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AFTER MARKET UPDATE - THURSDAY, OCTOBER 18TH, 2012
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Indices NYSE Nasdaq
DOW  -8.06 13,548.94 -0.06% Volume 719,222,410 +4% Volume 1,976,819,680 +15%
NASDAQ -31.25 3,072.87 -1.01% Advancers 1,474 47% Advancers 792 31%
S&P 500 -3.57 1,457.34 -0.24% Decliners 1,538 49% Decliners 1,666 65%
Russell 2000 -5.40 837.12 -0.64% 52 Wk Highs 213   52 Wk Highs 95  
S&P 600 -2.31 466.57 -0.49% 52 Wk Lows 10   52 Wk Lows 34  

Major Averages Suffered a Setback on Higher Volume

The major averages suffered a setback on Thursday. The volume totals were reported higher on the NYSE and on the Nasdaq exchange versus the prior session's totals, a sign of selling pressure coming from the institutional crowd again. Breadth was negative as decliners led advancers by a 2-1 margin on the Nasdaq exchange while the mix was closer to even on the NYSE. The total number of new 52-week highs still solidly outnumbered new 52-week lows on the NYSE and on the Nasdaq exchange. There were 56 high-ranked companies from the CANSLIM.net Leaders List that made new 52-week highs and appeared on the CANSLIM.net BreakOuts Page, down from the prior session total of 61 stocks. There were gains for only 5 of the 22 high-ranked companies currently included on the Featured Stocks Page.

 

The major averages snapped a three day winning streak as economic data did little to lift the market. A report before the open showed initial jobless claims increased to 388,000. Separate reports showed the leading indicators and manufacturing activity in the mid-Atlantic increased more than expected.

The retreat was led by technology stocks. Google Inc (GOOG -8.01%) fell sharply before being halted after a premature release of its quarterly earnings showed profits and sales below analyst projections. Shares of the search engine closed down $61.54 to $694.08 after trading resumed. Microsoft Corp (MSFT -0.32%) closed down ahead of its profit results after the close.

Telecom was the best performing group with Verizon Communications Inc (VZ +2.37%) on the rise after reporting revenues ahead of projections. Financials posted modest gains with The Travelers Companies Inc (TRV +3.59%) trading up on its better-than-expected quarterly results.

The 10-year Treasury note fell 1/32 to yield 1.82%.

Tuesday's solid gain helped the Nasdaq Composite Index rebound above its 50-day moving average (DMA) line. Meanwhile, the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the benchmark S&P 500 Index each made a stand above their respective 50 DMA lines during the latest pullback.

In market corrections the M criteria argues against new buying efforts. However, leadership has improved in the market since last week with an increase in the total number of stocks hitting new 52-week highs.  Investors should continue watching individual holdings very carefully through the current earnings season and be prepared to take quick action.  Keep a watchlist of strong acting stocks with all-key criteria in anticipation of the next confirmed uptrend.  See the noteworthy candidates included on the Featured Stocks Page.

Watch for an announcement via email concerning the Q3 2012 WEBCAST. The webcast will also be available via an updated link highlighted at the top of the Premium Member Homepage

PICTURED: The Dow Jones Industrial Average found support at its 50-day moving average (DMA) line and prior 2012 highs during the recent consolidation.


Kenneth J. Gruneisen started out as a licensed stockbroker in August 1987, a couple of months prior to the historic stock market crash that took the Dow Jones Industrial Average down -22.6% in a single day. He has published daily fact-based fundamental and technical analysis on high-ranked stocks online for two decades. Through FACTBASEDINVESTING.COM, Kenneth provides educational articles, news, market commentary, and other information regarding proven investment systems that work in good times and bad.

Comments contained in the body of this report are technical opinions only and are not necessarily those of Gruneisen Growth Corp. The material herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable and accurate, however, its accuracy and completeness cannot be guaranteed. Our firm, employees, and customers may effect transactions, including transactions contrary to any recommendation herein, or have positions in the securities mentioned herein or options with respect thereto. Any recommendation contained in this report may not be suitable for all investors and it is not to be deemed an offer or solicitation on our part with respect to the purchase or sale of any securities.


