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AFTER MARKET UPDATE - TUESDAY, FEBRUARY 15TH, 2011
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Indices NYSE Nasdaq
DOW  -41.55 12,226.64 -0.34% Volume 929,167,490 +14% Volume 1,963,802,270 +3%
NASDAQ -12.83 2,804.35 -0.46% Advancers 1,138 37% Advancers 1,017 37%
S&P 500 -4.31 1,328.01 -0.32% Decliners 1,843 59% Decliners 1,638 59%
Russell 2000 -5.87 820.03 -0.71% 52 Wk Highs 213   52 Wk Highs 143  
S&P 600 -4.66 432.73 -1.07% 52 Wk Lows 12   52 Wk Lows 21  

Major Averages End Down With Higher Volume

Volume totals were higher than the prior session as the major indices pulled back. Declining issues beat advancers by about 3-2 on both the NYSE and the Nasdaq. New 52-week highs outnumbered new 52-week lows on the NYSE and on the Nasdaq exchange. There was a total of 71 high-ranked companies from the CANSLIM.net Leaders List that made new 52-week highs and appeared on the CANSLIM.net BreakOuts Page, less than half the total of 152 on the prior session. On the Featured Stocks Page there were small gains from 3 of the 23 high-ranked market leaders.

 

The S&P 500 Index took a step back from Tuesday's 32-month high as weak economic data was considered a catalyst for some profit-taking on Wall Street. Retail sales climbed for the seventh straight month in January, but the increase was the smallest since June. Inflation concerns were rekindled by a report that January import prices rose more than forecast on higher prices for food and energy. The economic news was not all bad: Manufacturing in the New York region increased more than expected in February.

Exxon Mobil Corp (XOM -2.3%) fell as the price of crude oil dropped to an 11-week low, and oil and gas stocks were among the day's weak performers.  The parent company of the New York Stock Exchange, for the current time known as NYSE Euronext (NYX -3.4%), agreed to be bought by the operator of the German exchange to create the world's largest financial markets company. FedEx Corp (FDX +2.1%) rose as investors shrugged off its warning that earnings will miss forecasts. Pundits believe the market may have anticipated the news after severe weather.

Momentum, liquidity, solid earnings, and the in-place trend are combining to support stocks. Stocks have endured very little distributional while off to a very strong start with the first positive January in four years and continuing with a strong rally in February.

PICTURED: The Dow Jones Industrial Average has rallied +19% from its close after the September 1, 2010 follow-through day was noted (read here). Technically, the Nasdaq Composite Index is the major index that confirmed the new rally back then with its solid gain backed by higher volume. Remember, it is only necessary for one of the major averages to confirm a new rally with a follow-through day for investors to have a sign it is favorable to begin buying stocks again after a correction. Not every follow-through day leads to a sustained rally, but every sustained rally begins with a follow-through day.


Kenneth J. Gruneisen started out as a licensed stockbroker in August 1987, a couple of months prior to the historic stock market crash that took the Dow Jones Industrial Average down -22.6% in a single day. He has published daily fact-based fundamental and technical analysis on high-ranked stocks online for two decades. Through FACTBASEDINVESTING.COM, Kenneth provides educational articles, news, market commentary, and other information regarding proven investment systems that work in good times and bad.

Comments contained in the body of this report are technical opinions only and are not necessarily those of Gruneisen Growth Corp. The material herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable and accurate, however, its accuracy and completeness cannot be guaranteed. Our firm, employees, and customers may effect transactions, including transactions contrary to any recommendation herein, or have positions in the securities mentioned herein or options with respect thereto. Any recommendation contained in this report may not be suitable for all investors and it is not to be deemed an offer or solicitation on our part with respect to the purchase or sale of any securities.


Tech and Energy Indices Pull Back

The Networking Index ($NWX -1.26%) and Semiconductor Index ($SOX -1.08%) led the tech sector lower while the Biotechnology Index ($BTK -0.37%) and Internet Index ($IIX -0.27%) suffered smaller losses. The Gold & Silver Index ($XAU +0.80%) rose while the Oil Services Index ($OSX -0.83%) and Integrated Oil Index ($XOI -0.65%) fell. The Healthcare Index ($HMO -0.53%) also backpedaled. The Bank Index ($BKX -0.32%) edged lower and the Broker/Dealer Index ($XBD -0.07%) and Retail Index ($RLX +0.04%) were little changed.

