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AFTER MARKET UPDATE - WEDNESDAY, SEPTEMBER 19TH, 2012
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Indices NYSE Nasdaq
DOW  +13.32 13,577.96 +0.10% Volume 644,073,400 +2% Volume 1,779,471,800 +8%
NASDAQ +4.82 3,182.62 +0.15% Advancers 1,741 56% Advancers 1,167 45%
S&P 500 +1.73 1,461.05 +0.12% Decliners 1,259 40% Decliners 1,299 50%
Russell 2000 -0.85 856.08 -0.10% 52 Wk Highs 195   52 Wk Highs 125  
S&P 600 -2.45 479.05 -0.51% 52 Wk Lows 4   52 Wk Lows 26  

Major Averages Edge Higher With Increasing Leadership

The major averages held onto modest gains into the closing bell on Wednesday. The volume totals were reported slightly higher on the NYSE and on the Nasdaq exchange versus the prior session totals. Advancers led decliners by almost a 3-2 ratio on the NYSE, but decliners beat out advancers by a narrow margin on the Nasdaq exchange. The total number of new 52-week highs easily outnumbered new 52-week lows on the NYSE on the Nasdaq exchange. There were 64 high-ranked companies from the CANSLIM.net Leaders List that made new 52-week highs and appeared on the CANSLIM.net BreakOuts Page, up from the prior session total of 34 stocks. There were gains for 15 of the 22 high-ranked companies currently included on the Featured Stocks Page.

 

Investors responded to mixed housing reports. Early data showed August housing starts increased less than expected, while permits declined at the projected rate. On the upside, existing home sales rose +7.8% in August, their best level since May 2010.  Meanwhile, Japan's central bank expanded its bond-buying program.

Nine of the 10 sectors on the S&P closed higher, led by gains in consumer stocks. PulteGroup Inc (PHG +4.25%) and D.R. Horton (DHI +4.07%) and other homebuilders rallied following the positive housing data. Shares of Autozone Inc (AZO +3.35%) were up following a better-than-expected quarterly earnings report. Also among earnings, General Mills Inc (GIS +1.81%) rose after topping analysts' expectations in their quarterly report. Energy stocks were under pressure as crude oil slipped $3.59 to $91.70 per barrel.

Turning to fixed income, Treasuries were higher along the curve. The benchmark 10-year note was up 11/32 to yield 1.78% and the 30-year bond is adding 25/32 to yield 2.97%.

The M criteria is still favorable as the major indices have maintained their previously confirmed rally with a healthy level of leadership (stocks hitting new 52-week highs).

Watch for an announcement soon via email concerning new monthly webcasts and a new "Market's Leading Groups" archives tab soon to be added on the Premium Member Homepage. These changes are aimed at satisfying member requests and improving the service.  We are sorry for the delay while working out the final programming necessary and we appreciate you patience.  If you have questions, comments or suggestions please let us know via the inquiry form here.  The most recent WEBCAST (Q2 2012) is available "ON DEMAND" - CLICK HERE

PICTURED: The S&P 600 Small Cap Index is consolidating after rallying to new all-time highs last week. It finished Wednesday's session +15.4% year-to-date.


Kenneth J. Gruneisen started out as a licensed stockbroker in August 1987, a couple of months prior to the historic stock market crash that took the Dow Jones Industrial Average down -22.6% in a single day. He has published daily fact-based fundamental and technical analysis on high-ranked stocks online for two decades. Through FACTBASEDINVESTING.COM, Kenneth provides educational articles, news, market commentary, and other information regarding proven investment systems that work in good times and bad.

Comments contained in the body of this report are technical opinions only and are not necessarily those of Gruneisen Growth Corp. The material herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable and accurate, however, its accuracy and completeness cannot be guaranteed. Our firm, employees, and customers may effect transactions, including transactions contrary to any recommendation herein, or have positions in the securities mentioned herein or options with respect thereto. Any recommendation contained in this report may not be suitable for all investors and it is not to be deemed an offer or solicitation on our part with respect to the purchase or sale of any securities.


