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AFTER MARKET UPDATE - TUESDAY, OCTOBER 16TH, 2012
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Indices NYSE Nasdaq
DOW  +127.55 13,551.78 +0.95% Volume 641,085,370 +4% Volume 1,677,283,100 +10%
NASDAQ +36.99 3,101.17 +1.21% Advancers 2,283 73% Advancers 1,584 62%
S&P 500 +14.79 1,454.92 +1.03% Decliners 738 24% Decliners 874 34%
Russell 2000 +7.16 835.44 +0.86% 52 Wk Highs 188   52 Wk Highs 90  
S&P 600 +3.72 464.88 +0.81% 52 Wk Lows 11   52 Wk Lows 29  

Indices Posted Gains With Positive Breadth and Better Volume

The major indices held onto gains to finish firmly higher on Tuesday.  The volume totals were reported higher on the NYSE and on the Nasdaq exchange versus the prior session's totals, hinting at slightly better buying demand returning from the institutional crowd. Breadth was positive as advancers led decliners by a 3-1 margin on the NYSE and by nearly a 2-1 margin on the Nasdaq exchange. The total number of new 52-week highs outnumbered new 52-week lows on the NYSE and on the Nasdaq exchange. There were 53 high-ranked companies from the CANSLIM.net Leaders List that made new 52-week highs and appeared on the CANSLIM.net BreakOuts Page, up from the prior session total of 19 stocks. There were gains for 18 of the 21 high-ranked companies currently included on the Featured Stocks Page.

 

The major averages advanced for a second day following positive reports on the economy and corporate earnings. The market opened higher after a report showed industrial production rose 0.4% in September, ahead of the consensus estimate for a 0.2% increase.

Better-than-expected earnings helped Johnson & Johnson (JNJ +1.38%) rise, however The Goldman Sachs Group Inc (GS -1.03%) lost ground even after reporting better than expected earnings. The Coca-Cola Company (KO -0.60%) was down after reporting revenues below projections. Shares of Citigroup Inc (C +1.61%) rose even after the bank unexpectedly announced its CEO is stepping down. Materials were the best performing sector as The Dow Chemical Company (DOW +5.61%) rallied. Energy stocks also led the market higher with Chevron Corp (CVX +1.13%) and Exxon Mobile Corp (XOM +0.95%) posting gains, and Murphy Oil Corp (MUR +8.03%) was a standout gainer after the company announced plans to spin-off its U.S refined fuel business.

Tuesday's solid gain helped the Nasdaq Composite Index rebound above its 50-day moving average (DMA) line. Meanwhile, the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the benchmark S&P 500 Index each made a stand above their respective 50 DMA lines during the latest pullback.

In market corrections the M criteria argues against new buying efforts. However, leadership has improved in the market since last week with an increase in the total number of stocks hitting new 52-week highs.  Investors should continue watching individual holdings very carefully through the current earnings season and be prepared to take quick action.  Keep a watchlist of strong acting stocks with all-key criteria in anticipation of the next confirmed uptrend.  See the noteworthy candidates included on the Featured Stocks Page.

Watch for an announcement via email concerning the Q3 2012 WEBCAST. The webcast will also be available via an updated link highlighted at the top of the Premium Member Homepage

PICTURED: The NYSE Composite Index found support above its 50-day moving average (DMA) line during the recent consolidation.


Kenneth J. Gruneisen started out as a licensed stockbroker in August 1987, a couple of months prior to the historic stock market crash that took the Dow Jones Industrial Average down -22.6% in a single day. He has published daily fact-based fundamental and technical analysis on high-ranked stocks online for two decades. Through FACTBASEDINVESTING.COM, Kenneth provides educational articles, news, market commentary, and other information regarding proven investment systems that work in good times and bad.

Comments contained in the body of this report are technical opinions only and are not necessarily those of Gruneisen Growth Corp. The material herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable and accurate, however, its accuracy and completeness cannot be guaranteed. Our firm, employees, and customers may effect transactions, including transactions contrary to any recommendation herein, or have positions in the securities mentioned herein or options with respect thereto. Any recommendation contained in this report may not be suitable for all investors and it is not to be deemed an offer or solicitation on our part with respect to the purchase or sale of any securities.


