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AFTER MARKET UPDATE - WEDNESDAY, AUGUST 1ST, 2012
Previous After Market Report Next After Market Report >>>
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|
|
|
DOW |
-32.55 |
12,976.13 |
-0.25% |
|
Volume |
1,033,285,420 |
+16% |
|
Volume |
1,693,691,490 |
-2% |
|
NASDAQ |
-19.31 |
2,920.21 |
-0.66% |
|
Advancers |
1,239 |
35% |
|
Advancers |
758 |
26% |
|
S&P 500 |
-4.00 |
1,375.32 |
-0.29% |
|
Decliners |
1,979 |
56% |
|
Decliners |
1,932 |
66% |
|
Russell 2000 |
-15.81 |
771.13 |
-2.01% |
|
52 Wk Highs |
216 |
|
|
52 Wk Highs |
41 |
|
|
S&P 600 |
-8.19 |
433.53 |
-1.85% |
|
52 Wk Lows |
36 |
|
|
52 Wk Lows |
78 |
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Volume Increases on NYSE Behind Modest Losses
Kenneth J. Gruneisen - Passed the CAN SLIM® Master's Exam
The major averages finished lower in the first trading session of August. The volume totals were reported higher on the NYSE and lower on the Nasdaq exchange versus the prior session totals. Declining issues led advancing issues by about a 3-2 margin on the NYSE and by about 5-2 on the Nasdaq exchange. The total number of new 52-week highs led new 52-week lows on the NYSE, but new lows again outnumbered new highs on the Nasdaq exchange. There were 25 high-ranked companies from the CANSLIM.net Leaders List made new 52-week highs and appeared on the CANSLIM.net BreakOuts Page, down from the prior session total of 48 stocks. There were gains for 6 of the 15 high-ranked companies currently included on the Featured Stocks Page.
Investors' lofty expectations for central bank action pushed stocks higher heading into the FOMC statement, however the Fed stopped short of offering new monetary stimulus and said the economic recovery has lost momentum. The central bank also left its key interest rate unchanged and reiterated its pledge to keep rates low until late 2014. Investor focus now turns to Thursday's ECB announcement with speculation that the bank may implement further purchases of Italian and Spanish bonds to help stem the region's debt crisis.
With the spotlight on the Fed, economic data was on the back burner. Ahead of the Friday's jobs report, private sector employment unexpectedly bested consensus showing 163,000 jobs were created in July. In addition, the ISM manufacturing index remained near a three-year low while construction spending climbed +0.4% in June, helped by some stabilization in the housing market.
Meanwhile, second-quarter earnings season started to wind down, but after the close notable profit tallies were due out from Prudential Financial Inc (PRU -1.45%), MetLife Inc (MET -1.10%) and Transocean Ltd (RIG +2.07%).
In bondland, Treasuries were lower with the 10-year note down 13/32 to yield 1.52% and the 30-year bond lost 27/32 to yield 2.59%.
In terms of the M criteria, last week's gains brought technical improvements to the major indices' trend coupled with an expansion in leadership (stocks hitting new 52-week highs). Any sustainable rally requires a healthy crop of strong leaders hitting new 52-week highs.
Earnings season has led numerous stocks to experience greater than usual daily volume and greater price volatility which can surprise and frustrate investors. ALWAYS do your best to limit losses by first making only disciplined entries, then quickly limiting losses if any stock ever falls more than -7% from the purchase price.
Watch for an announcement soon via email concerning new monthly webcasts starting in August and a new "Market's Leading Groups" archives tab to be added on the Premium Member Homepage. These changes are aimed at satisfying member requests and improving the service. If you have questions, comments or suggestions please let us know via the inquiry form here. The most recent WEBCAST (Q2 2012) is available "ON DEMAND" - CLICK HERE.
PICTURED: The Dow Jones Industrial Average ended Wednesday's session with another small loss on even higher volume. Despite the distributional pressure, the Blue Chip index finished only -2.7% off its 2012 high. Last week it rallied from support at its 50-day and 200-day moving average (DMA) lines with impressive volume-driven gains.