Strong Retail Index Posted a Standout Gain

Energy-related shares fell and the Oil Services Index ($OSX -1.07%) and the Integrated Oil Index ($XOI -0.73%) were the session's worst laggards, meanwhile the Gold & Silver Index ($XAU +0.88%) posted a gain. Finanical shares were mixed as the Broker/Dealer Index ($XBD -0.76%) fell while the Bank Index ($BKX +0.49%) tallied a modest gain. The Biotechnology Index ($BTK +0.70%) and the Internet Index ($IIX +0.39%) posted small gains while the Semiconductor Index ($SOX -0.56%) created a drag on the tech sector. The Networking Index ($NWX -0.09%) and Healthcare Index ($HMO +0.07%) hugged the flat line.

Charts courtesy www.stockcharts.com

PICTURED: The Retail Index ($RLX +0.92%) was a standout gainer. It is trading well above its 50-day and 200-day moving average (DMA) lines in very healthy shape, consolidating after recently rallying to new 2012 highs.


Industry Index Symbol Close Change % Change YTD % Change
Oil Services $OSX  232.67 -2.52 -1.07% +7.58%
Healthcare $HMO  2,402.10 +1.58 +0.07% +5.28%
Integrated Oil $XOI  1,279.30 -9.36 -0.73% +4.08%
Semiconductor $SOX  398.53 -2.25 -0.56% +9.35%
Networking $NWX  219.39 -0.19 -0.09% +1.97%
Internet $IIX  325.32 +1.27 +0.39% +15.47%
Broker/Dealer $XBD  86.78 -0.66 -0.76% +4.22%
Retail $RLX  667.09 +6.06 +0.92% +27.50%
Gold & Silver $XAU  194.87 +1.70 +0.88% +7.88%
Bank $BKX  50.79 +0.25 +0.49% +28.97%
Biotech $BTK  1,578.80 +10.95 +0.70% +44.65%


Online Travel Firm Resilient Despite Unfavorable Signs

Expedia Inc (EXPE +$1.33 or +2.43% to $56.14) posted a gain today with near average volume. It has been consolidating above prior highs and its 50-day moving average (DMA) line defining important near-term chart support in the $50 area. Its last appearance in this FSU section was on 8/14/12 with an annotated graph under the headline, "Weakening Group Raises Concerns After Prior Gains".  The Leisure - Travel Booking industry group has Group Relative Strength Rating slump to a E, down from A+ when it made its an earlier appearance in this FSU section on 7/10/12. The weakening of the group raises concerns because the L criteria calls for investors to focus new buying efforts only on high-ranked leaders in leading industry groups where the odds are most favorable.

It may find support near its prior highs in the $50 area which define support along with its 50 DMA line now, but further deterioration would raise greater concerns. A new pivot point is not being cited also due to fundamental concerns. EXPE recently reported earnings +24% on +14% sales revenues for the quarter ending June 30, 2012 versus the year ago period, just below the +25% minimum earnings guideline for buy candidates. Its annual earnings (A criteria) history has been good.  The number of top-rated funds owning its shares rose from 955 in Sep '11 to 1,053 in Jun '12, a reassuring sign concerning the I criteria.

EXPE traded up as much as +41.3% since it was highlighted in yellow in the 4/27/12 mid-day breakouts report (read here) after its considerable "breakaway gap" up above its 3/26/12 high.  It had reported earnings +63% on +12% sales revenues for the quarter ended March 31, 2012 versus the year ago period. However, quarterly earnings should be above the +25% minimum guideline in 3 of the past 4 comparisons.


Color Codes Explained :
Y - Better candidates highlighted by our staff of experts.
G - Previously featured in past reports as yellow but may no longer be buyable under the guidelines.

***Last / Change / Volume data in this table is the closing quote data***
Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group
PRICE CHANGE
(%Change)
Day High Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol)
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi
Featured
Date
Price
Featured
Pivot Featured
Max Buy
ALXN - NASDAQ
Alexion Pharmaceuticals
DRUGS - Drug Manufacturers - Other  
$113.97 +0.89
0.79%

$114.37

1,113,096
92.96% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,197,400
$113.09
0.78%
8/23/2012 $103.70 PP = $110.06
MB = $115.56
Most Recent Note - 9/18/2012 5:45:29 PM
Y - Volume totals have been below average for the past 4 sessions while wedging into new 52-week high territory. Gains above a stock's pivot point backed by a minimum of +40% above average volume are necessary to trigger a proper technical buy signal.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 8/23/2012. Click here.