Commodity-Linked Groups, Broker/Dealer, and Tech Indexes Rose

Energy-related shares had a positive bias as the Oil Services Index ($OSX +1.71%) and the Integrated Oil Index ($XOI +1.90%) rallied. The Gold & Silver Index ($XAU +2.01%) also posted a solid gain, meanwhile the Healthcare Index ($HMO -0.39%) edged lower. The Retail Index ($RLX +0.54%) helped boost the major averages as it tallied a modest gain, and the tech sector saw solid gains from the Semiconductor Index ($SOX +2.18%), Networking Index ($NWX +1.90%), and the Internet Index ($IIX +1.04%). Financial shares were mixed as the Broker/Dealer Index ($XBD +1.26%) posted a solid gain while the Bank Index ($BKX -0.46%) suffered a modest loss.

Charts courtesy www.stockcharts.com

PICTURED: The Biotechnology Index ($BTK +1.14%) is consolidating just above its 50-day moving average line near its July highs.


Industry Index Symbol Close Change % Change YTD % Change
Oil Services $OSX  226.74 +3.82 +1.71% +4.84%
Healthcare $HMO  2,449.36 -9.59 -0.39% +7.35%
Integrated Oil $XOI  1,257.96 +23.47 +1.90% +2.35%
Semiconductor $SOX  380.26 +8.12 +2.18% +4.34%
Networking $NWX  201.17 +3.70 +1.87% -6.50%
Internet $IIX  319.79 +3.25 +1.03% +13.50%
Broker/Dealer $XBD  85.33 +1.03 +1.23% +2.47%
Retail $RLX  654.11 +3.54 +0.54% +25.02%
Gold & Silver $XAU  188.88 +3.73 +2.01% +4.56%
Bank $BKX  50.27 -0.23 -0.46% +27.65%
Biotech $BTK  1,541.34 +17.68 +1.16% +41.22%


No Technical Breakout Occurred After Latest Pivot Point Cited

G P Strategies Corp (GPX +$0.05 or +0.26% to $19.56) recently has been consolidating near its 50-day moving average (DMA) line. Volume driven gains above the latest pivot point have not triggered a new (or add-on) technical buy signal. Meanwhile, subsequent losses exceeding the recent low ($18.82 on 10/04/12) would raise more serious concerns and trigger technical sell signals.

Its last appearance in this FSU section was on 9/13/12 with an annotated graph under the headline, "Consolidating in Tight Range Near 52-Week High". It went on to form a base of sufficient length before the new pivot point was noted. It reported earnings +41% on +19% sales revenues for the Jun '12 quarter.  When the stock was highlighted in yellow in the 6/29/12 mid-day report (read here) it was noted - "It cleared a valid base earlier this week with volume-driven gains and no overhead supply remains. Quarterly earnings increases above the +25% guideline in the 8 latest quarterly comparisons through Dec '11 satisfy the C criteria. Recent cluster of Insider buying in May-Jun looks similar to that which was reported in Nov, Dec, and Jan as it rose toward and above prior resistance in the $14 area."

A downturn in FY '09 earnings was previously noted as a flaw concerning the A criteria, and its mediocre Group Relative Strength Rating was another concern noted with respect to the L criteria.  Investors' odd are usually most favorable when choosing a stock with robust leadership in the same industry group. The number of top-rated funds owning its shares rose from 158 in Mar '12 to 165 in Sep '12, a slightly reassuring trend concerning the I criteria. Its current Up/Down Volume Ratio of 1.3 hints that its shares have been under accumulation during the past 50 days. Company management reportedly owns 25% of its shares, which keeps the directors keenly focused on building and maintaining shareholder value. Its small supply (S criteria) of 14.2 million shares in the public float is a favorable characteristic that was found in most of the market's greatest winners, however that can contribute to greater price volatility in the event of institutional buying or selling. Disciplined investors always limit losses if any stock falls more than -7% from their purchase price.


Color Codes Explained :
Y - Better candidates highlighted by our staff of experts.
G - Previously featured in past reports as yellow but may no longer be buyable under the guidelines.

***Last / Change / Volume data in this table is the closing quote data***
Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group
PRICE CHANGE
(%Change)
Day High Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol)
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi
Featured
Date
Price
Featured
Pivot Featured
Max Buy
ALXN - NASDAQ
Alexion Pharmaceuticals
DRUGS - Drug Manufacturers - Other  
$111.74 +0.32
0.29%

$112.62

781,033
84.90% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 919,900
$119.54
-6.52%
8/23/2012 $103.70 PP = $110.06
MB = $115.56
Most Recent Note - 10/16/2012 1:03:11 PM
Y - Still consolidating above its 50 DMA line today after recently retreating below its "max buy" level. The prior highs in the $110 area define chart support along with its 50 DMA line where violations would raise concerns and trigger technical sell signals..
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 9/26/2012. Click here.

