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AFTER MARKET UPDATE - FRIDAY, FEBRUARY 5TH, 2016
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Indices NYSE Nasdaq
DOW  -211.61 16,204.97 -1.29% Volume 1,117,934,410 -4% Volume 2,289,267,700 +14%
NASDAQ -146.42 4,363.14 -3.25% Advancers 725 24% Advancers 516 17%
S&P 500 -35.40 1,880.05 -1.85% Decliners 2,333 76% Decliners 2,571 83%
Russell 2000 -29.17 985.62 -2.87% 52 Wk Highs 61   52 Wk Highs 3  
S&P 600 -14.62 605.16 -2.36% 52 Wk Lows 169   52 Wk Lows 205  

Bearish Characteristics Increasingly Evident as Indices Slump Again

For the week, the Dow fell 1.6%, the S&P 500 lost 3.1%, and the Nasdaq declined 5.4%. Stocks retreated on Friday. The Dow was off 211 points to 16204. The S&P 500 lost 35 points to 1880. The NASDAQ was down 146 points at 4363. Volume was reported near the prior session total on the NYSE, but higher on the Nasdaq exchange, indicating an increase in selling pressure from the institutional crowd. Breadth was solidly negative as decliners led advancers by more than a 3-1 margin on the NYSE and by a 5-1 margin on the Nasdaq exchange. Leadership remained thin as there were 5 high-ranked companies from the Leaders List that made new 52-week highs and were listed on the BreakOuts Page, matching the prior session total. The total number of new 52-week lows expanded and easily outnumbered new highs on the NYSE and on the Nasdaq exchange. The Featured Stocks Page includes new noteworthy leaders only as the tone of the market dictates.

Charts used courtesy of www.stockcharts.com

PICTURED: The Dow Jones Industrial Average has been consolidating after making gradual progress from January lows.

Patience and strict discipline remain paramount. Any sustained rally requires a healthy crop of leaders (defined as stocks hitting new highs), however, few leaders have bullish chart patterns and the few isolated technical breakouts of late have been quickly negated. Recent action from the major averages (M criteria) was labeled an "uptrend under pressure", however, stocks are threatening a deeper correction with the characteristics of a more serious "Bear Market" environment.

The major averages and crude prices were firmly lower after the first-Friday labor report. The U.S. added 151,000 jobs in January versus analyst expectations of a 190,000 increase. The robust 292,000 gain in December was revised down to 262,000. Despite the lower gain, the unemployment rate ticked down to 4.9% from 5%. The labor force participation rate climbed to 62.7% from 62.6% last month.

Eight out of ten sectors in the S&P 500 finished lower on the session. Consumer discretionary and Technology shares led the losses while Telecom stocks outperformed. In earnings, LinkedIn (LNKD -43.63%) plummeted after the company gave a weaker than expected forecast due to slower growth in ad revenue. Tyson Foods (TSN +9.91%) rose after easily exceeding Wall Street profit projections and raising forward guidance. Hartford Financial Group (HIG +1.86%) rose as the company’s core earnings beat consensus estimates by 9%.

Treasuries moved slightly lower with the benchmark 10-year note down 1/32 to yield 1.84%. In commodities, NYMEX WTI lost 2.4% to $30.97/barrel. COMEX gold climbed 1.4% to $1173.70/ounce. In FOREX, the Dollar Index advanced 0.5% its sharpest two-day decline since 2009. 

The Featured Stocks Page includes most current notes with headline links for access to more detailed letter-by-letter analysis including price/volume graphs annotated by our experts. See the Premium Member Homepage for archives to all prior pay reports.


Kenneth J. Gruneisen started out as a licensed stockbroker in August 1987, a couple of months prior to the historic stock market crash that took the Dow Jones Industrial Average down -22.6% in a single day. He has published daily fact-based fundamental and technical analysis on high-ranked stocks online for two decades. Through FACTBASEDINVESTING.COM, Kenneth provides educational articles, news, market commentary, and other information regarding proven investment systems that work in good times and bad.

Comments contained in the body of this report are technical opinions only and are not necessarily those of Gruneisen Growth Corp. The material herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable and accurate, however, its accuracy and completeness cannot be guaranteed. Our firm, employees, and customers may effect transactions, including transactions contrary to any recommendation herein, or have positions in the securities mentioned herein or options with respect thereto. Any recommendation contained in this report may not be suitable for all investors and it is not to be deemed an offer or solicitation on our part with respect to the purchase or sale of any securities.