Charts courtesy www.stockcharts.com

PICTURED: The Retail Index ($RLX +0.04%) recently surged to new recovery highs.


Industry Index Symbol Close Change % Change YTD % Change
Oil Services $OSX  275.37 -2.31 -0.83% +12.34%
Healthcare $HMO  1,973.76 -10.51 -0.53% +16.65%
Integrated Oil $XOI  1,313.75 -8.64 -0.65% +8.29%
Semiconductor $SOX  461.38 -5.02 -1.08% +12.03%
Networking $NWX  326.13 -4.18 -1.26% +16.24%
Internet $IIX  330.15 -0.91 -0.27% +7.29%
Broker/Dealer $XBD  128.87 -0.09 -0.07% +6.05%
Retail $RLX  523.43 +0.23 +0.04% +2.96%
Gold & Silver $XAU  209.79 +1.67 +0.80% -7.41%
Bank $BKX  55.45 -0.18 -0.32% +6.21%
Biotech $BTK  1,294.49 -4.84 -0.37% -0.24%


Strong Earnings Underpin Bullish Performance

Opentable Inc. (OPEN -$1.03 or -1.10% to $92.55) is quietly consolidating after a streak of volume-driven gains for new all-time highs. It is extended from a sound base pattern, meanwhile prior highs define support above its 50-day moving average (DMA) line. Since its last appearance in this FSU section with detailed analysis and an annotated graph on 1/05/11 under the headline "Solid Gain Today Approaches 52-Week High" it reported earnings +114% on +61% sales revenues for the quarter ended December 31, 2010 versus the year-ago period.  The C criteria is solidly satisfied as earnings and sales revenues increases have been strong in the 5 latest quarterly comparisons versus the year ago period. Its current Up/Down Volume Ratio of 2.2 provides an unbiased indication of institutional accumulation, aside from its favorable A rating for Accumulation/Distribution.

The company's management still owns a 32% stake in its shares, keeping them motivated to look after and build shareholder value. Of course, they also may be inclined to employ the help of an underwriter to complete a Secondary Offering at some future point, although no such news has been announced. Meanwhile, the number of top-rated funds owning shares rose from 167 in Dec '09 to 305 in Dec '10, a very reassuring sign concerning the I criteria. It could go on to produce more climactic gains, but disciplined investors know not to chase extended stocks. Patience may allow for secondary buy points to develop.


Color Codes Explained :
Y - Better candidates highlighted by our staff of experts.
G - Previously featured in past reports as yellow but may no longer be buyable under the guidelines.

***Last / Change / Volume data in this table is the closing quote data***
Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group
PRICE CHANGE
(%Change)
Day High Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol)
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi
Featured
Date
Price
Featured
Pivot Featured
Max Buy
BIDU - NASDAQ
Baidu Inc Ads
INTERNET - Internet Information Providers  
$128.04 -0.77
-0.60%

$129.28

4,701,759
60.97% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 7,711,500
$131.63
-2.73%
2/1/2011 $117.74 PP = $112.08
MB = $117.68
Most Recent Note - 2/11/2011 5:36:29 PM
G - Hit another new all-time high with today's 5th consecutive gain on average volume. Prior highs in the $112-115 area define initial chart support to watch now.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 2/2/2011. Click here.

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CMG - NYSE
Chipotle Mexican Grill
LEISURE - Restaurants  
$265.58 -7.37
-2.70%

$273.27

1,228,383
113.18% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,085,300
$275.00
-3.43%
2/11/2011 $271.15 PP = $262.87
MB = $276.01
Most Recent Note - 2/15/2011 3:52:33 PM
Y - Down on near average volume today after a recent spurt of gains with above average volume. Reported strong earnings and technically rallied "straight up from the bottom" from an 11-week cup shaped base without a handle.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 2/11/2011. Click here.

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CRUS - NASDAQ
Cirrus Logic Inc
ELECTRONICS - Semiconductor - Specialized  
$24.59 -0.36
-1.44%

$25.48

3,249,022
97.39% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 3,336,000
$25.15
-2.23%
1/28/2011 $20.69 PP = $19.17
MB = $20.13
Most Recent Note - 2/14/2011 2:42:21 PM
G - Perched near its 52-week high, holding its ground stubbornly after volume-driven gains. Extended from its latest sound base pattern, meanwhile patience may allow for secondary buy points to develop. Prior highs define chart support levels to watch on pullbacks.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 1/28/2011. Click here.