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Kenneth J. Gruneisen started out as a licensed stockbroker in August 1987, a couple of months prior to the historic stock market crash that took the Dow Jones Industrial Average down -22.6% in a single day. He has published daily fact-based fundamental and technical analysis on high-ranked stocks online for two decades. Through FACTBASEDINVESTING.COM, Kenneth provides educational articles, news, market commentary, and other information regarding proven investment systems that work in good times and bad.
Comments contained in the body of this report are technical opinions only and are not necessarily those of Gruneisen Growth Corp. The material herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable and accurate, however, its accuracy and completeness cannot be guaranteed. Our firm, employees, and customers may effect transactions, including transactions contrary to any recommendation herein, or have positions in the securities mentioned herein or options with respect thereto. Any recommendation contained in this report may not be suitable for all investors and it is not to be deemed an offer or solicitation on our part with respect to the purchase or sale of any securities. |
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Broker/Dealer Index at Lowest Finish Since November
Kenneth J. Gruneisen - Passed the CAN SLIM® Master's Exam
The Broker/Dealer Index ($XBD -3.57%) was a standout decliner on Wednesday while the Bank Index ($BKX -0.51%) and Retail Index ($RLX -1.00%) weighed negatively on the major averages with modest losses. The Biotechnology Index ($BTK -1.30%) and Internet Index ($IIX -0.57%) led the tech sector lower, meanwhile the Networking Index ($NWX -0.09%) and the Semiconductor Index ($SOX +0.03%) held their ground. The Healthcare Index ($HMO +0.10%) also finished virtually unchanged. Commodity-linked groups were mixed as the Integrated Oil Index ($XOI +0.58%) and Oil Services Index ($OSX +0.99%) posted gains, meanwhile the Gold & Silver Index ($XAU -1.19%) fell.
Charts courtesy www.stockcharts.com
PICTURED: The Broker/Dealer Index ($XBD -3.57%) was a standout decliner on Wednesday, slumping to its lowest close since November 2011.
| Oil Services |
$OSX |
218.79 |
+2.14 |
+0.99% |
+1.16% |
| Healthcare |
$HMO |
2,276.03 |
+2.27 |
+0.10% |
-0.24% |
| Integrated Oil |
$XOI |
1,203.74 |
+6.98 |
+0.58% |
-2.06% |
| Semiconductor |
$SOX |
383.83 |
+0.11 |
+0.03% |
+5.32% |
| Networking |
$NWX |
196.23 |
-0.17 |
-0.09% |
-8.80% |
| Internet |
$IIX |
300.66 |
-1.71 |
-0.57% |
+6.71% |
| Broker/Dealer |
$XBD |
79.10 |
-2.93 |
-3.57% |
-5.00% |
| Retail |
$RLX |
612.32 |
-6.20 |
-1.00% |
+17.03% |
| Gold & Silver |
$XAU |
149.11 |
-1.79 |
-1.19% |
-17.45% |
| Bank |
$BKX |
45.29 |
-0.23 |
-0.51% |
+15.01% |
| Biotech |
$BTK |
1,437.10 |
-18.99 |
-1.30% |
+31.67% |
|
|
|
 |
Found Support Near Prior Highs and 50-Day Moving Average
Kenneth J. Gruneisen - Passed the CAN SLIM® Master's Exam
Nationstar Mtg Hldgs Inc (NSM +$0.30 or +1.36% to $22.32) is consolidating above the prior base and above its previously cited "max buy" level. Important chart support is defined by prior highs and its 50-day moving average (DMA) line in the $20 area. The company recently proposed an Offering of $100 million of Senior Notes. Its next earnings announcement is due on the morning of Tuesday, August 14, 2012, not 7/28/12 as indicated on the annotated graph. Volume and volatility often increase near earnings news.
NSM has attracted increasing ownership interest from top-rated funds, rising from 50 funds in Mar '12 to 68 in Jun '12, a reassuring sign concerning the I criteria. It has not formed a sound new base, but may form a base-on-base pattern in the weeks ahead. It was last shown in this FSU section with an annotated weekly graph on 6/27/12 under the headline, "Volume Driven Gain to Pivot Point After an Advanced Base Pattern", as it touched a new 52-week high after completing an advanced "3-weeks tight" base. Its 3 consecutive weekly closes with minimal net change defined that advanced base pattern. In the mid-day report on 6/27/12 (read here) it was highlighted in yellow with a pivot point cited based on its 6/05/12 high plus 10 cents. It posted a gain with +129% above average volume and finished that session right at the pivot point triggering a technical buy signal.