Retail and Tech Indices Losses Followed by Financial and Energy Groups

The Retail Index ($RLX-3.95%) had a negative influence on the major averages on Friday and financial shares were weak again as the Broker/Dealer Index ($XBD -1.58%) and the Bank Index ($BKX-1.27%) both posted losses. The tech sector endured heavier pressure as the Biotechnology Index ($BTK -2.05%), Networking Index ($NWX -3.47%), and the Semiconductor Index ($SOX -3.53%ended unanimously lower. The Gold & Silver Index ($XAU +5.09%) was a standout gainer, but energy-linked groups were weak again as the Oil Services Index ($OSX -1.35%) and the Integrated Oil Index ($XOI -2.95%) both fell.

Charts courtesy www.stockcharts.com

PICTURED: The Networking Index ($NWX -3.47%) suffered a large loss and fell to new lows on Friday.


Industry Index Symbol Close Change % Change YTD % Change
Oil Services $OSX  141.80 -2.25 -1.56% -10.10%
Integrated Oil $XOI  956.62 -29.05 -2.95% -10.82%
Semiconductor $SOX  586.25 -21.47 -3.53% -11.64%
Networking $NWX  320.86 -11.53 -3.47% -14.65%
Broker/Dealer $XBD  144.87 -2.33 -1.58% -18.65%
Retail $RLX  1,092.96 -44.97 -3.95% -14.84%
Gold & Silver $XAU  55.30 +2.68 +5.09% +22.08%
Bank $BKX  61.38 -0.79 -1.27% -16.01%
Biotech $BTK  2,743.44 -57.39 -2.05% -28.07%


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Color Codes Explained :
Y - Better candidates highlighted by our staff of experts.
G - Previously featured in past reports as yellow but may no longer be buyable under the guidelines.

***Last / Change / Volume data in this table is the closing quote data***
Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group
PRICE CHANGE
(%Change)
Day High Volume
(% DAV)
(% 50 day avg vol)
52 Wk Hi
% From Hi
Featured
Date
Price
Featured
Pivot Featured
Max Buy
JBSS - NASDAQ
Sanfilippo John B & Son
FOOD and BEVERAGE - Processed and Packaged Goods  
$60.04 -2.98
-4.73%

$63.17

63,995
81.01% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 79,000
$66.29
-9.43%
1/29/2016 $62.25 PP = $66.39
MB = $69.71
Most Recent Note - 2/5/2016 6:05:50 PM
Y - Pulled back today with lighter volume. Highlighted in yellow with new pivot point cited based on its 11/02/15 high plus 10 cents in the 1/29/16 mid-day report (read here). The Special Dividend effective 11/30/15 impacted price history shown on some chart sources. Faces resistance due to overhead supply up through the $66 level.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Gap Up Gain Nearly Challenging Prior Highs - 1/29/2016
 |  View all notes | Set NEW NOTE alert | Company Profile | SEC News | Chart | Request a new note C A  S  I 
LXFT - NYSE
Luxoft Holding Inc Cl A
Comp Sftwr-Spec Enterprs  
$57.82 -9.46
-14.06%

$66.89

1,695,023
740.18% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 229,000
$80.64
-28.30%
10/22/2015 $66.65 PP = $68.95
MB = $72.40
Most Recent Note - 2/5/2016 3:09:29 PM
Violating its 200 DMA line and prior lows with today's 3rd consecutive damaging loss on heavier above average volume raising more serious concerns. It will be dropped from the Featured Stocks tonight.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Rebounded Near 50-Day Moving Average Following 200 DMA Test - 1/26/2016
 |  View all notes | Set NEW NOTE alert | Company Profile | SEC News | Chart | Request a new note C A  S  I 

THESE ARE NOT BUY RECOMMENDATIONS!  Comments contained in the body of this report are technical opinions only. The material herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable and accurate, however, its accuracy and completeness cannot be guaranteed. This site is not an investment advisor, hence it does not endorse or recommend any securities or other investments. Any recommendation contained in this report may not be suitable for all investors and it is not to be deemed an offer or solicitation on our part with respect to the purchase or sale of any securities. All trademarks, service marks and trade names appearing in this report are the property of their respective owners, and are likewise used for identification purposes only.

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Kenneth J. Gruneisen founded Gruneisen Growth Corp. (2003), which prior to May 11, 2015, operated CANSLIM.net and CANSLIM.com both under license from Data Analysis Inc. / Investor's Business Daily. Kenneth has passed the CAN SLIM® Master's Exam. Gruneisen Growth Corp. now continues over two decades of fact based market analysis via FactBasedInvesting.com.

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