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Released: March 16th, 2003
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ELAB

Company Stats for Eon Labs, Inc. (NASDAQ - ELAB)

Ticker Symbol: ELAB - Nasdaq
Price: $24.29 (at close 03/14/03)
Day's Volume: 403,600 (03/14/03)
50-day Average Volume: 194,400
52 Wk High:
$25.38
52 WK Low: $12.70
Shares Outstanding: 43.6 Million
Shares In Float: 10.0 Million
Up/Down Volume Ratio: 2.1
 

Headquarters:
227-15 N. Conduit Avenue
Laurelton, NY 11413
Phone: 800-526-0225 
Fax: 718-949-3120 
William F. Holt , 718-276-8600
Vice President, Finance, Secretary, Treasurer and Chief Financial Officer
Website: http://www.eonlabs.com

Profile: Eon Labs, Inc. is a generic pharmaceutical company engaged in developing, licensing, manufacturing, selling and distributing a broad range of prescription pharmaceutical products. Eon Labs is an industry leader in obtaining Abbreviated New Drug Application, or ANDA, approvals from the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) for new generic pharmaceutical products. Eon Labs' product line consists of nearly 250 products from more than 100 medications. Eon Labs' experienced management team utilizes an integrated approach to select and develop generic pharmaceutical products in both niche and high volume markets in order to be the first generic alternative to market and to obtain favorable market share. Eon Labs focuses on drugs in a broad range of solid oral dosage forms, utilizing both immediate and sustained release delivery. Eon Labs does not depend on any single drug or therapeutic category for a majority of sales. 

ELAB is very highly ranked by Investor's Business Daily.  IBD's Stock Check Upâ ranks ELAB overall as "A+".


Click here for an updated chart.


Technical Chart Analysis: 
The above chart shows a recent breakout from a six-week base, rising above $24 on more than twice its average volume for the last two trading days (1).  This point had been a resistance area for the stock, which it now has cleared.  While the highest ELAB actually traded up to was $25.38 on November 7, 2002, the highest all-time closing price of $24.38 was on November 14, 2002.   In mid-February it tested its 50-day moving average line, marking the low point of what could be considered the handle of a cup-with-handle pattern it completed (2).  At that point it bounced back up with heavier volume, following through on especially strong volume on Feb. 20th when it traded up on 710,700 shares.  It is now within close striking distance of new all-time highs, and w
e would like to see the stock do this on heavy volume.

What to look for?
At this time ELAB is just 4.3% under its all-time high and clear of virtually all resistance in terms of "overhead supply".  In other words, there is nobody who owns it and hates it that would be anxious to sell, and it is likely that more investors may be attracted to ELAB as it grabs attention on the new highs list.  The recent action already appears to have been a clear technical "buy signal", so it requires very little if anything in the way of additional confirmation.  Although a pop to new highs on heavy volume would be a nice reassurance to have, time may be of the essence at this point.  Its price could quickly rise more than 5% above its pivot point, beyond which it gets riskier for you to buy. Of course, we would watch out for any noteworthy reversal of the recent seven days' progress, especially if that included a failure below the 50-day line which is near $22.00. Caution and a strict selling discipline is warranted, as always.

CANSLIM Comparative

Current Quarterly EarningsThe table below shows how the past four earnings announcements have been versus the same quarter one year earlier, leading off with the oldest and ending with the latest reported quarterly results. 

Percentage Change in Earnings Versus Year Earlier
Quarter Ended Earnings Percentage +/-
Mar 31st 2002 0.25 +9%
June 30th, 2002 0.28 -10%
Sept 30th, 2002 0.33 +27%
December 31st, 2002 0.31 +48%

ELAB is expected to make its next earnings announcement on April, 28th 2003 for the quarter ending on 03/31/03.  Feb 20, 2003, Eon Labs, Inc. announced that it expects sales and diluted earnings per share for the first quarter ended March 31, 2003 to be between $70 and $75 million and $0.27 and $0.31 per share, respectively. First quarter guidance anticipates continued strong customer demand and reflects additional sales opportunities due to increased raw material availability for selected products. 

Estimates for the upcoming quarter from Zacks include only one analyst's estimate, which is for 0.18 per share, while Multex Investor also has only one analyst estimate showing 0.29 per share.  It could be that only one analyst has initiated coverage, and possibly the estimate has been raised but not yet recognized by Zacks.  