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|
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Color Codes Explained :
Y - Better candidates highlighted by our
staff of experts.
G - Previously featured
in past reports as yellow but may no longer be buyable under the
guidelines.
***Last / Change / Volume data in this table is the closing quote data***
Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group |
PRICE |
CHANGE
(%Change) |
Day High |
Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol) |
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi |
Featured
Date |
Price
Featured |
Pivot Featured |
|
Max Buy |
ALXN
-
NASDAQ
Alexion Pharmaceuticals
DRUGS - Drug Manufacturers - Other
|
$104.59
|
-4.38
-4.02% |
$109.90
|
2,138,926
91.99% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 2,325,200
|
$109.96
-4.88%
|
5/1/2012
|
$91.73
|
PP = $95.11
|
|
MB = $99.87
|
Most Recent Note - 7/30/2012 3:58:47 PM
G - Down today with below average volume, pulling back near prior highs. Reported earnings +62% on +48% sales revenues for the quarter ended June 30, 2012 versus the year ago period.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 7/25/2012. Click here.
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C
A N
S L
I M
|
ASPS
-
NASDAQ
Altisource Ptf Sltns Sa
REAL ESTATE - Property Management/Developmen
|
$77.49
|
+3.56
4.82% |
$79.20
|
265,165
201.80% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 131,400
|
$76.40
1.43%
|
6/5/2012
|
$60.01
|
PP = $63.00
|
|
MB = $66.15
|
Most Recent Note - 7/30/2012 11:56:10 AM
G - Hitting a new 52-week high today following a brief consolidation, getting more extended from its prior base. Recent low and its 50 DMA line define near-term support to watch. Reported earnings +117% on +55% sales revenues for the quarter ended June 30, 2012 versus the year ago period.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 7/3/2012. Click here.
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C
A N
S L
I M
|
CFNL
-
NASDAQ
Cardinal Financial Corp
BANKING - Regional - Southeast Banks
|
$12.76
|
-0.21
-1.62% |
$13.04
|
22,525
27.91% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 80,700
|
$13.21
-3.41%
|
7/20/2012
|
$12.85
|
PP = $12.41
|
|
MB = $13.03
|
Most Recent Note - 7/26/2012 5:05:24 PM
Y - Today was its best volume-driven gain above its pivot point thus far. It encountered distributional pressure after featured in the 7/20/12 mid-day report. See the latest FSU analysis for more details and a new annotated graph.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 7/26/2012. Click here.
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C
A N
S L
I M
|
CMCSA
-
NASDAQ
Comcast Corp Cl A
MEDIA - CATV Systems
|
$32.21
|
-0.08
-0.23% |
$32.56
|
9,696,272
71.95% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 13,475,700
|
$32.78
-1.74%
|
6/11/2012
|
$29.94
|
PP = $30.98
|
|
MB = $32.53
|
Most Recent Note - 7/25/2012 5:55:05 PM
Y - Volume totals have been quiet or average while recently holding its ground above its pivot point. No overhead supply remains to act as resistance and it is still trading below its "max buy" level.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 7/11/2012. Click here.
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C
A N
S L
I M
|
DG
-
NYSE
Dollar General Corp
RETAIL - Discount, Variety Stores
|
$50.95
|
-0.04
-0.08% |
$51.64
|
3,375,873
83.96% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 4,020,800
|
$56.04
-9.08%
|
7/16/2012
|
$54.68
|
PP = $56.14
|
|
MB = $58.95
|
Most Recent Note - 7/25/2012 5:57:33 PM
Y - Gapped down today for as loss but rebounded to finish near the session high and closed just above its 50 DMA line after encountering distributional pressure. It did not register volume-driven gains above its new pivot point to trigger a new (or add-on) technical buy signal.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 7/12/2012. Click here.