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ASPS - NASDAQ
Altisource Ptf Sltns Sa
REAL ESTATE - Property Management/Developmen  
$89.46 +0.19
0.21%

$90.10

37,238
28.56% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 130,400
$92.29
-3.07%
6/5/2012 $60.01 PP = $63.00
MB = $66.15
Most Recent Note - 9/17/2012 3:58:14 PM
G - Quietly consolidating in a tight range perched -2.5% from its all-time high today. Recent lows define near-term support along with its 50 DMA line.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 9/11/2012. Click here.

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CFNL - NASDAQ
Cardinal Financial Corp
BANKING - Regional - Southeast Banks  
$14.42 +0.11
0.77%

$14.53

107,882
173.72% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 62,100
$14.51
-0.62%
8/17/2012 $12.84 PP = $13.31
MB = $13.98
Most Recent Note - 9/19/2012 12:32:21 PM
G - Today's 7th consecutive gain helped it touch another new 52-week high, getting more extended from its prior base. Prior highs and its 50 DMA line define support to watch on pullbacks.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 8/21/2012. Click here.

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CMCSA - NASDAQ
Comcast Corp Cl A
MEDIA - CATV Systems  
$35.38 +0.54
1.54%

$35.45

17,048,934
137.12% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 12,433,200
$35.45
-0.20%
6/11/2012 $29.94 PP = $30.98
MB = $32.53
Most Recent Note - 9/19/2012 6:20:18 PM
G - Gain today with +37% above average volume while matching its 52-week high and closing at its best finish of the year. Wedging out of an orderly flat base without especially great volume conviction. No new pivot point was being cited because fundamental concerns were raised by sub par sales and earnings growth in the Jun '12 quarter.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 8/15/2012. Click here.

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DVA - NYSE
Davita Inc
HEALTH SERVICES - Specialized Health Services  
$98.57 -0.94
-0.94%

$99.76

585,529
87.63% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 668,200
$103.97
-5.19%
9/5/2012 $102.92 PP = $100.62
MB = $105.65
Most Recent Note - 9/14/2012 4:38:26 PM
Y - Enduring mild distributional pressure while consolidating above its 50 DMA line. A subsequent gain for a new high close above its pivot point backed by +40% above average volume is the bare minimum volume needed to trigger a technical buy signal.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 9/5/2012. Click here.

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Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group
PRICE CHANGE
(%Change)
Day High Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol)
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi
Featured
Date
Price
Featured
Pivot Featured
Max Buy
ECPG - NASDAQ
Encore Capital Group Inc
FINANCIAL SERVICES - Credit Services  
$30.17 -0.37
-1.21%

$30.70

99,504
82.44% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 120,700
$30.91
-2.39%
8/3/2012 $29.91 PP = $30.45
MB = $31.97
Most Recent Note - 9/18/2012 5:41:25 PM
Y - Today's gain with +48% above average volume helped it inch above its pivot point for a best ever close, technically confirming a buy signal with its 5th consecutive small gain. Reassuring signs of accumulation have followed the Secondary Offering completed on 8/08/12.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 9/12/2012. Click here.

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EXPE - NASDAQ
Expedia Inc
INTERNET - Internet Information Providers  
$56.16 +1.35
2.46%

$56.37

2,779,780
83.01% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 3,348,700
$59.50
-5.61%
4/27/2012 $41.80 PP = $35.57
MB = $37.35
Most Recent Note - 9/19/2012 6:16:46 PM
G - Consolidating above its 50 DMA line defining important near-term chart support. See the latest FSU analysis for more details and a new annotated graph.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 9/19/2012. Click here.

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GPX - NYSE
G P Strategies Corp
DIVERSIFIED SERVICES - Education and Training Services  
$19.91 -0.06
-0.30%

$20.03

48,901
69.07% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 70,800
$20.67
-3.68%
6/29/2012 $18.01 PP = $18.15
MB = $19.06
Most Recent Note - 9/13/2012 7:07:01 PM
G - Consolidating in a tight trading range perched -4.2% off its 52-week high today, slightly extended from its prior base. Prior highs and its 50 DMA line define chart support in the $18 area. See latest FSU analysis for more details and a new annotated graph.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 9/13/2012. Click here.

