recommendation contained in this report may not be suitable for all investors and it is not to be deemed an offer or solicitation on our part with respect to the purchase or sale of any securities. All trademarks, service marks and trade names appearing in this report are the property of their respective owners, and are likewise used for identification purposes only.

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Kenneth J. Gruneisen founded Gruneisen Growth Corp. (2003), which prior to May 11, 2015, operated CANSLIM.net and CANSLIM.com both under license from Data Analysis Inc. / Investor's Business Daily. Kenneth has passed the CAN SLIM® Master's Exam. Gruneisen Growth Corp. now continues over two decades of fact based market analysis via FactBasedInvesting.com.

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