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C
A N
S L
I M
|
Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group |
PRICE |
CHANGE
(%Change) |
Day High |
Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol) |
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi |
Featured
Date |
Price
Featured |
Pivot Featured |
|
Max Buy |
EXPE
-
NASDAQ
Expedia Inc
INTERNET - Internet Information Providers
|
$56.12
|
+1.22
2.22% |
$56.68
|
5,274,353
131.60% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 4,007,800
|
$58.40
-3.90%
|
4/27/2012
|
$41.80
|
PP = $35.57
|
|
MB = $37.35
|
Most Recent Note - 7/30/2012 12:15:13 PM
G - Holding its ground today following a considerable gap up gain on 7/27/12 for a new 52-week high from below its 50 DMA line. Reported earnings +24% on +14% sales revenues for the quarter ending June 30, 2012 versus the year ago period, just below the +25% minimum earnings guideline for buy candidates.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 7/10/2012. Click here.
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C
A N
S L
I M
|
GNC
-
NYSE
G N C Holdings Inc
RETAIL - Drug Stores
|
$39.27
|
+1.06
2.77% |
$39.31
|
2,404,322
96.09% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 2,502,100
|
$42.70
-8.03%
|
6/29/2012
|
$39.20
|
PP = $40.00
|
|
MB = $42.00
|
Most Recent Note - 7/30/2012 4:01:34 PM
Y - Color code is changed to yellow again while trading up above its 50 DMA line today. Reported earnings +59% on +19% sales revenues for the quarter ended June 30, 2012 versus the year ago period, beating expectations, and it also raised guidance for FY '12. Disciplined investors always limit losses if any stock falls more than -7% from their purchase price.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 7/5/2012. Click here.
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C
A N
S L
I M
|
GPX
-
NYSE
G P Strategies Corp
DIVERSIFIED SERVICES - Education and Training Services
|
$17.46
|
-0.34
-1.91% |
$18.00
|
30,799
56.31% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 54,700
|
$18.99
-8.06%
|
6/29/2012
|
$18.01
|
PP = $18.15
|
|
MB = $19.06
|
Most Recent Note - 7/26/2012 3:50:30 PM
Y - Volume totals have been cooling while consolidating above its 50 DMA line. Recent losses completely negated the prior breakout and raised concerns. Disciplined investors always limit losses by selling any stock if it falls more than -7% from their purchase price.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 7/6/2012. Click here.
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C
A N
S L
I M
|
HMSY
-
NASDAQ
H M S Holdings Corp
COMPUTER SOFTWARE and SERVICES - Healthcare Information Service
|
$34.43
|
+0.08
0.23% |
$35.51
|
968,906
98.02% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 988,500
|
$35.98
-4.31%
|
7/27/2012
|
$33.91
|
PP = $34.83
|
|
MB = $36.57
|
Most Recent Note - 7/27/2012 5:13:32 PM
Y - Reported earnings +35% on +34% sales revenues for the quarter ended June 30, 2012 versus the year ago period. It was highlighted in yellow with new pivot point based on its 7/10/12 high in the mid day report (read here). No resistance remains due to overhead supply. It tried to rally from a 6-month cup-with-handle base pattern but finished below its pivot point today while posting a considerable gain with more than 2 times average volume. Subsequent volume-driven gains above its pivot may trigger a technical buy signal. It went through a deep consolidation below its 200 DMA line then rebounded impressively since dropped from the Featured Stocks list on 3/02/12. See the latest FSU analysis for more details and a new annotated graph.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 7/27/2012. Click here.
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C
A N
S L
I M
|
N
-
NYSE
Netsuite Inc
DIVERSIFIED SERVICES - Business/Management Services
|
$56.22
|
-0.73
-1.28% |
$57.76
|
796,199
128.07% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 621,700
|
$58.56
-4.00%
|
6/20/2012
|
$51.83
|
PP = $51.88
|
|
MB = $54.47
|
Most Recent Note - 7/27/2012 12:30:25 PM
G - Gapped up and hit a new 52-week high today after finding support at its 50 DMA line. Color code was changed to green after rallying well above its "max buy" level. Reported earnings +200% on +29% sales revenues for the quarter ended June 30, 2012 versus the year ago period.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 7/19/2012. Click here.