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ASPS - NASDAQ
Altisource Ptf Sltns Sa
REAL ESTATE - Property Management/Developmen  
$117.44 +2.73
2.38%

$118.48

126,909
74.35% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 170,700
$117.07
0.32%
9/24/2012 $87.24 PP = $92.39
MB = $97.01
Most Recent Note - 10/16/2012 3:35:05 PM
G - Posting a gain today on below average volume for a new all-time high. Very extended from its prior base, it s prior highs in the $92 area define initial support to watch on pullbacks.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 10/12/2012. Click here.

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BRLI - NASDAQ
Bio Reference Labs Inc
HEALTH SERVICES - Medical Laboratories and Researc  
$32.09 -0.02
-0.06%

$32.26

247,323
85.88% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 288,000
$32.86
-2.34%
10/3/2012 $30.90 PP = $30.25
MB = $31.76
Most Recent Note - 10/11/2012 5:37:55 PM
G - Gapped up today and finished at its second-best close after consolidating under its "max buy" level following its 10/03/12 technical buy signal. Prior highs in the $30 area define initial chart support above its 50 DMA line.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 10/8/2012. Click here.

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CFNL - NASDAQ
Cardinal Financial Corp
BANKING - Regional - Southeast Banks  
$13.81 -0.02
-0.14%

$14.04

93,128
116.26% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 80,100
$14.79
-6.63%
8/17/2012 $12.84 PP = $13.31
MB = $13.98
Most Recent Note - 10/12/2012 4:19:20 PM
G - Quietly consolidating after distributional action in recent weeks. Prior low ($13.80 on 10/03/12) defines near-term support above its 50 DMA line ($13.53 now) where violations would trigger technical sell signals.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 9/25/2012. Click here.

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CMCSA - NASDAQ
Comcast Corp Cl A
MEDIA - CATV Systems  
$36.67 +0.24
0.66%

$36.91

9,743,223
82.27% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 11,843,500
$36.98
-0.84%
6/11/2012 $29.94 PP = $30.98
MB = $32.53
Most Recent Note - 10/15/2012 4:07:21 PM
G - Posted another gain today on average volume and finished within close striking distance of its best ever close. Found support while consolidating above prior highs in the $35 area and its 50 DMA line. Violations would trigger technical sell signals. Fundamental concerns have been repeatedly noted - "Due to sub par sales and earnings growth in the Jun '12 quarter."
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 9/21/2012. Click here.

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Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group
PRICE CHANGE
(%Change)
Day High Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol)
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi
Featured
Date
Price
Featured
Pivot Featured
Max Buy
DVA - NYSE
Davita Inc
HEALTH SERVICES - Specialized Health Services  
$109.87 +0.87
0.80%

$110.04

739,212
96.28% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 767,800
$111.34
-1.32%
9/5/2012 $102.92 PP = $100.62
MB = $105.65
Most Recent Note - 10/15/2012 4:08:54 PM
G - Reversed from its 52-week high today and closed near the session low with a loss on above average volume. Extended from its latest sound base. Prior highs near $100 and its 50 DMA line define near term support to watch on pullbacks where violations may trigger technical sell signals.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 10/10/2012. Click here.

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GPX - NYSE
G P Strategies Corp
DIVERSIFIED SERVICES - Education and Training Services  
$19.56 +0.05
0.26%

$19.82

19,159
28.47% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 67,300
$20.67
-5.37%
10/8/2012 $20.00 PP = $20.77
MB = $21.81
Most Recent Note - 10/16/2012 4:45:41 PM
G - Consolidating near its 50 DMA line today. Volume driven gains above the pivot point have not triggered a new (or add-on) technical buy signal. Losses exceeding last week's low $18.82 would raise more serious concerns and trigger technical sell signals. See latest FSU analysis for more details and a new annotated graph.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 10/16/2012. Click here.

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LKQ - NASDAQ
L K Q Corp
WHOLESALE - Auto Parts  
$20.55 +0.42
2.09%

$20.59

1,437,788
101.64% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,414,600
$20.16
1.93%
8/9/2012 $18.97 PP = $18.72
MB = $19.66
Most Recent Note - 10/16/2012 3:38:24 PM
G - Hitting new 52-week and all-time highs again today, wedging higher without great volume conviction. Rallying well above its "max buy" level with no resistance remaining due to overhead supply.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 9/17/2012. Click here.

