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AFTER MARKET UPDATE - TUESDAY, SEPTEMBER 4TH, 2012
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Indices NYSE Nasdaq
DOW  -54.90 13,035.94 -0.42% Volume 639,219,690 -14% Volume 1,469,129,040 +10%
NASDAQ +8.10 3,075.06 +0.26% Advancers 1,773 57% Advancers 1,508 59%
S&P 500 -1.64 1,404.94 -0.12% Decliners 1,229 39% Decliners 954 37%
Russell 2000 +10.05 822.14 +1.24% 52 Wk Highs 185   52 Wk Highs 103  
S&P 600 +5.39 463.26 +1.18% 52 Wk Lows 27   52 Wk Lows 37  

Indices Ended Mixed With Mixed Volume Totals

Stocks finished mostly lower in the first trading of September. The Dow closed with a loss of 54 points to 13,035 and the S&P 500 Index lost less than 2 points to 1,404, but the Nasdaq Composite Index was higher by 8 points to 3,075. Tuesday's volume totals were mixed, reported lower on the NYSE and higher on the Nasdaq exchange versus the prior session totals. Breadth was positive as advancers led decliners by about a 3-2 ratio on the NYSE and on the Nasdaq exchange. The total number of new 52-week highs led new 52-week lows on the NYSE on the Nasdaq exchange. There were 69 high-ranked companies from the CANSLIM.net Leaders List that made new 52-week highs and appeared on the CANSLIM.net BreakOuts Page, up from the prior session total of 25 stocks. There were gains for 18 of the 21 high-ranked companies currently included on the Featured Stocks Page.

 

Stocks fell early on after a batch of disappointing economic data. The ISM factory index showed manufacturing fell to 49.6 in August, falling at its sharpest rate in more than three years. In a separate report, construction spending dropped by the most in a year, declining -0.9% in July. Despite the data, the major averages trimmed earlier losses as a rally in Apple Inc (AAPL +1.46%) sparked a rebound in technology stocks after the company scheduled an event for next week which may unveil a redesigned iPhone.

Markets were also focused on the ECB's policy meeting on Thursday where it may release the details of a new debt-buying plan. Monthly auto sales also garnered attention after topping expectations, but shares of major automakers were mixed with Ford (F +0.75%) up, but the new General Motors Company (GM -0.19%) and Toyota Motor Corp (TM -1.12%) losing ground.

In fixed-income, Treasuries snapped a two-day advance with the 10-year note down 7/32 to yield 1.57% and the 30-year bond lost 5/32 to yield 2.68%.

The M criteria is still favorable as the major indices have maintained their previously confirmed rally with a healthy level of leadership (stocks hitting new 52-week highs).

Watch for an announcement soon via email concerning new monthly webcasts and a new "Market's Leading Groups" archives tab soon to be added on the Premium Member Homepage. These changes are aimed at satisfying member requests and improving the service.  We are sorry for the delay while working out the final programming necessary and we appreciate you patience.  If you have questions, comments or suggestions please let us know via the inquiry form here.  The most recent WEBCAST (Q2 2012) is available "ON DEMAND" - CLICK HERE

PICTURED: The S&P 500 Index finished -1.5% off its 2012 high, and the volume totals have mostly been below average in recent weeks. It is encouraging that distribution days and damage have been avoided while the market consolidates near its 2012 highs. Volume totals historically have tended to pick up from light summer doldrums following Labor Day.


Kenneth J. Gruneisen started out as a licensed stockbroker in August 1987, a couple of months prior to the historic stock market crash that took the Dow Jones Industrial Average down -22.6% in a single day. He has published daily fact-based fundamental and technical analysis on high-ranked stocks online for two decades. Through FACTBASEDINVESTING.COM, Kenneth provides educational articles, news, market commentary, and other information regarding proven investment systems that work in good times and bad.

Comments contained in the body of this report are technical opinions only and are not necessarily those of Gruneisen Growth Corp. The material herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable and accurate, however, its accuracy and completeness cannot be guaranteed. Our firm, employees, and customers may effect transactions, including transactions contrary to any recommendation herein, or have positions in the securities mentioned herein or options with respect thereto. Any recommendation contained in this report may not be suitable for all investors and it is not to be deemed an offer or solicitation on our part with respect to the purchase or sale of any securities.


