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AFTER MARKET UPDATE - THURSDAY, JANUARY 29TH, 2015
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DOW |
+225.48 |
17,416.85 |
+1.31% |
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Volume |
843,222,810 |
+1% |
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Volume |
1,942,939,670 |
-1% |
NASDAQ |
+45.42 |
4,683.41 |
+0.98% |
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Advancers |
2,099 |
66% |
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Advancers |
1,963 |
64% |
S&P 500 |
+19.09 |
2,021.25 |
+0.95% |
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Decliners |
999 |
31% |
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Decliners |
1,040 |
34% |
Russell 2000 |
+15.07 |
1,190.18 |
+1.28% |
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52 Wk Highs |
233 |
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52 Wk Highs |
42 |
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S&P 600 |
+7.74 |
683.97 |
+1.14% |
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52 Wk Lows |
150 |
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52 Wk Lows |
116 |
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Leadership Contracted Even While Indices Posted Big Gains
Kenneth J. Gruneisen - Passed the CAN SLIM® Master's Exam
Stocks ended a choppy session with a rally on Thursday. The Dow rose 225 points to 17,416. The S&P 500 gained 19 points to 2,021. The NASDAQ Composite recovered from a 36 point retreat to finish up 45 at 4,683. The volume totals were reported slightly higher than the prior session total on the NYSE, but a bit lighter than the prior volume total on the Nasdaq exchange. Breadth was positive as advancers led decliners by a 2-1 margin on the Nasdaq exchange and on the NYSE. However, leadership contracted as there were only 26 high-ranked companies from the CANSLIM.net Leaders List that made new 52-week highs and appeared on the CANSLIM.net BreakOuts Page, down from the prior session total of 56 stocks. New 52-week highs outnumbered new 52-week lows on the NYSE but new lows outnumbered new highs on the Nasdaq exchange. There were gains for 9 of the 11 high-ranked companies currently on the Featured Stocks Page.
Last Thursday's improvement from the broader market was a reassuring sign regarding the M criteria, however that progress was quickly erased and followed by more worrisome damage. Members were cautioned - "The bullish action is not a guarantee that the major averages will reach new highs and continue into new high territory. Keep in mind that new buying efforts should only be made in stocks meeting all of the fundamental and technical guidelines the fact-based investment system."
PICTURED: The Dow Jones Industrial; Average managed a "positive reversal" after Thursday's early losses nearly tested its 200-day moving average (DMA) line. That important long-term average and prior lows define important near-term support where any damaging losses leading to violations would raise serious concerns for the broader market outlook.
The major averages spent most of the day toggling between gains and losses as investors digested a heavy calendar of earnings reports. Colgate-Palmolive (CL +6%) and Dow Chemical (DOW +4.6%) advanced after both posted profits above expectations. Qualcomm (QCOM -10.3%) tumbled following its disappointing quarterly results.
On the economic front, weekly jobless claims declined to a 15-year low to offset an unexpected decline in pending home sales. The market moved higher in the afternoon as it received a lift from a rebound in oil prices.
Utilities and materials were the best performing sectors on the session. Edison International (EIX +2.1%) rose. Air Products (APD +5.88%) following its positive earnings release and outlook. In other news, McDonalds (MCD +5.06%) after announcing its CEO resigned. Energy was the worst performing sector. Exxon (XOM -0.42%) muted the group's rally.
Treasuries declined with the 10-year note down 12/32 to yield 1.76%. In commodities, NYMEX WTI crude recovered from touching a six-year low to finish up +0.3% at $44.57/barrel. COMEX gold fell -2.2% to $1,257.20/ounce.
The Featured Stocks Page shows recent notes and Headline Links directing members to detailed analysis with data-packed graphs annotated by a Certified expert. See the Premium Member Homepage for archives to all prior pay reports published.
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Kenneth J. Gruneisen started out as a licensed stockbroker in August 1987, a couple of months prior to the historic stock market crash that took the Dow Jones Industrial Average down -22.6% in a single day. He has published daily fact-based fundamental and technical analysis on high-ranked stocks online for two decades. Through FACTBASEDINVESTING.COM, Kenneth provides educational articles, news, market commentary, and other information regarding proven investment systems that work in good times and bad.