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LNKD - NYSE
Linkedin Corp Class A
INTERNET - Internet Information Providers  
$111.18 +0.33
0.30%

$111.78

1,254,922
58.94% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 2,129,100
$125.50
-11.41%
9/5/2012 $113.25 PP = $113.10
MB = $118.76
Most Recent Note - 10/15/2012 4:04:23 PM
G - Posted a small gain on light volume today, failing to rebound after a damaging volume-driven loss violated its 50 DMA line and triggered a technical sell signal on the prior session. Only a prompt rebound above that short-term average would help its outlook. Disciplined investors always limit losses if ever any stock falls more than -7% from where it was purchased.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 10/9/2012. Click here.

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LULU - NASDAQ
Lululemon Athletica
MANUFACTURING - Textile Manufacturing  
$75.52 +1.58
2.14%

$75.76

1,249,731
52.82% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 2,366,100
$81.09
-6.87%
10/2/2012 $74.89 PP = $78.97
MB = $82.92
Most Recent Note - 10/16/2012 3:44:05 PM
Y - Volume totals have been cooling while consolidating since recently highlighted again in yellow. Volume-driven gains above its pivot point are still needed to confirm a technical buy signal before action may be justified by disciplined investors.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 10/2/2012. Click here.

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Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group
PRICE CHANGE
(%Change)
Day High Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol)
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi
Featured
Date
Price
Featured
Pivot Featured
Max Buy
MIDD - NASDAQ
Middleby Corp
MANUFACTURING - Diversified Machinery  
$120.99 +1.64
1.37%

$121.34

84,821
83.82% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 101,200
$122.57
-1.29%
10/8/2012 $118.46 PP = $122.67
MB = $128.80
Most Recent Note - 10/16/2012 3:46:22 PM
Y - Poised for a best-ever close with a quiet gain today and trading just -1.3% off its 52-week high. Volume totals have been below average in recent weeks while stubbornly holding its ground. Subsequent volume-driven gains above the pivot point may trigger a new (or add-on) technical buy signal. Its 50 DMA line and recent lows define near-term chart support to watch.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 9/18/2012. Click here.

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N - NYSE
Netsuite Inc
DIVERSIFIED SERVICES - Business/Management Services  
$62.70 +0.67
1.08%

$63.40

295,521
64.09% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 461,100
$64.70
-3.09%
8/20/2012 $55.88 PP = $59.32
MB = $62.29
Most Recent Note - 10/12/2012 4:32:04 PM
Y - Still quietly consolidating below its "max buy" level. Prior highs near $59 closely coincide with its 50 DMA line defining important chart support where subsequent violations would trigger technical sell signals.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 9/24/2012. Click here.

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NSM - NYSE
Nationstar Mtg Hldgs Inc
FINANCIAL SERVICES - Credit Services  
$32.68 +0.23
0.71%

$32.80

914,398
77.09% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,186,200
$37.20
-12.15%
8/29/2012 $27.96 PP = $28.85
MB = $30.29
Most Recent Note - 10/11/2012 6:48:40 PM
G - Gain on light volume today halted a 4 session losing streak on higher volume. A steep upward trendline connecting July-September lows defines a near-term support level to watch above its 50 DMA line. See the latest FSU analysis for more details and a new annotated graph.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 10/11/2012. Click here.

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OSIS - NASDAQ
O S I Systems Inc
ELECTRONICS - Semiconductor Equipment and Mate  
$77.79 +1.73
2.27%

$78.28

55,368
42.01% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 131,800
$78.93
-1.44%
9/5/2012 $74.39 PP = $75.10
MB = $78.86
Most Recent Note - 10/16/2012 3:41:06 PM
Y - Small gap up today, trading just -1.6% off its 52-week high. Volume totals have been cooling in recent weeks while holding its ground, a sign that very few investors have been heading for the exits. It remains below its "max buy" level after bullish action recently confirmed a technical buy signal. Near term support is at its 50 DMA line (now $74.41).
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 9/14/2012. Click here.

