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Healthy Post Breakout Action - Friday, March 31, 2006

A classic example of the success enjoyed by many CANSLIM.net readers usually starts when an investor reads a CANSLIM.net report and buys a featured stock before it has risen above the pivot point by greater than 5%.  After a stock breaks out above its pivot point, there is only a +5% window that investors have to purchase the stock under the proper guidelines. Once a stock rises above the "maximum buy price" the risk of a shake out balloons, meaning that even a normal retracement in the stock might force you to employ the 7-8% loss cutting rule.  Much can be told by the stock's daily action in the weeks and months that follow a breakout. Typically, a light volume and orderly pullback suggests that the bulls remain in control.  However, high volume pullbacks that violate support paint a totally different picture.

Cavco Industries Inc. (CVCO +0.68 or 1.38% to $48.59) rallied to a fresh new high close on above average volume on Friday. This stock was featured on Wednesday, February 8th, 2006 in the CANSLIM.net Mid Day Breakouts Report (read here) at $42.94. A few days later it blasted out of a solid base, then it quickly pulled back and found support slightly above its 50-day moving average (DMA) line. This was a very severe shakeout that probably prompted many weaker hands to sell, but it did not fall back and close in violation of an 8% sell stop.  After that brief shake out, CVCO went on to build a new base-on-base pattern. Then, on Wednesday, March 29th, 2006, it broke out of this new, shorter base with a gain on more than twice its average daily trading volume.  It followed through with more gains on above average volume to end the week at a fresh new high close.



The Importance of the 50 DMA - Thursday, March 09, 2006

A very important technical tool that savvy investors have learned to incorporate in their technical analysis is the 50-day moving average (DMA) line.  The 50 DMA line plays a pivotal role relative to a stock's price.  If the price of a stock is above its 50 DMA then odds are that its 50 DMA will act as formidable support.  Conversely, if the price is below its 50 DMA then the moving average acts as resistance.  

Cavco Industries Inc. (CVCO +$3.16 or +6.38% to $46.37) bounced nicely off its 50-day moving average (DMA) line to post a considerable gain on nearly five times its average turnover today.  This stock was first featured on Wednesday, February 8th, 2006 in the CANSLIM.net Mid-Day Breakouts Report (read here) as it was setting up to breakout.  Since the time it was featured, the major averages have run into some trouble, thus limiting this and most other stocks' ability to rally. However, this stock has put up a tough fight as it managed to find support at its 50 DMA.  It is also very positive to see a stock rally on above average volume on a day that the major averages ended lower. As long as this issue continues trading above its 50 DMA, technically, the bulls remain in control.