Comments contained in the body of this report are technical opinions only and are not necessarily those of Gruneisen Growth Corp. The material herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable and accurate, however, its accuracy and completeness cannot be guaranteed. Our firm, employees, and customers may effect transactions, including transactions contrary to any recommendation herein, or have positions in the securities mentioned herein or options with respect thereto. Any recommendation contained in this report may not be suitable for all investors and it is not to be deemed an offer or solicitation on our part with respect to the purchase or sale of any securities. |
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Retail, Financial and Tech Rose But Commodity-Linked Groups Fell
Kenneth J. Gruneisen - Passed the CAN SLIM® Master's Exam
The major averages were led higher by a gain from the Retail Index ($RLX +1.43%) and strength in financial shares as the Bank Index ($BKX +1.53%) and the Broker/Dealer Index ($XBD +2.00%) each tallied solid gains. The Biotechnology Index ($BTK +1.01%) led the tech sector higher while the Networking Index ($NWX +0.64%) posted a smaller gain and the Semiconductor Index ($SOX +0.08%) finished flat. Meanwhile, the Integrated Oil Index ($XOI +0.53%) edged higher although commodity-linked groups generally created a drag as the Oil Services Index ($OSX -2.51%) and the Gold & Silver Index ($XAU -1.68%) both lost ground.
Charts courtesy www.stockcharts.com
PICTURED: The Biotechnology Index ($BTK +1.01%) is consolidating well above its 50-day moving average (DMA) line.
Oil Services |
$OSX |
181.91 |
-4.68 |
-2.51% |
-13.73% |
Integrated Oil |
$XOI |
1,294.93 |
+6.89 |
+0.53% |
-3.95% |
Semiconductor |
$SOX |
666.63 |
+0.56 |
+0.08% |
-2.95% |
Networking |
$NWX |
348.95 |
+2.23 |
+0.64% |
-2.51% |
Broker/Dealer |
$XBD |
168.84 |
+3.31 |
+2.00% |
-8.56% |
Retail |
$RLX |
1,028.16 |
+14.52 |
+1.43% |
-0.44% |
Gold & Silver |
$XAU |
77.13 |
-1.32 |
-1.68% |
+12.14% |
Bank |
$BKX |
67.70 |
+1.02 |
+1.53% |
-8.83% |
Biotech |
$BTK |
3,709.17 |
+37.16 |
+1.01% |
+7.85% |
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Extended After Tallying More Volume-Driven Gains
Kenneth J. Gruneisen - Passed the CAN SLIM® Master's Exam
United Insurance Holding (UIHC +$0.31 or +1.22% to $25.63) gapped up on the prior session for a considerable volume-driven gain it is perched at its 52-week high. It is extended from any sound base. Its 50-day moving average (DMA) line defines near-term support to watch on pullbacks.
It was last shown in this FSU section on 1/13/15 with annotated graphs under the headline, "Consolidation Following 'Negative Reversal' Not Considered a Sound Base", as its consolidation was too short to be considered a sound base pattern. Disciplined investors avoid chasing stocks more than +5% above prior highs and always limit losses by selling any stock that falls more than -7% from its purchase price.
UIHC has traded up as much as +27.3% since first highlighted in yellow at $20.64 with pivot point cited based on its 11/05/14 high plus 10 cents in the 12/05/14 mid-day report (read here). It was previously noted - "Heavy volume behind gains for new highs indicated that meaningful institutional buying demand was lurking. It reported earnings +58% on +33% sales revenues for the Sep '14 quarter, its 5th consecutive quarterly comparison above the +25% minimum guideline (C criteria). Annual earnings (A criteria) have been strong."
It completed a new Public Offering on 2/27/14. The number of top-rated funds owning its shares rose from 30 in Dec '13 to 174 in Dec '14, and its current Up/Down Volume Ratio of 2.4 is also a reassuring sign is shares have been under accumulation over the past 50 days.
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Color Codes Explained :
Y - Better candidates highlighted by our
staff of experts. G - Previously featured
in past reports as yellow but may no longer be buyable under the
guidelines.