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CTSH - NASDAQ
Cognizant Tech Sol Cl A
COMPUTER SOFTWARE and SERVICES - Business Software and Services  
$76.50 +0.12
0.16%

$76.88

2,011,970
90.63% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 2,220,000
$77.08
-0.75%
2/7/2011 $75.09 PP = $76.46
MB = $80.28
Most Recent Note - 2/11/2011 5:03:44 PM
Y - Consolidating above its 50 DMA line, it faces no resistance due to overhead supply after closing today's session -2% off its 52-week high. See the latest FSU analysis for details and a new annotated graph.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 2/8/2011. Click here.

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DECK - NASDAQ
Deckers Outdoor Corp
CONSUMER NON-DURABLES - Textile - Apparel Footwear  
$84.54 -1.93
-2.23%

$86.74

896,069
53.13% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,686,700
$87.88
-3.80%
2/3/2011 $79.61 PP = $82.67
MB = $86.80
Most Recent Note - 2/15/2011 3:59:06 PM
Y - Today quiet loss ends a streak of 10 consecutive gains with below average volume. No gains above the new pivot point came with at least +50% above average volume necessary to technically trigger a proper new (or add-on) buy signal.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 1/26/2011. Click here.

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Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group
PRICE CHANGE
(%Change)
Day High Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol)
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi
Featured
Date
Price
Featured
Pivot Featured
Max Buy
EZCH - NASDAQ
Ezchip Semiconductor Ltd
ELECTRONICS - Semiconductor - Specialized  
$30.12 -0.49
-1.60%

$30.40

379,114
98.80% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 383,700
$33.48
-10.04%
12/2/2010 $27.53 PP = $26.00
MB = $27.30
Most Recent Note - 2/14/2011 3:21:00 PM
G - Today's gain with above average volume is indicative of support near its 50 DMA line. On 2/10/11 it reported earnings +41% on +33% sales revenues for the quarter ended December 31, 2010, and gapped down undercutting its 50 DMA line and prior chart highs in the $29 area then rebounded to close well above both. As previously noted - "Volume and volatility often increase near corporate earnings news."
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 1/21/2011. Click here.

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EZPW - NASDAQ
Ezcorp Inc Cl A
SPECIALTY RETAIL - Specialty Retail, Other  
$27.46 -0.67
-2.38%

$28.00

339,290
85.08% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 398,800
$29.94
-8.28%
11/5/2010 $24.02 PP = $23.85
MB = $25.04
Most Recent Note - 2/15/2011 4:03:03 PM
G - Small gap down today on below average (but higher) volume led to a close back under its 50 DMA line again. Showing resilience in recent Weeks while volume totals have been cooling, but it has not built a sound new base. Recent low ($25.56 on 1/25/11) defines an important support level now.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 2/3/2011. Click here.

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FOSL - NASDAQ
Fossil Inc
CONSUMER DURABLES - Recreational Goods, Other  
$78.77 -4.74
-5.68%

$80.98

4,328,527
637.30% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 679,200
$83.68
-5.87%
2/1/2011 $73.30 PP = $74.44
MB = $78.16
Most Recent Note - 2/15/2011 3:48:55 PM
G - Gapped down today following 8 consecutive gains into new high territory after reporting earnings +42% on +33% sales revenues. Prior resistance in the $74 area defines initial chart support above its 50 DMA line.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 1/12/2011. Click here.

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HMSY - NASDAQ
H M S Holdings Corp
COMPUTER SOFTWARE and SERVICES - Healthcare Information Service  
$70.06 +0.06
0.09%

$71.13

229,990
163.23% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 140,900
$70.45
-0.55%
11/19/2010 $61.89 PP = $63.01
MB = $66.16
Most Recent Note - 2/14/2011 5:35:38 PM
G - Hit yet another new 52-week high with today's 10th consecutive gain with light volume since it found support at its 50 DMA line. It quietly rose from an orderly base-on-base type pattern. Waning Relative Strength rank (now 72) has been noted as a concern.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 1/3/2011. Click here.