EARNINGS PER SHARE
Quarters 2000 2001 2002 2003
MAR   0.23 0.25  
JUN   0.31 0.28  
SEP   0.26 0.33  
DEC   0.21 0.31  
 
Totals .36 1.01 1.17  
Note:  Units in U.S. Dollars


Annual Earnings When applying CANSLIM there should be meaningful annual earnings growth over the last three to five years. The average annual compounded growth rate of earnings in the superior firms should be from 15% to 50% per year or more.  In this case we see more, as a review of the table below shows Eon Lab's annual earnings growth comparisons exceeding that standard. 

Year

EPS %+/- Stock Price 
High Low
1998        
1999 0.17      
2000 0.36 111.7%    
2001 1.01 180.5%    
2002 1.18 16.8% 25 12
2003     24 18

Behind the earnings strength is a history of strong and steady annual sales revenue growth through recent years.  They have risen from $78.0 million in 1999, to $119.7 million in 2000, to $165.4 million in 2001, to $244.2 million in 2002.  For the full year 2003, the Company estimates sales to be between $285 and $300 million.

New Highs in the Stock’s Price, New Management, New Products Services - At time of this report, ELAB is within 4.3% of an all time high in price. Along with numerous other generic approvals in the company's recent history, on Feb 28, 2003 Eon Labs, Inc. announced that it received tentative approval for Benazepril HCl in the same strengths as the brand, 5mg, 10mg, 20mg and 40mg tablets. Benazepril HCl is the generic alternative for Lotensin(R) (a), which had sales in 2002 of approximately $300 million (b). Eon Labs is the first company to receive approval for generic Benazepril HCl. Barring any patent extensions, the brand will lose exclusivity on August 11, 2003. Benazepril HCl will be another first to market product for Eon Labs as the Company will commence shipment on the first day of generic availability. 

Supply of Stock - With only 10.0 million shares in the float there is the potential for a powerful move in price.  Institutional buyers have a lot of leverage and could allow Eon Labs Inc. to continue on its recent growth path.   Management owns 77% of the outstanding shares, which motivates them to see to it that the share price remains on its recent upward path.  Of course, there is always the possibility of a future stock offering which could be used as a potential exit strategy for some of the substantial insiders.  There is no need to worry about that for now, but if the company announced such an offering it might temporarily halt the stock's  upward price progress.  At this time there is not a considerable amount of short interest in the stock.  

Leading Company in a Leading Group - Eon Labs is the leader and ranked best overall in the Medical-Generic Drugs group which contains 19 companies and is ranked 11th on IBD's list of 197 industry groups.  Year-to-date this leading group is +6.4%, and meanwhile the Nasdaq Composite is +0.4%, and the S&P 500 Index is -5.3%, the Dow Industrials are -5.8%, and the Russell 2000 is -7.5% year-to-date.  This shows us rather clearly that the group is among those most worthy of consideration.  Add to that the fact that Medical stocks were right behind Banks and Savings & Loans as number three on the list of groups with the most stocks reaching new highs on last Friday.   Other strong stocks in the group include Pharmaceutical Resources Inc (PRX), Mylan Labs Inc (MYL), Hi Tech Pharmacal (HITK), and Lannett Company Inc (LCI).

Institutional Sponsorship - The recent technical trading action has been indicative of buying by institutional investors (mutual funds, banks, insurance companies, pension funds, etc.), and there have been a greater number of institutional buyers than sellers.  However, it is true that there was a minor decrease in net total of institutional ownership in the fourth quarter of 2002.  Data in the tables below is accurate as of December 31, 2002, so it may not indicate some of the most recent activity. 

Number of Institutional Shareholders: 89
Number of Shares Held by Institutions (in thousands): 10,817
Percentage of Shares Held by Institutions: 24.60
Net 3 Month Change in Ownership (in thousands):        -34    

 

 