***Last / Change / Volume data in this table is the closing quote data***
Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group |
PRICE |
CHANGE (%Change) |
Day High |
Volume (% DAV) (% 50 day avg vol) |
52 Wk Hi % From Hi |
Featured Date |
Price Featured |
Pivot Featured |
Max Buy |
ACT
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NYSE
Actavis plc
Medical-Generic Drugs
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$273.25
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-0.63
-0.23% |
$275.12
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2,359,986 74.00% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 3,189,000
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$285.09 -4.15%
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12/29/2014
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$260.22
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PP = $272.85
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MB = $286.49
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Most Recent Note - 1/29/2015 6:46:18 PM
Y - Pulled back for a 3rd consecutive loss on below average volume. Recent gains helped it hit a new 52-week high, but volume lacked conviction. Gains above a stock's pivot point must have at least +40% above average volume to trigger a proper technical buy signal.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Perched Near High Again With No Resistance - 1/16/2015
View all notes |
Set NEW NOTE alert |
CANSLIM.net Company Profile |
SEC
News |
Chart |
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C
A N
S L
I M
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AMBA
-
NASDAQ
Ambarella Inc
ELECTRONICS - Semiconductor - Specialized
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$56.68
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-0.32
-0.56% |
$57.80
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1,375,337 65.87% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 2,088,000
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$63.20 -10.32%
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1/7/2015
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$54.96
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PP = $58.10
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MB = $61.01
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Most Recent Note - 1/29/2015 6:48:21 PM
Y - Volume totals have been below average while consolidating in a tight trading range above its 50 DMA line ($53.43) where a damaging violation would trigger a technical sell signal. See the latest FSU analysis for more details and annotated graphs.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Volume Totals Cooling While Staying Above 50-Day Moving Average - 1/27/2015
View all notes |
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CANSLIM.net Company Profile |
SEC
News |
Chart |
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C
A N
S L
I M
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EPAM
-
NYSE
Epam Systems Inc
COMPUTER SOFTWARE and SERVICES - Information Technology Service
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$47.81
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+0.31
0.65% |
$47.90
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219,866 65.24% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 337,000
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$52.89 -9.60%
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10/23/2014
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$45.21
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PP = $46.09
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MB = $48.39
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Most Recent Note - 1/29/2015 6:43:23 PM
G - A rebound above its downward sloping 50 DMA line ($48.41) is still needed for its outlook to improve. Today's gain again lacked volume conviction, yet it finished near the session high.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Recovery Above 50-Day Average Needed for Outlook to Improve - 1/21/2015
View all notes |
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News |
Chart |
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C
A N
S L
I M
|
FB
-
NASDAQ
Facebook Inc Cl A
INTERNET
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$78.00
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+1.76
2.31% |
$78.02
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60,810,332 249.93% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 24,331,000
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$82.17 -5.07%
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12/22/2014
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$81.79
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PP = $81.26
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MB = $85.32
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Most Recent Note - 1/29/2015 12:43:44 PM
G - Churning above average volume for a 2nd consecutive session near its 50 DMA line, not making meaningful price progress - a sign of distributional pressure. Faces resistance due to overhead supply up through the $82 level. Waning leadership (L criteria) in the Internet - Content industry group was noted as a concern.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Consolidating Near 50-Day Average After Stalling at 52-Week High - 1/12/2015
View all notes |
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CANSLIM.net Company Profile |
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News |
Chart |
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C
A N
S L
I M
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ILMN
-
NASDAQ
Illumina Inc
DRUGS - Biotechnology
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$200.00
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+2.14
1.08% |
$201.67
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1,423,143 113.04% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,259,000
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$213.33 -6.25%
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12/30/2014
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$186.26
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PP = $196.00
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MB = $205.80
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Most Recent Note - 1/28/2015 1:07:31 PM
Y - Reported earnings +93% on +32% sales revenues for the Dec '14 quarter. There was a "negative reversal" after gapping up today and hitting a new 52-week high. Prior gains lacked great volume conviction. No resistance remains due to overhead supply.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Rebound Above 50-Day Moving Average Helped Technical Stance - 1/20/2015
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SEC
News |
Chart |
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C
A N
S L
I M
|
Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group |
PRICE |
CHANGE (%Change) |
Day High |
Volume (% DAV) (% 50 day avg vol) |
52 Wk Hi % From Hi |
Featured Date |
Price Featured |
Pivot Featured |
Max Buy |
NXPI
-
NASDAQ
Nxp Semiconductors N V
ELECTRONICS - Semiconductor - Broad Line
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$79.87
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+0.75
0.94% |
$80.46
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3,255,788 108.53% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 3,000,000