Energy and Semiconductor Groups Lagged

Weakness in energy-related shares led to modest losses for the Oil Services Index ($OSX -0.88%) and the Integrated Oil Index ($XOI -0.83%). The Gold & Silver Index ($XAU -0.03%) ended flat and the Healthcare Index ($HMO +0.19%) gave defensively positioned investors little to get excited about.  The  Biotechnology Index ($BTK +1.96%) led the tech sector while the Index ($IIX +0.08%) and the Networking Index ($NWX +0.25%) edged higher, but the Semiconductor Index ($SOX -0.85%) was a clear laggard as it finished with a loss. The Broker/Dealer Index ($XBD +0.51%) had a slightly positive bias while the Bank Index ($BKX +0.11%) inched higher and the Retail Index ($RLX -0.14%) inched lower.

Charts courtesy www.stockcharts.com

PICTURED: The Broker/Dealer Index ($XBD +0.51%) is still trading below its 50-day moving average (DMA) line. The weakness in this influential financial group has been an ongoing concern because of the reliable history financial shares have as "leading indicators" for the broader market.


Industry Index Symbol Close Change % Change YTD % Change
Oil Services $OSX  221.98 -1.98 -0.88% +2.64%
Healthcare $HMO  2,416.89 +4.60 +0.19% +5.93%
Integrated Oil $XOI  1,219.36 -10.21 -0.83% -0.79%
Semiconductor $SOX  392.82 -3.36 -0.85% +7.79%
Networking $NWX  208.99 +0.52 +0.25% -2.87%
Internet $IIX  310.54 +0.26 +0.08% +10.22%
Broker/Dealer $XBD  81.61 +0.42 +0.51% -1.99%
Retail $RLX  646.97 -0.91 -0.14% +23.66%
Gold & Silver $XAU  169.83 -0.05 -0.03% -5.98%
Bank $BKX  47.24 +0.05 +0.11% +19.96%
Biotech $BTK  1,492.83 +28.65 +1.96% +36.78%


Earnings News Pending While Perched Near New Pivot Point

Often, when a leading stock is setting up to breakout of a solid base it is highlighted in CANSLIM.net's Mid-Day Breakouts Report. The most relevant factors are noted in the report which alerts prudent CANSLIM oriented investors to place the issue in their watch list. After doing any necessary backup research, the investor is prepared to act after the stock triggers a technical buy signal (breaks above its pivot point on more than +50% average turnover) but before it gets too extended from a sound base. In the event the stock fails to trigger a technical buy signal and its price declines then it will simply be removed from the watch list. Disciplined investors know to buy as near as possible to the pivot point and avoid chasing stocks after they have rallied more than +5% above their pivot point. It is crucial to always limit losses whenever any stock heads the wrong direction, and disciplined investors sell if a struggling stock ever falls more than -7% from their purchase price.

Ulta Salon Cosmetics & Fragrance, Inc. (ULTA +$0.18 or +0.19% to $94.18) was highlighted in yellow in the earlier mid-day report (read here) while building on the current 11-week base during which it found support at its 200-day moving average (DMA) line. The new pivot point cited is based on its 6/20/12 high plus 10 cents. Little resistance remains due to overhead supply while consolidating -4.3% off its 52-week high, however volume-driven gains above its pivot point are needed to trigger a technical buy signal. Disciplined investors know that there is no advantage to getting in "early". Waiting for proof of fresh institutional buying demand is crucial to investors' success with the fact-based investment system. Keep in mind that it is due to report earnings on Thursday, September 6th after the market closes, and volume and volatility often increase near earnings news.

The high-ranked Retail - Specialty firm completed a Secondary Offering on 5/10/12. Its last appearance in the FSU section on 4/23/12 included an annotated weekly graph under the headline, "New Late Stage Base Formed; Deteriorating Market Conditions". The choppy consolidation that followed included a brief rally to new highs and then a slump to its 200 DMA line before rebounding. It reported earnings +46% on +23% sales revenues for the quarter ended April 30, 2012 versus the year ago period.  Its strong quarterly earnings increases above the +25% guideline in the 8 latest comparisons satisfies the C criteria, and its solid annual earnings (A criteria) history is also very reassuring. The number of top-rated funds with an ownership interest has grown from 376 funds in Dec '10 to 561 funds as of Jun '12, which is a very encouraging sign of increasing institutional interest (the I criteria).


Color Codes Explained :
Y - Better candidates highlighted by our staff of experts.
G - Previously featured in past reports as yellow but may no longer be buyable under the guidelines.

