Healthy stocks that are within close striking distance of new highs are often great buy candidates for investors to keep on their watch lists, especially when the companies match favorably with all of the investment system's criteria. When a stock is more than -10% off its 52-week high, and if it has violated its 50-day moving average (DMA) line, then the outlook only gets worse and worse as it spends a greater period of time trading deeper under that important short-term average line. By the time a stock's 50 DMA line starts sloping downward it should also be acknowledged that the stock has been struggling for a long while, in which case it might be time to reduce exposure and look for places to put that money to work in stronger buy candidates.
Weatherford International Inc. (WFT +$0.90 or +2.05% to $44.89) ended higher after recently finding support above its 50 DMA line. An upward trendline may be watched as an initial support level just above its short-term average. Concerns were raised by its latest quarterly earnings which were reported under the +25% guideline, however selling decisions should typically not be made based upon fundamental data unless accompanied by technical sell signals. Violations of its upward trendline and 50 DMA line could trigger sell signals. WFT sports strong ranks; its Earnings Per Share (EPS) rating and Relative Strength (RS) rating are both 94. This stock was recently featured in the April 2008 issue of CANSLIM.net News (read here) with a $72.91 pivot point and a $76.56 maximum buy price and the following description of what to look for and what to look out for: "Look for the stock to confirm a new technical buy signal by breaking out and closing above its $72.91 pivot point with gains on heavy volume in the coming days and weeks. Remember that buyable breakouts require three important components: the stock must clear its pivot point with considerable gains, those gains must be backed by at least +50% above average volume, and the overall market environment must be in a confirmed rally. On March 20, 2008 the Dow Jones Industrial Average produced a follow-through day which confirmed the current rally attempt. This high-ranked leader should remain on an active watch list and could be considered as a new buy candidate in the event it closes above its pivot point on the necessary volume needed to trigger a technical buy signal. As always, it is of the utmost importance to sell a stock if it drops 7-8% below your purchase price." Remember to always limit losses per the 7-8% sell rule, and never hold a stock if it falls more than that from your purchase price.
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Weatherford Intl Ltd |
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Ticker Symbol: WFT (NYSE) |
Industry Group: Oilgas- Machinery/Equip |
Shares Outstanding: 339,200,000 |
Price: $72.47 3/31/08 |
Day's Volume: 5,252,100 3/31/2008 |
Shares in Float: 329,000,000 |
52 Week High: $73.65 3/31/2008 |
50-Day Average Volume: 5,054,300 |
Up/Down Volume Ratio: 0.8 |
Pivot Point: $72.91 2/28/2008 high plus .10 |
Pivot Point +5% = Max Buy Price: $76.56 |
Web Address: http://www.weatherford.com |
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CANSLIM.net Profile: Weatherford International, Ltd. provides equipment and services used for the drilling, evaluation, completion, production, and intervention of oil and natural gas wells worldwide. The company offers artificial lift systems comprising progressing cavity and electric submersible pumps; reciprocating rod lift, gas lift, hydraulic lift, plunger lift, hybrid lift, and wellhead systems; and specific controllers, and flow measurement and field optimization tools. Further, it provides wireline and evaluation services that measure the physical properties of underground formations; re-entry, fishing, and thru-tubing services; stimulation and chemicals; integrated drilling; and pipeline and specialty services. The company was founded in 1972 and is based in Houston, Texas. WFT resides in the Oilgas-machinery group which is presently ranked 113th on the 197 Industry Groups list. However there are other high-ranked stocks that reside in this group which are still showing good leadership which helps offer reassurance for the L criteria. The company's earnings increases have been above the +25% guideline in each of the past four quarters and it showed solid earnings growth over the past 5 years (good C and A criteria). Sales revenues increases have been a little shy of the guidelines, and stronger sales and earnings increases are always preferred. Return On Equity stands at +17%, which is in line with the +17% guideline.
What to Look For and What to Look Out For: Look for the stock to confirm a new technical buy signal by breaking out and closing above its $72.91 pivot point with gains on heavy volume in the coming days and weeks. Remember that buyable breakouts require three important components: the stock must clear its pivot point with considerable gains, those gains must be backed by at least +50% above average volume, and the overall market environment must be in a confirmed rally. On March 20, 2008 the Dow Jones Industrial Average produced a follow-through day which confirmed the current rally attempt. This high-ranked leader should remain on an active watch list and could be considered as a new buy candidate in the event it closes above its pivot point on the necessary volume needed to trigger a technical buy signal. As always, it is of the utmost importance to sell a stock if it drops 7-8% below your purchase price.
Technical Analysis: WFT is currently perched near the highs of a 7-month flat base. The stock is now trading very near its pivot point, and since January there has been no sign of institutional selling (distribution), which is a healthy sign. Remember that it is imperative to see volume surpass the necessary threshold needed to trigger a technical buy signal as the stock trades and closes above its pivot point. Until then, this high ranked stock should remain on an active watch list.