Internet Index Led Tech Sector Lower; Big Loss in Gold & Silver Index

The Gold & Silver Index ($XAU -2.61%) was a standout decliner on Thursday. Energy-related shares were mixed, with the Oil Services Index ($OSX +1.26%) rising while the Integrated Oil Index ($XOI -0.41%) edged lower. The tech sector saw losses from the Internet Index ($IIX -1.26%), Biotechnology Index ($BTK -1.16%), and the Semiconductor Index ($SOX -0.82%) while the Networking Index ($NWX +0.06%) finished flat.  The Broker/Dealer Index ($XBD -1.14%) and Bank Index ($BKX -0.51%) were a negative influence on the major averages and the Retail Index ($RLX -0.31%) also edged lower.  The Healthcare Index ($HMO +0.38%) bucked the mostly negative market environment by posting a small gain.  

Charts courtesy www.stockcharts.com

PICTURED: The Internet Index ($IIX -1.26%) led the tech sector lower on Thursday.


Industry Index Symbol Close Change % Change YTD % Change
Oil Services $OSX  233.27 +2.91 +1.26% +7.86%
Healthcare $HMO  2,472.84 +9.29 +0.38% +8.38%
Integrated Oil $XOI  1,269.37 -5.24 -0.41% +3.28%
Semiconductor $SOX  376.28 -3.13 -0.82% +3.25%
Networking $NWX  202.51 +0.12 +0.06% -5.88%
Internet $IIX  314.74 -4.01 -1.26% +11.71%
Broker/Dealer $XBD  86.46 -1.00 -1.14% +3.83%
Retail $RLX  655.51 -2.01 -0.31% +25.29%
Gold & Silver $XAU  186.06 -4.98 -2.61% +3.00%
Bank $BKX  50.79 -0.26 -0.51% +28.97%
Biotech $BTK  1,555.58 -18.29 -1.16% +42.53%


Few Investors Heading For Exits While Perched At High

O S I Systems Inc (OSIS -$0.88 or -1.11% to $78.29) touched a new 52-week high today but reversed into the red for a small loss on below average volume. It ended just below its "max buy" level. Volume totals have been cooling in recent weeks while holding its ground, a sign that very few investors have been heading for the exits. 

Its last appearance in this FSU section was on 9/14/12 with an annotated daily graph under the headline, "Encountered Mild Distributional Pressure in Tight Range Near Highs", as it encountered mild distributional pressure after a new pivot point was cited based on its 8/15/12 high plus 10 cents. Subsequent volume-driven gains clinched a new (or add-on) technical buy signal. Near term support is at its 50-day moving average (DMA) line (now $74.97).

It will hold its quarterly conference call on Tuesday, October 23, 2012 at 9:00AM PT (12:00PM ET) to discuss its results for the quarter ended September 30, 2012. It has shown sequentially stronger sales revenues increases and earnings increases in the latest quarters, including earnings +44% on +28% sales revenues for the quarter ended June 30, 2012 versus the year ago period. Improving from earnings +20% on +11% sales revenues for the quarter ended December 31, 2011.  Such acceleration in its growth rate was previously noted as a very encouraging sign. Its annual earnings (A criteria) growth history has also been very strong.

Ownership by top-rated funds rose from 281 in Sep '11 to 314 in the Sep '12 quarter, a reassuring sign concerning the I criteria. As always, limit losses if any stock ever falls more than -7% from the purchase price.  Its current Up/Down Volume Ratio of 1.5 is an unbiased indication that its shares have been under accumulation during the past 50 days.


Color Codes Explained :
Y - Better candidates highlighted by our staff of experts.
G - Previously featured in past reports as yellow but may no longer be buyable under the guidelines.

***Last / Change / Volume data in this table is the closing quote data***
Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group
PRICE CHANGE
(%Change)
Day High Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol)
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi
Featured
Date
Price
Featured
Pivot Featured
Max Buy
ALGN - NASDAQ
Align Technology Inc
HEALTH SERVICES - Medical Appliances and Equipment  
$28.18 -7.23
-20.42%

$28.38

20,905,074
2,168.35% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 964,100
$39.82
-29.23%
10/17/2012 $37.31 PP = $39.92
MB = $41.92
Most Recent Note - 10/18/2012 9:59:10 AM
G - Gapped down today for a considerable loss after reporting earnings +4% on +8% sales for the Sep '12 quarter, well below the +25% minimum earnings guideline, and its color code is changed to green. This Medical - Supplies firm built an orderly base above its 50 DMA line and above prior highs in the $36 area, however it slumped under its 50 DMA line since highlighted in yellow with pivot point cited based on its 9/13/12 high plus 10 cents in the 10/17/12 mid-day report (read here) while noted - "Disciplined investors may watch for volume-driven gains above its pivot point which are needed to trigger a new technical buy signal. Last noted in the 7/27/12 mid-day report - 'Earnings rose +70% on +21% sales revenues for the quarter ended June 30, 2012 versus the year ago period, marking a 3rd consecutive quarterly earnings increase above the +25% minimum guideline (C criteria). Its annual earnings (A criteria) history has been good following a downturn in FY '08. Patient and disciplined investors may watch for a proper base to form while it continues consolidating.'" See the latest FSU analysis for more details an a new annotated graph.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 10/17/2012. Click here.