***Last / Change / Volume data in this table is the closing quote data***
Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group
PRICE CHANGE
(%Change)
Day High Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol)
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi
Featured
Date
Price
Featured
Pivot Featured
Max Buy
ALXN - NASDAQ
Alexion Pharmaceuticals
DRUGS - Drug Manufacturers - Other  
$108.40 +1.19
1.11%

$108.74

879,782
67.84% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,296,800
$109.96
-1.42%
8/23/2012 $103.70 PP = $110.06
MB = $115.56
Most Recent Note - 9/4/2012 4:21:07 PM
Y - Still perched within close striking distance of its 52-week high. Subsequent volume-driven gains above its pivot point may trigger a new (or add-on) technical buy signal.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 8/23/2012. Click here.

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ASPS - NASDAQ
Altisource Ptf Sltns Sa
REAL ESTATE - Property Management/Developmen  
$86.00 +1.71
2.03%

$86.38

101,074
79.34% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 127,400
$92.29
-6.82%
6/5/2012 $60.01 PP = $63.00
MB = $66.15
Most Recent Note - 8/30/2012 3:58:06 PM
G - Down today on below average volume, retreating -9.3% from its all-time high. It has been repeatedly noted - "Extended from its prior base, and its 50 DMA line defines near-term support to watch."
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 8/3/2012. Click here.

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CFNL - NASDAQ
Cardinal Financial Corp
BANKING - Regional - Southeast Banks  
$13.28 +0.33
2.55%

$13.36

68,489
108.54% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 63,100
$13.30
-0.15%
8/17/2012 $12.84 PP = $13.31
MB = $13.98
Most Recent Note - 9/4/2012 4:15:30 PM
Y - Hit a new 52-week high today with a gain on near average volume. Disciplined investors know to watch for signs of fresh institutional buying demand as a reassurance. Previously noted - "Volume-driven gains above its pivot point may trigger a new (or add-on) technical buy signal, meanwhile its 50 DMA line defines important support."
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 8/21/2012. Click here.

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CMCSA - NASDAQ
Comcast Corp Cl A
MEDIA - CATV Systems  
$33.53 -0.01
-0.01%

$33.71

11,845,154
93.59% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 12,656,200
$35.16
-4.65%
6/11/2012 $29.94 PP = $30.98
MB = $32.53
Most Recent Note - 9/4/2012 4:22:31 PM
G - Consolidating just above its 50 DMA line. Fundamental concerns were raised as it recently reported earnings +19% on +6% sales revenues for the Jun '12 quarter, below the fact-based investment system's +25% minimum guideline for the C criteria.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 8/15/2012. Click here.

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ECPG - NASDAQ
Encore Capital Group Inc
FINANCIAL SERVICES - Credit Services  
$28.25 +0.22
0.78%

$28.45

147,313
105.90% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 139,100
$30.47
-7.29%
8/3/2012 $29.91 PP = $30.45
MB = $31.97
Most Recent Note - 9/4/2012 4:23:32 PM
G - Still sputtering below its 50 DMA line and -7.3% off its 52-week high today. Completed a Secondary Offering on 8/08/12. Gains above its 50 DMA line are needed for its outlook to improve.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 8/6/2012. Click here.

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Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group
PRICE CHANGE
(%Change)
Day High Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol)
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi
Featured
Date
Price
Featured
Pivot Featured
Max Buy
EXPE - NASDAQ
Expedia Inc
INTERNET - Internet Information Providers  
$51.99 +0.63
1.23%

$52.39

1,840,240
54.13% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 3,399,600
$59.50
-12.62%
4/27/2012 $41.80 PP = $35.57
MB = $37.35
Most Recent Note - 8/30/2012 3:59:47 PM
G - Volume totals have been cooling while consolidating above prior highs and its 50 DMA line defining important near-term chart support in the $50 area.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 8/14/2012. Click here.

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GPX - NYSE
G P Strategies Corp
DIVERSIFIED SERVICES - Education and Training Services  
$19.95 -0.10
-0.50%

$20.00

87,025
112.29% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 77,500
$20.67
-3.48%
6/29/2012 $18.01 PP = $18.15
MB = $19.06
Most Recent Note - 9/4/2012 4:25:13 PM
G - Perched -3.5% off its 52-week high today, slightly extended from its prior base. Churned above average volume recently without making much meaningful price progress, a sign of distributional pressure. Prior highs and its 50 DMA line define chart support in the $18 area.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 8/7/2012. Click here.

