Micros Systems Inc |
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Ticker Symbol: MCRS (NASDAQ) |
Industry Group: Computer - Integrated Systems |
Shares Outstanding: 81,200,000 |
Price: $35.81 3/20/2008 |
Day's Volume: 1,990,300 3/20/2008 |
Shares in Float: 78,800,000 |
52 Week High: $37.49 11/30/2007 |
50-Day Average Volume: 1,038,000 |
Up/Down Volume Ratio: 1.4 |
Pivot Point: $36.30 2/14/2008 high plus .10 |
Pivot Point +5% = Max Buy Price: $38.11 |
Web Address: http://www.micros.com/ |
What to Look For and What to Look Out For: Look for MCRS to trigger a technical buy signal, which could come if it rallies and closes above its pivot point with gains backed by at least 1.56 million shares. Volume needs to be at least +50% above average behind considerable gains to trigger a proper technical buy signal - the high volume behind a breakout's gains is a critical sign of institutional buying demand (the I criteria) . It would be very encouraging to see MCRS trigger a technical buy signal and continue rallying to fresh highs on heavy volume in the days and weeks to come. However, if volume fails to meet the minimum guidelines and the stock does not trade above its pivot point then a proper technical buy signal would not be triggered. Its 50-day moving average (DMA) line is the next nearby support level of importance chart-wise, and violations would lead to further downside testing. Avoid chasing this issue above its maximum buy price of $38.11, where it would be too extended from a sound price base. As always, it is of the utmost importance to sell a stock if it drops 7-8% below your purchase price.
Technical Analysis: Since its big gap up gain on 10/26/07 with heavy volume, Micros began building its latest base. During the 5-months it consolidated a very healthy advance, and the stock exerpienced a sharp sell in January when the broader market tanked. It sank under its 200-day moving average (DMA) line, but it stayed well above its June 2007 lows and soon recovered above its important longer-term average with gains backed by very heavy volume. Its 2/01/08 gap up gain was a sign of heavyy institutional buying demand (the I criteria) during its base building process. MCRS has recovered nicely and is currently perched -4.5% below its all-time highs. This is best illustrated by the stock's 94 Relative Strength rating and the fact that its relative strength line is leading the way into new high territory.