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ALXN - NASDAQ
Alexion Pharmaceuticals
DRUGS - Drug Manufacturers - Other  
$113.67 -0.92
-0.80%

$116.85

821,496
90.68% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 905,900
$119.54
-4.91%
8/23/2012 $103.70 PP = $110.06
MB = $115.56
Most Recent Note - 10/16/2012 1:03:11 PM
Y - Still consolidating above its 50 DMA line today after recently retreating below its "max buy" level. The prior highs in the $110 area define chart support along with its 50 DMA line where violations would raise concerns and trigger technical sell signals..
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 9/26/2012. Click here.

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ASPS - NASDAQ
Altisource Ptf Sltns Sa
REAL ESTATE - Property Management/Developmen  
$111.84 -5.21
-4.45%

$116.86

177,727
104.73% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 169,700
$118.48
-5.60%
9/24/2012 $87.24 PP = $92.39
MB = $97.01
Most Recent Note - 10/18/2012 4:00:07 PM
G - Pulling back today on near average volume for 2nd consecutive loss while retreating from its all-time high. Very extended from its prior base, its prior highs in the $92 area define initial support to watch on pullbacks.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 10/12/2012. Click here.

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BRLI - NASDAQ
Bio Reference Labs Inc
HEALTH SERVICES - Medical Laboratories and Researc  
$32.12 +0.12
0.38%

$32.38

457,477
155.13% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 294,900
$32.86
-2.25%
10/3/2012 $30.90 PP = $30.25
MB = $31.76
Most Recent Note - 10/18/2012 12:20:56 PM
G - Churning above average volume without making meaningful price progress, yet still holding its ground stubbornly. Prior highs in the $30 area define initial chart support above its 50 DMA line.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 10/8/2012. Click here.

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CFNL - NASDAQ
Cardinal Financial Corp
BANKING - Regional - Southeast Banks  
$13.59 -0.65
-4.56%

$14.31

171,556
210.24% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 81,600
$14.79
-8.11%
8/17/2012 $12.84 PP = $13.31
MB = $13.98
Most Recent Note - 10/18/2012 4:34:23 PM
G - Damaging loss today with above average volume led to a close just below its 50 DMA line ($13.63 now) raising concerns and triggering a technical sell signal.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 9/25/2012. Click here.

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Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group
PRICE CHANGE
(%Change)
Day High Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol)
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi
Featured
Date
Price
Featured
Pivot Featured
Max Buy
CMCSA - NASDAQ
Comcast Corp Cl A
MEDIA - CATV Systems  
$37.29 +0.17
0.46%

$37.60

13,998,479
120.49% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 11,618,100
$37.22
0.19%
6/11/2012 $29.94 PP = $30.98
MB = $32.53
Most Recent Note - 10/18/2012 4:36:01 PM
G - Posted a 5th consecutive gain today on higher volume and hit a new 52-week high. Found support while consolidating above prior highs in the $35 area and its 50 DMA line. Violations would trigger technical sell signals. Fundamental concerns have been repeatedly noted - "Due to sub par sales and earnings growth in the Jun '12 quarter."
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 9/21/2012. Click here.

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DVA - NYSE
Davita Inc
HEALTH SERVICES - Specialized Health Services  
$113.07 +2.53
2.29%

$113.48

940,073
125.43% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 749,500
$111.34
1.55%
9/5/2012 $102.92 PP = $100.62
MB = $105.65
Most Recent Note - 10/18/2012 10:22:20 AM
G - Hitting another new 52-week high today, getting more extended from its latest sound base. Prior highs near $100 and its 50 DMA line define near-term support to watch on pullbacks where violations may trigger technical sell signals.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 10/10/2012. Click here.

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GPX - NYSE
G P Strategies Corp
DIVERSIFIED SERVICES - Education and Training Services  
$18.96 -0.72
-3.66%

$19.80

26,701
41.92% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 63,700
$20.67
-8.27%
10/8/2012 $20.00 PP = $20.77
MB = $21.81
Most Recent Note - 10/18/2012 4:39:01 PM
G - Slumped below its 50 DMA line today on light volume and finished at the session low and near recent lows. Losses exceeding its recent low ($18.82 on 10/04/12) would raise more serious concerns and trigger technical sell signals. Volume driven gains above the pivot point have not triggered a new (or add-on) technical buy signal.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 10/16/2012. Click here.

