Energy Group Leadership Helps Oil&Gas Firm Rise From Base
Tuesday, April 22, 2008 CANSLIM.net
Arena Resources Inc. |
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Ticker Symbol: ARD (AMEX) |
Industry Group: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production |
Shares Outstanding: 35,600,000 |
Price: $46.79 10:28AM ET |
Day's Volume: 170,817 4/22/2008 10:28AM ET |
Shares in Float: 31,600,000 |
52 Week High: $47.48 4/21/2008 |
50-Day Average Volume: 550,400 |
Up/Down Volume Ratio: 1.4 |
Pivot Point: $45.45 12/27/2007 high plus $0.10 |
Pivot Point +5% = Max Buy Price: $47.72 |
Web Address: http://www.arenaresourcesinc.com/
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CANSLIM.net Company Profile: Arena Resources, Inc. engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and production oil and natural gas properties. It owns interest in oil and gas properties in Oklahoma, Texas, New Mexico, and Kansas. Arena Resources primarily sells its oil and natural gas production to end users, marketers, and other purchasers. As of December 31, 2007, it had proved reserves of approximately 55,425,711 barrels of oil equivalent. The company, thorough its subsidiaries, also involves in the drilling operations. Arena Resources was founded in 2000 and is based in Tulsa, Oklahoma. The stock's Composite Rating, which is a combination of all the other readings, stands at 99, the highest possible reading. Meanwhile, the Relative Strength (RS) rating is an impressive 98. The company's Earnings Per Share (EPS) rating is a very healthy 97. Sales and earnings have grown at a steady rate over the past few quarters and years which helps this stock meet the (C and A criteria). ARD resides in the Oil& Gas- Exploration and production group which is currently ranked 1st out the 197 Industry Groups covered in the paper, easily satisfying the "L" criteria. Insiders own about 10% of its shares, which provides decent motivation to protect and build shareholder value. Return on Equity of 20% is above the 17% guideline, which is a strong sign. From June '07 to March '08 the number of top-rated funds rose from 86 to 106, helping satisfy the I criteria.
What to Look For and What to Look Out For: Look for ARD to make further progress as this stock has just broken out to a new all time high and out of a fresh 5-month base. It was highlighted in yellow in the 4/21/2008 CANSLIM.net Mid-Day Breakouts Report (read here). Prudent investors know to avoid buying a stock beyond its pivot point by more than +5%, so the "maximum buy" price in this case is $47.72. A close back under its $45.45 pivot point would prompt concern. If the stock rolls over and closes below its prior high close ($44.70 on 12/26/07) then the technical breakout will be negated and odds would then favor it spending more time trading in its recent base. Its small supply of outstanding shares (the S criteria) could contribute to greater volatility if the institutional crowd rushes in or out. Always limit losses per the 7-8% sell rule, and never hold a stock if it falls more than that much from your purchase price.
Technical Analysis: The stock vaulted out of a five month base on Monday, April 21st, 2008 and triggered a technical buy signal when it surged above its $45.45 pivot point on over twice its normal daily volume total. Volume is a critical component of institutional sponsorship, and the fact that volume swelled as ARD charged to new all-time highs (the N criteria) showed a strong vote of confidence from the institutional crowd (the I criteria).