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KH - NYSE
China Kanghui Hldgs Ads
HEALTH SERVICES - Medical Appliances and Equipment  
$25.08 -0.04
-0.16%

$25.43

17,131
59.07% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 29,000
$27.47
-8.70%
8/30/2012 $24.19 PP = $22.90
MB = $24.05
Most Recent Note - 9/17/2012 3:56:18 PM
G - Consolidating in a healthy fashion above prior highs defining chart support above its 50 DMA line. It is extended from its prior base.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 8/30/2012. Click here.

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LKQ - NASDAQ
L K Q Corp
WHOLESALE - Auto Parts  
$18.74 -0.08
-0.40%

$19.01

1,702,660
132.16% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,288,300
$20.02
-6.37%
8/9/2012 $37.93 PP = $37.44
MB = $39.31
Most Recent Note - 9/19/2012 8:59:35 AM
Y - Do not be confused by a 2:1 share split effective before the market open today (Featured Price, Pivot Point and Max Buy will be adjusted soon to account for the split). Loss on the prior session with more than twice average volume indicated distributional pressure as it sank near prior highs and its 50 DMA line previously noted as important chart support to watch on pullbacks.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 9/17/2012. Click here.

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Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group
PRICE CHANGE
(%Change)
Day High Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol)
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi
Featured
Date
Price
Featured
Pivot Featured
Max Buy
LNKD - NYSE
Linkedin Corp Class A
INTERNET - Internet Information Providers  
$122.51 +1.08
0.89%

$123.58

1,127,867
44.83% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 2,515,800
$125.50
-2.38%
9/5/2012 $113.25 PP = $113.10
MB = $118.76
Most Recent Note - 9/14/2012 4:08:27 PM
G - Hit new 52-week and all-time highs today with a gain backed by above average volume. Prior highs near $113 define initial support to watch on pullbacks.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 9/6/2012. Click here.

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MIDD - NASDAQ
Middleby Corp
MANUFACTURING - Diversified Machinery  
$117.01 -1.49
-1.26%

$119.19

42,782
40.82% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 104,800
$122.57
-4.54%
8/9/2012 $118.60 PP = $104.92
MB = $110.17
Most Recent Note - 9/18/2012 5:25:56 PM
G - Perched -3.3% off its 52-week high today. Extended from its prior base, and its 50 DMA line and recent lows define near-term chart support to watch. See the latest FSU analysis for more details and a new annotated graph.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 9/18/2012. Click here.

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N - NYSE
Netsuite Inc
DIVERSIFIED SERVICES - Business/Management Services  
$62.51 +0.61
0.99%

$63.25

403,854
62.40% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 647,200
$63.23
-1.14%
8/20/2012 $55.88 PP = $59.32
MB = $62.29
Most Recent Note - 9/18/2012 5:47:10 PM
Y - Holding its ground near its 52-week high today. Rally above its pivot point with +85% above average volume on 9/12/12 triggered a new (or add-on) technical buy signal. Its 50 DMA line defines important near-term support.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 8/20/2012. Click here.

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NSM - NYSE
Nationstar Mtg Hldgs Inc
FINANCIAL SERVICES - Credit Services  
$30.55 +1.55
5.34%

$31.32

3,409,354
424.47% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 803,200
$30.07
1.60%
8/29/2012 $27.96 PP = $28.85
MB = $30.29
Most Recent Note - 9/19/2012 12:39:27 PM
Y - Gapped up today and hit a new 52-week high with volume running at an heavy pace already more than 3 times its daily average volume. Disciplined investors avoid chasing stocks more than +5% above their pivot point.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 9/7/2012. Click here.

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OSIS - NASDAQ
O S I Systems Inc
ELECTRONICS - Semiconductor Equipment and Mate  
$76.43 +0.24
0.32%

$77.30

115,206
100.18% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 115,000
$76.29
0.18%
9/5/2012 $74.39 PP = $75.10
MB = $78.86
Most Recent Note - 9/18/2012 5:34:10 PM
Y - Today's gain with +55% above average volume and a strong close above its pivot point clinched a new (or add-on) technical buy signal. Near term support is at its 50 DMA line.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 9/14/2012. Click here.

