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AFTER MARKET UPDATE - MONDAY, JANUARY 24TH, 2011
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Indices NYSE Nasdaq
DOW  +108.68 11,980.52 +0.92% Volume 961,877,250 -24% Volume 1,843,670,890 -4%
NASDAQ +28.01 2,717.55 +1.04% Advancers 2,116 68% Advancers 1,731 62%
S&P 500 +7.49 1,290.84 +0.58% Decliners 902 29% Decliners 945 34%
Russell 2000 +6.10 779.28 +0.79% 52 Wk Highs 130   52 Wk Highs 81  
S&P 600 +3.10 413.53 +0.76% 52 Wk Lows 17   52 Wk Lows 19  

Major Averages Rise With Less Volume Conviction

The Dow and Nasdaq opened higher as earnings reports and acquisitions suggested the U.S. economic recovery is gaining pace. Volume totals were lighter on the NYSE and on the Nasdaq exchange versus the prior session while advancing issues beat decliners by 5-2 on the NYSE and by 9-5 on the Nasdaq. The total number of 52-week highs still outnumbered new 52-week lows on the NYSE and on the Nasdaq exchange. There was a total of 24 high-ranked companies from the CANSLIM.net Leaders List that made new 52-week highs and appeared on the CANSLIM.net BreakOuts Page, up from 8 on Friday, but still down considerably from 113 on last Tuesday. On the Featured Stocks Page, 12 out of the 20 high-ranked leaders now listed posted gains.

  

Corporate deal-making and a share buyback plan heightened investor confidence. Technology shares got a boost as Intel Corp (INTC +2%) added $10 billion to its stock-repurchase plan. International Business Machines (IBM +2.7%) added over 30 points to the Dow as its shares hit a fresh all-time high. Paper and packaging stocks rose after Smurfit-Stone Container Corp (SSCC +27%) agreed to be bought by Rock-Tenn Co (RKT +3.7%) for $35 a share. JC Penney Company Inc (JCP +7.2%) rallied after it announced restructuring measures including the closure of several stores. RadioShack Corp (RSH -11.3%) declined after forecasting disappointing earnings and announcing the retirement of its chief executive.

Oil closed below $88 per barrel on signs Saudi Arabia will increase production.  Russia's benchmark stock index fell the most in six months after a terrorist bombing at a Moscow airport killed at least 35 people.

The Federal Reserve begins a two-day meeting on Tuesday, with the Fed expected to review its plan to purchase an extra $600 billion in Treasury securities by the end of the second quarter.

The current rally is under pressure. Leadership recently waned as daily new 52-week highs totals on both exchanges shriveled up from having been in the 200-300 range last Tuesday. Investors should be watchful in the coming days as earnings news is likely to be a catalyst for additional market volatility.

PICTURED: The Dow has 12,000 in sight and is extending its gains to a ninth week. It reached its highest intra-day level since June, 2008.


Kenneth J. Gruneisen started out as a licensed stockbroker in August 1987, a couple of months prior to the historic stock market crash that took the Dow Jones Industrial Average down -22.6% in a single day. He has published daily fact-based fundamental and technical analysis on high-ranked stocks online for two decades. Through FACTBASEDINVESTING.COM, Kenneth provides educational articles, news, market commentary, and other information regarding proven investment systems that work in good times and bad.

Comments contained in the body of this report are technical opinions only and are not necessarily those of Gruneisen Growth Corp. The material herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable and accurate, however, its accuracy and completeness cannot be guaranteed. Our firm, employees, and customers may effect transactions, including transactions contrary to any recommendation herein, or have positions in the securities mentioned herein or options with respect thereto. Any recommendation contained in this report may not be suitable for all investors and it is not to be deemed an offer or solicitation on our part with respect to the purchase or sale of any securities.