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JOBS - NASDAQ
Fifty One Job Inc Ads
DIVERSIFIED SERVICES - Staffing and; Outsourcing Service  
$59.65 -0.09
-0.15%

$60.59

46,408
34.17% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 135,800
$61.28
-2.66%
2/7/2011 $59.23 PP = $61.38
MB = $64.45
Most Recent Note - 2/14/2011 3:15:58 PM

Y - Gapped up today, challenging its 52-week high. Its 50 DMA line and recent low ($52.58 on 1/28/11) define important support where violations would raise concerns and trigger technical sell signals. After a long ascending base pattern, subsequent volume-driven gains above its pivot point may trigger a new (or add-on) technical buy signal.


>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 2/7/2011. Click here.

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Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group
PRICE CHANGE
(%Change)
Day High Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol)
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi
Featured
Date
Price
Featured
Pivot Featured
Max Buy
LULU - NASDAQ
Lululemon Athletica
MANUFACTURING - Textile Manufacturing  
$81.53 -2.17
-2.59%

$83.31

1,560,291
66.75% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 2,337,600
$85.28
-4.40%
1/26/2011 $68.11 PP = $74.70
MB = $78.44
Most Recent Note - 2/15/2011 3:56:10 PM
G - Quietly pulling back from its 52-week high after a streak of 7 consecutive gains with higher volume. Extended from its latest sound base, its prior highs near $74 define chart support to watch now.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 1/14/2011. Click here.

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MWIV - NASDAQ
M W I Veterinary Supply
HEALTH SERVICES - Medical Instruments and; Supplies  
$70.46 -0.15
-0.21%

$70.99

96,791
156.62% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 61,800
$70.94
-0.68%
11/4/2010 $61.79 PP = $59.60
MB = $62.58
Most Recent Note - 2/11/2011 10:12:56 AM
G - Quietly perched at its all-time high, however it has not built a sound new base pattern. It found support near its 50 DMA line recently. Sales revenues acceleration (bigger percentage increases sequentially) is a very reassuring sign.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 2/2/2011. Click here.

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NFLX - NASDAQ
Netflix Inc
SPECIALTY RETAIL - Music and Video Stores  
$240.79 -6.76
-2.73%

$244.65

6,848,186
121.99% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 5,613,900
$247.55
-2.73%
1/10/2011 $187.88 PP = $209.34
MB = $219.81
Most Recent Note - 2/15/2011 12:32:20 PM
G - Small gap down today followed a considerable gain with above average volume for yet another new all-time high. It has been noted as extended from a sound base, and prior high ($209) defines support to watch above its 50 DMA line.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 1/10/2011. Click here.

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NTAP - NASDAQ
Netapp Inc
COMPUTER HARDWARE - Data Storage Devices  
$58.44 -1.18
-1.98%

$59.51

4,724,601
109.26% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 4,324,000
$61.02
-4.23%
1/6/2011 $57.49 PP = $58.06
MB = $60.96
Most Recent Note - 2/14/2011 2:54:51 PM
G - Perched at its 52-week high today after 6 consecutive gains with volume light or near average while rising from support near its 50 DMA line. It has not formed any recent sound base pattern.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 2/4/2011. Click here.

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OPEN - NASDAQ
Opentable Inc
INTERNET - Internet Software and Services  
$92.55 -1.03
-1.10%

$94.30

854,600
93.90% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 910,100
$95.97
-3.56%
1/5/2011 $74.05 PP = $76.79
MB = $80.63
Most Recent Note - 2/15/2011 6:27:33 PM
G - Quietly consolidating after a streak of volume-driven gains for new all-time highs. Extended from a sound base pattern, meanwhile prior highs define support above its 50 DMA line. See the latest FSU summary for more details and an annotated graph.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 2/15/2011. Click here.

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Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group
PRICE CHANGE
(%Change)
Day High Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol)
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi
Featured
Date
Price
Featured
Pivot Featured
Max Buy
ORCL - NASDAQ
Oracle Corp
COMPUTER SOFTWARE and SERVICES - Application Software  
$32.76 -0.53
-1.59%

$33.15

19,330,453
72.87% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 26,526,900
$33.59
-2.47%
1/20/2011 $32.31 PP = $32.37
MB = $33.99
Most Recent Note - 2/14/2011 2:49:04 PM
Y - Volume totals have been cooling while hovering near its 52-week high, below its "max buy" level. Near-term support to watch is its 50 DMA line.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 1/7/2011. Click here.