Top Institutional Holders

Institution Name Shares Held Position Value (000) % Shs. Out. Portfolio Date
CHARTWELL INVESTMENT PARTNERS  855,275 $16,173.25 1.96% 12/31/2002
NICHOLAS APPLEGATE CAPITAL MGMT  647,600 $12,246.12 1.49% 12/31/2002
T ROWE PRICE ASSOCIATES  591,800 $11,190.94 1.36% 12/31/2002
PROVIDENT INVESTMENT COUNSEL  524,370 $9,915.84 1.20% 12/31/2002
SELIGMAN (JW) & CO  496,945 $9,397.23 1.14% 12/31/2002
BARCLAYS GLOBAL INVESTORS INTL  480,913 $9,094.06 1.10% 12/31/2002
FRONTIER CAPITAL MGMT CO  418,900 $7,921.40 0.96% 12/31/2002
COLUMBUS CIRCLE INVESTORS  360,900 $6,824.62 0.83% 12/31/2002
DUNCAN HURST CAPITAL MGMT  337,950 $6,390.63 0.78% 12/31/2002
CITIGROUP ASSET MANAGEMENT  330,728 $6,254.07 0.76% 12/31/2002
NUMERIC INVESTORS  318,550 $6,023.78 0.73% 12/31/2002
HOOVER INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT CO LLC  312,300 $5,905.59 0.72% 12/31/2002
HARRIS BANKMONT  275,188 $5,203.81 0.63% 12/31/2002
JANUS CAPITAL CORP  273,570 $5,173.21 0.63% 12/31/2002
BOGLE INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT  238,400 $4,508.14 0.55% 12/31/2002

Market Direction The Nasdaq Composite chart appears to have formed a bullish "double-bottom" chart pattern after dipping below its February 13th low and reversing to close positive on this past Wednesday.  That may have marked a critical turning point for the market, but investors still need to watch for more confirming strength in the coming weeks, during which time Iraq faces a critical deadline. 

Part of the reason for the sudden market improvement has been growing optimism that the Iraq situation may be resolved soon, and maybe without an all out war.  Assuming that there could still be plenty of short covering to be done, and if investors start fearing they're going to miss out on bargains the gains could intensify.  So barring any unusual tragedies over the weekend, there is a chance of more "panic buying" when Monday morning rolls around. 

For additional insight on current market conditions, we advise everyone to read the most recent installment of John Murphy's Market Watch, which CANSLIM.net makes available for FREE if you click here.

* * * * UPDATES * * * * 

05/30/03 - 10:15AM
ELAB opened this morning at $27.30 and has traded as high as $29.35 on above average volume. Important news stories released today by the company may be the reason for stock's positive action -> Here

05/29/03 - 9:47AM - In the previous week ELAB survived a test of its 50-day moving average line, but on 5/28/03 ELAB faced its worst down day on higher than average volume since late March.  It closed the session near its lows and a hair under the 50-day moving average line.  The stock may spend weeks building a new base, or it could decide to retrace the recent rise and dip all the way back to the $25-26 range to find support near highs reached in late-2002.  For those looking to add to existing positions, it would probably be best to wait until seeing proof  that high volume buying demand is again lifting the price back up.  Investors with a profit may want to watch this one closely and move to lock in some profits, especially if any more high volume losses follow yesterday’s session.

04/24/03 - 6:16PM - Eon Labs, Inc (ELAB +6.75%) surged to new highs after a company press release announced earnings per share of $0.33 (up 73.7%) for the quarter ended March 31, 2003 compared to $0.19 for the year earlier period.   Data from other sources showed $0.25 for the year earlier period, so we are looking for a more detailed explanation of this discrepancy while not suggesting anything good or bad about it.  There is certainly nothing wrong with new highs.  The stock is one of the pace setters in the generic drug group, a group that is providing substantial leadership in the current market rally.

04/21/03 - 5:32PM - ELAB should be watched very closely as it approaches its reporting date for its latest quarter, and investors should expect heavier than normal volume and volatility.  On Thursday morning, before the opening bell, the company will be making the announcement.  Earnings plays can be very difficult, as even when you are right you can be wrong.  In other words, sometimes stocks have run up on anticipation of a good earnings announcement, but then sell off after the news is released.  We are not expecting any bad news, but caution is always warranted.  Of course, the action could also be very favorable in the event of a positive earnings surprise.  Do not make your trading decisions based on guesswork.  Be ready to recognize what may be an opportunity to add to an existing position in ELAB.  