Tech Sector Underpins Major Averages' Gains

Defensive groups including the Gold & Silver Index ($XAU -0.79%) and Healthcare Index ($HMO -0.58%) were among Monday's laggard groups. Meanwhile, the Retail Index ($RLX +0.33%) posted a modest gain, and tech shares had a positive bias as the Internet Index ($IIX +0.60%), Networking Index ($NWX +0.67%), and Biotechnology Index ($BTK +0.98%) ended unanimously higher. The Oil Services Index ($OSX +0.04%) and Integrated Oil Index ($XOI +0.31%) inched higher even while crude oil prices fell. The Broker/Dealer Index ($XBD +0.06%) held its ground but the Bank Index ($BKX -0.97%) slumped. 

Charts courtesy www.stockcharts.com

PICTURED: The Semiconductor Index ($SOX +2.50%) has recently been consolidating above an upward trendline connecting its August - January lows.


Industry Index Symbol Close Change % Change YTD % Change
Oil Services $OSX  249.31 +0.10 +0.04% +1.71%
Healthcare $HMO  1,794.28 -10.43 -0.58% +6.05%
Integrated Oil $XOI  1,264.86 +3.86 +0.31% +4.26%
Semiconductor $SOX  442.42 +10.77 +2.50% +7.43%
Networking $NWX  295.75 +1.98 +0.67% +5.42%
Internet $IIX  312.18 +1.85 +0.60% +1.45%
Broker/Dealer $XBD  124.41 +0.07 +0.06% +2.39%
Retail $RLX  503.85 +1.67 +0.33% -0.89%
Gold & Silver $XAU  198.53 -1.59 -0.79% -12.38%
Bank $BKX  53.06 -0.52 -0.97% +1.63%
Biotech $BTK  1,295.88 +12.53 +0.98% -0.13%


Prior Chart Lows Tested After Violating 50-Day Average

Aruba Networks Inc. (ARUN -$0.56 or -2.56% to $21.28) finished in the upper third of its intra-day range today after trading near previously noted lows defining chart support. After negating its latest breakout, and violating its 50-day moving average (DMA) line last week triggering a technical sell signal, subsequent damaging losses may raise more serious concerns. Its Accumulation/Distribution Rating has slumped to a D+.  A rebound above its short-term average is needed for its outlook to improve. If any new (or add-on) buying was done after its recent breakout, disciplined investors may have already been prompted to sell based upon the investment system's rule of limiting losses whenever any stock falls more than -7% from the purchase price.

ARUN has slumped -18.2% off its 52-week high near recent chart lows in the $20 area, where further deterioration would raise greater concerns. Its 200 DMA line is the next chart important support level to watch. Since first featured at $12.71 in the February 22, 2010 mid-day report it has traded up as much as +104.5%. The number of top-rated funds owning an interest in its shares rose from 262 in Dec '09 to 403 in Dec '10, providing a nice reassurance with respect to the investment system's I criteria.  Return On Equity reported at 21% is above the 17% guideline, an encouraging sign. Management's 24% ownership interest keeps the directors' focus on maintaining and growing shareholder value.


Color Codes Explained :
Y - Better candidates highlighted by our staff of experts.
G - Previously featured in past reports as yellow but may no longer be buyable under the guidelines.

***Last / Change / Volume data in this table is the closing quote data***
Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group
PRICE CHANGE
(%Change)
Day High Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol)
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi
Featured
Date
Price
Featured
Pivot Featured
Max Buy
ARUN - NASDAQ
Aruba Networks Inc
COMPUTER HARDWARE - Networking andamp; Communication Dev  
$21.28 -0.56
-2.56%

$21.81

5,149,907
193.23% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 2,665,200
$26.00
-18.15%
1/3/2011 $22.55 PP = $24.38
MB = $25.60
Most Recent Note - 1/24/2011
G - Finished in the upper third of its intra-day range today after trading near previously noted lows defining chart support. After negating its latest breakout, and violating its 50-day moving average (DMA) line last week triggering a technical sell signal, more damaging losses may raise serious concerns. See the latest FSU analysis for more details and an annotated graph.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 1/24/2011. Click here.