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C
A N
S L
I M
|
Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group |
PRICE |
CHANGE
(%Change) |
Day High |
Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol) |
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi |
Featured
Date |
Price
Featured |
Pivot Featured |
|
Max Buy |
NSM
-
NYSE
Nationstar Mtg Hldgs Inc
FINANCIAL SERVICES - Credit Services
|
$22.30
|
+0.40
1.83% |
$22.88
|
559,236
68.80% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 812,900
|
$25.11
-11.19%
|
6/27/2012
|
$20.29
|
PP = $20.46
|
|
MB = $21.48
|
Most Recent Note - 7/27/2012 1:18:45 PM
Y - Color code is changed to yellow while pulling back under its "max buy" level today with a 4th consecutive loss since proposing an Offering of $100 million of Senior Notes. Prior highs and its 50 DMA line in the $20 area define important support to watch on pullbacks.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 6/27/2012. Click here.
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C
A N
S L
I M
|
RNF
-
NYSE
Rentech Nitrogen Ptnr Lp
CHEMICALS - Agricultural Chemicals
|
$30.13
|
+0.53
1.79% |
$31.23
|
645,057
197.39% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 326,800
|
$31.34
-3.86%
|
7/27/2012
|
$29.58
|
PP = $30.60
|
|
MB = $32.13
|
Most Recent Note - 7/30/2012 12:46:59 PM
Y - Pulling back from earlier highs above its pivot point following a gap up gain today. In the 7/27/12 mid-day report it was highlighted again in yellow with new pivot point cited based upon its 7/17/12 high while noted -"Subsequent volume-driven gains above the pivot may trigger a technical buy signal, meanwhile it is ideal for investors to have on their watchlist. Rebounding toward its 52-week high while working on a cup-with-high handle base pattern. Fundamentals remain strong. Rebounded impressively from a deep consolidation below its 50 DMA line. It was dropped from the Featured Stocks list on 5/10/12 due to damaging technical action."
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 7/31/2012. Click here.
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C
A N
S L
I M
|
SWI
-
NYSE
Solarwinds Inc
COMPUTER SOFTWARE and SERVICES - Application Software
|
$53.41
|
-0.03
-0.06% |
$53.95
|
1,026,725
92.03% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,115,700
|
$53.97
-1.04%
|
7/25/2012
|
$47.82
|
PP = $47.89
|
|
MB = $50.28
|
Most Recent Note - 7/30/2012 6:18:32 PM
G - Paused today following 3 consecutive volume-driven gains for new all-time highs. Prior highs in the $48 area define initial support to watch on pullbacks. See the latest FSU analysis for more details and a new annotated graph.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 7/30/2012. Click here.
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C
A N
S L
I M
|
TDG
-
NYSE
Transdigm Group Inc
AEROSPACE/DEFENSE - Aerospace/Defense Products and; Services
|
$120.88
|
-0.75
-0.62% |
$121.72
|
307,164
62.61% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 490,600
|
$136.34
-11.34%
|
6/18/2012
|
$127.00
|
PP = $132.79
|
|
MB = $139.43
|
Most Recent Note - 7/25/2012 5:51:08 PM
G - Held its ground today following a damaging loss on 7/24/12 with heavy volume that violated its 50 DMA line triggering a technical sell signal.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 7/18/2012. Click here.
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A N
S L
I M
|
VSI
-
NYSE
Vitamin Shoppe Inc
SPECIALTY RETAIL - Specialty Retail, Other
|
$57.81
|
-0.60
-1.03% |
$58.55
|
217,508
59.20% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 367,400
|
$58.88
-1.82%
|
6/29/2012
|
$54.93
|
PP = $55.03
|
|
MB = $57.78
|
Most Recent Note - 7/26/2012 12:50:18 PM
Y - Erased most of today's early gain after touching a new high and briefly trading above its "max buy" level. Found support at its 50 DMA line this week, but any damaging violation would raise concerns and trigger a technical sell signal. Recent gains after forming an 8-week cup-with-handle base lacked the volume required to trigger a proper new (or add-on) technical buy signal.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 7/2/2012. Click here.
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A N
S L
I M
|
Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group |
PRICE |
CHANGE
(%Change) |
Day High |
Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol) |
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi |
Featured
Date |
Price
Featured |
Pivot Featured |
|
Max Buy |
|
|
|
THESE ARE NOT BUY RECOMMENDATIONS!
Comments contained in the body of this report are technical
opinions only. The material herein has been obtained
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