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RNF - NYSE
Rentech Nitrogen Ptnr Lp
CHEMICALS - Agricultural Chemicals  
$36.58 +1.74
4.99%

$36.78

343,054
78.66% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 436,100
$40.05
-8.66%
7/27/2012 $29.58 PP = $30.60
MB = $32.13
Most Recent Note - 10/16/2012 12:58:19 PM
G - Considerable gain today, rallying from its 50 DMA line defining important near-term support after the previously noted upward trendline violation. Gains have lacked volume conviction after it halted its slide.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 10/4/2012. Click here.

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Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group
PRICE CHANGE
(%Change)
Day High Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol)
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi
Featured
Date
Price
Featured
Pivot Featured
Max Buy
SWI - NYSE
Solarwinds Inc
COMPUTER SOFTWARE and SERVICES - Application Software  
$54.09 +0.26
0.48%

$54.37

387,063
48.26% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 802,100
$60.95
-11.25%
7/25/2012 $47.82 PP = $47.89
MB = $50.28
Most Recent Note - 10/16/2012 1:05:48 PM
G - Recent weakness raised serious concerns. Halted its slide but failed to rebound. Caution is advised unless strength returns and it rises back above its 50 DMA line promptly. Prior highs in the $48 area define the next chart support level.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 10/3/2012. Click here.

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TDG - NYSE
Transdigm Group Inc
AEROSPACE/DEFENSE - Aerospace/Defense Products and; Services  
$150.90 +2.20
1.48%

$151.34

1,111,298
272.64% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 407,600
$152.62
-1.13%
8/16/2012 $132.23 PP = $136.44
MB = $143.26
Most Recent Note - 10/16/2012 1:07:16 PM
G - Gain today on quiet volume has it potentially poised for its best-ever close, extended from its prior base. Its 50 DMA line and prior lows define near-term support to watch in the $138 area where violations may trigger technical sell signals.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 9/20/2012. Click here.

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ULTA - NASDAQ
Ulta Salon Cosm & Frag
SPECIALTY RETAIL - Specialty Retail, Other  
$98.00 +2.70
2.83%

$98.18

2,007,068
278.72% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 720,100
$103.52
-5.33%
9/4/2012 $93.17 PP = $98.52
MB = $103.45
Most Recent Note - 10/16/2012 1:09:41 PM
Y - Undercut recent lows and violated its 50 DMA line with today's early weakness, yet it has managed a positive reversal after finding prompt support. Its Relative Strength Rating has slumped to 80, the minimum rank for ideal buy candidates under the fact-based investment system. The latest FSU analysis discussed its waning Relative Strength under the headline "Relative Strength Line Did Not Provide Confirmation - Friday, October 05, 2012".
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 10/5/2012. Click here.

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ULTI - NASDAQ
Ultimate Software Group
INTERNET - Internet Software and Services  
$101.75 -0.83
-0.81%

$103.20

95,731
65.12% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 147,000
$106.40
-4.37%
8/27/2012 $98.36 PP = $99.19
MB = $104.15
Most Recent Note - 10/12/2012 12:17:39 PM
Y - Considerable gain today with higher volume, rallying from its 50 DMA line to within close striking distance of its 52-week high. Recent lows in the $96 area define near-term support to watch where violations would raise concerns and trigger technical sell signals.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 9/27/2012. Click here.

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VSI - NYSE
Vitamin Shoppe Inc
SPECIALTY RETAIL - Specialty Retail, Other  
$57.84 +0.02
0.03%

$58.74

102,301
30.14% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 339,400
$61.83
-6.45%
10/15/2012 $57.82 PP = $60.08
MB = $63.08
Most Recent Note - 10/15/2012 7:07:43 PM
Y - Volume totals have been below average in recent weeks while consolidating near its 50 DMA line. Color code is changed to yellow while still building on a new base, and subsequent volume-driven gains are needed to trigger a new technical buy signal. See latest FSU analysis for more details and a new annotated graph.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 10/15/2012. Click here.

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Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group
PRICE CHANGE
(%Change)
Day High Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol)
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi
Featured
Date
Price
Featured
Pivot Featured
Max Buy
WPI - NYSE
Watson Pharmaceuticals
DRUGS - Drugs - Generic  
$89.28 +2.16
2.48%

$89.90

916,462
100.30% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 913,700
$88.33
1.08%
8/24/2012 $82.90 PP = $81.10
MB = $85.16
Most Recent Note - 10/16/2012 1:00:49 PM
G - Hitting new 52-week highs today with a big gain on below average volume. It is getting more extended from its prior base, and its 50 DMA line defines important support to watch on pullbacks.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 9/28/2012. Click here.

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