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CIS - NYSE
Camelot Info Systems Ads
COMPUTER SOFTWARE andamp; SERVICES - Information Technology Service  
$25.80 +0.79
3.16%

$26.79

313,555
66.05% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 474,700
$28.18
-8.45%
11/26/2010 $18.93 PP = $19.72
MB = $20.71
Most Recent Note - 1/24/2011 5:46:55 PM
G - Posted another gain, showing some resilience near prior highs in the $25 area.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 1/11/2011. Click here.

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DECK - NASDAQ
Deckers Outdoor Corp
CONSUMER NON-DURABLES - Textile - Apparel Footwear  
$72.38 -0.52
-0.71%

$73.17

1,448,459
72.21% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 2,005,800
$87.88
-17.64%
10/27/2010 $54.16 PP = $54.86
MB = $57.60
Most Recent Note - 1/24/2011 5:47:34 PM
G - Down for 5 consecutive losses with near average or lighter volume. It violated its 50 DMA line last week amid broad-based weakness in the market (M criteria), raising concerns and triggering a technical sell signal.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 12/16/2010. Click here.

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EZCH - NASDAQ
Ezchip Semiconductor Ltd
ELECTRONICS - Semiconductor - Specialized  
$31.74 +0.73
2.35%

$31.86

373,522
127.87% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 292,100
$33.20
-4.40%
12/2/2010 $27.53 PP = $26.00
MB = $27.30
Most Recent Note - 1/24/2011 5:48:08 PM
G - Posted a gain today while consolidating above prior chart highs in the $29 area which define initial support to watch well above its 50 DMA line. It is not near a sound base.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 1/21/2011. Click here.

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EZPW - NASDAQ
Ezcorp Inc Cl A
SPECIALTY RETAIL - Specialty Retail, Other  
$26.84 -1.17
-4.18%

$28.28

916,063
241.71% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 379,000
$29.94
-10.35%
11/5/2010 $24.02 PP = $23.85
MB = $25.04
Most Recent Note - 1/24/2011 5:43:59 PM
G - Closed near the session low today and violated its 50 DMA line and prior lows, triggering a technical sell signal with a 4th damaging loss on heavy volume in the span of 5 trading sessions. Last week a negative reversal and wider than normal intra-day price swings were noted as signs of uncertainty and cause for concern. Only a prompt rebound above its 50 DMA line would help its outlook.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 12/29/2010. Click here.

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Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group
PRICE CHANGE
(%Change)
Day High Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol)
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi
Featured
Date
Price
Featured
Pivot Featured
Max Buy
FOSL - NASDAQ
Fossil Inc
CONSUMER DURABLES - Recreational Goods, Other  
$69.66 +0.42
0.61%

$69.85

521,205
69.05% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 754,800
$74.34
-6.30%
11/26/2010 $69.10 PP = $70.17
MB = $73.68
Most Recent Note - 1/21/2011 4:42:16 PM
G - Consolidating just under its 50 DMA line just -6.9% off its 52-week high. Color code was changed to green due to its recent deterioration and general lack of progress since its 12/02/10 breakout from a "3-weeks tight" pattern. Now perched near an upward trendline connecting its July - October lows, and any further deterioration may trigger a more worrisome technical sell signal.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 1/12/2011. Click here.

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HMSY - NASDAQ
H M S Holdings Corp
COMPUTER SOFTWARE and SERVICES - Healthcare Information Service  
$66.86 +0.46
0.69%

$66.96

135,183
88.41% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 152,900
$67.10
-0.36%
11/19/2010 $61.89 PP = $63.01
MB = $66.16
Most Recent Note - 1/21/2011 4:44:26 PM
G - Stubbornly holding its ground after a base-on-base type pattern. It found support at its 50 DMA line, while its waning Relative Strength rank (now 75) has been noted as a concern.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 1/3/2011. Click here.

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JOBS - NASDAQ
Fifty One Job Inc Ads
DIVERSIFIED SERVICES - Staffing and; Outsourcing Service  
$56.41 +1.13
2.04%

$57.15

162,053
95.72% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 169,300
$61.28
-7.95%
10/13/2010 $42.07 PP = $40.60
MB = $42.63
Most Recent Note - 1/24/2011 5:50:13 PM
G - Positive reversal today was somewhat encouraging while consolidating above prior chart highs and its 50 DMA line defining support.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 12/30/2010. Click here.