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Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group
PRICE CHANGE
(%Change)
Day High Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol)
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi
Featured
Date
Price
Featured
Pivot Featured
Max Buy
RNF - NYSE
Rentech Nitrogen Ptnr Lp
CHEMICALS - Agricultural Chemicals  
$38.52 +1.89
5.16%

$38.61

501,560
117.76% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 425,900
$37.69
2.20%
7/27/2012 $29.58 PP = $30.60
MB = $32.13
Most Recent Note - 9/19/2012 6:14:44 PM
G - Hit another new 52-week high and finished near the session high today with above average volume behind its gain, getting more extended from its prior base. An upward trendline defines near-term chart support that comes into play above its 50 DMA line.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 8/31/2012. Click here.

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SWI - NYSE
Solarwinds Inc
COMPUTER SOFTWARE and SERVICES - Application Software  
$59.61 +0.18
0.30%

$59.98

663,648
60.77% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,092,100
$60.95
-2.20%
7/25/2012 $47.82 PP = $47.89
MB = $50.28
Most Recent Note - 9/19/2012 6:21:05 PM
G - Volume totals have been cooling while still holding its ground near its all-time high. Its 50 DMA line defines important chart support to watch on pullbacks.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 8/29/2012. Click here.

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TDG - NYSE
Transdigm Group Inc
AEROSPACE/DEFENSE - Aerospace/Defense Products and; Services  
$143.05 +0.38
0.27%

$143.66

424,035
117.20% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 361,800
$146.21
-2.16%
8/16/2012 $132.23 PP = $136.44
MB = $143.26
Most Recent Note - 9/19/2012 6:22:24 PM
G - Holding its ground near its all-time high. Prior highs along with its 50 DMA line define near-term chart support to watch on pullbacks.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 8/17/2012. Click here.

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ULTA - NASDAQ
Ulta Salon Cosm & Frag
SPECIALTY RETAIL - Specialty Retail, Other  
$98.55 +0.78
0.80%

$98.82

468,399
58.27% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 803,800
$103.52
-4.80%
9/4/2012 $93.17 PP = $98.52
MB = $103.45
Most Recent Note - 9/18/2012 5:29:17 PM
Y - Small gap down and loss today on light volume led to a close below its pivot point, raising concerns. Disciplined investors always limit losses if ever any stock falls -7% or more from their purchase price.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 9/4/2012. Click here.

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ULTI - NASDAQ
Ultimate Software Group
INTERNET - Internet Software and Services  
$100.25 -0.18
-0.18%

$100.92

77,968
47.60% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 163,800
$106.40
-5.78%
8/27/2012 $98.36 PP = $99.19
MB = $104.15
Most Recent Note - 9/14/2012 4:33:18 PM
Y - Today's gain broke a streak of 5 consecutive losses while retreating from its all-time high. Prior chart highs define initial support to watch above its 50 DMA line.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 8/27/2012. Click here.

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Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group
PRICE CHANGE
(%Change)
Day High Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol)
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi
Featured
Date
Price
Featured
Pivot Featured
Max Buy
VSI - NYSE
Vitamin Shoppe Inc
SPECIALTY RETAIL - Specialty Retail, Other  
$58.74 +1.05
1.82%

$58.90

267,403
72.66% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 368,000
$61.83
-4.99%
6/29/2012 $54.93 PP = $55.03
MB = $57.78
Most Recent Note - 9/14/2012 4:35:23 PM
G - Quiet gain today on lighter volume halted a streak of 4 consecutive losses. Prior lows near $52 define important chart support below its 50 DMA line.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 9/10/2012. Click here.

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WPI - NYSE
Watson Pharmaceuticals
DRUGS - Drugs - Generic  
$83.73 +0.80
0.96%

$83.94

777,675
66.80% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,164,200
$84.02
-0.35%
8/24/2012 $82.90 PP = $81.10
MB = $85.16
Most Recent Note - 9/18/2012 5:42:38 PM
Y - Posted a gain today with below average volume. Still holding its ground in a tight range near its 52-week high since triggering a technical buy signal on 8/24/12 when highlighted in the mid-day report with a gap up gain backed by above average volume. Prior highs in the $81 area define initial support to watch on pullbacks.
>>> The latest Featured Stock Update with an annotated graph appeared on 8/28/2012. Click here.

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