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HMSY - NASDAQ
H M S Holdings Corp
COMPUTER SOFTWARE and SERVICES - Healthcare Information Service  
$35.10 +0.64
1.86%

$35.31

900,902
98.17% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 917,700
$37.19
-5.62%
7/27/2012 $33.91 PP = $34.83
MB = $36.57
Most Recent Note - 9/4/2012 4:59:26 PM
Y - Still consolidating above its 50 DMA line. Volume-driven gains into new high territory would be a reassuring sign disciplined investors may wait for as an indication of fresh institutional accumulation.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 8/22/2012. Click here.

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KH - NYSE
China Kanghui Hldgs Ads
HEALTH SERVICES - Medical Appliances and Equipment  
$26.30 +1.31
5.24%

$26.50

102,270
456.56% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 22,400
$25.04
5.03%
8/30/2012 $24.19 PP = $22.90
MB = $24.05
Most Recent Note - 9/4/2012 12:19:24 PM
G - Color code is changed to green after getting extended from its latest base. Prior highs in the $23 area define support to watch on pullbacks. See the latest FSU analysis for more details and a new annotated graph.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 8/30/2012. Click here.

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LKQ - NASDAQ
L K Q Corp
WHOLESALE - Auto Parts  
$38.40 +0.66
1.75%

$38.54

587,189
79.82% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 735,600
$39.20
-2.04%
8/9/2012 $37.93 PP = $37.44
MB = $39.31
Most Recent Note - 8/30/2012 3:22:25 PM
Y - Down today with light volume, slumping back near its pivot point. Prior highs in the $37 area define initial support to watch above its 50 DMA line.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 8/10/2012. Click here.

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Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group
PRICE CHANGE
(%Change)
Day High Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol)
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi
Featured
Date
Price
Featured
Pivot Featured
Max Buy
MIDD - NASDAQ
Middleby Corp
MANUFACTURING - Diversified Machinery  
$118.50 +3.35
2.91%

$118.88

137,437
138.41% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 99,300
$119.74
-1.04%
8/9/2012 $118.60 PP = $104.92
MB = $110.17
Most Recent Note - 9/4/2012 4:17:28 PM
G - Rallied to a best-ever close today with above average volume behind its gain. Extended from its prior base, its 50 DMA line and prior highs in the $104 area define important chart support to watch.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 8/13/2012. Click here.

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N - NYSE
Netsuite Inc
DIVERSIFIED SERVICES - Business/Management Services  
$56.39 -0.49
-0.86%

$57.36

375,207
53.73% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 698,300
$59.22
-4.78%
8/20/2012 $55.88 PP = $59.32
MB = $62.29
Most Recent Note - 8/31/2012 5:20:11 PM
Y - Posted a solid gain on light volume today. Volume totals have been cooling while consolidating in a tight range near its 52-week high. A volume-driven gain above its pivot point may trigger a new (or add-on) technical buy signal. Meanwhile, its 50 DMA line defines important near-term support.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 8/20/2012. Click here.

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NSM - NYSE
Nationstar Mtg Hldgs Inc
FINANCIAL SERVICES - Credit Services  
$28.76 +1.64
6.05%

$29.10

1,468,482
183.86% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 798,700
$28.75
0.03%
8/29/2012 $27.96 PP = $28.85
MB = $30.29
Most Recent Note - 9/4/2012 12:24:06 PM
Y - Perched near its 52-week high today. Color code was changed to yellow with new pivot point cited based on its 8/17/12 high plus 10 cent while working on an advanced "ascending base" pattern. Managed an impressive a "positive reversal" on 8/27/12 while finding support near prior highs in the $25 area. Subsequent volume-driven gains above the pivot point may trigger a new (or add-on) technical buy signal.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 8/1/2012. Click here.

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OSIS - NASDAQ
O S I Systems Inc
ELECTRONICS - Semiconductor Equipment and Mate  
$74.69 +0.59
0.80%

$74.97

114,827
102.34% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 112,200
$75.00
-0.41%
8/9/2012 $67.71 PP = $67.48
MB = $70.85
Most Recent Note - 8/30/2012 12:42:15 PM
G - Still hovering near its 52-week high in a very tight trading range. Ending the week near its current level could form an advanced "3-weeks tight" base pattern. Prior highs in the $67-68 area define initial support to watch on pullbacks.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 8/9/2012. Click here.