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LULU - NASDAQ
Lululemon Athletica
MANUFACTURING - Textile Manufacturing  
$67.97 +1.02
1.52%

$68.65

1,336,136
66.84% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,999,000
$74.60
-8.89%
10/8/2010 $47.66 PP = $46.67
MB = $49.00
Most Recent Note - 1/21/2011 4:47:58 PM
G - Down today on below average volume for a 4th consecutive loss. It did not form a sound new base, and it is extended from its 50 DMA line.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 1/14/2011. Click here.

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MWIV - NASDAQ
M W I Veterinary Supply
HEALTH SERVICES - Medical Instruments and; Supplies  
$61.43 -1.34
-2.13%

$62.92

81,614
160.66% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 50,800
$67.13
-8.49%
11/4/2010 $61.79 PP = $59.60
MB = $62.58
Most Recent Note - 1/24/2011 5:46:05 PM
G - Enduring more distributional pressure, today's 4th consecutive loss with above average volume led to violation of its 50 DMA line, raising concerns. That short-term average repeatedly has defined support to watch.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 12/21/2010. Click here.

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Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group
PRICE CHANGE
(%Change)
Day High Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol)
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi
Featured
Date
Price
Featured
Pivot Featured
Max Buy
NFLX - NASDAQ
Netflix Inc
SPECIALTY RETAIL - Music and Video Stores  
$183.96 +1.87
1.03%

$184.42

3,853,188
69.88% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 5,513,800
$206.80
-11.04%
1/10/2011 $187.88 PP = $209.34
MB = $219.81
Most Recent Note - 1/21/2011 5:08:19 PM
G - Quietly slumped to a close just below its 50 DMA line, now -13% off its 52-week high. Color code was changed to green based on its technical weakness shortly after a new pivot point was cited. Gains above its recent high ($194.84) are needed for its outlook to improve.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 1/10/2011. Click here.

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NTAP - NASDAQ
Netapp Inc
COMPUTER HARDWARE - Data Storage Devices  
$55.55 -0.22
-0.39%

$56.05

4,287,719
75.71% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 5,663,600
$59.79
-7.09%
1/6/2011 $57.49 PP = $58.06
MB = $60.96
Most Recent Note - 1/21/2011 5:20:25 PM
G - Down today for a 4th consecutive decline without great volume conviction, finishing -6.7% off its 52-week high. Color code was changed to green while technical deterioration has followed since a new pivot point was cited.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 12/27/2010. Click here.

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OPEN - NASDAQ
Opentable Inc
INTERNET - Internet Software and Services  
$74.65 -0.22
-0.29%

$74.98

851,591
107.46% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 792,500
$82.70
-9.73%
1/5/2011 $74.05 PP = $76.79
MB = $80.63
Most Recent Note - 1/21/2011 5:22:51 PM
Y - Down today for a 4th consecutive loss with slightly above average volume, slumping further below its pivot point, raising concerns. Waning leadership (fewer new highs) and distributional pressure has weighed on the broader market (M criteria). Disciplined investors limit losses by always selling any stock that falls -7% from their purchase price. Prior highs in the $76 area define initial support to watch above its 50 DMA line.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 1/5/2011. Click here.

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ORCL - NASDAQ
Oracle Corp
COMPUTER SOFTWARE and SERVICES - Application Software  
$32.40 -0.11
-0.34%

$32.65

20,169,833
70.08% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 28,780,000
$32.68
-0.84%
1/20/2011 $32.31 PP = $32.37
MB = $33.99
Most Recent Note - 1/21/2011 5:26:21 PM
Y - Posted a 6th consecutive gain today and closed above its pivot point, but volume was +21% above average, below the minimum guideline for a proper technical buy signal. Rallied against a negative market backdrop for a new 52-week high on the prior session with +68% above average volume, rising from an orderly flat base. Color code was changed to yellow with new pivot point cited base on its 12/17/11 high plus ten cents.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 1/7/2011. Click here.