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LKQ - NASDAQ
L K Q Corp
WHOLESALE - Auto Parts  
$20.80 -0.07
-0.34%

$21.22

1,687,322
115.80% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,457,100
$21.05
-1.19%
8/9/2012 $18.97 PP = $18.72
MB = $19.66
Most Recent Note - 10/18/2012 4:40:15 PM
G - Held its ground near its all-time high today. Recently rallied well above its "max buy" level with no resistance remaining due to overhead supply.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 9/17/2012. Click here.

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LNKD - NYSE
Linkedin Corp Class A
INTERNET - Internet Information Providers  
$108.87 -0.55
-0.50%

$109.99

3,193,573
157.46% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 2,028,200
$125.50
-13.25%
9/5/2012 $113.25 PP = $113.10
MB = $118.76
Most Recent Note - 10/18/2012 4:44:00 PM
G - Posted a small loss on above average volume today, ending the session in the upper third of its intra-day range after deeper intra-day losses. A prompt rebound above its 50 DMA line still is needed to help its technical stance and help its outlook improve.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 10/9/2012. Click here.

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Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group
PRICE CHANGE
(%Change)
Day High Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol)
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi
Featured
Date
Price
Featured
Pivot Featured
Max Buy
LULU - NASDAQ
Lululemon Athletica
MANUFACTURING - Textile Manufacturing  
$74.65 -0.70
-0.93%

$75.85

944,942
40.85% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 2,313,200
$81.09
-7.95%
10/2/2012 $74.89 PP = $78.97
MB = $82.92
Most Recent Note - 10/16/2012 3:44:05 PM
Y - Volume totals have been cooling while consolidating since recently highlighted again in yellow. Volume-driven gains above its pivot point are still needed to confirm a technical buy signal before action may be justified by disciplined investors.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 10/2/2012. Click here.

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MIDD - NASDAQ
Middleby Corp
MANUFACTURING - Diversified Machinery  
$123.75 +0.89
0.72%

$123.95

49,634
48.90% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 101,500
$122.97
0.63%
10/8/2012 $118.46 PP = $122.67
MB = $128.80
Most Recent Note - 10/16/2012 3:46:22 PM
Y - Poised for a best-ever close with a quiet gain today and trading just -1.3% off its 52-week high. Volume totals have been below average in recent weeks while stubbornly holding its ground. Subsequent volume-driven gains above the pivot point may trigger a new (or add-on) technical buy signal. Its 50 DMA line and recent lows define near-term chart support to watch.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 9/18/2012. Click here.

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N - NYSE
Netsuite Inc
DIVERSIFIED SERVICES - Business/Management Services  
$61.45 -0.62
-1.00%

$62.73

326,821
72.51% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 450,700
$64.70
-5.02%
8/20/2012 $55.88 PP = $59.32
MB = $62.29
Most Recent Note - 10/17/2012 4:25:46 PM
Y - Quietly consolidating today just below its "max buy" level. Prior highs near $59 closely coincide with its 50 DMA line defining important chart support where subsequent violations would trigger technical sell signals.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 9/24/2012. Click here.

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NSM - NYSE
Nationstar Mtg Hldgs Inc
FINANCIAL SERVICES - Credit Services  
$33.70 -0.11
-0.33%

$33.86

392,710
32.44% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,210,400
$37.20
-9.41%
8/29/2012 $27.96 PP = $28.85
MB = $30.29
Most Recent Note - 10/17/2012 4:27:23 PM
G - Tallied a 3rd consecutive gain today with near average volume. A steep upward trendline connecting July-September lows defines a near-term support level to watch above its 50 DMA line.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 10/11/2012. Click here.

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OSIS - NASDAQ
O S I Systems Inc
ELECTRONICS - Semiconductor Equipment and Mate  
$78.29 -0.88
-1.11%

$79.90

88,960
67.34% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 132,100
$79.28
-1.25%
9/5/2012 $74.39 PP = $75.10
MB = $78.86
Most Recent Note - 10/18/2012 5:49:13 PM
Y - Touched a new 52-week high today and then reversed into the red for a quiet loss. See the latest FSU analysis for more details and a new annotated graph.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 10/18/2012. Click here.