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RNF - NYSE
Rentech Nitrogen Ptnr Lp
CHEMICALS - Agricultural Chemicals  
$34.57 +0.60
1.77%

$35.00

488,545
111.80% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 437,000
$34.75
-0.52%
7/27/2012 $29.58 PP = $30.60
MB = $32.13
Most Recent Note - 8/31/2012 5:38:39 PM
G - Holding its ground perched near its high with volume totals cooling in recent weeks. It is extended from its prior base with near-term support at prior highs in the $30-31 area and its 50 DMA line. See the latest FSU analysis for more details and a new annotated graph.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 8/31/2012. Click here.

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Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group
PRICE CHANGE
(%Change)
Day High Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol)
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi
Featured
Date
Price
Featured
Pivot Featured
Max Buy
SWI - NYSE
Solarwinds Inc
COMPUTER SOFTWARE and SERVICES - Application Software  
$58.62 +3.74
6.81%

$58.81

2,315,022
190.60% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,214,600
$56.94
2.95%
7/25/2012 $47.82 PP = $47.89
MB = $50.28
Most Recent Note - 9/4/2012 12:37:08 PM
G - Volume is running at an above average pace today while hitting a new all-time high. Its 50 DMA line and prior highs coincide in the $48 area defining important chart support to watch on pullbacks.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 8/29/2012. Click here.

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TDG - NYSE
Transdigm Group Inc
AEROSPACE/DEFENSE - Aerospace/Defense Products and; Services  
$138.67 +0.05
0.04%

$139.02

283,522
71.47% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 396,700
$143.15
-3.13%
8/16/2012 $132.23 PP = $136.44
MB = $143.26
Most Recent Note - 9/4/2012 4:27:37 PM
Y - Hovering near its 52-week high. Prior high near $136 defines near-term chart support. Disciplined investors always limit losses if ever any stock falls -7% from their purchase price.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 8/17/2012. Click here.

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ULTA - NASDAQ
Ulta Salon Cosm & Frag
SPECIALTY RETAIL - Specialty Retail, Other  
$94.18 +0.18
0.19%

$94.55

1,235,410
164.79% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 749,700
$98.42
-4.31%
9/4/2012 $93.17 PP = $98.52
MB = $103.45
Most Recent Note - 9/4/2012 4:55:29 PM
Y - Highlighted in yellow in the earlier mid-day report while building on the current 11-week base during which it found support at its 200 DMA line. New pivot point cited is based on its 6/20/12 high plus 10 cents. Little resistance remains due to overhead supply while consolidating -4.3% off its 52-week high, however volume-driven gains above its pivot point are needed to trigger a technical buy signal. Reported earnings +46% on +23% sales revenues for the quarter ended April 30, 2012 versus the year ago period. Completed a Secondary Offering on 5/10/12. See the latest FSU analysis for more details and a new annotated graph.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 9/4/2012. Click here.

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ULTI - NASDAQ
Ultimate Software Group
INTERNET - Internet Software and Services  
$99.95 +0.76
0.77%

$100.00

119,446
75.50% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 158,200
$100.83
-0.87%
8/27/2012 $98.36 PP = $99.19
MB = $104.15
Most Recent Note - 9/4/2012 4:57:08 PM

Y - Tallied a 4th consecutive gain today with light volume and finished at a best-ever close. A volume-driven gain and strong close above its pivot point may trigger technical buy signal.


>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 8/27/2012. Click here.

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VSI - NYSE
Vitamin Shoppe Inc
SPECIALTY RETAIL - Specialty Retail, Other  
$56.35 +2.74
5.11%

$56.53

549,685
146.82% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 374,400
$61.83
-8.86%
6/29/2012 $54.93 PP = $55.03
MB = $57.78
Most Recent Note - 9/4/2012 4:13:55 PM
G - Rallied back above its 50 DMA line today with a considerable volume-driven gain helping its technical stance. Prior low ($52.41 on 7/23/12) defines a near-term support level where any further deterioration would raise more serious concerns.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 8/2/2012. Click here.

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Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group
PRICE CHANGE
(%Change)
Day High Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol)
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi
Featured
Date
Price
Featured
Pivot Featured
Max Buy
WPI - NYSE
Watson Pharmaceuticals
DRUGS - Drugs - Generic  
$83.06 +1.71
2.10%

$83.24

1,152,938
87.42% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,318,800
$83.83
-0.92%
8/24/2012 $82.90 PP = $81.10
MB = $85.16
Most Recent Note - 9/4/2012 4:28:34 PM
Y - Still holding its ground since triggering a technical buy signal on 8/24/12 when highlighted in the mid-day report with a gap up gain backed by above average volume. Prior highs in the $81 area define initial support to watch on pullbacks.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 8/28/2012. Click here.

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