04/16/03 - 8:50PM - While ELAB traded to a new all-time high intra-day on Tuesday, yesterday's reversal and lower close -$0.23 to $28.50 occurred on more than twice its average volume.  That action may be a cause for concern for the short-term, as it shows that a lot of anxious selling was coming into the stock.  Banc of America Securities initiated coverage on ELAB on Friday (4/11/03) with a "Buy" rating, and it had jumped higher on Monday without significant volume behind the $1.25 rise.  Maybe this was just a bit too much too fast, so it is just settling down a bit.  Its 50-day moving average is at $24.40, but the first point of support to be watching would be its $26.74 low close on 4/7/03.  Re-testing in the $25-26 range would not necessarily be a total surprise, nor would it necessarily spell the end of ELAB's present rally.  In fact, continued strength among generic drug stocks in recent days still provides a huge vote of confidence and confirmation for this issue.

04/06/03 - 10:50PM - Volume has been steadily drying up since March 27th, when ELAB managed a new high close on above average volume. The day's strong rise, and the stock's subsequent new highs in early April have signaled a recovery from the damage caused on March 24th, when Eon Labs Inc. said the U.S. Food and Drug Administration had rejected its copycat version of Elan Corp Plc's drug "Skelaxin". ELAB's version is said to have failed a test to prove it was the same as Skelaxin among patients who had eaten before taking the drugs. ELAB lost 9 cents on Friday to close at $27.21, while its trading volume total of 105,300 shares was less than of half its 50-day average daily volume total (274,600), and lower than any trading day since March 5th, when the stock was closed at $22.09. This would seem to indicate that there are not a lot of anxious sellers, and upon heavier buying there could be a more meaningful rise in price.

03/31/03 - 9:25AM - Volume was 696,200 shares versus its 50-day average volume of 263,700 as Eon
Labs Inc (ELAB) rallied to a new intra-day high of $27.75 Thursday, and it closed the session at $26.97, its highest close thus far. On Friday volume cooled to just 346,700 and it slipped to a close $0.22 lower. There is nothing that indicates anything but good things for ELAB's outlook at this juncture. It would take a plunge to a close lower than its 3/24/03 close of $25.03 to give rise to any serious concern. Meanwhile, the Medical-Generic Drugs group stands ranked at #10 of IBD's 197 industry groups, and the recent action among ELAB's peers is a great reassurance and confirmation of the group's leadership.

03/24/03 - 12:45PM - If we had put out another update on ELAB after Friday's new high close, it would have only been that much more disappointing to unwind the positive spin with an update Monday morning on news and trading activity in the stock that is certainly worthy of an update. We knew about the latest story before today's opening bell because we had signed up on ELAB's email notification system (noted in our original report), so we were not completely blindsided by the early action. 

It turns out that the company announced a small disappointment from the FDA on a pending new generic product. The news appears to not be a very big deal, really, but simply a roadblock or delay on the way to just one new product in the company's pipeline. However, Eon Labs' shares reacted very quickly and negatively at the open. Meanwhile, war pressures were also hurting the broader market, which certainly added to the hysteria. But shortly after trading as low as $22.21 (which would have exceeded almost any recent purchaser's 7-8% stop out point) the stock found persistent support again in the logical area near $24 we have talked about. 

The wild volatility and wider then normal intra-day swings are unnerving, and a reflection of the level of uncertainty that still exists in the market. Unfortunately, even though it has been trading near $25 at mid-day it still looks like today will amount to a second losing day on heavy volume in the short order of just the past three trading sessions. There's no way of knowing, but it is fair to say that the stock might spend a longer period of time (maybe several weeks) consolidating the recent gains and stabilizing before regrouping and trying again at new highs. 

03/20/03 - 6:10PM - ELAB showed the kind of resilience that inspires confidence today.  It fought back from the early damage and even rallied its way higher in the final minutes, although it still ended the day -$1.03 to close at $25.16 on almost four times average volume.  The volatile action could prove to be constructive in the long run, as it serves shakes out the weaker hands.  It could be a blessing in disguise or opportunity to buy on the dip.  Time will tell us for sure, but at this point we would consider things normal and that this is typical, healthy consolidation and not a failed breakout.  Our tone will change if the previously mentioned support is violated.  Also, note that the broader market action today was similar in many ways to the action in ELAB, and market conditions certainly had an influence.  