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PAY - NYSE
Verifone Systems Inc
COMPUTER HARDWARE - Transaction Automation Systems  
$47.95 -0.23
-0.48%

$48.48

2,010,096
131.97% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,523,100
$49.07
-2.28%
1/27/2011 $41.77 PP = $44.97
MB = $47.22
Most Recent Note - 2/14/2011 1:15:46 PM
G - Considerable gain today with above average volume for a new 52-week high, technically triggering a new (or add-on) technical buy signal, yet quickly getting extended beyond its "max buy" level. Color code is changed to green.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 1/27/2011. Click here.

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PCLN - NASDAQ
Priceline.Com Inc
INTERNET - Internet Software and Services  
$457.20 +0.19
0.04%

$464.47

888,106
94.84% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 936,400
$459.57
-0.52%
1/3/2011 $399.55 PP = $428.20
MB = $449.61
Most Recent Note - 2/11/2011 5:34:18 PM
G - Color code was changed to green after rising above its "max buy" level this week. Prior highs and its 50 DMA line define support to watch.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 2/14/2011. Click here.

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RAX - NYSE
Rackspace Hosting Inc
INTERNET - Internet Software and; Services  
$38.62 -0.68
-1.73%

$39.50

1,772,448
95.31% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,859,700
$40.62
-4.92%
1/10/2011 $22.84 PP = $32.76
MB = $34.40
Most Recent Note - 2/14/2011 3:18:02 PM
G - Pulling back today after a considerable gap up on 2/11/11 for a considerable gain on heavy volume after reporting earnings +29% on +27% sales revenues for the quarter ended December 31, 2010 versus the year ago period. It is extended from any sound base. Recent highs near $35 define support to watch above its 50 DMA line.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 2/9/2011. Click here.

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ROVI - NASDAQ
Rovi Corp
COMPUTER SOFTWARE andamp; SERVICES - Security Software andamp; Services  
$64.45 -1.07
-1.63%

$66.00

2,311,134
134.75% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,715,100
$69.50
-7.27%
10/29/2010 $49.99 PP = $53.10
MB = $55.76
Most Recent Note - 2/14/2011 2:45:07 PM
G - Small gap up gain backed by higher volume today. Its 50 DMA line and the 1/31/11 low ($60.15) define near-term chart support levels to watch.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 1/25/2011. Click here.

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Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group
PRICE CHANGE
(%Change)
Day High Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol)
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi
Featured
Date
Price
Featured
Pivot Featured
Max Buy
TIBX - NASDAQ
Tibco Software Inc
COMPUTER SOFTWARE and SERVICES - Business Software and Services  
$25.33 -0.24
-0.94%

$25.61

1,069,231
38.66% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 2,765,900
$25.70
-1.44%
2/1/2011 $24.35 PP = $22.18
MB = $23.29
Most Recent Note - 2/14/2011 2:46:09 PM
G - Inched to another new 52-week high today with a gain on lighter volume. Extended from its latest sound base, its prior highs in the $22 area define support. See the latest FSU analysis for details and a new annotated graph.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 2/10/2011. Click here.

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UA - NYSE
Under Armour Inc Cl A
CONSUMER NON-DURABLES - Textile - Apparel Clothing  
$67.34 -1.62
-2.35%

$68.72

751,634
95.82% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 784,400
$70.43
-4.39%
1/27/2011 $58.31 PP = $56.99
MB = $59.84
Most Recent Note - 2/15/2011 3:53:53 PM
G - Quietly pulling back from its 52-week high following a recent spurt of gains with above average volume. Prior resistance in the $60 area defines initial support to watch above its 50 DMA line.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 2/1/2011. Click here.

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ULTA - NASDAQ
Ulta Salon Cosm & Frag
SPECIALTY RETAIL - Specialty Retail, Other  
$42.32 -0.67
-1.56%

$42.76

394,880
67.71% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 583,200
$43.83
-3.45%
1/6/2011 $36.12 PP = $37.34
MB = $39.21
Most Recent Note - 2/11/2011 10:19:27 AM
G - Near its 52-week high today, posting its 7th consecutive small gain. It is extended from a sound base pattern, and prior highs in the $37-38 area define chart support to watch above its 50 DMA line.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 1/6/2011. Click here.

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