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$82.76 -3.49%
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1/5/2015
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$76.43
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PP = $78.44
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MB = $82.36
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Most Recent Note - 1/28/2015 1:15:54 PM
Y - Small gap up gain today has it poised for a best-ever close, and little resistance remains to hinder its progress. Its 50 DMA line acted as support following a "negative reversal" at its 52-week high.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : 50-Day Moving Average Acted as Support After "Negative Reversal" - 1/22/2015
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Chart |
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C
A N
S L
I M
|
OTEX
-
NASDAQ
Open Text Corp
INTERNET - Internet Software and Services
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$55.85
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+1.68
3.10% |
$56.70
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795,631 290.91% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 273,500
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$60.44 -7.59%
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1/26/2015
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$58.41
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PP = $59.67
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MB = $62.65
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Most Recent Note - 1/29/2015 12:58:17 PM
G - Gapped down for a damaging volume-driven loss violating its 50 DMA line triggering a technical sell signal on the prior session. Finding support at its 200 DMA line, however its Relative Strength rating has slumped to 71, below the 80+ minimum guideline for buy candidates. Reported earnings +23% on +29% sales revenues for the Dec '14 quarter, below the +25% minimum earnings guideline (C criteria) raising fundamental concerns. It did not clear the previously noted "double bottom" base and trigger a convincing technical buy signal. See the latest FSU analysis for more details and an annotated weekly graph.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Churning Action Indicates Distributional Pressure - 1/26/2015
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C
A N
S L
I M
|
PANW
-
NYSE
Palo Alto Networks
Computer Sftwr-Security
|
$129.29
|
+3.84
3.06% |
$130.00
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1,210,788 89.89% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 1,347,000
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$129.42 -0.10%
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7/30/2014
|
$84.21
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PP = $85.88
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MB = $90.17
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Most Recent Note - 1/29/2015 6:41:30 PM
G - No resistance remains and it ended near the session high with a gain on below average volume for a best-ever close. The 50 DMA line ($121.14) and recent low ($117.60 on 1/02/15) define important near-term support to watch where violations may trigger technical sell signals. See the latest FSU analysis for more details and annotated graphs.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Finished With a Loss and Near Session Low After Chance at Best-Ever Close - 1/28/2015
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C
A N
S L
I M
|
RH
-
NYSE
Restoration Hardware Hld
RETAIL - Home Furnishing Stores
|
$92.99
|
+1.08
1.18% |
$93.28
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417,469 44.51% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 938,000
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$100.66 -7.62%
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12/11/2014
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$98.66
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PP = $94.60
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MB = $99.33
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Most Recent Note - 1/28/2015 6:26:25 PM
Y - Volume totals have been cooling while consolidating above its 50 DMA line ($90.62) defining important near-term support. A subsequent violation would raise greater concerns and trigger a technical sell signal.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Fell Near 50-Day Moving Average After Negating Prior Breakout - 1/15/2015
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C
A N
S L
I M
|
UIHC
-
NASDAQ
United Insurance Holding
Insurance-Prop/Cas/Titl
|
$25.63
|
+0.31
1.22% |
$25.97
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495,530 231.56% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 214,000
|
$26.27 -2.44%
|
12/5/2014
|
$20.64
|
PP = $20.31
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MB = $21.33
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Most Recent Note - 1/29/2015 6:38:21 PM
G - Gapped up on the prior session and it is perched at its 52-week high following 2 consecutive volume-driven gains, extended from any sound base. Its 50 DMA line defines near-term support to watch. See the latest FSU analysis for more details and new annotated graphs.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Extended After Tallying More Volume-Driven Gains - 1/29/2015
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C
A N
S L
I M
|
Symbol/Exchange
Company Name
Industry Group |
PRICE |
CHANGE (%Change) |
Day High |
Volume (% DAV) (% 50 day avg vol) |
52 Wk Hi % From Hi |
Featured Date |
Price Featured |
Pivot Featured |
Max Buy |
VRX
-
NYSE
Valeant Pharmaceuticals
DRUGS - Drug Manufacturers - Other
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$161.51
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+0.92
0.57% |
$161.79
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1,383,591 64.35% of 50 DAV
50 DAV is 2,150,000
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$162.80 -0.79%
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1/5/2015
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$144.84
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PP = $149.90
|
MB = $157.40
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Most Recent Note - 1/28/2015 6:28:44 PM
G - Reversed into the red for a small loss on average volume after hitting another new 52-week high today. Extended from any sound base. Its 50 DMA line defines near-term support to watch.
>>> FEATURED STOCK ARTICLE : Perched at All-Time High Following 3 Quiet Gains - 1/23/2015
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C
A N
S L
I M
|
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THESE ARE NOT BUY RECOMMENDATIONS!
Comments contained in the body of this report are technical
opinions only. The material herein has been obtained
from sources believed to be reliable and accurate, however,
its accuracy and completeness cannot be guaranteed.
This site is not an investment advisor, hence it does
not endorse or recommend any securities or other investments.
Any recommendation contained in this report may not
be suitable for all investors and it is not to be deemed
an offer or solicitation on our part with respect to
the purchase or sale of any securities. All trademarks,
service marks and trade names appearing in this report
are the property of their respective owners, and are
likewise used for identification purposes only.
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