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Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group
PRICE CHANGE
(%Change)
Day High Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol)
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi
Featured
Date
Price
Featured
Pivot Featured
Max Buy
RNF - NYSE
Rentech Nitrogen Ptnr Lp
CHEMICALS - Agricultural Chemicals  
$37.26 +0.15
0.40%

$37.50

276,207
66.86% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 413,100
$40.05
-6.97%
7/27/2012 $29.58 PP = $30.60
MB = $32.13
Most Recent Note - 10/16/2012 12:58:19 PM
G - Considerable gain today, rallying from its 50 DMA line defining important near-term support after the previously noted upward trendline violation. Gains have lacked volume conviction after it halted its slide.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 10/4/2012. Click here.

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SWI - NYSE
Solarwinds Inc
COMPUTER SOFTWARE and SERVICES - Application Software  
$50.46 -1.33
-2.57%

$51.66

1,087,862
137.37% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 791,900
$60.95
-17.21%
7/25/2012 $47.82 PP = $47.89
MB = $50.28
Most Recent Note - 10/18/2012 4:47:11 PM
G - Slumped on higher (and above average) volume to 12-week lows today after recent gains lacked volume conviction. Due to report earnings on Thursday, October 25th. Caution is advised unless strength returns and it rises back above its 50 DMA line promptly. Prior highs in the $48 area define the next chart support level.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 10/3/2012. Click here.

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TDG - NYSE
Transdigm Group Inc
AEROSPACE/DEFENSE - Aerospace/Defense Products and; Services  
$148.75 -0.25
-0.17%

$150.66

669,992
156.69% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 427,600
$152.62
-2.54%
8/16/2012 $132.23 PP = $136.44
MB = $143.26
Most Recent Note - 10/18/2012 4:49:35 PM
G - Churned above average volume for a 3rd session in a row today without making meaningful price progress. Its 50 DMA line defines near-term support to watch above recent lows in the $138 area where violations may trigger technical sell signals.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 9/20/2012. Click here.

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ULTA - NASDAQ
Ulta Salon Cosm & Frag
SPECIALTY RETAIL - Specialty Retail, Other  
$95.55 -0.79
-0.82%

$96.71

1,994,441
262.53% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 759,700
$103.52
-7.70%
9/4/2012 $93.17 PP = $98.52
MB = $103.45
Most Recent Note - 10/18/2012 1:13:56 PM
G - Color code is changed to green while encountering distributional pressure and sputtering near its 50 DMA line. Its Relative Strength Rating has slumped to 77, below the 80+ minimum rank for ideal buy candidates under the fact-based investment system. The latest FSU analysis discussed its waning Relative Strength under the headline "Relative Strength Line Did Not Provide Confirmation - Friday, October 05, 2012".
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 10/5/2012. Click here.

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ULTI - NASDAQ
Ultimate Software Group
INTERNET - Internet Software and Services  
$99.40 -0.31
-0.31%

$99.91

95,335
66.20% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 144,000
$106.40
-6.58%
8/27/2012 $98.36 PP = $99.19
MB = $104.15
Most Recent Note - 10/17/2012 4:19:50 PM
Y - Consolidating just above its 50 DMA line again, still perched within -6.3% of its 52-week high. Recent lows in the $96 area define near-term support to watch where violations would raise concerns and trigger technical sell signals.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 9/27/2012. Click here.

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Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group
PRICE CHANGE
(%Change)
Day High Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol)
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi
Featured
Date
Price
Featured
Pivot Featured
Max Buy
VSI - NYSE
Vitamin Shoppe Inc
SPECIALTY RETAIL - Specialty Retail, Other  
$57.76 -0.96
-1.63%

$58.96

137,394
43.56% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 315,400
$61.83
-6.58%
10/15/2012 $57.82 PP = $60.08
MB = $63.08
Most Recent Note - 10/15/2012 7:07:43 PM
Y - Volume totals have been below average in recent weeks while consolidating near its 50 DMA line. Color code is changed to yellow while still building on a new base, and subsequent volume-driven gains are needed to trigger a new technical buy signal. See latest FSU analysis for more details and a new annotated graph.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 10/15/2012. Click here.

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WPI - NYSE
Watson Pharmaceuticals
DRUGS - Drugs - Generic  
$87.83 -0.20
-0.23%

$88.22

444,144
48.67% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 912,500
$89.90
-2.30%
8/24/2012 $82.90 PP = $81.10
MB = $85.16
Most Recent Note - 10/16/2012 1:00:49 PM
G - Hitting new 52-week highs today with a big gain on below average volume. It is getting more extended from its prior base, and its 50 DMA line defines important support to watch on pullbacks.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 9/28/2012. Click here.

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