Healthy stocks that are within close striking distance of new highs are often great buy candidates for investors to keep on their watch lists, especially when the companies match favorably with all of the investment system's criteria. When a stock is more than -10% off its 52-week high, and if it has violated its 50-day moving average (DMA) line, then the outlook only gets worse and worse as it spends a greater period of time trading deeper under that important short-term average line. By the time a stock's 50 DMA line starts sloping downward it should also be acknowledged that the stock has been struggling for a long while, in which case it might be time to reduce exposure and look for places to put that money to work in stronger buy candidates.
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Volume is a vital component of technical analysis. Prudent investors that incorporate volume into their stock analysis have often benefited several fold. Ideally, healthy stocks will more often tend to rise on higher volume and pullback on lighter volume. Volume is a great proxy for institutional sponsorship. Conversely, high volume declines can be ominous, as this usually signals distribution and further price deterioration are more likely to follow.
Chart Industries Inc. (GTLS UP $2.82 or 7.87% to $38.63) triggered a fresh technical buy signal as it vaulted above its pivot point on over double its normal volume. The healthy action helped this issue appear in "yellow" in the Tuesday, April 15, 2008 edition of the CANSLIM.net Mid Day Breakouts Report (read here) with a new $38.07 pivot point and a $39.97 maximum buy price. The company sports a very strong Earnings Per Share (EPS) rating of 93. It is also encouraging to see the company earn a healthy Relative Strength (RS) rating of 97. The company has managed to increase its earnings by well over the +25% guideline in each of the past four quarterly comparisons versus the year earlier, helping satisfy the "C" criteria. The number of top-rated funds owning an interest rose from 48 in Jun '07 to 74 in Mar '08, which shows increasing institutional demand (the I criteria). Concerns would be raised by any weakness leading to a close under its prior chart highs ($35-37) negating its breakout. Always limit losses per the 7-8% sell rule, and never hold a stock if it falls more than that from your purchase price.
This stock has rallied over +22% since it was first featured on Wednesday, September 19, 2007 in the CANSLIM.net Mid Day Breakouts Report (read here). The report identified a $31.47 pivot point and a $33.04 maximum buy price. A few days later, on 9/24/07 the stock gapped up and triggered a technical buy signal when it traded above its pivot point with a gain on more than +50% above average volume. During the first few days before a technical buy signal was triggered, the stock gave CANSLIM.net members ample time to do their own research and be ready to accumulate a position as soon as this high-ranked leader charged to new highs. On November 19, 2007 the stock was dropped from the CANSLIM.net Featured Stocks List (read here) as it spent the next several months building a long and deep base as the market pulled back. GTLS is currently triggering a fresh technical buy signal and enjoyed a new 52-week high close on Tuesday.
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Once again, the L criteria tells investors to choose leading companies in leading industry groups, and when we have identified a high-ranked leader with the proper characteristics we should wait and watch for gains on at least +50% above average volume as a confirmation that a breakout is attracting meaningful institutional sponsorship. A classic example of the success enjoyed by many CANSLIM.net readers usually starts when an investor reads a CANSLIM.net report and buys a featured stock before it has risen above the pivot point by greater than 5%. After a stock triggers a technical buy signal and is purchased, it is always important to employ the 7-8% loss cutting rule in the event of a downturn.
Chart Industries Inc. (GTLS +11.26 or 3.63% to $35.96) jumped into new high territory with a gain on above average volume as crude oil surged to another record high. It closed approximately +15% above its price when it first appeared in yellow on September 19, 2007 featured in the CANSLIM.net Mid-Day Breakouts Report (read here). The report said, "Y - Hit a new high after a 10-week cup shaped pattern, with volume on pace to be above average. Strong sales revenues and earnings increases in the 3 latest quarterly financial reports. It is in the strong Oil and Gas - Machinery/Equip Group which ranks 6th on the 197 industry groups list. Needs at least +50% above average volume behind gains that lift it above the pivot point to trigger a proper technical buy signal.'' The report identified a $31.47 pivot point and a $33.04 maximum buy price. A few days later, on 9/24/07 the stock gapped up and triggered a technical buy signal when it traded above its pivot point with a gain on more than +50% above average volume. During the first few days before a technical buy signal was triggered, the stock gave CANSLIM.net members ample time to do their own research and be ready to accumulate a position as soon as this high-ranked leader charged to new highs. A few weeks later, GTLS reached $35.41 before it starting pulling back and found support above its 50-day moving average line. Monday's action, followed by today's solid gain on above average volume, suggests that institutional buying demand (the I criteria) is showing up and helping send this high-ranked stock to yet another new all-time high! It closed +14.26% above its pivot point, which is way above the max buy level.
Chart Industries sports a healthy Earnings Per Share (EPS) rating of 87 and an impressive Relative Strength (RS) rating of 98. GTLS resides in the Oilgas- Machinery/equip group which is currently ranked 20th of out the 197 Industry Groups list, placing in the top quartile needed to satisfy the L criteria. Disciplined investors know to avoid buying stocks above their maximum buy price, because doing so greatly hinders performance.
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