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Energy Group Leadership Helps Oil&Gas Firm Rise From Base
Tuesday, April 22, 2008   CANSLIM.net
 


Arena Resources Inc.

 

Ticker Symbol: ARD (AMEX)

Industry Group: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production

Shares Outstanding:  35,600,000

Price: $46.79 10:28AM ET

Day's Volume: 170,817 4/22/2008 10:28AM ET

Shares in Float:  31,600,000

52 Week High: $47.48 4/21/2008 

50-Day Average Volume: 550,400

Up/Down Volume Ratio: 1.4

Pivot Point: $45.45 12/27/2007 high plus $0.10

Pivot Point +5% = Max Buy Price: $47.72

Web Address: http://www.arenaresourcesinc.com/

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CANSLIM.net Company Profile: Arena Resources, Inc. engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and production oil and natural gas properties. It owns interest in oil and gas properties in Oklahoma, Texas, New Mexico, and Kansas. Arena Resources primarily sells its oil and natural gas production to end users, marketers, and other purchasers. As of December 31, 2007, it had proved reserves of approximately 55,425,711 barrels of oil equivalent. The company, thorough its subsidiaries, also involves in the drilling operations. Arena Resources was founded in 2000 and is based in Tulsa, Oklahoma. The stock's Composite Rating, which is a combination of all the other readings, stands at 99, the highest possible reading. Meanwhile, the Relative Strength (RS) rating is an impressive 98. The company's Earnings Per Share (EPS) rating is a very healthy 97. Sales and earnings have grown at a steady rate over the past few quarters and years which helps this stock meet the (C and A criteria). ARD resides in the Oil& Gas- Exploration and production group which is currently ranked 1st out the 197 Industry Groups covered in the paper, easily satisfying the "L" criteria. Insiders own about 10% of its shares, which provides decent motivation to protect and build shareholder value. Return on Equity of 20% is above the 17% guideline, which is a strong sign. From June '07 to March '08 the number of top-rated funds rose from 86 to 106, helping satisfy the I criteria.  

What to Look For and What to Look Out For: Look for ARD to make further progress as this stock has just broken out to a new all time high and out of a fresh 5-month base. It was highlighted in yellow in the 4/21/2008 CANSLIM.net Mid-Day Breakouts Report (read here). Prudent investors know to avoid buying a stock beyond its pivot point by more than +5%, so the "maximum buy" price in this case is $47.72. A close back under its $45.45 pivot point would prompt concern.  If the stock rolls over and closes below its prior high close ($44.70 on 12/26/07) then the technical breakout will be negated and odds would then favor it spending more time trading in its recent base. Its small supply of outstanding shares (the S criteria) could contribute to greater volatility if the institutional crowd rushes in or out.  Always limit losses per the 7-8% sell rule, and never hold a stock if it falls more than that much from your purchase price.

Technical Analysis: The stock vaulted out of a five month base on Monday, April 21st, 2008 and triggered a technical buy signal when it surged above its $45.45 pivot point on over twice its normal daily volume total.  Volume is a critical component of institutional sponsorship, and the fact that volume swelled as ARD charged to new all-time highs (the N criteria) showed a strong vote of confidence from the institutional crowd (the I criteria).

About : Kenneth J. Gruneisen - Passed the CAN SLIMĀ® Master's Exam
Kenneth J. Gruneisen started out as a licensed stockbroker in August 1987, a couple of months prior to the historic stock market crash that took the Dow Jones Industrial Average down -22.6% in a single day. He has published daily fact-based fundamental and technical analysis on high-ranked stocks online for two decades. Through FACTBASEDINVESTING.COM, Kenneth provides educational articles, news, market commentary, and other information regarding proven investment systems that work in good times and bad.


Comments contained in the body of this report are technical opinions only and are not necessarily those of Gruneisen Growth Corp. The material herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable and accurate, however, its accuracy and completeness cannot be guaranteed. Our firm, employees, and customers may effect transactions, including transactions contrary to any recommendation herein, or have positions in the securities mentioned herein or options with respect thereto. Any recommendation contained in this report may not be suitable for all investors and it is not to be deemed an offer or solicitation on our part with respect to the purchase or sale of any securities.
You can contact Kenneth J. Gruneisen - Passed the CAN SLIMĀ® Master's Exam at kengruneisen@gmail.com

 
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