03/20/03 10:45AM -  Unfortunately, after what in our opinion appears to be a senseless downgrade by CIBC World Markets concerning ELAB prior t today's open, the stock gapped down to $24.56 (-$1.63) from Wednesday's close. It traded as low as $23.62 in the early minutes. The important thing to watch today will be how it finishes, and if it closes towards the upper end of the day's trading range, that offers us a much more encouraging outlook than if it closes toward the day's lowest extremes. We are expecting to see firm support at the previously mentioned $24 level. Since apparent high demand from institutional investors was recently driving it to highs, we'll add that IF sentiment among these major players has truly turned, then they won't step up and provide support at that level by buying, they will bail out, causing it to crash through important technical points. It is early in the day to say, but already there seem to be encouraging signs of stabilization and recovery. We'll look at this again later.

03/19/03 -  Eon Labs, Inc. remains perched up at $26.19, unchanged on volume lighter than average.  This is a sign that there is not a flood of willing sellers ready and anxious to bail out of ELAB.  It still would be reasonable and normal to see a bit more consolidation in the $24-$26 area, especially if the market gets hit with heavier selling.  We are not saying that will happen, but you should read our latest market commentary on the home page for more insight as to the shape of the broader market environment.  In many ways, a downward jolt in the market would be helpful, because we would then get to see what holds up well, and what fails.  An example of a recently strong, high-ranked CANSLIM type idea that may be falling into the latter (failure) category might include Biomet (BMET), although it is worth noting that BMET's reversal and close near its intra-day high today helped it to save face.  It might be finding support at prior resistance near $30.  Translating that to ELAB, the important support is at prior resistance near $24.   

03/18/03 - ELAB gapped up to open $0.78 higher than the previous close and spiked as high as $27.58 (+13.5% above Friday's close) in the first few minutes of trading Tuesday. After the first hour of particularly heavy volume things simmered down, and it ended the day with a 2.67% gain on trading volume 3.5 times heavier than its average. Its closing price was toward the low end of the day's trading range though, and nothing goes straight up. Our outlook remains positive for the stock, and the market overall, based upon the latest action. However, it may be a bit past the prime time to be buying, as we seem a bit overdue in the near term for a pullback. That would be perfectly normal, and perfectly fine within the context of O'Neil's many winning examples which rose many fold in price over several months (if we might only be so fortunate). If we see a "failure", that would be different, and we will say so in another update if that ever becomes the case.

03/17/03 - Our subscribers are obviously pleased with the performance of ELAB today, and of course the market had a fantastic day, which helps the case for buying almost anything. We believe that it is usually very significant, and a clear sign of institutional buying when a stock trades to new highs on nearly triple its average volume, just as ELAB did on Monday. The only words of caution we might add is that ELAB has gained ground on 7 of the past 8 trading days. Inevitably there will be pullbacks at some point. If you are worried about chasing it and buying it too far extended above its 50-day moving average, you may watch for a dip as an opportunity to buy or add to any existing interest that you might have. Only would a bad technical failure back into the previous base (under $24) and the January 27th close of $23.72 be considered a potential red flag or warning sign.

03/16/03 - There are no updates at this time.  We will notify subscribers when we have updates, however, the company offers a Press Releases Alert service which says that you can receive an e-mail alert whenever important news is added to their web site.  If interested you can sign up at the link below.

http://www.corporate-ir.net/ireye/ir_site.zhtml?ticker=ELAB&script=2100

Please let us know if you have any questions about this stock, as we would be glad to assist you.

_____________________________________________________________ 

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The material herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable and accurate, however, its accuracy and completeness cannot be guaranteed. Our firm, employees, and customers may effect transactions, including transactions contrary to any recommendation herein, or have positions in the securities mentioned herein or options with respect thereto. Any recommendation contained in this report may not be suitable for all investors and it is not to be deemed an offer or solicitation on our part with respect to the purchase or sale of any securities. This is an unsolicited opinion, and CANSLIM.net, Inc. has not been compensated in any way by the company(s) mentioned in this report.

Comments contained in the body of this report are technical opinions only and are not necessarily those of CANSLIM.net, Inc.  The material herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable and accurate, however, its accuracy and completeness cannot be guaranteed. Our firm, employees, and customers may effect transactions, including transactions contrary to any recommendation herein, or have positions in the securities mentioned herein or options with respect thereto.  Any recommendation contained in this report may not be suitable for all investors and it is not to be deemed an offer or solicitation on our part with respect to the purchase or sale of any securities.  This is an unsolicited opinion, and CANSLIM.net, Inc. has not been compensated in any way by the company(s) mentioned in this report.

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