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PAY - NYSE
Verifone Systems Inc
COMPUTER HARDWARE - Transaction Automation Systems  
$41.74 +0.57
1.38%

$41.87

1,227,708
76.03% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,614,700
$44.87
-6.98%
11/29/2010 $33.96 PP = $36.04
MB = $37.84
Most Recent Note - 1/21/2011 5:27:39 PM
G - Today marked a 4th consecutive loss with near average volume. Now -8.2% off its 52-week high, it is extended from any sound base. Recent lows in the $38 area along with its 50 DMA line define important near-term chart support to watch.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 12/15/2010. Click here.

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Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group
PRICE CHANGE
(%Change)
Day High Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol)
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi
Featured
Date
Price
Featured
Pivot Featured
Max Buy
PCLN - NASDAQ
Priceline.Com Inc
INTERNET - Internet Software and Services  
$423.80 -1.80
-0.42%

$426.86

707,315
74.16% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 953,800
$443.19
-4.38%
11/1/2002 $399.55 PP = $428.20
MB = $449.61
Most Recent Note - 1/21/2011 5:30:41 PM
Y - Small gain today after enduring mild distributional pressure this week. Testing prior highs in the $426 area previously cited as initial support to watch. Its 50 DMA line ($415.10 now) defines a very important support level to watch.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 1/2/2011. Click here.

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RAX - NYSE
Rackspace Hosting Inc
INTERNET - Internet Software and; Services  
$31.32 +0.11
0.35%

$31.74

1,446,790
84.36% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,715,000
$35.00
-10.51%
1/10/2011 $22.84 PP = $32.76
MB = $34.40
Most Recent Note - 1/21/2011 5:32:00 PM
G - Gain today was a sign of prompt support near its 50 DMA line after negating its recent breakout. Its prior session low ($29.52) defines support to watch where subsequent violations would raise more serious concerns.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 12/31/2010. Click here.

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ROVI - NASDAQ
Rovi Corp
COMPUTER SOFTWARE andamp; SERVICES - Security Software andamp; Services  
$63.78 +0.25
0.39%

$64.36

941,973
61.02% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,543,800
$69.50
-8.23%
10/29/2010 $49.99 PP = $53.10
MB = $55.76
Most Recent Note - 1/21/2011 5:33:33 PM
G - Small loss on light volume today after a damaging distributional session with above average volume. The recent low near $58.50 and its 50 DMA line define chart support levels to watch.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 12/13/2010. Click here.

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UA - NYSE
Under Armour Inc Cl A
CONSUMER NON-DURABLES - Textile - Apparel Clothing  
$53.52 +0.27
0.51%

$55.35

1,302,826
205.59% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 633,700
$60.14
-11.01%
9/9/2010 $39.99 PP = $40.10
MB = $42.11
Most Recent Note - 1/24/2011 5:52:17 PM
G - Traded up near its 50 DMA line today but encountered resistance and closed near the session low. It violated its 50 DMA line last week, raising concerns. The previously noted recent low ($52.66 on 1 10/11) defines an important chart support level to watch.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 12/23/2010. Click here.

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ULTA - NASDAQ
Ulta Salon Cosm & Frag
SPECIALTY RETAIL - Specialty Retail, Other  
$36.09 +0.22
0.61%

$36.24

260,687
44.59% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 584,600
$38.25
-5.65%
1/6/2011 $36.12 PP = $37.34
MB = $39.21
Most Recent Note - 1/21/2011 5:50:10 PM
Y - Losses with near average or light volume this week led to a close just pennies below its 12/01/10 high close, raising some concerns. Technically it negated its recent breakout gain with a close back in its prior base. Perched only -6.2% off its 52-week high, subsequent volume-driven gains above its pivot point would be a very reassuring sign.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 1/6/2011. Click here.

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Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group
PRICE CHANGE
(%Change)
Day High Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol)
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi
Featured
Date
Price
Featured
Pivot Featured
Max Buy

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