When investors lack the discipline to sell when a stock falls 7-8% from their buy price per the investment system's rule on limiting losses, that investor leaves themselves open to more drastic losses. Investors should stand ready to take action when a critical support level is violated, such as any loss leading a stock to break down below an upward trendline, 50-day moving average (DMA) line, previous chart low, or the stock's 200 DMA line. It is important to recognize these signs of technical deterioration. The most successful investors are always willing to get out when sell signals start to mount.
Symantec Corp (SYMC $-0.77 or -5.07% to $14.02) is not currently on the CANSLIM.net Featured Stocks list. The last time it appeared in this Featured Stock Update section with an annotated graph was on 9/11/08, under the headline "Positive Reversal Repairs 50 DMA Violation Promptly" - when it had repaired its latest 50 DMA violation with a positive reversal for a gain on above average volume. That action was noted as "no guarantee against further losses, but it was an encouraging sign of support from the institutional crowd stepping up after its latest pullback on heavier than average volume raised concerns." Its color code had been changed to green based on recent weakness, whereas stocks closer to a proper buy point are color coded yellow in CANSLIM.net reports.
Based on weak action, SYMC was later dropped from the CANSLIM.net Featured Stocks list on 10/02/08 and noted as follows "Loss today with slightly above average volume is triggering technical sell signals while violating its 200 DMA line and prior chart lows." From its 10/02/08 close at $17.83 it has already traded as much as -27.82% lower, helping to exemplify exactly why losses should always be limited to 7-8%. Members can use the "View all notes" link from reports on stocks like SYMC to go back and review the notes and ongoing day-to-day analysis that was provided.
SYMC was featured in the July 2008 CANSLIM.net News (read here), and it sputtered for weeks before a gap up above its 50 DMA line on 7/31/08 for a considerable gain on above average volume. Disciplined investors would note that a proper new technical buy signal was never triggered by gains above its $22.05 pivot point on heavy volume at least +50% above average. Market conditions (the M criteria) made it difficult for it to make any further headway. Multi-year highs were a stubborn resistance level near $22 once again. Thus, a careful investor would not have even suffered a small loss, let alone a big one!
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Symantec Corp (SYMC +$0.33 or +1.56% to $20.83) promptly repaired its latest 50 DMA violation with a positive reversal today for a gain on above average volume. That is no guarantee against further losses, but it was an encouraging sign of support from the institutional crowd stepping up after its latest pullback on heavier than average volume raised concerns. Its color code was changed to green based on recent weakness. Multi-year highs have been a stubborn resistance level near $22. A new technical buy signal would be triggered by gains above its $22.05 pivot point on heavy volume at least +50% above average.
SYMC was first featured in the July 2008 issue of CANSLIM.net News under the headline "Computer Software Firm With Good Earnings History". It sputtered for weeks before a gap up above its 50 DMA line on 7/31/08 for a considerable gain on above average volume after reporting its latest strong quarter. However, market conditionsl (the M criteria) have made it difficult for this high-ranked leader to make any headway. It hails from the Computer Software - Security group which is currently ranked 85th on the 197 Industry Groups list, outside of the preferred top quartile. However there is some reassuring group leadership (the L criteria) from other companies in the group that are in decent shape and also trading above their 50 & 200 DMA lines including Check Point Sftware Tech (CHKP) and Mcafee Inc (MFE).
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Symantec Corp |
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Ticker Symbol: SYMC (NASDAQ) |
Industry Group: Computer Software-Security |
Shares Outstanding: 840,100,000 |
Price: $19.35 |
Day's Volume: 10,740,200 6/30/2008 |
Shares in Float: 823,300,000 |
52 Week High: $21.95 5/30/2008 |
50-Day Average Volume: 13,886,300 |
Up/Down Volume Ratio: 1.2 |
Pivot Point: $22.05 5/30/2008 high plus $0.10 |
Pivot Point +5% = Max Buy Price: $23.15 |
Web Address: http://www.symantec.com/ |
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CANSLIM.net Company Profile: Symantec Corporation provides software and services that protect, manage, and control information risks related to security, data protection, storage, compliance, and systems management. The company operates in four segments: Consumer Products, Security and Compliance, Storage and Server Management, and Services. It also offers managed security services, consulting, education, and threat and early warning systems. The company offers its services to enterprises, governments, small and medium-sized businesses, and consumers worldwide. Symantec Corporation was founded in 1982 and is headquartered in Cupertino, California. SYMC resides in the the Computer Software-Security group which is presently ranked 66th on the 197 Industry Groups list which is just outside the top quartile. Other high-ranked Computer Software stocks are helping provide leadership so satisfy the L criteria. The stock's up/down ratio is at 1.2, which has bullish ramifications.
What to Look For and What to Look Out For: Look for the stock to confirm a new technical buy signal by breaking out and closing above its $22.05 pivot point with gains on heavy volume after the market produces a sound follow-through day. Remember that buyable breakouts require three important components: the stock must clear its pivot point with considerable gains, those gains must be backed by at least +50% above average volume, and the overall market environment be in a confirmed rally. Deterioration under $18 would raise concerns, as the stock would have then violated both its 50-day and 200-day moving average (DMA) lines. As always, it is of the utmost importance to sell a stock if it drops 7-8% below your purchase price. This high-ranked leader should remain on an active watch list and could be considered as a new buy candidate in the event it closes above its pivot point on the necessary volume needed to trigger a technical buy signal.
Technical Analysis: SYMC remains perched below resistance of a very long 2-year base. It has encountered resistance multiple times in the $21-22 area, which is why that is a very important technical level it must clear now. The stock is currently trading just below its 50 DMA line and about -11% below its 52-week high, forming a downward sloping handle within a longer term base. If the stock trades above its pivot point on meaningful volume then the path of least resistance will be higher. Until then, patience is paramount.